Voluntary Disclosures That Disavow Mandatory Disclosures: The Case of Stock Options Walter G. Blacconiere Kelley School of Business Indiana University James R. Frederickson Hong Kong University of Science and Technology Marilyn F. Johnson Eli Broad College of Business Michigan State University Melissa F. Lewis Kelley School of Business Indiana University Draft 0.999: April 14, 2004 Preliminary. Comments welcome. Please do not quote without permission. The authors thank David Aboody, Frank Acito, Dave Farber, Tom Linsmeier, Luann Lynch, Srini Rangan, Steve Rock, Jerry Salamon, Paul Simko, and participants at accounting workshops at UCLA, University of Connecticut, University of Colorado, Michigan State University, and University of Virginia for comments. We also thank Hyung Soon (Ross) Park and Christine Reinoehl for research assistance. Walt Blacconiere gratefully acknowledges the financial support of Ernst & Young, L.L.P. and the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. Voluntary Disclosures That Disavow Mandatory Disclosures: The Case of Stock Options Abstract Accounting for employee stock options has been a controversial issue. Current U.S. regulations require firms to either recognize employee stock options as an expense on the income statement or disclose pro forma income figures in the footnotes adjusted for this expense. Among firms that use footnote disclosure, some firms include language that disavows the calculation of stock option compensation. This study investigates the decision to disavow stock option compensation expense disclosed in the footnotes. We consider two non-mutually exclusive hypotheses. First, we predict that some firms disavow due to concerns about the reliability of the stock option compensation amount. Second, we predict that some disavowals are motivated by executive compensation costs. Based on a sample of over 1,300 firms during 2001, we find that over 18% disavow pro forma income adjusted for stock option compensation. Our evidence provides only weak support for the prediction that disavowals are related to reliability concerns. However, there is stronger support for our predictions regarding compensation concerns. We find that sample firms are more likely to assert that pro forma income is unreliable in cases where the CEO’s stock option compensation is high relative to total to the CEO’s total compensation and in cases where the CEO’s total compensation is “excessive”. These latter results suggest that executive compensation costs influence disavowal decisions. Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options 1. Introduction The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued SFAS 123, “Accounting for Stock Options,” in 1995. This accounting standard requires that firms calculate the expense for stock options granted to employees based on the fair value of the options on the grant date. However, SFAS 123 gives firms a choice between income statement recognition versus footnote disclosure. Specifically, a firm either can recognize stock option compensation expense as a determinant of reported net income in the income statement (i.e., income statement recognition) or the firm can forego income statement recognition and instead disclose pro forma income figures in the footnotes that assume stock option compensation was expensed (i.e., footnote disclosure). Although the exposure draft of SFAS 123 required income statement recognition and the FASB encourages income statement recognition, the vast majority of U.S. firms historically elected footnote disclosure.1 Among firms that use footnote disclosure, some firms include language that disavows the calculation of the stock option compensation expense amount. For example, Intel includes the following disavowal statement in the stock option footnote from their fiscal 2001 annual report: The Black-Scholes option valuation model was developed for use in estimating the fair value of traded options that have no vesting restrictions and are fully transferable. In addition, option valuation models require the input of highly subjective assumptions, including the expected stock price volatility. Because the company's employee stock options have characteristics significantly different from those of traded options, and because changes in the subjective input assumptions can materially affect the fair value estimate, in the opinion of management, the existing models do not necessarily provide a reliable single measure of the fair value of employee stock options. 1 According to The Wall Street Journal Online (April 22, 2003), only five publicly-held firms (Boeing Co., Hawaiian Electric Industries, Winn-Dixie Stores Inc., Level 3 Communications Inc., and MacDermid Inc) treated stock option compensation as an expense in prior periods. However, many additional firms started reporting stock option compensation expense in net income more recently. For example, Weil and Cummin [2004] state that “nearly 500 U.S.-listed companies have begun expensing stock option pay or intend to start” (p. C1). See Aboody, Barth, and Kasznik (2004) for an examination of the factors associated with firms’ decisions to voluntarily recognize stock-based compensation expense under SFAS 123. 1 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options The research question addressed in the paper is: why do firms disavow the mandated accounting disclosure concerning stock option compensation expense? More specifically, this study investigates the decision to disavow stock option compensation expense disclosed in the footnotes. We posit that this decision is made because the firm (or the firm’s manager) perceives that the benefits of disavowing outweigh the costs.2 We investigate two hypotheses regarding the decision to disavow. First, we predict that some disavowals are motivated by concerns about the reliability of the stock option compensation amount. In effect, these firms are conveying concerns regarding the validity of the option pricing model and/or assumptions used to compute the compensation amount. Second, we expect that some disavowals are motivated by compensation-related incentives. If executive compensation appears to be excessive and/or the CEO receives a substantial portion of total compensation from stock option grants, we expect that the firm is more likely to disavow stock option compensation reported in the footnotes. Three characteristics of this particular setting motivate our investigation. First, the effect of stock option compensation expense on earnings appears to be significant. Botosan and Plumlee [2001] find that pro forma fully diluted earnings per share adjusted for stock option compensation is at least 22% lower than the amount based on reported net income for a sample 100 of “America’s fastest-growing” firms (as identified by Fortune magazine).3 More recently, 2 For example, benefits could include the perception that the firm is enhancing the quality of the financial statement disclosures by providing additional useful information to stakeholders (e.g., alerting shareholders about legitimate reliability concerns in estimating stock option compensation expense). However, firms might be hesitant to include statements that explicitly contradict information in their audited financial statements that is required under GAAP. Such disavowals could be interpreted as the firm having lower quality financial reporting. 3 As an extreme example, Yahoo! Inc. reported net income of over $70 million for fiscal 2000 while disclosing stock option compensation adjusted pro forma loss in the footnotes of over $1.2 billion. 