COLLIERS RADAR MIXED USE DEVELOPMENTS A balancing act Daniel Lees Director | Research [email protected] Sass J-Baleh Manager | Research [email protected] Summary Mixed use developments play an integral role in satisfying Australia’s need for residential housing supply. However achieving the right balance between commercial and residential use is not easy. In this edition of Colliers Radar, we examine: • Why mixed use developments are becoming increasingly important • The impact they have on the commercial property sector • What features make such developments successful Why mixed use? One of the most important topics addressed within Australia’s various state planning frameworks is the need for housing, with these planning frameworks becoming increasingly detailed. “A Plan for Growing Sydney” released in December 2014, outlines the importance of increasing housing supply, growing communities and improving infrastructure, however the upcoming amendment titled “Towards Our Greater Sydney 2056” by the Greater Sydney Commission scheduled for release at the end of 2017 will outline specific housing targets over the longer term. The draft version of this document outlines that projections for Sydney’s dwelling growth have been revised upwards by 9% since 2014, with the middle growth scenario indicating that an additional 725,000 dwellings will be required between 2016 and 2036. Under a high growth scenario an additional 830,000 dwellings will be required over the same period. However it is not just housing in isolation that must be addressed. The introduction of new housing supply must be balanced delicately in conjunction with zoning, urban regeneration projects, transport infrastructure developments, and perhaps most importantly job creation and economic prosperity. The Sydney Metropolitan Area accommodates over 2.4 million workers, however according to state planning documents, a major priority will be to support the generation of over 817,000 additional jobs by 2036. Delivering this plan for Sydney, which effectively aims to increase residential dwelling numbers, increase job numbers and also reduce commute time will rely overwhelmingly on effective mixed use development. How else will cities like Sydney increase housing supply while simultaneously guaranteeing no net loss of employment on existing employment generating precincts? Put simply, the vanilla strategy of converting traditional commercial centres to residential developments cannot proceed unchecked. Delivering this plan for Sydney, which effectively aims to increase residential dwelling numbers, increase job numbers and also reduce commute time will rely overwhelmingly on effective mixed use development. When evaluating the future redevelopment of existing employment sites into mixed use schemes, the following criteria must be satisfied: • Achieving the highest and best value use for the site • Maintaining employment functions on the site • Sustaining a resident population that can generate and retain expenditure within the local area • Provide opportunities for people to live and work within the local area, thereby enhancing employment retention • Making use of social and transport infrastructure in the immediate vicinity of the site (e.g. train stations, schools, and recreational parks). Colliers Radar | Mixed Use Developments | April 2017 The impact of mixed use on commercial real estate Market Hall (Rotterdam, The Netherlands) The term “mixed use” implies some form of balancing act. Residential developers will naturally try to maximise their residential density levels in order to increase dwelling yields and maximise returns on development. However left unchecked, this will be detrimental to employment which, as discussed, will not align to the greater plan for Sydney. Therefore in order to have large residential projects approved, developers will need to demonstrate their ability to balance this residential supply with appropriate allocations of commercial space, whether it be retail, office or light industrial. Given the ambitious residential and employment targets outlined by the Greater Sydney Commission, it is reasonable to assume that the number of mixed use projects in the development pipeline will only increase in the future. Currently, one of Sydney’s major mixed use project under urban redevelopment is the Green Square Town Centre development (278 hectares) – set to deliver around 30,500 dwellings with commercial and retail space creating around 22,000 jobs by 2030. The site previously accommodated Daimler Chrysler and historically was a significant industrial area. The urban renewal of Green Square has already acted as a catalyst for the identification of two ‘investigation areas’ (i.e. council will consider planning rezoning proposals) to support the wider objectives of the area. • A global example of a successful mixed use development. • 100,000sqm, 228 apartments, 100 fresh market produce stalls, food related retail units, food preparation and cooling space, supermarket, 1,200 parking spaces. • The hall is formed from an arch of privately developed apartments, allowing private investment in an initiative to provide a public space. The retail sector The retail sector plays a particularly important role within mixed use developments. Firstly, retail provides essential amenity for residential developments in the form of shopping centres, convenience based retail and vital medical related services. Secondly it maintains quite a high level of employment density (averaging 20 sqm per job). It is also worth noting that while the residential sector has impacted the retail sector, the opposite also applies. The quality of retail amenity on offer within a larger scale mixed