TECHNICAL AND ALLOCATIVE EFFICIENCY OF INDIAN BANKS By Piyush Kumar Singh A Doctoral Dissertation Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Fellow Programme in Management of the Indian Institute of Management Indore March, 2014 TECHNICAL AND ALLOCATIVE EFFICIENCY OF INDIAN BANKS A Doctoral Dissertation Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Fellow Programme in Management Indian Institute of Management Indore By Piyush Kumar Singh March 2014 Thesis Advisory Committee: Prof. V.K. Gupta (Chair) Prof. Keyur Thaker (Member) Prof. Arun Kumar (Member) TECHNICAL AND ALLOCATIVE EFFICIENCY OF INDIAN BANKS Piyush Kumar Singh Abstract In India, dynamic and competitive banking environment, coupled with sectorial reforms, provides an interesting setting to examine the efficiency of banks. This study attempts to analyse the technical and allocative efficiency of Indian banks during 2008-2012 to offer an understanding of the operational efficiency and trends during the period. The extant literature suggests that conventional ratio-based performance measures are inadequate to address the different issues related to the scope of activities of modern banking, viz. resource allocation, optimal strategy selection, inefficiencies associated with cost and the revenue side of banking operations. Sophisticated performance measurement techniques would be required to provide useful insights about the effectiveness, efficiency and stability of the banks. Hence, to examine the importance of these aspects for Indian banks, this study employs frontier approach to estimate different efficiencies. We use Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), a non-parametric, mathematical programming technique, to estimate technical and profit efficiency (PE) of 66 Indian banks (26 public, 19 private and 21 foreign banks). A two-stage approach is applied to estimate and validate the results of technical efficiency under different scales of economics i.e. Constant Returns of Scale (CRS) and Variable Returns of Scale (VRS). In the first stage, DEA is employed to estimate overall technical efficiency (OTE), pure technical efficiency (PTE) and scale efficiency (SE), under both scales of economics. In the second stage, cross validation and value judgment analysis are conducted to examine the importance of different operational variables in banking efficiency. Finally, profit efficiency is estimated by employing DEA at VRS. The study reinforces the use of DEA for measurement of the operational efficiency of Indian banks to investigate the contribution of various input and output variables. Results indicate that small public sector banks reported higher OTE scores than larger public sector banks, while large and small private sector banks reported improvement on OTE scores over the study period. On the contrary, small and large foreign banks reported decreasing OTE scores after 2008 and 2009. No significant change is observed in PTE scores of small and large public sector banks. Unlike public sector banks, private banks yield heterogeneity in PTE scores and small foreign banks reported a trend of decreasing PTE scores. Further results show that large public sector banks had better scale efficiency as compared to small public sector banks. SE scores of large and small foreign bank decreased during the study period. Finally the study reports that large public, private and foreign sector banks were more profit efficient than small and medium banks in their respective groups. This study provides a better understanding of different operational efficiencies, ie. OTE, PTE, SE and PE, of Indian banks during 2008-2012. The value judgement and cross validation analysis provide different perspectives in banking operations. The outcomes point towards different ways of managing bank resources for improving efficiency of operations in terms of both input (cost) and output (revenue). Further, it stresses the importance of different variables in banking operations and their impact on operational efficiency. Table of Contents Chapter Topics 1. 2. 3. 4. Introduction……………………………………………………… Statement of the Problem.....……………........................... Structure of the Thesis…………........................................ Review of Literature…………………………………………....... Overview of Indian Banking Industry………………….. Banking efficiency……………………….......................... Types of Efficiencies…………………………………….. Scale and Scope efficiency……………………….……… ‘X’ Efficiency…………………………………..... Technical Efficiency……………….…… Allocative Efficiency…………………... Cost Efficiency………………….. Profit Efficiency………………... Banking Efficiency in Indian Context........……................ Research Gap………....……………….............................. Research Objectives…....………………………................ Research Questions…………....………………................. Methodology……………………………………………............... Evolution of Different Methodologies..……………….... Ratio Analysis......………………………............... Frontier Approach..………....……………............. Deterministic Approach………………........... Non Parametric Techniques…..................... Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA)..... Model ‘A’………………………... Stage I.