2 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options Taub [2004] notes that earnings per share for the S&P 500 would be reduced by an estimated 7.4% if stock option compensation expense is included in reported net income. Second, stock option accounting has been and continues to be an important and controversial issue. The FASB proposed income statement recognition for stock option compensation in 1993, but relaxed its position and ultimately allowed either income statement recognition or footnote disclosure in the face of significant lobbying and the threat of Congressional action.4 On March 31, 2004, the FASB issued an Exposure Draft (titled “ShareBased Payment”) that calls for income statement recognition of estimated stock option compensation expense. Again, the FASB’s current proposals have generated significant controversy.5 Third, the voluntary disavowal of a mandated accounting disclosure included in audited financial statements is relatively rare in practice. Although almost all firms provide general caveats regarding estimates that are included in financial statements,6 a specific statement questioning the usefulness of accounting information is much less common. The disavowal statements examined in our study relate to a specific measure of income that must be reported in 4 For example, Botosan and Plumlee [2001] note that there were over 1,700 comment letters related to the exposure draft of SFAS 123. Revsine et al. [2002] note that a Senate bill was introduced that would have eliminated the FASB’s independence by requiring the Securities and Exchange Commission to approve all new FASB standards. 5 For example, Senators Enzi and Reid have proposed a bill that would require expensing stock option compensation on a limited basis but would allow an exemption for small businesses and start-ups firms in a response to the FASB proposal. In a statement following a Senate hearing last week on the FASB proposal, Enzi said that the FASB “is ill equipped to conduct economic impact studies of the accounting standards it adopts … It was evident that FASB is not listening to small businesses and not taking their concerns seriously.” (Wells [2003]). 6 For example, Wal-Mart’s fiscal 2001 annual report includes the following wording in their footnote: “The preparation of consolidated financial statements in conformity with generally accepted accounting principles requires management to make estimates and assumptions. These estimates and assumptions affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities. They also affect the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the consolidated financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results may differ from these estimates.” 3 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options an audited footnote under GAAP. Thus, we believe that an investigation of the decision to disavow stock option compensation expense disclosed in the footnotes is warranted. We perform analysis on a sample of over 1,300 firms from the Execucomp database. Of these firms, 248 (18.5%), representing a wide cross-section of publicly-traded firms, include a disavowal of stock option compensation (or the resulting pro forma income) in the footnotes of their fiscal 2001 financial statements. Our evidence provides weak support for the prediction that disavowals are related to reliability concerns in measuring stock option compensation. Although the standard deviation of stock price volatility is related positively to the decision to disavow, this relation is only significant in univariate tests. However, our results suggest that concerns regarding executive compensation do influence the decision to disavow. We find a significant relation between disavowals and both the ratio of the CEO’s stock option compensation to total compensation and a measure of “excessive” CEO total compensation. As expected, we find that firms disavow in cases where the stock option compensation expense materially affects return on assets. Finally, our results suggest that smaller firms are more likely to disavow. This study contributes to accounting research in at least two areas. First, this study contributes to prior and ongoing research related to stock option accounting (examples include Matsunaga [1995], Aboody [1996], among many others) by investigating disavowals of stock option accounting disclosures. This study most directly extends research that examine firms’ lobbying behavior prior to the issuance of SFAS 123 (Dechow, Hutton, and Sloan [1996] and Hill, Shelton, and Stevens [2002]), as well as studies that investigate the question of whether firms manage stock option compensation expense under SFAS 123 (Balsam, Mozes, and Newman [2003] and Aboody, Barth, and Kasznik [2003]). 4 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options Second, because disavowals are voluntary, we also potentially contribute to the extensive literature concerning voluntary disclosure (see Healy and Palepu [2001] and Core [2001] for recent reviews of this research). In particular, this study is related to recent research that has focused on voluntary pro forma earnings disclosures (examples include Lougee and Marquardt [2004], Frederickson and Miller [2004], among others). In these cases, the firm voluntarily provides two sets of financial information, one based on GAAP and one based on the firm's or industry's own definition. The presence of the latter is an implicit disavowal of the mandated GAAP information. In contrast, our study considers an explicit disavowal of a mandatory footnote disclosure. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to examine the determinants of a voluntary disclosure that explicitly disavows a mandated disclosure.7 Since disavowals seemingly circumvent the intent of mandated disclosures, it is important to understand whether disavowals are motivated by concerns about the disclosed information or for other reasons (e.g., opportunism). The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. Section two discusses accounting for stock option compensation and develops the hypotheses investigated in the paper. Section three presents the research design including discussion of the sample, model, and variables. Section four presents results of our empirical analysis, and section five concludes. 2. Background and Hypothesis Development 2.1 Accounting for Stock Option Compensation Currently, the accounting for stock options is governed by Accounting Principles Board Opinion (APB) No. 25 and Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 123. APB 7 Frederickson, Hodge, and Pratt [2004] have a concurrent study that uses an experiment to investigate the effect of disavowals on investor judgment. 5 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options 25 (issued in October 1972) defines stock option expense as the measurement date difference between the stock price and option exercise price, multiplied by the number of options. Since the measurement date is defined as the date at which the exercise price and number of options are known, the measurement date of fixed option grants is the grant date. Most employee stock option grants have a fixed exercise price that equals the stock price at the grant date, implying that the associated expense is zero under APB 25. The FASB reconsidered the accounting for stock-based compensation and issued the exposure draft of SFAS 123 in 1993. The exposure draft proposed that stock option expense be based on option fair values at the grant date, estimated using an option-pricing model. The FASB proposal was consistent with Black and Scholes [1973] who demonstrated that the value of an option is not solely defined by the difference between the stock price and the exercise price.8 However, in response to political pressure, the FASB subsequently modified its proposal to allow firms to substitute the measurement provisions in SFAS 123 with those in APB 25. SFAS 123 (issued in October 1995) defines stock option expense as the option’s fair value at the measurement date. Fair value is to be calculated using an option pricing model whose inputs include the option’s exercise price, the current stock price, the expected life of the option, expected dividend yield, expected risk-free interest rate, and, for publicly traded firms, the expected stock price volatility.9 Once a fair value per option has been calculated, it is 8 SFAS 123 does not dictate a specific option pricing model. However, based on a search of the EDGAR database, Hodder, Maydew, McAnally, and Weaver [2004] find that only eight firms did not use the Black-Scholes model to estimate stock compensation expense for 2002. 9 Use of the expected life of the option, as opposed to its stated term to maturity, reflects the fact that employees systematically exercise options early because employee stock options are nontransferable (Huddart and Lang [1996]). 