Earth Observation for Monitoring and Observing Environmental and Societal Impacts of Mineral Resources Exploration and Exploitation Project no: 244242, call 2009, Theme 6, Topic ENV.2009.4.1.3.2 Resonance Analysis of Selected Earth Observation Specifications Dominic Wittmer, Philipp Schepelmann, Henk Coetzee this page is intentionally blank Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications Resonance Analysis of Selected Earth Observation Specifications Final Report February 2014 Dominic Wittmer, Philipp Schepelmann, Henk Coetzee With the collaboration of Bantu Hanise Checked by: Approved by: Name: Philipp Schepelmann Name: Stephane Chevrel Date: Date: Signature: Signature: Final report 1 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications EO-MINERS D1.6 “Resonance Analysis of Selected Earth Observation Specifications“ Due date of Deliverable October 2013 Actual Submission Date 18.02.2014 Start Date of Project February 1st, 2010 Duration 45 months Deliverable Lead Contractor WI Revision Version 1 Last Modifications February 2014 (Mx) Nature Report Dissemination level Public Public Summary enclosed YES Reference / work package DoW WP1 Digital File Name D1.6_V1.pdf Keywords: In bibliography, this report should be cited as follows: Final report resonance analysis, European Union, South Africa, mining policy, policy cycle, mining stakeholders, earth observation, case study, indicators Wittmer, D., Schepelmann, P., Coetzee, H., Hanise, B. (2014): Resonance Analysis of Selected Earth Observation Specifications. Earth Observation for Monitoring and Observing Environmental and Societal Impacts of Mineral Resources Exploration and Exploitation, CEC FP7 Project EOMINERS, Deliverable 1.6 2 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications Summary The project EO-MINERS make use of knowledge on Earth Observation (EO) based methods to develop technological tools suited for monitoring mining activities. More precisely, those EO tools are in focus, which allow monitoring the state of the environment and the mine, the pressures on the environment and the society, and the impacts on the environment and society. The ultimate aim of EO-MINERS is to test the potential of cutting-edge EO methods to provide further environmental and societal information on mining in particular for non-technical stakeholders, from local to international scale. The purposefulness of the EO products developed can be estimated with regard to stakeholder satisfaction or to their applicability in the policy cycle. The information needs of the stakeholders formed the reference frame for the quality assurance of EO products. Thus, feedback of the stakeholders was received regarding the “fitting accuracy” of the EO products on their needs, during specific workshops in the final stage of the project (“trialogue workshops”). Beyond, the impact of these EO products and methods on the corresponding policy cycle was investigated by resonance analyses, thus constituting another quality control for the potential usefulness of the EO methodology for corporate and public stakeholders with regard to the corresponding policy development. This report provides resonance analyses on two selected indicators: firstly on the EU level the indicator “unused extraction” from mining; secondly, on the example of the eMalahleni Coalfield, South Africa, the indicator “aerosols”. Given the new application of the resonance analysis method in the mining sector, this study served as test case for the transferability of the resonance analysis on specific policy areas like mining policy. The first part of the report recapitulates the increasing dependence on societal accountability of mining projects, the information needs by stakeholders, and the role of EO-MINERS to address these information needs by EO products. The second part introduces the general resonance analysis methodology that has been dedicated specifically to match policies with indicators, describes its further development for Earth Observation purposes, its application and operationalisation in the EO-MINERS context, and the processing of the resonance analyses on the EU and the local level. Empirical evidence was collected on whether and how specific EO products can be related to phases of the policy cycle. The specific and general environmental policies of the EU might best be addressed with site-specific indicators; the resource policies of the EU, however, generate a specific need for information about mineral resources usually is covered by national and EU statistical services. Accordingly, providing source data for the latter would Final report 3 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications require the development of specific EO services on the macro level. The mineralsrelated indicator development for both the EU resource policies and the EU environmental satellite accounts relies heavily on Economy-wide Material Flow Accounts (EW-MFA). This might offer considerable opportunities for EO-MINERS and other earth observation activities related to mining such as the GEOSS Societal Benefit Area on Energy. These opportunities can be realised, if the identified stakeholder needs in the EU Member States and the Commission services are met by intensified efforts on the supply side in research and development. This would require an appropriate orientation of Copernicus and other EU activities towards GEOSS; however, the project had no indication that DG Enterprise Raw Materials policies, which encompass better monitoring of raw material extraction, actually influence Copernicus and GEO policies of the EU, and it is to be expected that the existing need in other Commission services (e.g. Eurostat or DG ENV) or the EU-Member States for earth observation of mining activities and intensified material flow accounting will not or not sufficiently be met by neither Copernicus nor the GEOSS Societal Benefit Area on Energy. The resonance analysis on the micro level refers to the environmental policy in the eMalahleni area, South Africa, regarding the indicator “aerosols”. The EO-MINERS project opened up a new dimension with regard to the Problem Analysis by extending the analytical scope on potentially hazardous metals within airborne particulate matter, by means of the EO product “dust pollution” that enabled to measure cumulative airborne particulate pollution. The low resonance in the phase Target Setting and further phases of the policy cycle can be explained in retrospect by the novelty of such measurements in the study area that implies a lack of experiences on the interpretation of source-path-receptor relationships for the metal concentrations contained in the dust. The extension of the knowledge base in the eMalahleni area is considered to be a crucial step, in order to strengthen further political advancements and to provoke specific resonance. More generally, the impact of EO products on the local to national overall policy cycles can be limited due to the lack of clear structures enabling a systematic uptake of corresponding EO data by stakeholders. Comparative studies on this aspect would be required on different (mining) sites in order to understand better the potential resonance, and how this potential could be enhanced purposefully. On the local level, the policy framework appears relatively fragmented and tends to focus strongly on local management of environmental and societal impacts, while neglecting macro-scale concerns. Awareness raising could improve this situation on the local level, in particular for the regulators and industry stakeholders. Final report 4 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications Content Summary ........................................................................................................... 3 1. Mining and Societal Accountability ............................................................ 7 2. Information Needs on Mining Activities ..................................................... 9 2.1. DIVERSITY OF INFORMATION NEEDS RELATED TO MINING ACTIVITIES 10 2.2. DIVERSITY OF STAKEHOLDERS .................................................................. 12 2.2.1. Industry .................................................................................................. 12 2.2.2. Government ........................................................................................... 12 2.2.3. Civil Society............................................................................................ 13 2.3. CREATING AN UNITY – THE EO-MINERS METHODOLOGY ....................... 13 3. Earth Observation Products to Answer Information Needs Regarding Mining Activities ......................................................................................... 15 4. Resonance Analysis ................................................................................... 23 4.1. OPERATIONALISING RESONANCE .............................................................. 25 4.2. APPLYING RESONANCE ANALYSIS IN EO-MINERS ................................... 26 4.3. COLLECTING EVIDENCE ON RESONANCE IN EO-MINERS ....................... 28 4.4. LOCAL AND EU CASE STUDIES ................................................................... 31 5. European Union .......................................................................................... 33 5.1. RESONANCE ANALYSIS ON UNUSED EXTRACTION ................................. 34 5.2. EVALUATION ................................................................................................. 38 Final report 5 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications 6. South Africa ................................................................................................ 39 6.1. RESONANCE ANALYSIS ON AEROSOLS IN THE EMALAHLENI COALFIELD39 6.1.1. Meta and Macro Level: Policies and Indicators on Air Pollution .............. 46 6.1.2. Meso-Level: Environmental Indicators with Regard to the Mining Sector 48 6.1.3. Resonance Analysis on the policy area “air quality” in the eMalahleni Area56 6.2. EVALUATION.................................................................................................. 59 7. Conclusions ................................................................................................ 61 8. Acknowledgements .................................................................................... 64 9. References .................................................................................................. 65 Final report 6 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications 1. Mining and Societal Accountability Mining is a necessary prerequisite for the supply of primary mineral resources to industrial societies. This can provide large benefits with regard to economic status, but mining activities at the same time cause negative environmental and societal impacts. Ideally, it should be possible to assign these impacts to specific products based on natural resource extraction (Product Environmental Footprint, PEF) or to mining companies (Organisational Environmental Footprint, OEF). Environment Commissioner Janez Potočnik highlighted in a press release of April 9 2013 on environmental footprinting: "To boost sustainable growth, we need to make sure that the most resource-efficient and environmentally-friendly products on the market are known and recognisable. By giving people reliable and comparable information about the environmental impacts and credentials of products and organisations, we enable them to choose. And by helping companies to align their methods we cut their costs and administrative burdens."1 The environmental and societal footprints of mining activities comprise any activities along the life cycle of mines: from concept to closure including exploration and extraction of mineral resources, beneficiation of raw materials, and reclamation. Information on the benefits and impacts is required to facilitate and improve interaction between the mineral extractive industry and other mining related stakeholders (regulators, civil society, industry etc.). As the amount of globally extracted mineral resources has increased over a period of decades, so have mining activities. On the one hand, social and environmental standards were set for the mining sector in many countries, partly on voluntary basis, and the best available technologies improved over time. On the other hand, the increasing number of mines, the increasing volumes of extraction, and inadequate social and environmental standards in many countries offset social, economic and environmental benefits from technical advances. Pollution of air, water and soil, or the relocation of local population etc. remind us that the negative impacts by mining activities are still significant. Transparent communication of societal benefits and risks of mining as well as corporate social responsibility and accountability support the societal acceptance that is generally required to allow peaceful coexistence of mining companies and other stakeholders. The mineral extractive industry is increasingly confronted with claims to consider tighter environmental regulation and demands by the local communities. To this effect, data 1 http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-13-310_en.htm Final report 7 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications with adequate quality, coverage and dependability are seen as essential in view of the sector´s sustainable development while improving its societal acceptability. In addition to expectations of the local stakeholders, there is also an increasing global dimension of societal acceptability. With modern information and communication technology, the local impacts of virtually any mine may be exposed globally. The internet in combination with an emerging global audience, connected by using social media and other networking tools, means that the compliance with minimum environmental and social standards is increasingly expected. Various international organisations have already started to develop global environmental and social mining standards and regulations (see Usubiaga et al. 2012), while “global civil society”, international non-governmental organisations, and the media increasingly demand more accountability and transparency from the mining sector. Environmental footprinting, corporate societal accountability and societal acceptability during all phases of mining projects – from exploration to closure – have consequentially become key issues for the mining industry. Final report 8 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications 2. Information Needs on Mining Activities Societal acceptance of mining activities depends on several conditions: the benefits must at least outweigh the negative environmental and societal impacts, in general, but also for certain subgroups of stakeholders; certain negative societal and environmental pressures, states and impacts may not exceed a distinct level; an efficient continuous monitoring of the indicators is required; the data underlying the indicators need to be trustworthy. This means that the data needs validation and acquisition standards. These conditions are linked to open access to information on mining activities. In order to improve the competences to address these needs for information, the scientific and technical objectives of the FP7 project “Earth Observation for Monitoring and Observing Environmental and Societal Impacts of Mineral Resources Exploration and Exploitation” (EO-MINERS) are to: define and assess information requirements from local to national level policies (micro to macro level) on environmental, socio-economic, societal and sustainable development issues; use existing earth observation (EO) tools and carry out EO method developments on mining