The case study is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International Licence. Impact of Land Use Activities in the Maumee River Watershed on Harmful Algal Blooms in Lake Erie Ramiro Berardo, Ph.D. Francesca Formica Ajay Singh, Ph.D. Jeffrey Reutter, Ph.D. This work was supported by the National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center (SESYNC) under funding received from the National Science Foundation DBI-1052875. Acknowledgments: These slides were prepared by the authors of the case study, with the exception of some of the slides in lecture 1 (created by Dr. Richard Moore from the School of Environment and Natural Resources at The Ohio State University), the slides in Lecture 6 (produced by Aaron Thiel, Research Manager at the School of Freshwater Sciences-University of WisconsinMilwaukee), and the slides in lectures 1 and 3 (produced by Dr. Jeffrey Reutter, Special Advisor to the Ohio Sea Grant. Lecture 1 Lake Erie PC: Doug Smith, Star Tribune P.C.: Lake Erie Shores & Islands Algal Blooms in Lake Erie Common in the 1960s Gone in the 1970s and 1990s Return in mid-1990s PC: Toledo Blade Cuyahoga River burns in 1969 USEPA, NOAA, and 1st Earth Day in 1970 Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement 1972 • 62% Phosphorus reduction (29,000 metric tons to 11,000) Clean Water Act in 1972 PC: John Delmotte PC: Joe DePinto, LimnoTech HABs 2002-16 Severe HABs HABs are back 2011 Algal Bloom • Fish Kills • Swimming & Drinking Bans Toledo Water Crisis September, 3, 2011. Credit: University of Michigan, & Michigan Sea Grant PC: Tom Archer PC: Dr. Jeffrey Reutter Severity of blooms Forecast in early July What happened PC: http://sustainability.umich.edu Charts courtesy of NOAA.gov Index based on the amount of biomass over the peak 30-days What Really Causes Algal Blooms Microcystin toxins Nutrient runoff Algal bloom (cyanobacteria) Hypoxia Hand in Algal Bloom, Lake Erie . PC: Dr. Jeffrey Reutter Hand in Algal Bloom, Lake Erie . PC: Dr. Jeffrey Reutter Why do we target phosphorus (P)? • Normally limiting nutrient in freshwater systems • P reduction is best strategy ecologically and economically • Reducing both P and nitrogen (N) will help the most • Can solve problem by reducing only P • Nitrogen is more important than originally thought • Cannot solve it by reducing only N • Best solution is to reduce both Not all P is created equal • Total P (TP) = particulate P (PP) and dissolved reactive P (DRP) • PP is about 25% bioavailable • DRP is 100% bioavailable • DRP load up ~150% since the mid ‘90s! • Most BMPs have focused on PP (stopping erosion) • Removing 1 ton of DRP = removing 4 tons of PP Where Do These Nutrients Come From? Pollution Point sources • Wastewater treatment plants & combined sewer overflow • Home sewage treatment systems • Industrial sources Non point sources • • • • Agriculture Lawn care fertilizers Dish & laundry detergents Storm water, subsurface drainage, surface runoff. Diagram credit: World Resources Institute GLWQA Annex 4 (Nutrients) Charge to Objectives and Targets Task Team • Provide science-based recommendations to address: • HABs—primarily Western Basin problem • Hypoxia—Central Basin problem • Cladophora—primarily an Eastern Basin north shore problem—NO TARGET YET • Adaptive management approach • TT identified 14 Priority tributaries • 40% P reduction in the Spring • Goal: Blooms like 2012 or smaller 90% of time • 40% annual reduction for hypoxia • Goal: Average hypolimnetic DO above 2.0 mg/l 15 Mental Modeler Concept map of the different components of HAB 15-20 minutes Group activity Email screenshot to instructor Lecture 2 CORN (or Maize) Domesticated from teosinte over 6,300 years ago in Mexico. PC: John Doebley PC: Steve Snodgrass Native American Growing Strategy: THREE SISTERS PC: Mississippi Valley Archaeology Center CORN PC: Mississippi Valley Archaeology Center BEANS PC: kids.nationalgeographic.com/explore/history/first-thanksgiving/ PC: Mississippi Valley Archaeology Center PC: Mississippi Valley Archaeology Center SQUASH PC: Mississippi Valley Archaeology Center Native American Planting Strategy • Native Americans planted corn using multiple small hills or mounds in conjunction with beans and squash. • Advantages to multi-cropping include the concept of planting a nitrogen-fixing plant (in this case beans) in close approximation with a nitrogenintensive plant such as