6 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options multiplied by the number of options expected to vest and the resulting amount is amortized over the vesting period.10 If a firm elects, instead, to use APB 25 to measure stock option expense, it must provide footnote disclosure of a variety of items, including pro forma net income. Virtually all firms initially applied the measurement provisions of APB 25, hence disclose pro forma net income. Other disclosures required under SFAS 123 include inputs to the option fair value calculation (i.e., option exercise price, expected option life, dividend yield, risk-free interest rate, and stock price volatility), estimated fair value of options granted, vesting period, and number of options granted, forfeited, and exercised. 2.2 Saliency and the Form of Executive Stock Option Disclosures SFAS 123 generated significant political controversy. The FASB position suggests that stock options are an expense that can be reliably measured and, therefore, should be recognized in determining net income. Its position is based on the argument that issuing stock options transfers claims on the firm’s equity from existing shareholders to employees. Because the employees provide services to the firm, the value of the transferred ownership claims represents a cost of generating revenue. In contrast, opponents argue that no expense should be recognized on the income statement because the amount of the expense cannot be reliably measured. Option pricing models are based on assumptions – such as constant volatility – that are often not descriptively valid. Opponents also question the applicability of option price models to the valuation of nontransferable, forfeitable employee stock options held by risk averse, undiversified executives. 10 Use of the number of options expected to vest, rather than the number granted, reflects the fact that not all granted options vest because some employees terminate employment before the end of the vesting period. 7 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options More recently, significant stock price declines in high technology industries and a rise in the number of accounting restatements and related scandals have reopened the debate about the appropriate accounting treatment of stock options. Partly in response to pressure from shareholder activists, several bills have been introduced into Congress. For example, Senators Levin and McCain had sponsored a bill that would disallow the tax deductibility of employee stock options unless the options were also treated as an expense for financial reporting purposes. Related, the International Accounting Standards Board issued International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS) 2, a global standard that would require the income statement recognition of stock option compensation expense under the fair value method. Likewise, the FASB has issued an Exposure Draft that would require expensing of stock option compensation starting in 2005. Much of the debate about stock option accounting has implicitly focused on the argument that shareholders will not pay sufficient attention to unrecognized stock option compensation that is disclosed in the footnotes to the financial statements (e.g., see Greenspan [1999], Ohl [2000] and Orr [2001], each of whom espouses this view.) Related, companies devote resources to lobbying about disclosure versus recognition even though the terms of stock option grants can be inferred from information in footnotes and proxy statements. This behavior reflects a belief that investors fail to fully use information that is presented less saliently. Research in psychology supports this belief. Psychologists have repeatedly examined how people form predictions in settings where the variable of interest is a stochastic function of multiple cues (e.g., Kruschke and Johansen [1999]). A consistent finding is that cue saliency affects judgments and decisions. For example, individuals place greater weight on particular cues when those cues are made salient than when they are not. Psychology research also has documented that due to limited information processing abilities, the way in which information is 8 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options presented affects judgments and decisions (Payne, Bettman and Johnson [1993]).11 Consistent with the psychology literature, experimental studies in accounting have documented that the form in which information is presented influences investors’ trading and/or valuation judgments in a variety of contexts.12 There also is a growing body of archival accounting evidence consistent with saliency effects in securities prices.13 Thus, the academic literature supports the argument that stakeholders may be influenced by the saliency of stock option disclosures. 2.3 Hypothesis 1: Stock Option Disavowal and Reliability The recognition of an item in the financial statements (or the disclosure of the item in the footnotes) introduces the issue of how the item should be measured (e.g., what is the appropriate way to measure stock option compensation). Concepts Statement 5, paragraph 3, states “Measurement involves choice of an attribute by which to quantify a recognized item and choice of a scale of measurement (often called “unit of measure”).” Most accountants have stronglyheld views about which is the most relevant and reliable attribute to be measured and about the circumstances needed for recognizing changes in attributes and changes in the amounts of an attribute. Some advocate the extant model – a mixture of historical costs and fair values, while others support fair value accounting. 11 Libby, Bloomfield, and Nelson [2001] and Maines [1995] provide detailed surveys of the experimental literature on financial information processing. 12 Past research has examined: recognition versus disclosure of pension liabilities (Harper, Mister, and Strawser [1987]); classification of hybrid financial instruments (Hopkins [1996]); the framing of “bad news” earnings preannouncements (Libby and Tan [1999]); purchase versus pooling-of-interest accounting treatment for business combinations (Hopkins, Houston, and Peters [2000]); placement of other comprehensive income items (Hirst and Hopkins [1998]); as well as market settings (Dietrich et al. [2001]). 13 The effects of information saliency on price have been found in the following contexts: the reannouncement of gains from debt-equity swaps (Hand [1990]); recognized versus disclosed write-down information in the oil and gas industry (Aboody [1996]); and time series variation in the valuation of postretirement benefits disclosed in footnotes (Amir [1993]). Additionally, many accounting anomalies may be viewed as reflecting the tendency of investors to neglect salient information (Sloan [1996], Teoh et al. [1998a, 1998b], Bernard and Thomas [1989], Abarbanell and Bushee [1997], and Teoh and Wong [2002]). 9 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options Consistent with the lack of consensus in the accounting profession, Concepts Statement 5 does not advocate a particular measurement attribute. Rather, it concludes (paragraph 90) that “information based on current prices should be recognized if it is sufficiently relevant and reliable to justify the costs involved and more relevant than alternative information.” Further, Concepts Statement 2, paragraph 59 states, “The reliability of a measure rests on the faithfulness with which it represents what it purports to represent, coupled with an assurance for the user, which comes through verification, that it has that representational quality.” Thus, information is reliable when investors and other stakeholders can use it with confidence. The FASB’s position that firms should recognize employee stock options as an expense in determining net income is based on two factors: (1) such stock options represent compensation expense and (2) firms can reliably measure the amount of this expense. The FASB’s position for the former is based on the argument that issuing stock options to employees transfers claims on the firm’s equity from existing shareholders to employees while its position for the latter is the existence of option pricing models. Opponents of recognizing stock option compensation generally argue that option pricing models do not reliably measure the value of employee stock options for at least two reasons. First, some assumptions underlying existing option pricing models are likely to be violated in