Indirect Competition with Spatial Product Differentiation Author(s): Thomas E. Cooper Source: The Journal of Industrial Economics, Vol. 37, No. 3 (Mar., 1989), pp. 241-257 Published by: Blackwell Publishing Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2098613 Accessed: 18/08/2010 02:16 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at http://www.jstor.org/action/showPublisher?publisherCode=black. Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. Blackwell Publishing is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The Journal of Industrial Economics. http://www.jstor.org THE JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS March 1989 Volume XXXVII 0022-1821 $2.00 No. 3 INDIRECT COMPETITION WITH SPATIAL PRODUCT DIFFERENTIATION THOMAS E. COOPER* Although two markets may appear to be separate, sometimes one firm participates in both of them. That firm provides a link between the two markets. Such a straddling firm transmits indirect competition from each market to the other since its actions reflect competitive conditions in both markets.In a model of spatial product differentiation,we show that indirect competition may make a market perform significantly better than the number of firms would indicate. Moreover, total consumer surplus increases if two previously distinct markets are linked by a straddler. Finally, we consider implications of these results for antitrust analysis. I. INTRODUCTION ATTEMPTS to define a market for antitrust purposes are fraught with problems because product characteristics vary almost continuously across goods. One cannot neatly define a market as a group of products each of which is a good substitute for all others in the group and a bad substitute for those outside. Instead, the defined market typically includes some products which are fairly poor substitutes for the good being studied but reasonably close substitutes for other products already included in the market. Products near the market boundary often lie in the intersection of two markets, for one could include them in other markets as well. Differentiation in any product characteristic can create this situation. For example, videocassette recorders (VCRs) could fall in the market with stereos and compact disc players (the home entertainment market) or with theatres (the movie market). The home entertainment and movie markets would usually seem distinct, but VCRs fall in the gray area where the markets overlap. Firms that straddle two markets, as VCR-makers do, must consider both markets when making price and production decisions. Because their reactions reflect competitive conditions in both, these straddling firms effectively link the markets together. Stereo-makers do not compete directly with theatres, but they do compete indirectly through their impact on VCR-makers. This competitive pressure from one market which is felt in another is what we call indirect competition. The purpose of this paper is to study this indirect competition and demonstrate its importance for market performance. A spatial model of product differentiation is used to analyze indirect * This paper was written while I was a member of the faculty at the University of Florida. Comments from Sanford Berg,Roger Blair,Jonathan Hamilton, Richard Romano, Steven Slutsky, and three anonymous refereeshave improved this paper. Any errors are, of course, my own. 241 242 THOMASE. COOPER competition. There are two markets representedby a pair of tangent circles. A straddlingfirmis located at the point of tangency, and there are two other firms, each of which sells in only one market. Prices and profits of all firms depend on conditions in both markets so the intensity of competition in one market does indirectlyinfluence the price of the firmthat sells only in the other market. In the example, stereo-makers limit movie prices by restraining VCR prices. More interesting is the magnitude of this competitive influence. We show that a market with two firms with extreme indirect competition provides as much consumer surplus as an isolated market with five firms would. Indirectcompetition may be beneficialin one market,but its overall impact is not obvious because two markets are involved. The straddler transmits competition from each market into the other. Just as severe competition spills over into one market, so must a lack of competition flow to the other market, thereby placing a drag on performance there. An overall assessment of indirect competition must include both of these effects so a suitable reference case is needed. For this purpose, a similar model with two completely separate duopolies and no straddling firmsis used for the benchmark. Compared to this reference case, the linked markets with indirect competition generate greater aggregate consumer surplus whenever direct competition in the two markets is different. Therefore, indirect competition increases what might be called "averagecompetition" as it leads to increased consumer surplus. These results can be related to the price discrimination literature by noting that the separate duopoly referencecase is virtually identical to our model if the straddlercan price discriminate. Comparing our model to the referencecase is almost the same as examining the impact of a prohibition on price discrimination by the straddler, as De Graba [1987] does in a similar model.' For this reason, our results about the effects of indirect competition are similar to the results of Schmalensee [1981] and Neven and Phlips [1985] concerning when price discrimination lowers welfare. The findings about indirect competition provide useful insight for studies attempting to define markets or to analyze the structure-performance relation. Some of the methods employed require that firms be classified as completely in or completely