First-Best Equilibrium in Insurance Markets with Transaction Costs and Heterogeneity Author(s): Jerry W. Liu and Mark J. Browne Source: The Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. 74, No. 4 (Dec., 2007), pp. 739-760 Published by: American Risk and Insurance Association Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/25145245 . Accessed: 06/07/2014 19:40 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. . American Risk and Insurance Association is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The Journal of Risk and Insurance. http://www.jstor.org This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions ? The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 2007, Vol. 74, No. 4,739-760 First-Best Equilibrium in Insurance Markets With Transaction Costs and Heterogeneity Jerry W. Liu Mark J. Browne Abstract We of adverse the market. off We to either heterogeneity, nor low-risk we (1976) (RS) of transaction costs and buyer heterogeneity or wealth. aversion risk and Stiglitz In RS, information. low-risk asymmetric to an created buyers externality by high-risk un in insurance behavior buyers' changes under owing critical find der the joint assumptions respect of the classic Rothschild selection are worse customers in extensions investigate model find a separating equilibrium are individuals due penalized in which to information with costs transaction Combining and neither high-risk asymmetry. Introduction on markets is an important information issue in the eco impact of asymmetric nomics literature. In 2001, Joseph Stiglitz, George Akerlof, and Michael Spence were the Nobel Prize in Economics for their analyses of markets under asymmet awarded ric information. In their seminal paper, Rothschild and Stiglitz (1976) (RS) provide a for analyzing the problem of adverse selection in insurance markets. Their framework causes markets to deteriorate. When central finding is that information asymmetry a separating "The individuals exists, (low etc.) [exert] a equilibrium high-risk ability, so that the low-risk dissipative externality on the low-risk (high ability) individuals/'1 are worse off due to the presence of customers customers. RS Furthermore, high-risk find that competitive insurance markets may have no equilibrium. The In spite of the pessimistic tion well under asymmetric of RS, we observe conclusions that many markets func information: labor markets, credit markets, and security JerryW. Liu is at the Krannert is at the School via e-mail: Suzanne Papai, of Business, Bellezza, Georges Robert Picard, seminar participants for helpful comments. improving the article. 1 Rothschild Purdue University. of Wisconsin-Madison. [email protected] Pierre School of Management, University and [email protected]. Dionne, Edward Puelz, Cheng-zhong Frees, We Thomas Qin, Larry authors The thank at the 2003 Risk Theory Society meeting, University The All and Stiglitz of suggestions errors are strictly two anonymous referees J. Browne can be Thomas Donald Gresik, Samuelson, Mark contacted Cosimano, Szilvia Hausch, Virginia Young, and ofWisconsin-Madison were ours. (1976, p. 468). 739 This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions especially helpful in The Journal of Risk and 740 Insurance are obvious the results of empirical studies are not examples. Moreover, consistent the with RS For in insurance RS, always predictions. example, high-risk more customers customers. insurance than low-risk However, always buy Chiappori that customers with higher accident and Salanie (2000) find no statistical evidence contracts with more comprehensive In this article, coverage. purchase probabilities we modify several of RS's assumptions and offer new insights into why the RS results are not always consistent with empirical findings. markets The most important contribution of this article is that we show conditions under which remain efficient. Whereas RS assume that there markets with asymmetric information are no transaction are identical costs in the insurance markets and that customers we are costs for loss evaluate when there transaction except probability, equilibrium customers and when in addition differ with respect to risk aversion or endowment, In the RS framework, to loss probability. all customers In our prefer full coverage. are all when there costs, buyers prefer partial coverage. Our setting, proportional or wealth to with risk aversion indicate that of respect assumptions heterogeneity a in We the insurance decision. relevant factors other than loss probability part play are different new if in and there find that if customers these dimensions, enough are transaction there are no negative exists in which costs, a separating equilibrium externalities. to two areas of the literature that have evolved from RS. First, This article contributes it extends previous work on the effect of transaction costs in insurance markets. Many the premium contains a fixed-percent pre papers investigate optimal choice when uses to show the optimality of a mium calculus of variations (1971) loading. Arrow a insurance that Mossin theorem whereas deductible, (1968) proposes stating partial and Vanasse In another important study, Dionne, Gourieroux, is optimal. (1998) make an attempt to show that the RS result remains unchanged when different risk types costs into the RS cost structure. We integrate transaction have the same proportional two cost structures: constant costs and pro framework by systematically evaluating from proportional individuals suffer more costs. We that argue high-risk portional and the RS externality result persists. costs than low-risk individuals, Second, our study extends the literature on heterogeneity among insurance customers. are assumes in endowment risk aversion, that RS model The homogeneous people we not offer an and be These and loss realistic, wealth, may assumptions severity. new that alternative setting yields insights.2 and Webb evaluated risk aversion has been previously by De Meza Heterogeneous more to assume insurance risk-averse tend that coverage, (2001). They buy people In their setting, it is reckless people put less value on insurance protection. whereas in which to reach a partial pooling some, but not all, low-risk