Newcastle City Council Municipal Waste Management and the One Core Strategy Position Statement 1. Introduction This position statement reviews the management of municipal waste in Newcastle upon Tyne. It provides the link between the Council’s Municipal Waste Management Strategy (MWMS) and the growth proposed in its Local Development Framework (LDF). This is required by National Planning Policy Statement 10 (PPS 10) Planning for Sustainable Waste Management. The statement demonstrates how municipal waste management arrangements from 2012 to 2024 will be able to support the increased number of houses forecasted by the LDF over this 12 year timeframe. In addition it also sets out the approach to how sustainable waste management will be secured post 2024 and beyond the LDF plan period till 2030. The statement should be viewed as a ‘living’ draft, correct as of September 2011, it will be reviewed and updated as required to support the Submission Draft of the One Core Strategy expected in 2012. 2. Background PPS 10 requires that the LDF should both inform and in turn be informed by any relevant municipal waste management strategies. This statement aims to assist in demonstrating this requirement has been met. Position statement to support the NewcastleGateshead One Core Strategy 2030 September 2011 Newcastle City Council Municipal Waste Management and One Core Strategy Position Statement Waste management is fundamental to the delivery of sustainable communities. Under Newcastle upon Tyne’s emerging LDF, there is a need to ensure planned provision of sites and contractual arrangements to manage the waste to meet the needs of the City over the plan period to 2030. Forecasted population rises and an increased number dwellings and households needs to be factored into future municipal waste arisings and the Council’s MWMS to ensure the Council is able to fulfill its duties. The future land use requirements, such as possible new or expanded facilities need to be translated and made provision for in the Council’s LDF, more specifically the One Core Strategy Development Plan Document (DPD). 3. Trends in waste generation Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) consists of household waste (wheeled bins) and waste received at Household Waste Sites, but also includes street cleansing waste and waste resulting from the clearance of fly tipped material. The City Council (the Waste Planning Authority) has a statutory responsibility to collect and dispose of this waste. It is also obliged to collect commercial and industrial (C&I) waste from the private sector but only on request. Currently the WPA collects 30,000 tonnes of C&I, this is just under 20% of the total MSW arisings. However, it should be noted that arisings are influenced by a number of variable factors including; changes in household numbers (new houses built), changes in population, numbers of people per household, changes within the economy, the climate in a given year and changes to the services provided (e.g new collection for green waste that would potentially not be collected). Arisings in Newcastle have fallen year on year from a peak of 185,000 t in 2004/05 to 155,000 t in 2010/11, a total decline of over 16%. An element of this reduction is down to changes in consumer behaviour, including increased recycling rates. It is important to note that in this same period however, both the population and number of households have increased. It is therefore extremely difficult to quantify the overall impact of waste minimisation initiatives. While these have clearly had an impact, it is also important to note that the economic downturn experienced over recent years has been influential in reducing the waste stream. Position statement to support the NewcastleGateshead One Core Strategy 2030 September 2011 2 Newcastle City Council Municipal Waste Management and One Core Strategy Position Statement Population forecasts produced based on ONS data have informed the growth assumptions in the Councils’ LDF and have predicted an increase in population and number of households in Newcastle. By 2030 the population is expected to be at 321,300 with an additional 18, 6779 (net) houses built. If this is to be achieved and sustained then it is reasonable to also assume that there will be an increase in waste arisings over that period. Phasing of the planned growth will enable more accurate forecasts of increases in future arisings, as outlined below. 