19/09/16 Outline Chapter 8 1. General Equilibrium Analysis 2. Efficiency in Exchange: 2 theorems of welfare economics General Equilibrium and Economic Efficiency 3. Equity and Efficiency ; Efficiency in ProducGon; The Gains from Free Trade (Ricardo theory); Markets Failures (externality, public goods, imperfect informaGon…) 2 www.unamur.be www.unamur.be 1. General Equilibrium Analysis • Up to this point, we have been focused on parGal equilibrium analysis – AcGvity in one market has liTle or no effect on other markets • Market interrelaGonships already hinted – Complements and subsGtutes – Increase in firms’ input demand can cause market price of the input and output to rise General Equilibrium Analysis • To study how markets interrelate, we can use general equilibrium analysis – Simultaneous determinaGon of the prices and quanGGes in all relevant markets, taking into account feedback effects – The feedback effect is the price or quanGty adjustment in one market caused by price and quanGty adjustments in related markets 3 www.unamur.be 4 www.unamur.be Two Interdependent Markets Two Interdependent Markets • Scenario • Scenario – The compeGGve markets of: – Equilibrium price of movies is $6.00 – Equilibrium price of DVD rentals is $3.00 – Government places a $1.00 tax on each movie Gcket – Need to look at effect of tax on • DVD rentals • Movie theater Gckets – These goods are subsGtutes – Changing prices in one market are likely to affect the other market • Market for DVDs • Feedback effects in movie market 5 www.unamur.be 6 www.unamur.be 1 19/09/16 Two Interdependent Markets $1 tax on each movie ticket causes supply to fall Price S*M Price Two Interdependent Markets General Equilibrium Analysis: Increase in movie ticket prices increases demand for DVD. SV SM S*M $6.82 $6.75 $3.50 $6.35 The increase in the price of DVD increases the demand for movies. Price DM Number of Movie Tickets D*M $6.00 QV Q’V D’V D’M DM DV Number of DVD www.unamur.be Q’M Q”M Q*M QM 8 Number of Movie Tickets DV QV Q’V Q*V Number of DVD www.unamur.be Two Interdependent Markets • ObservaGon – Without considering the feedback effect with general equilibrium, the impact of the tax would have been underes'mated – This is an important consideraGon for policy makers • You can check for yourself that in the market for complements, the tax would be overesGmated Interdependent Markets-‐ Reaching General Equilibrium • Must be able to determine the equilibrium price of both movies and DVDs simultaneously – We must simultaneously find two prices that equate quanGty demanded and quanGty supplied in all related markets – This requires to find the soluGon to four equaGons: demand and supply for DVDs and movies 9 www.unamur.be 10 www.unamur.be The Interdependence of InternaGonal Markets • Brazil and the United States compete in the world soybean market, so one market can affect the other • Brazil limited exports of soybeans in the late 1960’s and early 1970’s, causing price in Brazil to fall • Eventually the export controls were to be removed, and Brazilian exports were expected to increase The Interdependence of InternaGonal Markets • ExpectaGon was based on parGal equilibrium analysis – The limited export policy had the effect to increase the price and producGon of soybeans in US as well as US exports – This caused Brazil to have difficulGes exporGng even aier control was removed 11 www.unamur.be D*V $3.00 D’V 7 SV SM $6.35 $6.00 QM General Equilibrium Analysis: The Feedback effects continue. $3.58 $3.50 $3.00 Q’M Price 12 www.unamur.be 2 19/09/16 Soybean Exports – Brazil and US 2. Efficiency in Exchange • We showed before that compe77ve markets are efficient because consumer and producer surpluses are maximized • We can study this in more detail by examining an exchange economy – Between two (or more) consumers trading two (or more) goods among themselves – Between two countries 13 www.unamur.be 14 www.unamur.be Efficiency in Exchange • An alloca7on of goods is efficient if no one can be made be1er off without making someone else worse off è Pareto efficiency • Voluntary trade between two parGes is mutually beneficial and increases economic efficiency (raGonal individuals) Advantages of Trade (Exchange) • AssumpGons – Two consumers (countries) – Two goods – Both people know each other’s preferences – Exchanging goods involves zero transacGon costs – James and Karen have a total of 10 units of food and 6 units of clothing è let’s show that voluntary exchange between these two persons is for both a beTer situaGon than iniGally 15 www.unamur.be 16 www.unamur.be Advantage of Trade (Exchange) Advantage of Trade (Exchange) Karen’s Food IniGally: • Karen has a lot of clothing and liTle food (3,5); and James has (7,1) = their endowment • Karen’s MRS (of food for clothing) is 3 (for 1 unit of F, give up 3 units of C); James’ MRS is ½ (for 1 unit of F, give up ½ unit of C) è How do they exchange? 