sites to demonstrate the capabilities of integrated EObased methods and tools in monitoring, managing and contributing to the reduction of environmental and societal footprints of the extractive industry; contribute to make available reliable and objective information about affected ecosystems, and communities, to serve as a basis for a sound dialogue between industry, governmental organisations, non-governmental organisations. The project EO-MINERS uses knowledge on EO based methods to develop technological tools suited for monitoring mining activities. More precisely, those EO tools are in focus, which allow to monitor the state of the environment, and the mine; the pressures on the environment and society; and the impacts on the environment and society. The ultimate aim of EO-MINERS is to test the potential of cutting-edge EO methods to provide further environmental and social information on mining in particular for nontechnical stakeholders, from local to international scale. Final report 9 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications 2.1. Diversity of Information Needs Related to Mining Activities The information needs related to mining activities are very diverse between the different scales, and the stakeholders involved (Wittmer et al. 2013a). Certain environmental or societal issues appear predominantly on specific scales; accordingly, also the information needs appear only there. At the same time, the stakeholders refer to a distinct scale and thematic issue. In this respect, the entity of information needs is related to the entity of stakeholders, which are related to mining issues. The EO-MINERS indicators on mining activities are supposed to: support public awareness of and social learning about issues related to sustainable mineral resource management; facilitate explicit consideration of the full range of costs and benefits of mineral development; reflect the unique goals and objectives of society, the mining sector or mining companies. The work package “Policy Analysis and Indicator Identification” (WP1) of EO-MINERS has addressed the need to assess policy requirements and define criteria and indicators to be possibly dealt with by using EO methods and tools. It aims at identifying the information needs from governmental and non-governmental stakeholders for the selection of appropriate EO products and the formulation of protocols and standards in subsequent work packages (WP 2-WP 4). Based on the results of the policy analyses (Usubiaga et al. 2012, Falck et al. 2012a, Falck et al. 2012b, Schepelmann et al. 2012)(WP 1, task 1), specific information needs had been derived and appropriate environmental and societal indicators developed, assessed and selected (WP 1, task 2). These tasks were on the one hand undertaken so as to directly feed into the “trialogue”, on the other hand they were also fed by results of the “trialogue” process (WP 5, task 3). The results of the analyses in these tasks defined the demand for the development of EO products and services, respectively, in industry, public policy-making and civil society, and thus framed the tasks in work packages WP 2, WP 3 and WP 4 (Figure 1). For quality control regarding the EO products, which had been developed during the EO-MINERS project, the potential usefulness for governmental and non-governmental stakeholders of the EO products have subsequently been analysed for selected stakeholders by the following resonance analyses (WP 1, task 3). Local and Global indicators Within the context of EO-MINERS, micro indicators refer to environmental or societal issues related to single mines or mining companies, whereat macro indicators refer to environmental or societal issues on national, regional or supranational level. Accordingly, two different approaches for the involvement of stakeholders have been Final report 10 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications followed within EO-MINERS that differ in several regards. Their relationship regarding geographic levels is shown in Figure 1. While mining site visits that address the single mines or mine fields (micro level), respectively, include stakeholders up to the national level, the approach taken on domestic policies address the national level, EU level and above (macro level). Figure 1: Spatial relationship between the geographic levels addressed by macro and micro indicators as applied by the project EO-MINERS (Wittmer et al. 2013a). In practice, upscaling is not simply put into practice from sub-region to region, but across several scales. Between the local level and the national level, there are generally one to two subnational levels, e.g. in EO-MINERS these are referred to as district level and provincial level. However, some levels might be only relevant for administration and not with respect to the national statistical system. In the mining context, micro indicators refer to individual mines or mining companies, e.g. acid mine drainage from a specific mine. Therefore, micro indicators start from data acquisition on this level, and by bottom-up aggregation of all mines or mining companies that comply with a certain criterion, additional indicators can be developed, for example referring to all mines within a district, province or country, all mines of a company, or all mines that explore and/or extract a certain commodity as main product or byproduct. With regard to regionalisation, water-related indicators often refer to catchment areas rather than administrative borders. Final report 11 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications 2.2. Diversity of Stakeholders The term stakeholder means in the context of this project any organisation or person that is related to or affected by mining activities. Within EO-MINERS, three types of stakeholders are distinguished according to their role and perspective with regard to mining activities: industry, government, and civil society2. In general, each group of stakeholders is represented on both supranational/EU level, and subnational level, respectively (cf. Figure 1). The stakeholders significantly differ in capacity and knowledge related to pressures and impacts by mining activities. 2.2.1. Industry Industry stakeholders comprise mining companies and mining associations. The mining companies actually perform the mining activities, while the associations represent the mining industry as it relates to regulators and the public. In general, associations do not represent all mining companies as the membership is voluntary. The term is used here in the wider sense, i.e. including further industrial sectors beside the mining sector: On the one hand, any suppliers to the mining industry (like diesel fuel provider, security companies, and transport companies); on the other hand, customers of the mining products (like beneficiation companies, converters, molten metal processing etc.). 2.2.2. Government Governmental stakeholders comprise actors with regard to governmental policies across all levels, i.e. from supranational, national, provincial, district to local level, regarding both policy making and policy enforcement. For example, the state agencies, state inspectorates, state departments and its local branches, regional departments (in the areas of geology, environmental protection, health, water affairs etc.), regional councils, local municipalities and its specific departments (in the areas asset administration) are covered. The terminology of the three stakeholder groups is in line with the one of the “trialogue” process (task 5.3). 2 Final report 12 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications 2.2.3. Civil Society Civil society stakeholders comprise any interest groups with interest regarding mining activities, on any scale. By nature, they differ vastly in their thematic coverage, aims, and form and level of organisation, as they may have very different objectives and origins. Consequently, their agendas and interests are heterogeneous. The term “civil society” encompasses a wide range of individuals and organisations of different type, size, and function, including non-governmental organisations (NGO), community-based organisations (CBO), religious organisations, cooperatives, trade unions, and many more. 2.3. Creating an Unity – the EO-MINERS Methodology Disparate information between stakeholders is a potential obstacle for interaction between the mineral extractive industry and other mining stakeholders. For addressing information imbalances between the stakeholders, their information needs need to be worked out. Therefore, EO-MINERS started with the identification of the information needs by industry, government and civil society. Thus, EO-MINERS reviewed corporate policies, civil society policies as well as public policies on different geographical levels (Falck et al. 2012a, Falck et al. 2012b, Usubiaga et al. 2012, Schepelmann et al. 2012). The knowledge on the information needs on mining activities then served as the basis for: identifying indicators and parameters, which can be addressed by EO methods, and which are to be used for the development of EO methods and tools; identifying stakeholders to be addressed before and during the dissemination phase at the end of the project. The identification of indicators resulted in a set of so-called candidate indicators (cf. Falck and Spangenberg 2013, Wittmer et al. 2013a) that would be in principle measurable by EO methods. This led to the identification of eleven thematic groups with 59 indicators. In a separate step, this list of was matched with the applicable EO methods (Falck et al. 2012c). Finally, for each of the three EO-MINERS demonstration sites, a proper subset of indicators was generated for which the development of EO products appeared feasible within the limitations of EO-MINERS. That subset was called the “Nottingham/Ljubljana lists”, see Wittmer et al. (2013a). The EO products were successively refined and finally presented to the stakeholders, which ought to assess their applicability. For this purpose, EO-MINERS aimed to initiate and develop a sound dialogue between the three stakeholder groups involved, based on reliable information about ecosystems and societies affected by mining activities. This specific procedure of dialogue is called “trialogue” in this project (WP 5, task 3). The EO products developed were presented at each trialogue workshop by a Final report 13 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications workshop booklet (Teršič et al. 2013b), while the workshops were summarised and conclusions drawn later on (Wittmer and Hejny 2014). The relationship between the diverse work packages is illustrated, amongst others, in Wittmer et al. (2013a) (ch. 1.1.1). Final report 14 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications 3. Earth Observation Products to Answer Information Needs Regarding Mining Activities In most cases, indicators cannot be measured directly, i.e. by measurements without additional data processing. In this case, the calculation of the indicator value is a function of further input data that is called parameters (function parameters). These parameters are then measured directly by EO tools3. Where required, e.g. for remote sensing, the measurements need to be pre-processed by routines resulting in the function parameters (Figure 2). Figure 2: Relationship of indicators and correlating parameters with EO tools, EO products and EO services (Wittmer et al. 2013a). Figure 2 can be read in two directions. On the one hand, the specific indicators are the starting point for the development of EO tools, EO products and EO services: The 3 In general, these measurements also include surveys, e.g. statistical surveys that include also nontechnical data acquisition. Final report 15 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications indicators are expressed by parameters that are measured by EO tools; in case there are several options to select parameters and/or EO tools, the most appropriate ones regarding feasibility and accuracy need to be selected. On the other hand, once the EO tool has been selected, the parameter measurements support the population of the indicators. Successively, the data sets measured by the EO tools are converted to EO products that are easy-to-understand and can stand alone, e.g. graphs or maps with sufficiently detailed legends and explanatory text like fact sheets (cf. Teršič et al. 2013b). In a final stage, the EO products can be further developed to EO services. The development of EO services is based on EO products, but allows further employment of the data as well as the ongoing monitoring of the relevant indicator as new data becomes available. This includes the framing of diverse products and interconnecting the result data; further, interactive access can be enabled by software or other solutions; this last step towards EO services is not covered by the project EO-MINERS as the focus was on developing EO products, and the embedding into EO services is estimated to be time consuming. In EO-MINERS, emphasis was put on the development of indicators as initial point, and EO products as final point of such a procedure (cf. Figure 2). The indicators were subsequently translated into EO products that require the measurement of the parameters. Once measured, the parameters are displayed as (map) layers, with our without further data processing. Final report 16 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications Table 1 gives an overview on the candidate indicators, the nomination on the Nottingham List (CZ, SA) and Ljubljana List (KG), respectively (cf. Wittmer et al. 2013a). Further, Final report 17 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications Table 1 indicates what EO products were actually developed per each mining site. Final report 18 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications Table 1 : Overview on candidate indicators, the short-list4 of indicators, and the EO products developed5. The indicators addressed by EO products are marked grey. These were generally on the short list of indicators; the few ones addressed by EO products in addition to the ones on the short-list are marked “A”. Moreover, those indicators on the short-list, which have not been addressed by EO products, are marked “S”. Abbreviations used: Ind.Code: indicator code; CZ: Czech Republic; SA: South Africa; KG: Kyrgyzstan. Ind. Code A1 CZ Mining land-use intensity A2 S Artisanal and Small-Scale Mining A3 Residential land use A4 Informal settlements A5 Sites set aside, protected areas A6 Surface water courses A7 Recultivation success on mined-out areas and waste/spoil heaps A8 Candidate Indicator Total land-use by mining and milling KG S A Areas indirectly affected and its potential use Existence and legal status of environmental impact assessments A10 Waste volumes generated B1 Erosion B2 Total energy consumption per ton of coal / lignite /ore produced B3 Energy Return on Energy Investment (EROI) Contaminant concentrations Soil fertility of remediated mine areas* B4 C1 C2 A Aerosols Volatiles D1 D2 S S Air-related health impacts Air-related soil degradation D3 D4 S Noise from blasting and machinery Vibrations from blasting D5 D6 4 A9 SA S S The short-list is in the EO-MINERS project frequently called the Nottingham/Ljubljana list. 5 The referencing from EO products to indicators is possible in different ways. This illustration refers to the referencing given in the booklets for the local trialogue (cf. Teršič et al. 2013b). Final report 19 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications Candidate Indicator Hydrological balance Ind. Code E1 Process waters and contaminated surface run-off/stormwater E2 Aqueous contaminant releases E3 Acid Drainage Generation Potential Seepage from