corn. PC: www.nativeamericannetroots.net Who Were They? • Algonquin tribes Ojibwa, Ottawa and Potawatomi occupied the lower Great Lakes region during most of the 16th and 17th centuries PC: http://udawoveru.htw.pl/interestingfacts-about-paleo-indians.php • Later, tribes of the Iroquois Nation, including the Erie, drove out many of the native tribes during the Beaver wars. • 18th century: other tribes settle such as the Miami and the Delaware. • North-central Ohio and Sandusky County were home to the Ottawa. PC: Jerry Fansworth • Other tribes that have inhabited Ohio: Illinois, Iroquois, Chippewa, Delaware, Erie, Ottawa, Potawatomi, Kickapoo, Kaskaskia, Miami, Huron, and Shawnee. Treaty of Greenville 1795 •After the defeat at the Battle of Fallen Timbers in 1794, the Miami, Shawnee, Delaware and Wyandot signed the Treaty of Greenville. •The treaty excluded Native Americans from living south of a diagonal line drawn through much of Ohio. European Americans soon broke the agreement by occupying lands to the north of the line. •Indian Removal Act (1830) PC: Tredyffrin Easttown Historical Society The Great Black Swamp • The Great Black Swamp designation • Refers to the area lying chiefly in the drainage basin of the Maumee River • Settlement • predominantly by Germans and British, • Began in the mid 1830's, • The fastest growth came 1850— 1900 PC: Maumee Valley Historical Society PC: Peter Henry Emerson Draining The 1859 Ohio Ditch Law, • created a cooperative system for individuals to petition county government to drain the area Simultaneous timbering and surface drainage projects The family-owned clay tile mills turned the swamp into Ohio's most contiguously farmed and productive land. PC: Hancock Historical Museum, Findlay, OH What is Drainage Tile? Sub surface drainage tile is a system of tubing (historically clay, now perforated polyethylene tubing) that is placed three to four feet deep under the surface of a farm field. The tile is perforated so it can absorb excess moisture from the soil around it. Efficient tile should lower the water table within 24 hours of a rainfall. Tiling Cons Water flowing out of the tiling can possibly increase flooding Losing wetlands means losing wildlife habitat Wetlands hold back heavy rains during rainy years Tile is a direct route that funnels manure and chemicals that attach to soils into the nearest river. The Maumee River Basin today PC: Maumee River Basin Partnership of Local Governments Historically, over 2 million acres out of approximately 3.2 million that are in the watershed consisted of wetlands. Today, however, most of those wetlands have been drained. Currently, there are: 1. nearly 2 million acres in agriculture, 2. 334,800 forested acres, 3. 410,500 urban and suburban acres, and 4. 212,400 acres in wetland and natural areas. The watershed also has mid-sized urban areas of Ft. Wayne, Indiana and Toledo, Ohio. How Do Agricultural Nutrients Enter the Water? PC: Lancaster County Conservation District PC: Permaculturenews.org PC: BBC News PC: extension.iastate.edu Phosphorous application Top-dress • broadcasting P on soil Banding • till P in fall or spring before planting Seed-placed • placed at time of seeding Side-banding • placed in-between rows Image source: plantsci.missouri.edu Figure source: Havlin et al. 2005 Mental Modeler Concept map of the different components of HAB 15-20 minutes Group activity Email screenshot to instructor Lecture 3 Social Ecological Systems and Institutional Robustness “Social-ecological systems are complex adaptive systems where public policy affects and is affected by the biophysical system in which it is embedded” A socio-ecological system consists of 'a bio-geophysical' unit and its associated social actors and institutions. Socio-ecological systems are complex and adaptive and delimited by spatial or functional boundaries surrounding particular ecosystems and their problem context. Source: Ostrom, Elinor. 2009. “A General Framework for Analyzing Sustainability of Social-Ecological Systems." Science (325, 24 July): 419-422. PC: http://www.thecommonsjournal.org/index.php/ijc/article/view/URN%3ANBN%3ANL%3AUI%3A10-1-114934/331 Source: Ostrom, Elinor. 