……….................... Stage II……….................... Model ‘B’…………………........... Model ‘C’…………………........... DEA in Indian Context………… Frontier Development for Indian Banks……………….. Data……………………………………………….……... Small and Large Banks…………....................................... Input/ Output Variables selection.............. Result Analysis............................................................................... Page no. 01 05 05 06 06 09 10 11 12 13 14 14 17 19 21 22 23 24 25 25 26 27 28 29 32 32 38 39 42 44 46 52 53 55 58 0 5. 6. 7. 8. Technical Efficiency…………........……………............... Stage I……………………………....…................ Overall Technical Efficiency (OTE)......... Pure Technical Efficiency (PTE)................ Scale Efficiency (SE)........…….............................. Stage II………………….......…............... Cross Validation Analysis……...... Value –Judgment Analysis…….... Profit Efficiency (PE)............…......................................... Discussion………………………………………………………... Mapping of Technical and Allocative Efficiency............... Overall Technical Efficiency, Scale Efficiency and Pure Technical Efficiency................................ Cross Validation & Value Judgement Analysis..... Profit Efficiency...................................................... Constraint of Technical and Allocative efficiency............. Trends of the Technical and Allocative Efficiency............ Implications……………………………............................. Conclusions………………………………………………............. Contributions………………....…………………............... Limitation and Future Research……………...................... References………………………………………………………... Appendix……………………………………………..……........... 58 58 58 67 76 83 83 87 94 100 100 100 103 105 107 109 111 113 117 118 120 132 1 Index of Figures Figures Description Figure 1: Figure 2: Composite framework of banking efficiency Inefficiency measurement in deterministic and stochastic approaches Methodological framework OTE, PTE and SE measures Isoquant curve development of bank ‘A’ A group of isoquant curves for a group of banks Development of frontier from a group of isoquant curves Approximate positioning of Indian banks on frontier chart Illustration of Frontier Approach Approximate positioning of Indian banks in profit efficiency frontier chart Intermediation approach of banking operation Average OTE of large and small public sector banks under CRS Average OTE of large and small private sector banks under CRS Average OTE of large and small foreign banks under CRS Average OTE of small public, private and foreign banks under CRS Average OTE of large public, private and foreign banks under CRS Mean OTE of public, private and foreign banks under CRS Standard deviation of OTE of public, private and foreign banks under CRS Average PTE of large and small public sector banks under VRS Average PTE of large and small private sector banks under VRS Average PTE of large and small foreign banks under VRS Average PTE of public, private and foreign banks under VRS Standard deviation of PTE of public, private and foreign banks under VRS Average PTE of large public, private and foreign banks under VRS Average PTE of small public, private and foreign banks under VRS Average SE of large and small public sector banks under VRS Average SE of large and small private sector banks under VRS Average SE of large and small foreign banks under VRS Average SE of public, private and foreign banks under VRS Figure Figure Figure Figure Figure Figure Figure Figure 3: 4: 5: 6: 7: 8: 9: 10: Figure 11: Figure 12: Figure 13: Figure 14: Figure 15: Figure 16: Figure 17: Figure 18: Figure Figure Figure Figure Figure 19: 20: 21: 22: 23: Figure 24: Figure 25: Figure Figure Figure Figure 26: 27: 28: 29: Page No. 11 19 24 34 48 49 49 50 51 52 56 60 63 65 65 66 66 67 69 71 73 74 74 75 75 77 79 81 81 2 Figure 30: Standard deviation of SE of public, private and foreign banks under VRS Figure 31: Average SE of large public, private and foreign banks under VRS Figure 32: Average SE of small public, private and foreign banks under VRS Figure 33: Average profit efficiency of public sector banks Figure 34: Trend of standard deviation of APE of public sector banks Figure 35: Average profit efficiency of private sector banks Figure 36: Trend of standard deviation of APE of private sector banks Figure 37: Average profit efficiency of foreign banks Figure 38: Trend of standard deviation of APE of foreign banks Figure 39: Trend of standard deviation of APE of large public, private and foreign banks Figure 40: Trend of standard deviation of APE of medium public, private and foreign banks Figure 41: Trend of standard deviation of APE of small public, private and foreign banks 82 82 83 95 95 96 97 97 98 98 99 99 3 Index of Tables Tables Description Table Table Table Table Table 1: 2: 3: 4: 5: Table 6: Table Table Table Table 7: 8: 9: 10: Table 11: Table 12: Table 13: Table 14: Table 15: Table 16: Table 17: Table 18: Table 19: Table 20 Table 21: Table 22: Table 23: Table 24: Key Ratios of Indian Banks Balance Sheet Details of Indian Banks Income Statement Details of Indian Banks Classification of Loan Assets - Bank Group wise