practice (Black [1988]). For example, not only does the Black-Scholes model assume that the stock’s volatility is known and does not change over the option’s life, it also assumes that stock prices change smoothly (i.e., prices do not “jump up or down” significantly over short time periods). Further, Hodder, Maydew, McAnally, and Weaver’s [2004] results suggest that the 10 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options subjectivity of the input assumptions for the Black-Scholes model impairs the reliability of stock option compensation expense calculated using this model.14 However, it is likely the Black-Scholes model would provide reasonable estimates of stock option compensation expense for some firms. For example, the volatility of stock returns could be relatively constant for a given firm. Likewise, the results of Alford and Boatsman [1995] suggest that historical volatility is useful for predicting long-term volatility, so estimates of expected volatility are likely to be accurate for many firms. This discussion suggests that whether an option pricing model provides reasonable estimates of stock option compensation depends on how well the firm matches the assumptions underlying the option pricing model. The less descriptively valid the assumptions are for a particular firm, the less likely the option pricing model will reliably value that firm’s options. Because it is likely that some firms match the assumptions underlying option pricing models reasonably well, concern about the reliability of stock option compensation is likely to be a significant issue for only a subset of all firms. If managers’ disavowals of SFAS 123 disclosures are motivated by concerns about the reliability of financial statement disclosures, then: H1: The decision to disavow is related positively to concerns about the reliability of pro forma income adjusted for stock option compensation expense. 2.4 Hypothesis 2: Stock Option Disavowal and Executive Compensation Regulations that mandate the public disclosure of information about executive pay practices can impose significant costs on executives by increasing the transparency of executive compensation contracts. The resulting costs to executives may take several forms. First, lower 14 Opponents also argue that extant option valuation models yield unreliable estimates for employee options because they overestimate the value of non-tradable options held by undiversified, risk-averse executives (e.g., Hall and Murphy [2002] show that undiversified executives assign a lower value to executive stock options compared to the Black-Scholes model). 11 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options information costs lead to a reduction in shareholders’ monitoring costs and, therefore, increased monitoring of executive pay practices. Models of reputation formation such as Diamond [1989] demonstrate that if attempts by a manager to obtain excessive pay are sufficiently penalized, even “bad” managers will be induced to support pay policies that maximize shareholder wealth as a result of their desire to mimic “good” managers. However, Dyck and Zingales [2002] note that such models assume that a manager’s type is revealed with a probability of one. In the absence of public disclosure, such an assumption may not be descriptively valid. When information about pay is publicly disclosed, it is more apt to be widely disseminated and a higher proportion of shareholders are apt to be informed. Thus, it is more likely that agency costs arising from sub-optimal pay practices will be constrained when the transparency of compensation contracts increase. Second, informed stakeholder groups can significantly influence compensation policies by exerting political pressure. For example, Joskow, Rose and Wolfram [1996] provide evidence that political pressure constrains CEO pay in the electric utility industry. Dial and Murphy [1995] argue that General Dynamics responded to political concerns about pay practices by modifying the terms of its performance-based compensation plans. Zenner and Perry [1997] and Rose and Wolfram [1997] find that firms responded to the $1 million cap on the tax deductibility of non-performance based pay by substituting performance-based compensation for fixed pay. Third, mandatory disclosure increases the saliency of pay practices to the general public and the coverage of executive pay by the press.15 Negative publicity concerning compensation 15 The media plays a critical role in the dissemination of information about executive compensation (Murphy [1999], pp. 49-52). The media prefers mandatory disclosure because information that is mandatory is less apt to be provided by the company on a quid pro quo basis and is less apt to be selectively disclosed. 12 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options policies can lead to a substantial loss in the executive’s reputation in the eyes of society at large.16 Although nonpecuniary, these reputational costs are likely to matter to executives. Consistent with arguments that public disclosure of compensation information is costly to managers, prior research suggests that executives take actions to reduce the transparency of compensation by “managing” information related to stock options. Murphy [1996] reports evidence consistent with executives managing proxy statement disclosures to lower the implied value of stock options. Related, Yermack [1998], Baker [1999] and Aboody, Barth, and Kasznik [2003] find evidence that firms manage stock option compensation expense in an attempt to avoid political costs related to excessive compensation. Similarly, concerns regarding executive compensation appear to influence lobbying behavior related to the accounting for stock options. Dechow et al. [1996] presents evidence that lobbying against the SFAS 123 Exposure Draft is related to the relative amount of stock option compensation paid to top executives. Related, Hill et al. [2002] find that lobbying against disclosure of stock option compensation information proposed by the FASB is related positively to stock compensation paid to the top five executives. In summary, increased executive compensation disclosures are costly to executives. Such disclosures increase the likelihood that information about executive compensation policies will be disseminated to stakeholder groups who can negatively affect compensation contracts 16 An example of the reputational effects to executives that can arise from public criticism of various aspects of a company’s corporate governance structure is a full-page ad that ran in the April 1992 Wall Street Journal. Paid for by shareholder activist, Robert Monks, the ad featured a photo of the Sears board of directors and a caption, “The non-performing assets of Sears.” Embarrassed by the advertisement, directors quickly adopted Monks’ governance reforms (including modifications to the structure of executive compensation), despite the fact that Monks’ bid for election to the board had failed (Dyck and Zingales [2002]). 13 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options and/or impose significant reputational penalties.17 Thus, top executives who receive substantial compensation from stock options have incentives to reduce the transparency of stock option grants. Benefits to reduced transparency include – but are not limited to – increased voting support for stock option plans, reduced shareholder activism, a lower probability of regulatory intervention, and a reduction in various non-pecuniary costs. Dechow et al. [1996] note that while it is difficult to assess the exact magnitude of costs of this nature, it is safe to assume that even if such costs are small to the firm, they are large relative to the size of executive compensation. Thus, executives will attempt to reduce these costs. If disavowal of stock option compensation expense disclosed in the footnotes is motivated by the cost to the CEO of public scrutiny of compensation policies, then we predict that: H2: The decision to disavow is related positively to concerns regarding executive compensation. 