2009. “A General Framework for Analyzing Sustainability of Social-Ecological Systems." Science (325, 24 July): 419422. Conclusions and Recent Findings 42% of acres responsible for 78% of P & sediment loss 42% of acres apply P above removal rates 1% of acres account for 40+% of sediment loss 1/3 of farmers not likely to take needed action without more aggressive encouragement Best Management Practices PC: NRCS PC: Lancaster Conservation District PC: Columbia Conservation District The Four R’s of Nutrient Management Credit: The Fertilizer Institute Group activity • Based on your reading of the two articles for today (Vollmer-Sanders et al. and Zhang et al)., answer the following questions: • What individual variables make farmers more likely to adopt farming best management practices? • What types of social ties affect the adoption of best management practices? • What are the variables that are likely to improve the success of partnerships to scale up conservation? Group activity (continued) • Working with your group, refine the mental model produced during the first class period. • Use Mental Modeler! Lecture 4 Stakeholder Analysis: what is it? Is a type of analysis that: a) Defines aspects of a social and natural phenomenon affected by a decision or action b) Identifies individuals, groups, and organizations who are affected by or can affect those parts of the phenomenon c) May establish priorities in regards to whom (what individuals and groups) should be involved in decision-making processes. What is a stakeholder? Whoever “owns a problem” (Checkland 1981) Polluters and victims (Coase 1960) The second definition has a limitation. What is that? In short, a stakeholders is simply anybody who has stakes on an issue (i.e. has a vested interest in seeing how the issue develops). Descriptive Stakeholder Analysis The goal is simply to describe an issue and who is involved in it. The SA is used to clarify a researcher’s understanding of a problem to be studied further through other means Normative Stakeholder Analysis The goal is to determine who should be involved on an issue, and have a saying in decision-making processes. It is used widely in the planning community in the early stages of planning efforts. Instrumental Stakeholder Analysis The goal is to understand how certain organizations (e.g. bureaucracies, donors, etc.) can identify and manage the behavior of stakeholders to accomplish certain goals. How to do it… Source: Reed et al. (2009) Rainbow Analysis Exercise In groups of 3 or 4 students, spend the next 10-15 minutes creating a Rainbow Diagram for the issue of algal blooms in Lake Erie (use the article by Yeager-Kozacek as the source of information for the analysis) You can use all the material that you’ve read up to this point on HABs to populate the rainbow diagram. What are the strengths and limitations of this technique? Lecture 5 Policy Instrument Responses Questions to keep in mind as we go over the next slides • What limitations do you see in the majority of the policy responses we will discuss • Can they collectively solve the problem of algal blooms in Lake Erie? • If not, what is needed? Policy Responses 1. Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement (GLWQA) Nutrient Annex process 2. Agreement Ohio-Michigan-Ontario 3. Tri-state TMDL 4. Senate Bill 1 (Ohio) 5. State-level programs Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement (GLWQA) Nutrient Annex process • Created by the International Joint Commission (IJC) • The IJC is a binational body (Canada and the U.S.) designed to foster cooperation to protect shared waters PC: International Joint Commission Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement (GLWQA) Nutrient Annex process (continued) • First Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement: 1972. • 1978, 1983, 1987 • Current version: 2012 • Purpose. to coordinate binational actions to manage phosphorus concentrations and loadings, and other nutrients if warranted, in the Waters of the Great Lakes Key Commitments (I) • “By 2016, develop binational objectives for phosphorus concentrations, loading targets, and loading allocations for Lake Erie… • US and Canada officially approved loading targets on 2/22/16 • 40% spring P reduction for HABs • Goal: Blooms like 2012 or smaller 90% of time Key Commitments (II) • By 2018, develop binational phosphorus reduction strategies and domestic action plans (DAPs) to meet the objectives for phosphorus concentrations and loading targets in Lake Erie” • Formed 4 new, binational Work Groups to address recommendations • Tributary Monitoring Work Group (30 members) • Load