equilibrium, possible are worse risk aversion has a different off. In our model, individuals heterogeneous 2Our article is the RS model by closely related to Doherty and Jung (1993). They modify is that first in to conclusion and their addition differences probability considering severity best we solutions focus on are feasible. the externality Although conclusion and Jung concentrate Doherty of the RS model by revising on a multiple This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions single assumption, assumptions. First-Best Equilibrium in Insurance Markets effect: we mation and the infor may reach a new separating equilibrium irrelevant. This result, however, relies on the simultaneous costs and heterogeneous risk aversion. find that the market becomes presence 741 problem of proportional two scenarios: Scenario A, In our framework with proportional costs, we analyze are more customers in which high-risk risk averse (less wealthy) than low-risk cus are more in customers which low-risk risk averse (wealthier) tomers, and Scenario B, In customers. than high-risk in risk aversion Scenario A, when the difference (wealth) between high- and low-risk customers is great enough, the optimal contracts of the In the creating a separating high- and low-risk customers will diverge, equilibrium. a new separating on neither risk the group imposes externality negative equilibrium, we call this an NE (no externality) In other group. Henceforth, Scenario B, equilibrium. an NE in risk aversion exists when the difference (wealth) is large and the equilibrium in loss probabilities if consumers is small. Moreover, differ inwealth, difference rather than in risk aversion, the same no-externality result occurs (high wealth is equivalent to low-risk aversion). on the assumption It appears that the RS negative conclusion that externality depends are on customers and low-risk identical all than dimensions other loss highprobabil are so similar that the risk groups prefer the same ity; customers policy. They do not have other reasons for preferring that are different. Our results suggest that policies costs and consumer heterogeneity the interaction between transaction may explain, at least in part, why we observe markets and information thriving under asymmetric why empirical results do not always confirm the RS predictions. as follows: first is an overview of this article is organized of the RS an the costs in next followed of effect of transaction the section. model, analysis by are presented The case of heterogeneous risk aversion and the NE equilibrium next, are and then the effect of heterogeneous is investigated. wealth Finally, conclusions The remainder presented. The Model Because our analysis is based on the RS model, we begin with a brief review of their model and its assumptions. There are two types of insurance customers in the market, > low-risk and high-risk. They have different accident probabilities, pH pL. Customers know their accident probabilities, but the insurance company does not. RS also make the following four simplifying assumptions: 1. There 2. Both 3. Every are no transaction types of customers costs and the insurer makes have client has an identical 4. If there is an accident, both the same endowment risk groups zero expected profit. level of risk aversion. W. have the identical In this article, we modify the first three assumptions, dissimilar than they are in the original model. We from the RS model. loss amount d. thus making the two groups more the adopt assumptions following This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions The Journal of Risk and 742 Insurance a contract a = (ct\, 012),where a\ is the The insurance company writes premium amount and a2 the net indemnity amount is deducted). If an accident (premium The price of in of ot\ +a2. occurs, the individual will receive a total indemnity surance is q(a) = a\/a2. nor the indemnity Since neither the insurance premium should be negative, we call an insurance contract (pt\, aj) admissible if and only if a\ > 0 and a2 > 0.3 (accident or no accident) the agent's wealth is the in the two states of nature The individual agent's wealth a is represented vector (YI\, W2). If there is no accident, by endowment minus the premium paid to the insurer, W1 If an accident occurs, = W-a1. (1) a loss d and receives he suffers W2 = W-d+a2. a reimbursement a\ -f a2, (2) share Insurers behave as if they are risk neutral. RS argue that insurance company holders hold well-diversified portfolios. customers is defined as a set of contracts such that, when choose The equilibrium no contract in set contracts tomaximize the makes expected utility: (1) equilibrium no contract outside set the equilibrium negative expected profits, and (2) there is that, if offered, will make a nonnegative profit.4 All insurance customers have absolute risk aversion, U"(x) <3) '"-m- x. In or an increasing function of wealth where r (x)may be a constant, a decreasing constant to is be assumed the role of risk this article, when aversion, r(x) studying that r(x) decreases with wealth in order to control for wealth effects. We postulate wealth. the effect of heterogeneous while discussing = contract t individual The expected utility of a risk-type (t H, L), who purchases a (ai, a2) is V*(ai,a2) From (4), the marginal = (! - - rate of substitution MRS' 3 This restriction when transaction 4 result The main such most allocation of is necessary costs are since is robust without to alternative for type it the optimal equilibrium, the concept equilibrium -d+ a2). (4) t is dW2 Q-WM) extremely high. no of this article, externality is an whatever equilibrium the article e*i)+ pfU(W Pl)U(W (5) premium relies (among could become negative on allocations; any envy-free In this respect, standard ones). concepts. This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions First-Best Equilibrium in Insurance Markets > 1~? ) the low-risk ^?