3. Research methodology 3.1 Sample Our initial sample consists of the S&P 500, S&P 400 MidCap, and S&P 600 SmallCap firms covered by the 2002 Execucomp data base. Of the 2,507 firms (8,699 executives) listed on Execomp, 1,482 firms (7,674 executives) had 2001 compensation data for the firm’s CEO. We collected stock option footnote data for 1,342 of these firms.18 The elimination of firms with 17 Hirshleifer, Lim, and Teoh [2003] develop a model in which misinterpretation of the valuation implications of stock option disclosures arises as a result of limited shareholder attention. Salient information is given more weight than less salient information or than information absent from the public information set. Expensing (not expensing) options at the time they are granted results in undervaluation (overvaluation). In contrast to the polar extremes of expensing (not expensing) options, SFAS 123 requires the amortization of the grant-date value over the vesting period. Aboody, Barth, and Kasznik [2001] find no evidence that amortization over the vesting period results in a mismatching of expenses with expected future benefits. 18 Firms might use other information sources to disavow pro forma income adjusted for stock option compensation (e.g., proxy statements, press releases, etc.). Since we focus on the voluntary disavowal of 14 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options missing data on Compustat and CRSP resulted in a sample of 1,316 in our logistic regression models. Table 1 summarizes this process. 3.2 Model and variables We use logistic regression to investigate hypotheses concerning the decision to disavow. The general model is as follows: DISAVOWj = 0 + 1 Reliability proxyj + 2 Compensation proxyj + 3 ROADIFj + 4 SIZE j (1) 3.2.1 Dependent variable Based on our analysis of the stock option footnotes, we identified three issues as the basis for a disavowal of stock option compensation expense: (a) an explicit statement questioning the reliability of estimated stock option compensation (or the resulting pro forma income), (b) a statement related to the appropriateness of Black-Scholes option valuation model for non-traded options, and (c) a statement related to the subjectivity of the input assumptions used in the option pricing model. Table 2, panel A describes the distribution of disavowals. Out of 1,342 firms in our sample, 248 (18.5%) disavowed stock option compensation in the footnotes of their fiscal 2001 financial statements by raising at least one of the three issues. A total of 191 (14.2%) firms had disavowals that questioned the reliability of pro forma income adjusted for stock option compensation expense, 232 (17.3%) firms had disavowals related to the appropriateness of Black-Scholes option valuation model, and 236 (17.6%) firms had disavowals that raised the subjectivity issue. There are 183 (13.6%) firms that raised all three issues in their disavowals. We used the three issues to construct three measures of the dependent variable, DISAVOW. The first is DISRELI, which equals 1 for firms that raised the reliability issue and 0 mandatory disclosures included in audited financial statements, we limited our search to the footnotes in annual reports. However, we do not expect that using only annual report footnotes will bias our results. 15 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options otherwise. The second measure is DISBS, which equals 1 for firms that raised the issue of limitations of the Black-Scholes model and 0 otherwise. The final measure is DISASS, which equals 1 for firms that raised the assumption subjectivity issue and 0 otherwise. 3.2.2 Independent variables: Reliability concerns Our first hypothesis predicts that the decision to disavow is related negatively to the descriptive validity of the assumptions underlying the Black-Scholes option pricing model. One of these assumptions is that a stock’s volatility is known and that volatility does not change over the life of the option (Black [1988]). We argue that there is more uncertainty about stock price volatility when historical volatility is itself volatile and when expected future volatility deviates from historical volatility.19 We use two measures to proxy for reliability concerns: SDSDRET and VOLRATIO. Under H1, we predict that 1 will be positive for these measures. We define SDSDRET as the standard deviation of the estimated volatility based on CRSP monthly stock returns for the period 1997-2001.20 Specifically, we first estimate the standard deviation of monthly returns for each individual year (i.e., volatility for the year). Next, we compute the standard deviation of the volatility over the five years. We expect that firms with a higher standard deviation in estimated volatility (i.e., higher “volatility in volatility”) will find it more difficult to determine accurate estimates of stock price volatility. Thus, we predict that these firms will have greater concerns regarding the reliability of stock option compensation 19 The Black-Scholes model also assumes that: stock price changes are smooth, short-term interest rates are constant, there is unlimited borrowing at a single rate, there are no restrictions on short-selling, that transactions costs are zero, investors have constant tax rates, and early exercise of the options (which could potentially occur if the firm is, for example, acquired) is prohibited. For the purposes of our analysis, we assume that there is no significant variation across our sample firms in the impact of these assumptions on the reliability of Black-Scholes values. 20 This is consistent with Alford and Boatsman [1995] who use monthly returns to predict long-term volatility since monthly returns are approximately normally distributed (consistent with the Black-Scholes model assumptions) while daily returns are not. 16 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options expense. Panel B of table 2 reports that the mean of SDSDRET is 0.042 with a range of 0.002 to 0.389. We define VOLRATIO as the ratio of the estimated volatility (i.e., standard deviation of CRSP monthly returns) for the 36 month period 2000-2002 to estimated volatility of monthly returns for the 36 month period 1997-1999. Greater volatility in the more recent period raises reliability concerns for two reasons. First, non-constant historical volatility suggests nonconstant future volatility, which is inconsistent with the Black Scholes assumption of constant volatility over the option life. Second, an increase in volatility makes it more difficult to estimate future volatility. According to the descriptive statistics in Table 2, panel B, more than half the sample faced increasing volatility in monthly stock price returns vis-à-vis prior years (e.g., median VOLRATIO is 1.13). 3.2.3 Independent variables: Compensation concerns Our second hypothesis predicts that the decision to disavow is more likely when the cost to the CEO of public scrutiny of compensation policies is high. Firms that are perceived as paying excessive stock option compensation are more likely to attract the attention of stakeholders (including the press) who can impose costs on these executives. We use three measures to proxy for compensation concerns: SOC%, CEOSO% and XSCOMP. We predict that 2 is positive under H2 for each measure. Murphy [1996] argues that managers incur significant nonpecuniary costs from high reported levels of compensation and, therefore, have an incentive to make financial reporting decisions that will reduce reported executive compensation expense. Consistent with Murphy’s argument, we expect that the relative size of a CEO’s option compensation will be related positively to the decision to disavow stock option compensation. We use two proxies for the 17 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options relative size of the option grant. First, SOC% is the ratio of stock option compensation granted to the CEO (Execucomp item BLK_VALU) to the total compensation paid to the CEO (Execucomp item TDC1). When stock options comprise a larger proportion of the CEO’s total compensation package, we expect that disavowals are more likely to reduce nonpecuniary costs related to stock option compensation. Stock options granted to CEOs represented an average of 43.5% total CEO compensation during fiscal 2001 (see table 2, panel B); however, 294 (out of 1,438 with some data) CEOs were granted no stock options during the year while four CEOs received 100% of their compensation in stock options. Second, CEOSO% is the ratio of stock option compensation granted to the CEO (Execucomp