engineered structures E4 E5 Drinking/irrigation water availability Road / rail freight volumes from/to operation sites E6 F1 Land fragmentation by transport infrastructure Local air, noise and accident impacts from transport F2 F3 Transport infrastructure quality Accessibility due to mine-related transport infrastructure F4 F5 Grade of slopes Ground stability G1 G2 Dam stability G3 Underground and mining waste deposit fires G4 Flooding risks Accidents in the mining / milling operation G5 H1 Accidents in the operation environment H2 Damages and accidents on neighbouring land due to ground instability H3 Number of jobs created Job security (long term) I1 I2 Contribution to regional income Education provided Health-care and welfare infrastructure provided by mining companies Civil rights in mining companies I3 I4 I5 Civil society activism level Mandatory contributions I7 J1 Voluntary contributions to the community J2 Infrastructure development J3 Existence and effectiveness of local/regional institutions for information management J4 Capabilities of local and regional authorities J5 Risk for the community K1 Final report CZ SA KG S S S S S S A S I6 20 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications Candidate Indicator Corporate vulnerability Ind. Code K2 Vulnerability management cost Damage costs Sustainability management plan K3 K4 K5 Prevalence of corruption Cadastral collection of data K6 * Final report CZ SA KG A 21 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications this page is intentionally blank Final report 22 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications 4. Resonance Analysis For the analysis of social response we work on the assumption that the use of EOMINERS products improves the communication competence of social systems related to mining activities such as mining companies or policy-making entities (the European Commission, EU Member States, other countries, regional and local authorities etc.). The theoretical point of departure is the sociological systems theory of Niklas Luhmann, who has described primary systems of society such as economy, law, science or religion. Luhmann himself refers to policy-making only in total as “the political system”. However, EO-MINERS focuses on the integration of mining-related environmental communication – by means of indicators – into a differentiated subsystem of the political system (e.g. a non-governmental or governmental organisation), therefore, further specifications are required. The functional differentiation of the primary political system is similar to the functional differentiation of other primary systems in society. For example, Stichweh (1979) described the similarity to the functional differentiation of the science system. Evidently, the scientific disciplines are diverging6 although they all serve the identical primary social purpose of gaining knowledge. Analogously, all policies have the primary function of preparing or executing collective binding decisions (Krause 2001), although these policies are in a constant process of functional differentiation that improves societies´ ability to cope with a growing number of challenges. In this deliverable we will try to trace the functional differentiation of the policy system in relation to the environmental and social implications of mining. In this work, we analyse the resonance by means of ecological communication as defined by Luhmann (1990). The necessity of integrating ecological communication arises precisely when functionally differentiated social systems (in this case policies/social systems specialised on mining) need to adapt to ecological challenges. This requires improved intelligence and communication (in our case earth observation intelligence and their communication e.g. by means of indicators). A lack of ecological communication results in policy incoherence and consequently in conflicts, as it becomes evident that functionally differentiated policies (e.g. environmental policy and mining policy) meet different societal functions (with differing targets). Although this has not yet been sufficiently described by social system scientists, it seems obvious that not only the function, but also other social system properties are differentiated such as output, media, codes and programmes. Moreover, in certain 6 For example by developing their own functional output, media, programmes and „languages“ (codes) Final report 23 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications cases, single policy areas can overlap thematically (e.g. energy policy and transport policy), however, each policy area can be described as an operative system with a limited and differentiated social function. We therefore describe policy areas (such as mining policy or environmental policy) as functionally differentiated subsystems of what Luhmann referred to as the political system. Social systems theory tends to rule out the option that differentiated social systems can improve their ecological communication competence by specific actions over time. Luhmann has practically excluded this possibility (Metzner 1993). He reasoned his pessimistic view by arguing that communication (and the underlying cognitive processes) within a differentiated social system increasingly eliminates influences from its environment. Based on this assumption, society would only be able to learn from “environmental shocks”, i.e. external shocks, which would eventually force the integration of environmental communication. Unfortunately, environmental shocks often occur when ecosystems have already started to disintegrate beyond the “watershed” of an ecological system (Luhmann 1990). Examples, which support the pessimistic assumption of “societal blindness” (Luhmann 2001) regarding information on environmental risk, are numerous in history, and seem to be the rule (EEA 2001). In the area of mining there is also supporting evidence for this interpretation. Although sociological systems theory does not offer pragmatic solutions for this problem, it helps to understand the underlying reasons for the problems in relation to environmental communication. The phenomenon of functional differentiation as described by sociological systems theory is generally undisputed (Schimank 2000), however, this knowledge offers only little guidance for formulating pragmatic answers to the related political problems. This tendency of a pessimistic interpretation of the society’s disintegration might have contributed to the widespread rejection of the social systems theory. But even in systems theory there is a concept, which does not only stress the differences among differentiated systems, but which could be considered as the nucleus of possible convergence and integration of policies. Social systems usually shut themselves off against environmental disturbances (that they interpret as noise). They are “blind” towards information, which is not directly useful for their self-organisation. Nevertheless, even operative closed communication systems show response to their environment. Under certain circumstances, environmental incidents can irritate and disrupt operations of the system. If the system is “rocked” hard enough (which is a function of the resilience of the system structure), the system starts “swinging”. Luhmann describes this condition as resonance. Sociological systems theory refers exclusively to communication. Accordingly, also environmental incidents are perceived by systems theory as communication, only, that obviously originates outside the related communication system. Therefore, resonance does not refer directly to ecological processes, but to the communication within the Final report 24 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications society reflecting on these external processes. Such societal communication about ecological processes is what Luhmann describes as “ecological communication” (Luhmann 1990). 4.1. Operationalising Resonance Ecological communication indicates communication competence that is the prerequisite for integrating environmental policy requirements into other policy areas like mining policies. Nevertheless, in Luhmann’s publication on ecological communication, the notion of communication competence remains rather abstract. This analysis uses environmental indicators as expression of ecological communication. This leads to the following hypothesis: EO products as developed by EO-MINERS can increase the communication competence for environmental policy concerns related to mining; or in other words: EO products as developed by EO-MINERS support ecological communication within the mining sector. Environmental indicators are usually developed by environmental policy systems in a broad sense including beside systems of public policy also those of corporate policy and civil society policy. Other policy systems often perceive them as external means of control (environmental incidents). According to Luhmann, systems can only perceive environmental incidents – and in consequence can only increase their communication competence – in compliance with their own structure. This reaction of a system (according to its system structure) to environmental indicators is what we refer to in this analysis as resonance. How could we detect or even measure societal resonance with environmental indicators? Obviously, resonance within a social system cannot be recorded quantitatively like the physical phenomenon of resonance by measuring the frequency of the resonator’s vibration. Instead, societal resonance is indirectly measured as follows: The empirical evidence of “societal vibrations” can be provided by a qualitative description of institutions and measures in the corresponding policy area, and the occurrence of resonance assessed semi-quantitatively. For the execution of a resonance analysis, a relevant indicator needs to be selected at the outset. The indicator or the environmental issue addressed by it should represent a problem, on which sufficient knowledge about the causal problem chain(s) exist for assuming political salience (for example CO2-equivalents as a pressure indicator referring to the problem of climate change). In addition, the plausibility of a societal Final report 25 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications differentiation according to the problem should be preliminarily assessed on a metalevel. If societal resonance can be assumed, it can be tested whether and to which degree functional differentiation on the different levels (international, national, regional, etc.) and sectors (mining sector, environmental sector, civil society sector etc.) of governance takes place. Summarising, Luhmann’s abstract concept of ecological communication can be operationalized by means of environmental indicators. Societal resonance with these indicators, and the environmental issues they address, can be measured by describing issue-specific functional differentiations (e.g. differentiations, which have the function of achieving causally related environmental objectives) and their actions on the different governance levels. Positive Resonance It should be noted that resonance is not identical with acceptance. According to Luhmann (1990), the term resonance is not restricted on the amplification of information, exclusively, but generally is a neutral phenomenon that corresponds with the amplification, the distortion or the buffering of information, in this case environmental information. In any case, it implies an interpretation of information according to a system-specific code. In other words, resonance occasionally does not correspond to acceptance, but to ignorance or even resistance. For example, specific policy networks (e.g. networks in the mining sector) might behave conservatively by resisting to structural adaptation to environmental challenges (Benz and Fürst 2002). Although an analysis of resonance in such a wide sense (resulting in resistance rather than acceptance) would be a policyrelevant application of the resonance concept, this study concentrates on resonance related to acceptance (“positive resonance”) linked to the societal ability to plan and implement target-oriented action to reduce environmental pressure or impact, respectively. Given the scope as described above, resonance analysis is not a methodology for a “technical evaluation” of EO products as developed by EO-MINERS; but rather for assessing the potential of EO-MINERS output to positively influence those factors and causalities, which are supposed to be represented by an environmental indicator. 4.2. Applying Resonance Analysis in EO-MINERS Societal resonance with indicators means that a group or network of stakeholders establishes a policy, which is functionally-related to the indicators respectively the political objective they refer to. For example, the indicator “greenhouse gases” (expressed in CO2 equivalents) refers to the objective of reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The degree of resonance will be semi-quantitatively determined by relating Final report 26 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications empirical evidence of functional differentiation to the different phases of the policy cycle (Figure 3). problem analysis target setting development of options choice of options implementation evaluation optimization Figure 3: Policy cycle with its clock-wise sequential order of phases: policy cycle phases indicated in the box, from top to bottom, refer to the ringlike diagram “around the clock”, from one o´clock onwards The degree of resonance with an indicator can be expressed by the number of phases which have been reached (i.e. positively influenced) by a matching policy. Low degrees of resonance are realised in a specific policy when no or only very few phases have been reached; in this case it is usually limited on the early phases of problem analysis and target setting. In contrast, the maximum degree of resonance is realised when all phases of the policy cycle have been reached; we would call this state a “mature policy”. The resonance analysis requires a certain understanding of the relation between meta and meso level of the society and economy. According to Esser et al. (1996), values and concepts on the meta-level drive and motivate successful policy development that is usually driven by actions on the meso level. This understanding has already been successfully tested by an analysis of resonance (Schepelmann 2005). Also in the mining context investigated by EO-MINERS, a general analysis of policies in civil society, governments and companies needed to be acquired on the meta level (Falck et al. 2012a, Falck et al. 2012b, Usubiaga et al. 2012, Schepelmann et al. 2012), in order to be able to collect empirical evidence in the test sites on the meso and micro level. Final report 27 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications 4.3. Collecting Evidence on Resonance in EO-MINERS Several methods of collecting evidence on policy development have been identified: (a) internet search; (b) interaction (e.g. interviews, trialogue) with governmental and non-governmental stakeholders; (c) the screening of formal and informal publications (brochures, working papers etc.); and (d) the screening of scientific literature (as secondary literature). Internet Search The internet has proven to be a useful tool for resonance analysis on the meso-level of societal networks (Schepelmann 2005), due to several reasons. A central objective of meso policies is the creation of internal and external relations of governmental and non-governmental stakeholders in order to develop a functionally differentiated societal system, i.e. a functioning policy network. In democracies, governmental and nongovernmental institutions, respectively, typically