Estimation Work Group (14 members) • Algae and Lake Monitoring Work Group (19 members) • Modeling Work Group GLWQA Annex Substance Objectives. “To achieve Substance Objectives for phosphorus concentrations, the Parties shall develop phosphorus loading targets and allocations for each Great Lake” • • • • • • • Interim Phosphorus Load Targets (Metric Tons Total P Per Year) Lake Superior 3400 Lake Michigan 5600 Main Lake Huron 2800 Saginaw Bay 440 Lake Erie 11000 Lake Ontario 7000 Collaborative Agreement Michigan-OhioOntario • In June of 2015, the states of Ohio and Michigan signed an agreement with the Canadian Province of Ontario to reduce phosphorous loads to Lake Erie by 40% by 2025. • This goes in line with the GLWQA, which also suggests reducing loads by 40% Tri-state phosphorus TMDL The IJC has recommended that the governments of Michigan and Ohio, “under the US Clean Water Act, list the waters of the western basin of Lake Erie as impaired because of nutrient pollution; this would trigger the development of a tri-state phosphorus total maximum daily load (TMDL) involving those states and Indiana, with US EPA oversight (IJC, 2014).” Map of the Chesapeake Bay Watershed. The watershed encompasses six states and the District of Columbia. PC: US EPA SB-1 (the “Ohio Nutrient Law”) • Applies to western Lake Erie basin (11 watersheds) • Farmers are prohibited from spreading manure if there’s more than a 50% chance of ½ inch of rain within 24 hours. • They’re not to spread fertilizer if there’s more than a 50 % chance of a rain exceeding 1 inch, within 12 hours. • Requires Publically Owned Wastewater Treatment Works (POTWs) not subject to phosphorus limits to evaluate their ability to reduce discharges, and other actions related to reducing nutrient loads to Lake Erie • Prohibits dumping of dredge material in the open lake by 2020 Voluntary Conservation Programs… • Two largest: 1. Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) 2. Environmental Quality Incentives Program (EQIP) Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) • A cost-share and rental payment program under the United States Department of Agriculture (technical assistance provided by USDA’s Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS)). • Program is designed to help reduce soil erosion, improve water quality, increase wildlife habitat, etc. • The program encourages farmers to convert cropland to other uses that are “environmentally-friendly” (cover crops, windbreak trees, buffer strips, etc.). • Enrollment is voluntary PC: FSA USDA Environmental Quality Incentives Program (EQIP) • The Environmental Quality Incentives Program (EQIP) financially assists farmers who adopt or install conservation practices on land in agricultural production. • Practices that are funded included nutrient management, conservation tillage, field-edge filter strips, etc. • Applicants must: 1. 2. 3. 4. Be agricultural producer (person, legal entity, or joint operation) Control or own eligible land Have gross income of less than $900,000 Develop an NRCS EQIP plan of operations that addresses at least one natural resource concern. State Conservation Programs • OEPA’s Surface Water Improvement Fund: “provide grant funding to applicants such as local governments, park districts, conservation organizations and others” • ODNR’s Watershed Coordinator grant program: provides funding for permanent positions in local government, non-profit organizations or other organizations to prepare and implement a Watershed Action Plan (WAP) to restore or protect a water resource Question • What limitations do you see in the majority of these approaches? • Can they collectively solve the problem of algal blooms in Lake Erie? • If not, what is needed? Lecture 6 How to design a policy brief What Is a Policy Brief? • A document created to convince the target audience of the urgency of a current problem and the need to adopt an alternative policy or course of action to address that problem. • NOT a policy paper or a scientific paper. What Is a Policy Brief? Common Structural Elements • • • • • • • Title Executive summary Context and importance of issue (A.K.A. “Problem description”) Description of current policy or policies in place Alternative policy options Conclusion References What Is a Policy Brief? Who Reads These Things? • Decision makers • General knowledgeable audience • • • • Journalists Diplomats Administrators Researchers Effective Policy Briefs • Focused • Evidence-based • Limited • Succinct • Understandable • Practical and feasible In preparation for your brief: 1. Define the Issue • Clearly state the problem • Define the extent of the problem • Why is this a policy issue? 