MANAGEMENT 101 WEEK 4: DECISION MAKING AND ETHICS PROFESSOR CARTON ([email protected]) If you write code for a Smart Car, you are a moral philosopher (whether you like it or not) Decision Making • How to make a good decision • How to make the right decision Decision Making • How to make a good decision • How to make the right decision ACCURACY Biases in Judgment • Bounded information processing • Heuristics — cognitive shortcuts (rules of thumb) for making decisions 1. Availability heuristic (Kahneman) 2. Over-sampling positive cases (Denrell) 3. Forecasting well-being (Schweinsberg; Which time zone is Pennsylvania in? Gilbert) CREATIVITY The Creative Process • When generating new ideas, people heavily “anchor” on the first idea they think about (the primal mark) • It matters whether the primal mark is novel, practical, or (preferably) both (Berg, 2014) Practical Primal Mark Novel Primal Mark A folder with pockets for resumes, business cards, and references A shoe that allows you to record interviews Choice and Decision Making The paradox of choice (why freedom can be oppressive) - More choice is exhausting - At Vanguard, for every 10 mutual funds offered, participation went down 2%. - More choice leads to more regret - Alternative selves (Obodaru, 2012) - To explore further, read Barry Schwarz’s “Paradox of Choice” or watch his TED talk) - Maximizing versus Satisficing Choice and Decision Making • Maximizers: focus on objective best • Satisficers: focus on meeting own standards – Compared to satisficers, maximizers tend to • Do better – More options considered, more initiative (20% higher starting salaries) • Feel worse Sources: Schwartz et al., 2002; Medvec et al., 1995; Iyengar et al., 2006 Decision Making • How to make a good decision • How to make the right decision Decision Making • How to make a good decision • How to make the right decision ETHICS Ethical Decision Making • The ethicality of a decision depends on which moral framework one adopts (Verplanken & Holland, 2002) – Consequences versus Rights • Fracking in North Carolina Decision Making • Heuristics are cognitive shortcuts that are useful given our limited time and cognitive resources, but they lead to predictable traps • Primal marks that are both new and practical are best for triggering creative thinking • Too much choice is oppressive because it is overwhelming and leads to anticipated regret • A decision viewed as appropriate using one ethical framework can appear inappropriate using another framework NO Are we making progress? Is progress even a good thing? YES
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