outside a market.For example, Elzinga and Hogarty [1973] focus on actual shipments of goods. If there is relatively little shipment of a product into or out of a region, the area is considered to be a market. Firms shipping small quantities into the area are completely excluded even though they probably have some influence on competition. Research refiningor extending analysis of the structure-performancerelation (Salinger[1984], Domowitz, Hubbard,and 1 De Graba's [1987] model has a structure similar to ours, but he uses linear markets instead of circles.He focuses on the effectof pricediscrimination on the level of pricesand the location decisions of firms. Our paper takes location as given and examines the effect of indirect competition on consumer surplus. Taking location as given, one could derive our results in either model, though the circle model is analytically simpler. If one wanted to let location vary, he would need to use linear markets. INDIRECT COMPETITION WITH SPATIAL PRODUCT DIFFERENTIATION 243 Petersen [1986a, 1986b], and Harris [1986]) still relies on concentration ratios definedfor particularmarkets. Since concentration ratios depend only on sales of firms in the market, they cannot capture the discipline imposed by firms outside the market. Leitzingerand Tamor [1983] take a step toward correcting this weakness by using world productive capacity to adjust US concentration ratios. Their approach appears to be an improvement, but merely including all firmswhich might be in a market also presents problems.Treating all such firms as full-fledged competitors is as inappropriate as excluding them entirely. Dichotomous methods of market definition cannot deal well with the fuzzy market boundaries arising from indirect competition. Recently some researchers have relied on pricing patterns to determine market boundaries.2 Since these price-based tests measure the influence on pricingthat a particularfirmor region has, they can handle the fuzzy-boundary problem. Some of the results clearly illustrate that boundaries are not neatly defined. When Spiller and Huang [1986] calculate probabilities that two cities are in the same market, they find only gradual changes in the probabilities instead of dramatic drops at a boundary. Similarly, Horowitz [1981] relies on confidence levels to define markets and shows that small changes in confidence levels may significantly alter the defined market. In addition to illustrating the hazy nature of market boundaries, this literatureyields some results consistent with our theoretical model. Since prices of indirect competitors often move in the same direction, markets defined by the similarity of price movements can easily include indirect competitors.3 Indirect competition is probably quite strong between relatively distant cities in the northeast region of the United States. As a result, Spiller and Huang were unlikely to find sufficient pricing differences to establish unequivocally that two cities there are in different markets. In other cases, pricing tests may imply that indirect competitors are loosely linked because the ties are weaker.This possibility could explain Slade's [1986] finding that two moderately distant regions are loosely connected markets. One final piece of supportive evidence is Uri and Rifkin's [1985] finding that seemingly separate regions are in the same market. If the links between indirect competitors are very strong, one could easily find that their prices are quite closely linked despite wide geographic dispersion. Thus, these price-based tests appear capable of identifying and measuring the varying degrees of pricing discipline associated with indirect competition. Economists, 2 Horowitz [1981] and Stigler and Sherwin [1985] focus directly on similar price changes when defining markets. Uri and Rifkin [1985] and Slade [1986], on the other hand, base their market definitions on causality. They determine whether past observations of one price help explain the current value of another price. 3While Uri and Rifkin [1985] and Slade [1986] do not explicitly check for similar price movements, their method may include firmsin the same market on the basis of price movements. If pricesadjustslowly, similarpricemovements could generatesufficientexplanatory power to include both products in one market. Thus, at least partly, similar price movements are a source of market definition here, also. 244 THOMASE. COOPER however,may still want to devise ways to incorporate this varyingdisciplineinto their analysis. Policy-makers must also consider this effect when examining potential antitrustviolations. For example, we show that size of a firmin-a market may be a reflection of the competition it faces in another market. In particular, the straddler's size is directly related to its competitive impact on a market. Attempts to identify firms that are large but positive forces in the market could look for indirect competition as supporting evidence. In addition, we find that the effects of mergers depend on who the firms are. If the straddling firm is involved, a mergeris likely to lessen the benefits of indirect competition. On the other hand, mergers between indirect competitors (and no straddling firms) seem to enhance performance in the absence of price discrimination. The paper is organized as follows: Section II presents the spatial model and shows that all equilibrium prices depend on parameters in both markets. Section III contains the results showing the impact of indirect competition. Using an isolated market for comparison, we determine how the benefits of indirect competition vary with the size or competitiveness of the two markets. Then there is policy-oriented analysis, looking at the meaning of market share and the effects of mergers in the presence of indirect competition. Finally, the