support the creation of these public relations by launching diverse public-private platforms that – amongst others – institutionalise information exchange and public discourse. Public-private platforms can be run in different ways. There is no systematic overview on the today variety of policy networks; however, the functional differentiation of the societal system seems overall to evolve increasingly. Any of these policy networks have in common, amongst others, that they are usually accompanied with communication that can be traced in the internet. As the internet has steadily gained importance for the exchange of information, it has an outstanding role for collecting evidence on the functional differentiation of the societal system with regard to the environmental issue. Compared to the internet, the alternatives mentioned above turn out to be inferior as they tend to be laborious and time-consuming. Furthermore, the internet is becoming a widely used means to disseminate formal and informal publications as well as scientific literature. In societies where the use of electronic communication is advanced, internet search-engines can therefore be very useful in detecting formal and informal policy networks. However in areas where access to electronic communication is more limited, interaction via interviews, workshops etc. remain an important means to ensure inclusive access to communication channels. Furthermore, the internet is superior compared to other sources of information with regard to the timeliness of the information. Active networks or platforms usually update regularly, thus the information provided there is rather up-to-date, and more complete than enquiries by off-line ways. The drawback is that this information is subject to continual alteration. Actually, the volatility of this methodology reflects the changing Final report 28 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications reality that it aims to analyse: Indeed, meso-policies are usually complex processes of searching and learning. They are often influenced by spontaneously changing political notions, priorities and stakeholders. The resonance analysis can therefore reflect currents in society that change, increase, decrease or disappear over time. There is a risk that enquiries limited on the internet mean a certain filtering of information as not all information is available by internet and as it accesses only specific strata of the society, in particular in countries like South Africa and Kyrgyzstan where the internet has only saturated parts of the society. In summary, with the amount and quality of information found in the internet, in combination with analogue interaction (interviews, workshops etc.), it is usually possible to reproduce sufficiently the degree of functional differentiation of the societal system. Interaction with Stakeholders Where appropriate and possible, the validity of the web-based research should be corroborated by interaction with stakeholders. In EO-MINERS, two parts may be differentiated: the dialogue between three groups of stakeholders, in EO-MINERS called “trialogue”; interviews with stakeholders. The interviews with stakeholders include actions carried out in EO-MINERS, work package 1, like the interview campaigns to identify the stakeholders involved and the information requirements from different policies (Falck et al. 2012a, Falck et al. 2012b, Usubiaga et al. 2012) including site-specific requirements, will on their part serve as input to the trialogue activities. The same applies to all activities on collecting information based e.g. stakeholder interviews or returned questionnaires (task 1.2). The trialogue7 is a structured dialogue between the three stakeholder groups involved into or affected by mining activities, namely stakeholders of the industry, the governmental organisations, and the civil society (NGO etc.). It assists towards the reconciliation of differing interests in order to reach agreement upon actions to deal with environmental and social impacts of mining activities. The data necessary to do so require being reliable and objective. They can originate from EO products (as e.g. developed within EO-MINERS), or from publicly available information sources. Such EO products aim to characterise the effect on ecosystems, populations and societies Trialogue is “an interchange and discussion of ideas among three groups having different origins, philosophies, principles, etc.” (Webster's New World College Dictionary) 7 Final report 29 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications (cf. chapter 3) and become an objective and indisputable basis for a sound “trialogue” between the stakeholders involved8. In the evaluation process we need to distinguish individual local and overall European conditions. On local level, this exercise will result in a kind of description of the current situation specific for the particular site. On European level, it determines the way of presenting the project contribution to policy developments. As such, the EO-MINERS trialogue comprises of the following contributions (Figure 4): “European trialogue”, i.e. trialogue related the European level; and “local trialogue”, i.e. trialogue related to each of the mining sites under investigation. Figure 4: The EO-MINERS trialogue and its components The results of the trialogue workshops are each compiled by a workshop summary report (Wittmer and Hejny 2014, Wittmer et al. 2013b, Wittmer et al. 2013c, Wittmer and Kylychbaev 2013). The scope of this study does not allow analysing the resonance of indicators on mining policies in great detail, but rather shows the applicability of the method on mining policy that, in many respects, is a specific and rather self-contained field of policy. In addition, the fact that the delivery of the EO products developed by EO-MINERS is temporally 8 cf. Trialogue Methodology Paper v3.0, 2012 Final report 30 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications too close to this study (they were presented to the stakeholders via the local trialogue workshops) means that resonance could not fully develop. Furthermore, the EOMINERS project did not exist in a vacuum and attempted to respond to the environmental and societal issues identified by stakeholders during interviews. Consequently, policy response to these issues results from existing concerns as well as the results of EO-MINERS. Accordingly, the resonance analysis is not a pure ex post analysis, but also applies certain ex ante elements where this is considered useful for the scope of the study. Consequently, interpretation of the results requires care. Nevertheless, the suggested internet-based methodology allows a sufficiently representative overview on the degree of differentiation concerning selected aspects of environmental issues related to mining activities. As the development of most of the EO products focused on environmental issues rather than societal issues, the resonance analysis is also focused on environmental issues. The societal responses are not portrayed in total, but outlined by the most important features that show resonance with the EO products in question in order to indicate the existing functional differentiation. 4.4. Local and EU Case Studies The resonance analyses carried out by this study refer to the policy relevance of the environmental issues related to mining activities, which were addressed by the project EO-MINERS. For practical reasons, the resonance analyses could not be executed for all EO products, but had to focus on few selected ones, i.e. one referring to the local level (South Africa), and one to the EU level. The actual selection of the EO product for the resonance analysis on the local level is based on the policy analysis completed beforehand (Usubiaga et al. 2012), the estimated quality of the individual EO products, and the experiences from the local trialogue workshops9 that took place between March and June 2013 (Wittmer et al. 2013b, Wittmer et al. 2013c, Wittmer and Kylychbaev 2013). The resonance analyses are presented as follows: Chapter 5 deals with the resonance analysis on the aerosols in the eMalahleni coalfield (indicator D1); Chapter 6 investigates the resonance perceived on unused extraction at the EU level. 9 The trialogue process of the project EO-MINERS addresses two levels: the local trialogue that provides a number of concrete EO products for each mining site; and the EU trialogue that aims to contribute to the communication on a selected environmental issue. This issue is the accounting of the “unused extraction” of mining, and the potential of EO tools to contribute. Final report 31 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications this page is intentionally blank Final report 32 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications 5. European Union Sustainable development is a key driver of resource policies. However, the relevant differences between the policy frameworks at international and at EU level require emphasising the different aspects of what the production and consumption of raw materials entail. Hence, different policies have been issued and targets been adopted, requiring different information, intelligence and indicators. At the EU level, policies are more related to the security of supply. The EU has little or no reserves of several minerals, which are essential for the development of its economy (e.g. platinum, palladium, rhodium, rare earths, among others), and it is thus dependent on mineral-supplying third countries. Some of these resources are economically essential, for instance, with regard to the high-tech industry. The insufficient domestic extraction that causes insufficient domestic supply by several minerals reasons the high political interest and as a consequence several policies in the area of raw materials. In fact, emphasis is put within EU raw materials policies to secure sufficient imports of scarce raw materials and/or minerals to the EU, e.g. the Raw Material Initiative (RMI). The RMI also seeks to address scarcity by further means, i.e. by fostering sustainable supply of raw materials from European sources and by reducing the EU´s consumption of raw materials. In addition, there are environmental policies aimed at promoting resource efficiency and a sustainable management of resources along their whole life cycle (e.g. the Action Plan on Sustainable Consumption and Production and Sustainable Industrial Policy and the Thematic Strategy on the Sustainable Use of Natural Resources) or supporting the objectives adopted at the international level. The combined consideration of (a) “fostering sustainable supply of raw materials from European sources”, and (b) the environmentally related promotion “of resource efficiency and a sustainable management of resources along their whole life cycle” emphasise the relevance of “unused extraction” as one of the few indicators, which address explicitly the environmental pressures related to those part of the extraction that never enter the economic cycle. Final report 33 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications 5.1. Resonance Analysis on Unused Extraction Preamble: The resonance analysis refers to the reporting on “unused extraction”. This comprises the economy-wide material flow analysis (EW-MFA) indicator of the same name, but also relates to possible other reporting on this theme. Problem Analysis and Agenda Setting The flagship initiative “A resource-efficient Europe” in the context of the Europe2020 strategy, moves the extraction and use of natural resources in the centre of the political agenda of the European Commission. “A resource-efficient Europe” is the seventh and last of the Europe 2020 flagship initiatives which aim at building smart, sustainable and inclusive growth for Europe. It establishes resource efficiency as the guiding principle for EU policies on energy, transport, climate change, industry, commodities, agriculture, fisheries, biodiversity and regional development. The flagship initiative connects policies related to minerals such as the “Roadmap for a resource efficient Europe” and the “Raw Materials Initiative” as well as the “Raw Materials Innovation Partnership”. In the Communication on the flagship initiative the European Commission states that “indicators are needed to cover issues such as the availability of natural resources, where they are located, how efficiently they are used, waste generation and recycling rates, impacts on the environment and biodiversity.” One of the building blocks of the flagship initiative “A resource-efficient Europe” is the European Commission's Roadmap to a resource-efficient Europe10. It builds upon and complements the other initiatives under the resource efficiency flagship, the 2005 Thematic Strategy on the Sustainable Use of Natural Resources and the EU's strategy on sustainable development. It sets out a vision for the structural and technological change needed to put Europe on a path to resource efficient and sustainable growth by the year 2050 and defines milestones to be reached by 2020. While the extraction process is addressed explicitly in the Roadmap, the issue of unused extraction has not been addressed specifically. Target Setting and Evaluation Indicators have an important role in the target setting of the EU policy. “The European Commission is working to ensure that appropriate indicators are available for monitoring and analytical purposes on the basis, for example, of the sustainable development indicators” (European Commission 2011a). Similar to the Thematic Strategy, the Roadmap proposes ways to increase resource productivity and decouple economic growth from resource use and its environmental 10 COM (2011) 571 Final report 34 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications impact. The Commission conducted a stakeholder consultation in 2012 and 2013 to define the right indicators and targets for guiding actions and monitoring progress. The setting of the related set of indicators is described by the Roadmap and its annex 6. The consultation paper “Options for RE Indicators” shows the intention of the European Commission to use a combination of environmental indicators. “Resource Productivity” (GDP divided by DMC) will be the lead indicator. It will be supported by indicators on land and water use, and GHG emissions as a proxy for negative impacts on the environment. Global indicators will be added when available, together with indicators on natural capital and environmental impacts, to complete a comprehensive "resource efficiency dashboard". On this third level of thematic indicators, “minerals and metals” are indicated as key area that needs to be covered. For the material use, the resource use-oriented indicators are DMC and RMC that are both are already published by official statistics (environmental accounting). Unused extraction, however, is not referred to at this stage in the stakeholder consultation and/or its draft scoreboard. “For assessing the performance of the European Sustainable Development Strategy, the Commission uses more than a hundred indicators. The so-called Sustainable Development Indicators (SDI) are – like the above-described Resource Efficiency indicator set – organised as a three-level pyramid, however, additionally complemented with contextual indicators. The setting of this indicator set is described by the EC communication "Sustainable Development Indicators to monitor the implementation of the EU Sustainable Development Strategy”11. With regard to the aim of EO-MINERS, the headline indicator for Sustainable Consumption and Production (SCP) is the most relevant one. The SCP-indicator measures resource productivity defined as Gross National Product (GDP) divided by Domestic Material Consumption (DMC). It is identical with the lead indicator of the Resource Efficiency indicators (see above). One operational objective of the theme “SCP” is “Resource use and waste” that makes use of further specific DMC indicators (components of DMC) as explanatory variables (http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/sdi/indicators/theme2). The DMC is an indicator based on Economy-Wide Material Flow Accounting (EW-MFA) and measures the direct resource input into the European economies minus the exports. An overview on important Economy-Wide Material Flow Indicators is given by Table 2. The regulation on European Environmental Economic Accounts12 emphasizes the importance of Economy-wide Material Flow Accounting for the EU, including the accounting for domestically extracted and imported minerals (Table 2). 