^~ curve. than the high-risk indifference It is clear to see that steeper Transaction curve indifference 743 is everywhere Costs there are no transaction costs and insurance firms make zero expected for each insurance policy, the expected claim, p(a\ + oti), is equal profits. Consequently, as to the premium a\. The insurer's expected profit can be expressed In the RS model, n = a\ - = 0. p(?i + a2) (6) In reality, insurance contracts cost more than the expected value of their claims. Allard, a distribution the RS model cost, Cresta, and Rochet (1997) modify by introducing an to cost and contract. which of insurance the corresponds designing marketing is that the total cost is assumed to be a constant, and The key feature of their model cost decreases when more customers buy the contract. This therefore the per-customer a counterforce to adverse and it leads to their of scale provides selection, economy most exist conclusion: the set-up cost is when important "Pooling equilibria always large enough." In this article, the cost structure has both or reimbursement: tional to their premium a constant term and terms cost = a + boi\ + cp(pt\ + a?). that are propor (7) The cost function can be added to the right side of the budget Equation (6). Below, we discuss the constant and proportional of the general cost function, and components impacts on insurance buyers' behavior. analyze their respective Constant Cost Insurance maintenance, have many fixed costs, such as rent, technical hardware companies a constant and utilities. Let us first look at the effect of having and cost alone, cost = a. With a fixed cost, the individual's Max : E(U) = (8) optimization (1 - p)U(W- problem is (hereafter Problem I)5 c*i)+ pU(W-d+a2) 5 In Problem I, the first condition is the budget constraint and the second condition states that people need to see an improvement in their welfare before they pay for any amount of insurance. The detailed The final solution condition to Problem the guarantees I is available insurance from premium the authors will on not request. This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions become negative. 744 The Journal of Risk and Insurance to : Subject ? a\(l p) ? a2p = a (1 p)U(W ax) + pU(W d + a2) > (1 p)U(W) + pU(W d) on > 0, 0. a2> is optimal when costs are constant. Previous studies have shown that full coverage As long as the fixed cost is not too high, people will pay a premium of pd + a and ? ? a an occurs. will have wealth W of whether Without accident any pd regardless ? a fixed cost a, the W and level is when is wealth there costs, customers' optimal pd, to W ? pd ? a. We can view the constant in amount is reduced load as a reduction all insurance buyers start with reduced assets and make the same choice endowment; as in a perfect market without costs. transaction case if the fixed cost is too high. An interesting People will not buy any insurance are out cost market but the is that low risks of the when fixed such the forced emerges the high risks get their first best contract and the high risks still stay. If this happens, the low-risk contract in the second best is the same as in the first best. The high risks reaches a special do not bring any negative effects to the low risks and the market separating equilibrium. Cost Proportional Insurance also companies variable have costs, such as commissions, premium taxes, so we can assume that costs also and litigation expenses, claim adjustment expenses, costs is premium An these of include a variable taxes, which component. example on state 4 2 to the of from vary Expenses percent regulations. premium, depending are closely correlated with the total claim amount associated with claim settlements Consequently, our cost function two proportional includes Cost = ba\ + pc(ot\ + a2), where b and c are constants. The seeks components: (9) to maximize insurance buyer p)U(W- on) + pU(W-d+a2) his expected utility (Problem II): Max: E(U) Subject = (1 to: a\(l ? p) ot\ > ? 0, a2p a2 = bot\ + po.(a\ + a2) > 0. is optimal if that partial insurance Previous studies, such as Smith (1968), conclude In the context Problem of in the there are proportional II, partial premium. loadings state than in the in the non-loss have more wealth that individuals insurance means in the interest of brevity. Figure 1 illustrates The proof is omitted loss state, Wl>W^. in the no-accident insurance becomes optimal. The customer's wealth why partial in the accident state is on the y-axis. The 45-degree state is on the x-axis and his wealth is the same in both states of nature. the buyer's wealth full coverage: line represents This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions First-Best Equilibrium in Insurance Markets 745 Figure 1 Optimal Choice W2 Accident / Under Costs Proportional No Cost / A . . With Cost B XV ^ s I / / yy \^ * N% \ "'X..\ B / |/^45_ No Accident or market odds endowment is E. The lines AE and BE are budget, customer's transaction dollar. Proportional lines. Their slope is the dollar coverage per premium costs reduce the coverage per premium dollar, causing the budget lines to flatten out. a shallow slope; they get less coverage per premium dollar customers face High-risk there is no cost, the customer buys full coverage, than do low-risk customers. When a*. When there is a proportional cost, the customer's utility curve is tangent to the more shallow budget line at a point P*, below the full coverage line; the customer buys worse customer is Without off if an accident full the coverage, only partial coverage. The occurs. Externality Under Proportional Costs Let us first recall the situation in the RS model both risk types of asymmetric information, transaction costs. In the absence without take full insurance aH and aL, as shown This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 746 The Journal of Risk and Insurance Figure 2 Separating Equilibrium in theOriginal RS Framework Accident / / / a* rv^F-? A /\ v* No Accident in Figure 2, as their first-best choice. With asymmetric information, high-risk buyers more contract in both states of it the low-risk because aL consumption provides prefer nature. Since insurers cannot sort out bad customers from good, they offer only a par tial coverage contract to the low-risk customers. This contract, yL, is at the intersection curve and the low-risk budget line. Thus, the presence of of the high-risk indifference a on low-risk individuals. individuals inflicts externality negative high-risk costs, the optimal contracts for both risk groups are below the 45 proportional costs can reverse the in the incorporation of transactions line degree Figure 2.Whether and Vanasse becomes conclusion (1998) interesting. Dionne, Gourieroux, externality on costs. They ana transaction with first adverse selection the (DGV) conduct study cost function under the proportional lyze optimal deductibles Under Cost = CJ)((X\+ ot2), (10) This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions First-Best Equilibrium in Insurance Markets 747 Figure 3 Externality w* Accident in the RS Model With !j Proportional Transaction Costs / L (withCosts) H (withCosts) / \ TJH/ A/ \ \ P\ U* 1 a / \v\\ff' / a"* ^| / ^^ O *.4.