[Session 7 & 8] June 2016 Education Course Notes ACCA P4 Advanced Financial Management Session 7 and 8 Chapter 9 Patrick Lui [email protected] Prepared by Patrick Lui P. 219 ACCA Education Class 4 Copyright @ Kaplan Financial 2016 Education Course Notes [Session 7 & 8] Chapter 9 Financing Mergers and Acquisitions LEARNING OBJECTIVES 1. 2. 3. Compare the various sources of financing available for a proposed cash-based acquisition. Evaluate the advantages and disadvantages of a financial offer for a given acquisition proposal using pure or mixed mode financing and recommend the most appropriate offer to be made. Assess the impact of a given financial offer on the reported financial position and performance of the acquirer. Financing Mergers and Acquisitions Methods of Financing Mergers Assessing a Given Offer Cash offer Market Values During a Takeover Bid Share Exchange EPS before & after a Takeover Convertible Loan Stock Buying on a higher P/E ratio with Profit Growth Mezzanine Finance Evaluating a Share for Share Exchange Effect of an Offer On Financial Position & Performance Effects on Earnings Earn-out Management Choice between Cash & Paper Offer Prepared by Patrick Lui P. 220 Copyright @ Kaplan Financial 2016 Education Course Notes [Session 7 & 8] 1. Methods of Financing Mergers 1.1 Cash offer (Jun 11, Dec 12, Jun 13, Dec 13) 1.1.1 In a cash offer, the target company shareholders are offered a fixed cash sum per share. 1.1.2 This method is likely to be suitable only for relatively small acquisitions, unless the bidding entity has an accumulation of cash. 1.1.3 Advantages from acquirer’s point of view: (a) When the bidder has sufficient cash, the takeover can be achieved quickly and at low cost. (b) It gives a greater chance of success. The alternative methods carry with them some uncertainty about their true worth. Cash has an obvious value and is therefore preferred by vendors, especially when markets are volatile. (c) The acquirer’s shareholders retain the same level of control over their company. That is, new shareholders from the target have not suddenly taken possession of a proportion of the acquiring firm’s voting rights, as they would if the target shareholders were offered shares in the acquirer. 1.1.4 Advantages from the target shareholders’ point of view: (a) Target company shareholders have certainty about the bid’s value. i.e. there is less risk compared to accepting shares in the bidding company. (b) There is increased liquidity to target company shareholders, i.e. accepting cash in a takeover, is a good way of realizing an investment. 1.1.5 Disadvantages from acquirer’s point of view: (a) With large acquisitions the bidder must often borrow in the capital markets or issue new shares in order to raise the cash. This may have an adverse effect on gearing, and also cost of capital due to the increased financial risk. 1.1.6 Disadvantages from the target shareholders’ point of view: (a) In some jurisdictions a taxable chargeable gain will arise if shares are sold for cash, but the gain may not be immediately chargeable to tax under a share exchange. 1.1.7 Funding cash offers: (a) Cash retained from earnings This is a common way when the firm to be acquired is small compared to the acquiring firm, but not very common if the target firm is large relative to the acquiring firm. (b) The proceeds of a debt issue This is the company may raise money by issuing bonds. This is not an Prepared by Patrick Lui P. 221 Copyright @ Kaplan Financial 2016 Education Course Notes [Session 7 & 8] approach that is normally taken, because the act of issuing bonds will alert (c) (d) 1.2 the markets to the intentions of the company to bid for another company and it may lead investors to buy the shares of potential targets, raising their price. A loan facility from a bank This can be done as a short term funding strategy, until the bid is accepted and then the company is free to make a bond issue. Mezzanine finance This may be the only route for companies that do not have access to the bond markets in order to issue bonds. Share exchange (Dec 12, Jun 13, Dec 13) 1.2.1 In a share exchange, the bidding company issues some new shares and then exchanges them with the target company shareholders. 