4. Municipal Waste Arisings In 2009/10 Newcastle City Council generated a total of just under 158,000 tonnes of municipal solid waste. MSW arisings had been decreasing, at ‘mean’ average rate of 3% per annum, over the period 2005/6 to 09/10. Over the same 5 year period the population and number of households within the city has increased annual by 1.4% and 0.3% respectively. This indicates that despite a growth population total arisings have continued to decline, this trend will need be considered when predicted future arisings. The percentage of MSW waste recycled and composted in the same period has increased from 15.39 to 40.87%, although landfill remained a significant means of dealing with waste. The considerable increase in recycling and composting has been attributed to successful initiatives and a change in resident behaviors. The Council’s MWMS sets a target of 50% of households waste to be recycled and the current increasing rate is expected to continue but not at the rate of previous years. Table 4.1 (over page) compares the past MSW arisings with the change in population and net housing completions over the same period. Table 4.2 (over page) follows with a breakdown of the current MSW treatment arrangement for the year 09/10. Within Newcastle upon Tyne there is the licensed capacity to process up to 185,000 tonnes of municipal waste per annum. This comprises of 150,000 tonnes of licensed capacity at the Newcastle Resource Recycling Centre at Byker and the 35,000 tonnes of licensed capacity at Benwell Transfer facility. Position statement to support the NewcastleGateshead One Core Strategy 2030 September 2011 3 Newcastle City Council Municipal Waste Management and One Core Strategy Position Statement Table 4.1 Previous MSW Arisings (tonnes) Year Total MSW Percentage Net housing Percent Arising (t) change per annum Change Population Population Change Change (%) 2004/5 185,000 --- 411 +0.34% +3,400 +1.26% +2005/6 182,000 -1.6 % 701 +0.58% +1,600 +0.59% 2006/7 177,000 -2.7 % 473 +0.39% +1,400 +0.51% 2007/8 171,500 -3.1 % 409 +0.33% +2,200 +0.80% 2008/9 163,000 -5% 194 +0.16% +6,500 +2.34% 2009/10 158,000 -3.1% 16 +0.01% +7,900 +2.78% Table 4.2 Breakdown of Municipal Solid Waste Arisings in Newcastle upon Tyne 09/10 (tonnes) Treatment 2009/10 (t) % of total waste stream Front-end recycling 36,500 23.2 NRFs 6,000 3.8 Compost and 22,000 14 93,000 59 157, 500 100 processes and losses, metals Landfill Total Position statement to support the NewcastleGateshead One Core Strategy 2030 September 2011 4 Newcastle City Council Municipal Waste Management and One Core Strategy Position Statement 4.1 Predicted Waste Arisings The Council’s MSW projections were calculated by determining arisings per head of population and forecasted population additions going forward. The forecast of the total MSW arisings have been disaggregated to each treatment process in Table 4.4. Table 4.3 MSW Projections and capacity to 2030 (tonnes per annum) (Including population forecasts from the One Core Strategy) 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Forecasted total population 292,000 299,100 304,600 312,200 321,300 % Growth 2.43% 1.84% 2.50% 2.91% Total potential MSW arisings 158,000 161,842 164,818 168,930 173,854 Newcastle MSW capacity gap +27,000 +23,158 +20,182 +16,070 +11,146 Table 4.4 MSW Treatment Projections 2030 (tonnes per annum) (Including population forecasts from the One Core Strategy and proposal for waste management post 2012) 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2.43% 1.84% 2.50% 2.91% 36,500 37,387 38,075 39,027 40,162 6,500 12,720 12,720 22,000 25,431 25,431 Fuel 41,621 41,621 Energy from 26,551 % Growth Front -end Recycling Recycling at transfer facilities/NRFs Compost and process losses, metals Refuse Derived Position statement to support the NewcastleGateshead One Core Strategy 2030 September 2011 5 Newcastle City Council Municipal Waste Management and One Core Strategy Position Statement waste New contractual arrangements 26,551 106,323 106,323 Landfill 93,000 18,129 20,419 23,588 27,368 Total potential waste arisings 158,000 161,839 164,817 168,938 173,854 5. Existing municipal waste management arrangements (up to 2012) The existing facilities within Newcastle upon Tyne for municipal waste transfer and processing comprise of the following: • Newcastle Resource Recycling Centre (MBT and waste transfer), Walker Road, Byker; • Benwell Waste Transfer Station, Scotswood Road; • Household waste recovery centres, Brunswick, Byker and Walbottle • Composting plant, Sandhills, Walbottle • Landfill (Seghill, Northumberland and Path Head, Gatehead). At present residual Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) arising in Newcastle and collected by the Council is sent to the Newcastle Resource Recycling Centre and Benwell Waste Transfer Station for processing through a Mechanical and Biological Treatment (MBT) Plant or transfer to landfill after a proportion of materials are recovered. The MBT process at the Newcastle Waste Recovery Centre extracts metals for recycling and organic materials for In-Vessel Composting (IVC) at a plant in Ellington, Northumberland. The residual waste from these processes and from the Transfer Stations goes to either landfill in Northumberland/Gateshead or thermal treatment on Teesside or beyond. It should be noted that there are no landfill facilities within the City, currently circa 45,000 tonnes of MSW are landfilled at the Seghill, Northumberland and Path Head in Gateshead. Current contractual arrangements allow for the continuing of waste to be sent to these facilities to 2012 and 2017 respectively. For capacity beyond these Position statement to support the NewcastleGateshead One Core Strategy 2030 September 2011 6 Newcastle City Council Municipal Waste Management and One Core Strategy Position Statement dates will be secured via procurement. It is known that the Ellington landfill facility within the region has capacity up to 2039. Currently a total of 158,000 tonnes* of MSW is collected per annum by the Council, with a total 64,500 tonnes being diverted from landfill. From MSW arising 36,500 tonnes is managed by ‘front-end’ recycling, whilst the remaining 121,500 tonnes is sent to either the Newcastle Resource Recycling Centre or at Benwell Waste Transfer Station to be processed as described above and quantified in Table 5.1. Table 5.1 Existing Municipal Waste Management Arrangement Proportion Treatment End destination 38,500 Sandhills for green Front- end Recycling Total 158,000 * waste, O’Briens tonnes of MSW Wallsend for dry arising recyclables, various other local outlets for remainder. 