^ ? ^45_ No Accident and their conclusion is that the RS externality use an we alternative insight, approach to show cost structure bct\ + pc(ot\ + o^). result persists. To provide additional the cost effects under the more general 1: Under the cost function bot\ + cp{ct\ + ct2), high-risk Proposition low-risk first-best contract to their first-best contract. individuals prefer the in Figure 3. Point E is the in Proof: Our mainly is illustrated graphical procedure surance buyer's are the low and LE and HE endowment lines point, respectively curve and high-risk costs. lines with The indifference budget proportional high-risk to at and it is and the line A, C, F, passes tangent through points high-risk budget the point aH*, the high-risk first-best contract. Our goal is to show that the low-risk This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions The Journal of Risk and 748 contract first-best aL* prefer aL* must Insurance C and F.6 Therefore, fall between customers the high-risk to aH*. As a first step, we show that aL* will fall to the southeast of point C. It is obvious that, curve is steeper than LE, the low-risk budget line. at point C, the high-risk indifference curve is steeper than the From equation (5) we know that the low-risk indifference curve and the low-risk one. the The low-risk indifference tangent point of high-risk must to fall of C. line southeast the ctL* budget step is to prove that aL* will in Problem II: Our goal in the second the first-order condition U'(W-ai(p)) = l-b-p(l+c) (l+c)(l-p) U'(W-d+a2(p)) Taking the derivative of both be above sides with respect to p, we point F.We start from '( ' have + d*i = g[U'(W2) IT'(WQ] (1 p)(ai a2)U?(Vh) ' K }(m + dpg2W{]N2) p{l-p)U'\]N1) + U" < 0 (decreasing marginal c). Since W > 0 (increasingutility), 1~b~^1 < 0, which means > W2 it is trivial to show that (partial coverage), utility), and W\ -^ than the high that the low-risk first-best contract offers a larger net reimbursement line with the risk contract. In Figure 3, point D is the point on the low-risk budget same net reimbursement the low-risk first-best contract aL* is a2 as aH*. Obviously whereg = to the northwest of F, the optimal contract aL* is above above D. Since D is positioned curve and the low-risk budget of intersection the indifference the high-risk point F, line. line. fall between C and F on the low-risk budget that aL* must proved of is if instead consumers' a?L* the Therefore, they purchase utility higher high-risk We have aH*. costs are much like taxes imposed on insurance buyers. All else equal, individuals ot\ (a2), (receive less net reimbursement), pay higher premiums high-risk the cost structure bot\ + cp{ot\ + a2), high-risk individuals. Under than do low-risk is reduced to suffer more from the proportional individuals cost, and their coverage contract a greater extent than low-risk individuals' the low-risk Therefore, coverage. it is trivial to show the RS to the high-risk individuals. Moreover, is more attractive cost structures, such as transaction result holds under other conventional externality and + ba\ ot2)7 cp(a\ Transaction 6 It is also possible low-risk that point C, the intersection line, budget falls above A, point the of the high-risk intersection of indifference the high-risk curve and the indifference curve and the 45-degree line. In that case, the graph is different and it is obvious that aL*would be to the southeast of point C, the intersection of the high-risk indifference curve and the 45-degree line. 7 We would schemes. like For to point example, out if cost that = the RS ca2, the can be reversed result externality more be affected low risks will This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions under than certain the high cost risks. First-Best Equilibrium in Insurance Markets 749 Risk Aversion Insurance buyers might have different levels of risk aversion. This possibility has been in an information evaluated researchers. RS asymmetry setting by several previous are less risk averse. RS discuss that low-risk individuals point out that it is possible are more averse risk that high-risk than low-risk individuals the possibility people cannot exist. De Meza and Webb that a pooling and conclude (2001) find equilibrium individuals tend to buy more coverage that low-risk, highly risk-averse than high In their setting, a pooling individuals. is possible. risk, less risk-averse equilibrium risk aversion to the RS model. Smart (2000) and Villeneuve (2003) add heterogeneous In Smart's model, there are four customer groups: high risks with high risk aversion with low risk aversion (hh), high risks (hi), low risks with high risk aversion (lh), is that the indifference and low risks with low risk aversion His (11). major conclusion curves of the hi and lh types may cross twice and different risk types may be pooled assumes in one contract. Villeneuve that one risk class is more risk averse than the are that positive other risk class in the market. He reaches the conclusion profits for the low-risk contract and that random insurance contracts may also sustainable exist. Our article differs from Smart and Villeneuve in two critical ways: First, we in to transaction addition risk aversion, into the RS costs, incorporate heterogeneous we contest model. Second and most the conclusion of the RS important, externality model. In this section, we 1. There extend are proportional the basic RS model transaction with a new costs: Cost = boti + pc(ai + a2). 