2. Identify Stakeholders • Who are the stakeholders? • What are the stakeholders’ positions on the issue? • What actions have stakeholders taken (if any?) 3. Lay Out the Issue Chronology • How did the issue emerge? • How has the issue evolved to the present? • How will the issue evolve under the status quo? 4. Describe Policy Status Quo • Describe major existing policies affecting your issue • Critique existing policies 5. Identify Policy Alternatives • Identify all major policy alternatives • Critique those alternatives Brief Preparation: Set Your Tone • Objective – provide a targeted discussion of the current policy alternatives without arguing for one in particular • Advocate – focus directly on providing an argument for the adoption of a particular alternative Writing the Brief Title • Make it descriptive • Make it eye-catching • Make reader want to continue reading Writing the Brief Executive Summary • Description of the problem • Statement on why the current approach/policy needs to change • Brief overview of policy alternatives • Your recommendation(s) for action • WRITE THIS LAST! Writing the Brief Context and Importance of Issue • Give a clear statement of the problem or issue in focus • Provide a short overview of the root causes of the problem • Select contextual information relevant to your argument and your audience be strategic • STRESS IMPORTANCE OF YOUR ISSUE! Writing the Brief Description of current policy or policies in place • Give a short overview of current policy affecting your issue • Provide an argument illustrating why and how the current approach is failing is failing • Remember: Current policy can be that there is no policy! Writing the Brief Alternative Policy Options • Delineate possible policy alternatives (minimum 3, maximum 5) decision makers could pursue • Clearly argue why these alternatives are better than the status quo Writing the Brief Conclusion • Restate the issue • Briefly summarize why existing policy is inadequate • Provide quick overview of policy alternative • Advocate for recommended policy alternative (optional) • ONE BRIEF PARAGRAPH! Writing the Brief References • Cite within text • List full references at the end • Use APA Writing the Brief Tables, Figures, & Text Boxes • Be judicious choose visuals that enhance your text • Includes captions that would allow figure to stand alone • Use text boxes to define terms or explain concepts introduced in text Writing the Brief Layout and Design • Use publishing software (e.g. Microsoft Publisher) • Two columns, single-spaced • 12 point text, reasonable font • Minimize white space • Use color Beginning your policy brief • Use the following questions to think about the structure and main messages contained in your brief • What is the problem that the brief addresses? Why is it important to pay attention to this problem? • Who is the audience? • Why is the problem important for the audience you choose? • What sort of background does your audience have? What is their technical knowledge about the issue, their legal knowledge about potential solutions? • How will your brief contribute to better understanding the problem and potential ways to solve it? References Eisele, F (n.d.). Preparing a Policy Brief Issue. Retrieved from https://www.courses.psu.edu/hpa/hpa301_fre1/IBInstructions_fa02.PDF IRDC (n.d.) Retrieved from http://www.idrc.ca/en/resources/tools_and_training/ documents/how-to-write-a-policy-brief.pdf WCHPC (2012). Writing Policy Briefs: A Guide to Translating Science and Engaging Stakeholders. Retrieved from http://www.jhsph.edu/research/centers-and-institutes/womens-and-childrens-health-policy-center/de/policy_brief/index.html Kopenski, Marc (2010). Policy Briefs. Retrieved from http://www.richmond.ac.uk/content/library/subjects/politics/policy-briefs.aspx Tsai (2006). Guidelines for Writing a Policy Brief [PDF Document]. Retrieved from http://jhunix.hcf.jhu.edu/~ktsai/ policybrief.html. Young, E. and Quinn, L (n.d.). The Policy Brief. Retrieved from http://www.policy.hu/ipf/fel-pubs/samples/PolicyBrief-described.pdf
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