1.2.2 Large acquisitions almost always involve an exchange of shares, in whole or in part. 1.2.3 Advantages: (a) The bidding company does not have to raise cash to make the payment. (b) The bidding company can ‘boot strap’ earnings per share if it has a higher P/E ratio than the acquired entity. (c) Shareholder capital is increased – and gearing similarly improved – as the shareholders of the acquired company become shareholders in the post acquisition company. (d) A share exchange can be used to finance very large acquisitions. 1.2.4 Disadvantages: (a) The bidding company’s shareholders have to share future gains with the acquired entity, and the current shareholders will have a lower proportionate control and share in profits of the combined entity than before. (b) Price risk – there is a risk that the market price of the bidding company’s shares will fall during the bidding process, which will result in the bid failing. For example, if a 1 for 2 share exchange is offered based on the fact that the bidding company’s shares are worth approximately double the value of the target company’s shares, the bid might fail if the value of the bidding company’s shares falls before the acceptance date. Prepared by Patrick Lui P. 222 Copyright @ Kaplan Financial 2016 Education Course Notes 1.3 [Session 7 & 8] Convertible loan stock 1.3.1 Alternative forms of paper consideration, including debentures, loan stock and preference shares, are not so commonly used, due to: (a) difficulties in establishing a rate of return that will be attractive to target shareholders (b) the effects on the gearing level of the acquiring company (c) the change in the structure of the target shareholders’ portfolios (d) the securities being potentially less marketable, and possibly lacking voting rights 1.3.2 Issuing convertible loan stock will overcome some of these drawbacks, by offering the target shareholders the option of partaking in the future profits of the company if they wish. 1.4 Mezzanine finance (夾層融資) (Dec 09) 1.4.1 Mezzanine debt is one mechanism by which a small, high growth frim can raise debt finance where the risk of default is high and/or there is low level of asset coverage for the loan. 1.4.2 It is a debt that incorporates equity-based options, such as warrants, with a lower-priority debt. Mezzanine debt is actually closer to equity than debt, in that the debt is usually only of importance in the event of bankruptcy. Mezzanine debt is often used to finance acquisitions and buyouts. 1.4.3 The issue of warrants gives the lender the opportunity to participate in the success of the venture but with a reasonable level of coupon assured. 1.4.4 However, the disadvantage for the current equity investors is that the value of their investment will be reduced by the value of the warrants issued. 1.4.5 Characteristics: (a) short-to-medium term (b) unsecured (c) (d) because they are unsecured, attract a much higher rate of interest than secured debt (typically 4% or 5% above LIBOR) often, give the holder the option to exchange the loan for shares after the takeover Prepared by Patrick Lui P. 223 Copyright @ Kaplan Financial 2016 Education Course Notes 1.5 [Session 7 & 8] Earn-out management 1.5.1 The purchase consideration is sometimes structured so that there is an initial amount paid at the time of acquisition, and the balanced deferred. 1.5.2 Some of the deferred balance will usually only become payable if the target entity achieves specified performance targets. 1.6 The choice between a cash offer and a paper offer (Dec 12, Jun 13) 1.6.1 The choice between cash and paper offers (or a combination of both) will depend on how the different methods are viewed by the company and its existing shareholders, and on the attitudes of the shareholders of the target company. 1.6.2 The factors that the directors of the bidding company must consider include the following. Company and its existing shareholders Dilution of EPS Fall in EPS attributable to existing shareholders may occur if purchase consideration is in equity shares Cost to the company Use of loan stock to back cash offer will attract tax relief on interest and have lower cost than equity. Convertible loan stock can have lower coupon rate than ordinary stock Gearing Highly geared company may not be able to issue further loan stock to obtain cash for cash offer Control Control could change considerably if large number of new shares issued Authorised increase share capital May be required if consideration