2. set of assumptions: (13) on risk aversion. The customers' utility functions depend respective are UH(x) and UL(x), of the and low-risk customers functions utility high-risk are rH(x) and rL(x). We examine the and their respective risk aversion coefficients two possible are more risk averse scenarios: In Scenario A, high-risk individuals > than low-risk in B the relation is whereas Scenario individuals, r(x)H r(x)L, Insurance reversed. 3. It is usually on wealth assumed that absolute risk aversion depends level. We neutralize the wealth effect by assuming that customers have constant absolute risk aversion is not critical; our result could be eas (CARA). This assumption cases. to to Pratt (1964), constant risk aversion other ily generalized According a generates negative exponential utility function, U*(x) We find numerical examples inwhich = -e~rt\ t = H,L. (14) the high risks are no longer interested in the low-risk contract. This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions The Journal of Risk and 750 Insurance Are These Scenario Realistic? Assumptions are Both Scenario A and Scenario B in different circumstances. Customers reasonable with a history of serious, extended illnesses in their families often have a relatively high likelihood of contracting these illnesses. It is sensible to think that customers with such also be more risk averse than others in making their health family histories would This gives us a realistic situation of Scenario A. In alternative insurance decisions. we can find real-world situations for Scenario B. For example, reckless circumstances, to minimum and tend be less risk drivers averse, may might buy only (high-risk) since both recklessness and low coverage are consistent with disregard for coverage, averse more risk and cautious also be drivers risk. Likewise, (low-risk) might buy are consistent with risk aversion. more coverage, since both behaviors Indifference Curves RS, our procedure Following is represented by the marginal Under CARA, MRS is [(1 and low-risk MRS is ismainly graphical. The slope of the indifference rate of substitution, pt)/pt]e"''^-w^. MRSH= MRSL (Izrl Therefore, the ratio of high-risk MRS (i6) llz?\e-frM)xw^ V PH I curve PL J this ratio is greater than one; this will tell us whether customers have a greater MRS. Clearly, the first factor on the right side of the equation, is positive and less than one. Is the l~S /?/?-, ~r at the exponent of this second factor, e~(r )x(Wi-w2)^ ajso jess faan one? Locking in the loss state than in should not have more wealth factor, we know that customers is positive. Thus, whether the no-loss state, W2 < Wi, so the last factor in the exponent on or is than one depends in than less the exponent the risk aversion factor greater two risk aversion of the risk levels of the relative groups. to determine whether or low-risk-aversion We wish the high- - Scenario A High-risk individuals are more risk averse than low-risk individuals. is less than one and MRSH < MRSL. The In this case, rH > rL. So e^rH-rL^w'-w^ curve. curve is always flatter than the low-risk indifference indifference high-risk Scenario B In this - case, High-risk rH < individuals rL and e~(r are less risk averse than low-risk individuals. -rL)x(Wi-w2) js greater than one. It is unclear whether the product of the two factors in (16) is greater than or less than one, and therefore, ~r )x(wi-w2) curve is flatter. Ifwe hold pH and pL fixed, then e~(r which indifference rH and rL, and with the difference between Wi increases with the difference between This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions First-Best Equilibrium in Insurance Markets 751 are sufficiently the large, ^-(rH-rL)x(wi-w2) dominates > 1. In this case, the curve is than steeper high-risk-indifference T^|tr curve. On the other hand, when the differences between the low-risk-indifference rH curve is steeper. and rL and between ]N\ and W2 are small, the low-risk indifference and W2. When these differences first factor and If the indifference curves indifference risk type are flatter curves indifference of one risk type is always flatter, as in Scenario A, the two curves of each if the indifference will cross only once. However, in some circumstances and steeper in others, as in Scenario B, the may cross twice. curve Risk Aversion and No Transaction Costs Equilibrium Under Heterogeneous we find that, in most these assumptions, there cannot be a circumstances, note at with which is consistent RS. RS that any possible pooling pooling equilibrium, curves have different point the two indifference slopes. Any new contract that lies curves will attract the low-risk the two indifference between type away from the In our Scenario the unstable. point, making potential equilibrium pooling pooling curve is the of low-risk indifference than the the A, steeper slope slope. In high-risk curve is flatter than the high-risk that the low-risk indifference Scenario B, it is possible curve. In this case, we can find a destabilizing contract that lies to the west indifference curve and below the of the point of intersection, above the low-risk indifference high risk indifference curve, as shown in Figure 2 of the original RS paper. This contract a will attract the low-risk individuals away from the potential pooling point, making a to In sustain. low stands for equilibrium Figure 2, rjL pooling impossible possible curve is flatter than that of the contract if the low-risk indifference risk equilibrium Market Under high-risks', which scenario is discussed later in the article. can emerge, however, when curves A special pooling equilibrium the two indifference are tangent to each other. This case can only be found in Scenario B and it requires curve lies below the low-risk indifference curve. More that the high-risk indifference that the tangent point falls on the aggregate over, it is also necessary line, budget zero profit when which makes both high- and low-risk individuals buy one con curves will attract only the tract. Any contract that lies between the two indifference a it to and will lead individuals, negative high-risk profit. As noted by Wambach rare this of is since it calls for special parameter (2000), type pooling equilibrium values. it comes to the separating the introduction of heterogeneous risk equilibrium, aversion alone does not change the RS argument. The