concluding discussion summarizesthe results and raisesissues for furtherstudy. II. THE MODEL To examine indirect competition and its effects, we employ a spatial model of product differentiation adapted from Salop [1979]. Two circles represent the two markets (A and B) in which firms may sell differentiated products. Both circles have circumferenceof one, and the circles are tangent. The firm which straddles the markets is located at the point of tangency, and each market contains one other firmlocated opposite the straddler.The locations of all firms are fixed throughout this paper.4Figure 1 provides a graphic representation of this situation. Firms A and B are located in markets A and B respectively,while Firm S is at the intersection of the markets, where it can easily sell in both markets. Demand arisesfrom the utility-maximizingchoices of many consumers. Each consumer has a preferredproduct representedby a point on one of the circles. Assigning consumers to the circles by the position of their most preferred product generates a density of consumers on the circles. We assume that the resulting density is a constant dA in Market A and a constant dB in Market B, where dA and dB may differ.If a consumer purchases a product from a seller at a differentlocation, he must pay the transportation cost to move the product to his spot on the circlein addition to the purchaseprice.This transportation cost may represent an actual delivery cost in a geographic model or a utility loss in a 4As noted infootnote 1,De Graba's [1987] model is very similarto this, but he uses linearmarkets instead of circles. INDIRECT COMPETITION WITH SPATIAL PRODUCT DIFFERENTIATION Firm A 4 t lp Market A Market B 245 Firm E Figure 1 Graphic Representation of Model product characteristic model. We assume linear transportation costs so a consumer must pay t'x for delivery of a product located x units of distance from him in Market i (= A, B). Consumers on one circle who buy a product from the other circle pay the delivery cost at the rate tA for transportation in Market A and tBfor transportation in Market B.5 Each consumer has an inelastic demand for one unit of the product available at the lowest deliveredcost p + tx, wherep is the seller'sprice and tx is the transportation cost, provided the deliveredprice is less than a reservation price R. The reservation price is great enough that each consumer buys one of the three products. This assumption eliminates the possibility that one firm is insulated from direct competition with the others. Since competition with another firm is necessary for indirect competition, this assumption simply focuses our attention on the case of interest here.6 Each firm has a territory of consumers to whom it makes sales. Since consumers seek the lowest delivered price, the boundaries of these territories depend on the prices.Let psbe the straddlingfirm'sprice and pibe the price of the other firm in Market i (= A, B). Then in this model the resulting demand functions are DSL= _(dA +dB)+pd 2 _ps(d +-) ~~tA + pB tB for Firm S and 5An alternative approach is to prohibit purchases from travelling across circles. The approaches give similar results, but this model is somewhat more tractable. Although the possibility of crossmarket sales exists, we shall usually suppress it in the exposition ofthe model and basic results. When necessary, we shall check that such sales do not occur. 6 There is another issue of whether demand should be elastic. One could model elastic demand without insulation of a firm from the others, but such a model is more complicated than this one. We adopt the assumption of inelastic demand to simplify the analysis, though it makes welfare analysis more difficult. 246 THOMAS E. COOPER D' = ldi + (ps - pi) - for Firm i (= A, B). ti We assume that all firms have a constant average cost of production, c. Combining this with the demand functions gives the profit functions [IS = pS - c) L(d +d )+Pt p(A [IL = (pi c) +B)] di+(pSpi)t] + tB for Firm S and for Firm i (= A, B). The firms have Nash conjectures about the prices of other firms. Each firm selects a price to maximize its own profit, taking the other prices as given. Because of the structureof this model, Firm S must select a best response to the prices of both other firms,while firms operating in a single market incorporate only the price of Firm S into their pricing decisions. In the pure-strategy equilibrium,7the Nash equilibrium prices are (dA + dB) tAt (dA +B d tA d At +dBt for Firm S and for Firm i (= A, B). These prices indicate that the model with tangent circle markets need not generate unusual behavior. If the markets have identical transportation costs, the resultant prices are the standard prices for a duopoly on a single circle, p = C+ ~2t.Prices differfrom those values when the degree of substitutability or competition in the two markets,as measuredby the transportationcosts, differs. In the case with tA : tB, all three prices are different.As one would expect, for ti > t1the ordering is pi > ps > pJ. The firm selling only in the market in which goods are relatively poor substitutes has the highest price, the straddler has an intermediate price, and the firm selling only in the market in which goods are relativelyclose substitutes has the lowest price.Although piis the highest price,it is lower than it would be in an isolated duopoly because of the indirect competition from firm j. 7There is a possibility that either Firm A or Firm B would set a price low enough to drive Firm S out of the market by stealing all its customers. This possibility arises only in the more competitive market, the one with a lower transportation cost, t'. Provided the density in the more competitive market is great enough relative to the density in the other market, such a plan is