Krzyś Ostaszewski, http://www.math.ilstu.edu/krzysio/ Author of a study manual for exam FM available at: http://smartURL.it/krzysioFM (paper) or http://smartURL.it/krzysioFMe (electronic) Instructor for online seminar for exam FM: http://smartURL.it/onlineactuary If you find these exercises valuable, please consider buying the manual or attending our seminar, and if you can’t, please consider making a donation to the Actuarial Program at Illinois State University: https://www.math.ilstu.edu/actuary/giving/. Donations will be used for scholarships for actuarial students. Donations are tax-deductible to the extent allowed by law. SOA Sample Questions for Derivatives Markets, Problem No. 16, and Dr. Ostaszewski’s online exercise No. 230 posted October 10, 2009 The current price of a non-dividend paying stock is 40 and the continuously compounded risk-free rate of return is 8%. In addition, you are given the following table of call and put option premiums for various exercise prices: Exercise Price Call Premium Put Premium 35 6.13 0.44 40 2.78 1.99 45 0.97 5.08 You are interested in speculating on volatility in the stock price, and are comparing two investment strategies. The first is a 40-strike straddle. The second is a strangle consisting of a 35-strike put and a 45-strike call. For what range of stock prices in 3 months does the strangle outperform the straddle? A. The strangle never outperforms the straddle B. 33.56 < ST < 46.44 C. 35.13 < ST < 44.87 D. 36.57 < ST < 43.43 E. The strangle always outperforms the straddle Solution. The straddle consists of buying a 40-strike call and buying a 40-strike put. The cost of the straddle is 2.78 + 1.99 = 4.77 at t = 0, and that cost accumulated with interest at time t = 0.25 is 4.77e0.02 ≈ 4.87. The strangle consists of buying a 35-strike put and a 45strike call. This costs 0.44 + 0.97 = 1.41 at time t = 0, and the cost grows to 1.41e0.02 ≈ 1.44 at time t = 0.25. Now us first consider the profit of the straddle. For ST < 40, the straddle has a profit of 40 − ST − 4.87 = 35.13 − ST , while for ST ≥ 40, the straddle has a profit of ST − 40 − 4.87 = ST − 44.87. Now let us consider the profit of the strangle. For ST < 35, the strangle has a profit of 35 − ST − 1.44 = 33.56 − ST , while for 35 ≤ ST < 45, its profit is −1.44, and for ST > 45, the strangle has a profit of ST − 45 − 1.44 = ST − 46.44. Comparing the payoff structures between the straddle and strangle, we see that if ST < 35 or if ST ≥ 45, the straddle would outperform the strangle, since 35.13 > 33.56 and −44.87 > −46.44. However, if 35 ≤ ST < 45, we can solve for the two boundary points for ST , where the strangle would outperform the straddle by considering the inequalities: −1.44 > 35.13 − ST and −1.44 > ST − 44.87. The first inequality gives ST > 36.57, while the second inequality gives ST < 43.43. We conclude that the range we are seeking is 36.57 < ST < 43.43. Answer D. © Copyright 2009 by Krzysztof Ostaszewski. All rights reserved. Reproduction in whole or in part without express written permission from the author is strictly prohibited. Exercises from the past actuarial examinations are copyrighted by the Society of Actuaries and/or Casualty Actuarial Society and are used here with permission.
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