is in form of shares. This will involve calling a general meeting to pass the necessary resolution Borrowing limits increase Prepared by Patrick Lui General meeting resolution also required if borrowing limits have to change P. 224 Copyright @ Kaplan Financial 2016 Education Course Notes [Session 7 & 8] Shareholders in target company Taxation If consideration is cash, many investors may suffer immediate liability to tax on capital gain Income If consideration is not cash, arrangement must mean existing income is maintained, or be compensated by suitable capital gain or reasonable growth expectations Future investments Shareholders who want to retain stake in target business may prefer shares Share price If consideration is shares, recipients will want to be sure that the shares retain their values 2. Assessing a Given Offer 2.1 The market values of the companies’ shares during a takeover bid 2.1.1 Market share prices can be very important during a takeover bid. Example 1 Suppose that ABC Inc decides to make a takeover bid for the shares of BBC Inc. BBC Inc shares are currently quoted on the market at $2 each. ABC shares are quoted at $4.50 and ABC offers one of its shares for every two shares in BBC, thus making an offer at current market values worth $2.25 per share in BBC. This is only the value of the bid so long as ABC's shares remain valued at $4.50. If their value falls, the bid will become less attractive. This is why companies that make takeover bids with a share exchange offer are always concerned that the market value of their shares should not fall during the takeover negotiations, before the target company's shareholders have decided whether to accept the bid. If the market price of the target company's shares rises above the offer price during the course of a takeover bid, the bid price will seem too low, and the takeover is then likely to fail, with shareholders in the target company refusing to sell their shares to the bidder. Prepared by Patrick Lui P. 225 Copyright @ Kaplan Financial 2016 Education Course Notes 2.2 [Session 7 & 8] EPS before and after a takeover 2.2.1 If one company acquires another by issuing shares, its EPS will go up or down according to the P/E ratio at which the target company has been bought. (a) (b) If the target company’s shares are bought at a higher P/E ratio than the predator company’s shares, the predator company’s shareholders will suffer a fall in EPS. If the target company’s shares are valued at a lower P/E ratio, the predator company’s shareholders will benefit from a rise in EPS. Example 2 X Ltd takes over Y Ltd by offering two shares in X Ltd for one share in Y Ltd. Details about each company are as follows. Number of shares Market value per share Annual earnings EPS P/E ratio X Ltd 2,800,000 $4 $560,000 20c 20 Y Ltd 100,000 $50,000 50c - By offering two shares in X Ltd worth $4 each for one share in Y Ltd, the valuation placed on each Y Ltd share is $8, and with Y Ltd’s EPS of 50c, this implies that Y Ltd would be acquired on a P/E ratio of 16. This is lower than P/E ratio of X Ltd, which is 20. If the acquisition produces no synergy, and there is no growth in the earnings of either X Ltd or its new subsidiary Y Ltd, then the EPS of X Ltd would still be higher than before, because Y Ltd was bought on a lower P/E ratio. The combined group’s results would be as follows. X Group 3,000,000 610,000 20.33c Number of shares (2,800,000 + 200,000) Annual earnings (560,000 + 50,000) EPS If the P/E ratio is still 20, the market value per share would be $4.07 (20.33 × 20), which is 7c more than the pre-takeover price. Prepared by Patrick Lui P. 226 Copyright @ Kaplan Financial 2016 Education Course Notes [Session 7 & 8] Example 3 X Ltd agrees to acquire the shares of Y Ltd in a share exchange arrangement. The agreed P/E ratio for Y Ltd’s shares is 15. Number of shares Market value per share Annual earnings P/E ratio X Ltd 3,000,000 $2 $600,000 10 Y Ltd 100,000 $120,000 - The EPS of Y Ltd is $1.20, and so the agreed price per share will be $1.2 × 15 = $18. In a share exchange agreement, X Ltd would have to issue nine new shares (valued at $2 each) to acquire each share in Y Ltd, and so a total of 900,000 new shares must be issued to complete the takeover. After the takeover, the enlarged company would have 3,900,000 shares in issue and, assuming no earnings growth, total