not profitable. If market i is more competitive, then for any ratio of relative transportation costs h( = tI/ti), there is a number k such that mill-price undercutting is no threat for d'I/di> k. Moreover, for all h > 0, equilibrium exists if d' > 2di. Since there is a broad range of parameter values for which a purestrategy equilibrium exists, we assume it exists in order to simplify our analysis. INDIRECT COMPETITION WITH SPATIAL PRODUCT DIFFERENTIATION 247 In equilibrium, the prices of all firms depend on parametersin both markets even though two firms try to sell only to customers in their separate markets. Firm A must consider the sizes (dA and dB)and transportation costs (tA and tB) for both markets when setting its price.The dependence of pA on featuresin Market B arises indirectly. Firm A's reaction function, pA = 4tA + 2C + 2 pS, shows that Firm A is directly concerned only with characteristicsof its market and the price set by Firm S. But the straddler (Firm S) sells in both markets, so its price depends on circumstances in both markets. In fact, if we let p[S denote the straddler's single market best response to p', then we can re-write pS as PS = caps + (1- oa)ps, where oc= (dAtB/(dAtB +dBtA)). That is, ps is a weighted average of best responses to the prices with the weights depending on size and transportation cost in each market. Because the straddling firm adjusts its price to conditions in both markets, Firm A's response to ps indirectly involves a reaction to circumstances in Market B. Consequently, the equilibrium value of pA depends on conditions in Market B although those factors are not included in Firm A's reaction function. Firm A must consider factors in Market B when setting its price because its direct rival (Firm S) bases decisions on both markets. The straddlingfirm serves as a medium to transmit effectsfrom one market into another. Indirect competition is the influence of these factors which affect the equilibrium value of price despite being absent from the reaction function. In our model, a straddling firm which cannot price discriminate serves as the medium to transmit indirect competition. One could model this effect differently.Another approach is to permit firms in narrow markets to compete indirectly by offering their products to the same consumers. A simple model of this type is the standard Cournot model. In the equilibrium of that model, the Lerner Index for firm i is (p - MC)/p = s,/g, where MC[ is the firm's marginal cost, si is its market share, and e is the market elasticity of demand. This model permits a distinction between direct and indirect competition. Increasing direct competition by adding firmsto the market would lead to a lower value of si while increasing indirect competition by having outside firms lower their prices to these customers would alter the value of s. For example, if consumers purchase two goods and have a CES utility function,s = a - t where a is the elasticity of substitution between the goods and l is the cross-price elasticity of demand. As increased competition in the outside market drives prices there down, it may alter il in a way to increaseefor the product being studied.This alternativemodel of indirect competition would be useful in situations in which there is no straddlingfirm.If thereis a straddler,however, such a symmetricview of indirect competition misses an important point. The impact of the indirect competitors is much greater on straddling firms than on firmscompletely inside the market. In our model, an attempt to raise all prices in a market by equal percentages would cost the straddler more dearly than it would cost the other firm. Consequently, even in markets with a low elasticity, firms may be incapable of raising prices because the straddler, who must bear the burden of the plan, is unwilling to go along with an increase. Some price increases that are profitable 248 THOMAS E. COOPER for the group will not occur because the impact of indirect competition is not equally felt. III. IMPACT OF INDIRECT COMPETITION A usefulway to measurecompetitiveness is to rely on the usual relation between the number of firmsand the degree of competition. In our model, as the number of firms increases (ignoring how fixed costs affect desired entry), the market performanceapproaches the competitive level. Prices fall closer to the constant marginal cost of production and, hence, consumer surplus rises. Since indirect competition can generate these same improvements in performance without changing the number of firms,we measure its effectsin terms of how many firms would be necessary to yield the same performance. Specifically, we base our evaluation of indirect competition on what we call the competitive-equivalent number of firms.For any market situation, the competitive-equivalent number of firms is the number that would yield the same level of consumer surplus in a symmetric equilibrium in an isolated market. In the benchmark case of an isolated symmetric equilibrium, the consumer surplus from n firms is CS(n) = d(R-c-4 ) where R is the reservation price, d is the density of consumers and t is the transportation cost, all in the market being studied. Then if a market has consumer surplusequal to CS*, the competitive-equivalent number of firmsis8 n 5dt 4[d(R-c)-CS*] This measure provides a neat measure of how competitive a market is. Higher values of n indicate the marketgeneratesconsumer surpluswhich is closer to the competitive level. The competitive-equivalent number of firms is a better measure than consumer surplus for our purposes.9 First, it is more useful for comparative static exercises. Since n varies directly with CS*, one may think the measures are equivalent. If one permits parameters to vary, however, n becomes a superior measure of competitiveness. CS* would change with the parameters, but one must compare the new value with maximum attainable consumer surplus to 8 It is quite likely that n will not be an integer. Let us simply treat n as a continuous variable to simplify the analysis. 