main reason for this is that both risk types take full insurance as their first-best choice. Thus, as in the cases discussed in the "Transaction Costs" of high-risk individuals inflicts a section, the presence on low-risk individuals.8 negative externality When 8Villeneuve curve might be flatter (2003) suggests that, in Scenario B, the low-risk-indifference than that of the high-risk group at yL, as in Figure 2. In this case, the low-risk group will prefer another point nL, the tangent point of to the insurer since it is located below the two indifference the low-risk budget curves. The contract line. This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions ?yLis profitable 752 The Journal of Risk and Insurance Risk Aversion and Proportional Costs Equilibrium With Heterogeneous new the under costs and heterogeneous Overall, separating equilibrium proportional risk aversion differs from the RS equilibrium in two ways. First, both risk groups pre fer to have less than full coverage; their optimal contracts are below the 45-degree line. costs. Second, we know from Schlesinger This is due to the presence of proportional costs, whichever (2000) that with proportional group has low risk aversion prefers on the contract less insurance; their optional is closer to the endowment budget Separating line. The consumer's optimizing contract ar(ai, the optimal is as follows. For a type t individual decision as the solution to the following a2) is defined (t = H, L) problem (Problem III): Max: E(U) Subject = (1 to: ?i(l - pf)lW - pl) a2pf ct\ > 0, and ?i) + p'tfiW = - d + a2) ba\ + pc(pt\ + a2) a2 > 0. The expected utility of a type s (s = H, L) individual from a type t 's optimal contract as a Vs (a**). For example, is expressed individual's high-risk expected utility from the low-risk optimal contract is VH[aL*]= (1 pH)U[W al(pL)] + pHU[W -d+ a2*(pL)]. 1: A separating equilibrium inwhich neither group imposes a negative external Definition to the other group, which we call an NE (no externality) equilibrium, satisfies thefollowing ity conditions: VH[aH*] > VH[aL*] and (17) VL[aL*]> VL[aH*l (18) 1 says that an NE equilibrium exists if each risk type prefers the contract de market because for their The insurance reaches a separating type. signed equilibrium a risk and neither risk of self-selection group imposes type, negative externality by on the others. Definition Lemma 1: VL[aL*] > VL[aH*] always holds in the presence of a linear cost function. Proof: See the Appendix. 1 indicates that if there are proportional costs, low-risk individuals will always contract for their risk the (18) is always group, and thus condition designed prefer it to true. Therefore, to show that a separating is exists, equilibrium only necessary customers prefer their contract, condition show that high-risk (17). Lemma This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions First-Best Equilibrium in Insurance Markets The Existence 753 of an NE Equilibrium. 3: With a proportional cost function, Cost = ba\ + pc{a\ + ot2), an NE equi Proposition librium exists in Scenario A under condition 1 below. In Scenario B, both conditions 1 and 2 below are needed for an NE equilibrium to exist: 1. The difference 2. The difference Proof: averse in risk aversion between the groups in loss probabilities between We first consider Scenario than low-risk individuals. A, is substantial. the groups in which is small. high-risk individuals are more risk group's optimal coverage contract, aH*. See Figure 4. Identify the high-risk curve that passes through aH* must intersect the low-risk The high-risk indifference some at line point; call it C. budget In Fig As the low-risk customer's risk aversion declines, he will buy less coverage. ure 4, the low-risk optimal contract, aLn, moves toward the endowment southeast, point, E. We can always find a risk-aversion level for the low-risk-aversion customer that to make aLn fall between C and E. When is low enough this happens, high-risk contract individuals the for than the contract rather them, arH*, prefer designed for the low-risk group, aul. designed an NE the difference exists for Scenario A when between Therefore, equilibrium the risk aversion of the two risk groups is large enough. The argument for an NE equilibrium in Scenario B is similar. curve that passes The high-risk indifference through aH* intersects the 45-degree line at a single point; call itA. in the difference To show the effect of a reduction between the loss probabilities, rotate the low-risk budget line counterclockwise. When the low-risk loss probability is close enough to the high-risk loss probability, the low-risk budget line intersects the 45-degree line at a point below A and it intersects the high-risk indifference curve at another point, which we call B. As the low-risk group's risk aversion in low-risk customers buy more increases, surance coverage and the optimal point, aL*2, moves toward the 45-degree line. At a certain level of risk aversion, aL*2 falls above B on the low-risk line. When budget this occurs, we have an NE equilibrium. In summary, we find that when high-risk customers are more risk averse than low-risk an NE exists if the in risk aversion between difference the risk customers, equilibrium are less risk averse, is On the other if customers hand, groups great enough. high-risk in loss probabilities then an NE equilibrium exists if the difference is small enough and if the difference in risk aversion is great enough. can emerge in Scenario B under As we discussed earlier, a pooling equilibrium special a values. establishes the fact that a pooling However, parameter simple argument cannot exist when there is an NE equilibrium; the low-risk individuals equilibrium This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 754 The Journal of Risk and Insurance Figure 4 NE Equilibrium With Accident Proportional Costs and Heterogeneous Risk Aversion / \/\A5_* No Accident the contract ah*2, as in Figure 4, to any other contract since it is the first prefers contract is best contract under the low-risk budget constraint. Any potential pooling to and will the contract choose to the low-risk individuals aL*2 unstable; pooling prefer individuals leave. The contract aL*2 has no appeal to the