use development will dramatically influence its level of appeal to consumers and residents alike. The introduction of retail space can be particularly effective throughout urban renewal projects. In these scenarios, the precinct is benefitting not only from an improvement in amenity, it is also improving the aesthetics, ambience and functionality for residents and visitors alike. Market Hall in Rotterdam is perhaps one of the most striking global examples of retail being applied in such a manner, combining fresh food markets with residential apartments in Laurens Quarter, the original pre-war centre of Rotterdam. The industrial sector There have been many instances of urban regenerated sites through mixed use development that were previously zoned for industrial use, such as Wolli Creek, Rhodes/Wentworth Point and more recently Green Square. Industrial occupiers typically yield a low employment density, averaging between 100 sqm and 150 sqm per job. As such, changing whilst simultaneously reducing the employment generating industrial area to commercial, retail, or health related uses will subsequently increase the overall employment density of the site. This is because commercial/retail/ health uses typically yield a higher employment density, averaging between 10 sqm to 25 sqm per job. However this change of use may be at the expense of local industrial users who will be forced to relocate to sub-optimal areas that do not cater to their existing local population or consumer base. This is particularly true for businesses that tend to serve a highly localised market, such as bulky goods retail, car showrooms, automotive repair and services, and self-storage. Colliers Radar | Mixed Use Developments | April 2017 What are the pitfalls and risks associated with mixed use development? What is the right strategy? One of biggest risks encountered in mixed use developments is creating a sectoral imbalance between residential and commercial applications. In our view, common pitfalls include the following; Engage with retailers early Retail as an afterthought Unfortunately, the retail component of a mixed use development is often considered an afterthought. This situation occurs when the planning and construction is carried out by parties from the residential sector alone, with little consideration made for the end retail user. Utilisation of floorplates may be very challenging for retail tenants due to the impractical positioning of structural features such as pylons and walls. The delivery and access of utilities such as electricity, gas, water and waste outlets may also create fitout issues for users, unless that tenancy was built to specification which is not always possible. The success of the final retail tenant will also be determined by the level of access to the site, which may involve adequate parking facilities. As residential developers will naturally want to increase the overall allocation to residential apartments to increase dwelling yields, parking can quickly become a low priority. Special needs of supermarkets If the retail component is intended to house a fully operational supermarket, then ignoring these fundamental requirements can become even more problematic. Accommodating a major supermarket will mean less flexibility in floor plate design, with the majors having quite strict requirements in terms of space allocations to the various product categories (fresh, bakery, deli, frozen etc). Supermarket development must also incorporate appropriate levels of truck access and take into consideration the timing of delivery schedules. There will be an inherent requirement within a mixed use development to minimise the disturbance of residents from both noise levels and traffic congestion. Incorrect adjacencies Creating new retail amenity without first taking into consideration the existing services is also problematic and will only set up those new retail occupants for failure. An extensive level of planning goes into the floorplan and design of shopping centres and this level of strategic thinking should to be applied within mixed use developments. Anchor tenants need to be augmented with speciality tenants and convenience based service offerings. This will depend heavily on the final resident population density, existing retail service provision and any potential uplift in final retail demand once the development reaches completion or maturity. In many cases, implementing the correct mixed use strategy will involve addressing these issues raised. Retail should no longer be thought of as being secondary to the residential component of mixed use developments, and instead the overall concept design should be created with all users in mind. In this vein, the requirements of retailers both large and small need to be considered, covering areas such as; floor plate size and layout, utility delivery, access to parking or transport and retailer location. Essentially mixed use developments must create a symbiotic relationship between residential and commercial sectors so the whole is greater than the sum of its parts. This cannot occur unless appropriate planning has occurred for all parties. Mixed use developments must create a symbiotic relationship between residential and commercial sectors so the whole is greater than the sum of its parts. Identifying gaps in the current offering The type of retail offering delivered within mixed use developments will depend largely on what is already available. Creating a new full line supermarket can be compelling within a new development due to the significant uplift in retail amenity not to mention the associated employment uplift benefits, however if there is already such an offering in the immediate