item BLK_VALU) to the total stock option compensation expenses applicable to all employees of the firm (Compustat item # 399 adjusted for taxes).21 If this ratio is high, it suggests that the CEO is obtaining a greater proportion of the benefits of stock option grants visà-vis employees at lower levels. Table 2, panel B reports that the median CEOSO% was just over 10% for 2001. Our third proxy for compensation concerns is XSCOMP, a measure of excessive CEO total compensation. Although we expect that the stock option compensation of the CEO would be a primary consideration in the decision to disavow, all CEOs who are viewed to be “overpaid” are likely to be concerned about public scrutiny regarding compensation. Similar to Murphy [1996] and Aboody, Barth, and Kasznik [2003], we determine XSCOMP by first estimating the following model of “expected” compensation using prior year (i.e., 2000) data for all firms on Execucomp: 18 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options ln(TOTAL COMP)i = b1ln(SALES)i + b2BM i + b3GROWTH i + b4ROA i + b5RETi + b61-YEAR VOL i + Σn=1to23 nIndustryin + ei (2) TOTAL COMP is total compensation paid to the CEO in thousands of dollars (Execucomp item TDC1).22 SALES is reported sales in millions of dollars. BM is the ratio of the book value of equity to the market value of equity. GROWTH is sales growth compared to the prior year. RET is the stock return (including reinvestment of dividends) for the year (Execucomp item TRS1YR). 1-YEAR VOL is the standard deviation of monthly stock prices from CRSP. Industry is an indicator variable equal to one (or zero) for each of the 23 industry groups defined in the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) classification system (Execucomp item SPINDEX).23 Panel B of table 2 provides descriptive statistics related to several variables used to estimate the model for excessive CEO total compensation. Results from estimating equation (2) using the 2000 data are presented in table 3. ln(SALES), BM, and 1-YEAR VOL are all significant in the model. We estimate excessive CEO compensation (XSCOMP) as the difference between the actual ln(TOTAL COMP) for firm i for 2001 and the expected value for firm i for 2001 computed by using the parameter estimates in table 3 and firm i data for 2001 for the independent variables. Since the mean and median of XSCOMP are positive (see table 2, panel B), most of the CEOs in our sample received more in total compensation than expected. 21 Item # 399 is the difference between reported net income and pro forma income (net of income tax expense). We estimate stock option compensation expense by dividing this amount by 1 – tax rate (i.e., 35%). 22 Specifically, TDC1 is comprised of the following: Salary, Bonus, Other Annual, Total Value of Restricted Stock Granted, Total Value of Stock Options Granted (using Black-Scholes), Long-Term Incentive Payouts, and All Other Total. 19 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options 3.2.4 Other Independent variables We consider two additional factors that potentially influence the decision to disavow. First, we define ROADIF% as the difference between the return on assets (ROA) based on reported net income (Compustat Item # 18, income before extraordinary items) and ROA based on pro forma income adjusted for stock option compensation expense (Item # 18 minus Item # 399, the difference between reported and pro forma net income). In cases where ROA would be significantly lower due to the adjustment for stock option compensation, we expect that managers will have greater incentives to disavow pro forma income. Thus, we predict that 3 will be positive. Second, we include SIZE, defined as the natural logarithm of total assets. Firm size has been used in prior research as a proxy for various theoretical constructs (e.g., political costs, richness of the information environment, etc.), and generally size has been found to be related positively to disclosure (see Lang and Lundholm [1993], among others). We include a measure of size as a control variable but make no specific predictions regarding 4. 4. Empirical results 4.1 Additional descriptive statistics and univariate analysis Table 2, panel B includes descriptive statistics for other variables in addition to those discussed in section 3.2 above. The mean (median) size of the sample firms, based on total assets, is approximately $13 billion ($1.6 billion) with a range of $32 million to just over $1 trillion (Citigroup). Estimated stock compensation expense ranges from a maximum of over $3.4 billion (Microsoft) to a minimum of – $62 million where four firms report a “negative 23 GICS was developed by Standard & Poor's in collaboration with Morgan Stanley Capital International. A company is assigned to a single GICS sub-industry based on its principal business. Although revenue 20 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options expense” and 12 firms reported zero (out of 1,419 firms with data).24 The mean decrease in ROA caused by reporting stock option compensation expense (DIFROA%) is about 1.5%. Given that the mean ROA based on reported net income is 1.35% for fiscal 2001, the effect of stock compensation expense under the fair value method appears to be significant for many firms. Table 4, panel A presents difference in means across selected variables for firms with a disavowal that specifically questions the reliability of estimated pro forma income (DISRELI = 1) versus those who do not (DISRELI = 0). Firms that disavow appear to be (marginally) smaller than other firms, but the difference is not significant. Consistent with the prediction of H1 that disavowals are related positively to reliability concerns, firms with a greater standard deviation in the volatility of monthly returns (SDSDRET) were more likely to disavow (p = 0.001, two-tail test). Although the ratio of recent volatility over past volatility (VOLRATIO) is higher for firms that disavow, the difference is not significant. CEOs at disavowal firms receive, on average, 52.5% of their compensation from stock options while CEOs at other firms receive significantly less (p < 0.001, two-tail test), consistent with H2. CEOs at disavowal firms received more compensation, but the difference compared to other firms is insignificant. However, based on a comparison of XSCOMP for the two samples, it appears that CEOs of firms that disavow stock option compensation expense received more excessive total compensation (p = .0164, two-tail test). Interestingly, the CEOs of disavowal firms received greater excessive compensation even though the performance of their firms (based on return on assets, sales growth, and stock returns) was worse than the non-disavowal firms in our sample. sources are the primary factor for classification, other factors may be used for classifying firms. 24 Under SFAS 123, it is possible that pro forma income under the fair value method is greater than net income. For example, a firm may have stock appreciation rights that result in higher expenses under the intrinsic value method than under the fair value method. See SFAS 123 for details. 21 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options Table 4, panel B presents Pearson (Spearman) correlation coefficients. As expected, the three measures of DISAVOW are highly correlated. Related, alternative proxies for reliability (i.e., SDSDRET and VOLRATIO) have correlation coefficients greater that 0.25. Likewise, the correlation among the compensation proxies are quite high (ranging from 0.36 to 0.57). All measures of DISAVOW are correlated positively with SDSDVOL, VOLRATIO, SOC%, CESO%, and XSCOMP, consistent with expectations. 