From: Implicit knowledge of visual uncertainty guides decisions with asymmetric outcomes Journal of Vision. 2008;8(3):2. doi:10.1167/8.3.2 Figure Legend: Comparison of predicted and observed behavior. (a and b) Predicted and observed relative shifts in the centers of the psychometric curves, for the first (a) and the second (b) sessions. If performance is quantitatively optimal (up to a constant bias), the data points (grey circles) should lie on the dotted identity line. The ellipses show the 2 σ covariance expected due to sampling errors, and the dashed line is a linear fit to the data points, computed by minimizing the weighted squared error in the plane with respect to these covariances. All observers showed the predicted pattern of shifts but were not quantitatively exact. (c and d) The mean and variance of the score that would be obtained if each observer behaved optimally given theThe directional bias calculated for the (c) and theCopyright second (d) sessions (seereserved. Date of download: 7/28/2017 Association forwas Research in Vision and first Ophthalmology © 2017. All rights Appendix A2). Crosses plot predicted against observed score, with observers numbered as in panels a and b. The
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