11 Regulation (EU) No. 691/2011 12 PE-Cons 11/11 Final report 35 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications Indicator Table 2: Macro-economic indicators for material flows. Formula Subject Total Material Requirement (TMR) DMI + indirect flows Domestic and imported resources including their ecological rucksacks, which are required for domestic production and consumption. Total Material Consumption (TMC) TMR – (exports + indirect flows of exports) Domestic and imported resources including their ecological rucksacks, which are required for domestic consumption only (excluding exports). Direct Material Input (DMI) Domestic material used + imports Domestic and imported resources without ecological rucksacks, which are used for domestic production and consumption. Domestic Material Consumption (DMC) DMI - exports Domestic and imported resources without ecological rucksacks, which are used for domestic consumption only (excluding exports). EW-MFA also plays a central role for the Thematic Strategy on the Sustainable Use of Natural Resources (European Commission 2005a). The strategy aims at decoupling use of natural resources and their environmental impacts from economic development. For the strategy the European Commission intends to develop indicators that would allow the measurement of efficiency and productivity in the use of natural resources, and resource-specific impacts. Currently, EW-MFA provides at macro level the basis for measuring overall consumption of natural resources. In 2008 the European Commission launched the Raw Materials Initiative. Currently, there are no indicators used to monitor the effectiveness of the initiative. Already in 2000, the Raw Materials Supply Group13 launched a voluntary process in response to the call of the Commission on the need of indicators to monitor the performance of the non-energy extractive industry within the EU. The set of selected indicators comprise 13 company-level indicators and seven Member State-level indicators. Nonetheless, the lack of legal base made impossible to collect all the necessary information to develop the indicators at Member State level (Anciaux 2005, Raw Material Supply Group 2006).” Of these indicators, only the member state level indicator “material demand” (expressed in material demand per capita) relates to the material flows accounting scheme. In its conclusions of December 2011 the European Council “invites the Commission to continue to work in close cooperation with Member States and all other relevant stakeholders and to develop by 2013 a proposal for an appropriate set of resource efficiency indicators, taking into account the life-cycle perspective, potential environmental burden-shifting to other regions or between resources, and social 13 The Raw Materials Supply Group consists of representatives from Member States, candidate countries, industry federations, trade unions and NGO. It discusses and exchanges information on issues of sustainable competitiveness that affect the EU non-energy extractive industry. Final report 36 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications aspects, as well as the work done by, among others, the EEA, OECD and UNEP, and to define a process for considering potential resource efficiency targets in close cooperation with Member States and other relevant stakeholders”. In a first reaction Euromines, the recognized representative of the European metals and minerals mining industry, has already signalled, that “’economy wide material efficiency could be a useful concept to provide a snapshot of the status of the EU economy as a whole” 14. It also supports the concept of a complementing “dash-board” of indicators in order to assess trade-offs that are required to achieve Resource Efficiency. In February 2013, the European Commission launched the “European Innovation Partnership (EIP) on raw materials. The partnership brings together Member States and other stakeholders (companies, NGO, researchers etc.) to develop joint strategies, pull together capital and human resources and ensure the implementation and dissemination of innovative solutions within Europe. The EIP on raw materials will tackle the entire value chain of raw materials, including exploration, extraction, refining and processing, sorting, collecting and recycling, as well as substitution. After the Partnership became operational, a Strategic Implementation Plan has been developed. To speed this process up, the Commission proposes concrete targets to be achieved by 2020 at the latest, which also relate to the generation of intelligence and indicators on sustainable minerals extraction, including European standardized statistical instruments for the survey of resources and reserves, a 3-D geological map as well as a dynamic modelling system linking trends in supply and demand to a full lifecycle analysis. The regulation on European Environmental Economic Accounts of November 201115 makes Economy-wide Material Flow Accounting mandatory in the EU27. The new legislation requires EU countries to harmonise national reporting data on air pollution, green taxes and raw material flows in order to build up Europe-wide "environmental economic accounts". For their material balance sheets, Member States are asked to produce statistics on EW-MFA for all solid, gaseous, and liquid materials, except for flows of air and water, measured in mass units per year. The module for Economy-wide Material Flow Account (EW-MFA) is described in Annex III of the regulation and reveals the high relevance for domestically extracted and imported minerals.” It has been shown that EW-MFA supports already for several years the setting of EU policy targets. EW-MFA provides at macro level (member states, EU) the basis for measuring overall consumption of natural resources. Where necessary, this can be assessed for total material flows or specific material categories. The usefulness of EW- 14 Position on Resource Efficiency, available at www.euromines.org 15 PE-Cons 11/11 Final report 37 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications MFA, of which “unused extraction” is a part of, for target setting and the related evaluation has been confirmed by its inclusion into several indicator sets that address resource efficiency, but also by the mining industry (Euromines). “Unused extraction” so far is not reported officially, mainly due to limited availability of data, but current discussions at all policy levels show the interests in how this dimension can be included into purposeful target setting and evaluation. Not Present or Only Rudimentary The policy cycle stages “Development of the Options for Action”, “Selection of the Options for Action”, “(Policy) Implementation”, “Performance Review (evaluation of policy actions)”, “Optimisation” do not show significant impacts/influences due to reporting on “unused extraction”. 5.2. Evaluation At the macro level, material flows get reported by an established set of EW-MFA indicators. The reporting of “unused extraction” at the macro level is possible by EWMFA the indicator of the same name. Resonance in the policy cycle has been generally shown by the inclusion of resource issues into policy documents, but also specifically by the inclusion of EW-MFA indicators on various EU indicator sets, namely those that address resource efficiency explicitly. We have also shown significant influence on the Problem Analysis and Agenda Setting. This can be reasoned by the fact that target setting, or more general speaking: indicator development, necessarily requires precedent discussions on what shall be measured for what purpose etc. (cf. Wittmer et al. 2013a, Falck and Spangenberg 2013). So far, EW-MFA has not been used for the Selection of the Options for Action. This could indicate that more advanced and/or resource-specific (in this case: ore type etc.) monitoring would be required/useful for certain stakeholders. Accordingly, the influence on the Selection of the Options for Action is not significant. Policy implementation on the field of “unused extraction” in the area of mining has been performed by mining waste regulation; however, there is no link between mining waste regulation and EW-MFA reporting. A reason for this can be that waste statistics are developed basically independently from material flow accounting and this separation lasts until today. A performance review is not possible at this stage as no actions have been taken that explicitly address the improvement/reduction of unused extraction in the EU. Final report 38 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications 6. South Africa Firstly, the plausibility of a societal differentiation according to the problem of air pollution will be preliminarily assessed on a meta-level (chapters 6.1.1 and 6.1.2). If societal resonance can be assumed, it can be tested whether and to which degree functional differentiation on the different levels of governance (international, national, regional, etc.) takes place (chapter 6.1.3). Then, the results of the resonance analysis are applied for an evaluation of approaches to mitigate impacts caused by air pollution in eMalahleni, enhanced by an outlook on strategies that look promising for local stakeholders (chapter 6.2). 6.1. Resonance Analysis on Aerosols in the eMalahleni Coalfield Scope of Analysis Resonance analysis is accompanied by a qualitative description of institutions and measures in the corresponding policy area. For the execution of the resonance analysis in South Africa, an indicator had to be selected at the outset, which addresses an environmental area that is announced to be of relevance for the society and economy. It further should represent a problem, on which sufficient knowledge about the causal problem chain(s) exist for assuming political salience. The indicator selected is “Aerosols – particle concentration in off-site air” (indicator D1); it belongs to the thematic area “air quality and other nuisances” (D) that contains altogether six indicators that relate to air emissions, or noise/vibrations. The selected indicator D1 is specified by the list of local candidate indicators (cf. Falck and Spangenberg 2013, Wittmer et al. 2013a) as follows: D1 Aerosols – particle concentration in off-site air Aerosols, dust, in itself constitutes a nuisance or a health hazard, in particular if they contribute to high concentrations in in-house air, e.g. in worker dormitories. At the same time it can be an indicator of the quality of operational and residues management. This indicator refers to the problem of air pollution caused by mining and related activities16. “Aerosols are an environmental impact that is frequently observed in areas 16 In the South African study area, the primary commodity mined is coal. This has led to the development of a complex of mines and related industrial, power generation and metallurgical plants, all emitting Final report 39 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications with heavy industrial activities. It is one of the most important factors that determine the air quality of a region and thus are directly related to the quality of life for people, but also to the health of flora and fauna. Wind can transport the aerosols from the place of pollution to other, even remote areas. Further, a key strategy to minimise the environmental impacts is the dilution of the aerosols on a larger air volume, e.g. by high chimneys, dust control etc. Consequently the areas affected can vary from local to regional pollution, i.e. from a few tens of metres to tens of kilometres.” “Regarding the impacts on humans, two health effects are distinguished: direct impacts of fine particles that cause harm on the respiratory system. Here the particle size is the key variable. toxic effects caused by the intake of toxic substances into the organism. Here the chemical composition, the release of harmful substances and the resulting concentration at the target organism are the key variables. The particle size is commonly determined by particle matter classes (PMxy) of the dust, and rather easy to measure, whereat the chemical composition can only be determined by complex and costly chemical analyses, dependent on the required coverage and accuracy of measurements of airborne particulate samples.” Of all indicators, the environmental issue related to this indicator has been mentioned by most stakeholders; in particular, the group of civil society stakeholders expressed strong demand for information on this environmental issue (Wittmer et al. 2013a). In eMalahleni, this problem is of special importance because on the one hand coal mining and processing is accompanied by the emission coal dust, and on the other hand the eMalahleni area shows one of the major coalfields of the world with numerous large-scale and small-scale mines, and several coal burning industrial, metallurgical and power generation plants. Further, it is a relatively frequent phenomenon in the area of eMalahleni that dense smog appears in winter that causes strong odour nuisance, danger for road traffic (“pea soup fog”), and potential threat for lung diseases. Smog, or smoky fog, commonly occurs when large amounts of coal are burned in an area and thus soot particulates, sulphur dioxide, and other contaminants are abundant. A limitation of the interpretability of the traditional measures for this indicator is that they are based on a cumulative measurement that reflects any particles at a given measuring point without differentiating the source of the particles. For example, samples of aerosols do basically not reveal whether they were emitted by coal-fired power plants, other heavy industry, or brake dust etc., however, the correspondence of their chemical composition, if measured, with typical dust types, and the distance of known major dust emitters (point sources) enable qualitative assessments. particulate pollution. The air pollution is therefore related to activities based on the local abundance of coal (mining, smelting, combustion etc.), but not exclusively a result of mining. Final report 40 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications Selection of the EO product A key target of EO-MINERS is to develop EO products that address the information needs of the different stakeholders. Twelve environmental areas (and accordingly the corresponding indicators) were nominated on the final “short list of indicators”17 as areas that should be preferably addressed by the EO products (Wittmer et al. 2013a). EO products for eight of them, plus an extra one, were developed and presented at the Local Trialogue Workshop in eMalahleni in April 2013 (Wittmer et al. 2013b)18, whereat some EO products have triggered intense discussions among the workshop participants. “Aerosols”, i.e. indicator D1, showed one of the most intense discussions. Further, the Council for Geoscience (CGS) has confirmed this snap-shot impression with its longtime experiences at the eMalahleni coalfield. The Slovenian Geological Survey (GeoZS) introduced street dust sampling to the EO-MINERS project (Žibret et al. 2012). The method uses hard surfaces – typically tarred roads or horizontal concrete surfaces – as accumulators of dust and studies the metal content of the accumulated dust. This allows the identification of dust sources, based on chemical fingerprinting as well as an assessment of the potential hazard posed by dust, but does not have temporal resolution or look at the pathways by which these metals could be absorbed by human or other environmental receptors. As such, it offered a new dimension to the existing dust monitoring activities in the area (DEA 2008), which have, up to now, focused on particulate load monitoring (DEA 2011). The results obtained in this study were able to fingerprint sources of pollution as well as to identify the fallout areas related to these sources. Following the related presentation at the Local Trialogue Workshop in eMalahleni in April 2013 (Teršič et al. 2013a, Wittmer et al. 2013b) and a short period of interest by the local and national media, a second presentation of these results was requested by the Directorate for Air Quality at the Department of Environmental Affairs. Environmental indicators can be structured with regard to a causal chain (EEA 2003). The DPSIR framework, a common framework developed by the European Environmental Agency and frequently applied, differentiates, amongst others, the environmental pressure, the environmental state, and the environmental impacts. 