high-risk since, to a high-risk exists. customer, aH* is better than aL*2 when an NE equilibrium in which traits insurers use observable In the insurance markets, risk categorization, customers is often used to into risk groups, that are related to risk for separating are close, as discussed in the NE adverse selection. When the loss probabilities mitigate in is Scenario of limited risk classification B, practical value; not probably equilibrium are to but too variables are the risk the levels close risk distinguish categorization only to other variables, not particularly sensitive such as risk aversion. Risk categorization other than risk.9 ismost important when consumers do not differ much on dimensions 9 We thank an anonymous referee for suggesting this point. This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions First-Best Equilibrium in Insurance Markets 755 a normal exist within range of risk-aversion parameters? equilibrium aversion relative risk indicate that the level of the studies of magnitude Empirical In a study of investment from person to person. of risk aversion varies substantially find that estimates of relative risk aversion and Singleton behavior, Hansen (1993) an in et to al. from 0.359 58.25. find, (1997) range experimental Barsky study, that to of relative risk aversion from 0.7 15.8. The estimates range example following this range of risk-aversion that an NE equilibrium may exist within demonstrates Will an NE parameters. Examples of NE Equilibria in the insurance Let every customer ?W relative risk aversion is R(W) = is set to one, absolute Since wealth an that when aversion. We assume 0.5, and that both U(x) = W = 1. By definition, and absolute risk aversion is r(W) = jp^ ?jp^ risk aversion has the same range as relative risk accident occurs, the individual suffers a loss d = market the low- and high-risk have customers initial wealth have negative exponential utility -e~rx. are more customers risk averse than low-risk First, consider Scenario A: high-risk = 0.1 and customers. individuals have a loss probability Let low-risk high-risk pL = a probability risk aversion of the high-risk, 0.15. Let the absolute individuals pH individuals be rH = 2, and let rL = 0.5 for the low-risk, low-risk high-risk-aversion aversion individuals. = If insurance companies provide actuarially fair policies (cost 0), both low- and high a full in to risk individuals and coverage, transparent market, prefer they are willing a are of and customers 0.05 When loss 0.5 of occurs, 0.075, pay premiums respectively. with asymmetric the high-risk individuals information, fully reimbursed. However, in will the low-risk if 0.0077 gain prefer policy. They expected utility they buy the low are forced to offer a risk policy. Thus, insurance companies partial coverage policy to are worse off due to the presence of the low-risk customers. The low-risk customers customers. high-risk consider the case in which the premium includes a proportional transaction Now, cost bai + pc(a\ + a2). Let both b and c be 10 percent. No one will buy full insurance because the premium is not actuarially fair. The high-risk customers pay a premium a J1 = 0.07, = 0.5 occurs, case. a to in the zero-cost If 0.075 d loss compared they will receive a reimbursement customers will scale back their premium payment of 0.38. Low-risk case of a loss, they will recover only 0.049, about 10 to in from 0.05 and 0.0059, a\ ismuch lower than the percent of the loss amount. Because the low-risk best coverage best individuals receive coverage, high-risk greater expected utility10 from high-risk their own policy VH[aH*] = -0.162 to low-risk policy cut, VH[aL*] = the compared ?0.167. Low-risk customers also prefer their own policy V^a^*] = ?0.624 to the = an to leads NE self-selection Thus, -0.631). high-risk policy (VL[aH*] equilibrium. 10 The level utility it is utility, always expected expected U(x) is equivalent is negative permissible because to add = -e~rx. U(x) a fixed positive If the reader number. to the utility function U(x) = AU(x) + B, with A > 0. This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions The prefers utility positive function 756 The Journal of Risk and Insurance are more risk averse, there low-risk customers Similarly, under Scenario B, in which an an absolute risk-aversion NE Let customers also be have may equilibrium. high-risk coefficient rH = 0.5, and let low-risk customers have a coefficient that rL = 2. Assume = 0.105, and that low-risk customers a customers have loss high-risk probability pH = 0.1. In this case, have a loss probability that is close to the low-risk probability, pL are a on customers to 0.0059 whereas low-risk high-risk willing spend premium, customers will pay a premium customers of 0.047. In case of a loss, d = 0.5, high-risk will only receive a payment of 0.046, whereas low-risk customers will recover 0.39. ? = 0.0047, and own customers low-risk their VL[o?H*] Again, prefer policy, V^a11*] ? = customers prefer a high-risk policy, VH[arH*] 0.0002, and an NE V,H[aL*] high-risk exists. equilibrium Wealth RS assume that all agents have the same endowment, but it is possible that one risk than the other. For example, when use of age is prohibited in health class iswealthier are in insurance underwriting, individuals both lower risk and less young general on affluent than middle-aged individuals. Alternatively, individuals maybe, disabled and less healthy than the general population. In states such average, both less wealthy as New use and status New where is of York, Vermont, Jersey, disability prohibited, this gives a perfect example of negative association between risk and wealth level. are added to the RS model, costs and heterogeneous When both proportional wealth an NE occur. Insurance absolute risk aversion should vary buyers' equilibrium may In and we assume decreasing with wealth absolute risk aversion this situa (DARA).11 influences agents' behavior risk under aversion; DARA, tion, wealth greater through to lower risk aversion, and vice versa. The analyses under hetero is equivalent wealth are identical to those under risk aversion, and are not geneous wealth heterogeneous in the interest of repeated brevity. is probably observable, could be Itmight