AD - AS Price Level Aggregate Demand Curve Aggregate Demand AD Real Domestic Output, GDP 29-2 Aggregate Demand Amount of real GDP purchased at each price level AD = C + I + G + Xn Why the downward slope? No income or substitution effect like regular demand Wealth (real balances) effect: purchasing power of held assets (C) Interest-rate effect: demand for $ (I) Foreign purchases effect (X) Consumption, investment, and net exports 29-3 Shifters of Aggregate Demand GDP = C + I + G + Xn 4 Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 Changes in Aggregate Demand Increase in Aggregate Demand Price Level **Notice the multiplier effect Decrease in Aggregate Demand AD2 AD1 AD3 Real Domestic Output, GDP 29-5 Shifters of Aggregate Demand 1. Change in Consumer Spending Increase in Disposable Income or Wealth (Higher incomes/Value of assets) Consumer Expectations (People fear a recession…) Household Indebtedness (More consumer debt…) Taxes (Decrease in income taxes…) 2. Change in Investment Spending 6 Real Interest Rates (r = i) - Price of borrowing $ - related to money supply (If interest rates increase…) (If interest rates decrease…) Future Business Expectations (High expectations…) Productivity and Technology (New robots…) Business Taxes (Higher corporate taxes means…) Shifters of Aggregate Demand 3. Change in Government Spending Government Expenditures - *non-transfers only (Decrease in defense spending…) (Increase in public works programs…) 4. Change in Net Exports (X-M) Exchange Rates (If the us dollar depreciates relative to the euro…) National Income Compared to Abroad (If a major importer has a recession…) (If the US has a recession…) AD = GDP = C + I + G + Xn Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 7 Aggregate Supply - Stages Amount real GDP produced at each price level Three time horizons: 1. Immediate short run Few days to a few months Sticky prices and wages All prices fixed (input and output) Implicit price agreements (output) Contractual agreements (input) 29-8 Price Level Aggregate Supply – Immediate Short Run ASISR Immediate-shortrun Aggregate Supply Qf Real Domestic Output, GDP 29-9 Immediate Short Run 29-10 Aggregate Supply - Stages 2. Short run Input prices fixed, Output prices variable In the Short Run, do firms prefer increase or decrease in Price Level? Increase! – Fixed input contracts Real profit changes 29-11 Aggregate Supply – Short Run Slope not constant: per unit production cost and firm capacity Price Level Aggregate Supply (Short Run) 0 Competition for resources hikes ATC Plentiful resources limit growth of ATC Qf Real Domestic Output, GDP 29-12 Aggregate Supply - Stages 3. Long run All prices variable – inputs and outputs Full employment GDP All prices adjust Aggregate Supply – Long Run Price Level **In the long run, the economy will produce at the full employment output. ASLR Long-run Aggregate Supply Qf Real Domestic Output, GDP 29-14 Determinants of Aggregate Supply: 1. Change in input price (land, labor, capital) Domestic resource prices Prices of imported resources Supply shocks 2. Change in productivity/technology 3. Change in legal-institutional environment Business taxes and subsidies Government regulation 29-15 Determinants of Aggregate Supply RPG Resource Prices Productivity Government taxes, subsidies, regulation ***Government ACTION - not government spending 29-16 Aggregate Supply AS3 AS1 AS2 Price Level Decrease in Aggregate Supply Increase in Aggregate Supply Real Domestic Output, GDP 29-17 Practice AD or AS 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 18 Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 Shifter Increase or Decrease Practice 1. An increase in consumer spending 2. The impact on net exports when a trading partner has a recession 3. A significant increase in the price of oil that affects the resource costs of businesses 4. Government increases spending but not taxes 5. Increase in wages that businesses pay workers 6. Effect on businesses when they expect inflation 7. Effect on investment when interest rates decrease 8. An increase in productivity 9. The impact on next exports when the country’s currency depreciates 10. Government increases corporate taxes 19 Practice AD or AS Shifter Increase or Decrease 1 2 AD AD C X Increase Decrease 3 4 5 6 7 AS AD AS AS AD R G R R I Decrease Increase Decrease Decrease Increase 8 AS P Increase 9 10 AD AS X A Increase Decrease 20 Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 Use the AD and AS model to