catchment then such a proposal is inherently risky. There is also the possibility that initial demand within a precinct will not be sufficient enough for the retail component to breakeven until that precinct reaches maturity. Rather than approaching these developments in a cookie cutter manner, each precinct needs to be evaluated individually, and the retail amenity needs to be enhanced by clustering different offerings strategically. Retail can no longer be thought of as simply a transaction, and retail landlords are acutely aware that in order to survive they must excel at place making and creating experiences. At a time where disruption in the retail sector is heightening, mixed use developments allow these landlords and the retailers within them to truly become engrained within community’s social infrastructure. Be aware of the planning process Achieving the right balance within a mixed use development will also be influenced by the planning process. There have been instances in the planning application stage where regulations have Colliers Radar | Mixed Use Developments | April 2017 imposed limits or caps on the amount of floor space allocated to retail or other commercial uses, and this has been a result of what services already existed in the surrounding catchment. Providing clarity on exactly what scenarios these restrictions would occur under is difficult, as the reasonable assumption would be that an increase in the residential population would support any additional amenity. Nevertheless developers must be aware that there can be no conflict between the development proposal and State Planning’s identification of ‘Strategic Centres’. The NSW planning framework outlines the priorities for each District including key Regional and Strategic Centres that are recognised for their renewal opportunities around existing or proposed infrastructure, and which therefore offer opportunities for increased residential density close to jobs. The Plan outlines that a priority for the New South Wales Department of Planning and Environment is to work with Council to retain core employment sectors (commercial / retail / health / education) in various Strategic Centres to support long term employment growth. Therefore new mixed use developments must be planned in such a way that they do not conflict with these objectives, i.e. by drawing employment away from identified Strategic Centres. • Development scheme: 2,016 residential dwellings, Coles Supermarket, Virgin Active Health Club, 50 specialty shops, and a 10,000 sqm Audi Service Centre (includes car sales, hire, showroom, service, and a coffee and food workstation). The Service Centre is one of the largest Audi service and parts facilities in the world, offering 48 service bays • The development is located adjacent to a car dealership area, and therefore the Audi Service Centre complements the neighbouring showroom. There’s more than just retail Mixed use developments generally conjure the idea of a combination of retail and commercial employment generating uses with residential developments. However these are not the only sectors that can be incorporated into a mixed use scheme. While it is no secret that a significant amount of Sydney’s commercial industrial stock has been withdrawn or rezoned for the purpose of residential conversion, there are some instances where industrial stock has been preserved within mixed use developments. This has been a practical solution in areas where the industrial use was light in nature and weighted towards white collar employment, therefore entailing a higher employment density (60 sqm to 100 sqm per job). In these instances, the incorporation of light industrial has supported the local workforce while also increasing the level of service based amenity within the area. Some examples where light industrial uses have been successfully co-located with residential developments include the following: The Hawksburn (South Yarra, Melbourne) East Village (Zetland, Sydney) • A five storey mixed use development (completed in 2014) incorporating residential uses (135 dwellings) and a Volvo car showroom with café Colliers Radar | Mixed Use Developments | April 2017 Eureka Tower (Southbank, Melbourne) • When completed in 2006, the Tower was the tallest residential building in the world • A 91 storey mixed use development consisting of 556 residential dwellings and an 890 sqm Aston Martin and Rolls Royce car showroom at base/street level Mercedes House (Manhattan, New York) • The development (completed in 2009) comprises of a five storey Mercedes Benz dealership at the base, and a 27 storey luxury rental apartments (864 residential dwellings) The above examples demonstrate that locational advantaged sites/ precincts that previously served only one functional role have the scope and capacity to redevelop, modernise, and co-locate light industrial local businesses (particularly within the automotive sector) with a broader mixed use scheme. Colliers International does not give any warranty in relation to the accuracy of the information contained in this report. If you intend to rely upon the information contained herein, you must take note that the information, figures and projections have been provided by various sources and have not been verified by us. We have no belief one way or the other in relation to the accuracy of such information, figures and projections. Colliers International will not be liable for any loss or damage resulting from any statement, figure, calculation or any other information that you rely upon that is contained in the material. © Colliers International 2017. www.colliers.com.au Accelerating success.
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