17 This list is internally also called the „Nottingham list“. 18 The EO products developed for eMalahleni covered the thematic areas of land use (A1, A4+A5, A6), air quality and other nuisances (D1), water quality (E4), transport (F2), and geotechnical hazards and accidents (G2, G4), while the EO product addressing indicator A4 concurrently addressed indicator A5 (Wittmer et al. 2013b). Final report 41 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications Actually, the meaningfulness of this indicator for the eMalahleni coalfield was in a sense already anticipated by the list of EO products. Four EO products have been developed in parallel in order to be able to give consideration to the variety of toxic substances that are involved by the aerosols issue (Teršič et al. 2013a): i. ii. iii. iv. Distribution map of antimony (Sb) dust contamination; Distribution map of chromium (Cr) dust contamination; Distribution map of vanadium (V) dust contamination; Distribution map of barium (Ba) dust contamination. Obviously, the measurements do not measure exactly what the indicator name implies. While the indicator name “Aerosols (particle concentration in off-site air)” refers to the environmental state of the area, the EO product developed addresses the environmental impact in a wider sense, indicated by measurements of the metal concentrations in street dust. The dust particles collected at the measuring points reflect the accumulated metal concentration in particulate matter that collects on surfaces in the area of interest, and is there retained until the measurement date. The advantage of the street dust measurement technique in the context of the EO-MINERS project is that it provides a semi-quantitative indicator of cumulative environmental impact19 from a single sampling campaign, in contrast with traditional particulate monitoring programmes which require frequent monitoring over long periods of time. The above-mentioned shift from measuring environmental state to environmental impact is based on practical reasons, and the availability of measurement techniques within the EO-MINERS team. Also, the names of the indicators were so far considered as environmental issues, rather than literally defining concrete measurable indicators. Scope of the EO product The EO products that relate to the indicator “Aerosols” (D1) are presented under the heading “dust pollution” as four separate distribution maps on Sb, Cr, V, Ba (from left top to bottom right). 19 Experts state that such kind of measurement reflects a dust accumulation over about the last six months. Final report 42 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications Figure 5: The EO product “Dust pollution” for the eMalahleni area: four discrete maps on the heavy metal contents of Sb, Cr, V, and Ba This EO product shows the content of four metals, with the potential to cause health and environmental impacts as well as being characteristic of different activities within the study area, measured in street dust samples in the eMalahleni area. The samples were collected in February 2011 (Teršič et al. 2013a). The individual circles show the measuring points, while the colour indicates the metal concentration in the street dust. Measurements were taken along the roads because of the accessibility of the measuring points, and the comparability between different types of measuring points. “Street dust is a complex mixture of different materials of both natural and anthropogenic origin. Dust particles of natural origin include soils, volcanic ash, pollen, plant remains and smoke from forest fires. Anthropogenic dust particles can originate from weathering and abrasion of man-made materials (e.g. asphalt, concrete), demolition or construction activities, metal and energy production (e.g. smelters, coalburning power stations), agriculture and road traffic (e.g. wear of brake pads and tyres, fuel combustion). Dust produced through these various mechanisms is first released into the atmosphere before being deposited at street level and then subsequently remobilised by wind or passing traffic, for example. As a result, street dust particles are often contained in the breathing air. However, street dust contains beside “inert” substances also toxic Final report 43 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications metals, especially in urban environments and close to industrial areas and busy roads. Accordingly, such dust containing high levels of toxic metals can pose a health risk, particularly to young children, because such metals can easily enter into the blood stream through the ingestion or inhalation of the relatively fine-grained dust particles. Furthermore, some of these toxic metals are easily dissolved in water; the runoff produced following a rainy period can lead to contamination of the surface water and potentially harm aquatic life. By analysing the chemical composition of the deposited street dust, we are able to identify its potential source (vehicles, coal-fired power plants, households etc.).”(Teršič et al. 2013a) Availability of the EO product This EO product is available as poster in interactive portable document format (pdf-file) at the EO-MINERS website20 showing the four metals by separate maps. In general, for each sample a chemical analysis has been performed that measures the concentrations of the four metals, thus, the four maps are identical with regard to the measuring network. For enhancing the interpretability, the map shows in addition different road classes, and point sources like smelting plants (Cr, V), power stations (Ba), and fly-ash dumps (Ba).(Teršič et al. 2013a) Feedback by stakeholders on the EO product The discussions during the trialogue workshop in eMalahleni revealed two issues of increased interest. “Firstly, the scope of the project did not include the exploration of linkages between the research findings, i.e. the high element concentration, and human health. However, recommendations and suggestions from researchers were on the possible use of the research findings to initiate studies exploring the dynamics between chemical environmental contamination and the local disease prevalence. The complexity on aspects around assessing the relationship between contamination and human health were identified as involving exploration of the pollution pathways. WHO standards on the quantity of contaminant exposure such as metals are known as well as their effects on humans exposed to them. However, the quantities of contaminants that are incorporated, and to which effects, in this area, have not been analysed. Analysis can be done by testing and analysing the local human blood concentrations, comparison to WHO standards and the ADI (acceptable daily intake) values etc. The CGS confirmed its informal engagement with the Medical Research Council and explores how that relationship can help to investigate this linkage. Secondly, it was discussed how the EO-MINERS project could benefit the inhabitants of the area. The focus of EO-MINERS was rather to identify the sources of pollution 20 accessed on 01.07.2013 Final report 44 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications from street dust samples than how to make the best use of the research findings to local people. The pollution pathways and receptors were not identified by use of the street dust data. It was deemed as important to study explore thoroughly the linkages between existing impacts and health issues, in order to provide this knowledge to stakeholders as a basis to start policy action.”(Wittmer et al. 2013b) “On the policy part, the interconnection with the “polluter pay principle” was discussed where stakeholders asked if the data can be used to legally hold past polluters responsible. Results from street dust data gives insight into the emissions of the last half year. The time frames for validity of the data for house dust and field dust are different. It is a fact that dust collection does not provide longer range time series as sediments might do. A time series of data gathering that would start now, but cannot get backdated, would not allow conclusions further back than 2011 when the sedimentary deposition of the dust began. In addition, the change of ownership of emitters would mean additional limitations with regard to interpretation.”(Wittmer et al. 2013b) In the follow-up of this trialogue workshop, there “were publications in the electronic and print media on the street dust finding on the day after the eMalahleni workshop. The media reports misrepresented the finding, misinterpreting the statement that the dust collected on the streets in the study area had shown the highest levels of chromium and vanadium reported in a relatively limited data set collected world-wide using this method. This situation was responded to be the local partner, the Council for Geoscience (CGS) who attended to the issue and attempted to clarify the research findings. This was done in cooperation with the relevant regulator, the Air Quality Directorate of the Department of Environmental Affairs. A follow-up workshop with the regulator was held to report the findings and further clarify the issue.”(Wittmer et al. 2013b) Procedure of Resonance Analysis The manageable capacities available for this subtask necessitated a pragmatic approach for the procedure of the resonance analysis. This means that no additional investigations were possible to acquire further information, but only information that was ready-to-use from the project could be used. The resonance analysis on the aerosols in the eMalahleni coalfield includes the exchange with stakeholders in the field of environmental policy and environmental science, which are related to the topic, by an extra workshop that was executed by the Council for Geoscience on 28.08.2013 and at which the dust measurement method of EO-MINERS and the results were discussed with the Department of Environmental Affairs (DEA). In contrast to the trialogue workshop in June 2013, this follow-up workshop aimed primarily on concrete improvements with regard to: Final report 45 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications the inclusion of chemical parameters, which could contribute to environmental hazard, in airborne particulate monitoring; strengthening the existing initiatives to tighten the legal framework regarding this environmental issue. 6.1.1. Meta and Macro Level: Policies and Indicators on Air Pollution Air pollution is considered as one of the key environmental issues that have consequently been addressed by discrete specific environmental policies at the international, national, and subnational level. International Policies At the international level, the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Convention on Long-range Transboundary Air Pollution address global issues linked to air pollution. Both deal with the emission of substances, which have or are likely to have effects at a supranational level. The UNFCCC aims at stabilising the concentration of GHG in the atmosphere “at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system“. The Kyoto Protocol lays down targets for the signing countries based on common, but differentiated responsibilities.(Usubiaga et al. 2012) The Convention on Long-range Transboundary Air Pollution tackles long-range nonGHG emissions as it provides the framework for preventing and reducing the release of atmospheric pollutants at the international level (Usubiaga et al. 2012). It was started in 1979 and joined by 51 parties since then, however South Africa has not yet joined this convention (UNECE 2013). South African Policies The most prominent policies on air emissions in South Africa are the Atmospheric Pollution Prevention Act and the National Environmental Management: Air Quality Act. “The Atmospheric Pollution Prevention Act21 provides for the prevention of the pollution of the atmosphere, for the establishment of a National Air Pollution Advisory Committee, and for additional matters incidental thereto. It was issued in 1965 and amended several times, most recently by the Environmental Laws Rationalisation Act in 1997. This Act indicates how the National Air Pollution Advisory Committee is built up, and explains the roles of the inspectors and other officials. Furthermore, the Act rules: 21 no. 45 of 1965 Final report 46 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications which areas are to be controlled; how noxious or offensive gases are controlled, and how registration certificates are issued; how atmospheric pollution by smoke can be prevented and controlled by e.g. restricting fuel burning appliances or by regulating chimneys, and establishing smoke control zones; how dust can be prevented and controlled by e.g. the establishment of dust control zones, or by measures against dust causing nuisance; the prohibition of disposal of assets by mines; and when and how air pollution by fumes emitted by vehicles can be regulated. As mining activities often cause dust and sometimes smoke emissions, they are regulated by the Act accordingly. In particular, section 32 regulates dust emissions for mines and the responsibility of the mine owners. The National Environmental Management: Air Quality Act22, is a law that provides norms and standards for regulating air quality, monitoring, management, and control on all governmental spheres. This Act was developed to regulate air quality in order to protect the environment by providing reasonable measures for the prevention of pollution or ecological degradation. The Act also seeks to secure ecological sustainable development while promoting justifiable socio-economic development. The interpretation and application of the Air Quality Act is guided by the National Environmental Management Act of 1998 principles. Through a national framework, the Act provides a guideline towards the formation of management plans; regulation of pollution due to emission; management of dust, noise and offensive odour. The Act aims to: Regulate and manage air quality at the national and subnational level, including the municipal level, especially with regard to monitoring and control of dust due to industrial activity such as mining; and Enforce norms and standards to regulate post-mining impacts through tools such as air quality management plans.” Through the National Management Framework, this Act is able to regulate the process of granting Atmospheric Emission Licenses by adhering to rigid standards and norms 22 no. 39 of 2004 Final report 47 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications to avert any possible impacts on local/national socio-economics; health; and cultural heritage.”