Amalgamation of Banking Efficiencies and Frontier Approaches Different Approaches of Variable Selection (International Studies) Data Envelopment Analysis in India context Variables of Different Models Abbreviation of the Banks Over all Technical Efficiency (OTE) of Public Sector Banks under CRS Average OTE of Large and Small Public Sector Banks under CRS Summary of the Output Slacks of Public Sector Banks (2008) under CRS Summary of the Input Slacks of Public Sector Banks (2008) under CRS Summary of the Output Slacks of Public Sector Banks (2009) under CRS Summary of the Input Slacks of Public Sector Banks (2009) under CRS Summary of the Output Slacks of Public Sector Banks (2010) under CRS Summary of the Input Slacks of Public Sector Banks (2010) under CRS Summary of the Output Slacks of Public Sector Banks (2011) under CRS Summary of the Input Slacks of Public Sector Banks (2011) under CRS Summary of the Output Slacks of Public Sector Banks (2012) under CRS Summary of the Input Slacks of Public Sector Banks (2012) under CRS Over all Technical Efficiency (OTE) of Private Sector Banks under CRS Average Overall Technical Efficiency of Large and Small Private Sector Banks under CRS Summary of the Output Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2008) under CRS Page No. 132 133 134 135 Location Appendix Appendix Appendix Appendix 136 Appendix 137 138 140 141 Appendix Appendix Appendix Appendix 59 60 142 Appendix 143 Appendix 144 Appendix 145 Appendix 146 Appendix 147 Appendix 148 Appendix 149 Appendix 150 Appendix 151 Appendix 62 63 152 Appendix 4 Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table 25: Summary of the Input Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2008) under CRS 153 26: Summary of the Output Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2009) under CRS 154 27: Summary of the Input Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2009) under CRS 28: Summary of the Output Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2010) under CRS 29: Summary of the Input Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2010) under CRS 30: Summary of the Output Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2011) under CRS 31: Summary of the Input Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2011) under CRS 32: Summary of the Output Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2012) under CRS 33: Summary of the Input Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2012) under CRS 34: Over all Technical Efficiency (OTE) of Foreign Banks under CRS 35: Average Overall Technical Efficiency of Large and Small Foreign Bank under CRS 36: Summary of the Output Slacks of Foreign Banks (2008) under CRS 37: Summary of the Input Slacks of Foreign Banks (2008) under CRS 38: Summary of the Output Slacks of Foreign Banks (2009) under CRS 39: Summary of the Input Slacks of Foreign Banks (2009) under CRS 40: Summary of the Output Slacks of Foreign Banks (2010) under CRS 41: Summary of the Input Slacks of Foreign Banks (2010) under CRS 42: Summary of the Output Slacks of Foreign Banks (2011) under CRS 43: Summary of the Input Slacks of Foreign Banks (2011) under CRS 44: Summary of the Output Slacks of Foreign Banks (2012) under CRS 45: Summary of the Input Slacks of Foreign Banks (2012) under CRS 46: Pure Technical Efficiency (PTE) of Public Sector Banks under VRS 47: Average PTE of Large and Small Public Sector Banks under VRS Appendix Appendix 155 Appendix 156 Appendix 157 Appendix 158 Appendix 159 Appendix 160 Appendix 161 Appendix 64 64 162 Appendix 163 Appendix 164 Appendix 165 Appendix 166 Appendix 167 Appendix 168 Appendix 179 Appendix 170 Appendix 171 Appendix 68 69 5 Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table 48: Summary of the Output Slacks of Public Banks (2008) under VRS 49: Summary of the Input Slacks of Public Banks (2008) under VRS 50: Summary of the Output Slacks of Public Banks (2009) under VRS 51: Summary of the Input Slacks of Public Banks (2009) under VRS 52: Summary of the Output Slacks of Public Banks (2010) under VRS Sector 172 Appendix 173 Appendix 174 Appendix 175 Appendix 176 Appendix 177 Appendix 178 Appendix 179 Appendix 180 Appendix 181 Appendix Sector Sector Sector Sector 53: Summary of the Input Slacks of Public Sector Banks (2010) under VRS 54: Summary of the Output Slacks of Public Sector Banks (2011) under VRS 55: Summary of the Input Slacks of Public Sector Banks (2011) under VRS 56: Summary of the Output Slacks of Public Sector Banks (2012) under VRS 57: Summary of the Input Slacks of Public Sector Banks (2012) under VRS 58: Pure Technical Efficiency (PTE) of Private Sector Banks under VRS 59: Average PTE of Large and Small Private Sector Banks under VRS 60: Summary of the Output Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2008) under VRS 61: Summary of the Input Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2008) under VRS 62: Summary of the Output Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2009) under VRS 63: Summary of the Input Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2009) under VRS 64: Summary of the Output Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2010) under