The Future of North Sea Project Managers - A Balancing Act of Skills Derek Allan - Shell E&P What Have I Been Asked to Talk About An Insight into Decommissioning The Future of North Sea Project Managers Collaboration for a Better, More Competitive Future Decommissioning – A Liability Business Decommissioning is a LIABILITY Business For the Operators and UK Government its Bad Business For Everyone Else – Its Great Business! Where we need to be – A Great Business to be Part of!!! Decommissioning – The Size of the Pie Industry Wide Decommissioning in the UK will include: 470+ installations 10,000km of pipelines 5,000 wells 15 onshore terminals (Source: Decom North Sea – May 2014) Associated Expenditure Expected to Reach: £40bn - £70bn over the next 25 years (Source: Oil and Gas UK) £54bn by 2060 (Source: Wood Mackenzie) Decommissioning – The Size of the Pie Decommissioning Forecasts in the UK : 140 Fields could cease over the next 5 years Spend to increase by 50% by 2019 Spend on Decommissioning will overtake spend on Development projects in 2019 (Source: Wood Mackenzie) Decommissioning – What’s the Difference Traditional North Sea Projects: Decommissioning Projects: Projects Need to Meet Investment Criteria/Hurdles Project are Legally Obliged to Proceed – 100% Positive Future Workload Uncertain – Predominantly Market Driven Future Market Predictable – Uncertain Timing Very Mature Market – Has Evolved Since the 1960’s Immature Market, with few projects Executed thus far Scope Driven by Technical and Commercial Drivers Scope Driven by What’s in place, Legislation and Execution Model Asset Integrity Important to Maintain Production Asset Integrity Important to Support Post Production Activities Decommissioning – Contrasting Drivers Traditional North Sea Projects: Decommissioning Projects: Profitability Reputation/Legacy Capital Expenditure Safety Performance On-Stream Date Abandonment Expenditure Lifetime Expenditure Stakeholder Relationships Production Environmental Considerations Availability/Reliability People Issues Oil Price New Technology/Expertise (Safety is a Given) Decommissioning – Projects Dynamics Immature Supplier Market Sensitive Human Elements Operational Phase Before Project Stakeholder Challenges Complex Execution Interfaces Working with Late Uncertainty Flexibility Around Timing Decommissioning – Fokelore “ We Don’t Put Our Best People on it!” “ It’s Not Very Interesting!” “You Can Never Win!” “ Low Technical Content!” “ The Margins are Low!” “ It’s not Very Exciting!” “ It’s Just One Massive Brownfield Job!” “ It Can’t be Done Safely!” “We’re Wasting a Lot of Money!” “ It’s Not that Sexy!” Decommissioning – Some Final Thoughts Decommissioning is a major piece of business on the horizon and will be with us for the next 25 – 30 years anyway Decommissioning is coming and it looks like it’s coming quicker than we would like - are we as an industry ready for it!!! And we need to change the image – Decommissioning ‘A Great Business to Be Part of’!!! The Future for North Sea Project Managers A Move Towards More Decommissioning projects: Does That Mean we Need a Different Type of PM Are the Challenges the Same A Mix of Projects: Do We Need to Train/Educate our PM’s Commercially Aware ‘Commercial Awareness’ could be summed up as: A Interest in the Business and an Understanding of the Wider Environment in Which an Organisation Operates Collaboration For a Better, More Competitive Future Collaboration From Two Aspects: Inside the Project Inside the Industry Collaboration - Inside the Project Oil and Gas UK Safety Awards 2012 ‘Workforce Engagement’ Brent Delta Collaboration - Inside the Industry Dalbrack – Royal Deeside
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