20,500 Compost, process SITA internal losses and Metals market for compost, metals to market 15,000 RDF Trial CHP in Scandinavia 84,000** Landfill Gateshead, Northumberland * Figures based on 2009/10 arisings, capacity is 185,000t **this is a balancing figure from 158,000t starting point 6. Future municipal waste management arrangements (2012- 2024) The Council is currently addressing how MSW will be dealt with in the future. This includes discussions with a current private sector provider (SITA UK) who have a long term contract with the Council up until 2024. This is currently being reviewed with a view to improving current landfill diversion rates. Position statement to support the NewcastleGateshead One Core Strategy 2030 September 2011 7 Newcastle City Council Municipal Waste Management and One Core Strategy Position Statement This will require a variation on the existing contract, resulting in new contractual arrangements for MSW management and will provide the mechanism for achieving the aspirations of the Newcastle Waste Strategy. The proposals combined with front-end recycling initiatives in place, should result in landfill diversion of up to 80% of the MSW arising. Proposed treatments include; • Energy from Waste (EfW) at Teesside or beyond • Production of Refuse Derived Fuel (RDF) from the MBT process at Byker to be transported to Scandinavia in the first instance for use in Combined Heat and Power (CHP) plants • Development of a Materials Recovery Facility (MRF) at the Transfer Station in Benwell To fulfil the proposed arrangement Benwell Transfer Station will be upgraded and part of the site converted into a materials recovery facility which will be used to extract recyclable material from bulky collection, fly tipping and household clearance. No additional facilities will be required to aid collection and transfer up to 2024. The total licensed capacity of 185, 000 tonnes at the Benwell and Byker will remain sufficient to deal with waste arising. The Energy from Waste (EfW) contract at Teesside will run until 2016. A procurement will therefore be needed around about 2014 to replace this arrangement when it expires. Due to the limited size of the expected tonnage, no new facility will need to be provided. It should be noted to meet the requirements of PPS10, an interim waste site appraisal assessment has been undertaken which will be subsumed into the Council’s Employment Land Review. The technical assessment sought to identify sites with the potential for being suitable to host a waste management facility. A total of seven sites, across the city, were shortlisted as being potentially suitable, this Position statement to support the NewcastleGateshead One Core Strategy 2030 September 2011 8 Newcastle City Council Municipal Waste Management and One Core Strategy Position Statement included the sites hosting the resource recycling and transfer facilities at Byker and Benwell which are being taken forward in the 2012-2024 arrangements. Table 6.1 Summary of Municipal Waste Management Arrangement 2012-2024 Proportion Treatment End destination 36, 500 t Front –end recycling Sandhills for green Total 158,000 * waste, O’Briens tonnes of MSW Wallsend for dry arising recyclables, various other local outlets for remainder. 12,720 t Recycling at Benwell Subject to market transfer site 14,177 t Landfill Gateshead, Northumberland 26,551 t Energy from Waste Teeside 19,778 t Composting and SITA internal market process losses for compost to market 41,621 t Refused Derived Fuel Teeside 5,653 t Metals and process SITA internal market losses for metals to market * Figures based on 2009/10 arisings 7. Local Development Framework 7.1 Accommodating LDF forecasted growth Over the lifetime of the One Core Strategy the population of Newcastle is forecasted to increase by 29,100 to a total of 321,300, this result in an additional 18,679 dwellings resulting in an additional 18,962 households (as per Table 7.1, over page). The projected phasing of which is as below and has been included in the MSW arisings in Table 4.3. Position statement to support the NewcastleGateshead One Core Strategy 2030 September 2011 9 Newcastle City Council Municipal Waste Management and One Core Strategy Position Statement The Newcastle Recovery Recycling Centre and the Benwell Transfer are licensed to accept and have the capacity to process 150,000 and 35,000 tonnes per annum respectively, therefore totally 185,000 tonnes per annum. Table 4.2 demonstrates that as projected future MWS arisings increase taking in account growth up to 2024, the overall capacity of 185,000 tonnes will