(Usubiaga et al. 2012) We conclude that generally it can be assumed that the potential for resonance of air emission indicators is generally relatively large. The most important reasons for expecting intense resonance can be summarised as follows: the regulation of atmospheric emissions is already advanced in South Africa (in particular compared with its neighbouring countries). This can be reasoned by the early starting of implementing environmental policies, after the regime unravelled, in the context of the fundamental process of democratisation in the 1990s; significant environmental and societal impacts in the range of successful industrialisation; both ANC23 governments, and strong DA24 opposition, estimate the importance of sustainable development, including better environmental and societal regulation; the problems of air pollution in the EO-MINERS study area has been acknowledged by the government and other stakeholders via the definition of the Highveld Priority Area for air quality management and monitoring (DEAT 2009). 6.1.2. Meso-Level: Environmental Indicators with Regard to the Mining Sector In the context of this resonance analysis, “meso policies” comprise any policies that attempt to shape policies, which strive for unpolluted air. Meso policies become manifest in locational policy by negotiation between governmental and nongovernmental bodies, and capable institutions that enable the formulation and implementation of meso policies. Accordingly, administration on the meso level aims to support the interrelation of stakeholders in order to develop locational policies, and to compensate ineligibleness of markets. In other words, networking is supported among diverse governmental and non-governmental bodies that strive for unpolluted air.(in dependence on Schepelmann 2005) Meso policy shows several features: It is a cross-sectional policy, is a policy that is qualified – in general – to act as multilevel policy, is subject to public and private action, and is characterised by the diversity of stakeholders. From an analytical point of view, it 23 African National Congress 24 Democratic Alliance Final report 48 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications is expected that resonance of local or regional action/policy may be evidenced empirically on externally developed control parameters like air pollution indicators that are developed at the macro level.(in dependence on Schepelmann 2005) The Meso-level in South Africa Two distinct resource policies had been identified in South Africa by a public policy analyse: the Mineral and Petroleum Resources Development Act25, and the Mine Health and Safety Act26. “The Mineral and Petroleum Resources Development Act is a legislation that was developed to transform the mining and mineral industry towards sustainable development in general. Bounded by a legacy of socio-economic inequalities and poor mining environmental management practices, this Act seeks to redress these negative mining impacts through a coherent and integrated approach.(Usubiaga et al. 2012) The directorates of the Department of Mineral Resources assume the responsibilities and issue the directives, while the Act mandates the Department to dispense on behalf of the government. In this case, an Environmental Management Directorate (as part of the Department of Mineral Resources) is dealing with environmental management issues regarding mining; and a Social and Labour Planning Directorate is dealing with the socio-economic impacts of mining. These areas of regulation are also implemented at local level by the Department’s Regulation Branch. The Mine Health and Safety Act is a supplement to the National Environmental Management Act and was developed to regulate issues relating to health and safety concerns in the mining industry. It identifies the hazards, eliminates, controls and minimises the risks related to the management of mines. This also involves mandating for the involvement of all stakeholders in the training and awareness efforts on issues relating to health and safety in the mining industry.”(Usubiaga et al. 2012) Both regulations, however, do not regulate air emissions in the mining industry. Stakeholders with direct linkage to air pollution issues are: the Department of Environmental Affairs (https://www.environment.gov.za/); the South African Medical Research Council (http://www.mrc.ac.za/). Further, the Strategic Environmental Intelligence (SEI-EASU), a unit of the Environmental Advisory Services of the Department of Environmental Affairs has been 25 no. 28 of 2002 26 no. 29 of 1996 Final report 49 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications formed to “share information and ideas” in the air quality field between the Air Quality Directorate’s scientific inspectors, regulators, policy formulators, analysts, and scientists or experts, for the benefit of all involved. At this monthly event, the directorate is exposed to cutting edge research whereat the research scientist engages with directorate’s staff that shall expose the applicability of analytical methods to the legal framework etc. Air Pollution Indicators With Regard to the Mining Sector Monitoring data for the South African study area are available from the South African Air Quality Information System (SAAQIS)27. A number of parameters are measured, but the system and the parameters, respectively, do not differentiate mining pollution directly. An example for such measurements is Figure 6 that provides for eMalahleni a quinquennial overview on particulate matter up to a particle size of ten micrometres in size (PM10) per cubic metre. Figure 6: Graph of PM10 concentrations per cubic metre, measured at eMalahleni. Source: SAAQIS (www.saaqis.org.za) The environmental issue of air pollution was addressed by EO-MINERS through the indicator “aerosols” (D1): Distribution maps have been generated for four selected 27 http://www.saaqis.org.za/ Final report 50 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications metals, namely antimony, chromium, vanadium, and barium (cf. Figure 5). Each map shows the metal concentration of street dust samples (i.e. the same set of samples for all metals). The maps shown in the following are the results presented at the eMalahleni trialogue workshop in April 201328 (Figure 7-Figure 10). The summaries at the diverse EO products are based on the descriptions and assessments of the accessory booklet for the workshop at eMalahleni (Teršič et al. 2013a). It should be noted that the colours of the concentration classes on the four distribution maps do not indicate a direct risk for health, but merely aim to stress the wide range of concentrations, and thus the effect of heavy industrial activities in the region. 28 as provided by the EO-MINERS website on 01.07.2013 Final report 51 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications Antimony Figure 7: “Dust pollution” distribution map: Antimony concentration in street dust The map shows elevated Sb concentrations in the centre of eMalahleni and the main road westbound (highest values on bridges crossing the N4 motorway). Antimony that is a major component of the brake pads of motor vehicles is released during braking and thus correlates with traffic, in particular urban traffic. The fine particles containing Sb are seen to be deposited near to urban roads, thus, the Sb concentration reflects the impact of urban vehicle traffic on the air quality. Final report 52 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications Chromium Figure 8: “Dust pollution” distribution map: Chromium concentration in street dust The highest chromium concentration is measured at the Samancor Ferrometals plant (called “Ferrobank”), the Vanchem Vanadium Products Plant, and at the main road south of these plants. Dust with high Chromium concentrations are emitted in relatively large amounts by high-temperature smelting processes as they occur in such plants in the region like Chromium smelters or carbide production. How much of this dust is actually emitted depends on the production volumes and the filtration performance. Further, waste heaps can cause the emission of dusts containing Chromium if they are managed poorly. The Chromium concentrations of the dust samples at Ferrobank and southwest of it exceed 10,000 mg/kg (at Ferrobank even >20,000 mg/kg) and thus are orders of magnitude greater than the average concentration of the upper earth crust. Final report 53 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications Vanadium Figure 9: “Dust pollution” distribution map: Vanadium concentration in street dust Barium The highest Vanadium concentrations, exceeding 2,000 mg/kg, were measured northeast the Evraz Highveld Steel & Vanadium plant that is the second largest steel producer in South Africa. Vanadium is a by-product of the steel production at the Evraz Highveld Steel & Vanadium plant. Further, elevated concentrations were measured west of this plant, and at the Vanchem Vanadium Products plant and the Samancor Ferrometals plant. The distribution map shows that the high concentration is limited on the surrounding of the large smelters and does not reach the city of eMalahleni. Final report 54 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications Barium Figure 10: “Dust pollution” distribution map: Barium concentration in street dust The distribution map reveals elevated Barium concentrations in areas east and south of the city of eMalahleni, namely near the power stations, and the fly-ash dumps in the eastern suburbs, and near the coal mines south of eMalahleni. As for many other metals, fly-ash from coal combustion, but also dust from the mining and transportation of coal as well as dispersion from fly-ash dumps contribute to elevated concentrations. The abundance of hard coal in the Witbank coal field has caused a high density of coal-fired power plants with corresponding emissions. Final report 55 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications 6.1.3. Resonance Analysis on the policy area “air quality” in the eMalahleni Area The following sections explore for each phase of the policy cycle (cf. chapter 4.2) empirically the resonance of environmental policy, or branches thereof, on the policy area “air quality”, or the corresponding environmental indicator, respectively. As it is assumed that the ability for resonance on the policy area (here: air quality) depends on the degree to which networks of stakeholders have spanned a policy area adequate to the indicator “air quality”. Therefore, the ability for resonance is assessed with the aid of the policy cycle as introduced in chapter 4.2. For practical purposes, a simplified diagram of the policy cycle (Figure 1) is used.(in dependence on Schepelmann 2005) Within this study, the “air quality” has not been measured directly. Rather, a proxy, showing the chemical composition of airborne particulate matter has been measured in terms of settled dust, providing new insights into the well-known problem of air pollution in the study area. In the following, the policy area “air quality” cannot be covered entirely (for capacity limitations), thus this study does make no claim to be complete. The method applied, however, provides a sufficiently representative overview on the degree of differentiation of the policy area by presenting exemplarily the most prominent elements of the policy cycle, in order to illustrate the degree of the functional differentiation of the meso policy, while the resonance is proportional to that degree of differentiation.(in dependence on Schepelmann 2005) Consequently, the presentation extent of the phases of the policy cycle correlate with the degree of differentiation, and the development of the policy area. Environmental Indicator The EO products addressing the environmental indicator “aerosols” (D1) is presented as pdf-poster at the EO-MINERS website: Dust pollution - eMalahleni, South Africa: http://eo-miners.eu/prelim_results/pr_ppd_witbank.htm The impact-related29 EO product “dust pollution” shows measurement points of metal concentrations in street dust samples on a map with geographical extension of ca. 40 km x 35 km around eMalahleni (Figure 7-Figure 10). The concentrations are shown The EO product „dust pollution“ is considered impact-related as aerosols are measured at the location of the dust recipients (the road is considered as proxy for the metal concentration at houses in the (direct) neighbourhood of that road). 29 Final report 56 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications for the four metals Sb, Cr, V, Ba on separate maps with metal specific concentration classifications (in general four classes, for Chromium five classes). The background of the maps are satellite maps that are provided with supplementary information by layers for administrative boundaries, transport infrastructure (diverse types of roads, tracks), rivers, and anticipated point sources (smelting plant, power station, fly-ash dumps, coal mines) with regard to the metals in focus. As expected for an urban area like the surroundings of the eMalahleni municipality, each metal shows a significant range of metal concentrations within the set of measurements; the ratio between the concentration of the topmost to the lowermost class range (min.) from about three for Sb and Ba, seven for V, up to more than 20 for Chromium. The concentrations measured in street dust samples cannot be directly related to the potential for health and environmental impacts in the area surrounding the measurement points. They indicate the presence of potentially hazardous substances (i.e. the four metals) and can be used to guide more detailed contamination, environmental health and health studies. The value of the technique is that it is a rapid screening tool to identify areas of possible environmental impact. This allows attention to be focused by regulators, polluters and researchers where it is most likely to be needed. During the follow-up workshop with the Department of Environmental Affairs, it was noted that the idea of looking at potentially hazardous components within airborne particulate matter was a relatively new concept, their monitoring to date having concentrated on total particulate loads and trace gas concentrations. The EO-MINERS project thus opened up a new dimension of impact i.e. inhalable and ingestible metals via airborne particulate pollution. Problem Analysis The Strategic Environmental Intelligence (SEI-EASU; cf. chapter 6.1.2) of the Department of Environmental Affairs (DEA) discussed the issue of “monitoring air quality in national air quality areas such as the Witbank Coal Fields”. [Peter Lukey, the Program Director,] “explained the importance of exploring various other research methods like using street dust towards monitoring air quality” […]. The research is therefore of high importance.” (CGS 2013) Dependent on the key questions to answer, approaches to monitor air pollution show a wide range of methods. They can refer to the emitting (pressure), to the air quality (state), or to the recipient (impact). An outstanding feature of the EO product “dust pollution” is that the street dust method reflects the accumulation of dust settled, and Final report 57 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications thus means a historical record of air pollution