10F 3F 3F 0K 6C 2C 4C James’ Clothing Karen’s Clothing MRSJ (of food for clothing)= 1/2 for 1 unit of F, give up 1/2 units of C 1C 1C 0J 5C 5C 6C A 6F 7F 7F 10F MRSK (of food for clothing)= 3 for 1 unit of F, give up 3 units of C 17 www.unamur.be 4F www.unamur.be 3 19/09/16 Advantage of Trade (Exchange) • There is room for trade – James values clothing more than Karen – Karen values food more than James – Karen is willing to give up 3 units of clothing to get 1 unit of food, and James is willing to take ½ unit of clothing giving away 1 unit of food The Advantage of Trade • Suppose Karen offers James 1 unit of clothing for 1 unit of food – James will have more clothing, which he values more than food – Karen will have more food, which she values more • Whenever two consumers’ MRSs are different, there is room for mutually beneficial trade • Actual terms of trade are determined through bargaining – IniGal allocaGon of resources was inefficient 19 20 www.unamur.be www.unamur.be Exchange in an Edgeworth Box The Advantage of Trade è An alloca'on of goods is efficient only if the goods are distributed so that the MRS between any pair of goods is the same for all consumers Karen’s Food 10F 5C A 6C 0J 7F 10F 22 James’ Food 21 www.unamur.be Efficiency in Exchange Efficiency in Exchange 6C Karen’s Food 10F James’s Clothing 0J 0K A: UJ1 = UK1, but the MRS is not equal. All combinations in the shaded area are preferred to A. 23 Karen’s Food 10F 0K D Karen’s Clothing James’s Clothing A At points C, & D : MRSs are equal and allocation is efficient UJ1 6C 0J 10F James’s Food 24 Karen’s Clothing C UJ3 B A UK3 UK1 James’s Food 6C Point B is on higher IC but is not efficient Gains from trade www.unamur.be Karen’s Clothing 1C diagram showing all possible allocaGons of either two goods between two people or of two inputs between two producGon processes www.unamur.be 0K The initial allocation before trade is A: James has 7F and 1C & Karen has 3F and 5C. James’ Clothing è Let’s represent it graphically with the Edgeworth Box: 3F 6C UK2 UJ2 UJ1 UK1 6C 10F www.unamur.be 4 19/09/16 Efficient AllocaGons Efficiency in Exchange • The Contract Curve • How do these parGes reach an efficient allocaGon? – When there is no more room for trade – When their MRSs are equal – They will keep trading, reaching higher indifference curves, unGl they can no longer do so and sGll make each beTer off – This is when indifference curves are tangent – they have the same slope and same MRS – To find all possible efficient allocaGons of food and clothing between Karen and James, we would look for all points of tangency between each of their indifference curves – The contract curve shows all the efficient allocaGons of goods between two consumers, or of two inputs between two producGon funcGons 25 26 www.unamur.be www.unamur.be The Contract Curve Karen’s Food E, F, & G are Pareto efficient. Contract Curve • All points of tangency between the indifference curves are efficient 0K Contract Curve – MRS of individuals is the same – No more room for trade G James’ Clothing Karen’s Clothing F E • The contract curve shows all allocaGons that are Pareto efficient – Pareto efficient allocaGon occurs when further trade will make someone worse off 0J James’ 27 Food 28 www.unamur.be www.unamur.be Consumer Equilibrium in a CompeGGve Market Consumer Equilibrium in a CompeGGve Market • There are many Jameses and Karens • They are price takers • RelaGve price of food and clothing = 1 – Trade depends on relaGve prices, not actual prices è Equilibrium if : MRS J FC = PC PF 10F Begin at A: Each Karen buys 2F and sells 2C moving from UK1 to UK2, which is preferred (A to C). Begin at A: Each James buys 2C and sells 2F moving from UJ1 to UJ2, which is preferred (A to C). Price Line P Karen’s Clothing C James’ Clothing UJ2 K = MRS FC A UK2 0J 29 www.unamur.be 0K Karen’s Food 6C www.unamur.be James’ Food UK1 UJ1 P’ 6C 10F 30 5 19/09/16 Consumer Equilibrium in a CompeGGve Market Consumer Equilibrium in a CompeGGve Market è Adam Smith’s invisible hand: In a general equilibrium seqng where all markets are perfectly compeGGve, the economy will automaGcally allocate all resources efficiently without need for regulatory control • A compe77ve equilibrium is a set of prices at which the quanGty demanded equals the quanGty supplied in every market – Not all prices lead to equilibrium; If the MRSs of the players are not equal, then we are not in equilibrium – Disequilibrium is only temporary in a compeGGve market; Supports argument for less government intervenGon and more highly compeGGve markets Excess demand will cause price to rise; Excess supply will cause price to fall 31 www.unamur.be 32 www.unamur.be First Theorem of Welfare Economics: equilibrium and efficiency An equilibrium alloca7on of resources obtained when everyone trades in a compe77ve marketplace, is automaGcally efficient • all mutually beneficial trades will be completed • Efficient does not mean equitable… • Note: Efficient outcomes can also be achieved by centralized system Second Theorem of Welfare Economics: equilibrium and efficiency If all agents have convex preferences, there will always exist prices such that all Pareto efficient allocaGon of ressources is a compeGGve equilibrium obtained from iniGal endowment. 33 www.unamur.be 34 www.unamur.be 6
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