Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and Fuzzy Sets

Institut für Politikwissenschaft
Schwerpunkt qualitative empirische Sozialforschung
Goethe-Universität Frankfurt
Fachbereich 03
Prof. Dr. Claudius Wagemann
Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA)
and Fuzzy Sets
22 April 2013:
Sets, Set Membership Calibration, Set
Operations
Pros and Cons of Crisp-Sets
Cons
Many real-world phenomena are not simply
dichotomous
The need for dichotomization
Loss of empirical information
Reduced robustness, since analysis becomes more
sensitive
Where to put the threshold?
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Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
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Pros and Cons of Crisp-Sets
Pros
Some phenomena are truly dichotomous
Also in statistics, dichotomies enjoy a recent revival
Dichotomies correspond better to our everyday
thinking
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Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
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Fuzzy Sets
Differences in kind
Differences in degree
Fuzzy sets versus crisp sets
Fuzzy sets versus interval scales
Fuzzy sets versus probabilities
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Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
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Basics of Fuzzy Sets – Calibration
• Calibration
– “Application of known and explicit external standards’
(Ragin)
– Common in natural sciences
• Thermometer
– Uncommon in social sciences
• Exceptions exist, such as “poverty” ($1 per day)
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Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
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Basics of Fuzzy Sets –
How to Calibrate Fuzzy Sets?
• Theory knowledge
– Meaning of concept
• Case knowledge
– Multiple data sources
• Back and forth between ideas and evidence
– Adjustment of fuzzy set definitions and scores
• Strong link between theory and data (validity)
• Qualitative and quantitative information
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Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
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Basics of Fuzzy Sets – Lingusitic Qualifiers
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Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
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Direct Method of Calibration
• Fix the qualitative anchors at 0.95, 0.5 and 0.05
• Logit function
• Indirect method of calibration
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Fuzzy Sets
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Set Operations
A
B
1
1
0
0
0.9
0.3
0
0.4
0
1
1
0
0.2
0.4
0.7
0.4
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A*B
A+B
Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
~A
~B
9
Set Operations
A
B
A*B
1
1
0
0
0.9
0.3
0
0.4
0
1
1
0
0.2
0.4
0.7
0.4
0
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A+B
Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
~A
~B
10
Set Operations
A
B
A*B
A+B
1
1
0
0
0.9
0.3
0
0.4
0
1
1
0
0.2
0.4
0.7
0.4
0
1
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Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
~A
~B
11
Set Operations
A
B
A*B
A+B
~A
1
1
0
0
0.9
0.3
0
0.4
0
1
1
0
0.2
0.4
0.7
0.4
0
1
0
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Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
~B
12
Set Operations
A
B
A*B
A+B
~A
~B
1
1
0
0
0.9
0.3
0
0.4
0
1
1
0
0.2
0.4
0.7
0.4
0
1
0
1
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Set Operations
A
B
A*B
A+B
~A
~B
1
1
0
0
0.9
0.3
0
0.4
0
1
1
0
0.2
0.4
0.7
0.4
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
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Set Operations
A
B
A*B
A+B
~A
~B
1
1
0
0
0.9
0.3
0
0.4
0
1
1
0
0.2
0.4
0.7
0.4
0
1
0
0
0.55???
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
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Set Operations
A
B
A*B
A+B
~A
~B
1
1
0
0
0.9
0.3
0
0.4
0
1
1
0
0.2
0.4
0.7
0.4
0
1
0
0
0.2
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
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Set Operations
A
B
A*B
A+B
~A
~B
1
1
0
0
0.9
0.3
0
0.4
0
1
1
0
0.2
0.4
0.7
0.4
0
1
0
0
0.2
1
1
1
0
0.9
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
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Set Operations
A
B
A*B
A+B
~A
~B
1
1
0
0
0.9
0.3
0
0.4
0
1
1
0
0.2
0.4
0.7
0.4
0
1
0
0
0.2
1
1
1
0
0.9
0
0
1
1
0.1
1
0
0
1
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Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
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Set Operations
A
B
A*B
A+B
~A
~B
1
1
0
0
0.9
0.3
0
0.4
0
1
1
0
0.2
0.4
0.7
0.4
0
1
0
0
0.2
1
1
1
0
0.9
0
0
1
1
0.1
1
0
0
1
0.8
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Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
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Set Operations
A
B
A*B
A+B
~A
~B
1
1
0
0
0.9
0.3
0
0.4
0
1
1
0
0.2
0.4
0.7
0.4
0
1
0
0
0.2
0.3
0
0.4
1
1
1
0
0.9
0.4
0.7
0.4
0
0
1
1
0.1
0.7
1
0.6
1
0
0
1
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.6
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Set Operations
A
B
C
D
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0.7
0.2
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.2
0.8
0.7
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A + B*(~C + ~D)
Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
~AB + B~C
21
Set Operations
A
B
C
D
A + B*(~C + ~D)
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0.7
0.2
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.2
0.8
0.7
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Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
~AB + B~C
22
Set Operations
A
B
C
D
A + B*(~C + ~D)
~AB + B~C
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0.7
0.2
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.2
0.8
0.7
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Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
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Set Operations
A
B
C
D
A + B*(~C + ~D)
~AB + B~C
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0.7
0.2
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.2
0.8
0.7
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Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
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Set Operations
A
B
C
D
A + B*(~C + ~D)
~AB + B~C
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0.7
0.2
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.2
0.8
0.7
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Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
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Set Operations
A
B
C
D
A + B*(~C + ~D)
~AB + B~C
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0.7
0.2
0.9
0.4
0.7
0.1
0.2
0.8
0.7
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Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
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Set Operations
A
B
C
D
A + B*(~C + ~D)
~AB + B~C
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0.7
0.2
0.9
0.4
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.8
0.7
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Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
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Set Operations
A
B
C
D
A + B*(~C + ~D)
~AB + B~C
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0.7
0.2
0.9
0.4
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.8
0.7
0.2
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Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and
Fuzzy Sets
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Set Operations
A
B
C
D
A + B*(~C + ~D)
~AB + B~C
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0.7
0.2
0.9
0.4
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.8
0.7
0.2
0.2
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Fuzzy Sets
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Notational Systems
“AND”
Logic of propositions:
Conjunction 
Boolean algebra:
Multiplication *
Set theory:
Intersection 
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Fuzzy Sets
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Notational Systems
“OR”
Logic of propositions:
Disjunction 
Boolean algebra:
Addition +
Set theory:
Union 
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Fuzzy Sets
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Notational Systems
“NOT”
Logic of propositions:
Complement  
Boolean algebra:
Negation 1 - A
Set theory:
Negative set
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Fuzzy Sets
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Notational Systems
Inclusion
Logic of propositions:
If-then relation  
Boolean algebra:
./.
Set theory:
Subset 
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Fuzzy Sets
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Negation of Expressions
~(A*B) = ~A + ~B
~(A + B) = ~A~B
~(AB + ~CD) =
(~A+~B) * (C + ~D)
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Fuzzy Sets
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More Rules
A*~A = 0
A + ~A = 1
A + AB = A
A*(B + C) = AB + AC
A*(AB + ~A~B + A~B) =
= AAB + A~A~B + A~B =
= AB + A~B =
= A (B + ~B) =
=A
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Fuzzy Sets
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