VRS 65: Summary of the Input Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2010) under VRS 66: Summary of the Output Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2011) under VRS 67: Summary of the Input Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2011) under VRS 68: Summary of the Output Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2012) under VRS 69: Summary of the Input Slacks of Private Sector Banks (2012) under VRS 70: Pure Technical Efficiency (PTE) of Foreign Banks under VRS 70 71 182 Appendix 183 Appendix 184 Appendix 185 Appendix 186 Appendix 187 Appendix 188 Appendix 189 Appendix 190 Appendix 191 Appendix 72 6 Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table 71: Average PTE of Large and Small Foreign Banks under VRS 72: Summary of the Output Slacks of Foreign Banks (2008) under VRS 73: Summary of the Input Slacks of Foreign Banks (2008) under VRS 74: Summary of the Output Slacks of Foreign Banks (2009) under VRS 75: Summary of the Input Slacks of Foreign Banks (2009) under VRS 76: Summary of the Output Slacks of Foreign Banks (2010) under VRS 77: Summary of the Input Slacks of Foreign Banks (2010) under VRS 78: Summary of the Output Slacks of Foreign Banks (2011) under VRS 79: Summary of the Input Slacks of Foreign Banks (2011) under VRS 80: Summary of the Output Slacks of Foreign Banks (2012) under VRS 81: Summary of the Input Slacks of Foreign Banks (2012) under VRS 82: Scale Efficiency (SE) of Public Sector Banks under VRS 83: Average SE of Large and Small Public Sector Banks under VRS 84: Scale Efficiency (SE) of Private Sector Banks under VRS 85: Average SE of Large and Small Private Sector Banks under VRS 86: Scale Efficiency (SE) of Foreign Banks under VRS 87: Average SE of Large and Small Foreign Banks under VRS 88: Cross Validation Results of OTE of Public Sector Banks under CRS in 2008 89: Weights of Variables of Public Sector Banks in OTE Estimation in 2008 90: Cross Validation Results of OTE of Public Sector banks under CRS in 2009 91: Cross Validation Results of OTE of Public Sector banks under CRS in 2010 92: Cross Validation Results of OTE of Public Sector banks under CRS in 2011 93: Cross Validation Results of OTE of Public Sector banks under CRS in 2012 72 192 Appendix 193 Appendix 194 Appendix 195 Appendix 196 Appendix 197 Appendix 198 Appendix 199 Appendix 200 Appendix 201 Appendix 76 77 78 78 80 80 86 87 202 Appendix 203 Appendix 204 Appendix 205 Appendix 7 Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table Table 94: Cross Validation Results of OTE of Private Sector banks under CRS in 2008 95: Cross Validation Results of OTE of Private Sector banks under CRS in 2009 96: Cross Validation Results of OTE of Private Sector banks under CRS in 2010 97: Cross Validation Results of OTE of Private Sector banks under CRS in 2011 98: Cross Validation Results of OTE of Private Sector banks under CRS in 2012 99: Cross Validation Results of OTE of Foreign Sector banks under CRS in 2008 100: Cross Validation Results of OTE of Foreign Sector banks under CRS in 2009 101: Cross Validation Results of OTE of Foreign Sector banks under CRS in 2010 102: Cross Validation Results of OTE of Foreign Sector banks under CRS in 2011 103: Cross Validation Results of OTE of Foreign Sector banks under CRS in 2012 104: Original Data Set of Public Sector Banks for 2008 105: Analysis of the OTE of Bank of Baroda in 2008 106: Value Judgement Analysis of the OTE of Bank of Baroda in 2008 (1/2) 107: Value Judgement Analysis of the OTE of Bank of Baroda in 2008 (2/2) 108: Analysis of the OTE of Punjab National Bank in 2009 109: Value Judgement Analysis of the OTE of Punjab National Bank in 2009 (1/2) 110: Value Judgement Analysis of the OTE of Punjab National Bank in 2009 (2/2) 111: Analysis of the OTE of Corporation Bank in 2010 112: Value Judgement Analysis of the OTE of Corporation Bank in 2010 (1/2) 113: Value Judgement Analysis of the OTE of Corporation Bank in 2010 (2/2) 114: Analysis of the OTE of Allahabad Bank in 2011 115: Value Judgement Analysis of the OTE of Allahabad Bank in 2011 (1/2) 116: Value Judgement Analysis of the OTE of Allahabad Bank in 2011 (2/2) 117: Analysis of the OTE of Bank of Baroda in 2012 206 Appendix 207 Appendix 208 Appendix 209 Appendix 210 Appendix 211 Appendix 212 Appendix 213 Appendix 214 Appendix 215 Appendix 90 91 92 93 216 Appendix 217 Appendix 218 Appendix 219 Appendix 220 Appendix 221 Appendix 222 Appendix 223 Appendix 224 225 Appendix Appendix 8 Table 118: Value Judgement Analysis of the OTE of Bank of Baroda in 2012 (1/2) Table 119: Value Judgement Analysis of the OTE of Bank of Baroda in 2012 (2/2) Table 120: Average Profit Efficiency (APE) of Public Sector Banks Table 121: Standard Deviation of APE of Public Sector Banks Table 122: Average Profit Efficiency of Private Sector Banks Table 123: Standard Deviation of APE of Private Sector Banks Table 124: Average Profit Efficiency of Foreign Banks Table 125: Standard Deviation of APE of Foreign Banks Table 126: Weight Summary of Input/Output Variables of PSB for 2008 226 Appendix 227 Appendix 94 94 96 96 97 98 104 9
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