Strengthening Private Sector Resilience under Conflict: Lessons Learned and the Way Forward 11-12 November 2008 The Need for Good Governance Reform Jad Chaaban Lebanese Economic Association 11-11-2008 J. Chaaban Main messages • Impediments to smooth business operations are pervasive in the Arab countries • This talk will focus on Governance as related to corruption: Bribes to “get things done” are a widespread phenomenon • Bribing can be the result of a self-enforcing mechanism, where the Government has little room to intervene – Corruption as “greasing the wheel” • Public sector wages and corporate taxes play an important role in limiting bribery • Institutional reform should be implemented to increase the efficiency of the public sector and strengthen private sector resilience 11-11-2008 J. Chaaban Reform in business regulations is good for job creation Following reforms to improve business registration: - Business registration went up by 18.8% from 1998 to 2004 in Pakistan; - Business entry increased by 28% in Vietnam; Source: World Bank Investment Climate Assessment, 2006 - Georgia reduced the minimum capital required to start a new business from 2,000 lari to 200 ($85). Business registrations rose by 20% between 2005 and 2006. 11-11-2008 J. Chaaban Growth and improved economic performance reduce the risk of civil war Risk of civil war (%) 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Typical low-income country Country with additional 2% growth, short term effect Source: Collier and Hoeffler, 2002. 11-11-2008 J. Chaaban Country with additional 2% growth, sustained for 10 years • Corruption is everywhere: – – – – – – – 'hongbao' in China 'baksheesh' in Arab countries 'matabiche' in central Africa 'propina' in Latin America, 'pots de vin' in France 'mazzetta' in Italy or just plain bribery. • On average, 35% of firms in developing countries pay bribes to get things done • As high as 50% in Lebanon and 75% in Algeria • Business regulations impose a high burden on companies, and this exacerbates the negative impact of conflict 11-11-2008 J. Chaaban Doing business legislation in Iraq, Lebanon and Palestine is highly inefficient with regards to investment under uncertainty Iraq Lebanon Palestine Middle East & North Africa 141 85 117 .. .. Procedures (number) 51 37 44 42.5 31.3 Time (days) 520 721 700 659.3 443.3 Cost (% of debt) 32.5 30.8 21.2 23.7 17.7 Time (years) no practice 4 no practice 3.7 1.3 Cost (% of estate) no practice 22 no practice 13.9 7.5 0 19.1 0 25.8 74.1 Ease of Doing Business Rank Enforcing Contracts Closing a Business Recovery rate (cents on the dollar) Source: World Bank Doing Business Database 11-11-2008 J. Chaaban OECD Days of Delay and Percent of Firms Saying Payment Required for Services, Approvals - Lebanon 140 Delays in obtaining the following services ( Days) 120 100 Percent of Respondents saying gift/payment required 80 60 40 20 0 electrical construction connection 11-11-2008 permit Source: World Bank Investment Climate Assessment, 2006 operating license import license J. Chaaban water connection mainline telephone connection Number of procedures Delay in days Cost (%income) Minimum capital required (%income) Egypt 10 22 105 740 -0.4 Iraq 11 77 37 32 -1.3 Jordan 11 18 86 1,012 0.3 Kuwait 13 35 2 134 0.8 Lebanon 6 46 123 69 -0.4 Oman 9 34 5 97 0.7 Saudi Arabia 13 64 69 1,237 0.2 Sudan 10 39 68 0 -1.4 Syria 12 43 35 5,112 -0.6 Tunisia 10 11 10 30 0.1 Palestine 12 106 244 1,410 -1.1 United Arab Emirates 12 63 44 417 1.1 Yemen 12 63 240 2,703 -0.6 Arab mean 11 48 82 999 -0.2 World mean 10 47 69 194 -0.1 OECD 7 20 7 41 1.9 Canada 11-11-2008 2 3 J. Chaaban 0.6 0 1.9 Countries Source: World Bank Doing Business and Governance databases, 2005 Corruption index 11-11-2008 J. Chaaban • It seems that firms prefer to: – Evade taxes: thus low revenues to finance public sector reforms – Pay bribes: poor entrepreneurs who cannot afford paying bribes are excluded Sales amount reported by a typical firm for tax purposes (%) Egypt Lebanon Oman Syria Yemen • Parallel ‘market’ for business registration transactions • Solutions: Streamlining of procedures Incentive pay for public servants Higher income taxes on firms: more accountability 11-11-2008 J. Chaaban 83 50 71 51 45 11-11-2008 J. Chaaban Recommendations Establishment or incorporation Establishment of a business should be inexpensive and the process kept at a minimum. Minimum capital requirements should be at a minimum Ongoing operations Liquidation/ exit Compliance should be straightforward and inexpensive. Liquidation cost at a minimum. Voluntary liquidation should be a speedy matter. Labor law should not discourage hiring of foreign personnel Provide financial instruments to help firms in times of crisis Customs formalities inexpensive and speedy Thank you [email protected] 11-10-2008 J. Chaaban
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