earnings of $720,000. This would give an EPS of: $720,000 18.2c 3,900,000 The pre-takeover EPS of X Ltd was 20c, and so the EPS would fall. This is because Y Ltd has been bought on a higher P/E ratio (15 compared with X Ltd’s 10). The process of buying a company with a lower P/E ratio and looking to boost its P/E ratio to the predator company P/E ratio is known as bootstrapping. Whether the stock market is fooled by this process is debatable. The P/E ratio is likely to fall after the takeover in the absence of synergistic or other gains. Prepared by Patrick Lui P. 227 Copyright @ Kaplan Financial 2016 Education Course Notes 2.3 [Session 7 & 8] Buying companies on a higher P/E ratio, but with profit growth 2.3.1 Buying companies with a higher P/E ratio will result in a fall in EPS unless there is profit growth to offset this fall. Example 4 Suppose that X Ltd acquires Y Ltd by offering two shares in X Ltd for three shares in Y Ltd. Details of each company are as follows: Number of shares X Ltd 5,000,000 Y Ltd 3,000,000 Value per share Annual earnings Current $6 $4 $2,000,000 $600,000 Next year EPS P/E ratio $2,200,000 40c 15 $950,000 20c 20 X Ltd is acquiring Y Ltd on a higher P/E ratio, and it is only the profit growth in the acquired subsidiary that gives the enlarged X Ltd its growth in EPS. Number of shares (5,000,000 + 3,000,000 × 2/3) X Group 7,000,000 Earnings If no profit growth (2,000,000 + 600,000) $2,600,000 With profit growth (2,200,000 + 950,000) $3,150,000 EPS would have been 37.14c EPS will be 45c If an acquisition strategy involves buying companies on a higher P/E ratio, it is therefore essential for continuing EPS growth that the acquired companies offer prospects of strong profit growth. Prepared by Patrick Lui P. 228 Copyright @ Kaplan Financial 2016 Education Course Notes 2.4 [Session 7 & 8] Evaluating a share for share exchange 2.4.1 One popular question is to comment on the likely acceptance of a share for share offer. The procedure is as follows: (a) Value the acquiring company as an independent entity and hence calculate the value of a share in that company. (b) Repeat the procedure for the acquired company. (c) Calculate the value of the combined company post integration. This is calculated as: (d) (e) Value of acquiring company as independent company X Value of acquired company as independent company Value of any synergy X X Total value of combined company X Calculate the number of shares post integration: Number of shares originally in the acquiring company Number of shares issued to acquired company X X Total shares post integration X Calculate the value of a share in the combined company, and use this to assess the change in wealth of the shareholders after the takeover. Example 5 Company A has 200m shares with a current market value of $4 per share. Company B has 90m shares with a current market value of $2 per share. Company A makes an offer of 3 new shares for every 5 currently held in Company B. Company A has worked out that the present value of synergies will be $40m. Required: Calculate the expected value of a share in the combined company (assuming that the given share prices have not yet moved to anticipate the takeover), and advise the shareholders in Company B whether the offer should be accepted. Prepared by Patrick Lui P. 229 Copyright @ Kaplan Financial 2016 Education Course Notes [Session 7 & 8] Solution: Market value of Company A = $800m Market value of Company B = $180m PV of synergies = $40m Total = $1,020m No. of new shares = 200m + 3/5 × 90m = 254m New share price = $1,020m ÷ 254m = $4.02 A Shares 200m Market value $804m Old wealth $800m Change $4m B 3/5 × 90m = 54m 54m × $4 = $216m $180m $36m The wealth of the shareholders in Company B will increase by $36m as a consequence of the takeover. This is a (36/180) 20% increase in wealth. Company B’s shareholders should be advised to accept the 3 for 5 share for share offer. Example 6 Mavers Co and Power Co are listed on the Stock Exchange. Relevant information is as follows: Share price today Shares in issue Mavers Co $3.05 48 million Power Co $6.80 13 million Mavers Co wants to acquire 100% of the shares of Power Co. The directors are considering offering 2 new Mavers Co shares for every 1 Power Co share. Required: Evaluate whether the 2 for 1 share for share exchange will be likely to succeed. It