9 Our model makes consumer surplus a better measure than total surplus. The assumption of inelastic demand throughout the relevant price range reduces the total welfare issue to one of minimizing transportation costs. The model precludesany deadweight loss frommonopoly pricing. Since total surplus would not depend on the level of prices, this welfaremeasure would not permit ready generalization of the results. Consequently, we focus on consumer surplus as a welfare measure reflectingcompetitiveness in a market, which is at least suggestive of total welfare. INDIRECT COMPETITION WITH SPATIAL PRODUCT DIFFERENTIATION 249 TABLEI COMPARATIVE STATICRESULTS An n2 (dA+dB)tBdB At 20 (dAtB +dBtA)2 [ An n2 (dA+dB)dBtA At An 20 (dAtB + dBtA)2 n2 dBtB(tA 7tB) t2L 20(dAtB+dBt) An ad` n2 7 (dA+dB)tB dAtB +B d 1t<+d0t (dA+d)t B1 +d J dAt 1 dAtB(tB-tA) 20(d AtB 1 (dA+dB)tB >0 B+ d >t0+dBt d7- +dBtA)2 [7(dA+d)t L dAtB +d BtAJ <0 (t s s(tA _ tA) tB) Note: "-" means "has the same sign as". evaluate the change in performance. Since n automatically adjusts for parameter shifts, it is a simpler measure to use. Second, n is a convenient measure for the policy analysis of indirect competition. One can look at n to determine how significant this influence is. If n is larger than the actual number of firms, then indirect competition has increased the effective number of competitors. One would expect behavior to be more closely linked to the competitive-equivalent number of firms than to the actual number of firms. Finally, we can use n to determine the limits of indirect competition. By taking limiting cases of parameter changes, we can see how widely the effective number of firms may vary in duopoly. For convenience, consider the comparative static results when Firm B provides indirect competition for Market A. Then the competitive-equivalent number offirms is that number n which yields the same level of consumer surplus in an isolated market like Market A as the level of consumer surplus actually observed in Market A ~~~~~~~~~~~~ C L 32l d-6 +B)tAtB (A +Bd)2tB2tA1 dAtB +dBtA + 32 (dAtB+d BtA)2 Equating CSA and CS(n) implicitly defines n as a function of the parameters of the model. Implicitly differentiating this expression yields the results presented in Table I. Provided each firm has positive sales, the signs are as shown in the table. ' The first two derivatives, an/@tA and an/DtB, confirm our intuition about indirect competition. Since the straddler faces "outside" competition in Market B, behavior in Market A depends an circumstances in Market B. As one would expect, linking Market A to a relatively more competitive outside market results 10 The bracketed term [7- ((dA + d B) tB)/(d AtB + dBtA)] is critical for determining the signs of these expressions. It is easy to show that the assumption that all sell implies the expression is positive. If Firm S is located at point 0 on A's circle, the point at which delivered prices of Firm S and Firm A are + dBtA). For this to be an interior value allowing Firm S to sell any equals is 8-8((dA +dB)tB)/(dAtB units, the bracketed expression must be positive. 250 THOMASE. COOPER in more indirectcompetition and, hence, more competitive pricingin Market A. This notion is confirmed by the results, an/atA > 0 and On/OtB < 0. Since the explanations are similar,let us discuss an/atA As tA rises,the products in Market A become poorer substitutes. The natural response to this reduced substitutability is to raise prices in that market.The straddler,however, cannot freelyraise price because competitive conditions in Market B have not changed. Knowing that Firm B will have no immediate desire to raise pB, the straddling firmmust restrainitself,limiting the increasein pS. This restraintalso reducesthe increase in pA because Firm A reacts to the limited increase in pS. If the market were completely isolated and distinct from others, the price increases would be greater. Indirect competition from Market B holds down the price increase, thereby raising the competitive-equivalent number of firms. Thus, Firm B effectivelydisciplines all firmsin Market A although it directly competes only with Firm S and it has no desire to sell in Market A. An additional reason for this result arises from the fact that, as tA rises, Market B becomes relatively more competitive. Products in Market A become poorer substitutes so the straddler places greater weight on pB when choosing its price. This adjustment is natural since the penalty for deviating from the single-market best-response price is greater in the market with closer substitutes. The effect of the shift in weight becomes clear when one examines an/atA + an/t5B, which has the sign of tB_ tA. If tB > tA, increasing transportation costs equally raises the relative transportation cost in Market A, tA/tB. Firm S responds by shifting weight in its pricing decision to the relatively more competitive market and, thus, slows the priceincreasesin Market A. Therefore,n risesas both tA and tB do. Obviously the logic extends to the case of tA > tB, the situation in which the adjustmentby the straddlerhastens the price increases.In that instance, indirect competition declines because Firm S becomes less concerned with Firm B; therefore,the degree of competitiveness in Market A diminishes. The effect of market size on indirect competition is also quite reasonable. A relativelysmall outside market provides little discipline on a market.Again, the resultdepends upon the importance the straddlerassigns to the two markets.As the density of consumers in a market rises, having the "correct"price for that market matters more to the straddling firm. Therefore, one would expect to move closer to the single-market best-response price for the market with growing density. Suppose Market B is relatively more competitive (tB < tA). Then shiftingemphasis to Market A as dA rises results in higher values of p5and pA and, hence, a smaller competitive-equivalent number of firms. Raising dA relative to dBmakes indirect competition less important. If d5 rises instead, then the stronger indirect competition improves performance in Market A. By similarlogic, one can see that if Market B is relatively less competitive (tB > tA), changes that make Market B smallerin comparison to Market A yield improved performance.In this case the outside market hinders competition by pulling up ps. Since indirect competition of this type harms performance, factors that weaken this force improve performance. . pS INDIRECT COMPETITION WITH SPATIAL PRODUCT DIFFERENTIATION 251 Having seen that indirect competition affects behavior, one may wonder whether this influence is significant.To evaluate the potential import of indirect competition, let us determine limits for the competitive-equivalent number of firms. Substituting the value of CSA for CS* in the expression defining n gives 14 (dA+d B)tB F=40 7 L=0[7+14dA tB +dBtA (dA+dB)tB \(dAtB+dBt) JA 221-1 j From the comparative static results, we know that indirect competition becomes more intense as tB falls. Letting tB go to zero," we find lim n= 55 tB o That is, as the "outside"market nears perfectcompetition, Market A generates more consumer surplusthan it would with fivefirmssymmetricallylocated. This duopoly could behave quite competitively because of indirect competition. A firm in another market provides pricing discipline in the market. On the other hand, Market B could also drag down performancein Market A. Asymptotically, we find lim n = 1503 tB _o assuming d = 2dB.12 The assumption of an interior solution and the possibility of selling across circles keep n from falling farther,for Firm S must select a price that is low enough to retain some sales in Market A. 3 Despite these restrictions in this model, the result demonstrates that weak indirect competition can drag down performance in a market. Together these limits reveal that indirect competition can have significant effects. Depending on its strength, indirect competition can force a duopoly to performbetter than a market with five firms or nearly as poorly as a monopoly. As a consequence, the actual number of firms may be a very weak indicator of performance if indirect competition varies substantially across markets. The effect does seem to weaken as the number of firmsin each market rises.If we add to each market another firmwhich sells only in that market, then the qualitative effects of indirect competition remain. l As we drive tB to zero, there is a possibility that our proposed interior solution ceases to be an equilibrium. In the more competitive market, the firm that sells only in that market may wish to underpricethe straddlerin order to gain access to the less competitive market. Clearly our limiting results are valid only if undercutting the straddleris not profitable. As discussed in footnote 6, there are relative densities which ensure this potential problem does not arise. In particular,for all tB > 0, the interior solution is an equilibriumfor dB > 2dA.This condition ensures that Firm S is sufficiently aggressive in Market B to make mill-price undercutting unprofitable for Firm B. 12 The assumption on densities ensures that there is an interior solution. Clearly, as dArises, the value of n also rises. 13 Without these restrictions, the limit would have to be very near to one. As competition in Market B diminishes, Firm S would willingly price itself out of Market A in order to reap great returns in Market B, leaving a virtual monopoly in Market A. 252 THOMAS E. COOPER 755L n for Market A 2 1103 I Figure 2 Effect of Indirect Competition on Competitive-Equivalent Market A tA/tB Number of Firms in However, the upperbound on n rises only to 6A, so the maximum increasein the effective number of firms declines quickly. Figure 2 summarizesthe impact of indirectcompetition on n,the competitiveequivalent numberof firmsin Market A. The ratio of transportationcosts (tA/tB) serves as a measure of indirect competition. Since 1/t1measures substitutability of products in Market i, tA/tB measures substitutability in Market B relative to Market A. Direct competition is stronger in the market with lower transportation costs so higher values of tA/tB represent relatively more intense direct competition in Market B. This relatively strong competition spills over and improves performancein Market A. Using the results in Table I, one can show that higher values of n result from any changes in tA and tB that increase tA/tB, as indicated by the upward-sloping curve in Figure 2. To interpret the graph,one must note that an isolated duopoly, one with no indirectcompetition, has a competitive-equivalent number of firms equal to two. If n > 2, then indirect competition has improved performance in Market A. Conversely, if n < 2, then the net effect of influence from Market B is poorer performancein Market A. From the graph one can see that indirect competition improves performanceif the linked, outside market is internally more competitive (has a lower transportation cost) and it lowers performanceif the outside market is less competitive. One can easily determinewhetherindirectcompetition is a positive or negative force in the market by comparing price-cost margins. Indirect competition improves performance in Market A if the price-cost margin for Firm B is lower than that of Firm A, and it worsens performanceif Firm A has the INDIRECT COMPETITION WITH