be argued that since wealth risk classification are reasons two to control for the divergence in endowment. there utilized However, we a self case. not in relevant find that be this that risk classification First, may is irrelevant when this NE and risk often classification exists, equilibrium selecting occurs. Second, classification in is becoming the United States. Various problematic state laws and regulations insurers from using certain characteristics, such prohibit or mental as a person's to discriminate sex, age, and physical among impairment, individuals applying for insurance. Conclusion In this article, we investigate several extensions of the RS model of adverse selection are without in insurance markets. RS assume that markets transaction costs and that are at the least, in that conclude loss except agents probability. They homogenous consumers one risk category, and at the worst, in the harm externalities negative market may not be able to reach an equilibrium. We analyze the same problem under 11 DARA increasing we what is a commonly accepted absolute risk aversion see under DARA, on the difference between with assumption in the literature. An is assumption a mirror of image relies Since our result alternative behavior would Individual's (IARA). reversed. the roles of the two risk types be the two types, the NE equilibrium may also exist under IARA. This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions First-Best Equilibrium in Insurance Markets 757 that transaction costs are present and that the risk types differ on the joint assumption in addition to risk level. We summarize another dimension (risk aversion or wealth) our study as follows: 1. to the assumptions costs do ex Transaction Costs. Contrary of RS, transaction costs are present, ist. When proportional transaction individuals choose partial 2. costs leads to fundamental Adverse Selection. Inclusion of transaction changes in more the dynamic of informational of the RS model. Analysis problems closely costs are considered. transaction resembles actual market dynamics when 3. on First, insurance buyers may differ in risk aversion depending Heterogeneity. their risk types. Practical examples are found inmedical insurance and automobile one risk type may also be more wealthy insurance. Moreover, than another risk have heterogeneous loss severity. This case has type. Finally, risk types might and Jung (1993), and their conclusion is consistent with been studied by Doherty 4. NE Equilibrium. The interaction of transaction costs and consumer heterogeneity consumers to lead self-selection risk may type, and in this separating by equilib rium there may be no negative externalities. Risk Categorization. Our study suggests that risk classification is likely to be most on relevant dimensions customers do not differ significantly useful when other an in than risk. When do differ other then NE occur, ways, they equilibrium may risk assessment irrelevant. making coverage. ours. 5. It has been long noted that RS negative and market results externality equilibrium are not consistent with many observable and results. phenomena empirical Many such as labor and financial markets, in the presence function well of infor markets, mation in contrast to the pessimistic RS prediction. and Salani? asymmetry, Chiappori show no evidence (2000) find that customers who have higher accident probabilities contracts with more comprehensive some of choosing coverage. Our results provide into the forces within markets that may partially insight explain these phenomena. The role of interactions between market characteristics and consumer heterogeneity on multiple a fruitful avenue for future dimensions in may provide empirical work markets characterized information by asymmetry. Appendix Proof of Lemma aL*[ai(pL),a2(pL)] The low-risk are comparing andaH*[ai(pH),a2(pH)]. 1: We individual's optimal Max: = the value solution, aL*, of function VL[a] is the solution to the following problem: E(U) Subject (1 - pL)U(W c*i)+ pLU(W to: a?i(l ? pL) ? a2pL = ba\ a\ > 0, ct\ -hex - d + a2) pL(a\ + u\) > 0. This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions at two points, The Journal of Risk and 758 Insurance Figure Al Low-risk Individuals Do Not Prefer the High-Risk Optimal Contract Accident / \ /\\ Vs. V \ Ul /^\ ctH / r?jy \\ / ' X45 if \ i a I B 9 4 D Wx No Accident We can rewrite as the first constraint l-fr_pL(1+c) = a2 -T7T-^- 2 the value of E(U) increases with a2/ we restatement of the first constraint: following Since Max: E(U) = } Subject x pL(l + c) (1 - pL)U(W l <-. to: ak2 " ot\ al l can reformulate ax) + pLU(W + c) l-b-p\l ,/ \pL(l + c) > 0, a\ Problem - d + a2) L x ot\1 > 0. This content downloaded from 131.252.96.28 on Sun, 6 Jul 2014 19:40:19 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions I using the First-Best Equilibrium in Insurance Markets Let SL be the set of feasible AEGF. The comparable problem SH = This f to this problem. solutions customer for the high-risk x a1/ttl set is the area BEGI in the figure. By definition, this set is the area is 1 < l-b-vH(l+c) (c*i,cx2) a2 -hm+c)-- It is clear to see that Sf c In Figure Al, 759 > 0,a2 > 0 . aH* e SH. SL. VL[aL*] is the point of maximum utility for the function VL[a] over the set SL, and is to all contracts in SL, including point A. Using therefore preferred the notation X > Y to indicate that the low-risk customer prefers contract X to contract Y, this result is: aL* > any point in SL, including aL* >-A. specifically: Let us divide SH into two subsets: Therefore, SH = S2HU Sf. It is easy to see that low-risk Sf, which customers is CEGF, and S^1,which prefer aL* to any contract is BCFL in set > S^: aL* S^. to contract A, any contract within in both states of less wealth Compared S|* yields nature. Therefore, low-risk customers prefer A to any contract in the set A > S^: S^. Therefore, aL* >-A > any point in SH, including aH*, and VL[aL*] > yL[aH*]. References in Insur Allard, M., J.Cresta, and J. Rochet, 1997, Pooling and Separating Equilibria ance Markets With Adverse Selection and Distribution Costs, Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance Theory, 22(2): 103-120. Arrow, K. 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