of the site. Often, these measurements are in some sense superior to the measurements of “air particulate matter (PM) [by air measurement that reflect] a snapshot of the situation on site”, and thus can fluctuate cyclic or otherwise. Usually, the “samples (…) collected (…) [reflect] a period of not less than half a year” The intensive search by DEA for extending the set of methods applicable on “dust pollution” is interpreted to reflect the aim to improve the capabilities for the problem analysis. Target Setting The SEI-EASU discussed the interpretability of metal distribution maps based on (road) dust samples – as developed by EO-MINERS. Although the resulting distribution maps clearly indicate significant relative differences between the diverse measuring points (cf. Environmental Indicator, p.46f.), and knowledge on common directions and speed of dust propagation suggest an indication of concrete source-path-receptor relationships for the dust, it is difficult to draw conclusions like maximum concentration values for the protection of humans and the environment without evidence-based threshold values. Therefore, we conclude from the discussion on the relationship between particle matters and the impacts on environmental health and human health that the DEA aims for target setting (in a wider sense) in the area of metal pollution. In order to bring this process forward, further investigations like detailed epidemiological work would be required. Development of the Options for Action The presence of elevated metal concentrations in street dust, while definitely an indicator of the existence of pollution, does not constitute sufficient evidence for immediate regulatory action. The logical next step from here is to conduct follow-up epidemiological studies in the affected areas, looking at possible human/environmental health impacts of the pollution types identified. This is beyond the scope of the EOMINERS project and the specific study involved. Such a study would provide the basis for the development and implementation of policies for: the monitoring of (airborne) particulate pollution in the future; the regulation of industries emitting potentially hazardous (airborne) particulate pollution. Not Present or Only Rudimentary Given the early stage of this study within the context of the policy cycle, it would be premature to select, implement or optimise options for action, although civil society could use the current information as the basis to put pressure on regulators and operators to fast-track the development and implementation of policy in this regard. Final report 58 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications Therefore, the policy cycle stages “Selection of the Options for Action”, “(Policy) Implementation”, “Performance Review (evaluation of policy actions)”, and “Optimisation” do not show significant impacts/influences due to reporting on “dust pollution”. 6.2. Evaluation The analysis refers to the resonance of the environmental policy regarding the indicator “aerosols”. The EO product “dust pollution”, based on a street dust study, has contributed to the problem analysis, amongst others by introducing the idea of looking at potentially hazardous components within airborne particulate matter. This meant a relatively new concept compared to the monitoring to date having concentrated on total particulate loads and trace gas concentrations. The EO-MINERS project thus opened up a new dimension with regard to the Problem Analysis by extending the scope on inhalable and ingestible metals via airborne particulate pollution. While the principles of environmental management defined in South Africa’s National Environmental Management Act can inform future policy and action development, no specific policies relate to the findings of this study. As the airborne particulate pollution by potentially hazardous metals has only been set on the political agenda by this street dust study, there is a lack of experiences on the interpretation of source-path-receptor relationships for the metal concentration contained in the dust. For this reason the knowledge base shall be extended, e.g. by epidemiological studies in the eMalahleni area, before Target Setting can be started reasonably. Furthermore, this setting of targets is required for a proper Development of the Options for Action. Nevertheless, the severe need for action in the eMalahleni area and the clarity of the basic direction already triggered discussions on options for action like the monitoring of (airborne) particulate pollution in the future, or the regulation of industries emitting potentially hazardous (airborne) particulate pollution. In principle, the Department of Environmental Affairs indicated interest to address this sphere of activity in near future. The results obtained in the street dust study have been reported to stakeholders from government, industry and civil society at local level via the trialogue workshop and to the responsible national government department. The next logical step would be a follow-up study (comprising epidemiological investigations) to improve existing results and look for links between high metal concentrations in street dust and local-scale effects on health, and environmental health. Final report 59 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications this page is intentionally blank Final report 60 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications 7. Conclusions This report provides an analysis of policy resonance on selected indicators applied by the EO-MINERS project on the macro as well as the micro level. The resonance analysis on the macro level refers to the “unused extraction” from mining, while the resonance analysis on the micro level is performed on “aerosols” in the eMalahleni Coalfield. As a key result, the study showed that the method of resonance analysis can be applied also in specific sectoral policy areas like mining policy. The course of the project revealed an asymmetry between the micro level and the macro level activities. At the micro level, a set of 60 candidate indicators was developed, of which up to 13 indicators were “short-listed” for each of the three mining sites (cf. Table 1). The indicator “aerosols” that was short-listed in each of the three mining sites was addressed by tailored EO products in South Africa and the Czech Republic. In contrast, at the macro level a single mature indicator was selected, which has already been applied for several years and reported by national and EU studies that cover material extraction. The non-conformity between the time-scale imposed in most research projects, and the time required for generating resonance, turned out to be a general weakness of the approach chosen. The complete policy cycle takes usually longer than the period available within research projects, thus for methodical reasons, only ex-post approaches are viable. This implies that a programmatic approach would be needed to improve the status of adequate scientific methods in evidence-based policy development. In the following sections, conclusions are presented separately for the macro and micro level, enhanced by certain illustrative context. Macro Level On the macro level, an analysis of policies had shown that there is no clear demand for macro indicators from corporate and non-governmental stakeholders. Even though industry and civil society organisations participate in activities like the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI), the UN Global Compact Initiative, the Intergovernmental Forum on Mining, Minerals, Metals and Sustainable Development, the EU Raw Materials Initiative etc., national or intra-governmental organisations are still the main driver of macro level regulations on sustainable mining practice. Thus, governmental organisations create the main demand for macro indicators and potentially for earth observation data. Final report 61 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications There is a broad range of different public policies and initiatives on sustainable development, resource policies, environmental protection and mining. These policies and initiatives have differing scopes and scales: Some of these are general and based on voluntary agreements, while others constitute a binding regulative environment for mining operations. Although this richness of public policies and initiatives has not led to a comprehensive international framework regulating extractive activities, the international discourse tends towards more stringent legislation. Public policy initiatives create a demand for information on sustainable mining activities on the macro level. The discourse about sustainable development has set the agenda and defined a general framework of resource policies. Within this framework, relevant resource policy frameworks at international and at EU level have emerged with emphasis on different aspects of resource extraction and mining. On the EU level, resource policies are mainly about two central themes, whereat the latter aspect has primarily been most relevant for EO-MINERS: security of supply; decoupling environmental impacts from resource use. Regarding the use of physical indicators, which could be supported by earth observation methods, the EU has established a tight and comprehensive regulatory and policy framework on mining activities. This comprises general resource policies such as the Thematic Strategy on the Sustainable Use of Natural Resources and the Raw Materials Initiative, as well as a wide range of specific environmental regulations in the fields of biodiversity, air, water, waste, etc., most notably the Mining Waste Directive. The specific and also the general environmental policies of the EU might best be addressed with site-specific indicators that are discussed by Falck et al. (2012c). The resource policies of the EU, however, generate a specific need for information about mineral resources; this information does not coincide with the above-mentioned, and thus requires other specific indicators, which have usually been supplied by national and EU statistical services etc. Accordingly, providing source data for the latter indicators would require the development of specific EO services on the macro level. With the Flagship Initiative for a Resource-.efficient Europe and the Innovation Partnership for Raw Materials, EU resource policies have gained momentum. Their information need is complemented by the directive on EU environmental satellite accounts. The minerals-related indicator development for both the EU resource policies and the EU environmental satellite accounts relies heavily on the data framework Economy-Wide Material Flow Accounts (EW-MFA). This might offer considerable opportunities for EO-MINERS and other earth observation activities related to mining such as the GEOSS Societal Benefit Area on Energy that shall deal with both energy management as well as minerals (geo-resource) management. These opportunities can be realised, if the identified stakeholder needs in the EU Member States and the Final report 62 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications Commission services are met by intensified efforts on the supply side in research and development. This, however, would require an appropriate orientation of Copernicus and other EU activities towards GEOSS. The European Trialogue organised by EO-MINERS (Wittmer and Hejny 2014) revealed that DG Enterprise efforts for a Raw Materials Innovation Partnership are currently not matched by corresponding activities of the Copernicus Secretariat (also in DG Enterprise). The project had no indication that DG Enterprise Raw Materials policies, which encompass better monitoring of raw material extraction, actually influence Copernicus and GEO policies of the EU. Given the obvious fragmentation of policies within DG Enterprise, it is even more unlikely that the existing need in other Commission services (e.g. Eurostat or DG ENV) or the EU-Member States for earth observation of mining activities and intensified material flow accounting will be met either by Copernicus or by the GEOSS Societal Benefit Area on Energy, or its successor. At the moment we have no indication that the detected potential in this area for research and development (supply) and policy design (demand) will be realised in the near future. Micro Level The resonance analysis on the micro level refers to the environmental policy regarding the indicator “aerosols”. The EO-MINERS project opened up a new dimension with regard to the Problem Analysis by extending the analytical scope on potentially hazardous metals within inhalable and ingestible airborne particulate matter, by means of the EO product “dust pollution”. This EO product that is based on a street dust study enabled to measure cumulative airborne particulate pollution. The low resonance in the phase Target Setting and further phases of the policy cycle can be explained in retrospect by the novelty of such measurements in the study area, showing for the first time distributions of metal concentrations in airborne particulate matter. The novelty of the method thus implies a lack of experiences on the interpretation of source-path-receptor relationships for the metal concentrations contained in the dust. As the justification of further political action might become risky without sufficient knowledge on these relationships, also the resonance in these phases is expected to be accordingly low. Against this background, the extension of the knowledge base in the eMalahleni area is considered to be a crucial step, in order to strengthen further political advancements and to provoke specific resonance. Such an extension could be achieved by improving the quality of existing results and looking for links between high metal concentrations in street dust and local-scale effects on health, e.g. by epidemiological studies, and environmental health. More generally, the impact of this EO product and other EO products can be limited with regard to the local to national overall policy cycle due to the lack of clear structures enabling a systematic uptake of corresponding EO data by stakeholders. Comparative Final report 63 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications studies on this aspect would be required in order to understand better the “potential resonance”30 for the three different mining sites, and how this potential could be enhanced purposefully. On the local level, the policy framework appears relatively fragmented and tends to focus strongly on local management of environmental and societal impacts, while neglecting systematically macro-scale concerns (in contrast to the national and EU level, where stakeholders are aware of both micro- and macro-scale concerns). Awareness raising could improve this situation on the local level, in particular for the regulators and industry stakeholders. 8. Acknowledgements We thank Bantu Hanise (Council of Geoscience CGS, SA) for scholarly debates on the applicability of the resonance analysis methodology on the local level, and for supporting the DEA workshop that provided fruitful input to the resonance analysis on the local level. The term “potential resonance” refers to the estimated maximum level of resonance that could be achieved based on the political and non-political structures that enable systematic uptake by stakeholders. 30 Final report 64 Resonance Analysis of Selected EO Specifications 9. References Benz A, Fürst D (2002): Policy Learning in Regional Networks. European Urban and Regional Studies, 9: 21-35 Department of Environmental Affairs [DEA](2008): Deputy Minister Rejoice Mabudafhasi to launch Air Quality Monitoring Stations in the Highveld Priority Area. 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