4.2 Logistic regression results Table 5 reports estimates of the logistical regression models. Panel A presents results where the dependent variable is a disavowal that specifically questions the reliability of pro forma income adjusted for stock option compensation (i.e., DISRELI). The number of observations varies across the models due to missing data on Compustat and/or CRSP. The overall explanatory power of the model is significant across all six models estimated (e.g., Likelihood Ratio Chi-square ranges from 37.97 to 48.20 and are significant at p < 0.001). Both SDSDRET and VOLRATIO have positive but insignificant estimated coefficients. These results do not support the prediction that firms disavow for reliability concerns as expected under H1. However, we find evidence that executive compensation concerns influence the decision to disavow pro forma income adjusted for stock option compensation as predicted in H2. The ratio of CEO stock option compensation to total compensation is related positively to the decision to disavow (p = 0.005 and 0.003, one-tail test). Further, XSCOMP is significant in the estimated regressions (at p < 0.05, one-tail test) consistent with H2. Although the estimated coefficient on CEOSO% is positive, it is not significant.25 25 One potential explanation for this result involves accounting procedures for stock option compensation expense. Although the total expense is determined at grant date, it is amortized over the period that the option may be vested. Thus, the denominator of CEOSO% includes expenses from options granted in prior years, and the effect of current year grants will depend on option life. Conversely, the numerator 22 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options The estimated coefficients related to the effect of stock option compensation expense on return on assets (i.e., ROADIF) are highly significant across all six models (p < 0.001, one-tail test). 26 Thus, firms that would face a greater decrease in ROA due to the expensing of stock options are more likely to disavow. SIZE, defined as the natural logarithm of total assets, is negative and significant (e.g., p-values range from 0.013 to 0.089 based on a two-tail test). This evidence suggests that smaller firms are more likely to include a disavowal related to the reliability of stock option compensation expense. Results in table 5, panel B, where disavowals relate to the use of the Black-Scholes model (DISBS), are similar to the results from panel A. The Likelihood Ratio Chi-square values are marginally higher. In addition the p-values related to the estimated coefficients for SOC% and XSCOMP improve, providing additional evidence in support of H2. However, the parameter estimates for VOLRATIO are negative (but not significant) and SIZE is only negative and significant in one of the six models presented. Likewise, results in table 5, panel C for disavowals related to assumptions to estimate stock option compensation expense (DISASS) are consistent with the previous panels. The results continue to provide no support for the prediction that disavowals are made for reliability concerns but relatively strong support for the influence of compensation concerns on the decision to disavow. ROADIF continues to be related positively to disavowals (p < 0.001, one-tail test) but SIZE is not significant in any of the models.27 includes the value of options granted to the CEO during 2001. In some cases, the CEOSO% is greater than one. In these cases, we truncate the ratio to equal one. 26 Due to problems in achieving convergence when estimating the logistic model, we define ROADIF = 1 if ROADIF% > 2% and ROADIF = 0 otherwise. 27 As a specification check, we re-estimate equation (1) for selected models by including 23 industry indicator variables based on the firm’s GICS classification. Although many of the industry parameter estimates are significant, our results are essentially equivalent to those reported in table 5. 23 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options 5. Conclusions This paper addresses the research question: why do firms voluntarily disavow the mandated accounting disclosures concerning stock option compensation expense? We investigate this issue in a powerful setting since the disavowal statements examined in our study: (a) relate to a specific measure of income that must be reported in an audited footnote under GAAP, (b) are made by a wide cross-section of publicly-traded firms, and (c) involve an accounting issue that has attracted international attention. Our evidence suggests that the decision to disavow the mandated footnote disclosure of pro forma income adjusted for stock option compensation is not a random occurrence. For example, the larger the difference between ROA based on reported net income and ROA based on pro forma income adjusted for stock options, the more likely it is that the firm will disavow. We find consistent evidence that when CEOs face higher costs associated with executive compensation, disavowals are more likely. Specifically, disavowals are more likely in cases where a significant proportion of the CEO’s compensation is from stock option grants compared to other sources. In further support of compensation concerns, we find that CEOs who appear to receive excess total compensation tend to disavow. Although there is some evidence disavowals are due to reliability concerns in univariate analysis, the lack of significance in logistic regression models suggests, at best, only weak support for this hypothesis. The accounting for stock option compensation expense has been controversial. There have been significant lobbying efforts by interested stakeholders regarding this issue over (at least) the last decade. The stock option disavowal decision examined in this study can be viewed as a form of “lobbying” and/or an attempt to “manage perceptions”. 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Wake Forest Law Review 35: 123-152. 30 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options Table 1 Sample Selection Firms listed on Execucomp for fiscal 2001 (8,699 executives) 2,507 Less: Firms with no 2001 Execucomp compensation data 1,025 Firms with 2001 Execucomp compensation data for the firm’s CEO 1,482 Less: Firms with missing stock option footnote data from EDGAR Firms with 2001 Execucomp and footnote data Less: Firms with other missing data from COMPUSTAT or CRSP and outliers Maximum number of sample firms examined in logistic regressions 140 1,342 26 1,316 31 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options Table 2 Descriptive Statistics Panel A: Distribution of disavowals (n = 1,342) Type of disavowal Number of firms Firms with a disavowal that specifically questions the reliability of estimated stock option compensation expense (DISRELI) Firms with a disavowal related to the use of the Black-Scholes model (DISBS) Firms with a disavowal related to assumptions to estimate pro forma income (DISASS) Firms reporting at least one type of disavowal 191 Percentage of the sample 14.2% 232 17.3% 236 17.6% 248 18.5% Panel B: Descriptive statistics for other variables Mean Standard Deviation 1st Quartile Median 3rd Quartile Total Assets 13,034 56,786 565 1,662 6,092 32 1,051,450 SOCE 59.62 195.87 3.69 9.87 34.73 -62.58 3,480 SDSDRET 0.042 0.033 0.023 0.033 0.050 0.002 0.389 VOLRATIO 1.21 0.44 0.92 1.13 1.38 0.42 7.55 SOC% 43.50% 31.30% 14.14% 44.67% 69.97% 0.00% 100.00% CEOSO% 17.09% 22.11% 2.28% 10.12% 22.62% -43.21% 100.00% TOTAL COMP 6,653 16,985 1,251 2,762 6,673 <1 369,888 XSCOMP 0.06 1.01 -0.46 0.08 0.60 -14.1 4.52 ROA 1.35% 20.29% 0.27% 3.02% 6.73% -458.3% 57.84% ROADIF% 1.48% 4.10% 0.13% 0.36% 1.17% -10.37% 86.96% BM 0.52 0.48 0.27 0.45 0.66 -6.05 6.04 SALES 5,181 13,914 477 1,312 3,935 <1 217,799 GROWTH 7.85% 36.82% -5.80 3.47% 15.64% -96.72% 576.97% RET 10.1% 53.1% -17.9% 5.2% 28.9% -94.7% 735.9% Variable* Minimum Maximum Value Value 32 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options *Variable definitions (where source is not stated, the item was obtained from Compustat for fiscal 2001): Total Assets = total assets reported at the end of fiscal 2001 in millions of dollars. SOCE = stock option compensation expense for 2001 in millions of dollars estimated as the difference between reported net income and pro forma income adjusted for stock option expense (Computstat item #399) divided by 1 – tax rate (35%). SDSDRET = standard deviation of the estimated volatility (i.e., standard deviation of CRSP monthly returns estimated annually) for the five fiscal years 1997-2001. VOLRATIO = ratio of the estimated volatility (i.e., standard deviation of CRSP monthly returns) for the period 2000-2002 to estimated volatility of monthly returns for the period 1997-1999. SOC% = ratio of stock option compensation granted to the CEO (Execucomp item BLK_VALUE) to the total compensation paid to the CEO (Execucomp item TDC1). CEOSO% = ratio of stock option compensation granted to the CEO to the total stock option compensation expenses applicable to all employees of the firm (i.e., SCOE). TOTAL COMP = total compensation paid to the CEO in thousands of dollars (Execucomp item TDC1) XSCOMP = a measure of excess compensation paid to the CEO as the difference between ln (TOTAL COMP) for 2001 and an expected ln (TOTAL COMP) computed from a model estimated using all firms reporting on Execucomp in 2000. ROA = return on assets defined as the ratio of net income for fiscal 2001 to total assets at the end of fiscal 2001. ROADIF% = the difference between ROA based on net income and ROA based on pro forma income adjusted for stock option compensation expense. BM = ratio of the book value of equity to the market value of equity. SALES = sales reported for fiscal 2001 in millions of dollars. GROWTH = sales growth from 2000 to 2001. RET = stock return (including reinvestment of dividends) for fiscal 2001 (Execucomp item TRS1YR). 