necessary, recommend revised terms for the offer which would be likely to succeed. Prepared by Patrick Lui P. 230 Copyright @ Kaplan Financial 2016 Education Course Notes [Session 7 & 8] Solution: Value of Mavers Co = $3.05 × 48m shares = $146.4m Value of Power Co = $6.80 × 13m shares = $88.4m Total value (assuming no synergistic gains) = $146.4m + $88.4m = $234.8m No. of shares of post-integration = 48m + (2 × 13m) = 74m So the post-integration share price = $234.8m ÷ 74m = $3.173 Mavers Power Shares 48m 2 × 13m = 26m Market value $152.3m 26m × $3.173 = $82.5m Old wealth $146.4m $88.4m Change $5.9m –$5.9m Advice The Power Co shareholders will not accept a 2 for 1 share for share exchange since it causes their wealth to reduce. Recommendation In order for the Power Co shareholders to be encouraged to accept the offer, it must offer them a gain in wealth. To make sure that Mavers Co is valuing Power Co at its current market value, the value of the offer needs to be at least $88.4m in total. Given the current Mavers Co share of $3.05, this amounts to $88.4m/$3.05 = 28.98m shares in Mavers Co. An exchange of 28.98m Mavers Co shares for the 13m Power Co shares represents a ratio of 28.98m to 13m or 2.23 to 1. However, if the terms of the offer were to be exactly 2.23 Mavers Co shares for every 1 share in Power Co, there would be no incentive for the Power Co shareholders to sell. In order to encourage Power Co’s shareholders to sell, a premium would have to be offered. Hence, an offer of (say) 2.5 Mavers Co shares for every 1 share in Power Co would probably be needed to encourage the Power Co shareholders to sell. Prepared by Patrick Lui P. 231 Copyright @ Kaplan Financial 2016 Education Course Notes [Session 7 & 8] Position of Mavers Co shareholders In this situation, where no synergistic gains are included in the calculations, a gain to Power Co’s shareholders will result in a corresponding loss to the Mavers Co shareholders. Clearly Mavers Co would not want to proceed with the takeover in these circumstances. Unless some synergies can be generated, to improve the wealth of the overall company after the acquisition, there is no way of structuring the deal so that both sets of shareholders will be satisfied. 3. Effect of an Offer on Financial Position and Performance 3.1 Effects on earnings 3.1.1 Failures of takeovers often result from inadequate integration of the companies after the takeover has taken place. There is a tendency for senior management to devote their energies to the next acquisition rather than to the newly-acquired firm. The particular approach adopted will depend upon the culture of the organisation as well as the nature of the company acquired and how it fits into the amalgamated organisation (eg horizontally, vertically, or as part of a diversified conglomerate). 3.1.2 One obvious place to start is to assess how the merger will affect earnings. P/E ratios can be used as a rough indicator for assessing the impact on earnings. The higher the P/E Ratio of the acquiring firm compared to the target company, the greater the increase in Earnings per Share (EPS) to the acquiring firm. 3.1.3 Dilution of EPS occurs when the P/E ratio paid for the target exceeds the P/E ratio of the acquiring company. The size of the target's earnings is also important; the larger the target's earnings are relative to the acquirer, the greater the increase to EPS for the combined company. The following examples will illustrate these points. Example 7 X Co has plans to acquire Y Co by exchanging shares. X Ltd will issue 1.5 shares of its share for each share of Y Ltd. Financial information for the two companies is as follows: Net income Shares outstanding EPS Market price per share Prepared by Patrick Lui X Co $400,000 200,000 $2.00 $40.00 P. 232 Y Co $100,000 25,000 $4.00 $48.00 Copyright @ Kaplan Financial 2016 Education Course Notes [Session 7 & 8] X Ltd expects the P/E ratio for the combined company to be 15. What is the expected share price after the acquisition? Solution: Combined earnings = $400,000 + $100,000 = $500,000 Combined shares = 200,000 shares + (25,000 × 1.5) = 237,500 Combined EPS = $500,000 / 237,500 = $2.11 Expected price of share = expected P/E ratio × combined EPS = 15 × $2.11 = $31.65 Prepared by Patrick Lui P. 233 Copyright @ Kaplan Financial 2016
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