SPATIAL PRODUCT 253 DIFFERENTIATION lower margin. Because the situation is symmetric, indirect competition deteriorates performance in one market whenever it improves performance in the other. Since indirect competition can increase or decrease the level of consumer surplus, its net effect is not obvious. The ambiguity arises from the fact that indirect competition flows both ways between markets. If a relatively competitive situation in Market B improves performancein Market A, then the less competitive situation in Market A must be dragging down consumer surplus in Market B. To determine which effect dominates, let us compare consumer surplus in the two linked markets with its value in two separate duopolies with similar market characteristics. Based on the earlier expression for consumer surplus in Market A, we have total consumer surplus of A CSA + CSB= CSA+CSB (d +d B )[R-C-32 13(dA+dB)tAtl dAtB+dBtA J 32(dt+dt). d 7_d___ t) In a spatial duopoly on a circle, consumer surplus is CS = d(R - c - 8t). Therefore, total consumer surplus if our two markets were separate duopolies with no straddling firm would be CSA+ Whenever CSB the CSA + CSB > CS = (dA+d B)(R-C)_5(dAtA transportation A + CS B. costs That is, indirect +dBtB) differ in competition the two markets, lowers price averaged over both markets, resulting in greater total consumer surplus. This result is quite reasonable if one recalls how the straddling firm chooses its price. The straddler sets ps equal to a weighted average of the single-market best-responses to its rivals' prices, with the weights reflecting competitiveness in the markets. Since the weight is greater and the rival's price lower where competition is stronger, the lower rival price dominates the straddler's pricing decision. This domination leads to lower average prices and higher total consumer surplus than in completely separate markets. The results can also be explained in terms of price discrimination since we compare the case in which the straddler cannot price discriminate with the case in which he can. Our result resembles Schmalensee's [1981] result that price discrimination by a monopolist lowers welfare if output does not increase.'4 The intuition that price discrimination pushes apart marginal valuations of consumers applies to this model, though it appears as a shift in the boundaries of 14Schmalensee's results do not apply perfectly here for two reasons. First, he considers a monopolist while our straddler faces rivals in two markets. The presence of competition affects the firm's pricing strategy, but the firm still changes prices in the same directions as a monopolist would if it faced similar markets with corresponding elasticities of demand. Consequently, the intuition based on directions of price changes seems appropriate, for the responses rivals make serve to dampen, not eliminate, the allocative effects. Second, we use consumer surplus as a welfare measure because total surplus depends on relative rather than absolute prices. Since profit increases under discrimination in his model, his result that welfare falls necessarily implies consumer surplus falls. 254 THOMASE. COOPER firms' territories.15Linking the markets produces less divergence in marginal valuations relativeto the valuation of alternativesavailable, therebyresultingin greater total surplus. Since Firm S earns less than it would by discriminating, consumer surplus must also rise from tying the markets together, provided profits of the other firms do not rise substantially. Alternatively, one could compare our finding to the results of Neven and Phlips [1985]. They find that allowing duopolists to price discriminate in two markets generates less total surplus than prohibiting price discrimination. Our case in which markets are completely separate corresponds to their price discrimination case, but our model with indirect competition is the same as allowing only one of the duopolists to discriminate.Since this case falls between theirs,one would expect it also to be better than complete price discrimination (in terms of surplus). The notion of indirect competition also has important implications for antitrustpolicy. We have already found that the number of firmsis a poor proxy for competition because indirect competition can vary the competitiveequivalent number of firms significantly. Another implication is that the antitrust assessment of a situation depends on whether a firm is a straddler or not. Consider the case of a large market share as an indicator of monopoly power. In a market the point at which delivered prices are equal is the point of market division. The share of Firm S in Market A is M 1 (d A+ dB) tB 16 = 4 dAtB+ dBtA This measuremoves in the same direction as n in response to changes in tA, tB, dA, or dB. For example, as tA rises (or tB falls),indirect competition from Market B becomes more intense. By inducing Firm S to lower its prices, the more competitive situation in Market B raises the competitive-equivalent number of firms in Market A. Not surprisingly, the lower price by Firm S also raises its share in Market A, so the straddler's market share moves with n. Similarly, changes in dA or dB that raise the competitive-equivalent number of firms achieve this effectby making Firm S more aggressive,which increasesits market share. A large share for a straddler indicates that firm is quite competitive and performanceis good, but the influencemust be reversedfor a firmwhich is not a straddler.Firm A's market share is inversely related to performancemeasured by n because it varies inversely with Firm S's share.To inferperformancefrom a firm'smarket share, one must consider whether that firm is a straddler or not. Recognizing that a firm straddles two markets is also important for merger 5 As Schmalensee notes, this intuition is properly attributed to Joan Robinson [1938]. 