33 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options Table 3 Model estimates for excessive CEO compensation regression The model below is estimated using all firms with available data on Execucomp during fiscal 2000. Estimated excessive CEO compensation (XSCOMP) for 2001 is calculated as the difference between the ln (TOTAL COMP) for firm i for 2001 and the expected value for firm i using the parameter estimates (see below) and firm i data for 2001 data for the independent variables. See table 2 for variable definitions for TOTAL COMP, SALES, BM, GROWTH, ROA, and RET. 1-YEAR VOL is the standard deviation of monthly prices from CRSP and Industry is an indicator variable equal to one (or zero) for each of the 23 industry groups defined in Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) classification system (Execucomp item SPINDEX). Model: ln(TOTAL COMP)i = b1ln(SALES)i + b2BM i + b3GROWTH i + b4ROA i + b5RETi + b61-YEAR VOL i + Σn=1to23 nIndustryin + ei ln(SALES) Parameter Estimate 0.4380 Standard Error 0.020 t-statistic 21.69 2 Adjusted R = 33.96% BM -0.0571 0.025 -2.31 GROWTH 0.000311 0.001 0.58 ROA 0.0015 0.001 1.02 RET 0.0457 0.042 1.09 1-YEAR VOL 0.0362 0.007 5.43 # of Observations = 1672 34 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options Table 4 Univariate Analysis Panel A: Differences in means across selected variables for firms with a disavowal that specifically questions the reliability of estimated stock compensation expense (DISRELI = 1) versus those who do not (DISRELI = 0) DISRELI = 1 Mean DISRELI = 0 Mean Difference in Means t-statistic Total Assets 8,418 12,570 -4,152 -1.49 SDSDRET 0.051 0.041 0.011 3.30††† VOLRATIO 1.253 1.201 0.052 1.12 SOC% 52.51% 43.09% 9.42% 3.81††† CEOSO% 17.60% 17.16% 0.45% 0.25 TOTAL COMP 8,419 6,481 1,938 0.90 XSCOMP 0.223 0.038 0.184 2.40†† ROA -3.03% 1.91% -4.93% -1.67† GROWTH 6.28% 8.18% -1.91% -0.76 RET -0.23% 12.07% 12.30% -3.17††† Variable* *See table 2 for variable definitions. †, ††, ††† Indicates that the reported t-statistic is significant at p < .10, .05, and .01 (based on a twotail test), respectfully. 35 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options Table 4 (Continued) Panel B: Pearson (Spearman) Correlation Coefficients Variable* DISBS DISBS DISASS DISRELI SDSD RET SDSD SOC RATIO CEOSO % % ROA XS COMP TOTAL COMP SALES GROWTH RET ASSETS 0.93 0.86 0.13 0.02 0.01 0.13 -0.01 0.09 0.03 -0.13 0.00 -0.07 -0.09 0.87 0.11 0.01 0.01 0.12 -0.01 0.08 0.03 -0.12 -0.01 -0.07 -0.08 0.11 0.03 0.01 0.11 -0.02 0.05 0.00 -0.13 0.02 -0.09 -0.10 0.26 0.01 0.19 -0.19 0.08 -0.01 -0.25 -0.07 -0.18 -0.28 -0.07 0.02 -0.23 -0.05 0.01 0.04 -0.07 -0.16 0.00 0.56 0.11 0.57 0.40 0.01 0.12 0.07 0.00 -0.02 0.57 0.61 0.08 0.04 -0.19 0.12 0.02 0.05 0.04 0.34 0.25 -0.12 0.77 0.07 0.08 -0.09 0.14 0.54 0.10 -0.11 0.56 0.04 -0.02 0.84 0.03 0.06 DISASS 0.93 DISRELI 0.86 0.87 SDSDRET 0.11 0.10 0.11 VOLRATIO 0.03 0.01 0.04 0.41 CEOSO% 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.03 SOC% 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.17 0.03 0.36 ROA -0.08 -0.07 -0.08 -0.17 -0.10 0.10 -0.05 XSCOMP 0.08 0.08 0.06 0.09 0.00 0.40 0.53 -0.04 TOTAL COMP 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.11 0.27 -0.02 0.43 SALES -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.12 0.06 -0.09 0.07 0.03 0.01 0.18 GROWTH -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.05 0.01 0.05 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.09 0.08 RET -0.07 -0.07 -0.08 -0.10 -0.07 0.08 -0.14 0.17 -0.05 -0.11 -0.06 -0.02 ASSETS -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.07 -0.02 -0.08 0.04 0.00 0.03 0.15 0.56 0.03 -0.09 -0.05 Pearson correlations are reported below the diagonal elements and Spearman correlations are reported above. *See table 2 for variable definitions. 36 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options Table 5 Logistic Regression Results Logistic regression is estimates of the model below are presented under alternative types of disavowals in panels A, B, and C. ROADIF is an indicator variable equal to one if ROADIF% is greater that 2% and zero otherwise. SIZE is the natural logarithm of total assets. See table 2 for other variable definitions. The p-values related to parameter estimates are reported in parentheses below each estimate. Where signs are predicted, p-values are based on a one-tail test. Model: DISAVOWj = 0 + 1Reliability proxyj + 2Compensation proxyj + 3ROADIFj + 4SIZEj Panel A: Results where DISAVOW is measured using DISRELI Variable Expected sign Intercept (?) -1.483 (0.001) -1.562 (0.001) -1.366 (0.002) Reliability proxy SDSDRET (+) 1.900 (0.194) 2.563 (0.120) 2.563 (0.120) VOLRATIO (+) Compensation proxy SOC% (+) CEOSOC% (+) XSCOMP (+) ROADIF (+) 0.672 (<0.001) 0872 (<0.001) 0.803 (<0.001) 0.716 (<0.001) 0.953 (<0.001) 0.859 (<0.001) SIZE (?) -0.122 (0.028) -0.079 (0.073) -0.100 (0.065) -0.135 (0.013) -0.090 (0.089) -0.113 (0.033) 45.37 (<0.001) 1316 187 1129 37.97 (<0.001) 1293 184 1109 41.43 (<0.001) 1316 187 1129 48.20 (<0.001) 1307 187 1120 38.07 (<0.001) 1285 184 1101 42.18 (<0.001) 1307 187 1120 Likelihood Ratio Chi-square # observations # DISAVOW = 1 # DISAVOW = 0 0.724 (0.005) -1.443 (0.002) -1.494 (0.002) -1.302 (0.005) 0.095 (0.286) 0.092 (0.292) 0.106 (0.264) 0.768 (0.003) 0.113 (0.382) 0.178 (0.316) 0.140 (0.045) 0.160 (0.027) 37 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options Table 5 (Continued) Logistic Regression Results Panel B: Results where DISAVOW is measured using DISBS Variable Expected sign Intercept (?) -1.965 (<0.001) -1.800 (<0.001) -1.558 (<0.001) Reliability proxy SDSDRET (+) 1.639 (0.220) 2.362 (0.123) 1.997 (0.172) VOLRATIO (+) Compensation proxy SOC% (+) CEOSOC% (+) XSCOMP (+) ROADIF (+) 0.8132 (<0.001) 1.041 (<0.001) 0.959 (<0.001) 0.870 (<0.001) 1.136 (<0.001) 1.029 (<0.001) SIZE (?) -0.070 (0.082) -0.022 (0.671) -0.045 (0.354) -0.081 (0.101) -0.031 (0.518) -0.057 (0.235) 57.21 (<0.001) 1316 228 1088 46.82 (<0.001) 1293 225 1068 51.49 (<0.001) 1316 228 1088 58.25 (<0.001) 1307 228 1079 47.17 (<0.001) 1285 225 1060 52.40 (<0.001) 1307 228 1079 Likelihood Ratio Chi-square # observations # DISAVOW = 1 # DISAVOW = 0 0.817 (<0.001) -1.551 (<0.001) -1.623 (<0.001) -1.390 (0.001) -0.011 (0.527) -0.015 (0.536) -0.000 (0.501) 0.857 (<0.001) 0.245 (0.236) 0.306 (0.185) 0.160 (0.019) 0.177 (0.011) 38 Voluntary disclosures that disavow mandatory disclosures: The case of stock options Table 5 (Continued) Logistic Regression Results Panel C: Results where DISAVOW is measured using DISASS Variable Expected sign Intercept (?) -1.670 (<0.001) -1.776 (<0.001) -1.537 (<0.001) Reliability proxy SDSDRET (+) 1.409 (0.253) 2.066 (0.162) 1.707 (0.209) VOLRATIO (+) Compensation proxy SOC% (+) CEOSOC% (+) XSCOMP (+) ROADIF (+) 0.785 (<0.001) 0.997 (<0.001) 0.9169 (<0.001) 0.850 (<0.001) 1.097 (<0.001) 0.992 (<0.001) SIZE (?) -0.063 (0.101) -0.017 (0.718) -0.042 (0.388) -0.072 (0.137) -0.026 (0.585) -0.052 (0.278) 51.05 (<0.001) 1316 232 1084 42.09 (<0.001) 1293 229 1064 46.74 (<0.001) 1316 232 1084 52.40 (<0.001) 1307 232 1075 42.93 (<0.001) 1285 229 1056 48.01 (<0.001) 1307 232 1075 Likelihood Ratio Chi-square # observations # DISAVOW = 1 # DISAVOW = 0 0.785 (0.002) -1.459 (<0.001) -1.532 (<0.001) -1.306 (0.002) -0.085 (0.6927) -0.092 (0.703) -0.075 (0.671) 0.788 (0.001) 0.244 (0.235) 0.298 (0.188) 0.159 (0.019) 0.174 (0.012) 39
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