show an economy at full employment output Price Level LRAS SRAS PLe AD Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 QF RGDP 21 #1. Assume there is an increase in consumer spending. What happens to PL and output in the short-run? LRAS Price Level SRAS PL and Q will Increase PL1 PLe AD Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 QF Q1 AD1 RGDP 22 Inflationary and Recessionary Gaps Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 23 The economy can only be in one of three places at any time Capital Goods Max Capacity 0% Unemployment Real GDP Real GDP Consumer Goods Full Employment 5% Unemployment Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 Time Recessionary Gap Full Employment Inflationary Gap 24 Example: Assume the government increases spending. What happens to PL and Output? Price Level LRAS SRAS PL and Q will Increase PL1 PLe AD Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 QF Q1 AD1 RGDP 25 Inflationary Gap Output is high and unemployment is less than NRU LRAS Price Level SRAS Actual GDP above potential GDP PL1 AD1 Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 QF Q1 RGDP 26 Example: Assume consumer spending falls. What happens to PL and Output? LRAS Price Level SRAS PL and Q will decrease PLe PL1 AD1 Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 Q1 QF AD RGDP 27 Recessionary Gap Output low and unemployment is more than NRU LRAS Price Level SRAS Actual GDP below potential GDP PL1 AD1 Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 Q1 QF RGDP 28 Example: If there is a negative “supply shock” of oil. What happens to PL and Output? Price Level LRAS SRAS1 SRAS Stagflation PL1 Stagnate Economy + Inflation PLe Still considered recessionary gap AD Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 Q1 QF RGDP 29 2008 Audit Exam 2008 Audit Exam 2008 Audit Exam 2012 Exam AD and AS Practice Worksheet Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 35 What Happens In the Long-Run? Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 36 If consumer spending increases, what will happen in the short-run and in the long-run? In the long-run, wages and costs increase LRAS SRAS1 Real GDP Price Level SRAS PL2 Real GDP PL1 PLe AD AD1 Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 QF Q1 RGDP Time 37 If consumer spending increases, what will happen in the short-run and in the long-run? In the long-run, wages and costs increase LRAS SRAS1 Real GDP Price Level PLe Real GDP AD1 Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 QF RGDP Time 38 If consumer spending decreases, what will happen in the short-run and in the long-run? In the long-run, wages & costs eventually decrease LRAS SRAS Real GDP Price Level SRAS2 PLe PL1 Real GDP PL2 AD2 AD Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 Q1 QF RGDP Time 39 Practice Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 40 #1. Assume there is an increase in government spending. What happens to PL and output in the short- run? LRAS Price Level SRAS PL and Q will Increase PL1 PLe AD Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 QF Q1 AD1 RGDP 41 #2. Consumer expectations fall and consumer spending plummets. What happens to price level and output in the long-run? Price Level LRAS SRAS SRAS1 Price Level decreases and output stay s the AD same PLe PL1 PL2 AD1 Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 Q1 QF RGDP 42 #3. If consumer spending increases, what happens to price level and output in the long-run? Price Level LRAS PL2 SRAS1 SRAS Price level increases and output stays the same PL1 PLe AD Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 QF Q1 AD1 RGDP 43 2008 Audit Exam Economic Growth Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 45 If investment increases, what happens in the short-run and long-run? Capital Stock- Machinery and tools purchased by businesses that increase their output LRAS LRAS1 AS AS1 PL1 PLe Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 QF AD1 AD Q1 QF1 GDPR Capital Goods Price Level The PPC shifts outward since producers can make more Consumer Goods 46 Productivity Increases An increase in consumption or government spending doesn’t cause economic growth. Only Investment causes growth since firms increase their capital stock LRAS1 AS1 Capital Goods Price Level PLe AD1 Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015 QF1 GDPR Consumer Goods 48 2008 Audit Exam 2008 Audit Exam 2012 FRQ #3 51 2012 FRQ #3 52
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