remain sufficient to accommodate future increases. While no additional facilities are required to aid collection or the transfer of waste till 2024, to accommodate new households completed within the plan period there will be additional refuse collections required. Approximately 7,000 households equates to one collection round under current methodology, therefore the planned growth will mean at least two more collection rounds for domestic waste with additional resources also being needed for recycling collections will be need by 2030. Table 4.3 sets the projected future MSW arising for Newcastle, based on the forecasted housing growth (the preferred housing growth scenario) in Table 7.1 which shows a continued increase in expected arisings. Position statement to support the NewcastleGateshead One Core Strategy 2030 September 2011 10 Newcastle City Council Municipal Waste Management and One Core Strategy Position Statement Table 7.1 Forecasted housing (trajectory) growth to 2030 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Number of new dwelling completed, net (per 5 years) ---- 3,719 4,692 5,117 5,151 122,576 126,295 130,987 136,104 141,255 ---- 3.03% 3.7% 3.9% 3.7% 118,055 122,507 127,057 132,021 137,017 ---- 3.7% 3.7% 3.9% 3.6% 292,200 299,100 304,600 312,200 321,300 Total number of dwellings within the City Percentage growth in dwelling Total Number of households Percentage growth in households Forecasted total Population NB Figures provided are the preferred growth scenario for the One Core Strategy. Position statement to support the NewcastleGateshead One Core Strategy 2030 September 2011 11 Newcastle City Council Municipal Waste Management and One Core Strategy Position Statement 7.2 Municipal Waste and the Local Development Framework In accordance with PPS 10 and reflecting local circumstances the Local Development Framework in relation to MSW management, aims to; 1. Set a strategic spatial policy for sustainable waste management. The One Core Strategy will seek to contribute to climate change mitigation and the reduction of carbon emissions by applying the waste hierarchy of prevention, preparing for re-use, recycling, other recovery and safe disposal. Waste will be addressed as a resource and disposed of as the last resort. 2. Identify the strategic sites for the management of MSW. The strategic waste management facilities for dealing with the city’s municipal waste are identified on the Waste Key Diagram, as part of Policy CS 23 of the One Core Strategy. 3. Safeguard strategic sites throughout the plan period central to the delivery of the present and 2021-2024 contracts for waste facilities unless provision is made for managing waste at an alternative site/s within the plan period. The safeguarding of these sites will provide security that site will be suitable for waste management post 2024. 8. Approach to post 2024 arrangements Newcastle City Council will be considering its future Waste Strategy from 2015 onwards, and this will result in a procurement exercise in the financial year 2016/17. If technology or market availability becomes available prior to this a decision may be taken to accelerate the procurement. 9. Conclusion This statement has been produced to support the One Core Strategy. It has reviewed the amount of householder currently produced and the amount expected in Position statement to support the NewcastleGateshead One Core Strategy 2030 September 2011 12 Newcastle City Council Municipal Waste Management and One Core Strategy Position Statement the future. Through factoring in planned growth (additional households) the Council will be able to forward plan to manage its municipal waste sustainably in accordance with the commitments in its Municipal Waste Management Strategy. Due to the lack of certainty in predicting waste arisings in the future and the previous trend of decline in waste produced despite increases in the population, a simple calculation was undertaken to forecast waste arising within the plan period. The figures produced effectively created a ‘worse case’ scenario, where the amount per population head remained the same and the level of recycling remained at 2009/10 baseline levels rather than increased as per the MSWM targets. The growth scenario, based on population increase showed continuing growth in waste arisings, up to a figure of 173,854 tonnes per annum in 2030. This figure is within the existing capacity of 185,000 tonnes and therefore it is reasonable to conclude that growth in the LDF plan period can be accommodated. MSW arisings beyond 2030, when the existing capacity gap is likely to be reached if the growth scenario continues, will be reviewed in 2016/17 as the Council reviews its contracts post 2024. It will be at this point the Council will assess capacity and work to secure future capacity to meet arising post 2024. The Council will be consolidating and updating its existing Municipal Waste Management Strategy, providing further details on how it will be achieved. This will begin once the procurement arrangements for 2012 to 2024 have been finalised. Position statement to support the NewcastleGateshead One Core Strategy 2030 September 2011 13
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