Retrofit results: disentangling the role of the building fabric and the occupants Jenny Love UCL Energy Institute Presentation at NEF 21/10/2013 Introduction Jenny Love “Retrofit results: disentangling the role of the building fabric and the occupants” October 2013 Modelled savings versus monitored savings Modelling error Imperfect installation of measures Those pesky occupants… ‘Comfort-taking’ Jenny Love “Retrofit results: disentangling the role of the building fabric and the occupants” October 2013 Some non-evidence-based beliefs about retrofit 1. Model assumptions Temperature Time 2. When it doesn’t happen, blame… Microeconomic theory Effects of retrofit: on the quantitative side The energy you spent to make T higher The energy you could have saved if you kept T the same Before Qheating After Qpre Qpost Tpre Tin-Tex Jenny Love “Retrofit results: disentangling the role of the building fabric and the occupants” October 2013 Tpost What is actually going on? Jenny Love “Retrofit results: disentangling the role of the building fabric and the occupants” October 2013 On the qualitative side For example… - Able to maintain a warmer and more comfortable home - Use of space Jenny Love “Retrofit results: disentangling the role of the building fabric and the occupants” October 2013 What can we learn from combining quantitative and qualitative data? Jenny Love “Retrofit results: disentangling the role of the building fabric and the occupants” October 2013 13 case studies Jenny Love “Retrofit results: disentangling the role of the building fabric and the occupants” October 2013 Quantitative Internal temperature of each room before/after Heating period in each room before/after Methods Qualitative Activities at home External interventions/ organisations Personal background and social context How the heating is controlled before/after; Why heating before/after Being in or out Thermal comfort Occupancy of the room before/after Mental and physical health Use of space Family Findings: overall outcomes Jenny Love “Retrofit results: disentangling the role of the building fabric and the occupants” October 2013 Jenny Love “Retrofit results: disentangling the role of the building fabric and the occupants” October 2013 Jenny Love “Retrofit results: disentangling the role of the building fabric and the occupants” October 2013 Showing the difference in gradient, and thus the difference in Temperature Increase at different external temperatures What actually happened? (and how do I know?) Jenny Love “Retrofit results: disentangling the role of the building fabric and the occupants” October 2013 What actually happened? Example of a dwelling in which occupant did not do anything differently but the heating system did Jenny Love “Retrofit results: disentangling the role of the building fabric and the occupants” October 2013 Example of a dwelling in which the heating system did not do anything differently but the occupant did Jenny Love “Retrofit results: disentangling the role of the building fabric and the occupants” October 2013 Example of a dwelling in which the heating system did not do anything differently but the occupant did Jenny Love “Retrofit results: disentangling the role of the building fabric and the occupants” October 2013 ‘Demand Temperature’ (many different definitions) INCREASED IN MOST DWELLINGS: - But not for the reasons we normally state INSTEAD: - Lack of thermostatic control - Not reaching setpoint temperature preretrofit What about our beliefs about retrofit? Model assumptions? Temperature - They do not operate the heating system like that, so more difficult to predict the outcome Time Microeconomic theory? - no One implication: Not surprising really Heating use change Is it possible to achieve Jenny Love “Retrofit results: disentangling the role of the building fabric and the occupants” October 2013 Temperature change The debate Shallow retrofit + Behaviour change Jenny Love “Retrofit results: disentangling the role of the building fabric and the occupants” October 2013 VS Deep retrofit Questions? Jenny Love “Retrofit results: disentangling the role of the building fabric and the occupants” October 2013
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