16 This market share assumes a geographical interpretation of the model since it includes only sales in Market A. If the differentiationexists only in product characteristic space, one could not actually distinguish sales in one market from those in the other. Then the market share of Firm S would be its totalsales as a ratio of the sales of FirmA and Firm S. This approach yields similarresults except for the effectof changes in dAand dBon market share of Firm S. The differenceoccurs because the share includes sales in both markets while the exogenous change affects only one market. INDIRECT COMPETITION WITH SPATIAL PRODUCT DIFFERENTIATION 255 policy. The effectsof a mergerdepend on whether one of the firmsis a straddler. Suppose an apparent conglomerate merger actually involves two indirect competitors. After Firm A and Firm B merge, assume they cannot price discriminate (so they will change prices). The new situation is completely symmetric with each firm setting its price at ,(dA + dB) tAtB + 2 dAtB +dBtA PC the pre-merger value of Since each firm sells to the nearest half of the pS. consumers, consumer surplus in market i is CS' = di(R - p - (t'/8)). Consumer surplus rises in the less competitive market and falls in the other market, for the new price is between the pre-mergervalues pA and pB. Overall, the mergerraises consumer surplus, as CSA + CSB > CSA + CSB. Since consumers benefit, society must benefit from a merger of indirect competitors. The straddler's profits do not change, and the other firms must benefit in order to merge. Their gain must come from economies not included in our model because they sacrifice pricing flexibility.'7 Unless they enjoy economies in production or promotion, indirect competitors have no incentive to merge. Thus, a merger involving indirect competitors is socially desirable. Now consider merging Firm S and Firm B, another merger which appears harmless for Market A. Obviously consumer surplus falls in Market B, but one may wonder what the effect is on Market A. The post-merger prices in this market are pA = tA C +_+ 3 A dBtA adt nd C +_+2 p dBtA The resulting consumer surplus is = R-C-tA A~ARc~tAI _1 dBtA dB2tA dA +8dA2 Consumer surplus in Market A falls with the merger (CSAC>CSA) provided Market B is not almost five times as large (dA > ]7dB).18 Not only do these consumers lose, but those in Market B also face higher prices if tA exceeds tB. Consequently, a merger of a straddler and an indirect competitor may hurt consumers in one or both markets. This result differs from the case in which indirect competitors merge, for then overall consumer surplus rises. Whether a 17 If we allow economies not specifiedin the model, then this mergeris also socially desirableif the firmscould price discriminate.They would keep prices unchanged so there must be cost reductions that provide the impetus for integration. 18 CSA > CSA iff(dAtB)2 (dA +dBtA2( For all dA > j7dB, 3dA2 +dAdB_ 7dB) dB2) this inequality holds. +dAtAtB( 0 dAdB +dA2_ 2dB2) 256 THOMAS E. COOPER merging firmis a straddleris an important factor for determiningthe effects of a merger. Of course, these antitrust results apply only if competition (direct and indirect)actually has the essential featuresof our model. The one criticalfeature seems to be that increased competition from Market B induces the straddlerto behave more competitively toward Firm A. IV. CONCLUDING DISCUSSION Whenever one defines a market, the boundaries of the market are somewhat fuzzy. If any of the products included faces competition from an excluded product, then all the products in the market face indirect competition from the outside firm. We have shown that indirect competition may impose significant discipline on the pricing policies of firmsin a market. This additional constraint on pricing freedom may improve performance as much as would injecting several more firms. On the other hand, if there is very little competition from outside firms, then market performance will be worse than one would expect. Incorporating this influence could improve antitrust policy. When trying to determine if a market is workably competitive, policy-makers can look for evidence of strong indirect competition. If, for example, outside competition causes a straddling firm to have a large market share, then the market is performing better than the number of firms would indicate. In addition, appropriate merger policy often depends on whether a straddler is involved because the merger may lessen indirect competition. These results hold if competition is well represented by our model. For cases in which our model is inappropriate,other models like the one discussed at the end of Section 2 may be able to give equally valuable (though possibly different) results. Indirect competition may be less important for antitrust analysis in other models, but our results indicate it may be worthwhile to investigate the topic further. Some important issues remain to be solved before indirect competition becomes very useful for policy. First, to apply this theory to specific cases, one needs a method for identifying sources of significant indirect competition. One must be able to recognize an outside market which provides indirect competition and assess the strength of the resulting indirect competition. Already we know that it is stronger if the outside market is larger or more competitive, but one needs a simple, operational rule for deciding whether this effect is important. Second, one needs a quantitative measure of indirect competition. Such a measure would permit economists to include indirect competition in empirical studies of markets and help them to determine how much pricing discipline it provides. 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