SVVL-PREGU-13B-965-986.I 2/15/02 1:59 PM Page 985 Chapter Projects 985 Chapter Projects (i) What do you think will happen if the population of Earth exceeds the carrying capacity? Do you think that agricultural output will continue to increase at the same rate as population growth? What effect will urban sprawl have on agricultural output? 2. Finding the Profit-maximizing Level of Output The owners of Two for the Road Bicycle Shop are concerned that they are not maximizing their profits. They wish to determine the profit-maximizing level of sales for their shop.The following monthly data represent the number of bicycles produced and sold, total cost of production, and total revenue. 1. World Population Thomas Malthus believed that “population, when unchecked, increases in a geometrical progression of such nature as to double itself every twenty-five years.” However, the growth of population is limited because the resources available to us are limited in supply. If Malthus’s conjecture were true, then geometric growth of the world’s population would imply that Pt = r + 1, where r is the growth rate. Pt - 1 Number of Bicycles, x (a) Using world population data and a graphing utility, find the logistic growth function of best fit, treating the year as the independent variable. Let t = 0 represent 1950, t = 1 represent 1951, etc., until you have entered all the years and the corresponding population up to the current year. (b) Graph Y1 = f1t2, where f1t2 represents the logistic growth function of best fit found in part (a). (c) Determine the instantaneous rate of growth of population in 1960 using the numerical derivative function on your graphing utility. (d) Use the result from part (c) to predict the population in 1961.What was the actual population in 1961? (e) Determine the instantaneous growth of population in 1970, 1980, and 1990. What is happening to the instantaneous growth rate as time passes? Is Malthus’s contention of a geometric growth rate accurate? (f) Using the numerical derivative function on your graphing utility, graph Y2 = f¿1t2, where f¿1t2 represents the derivative of f1t2 with respect to time. Y2 is the growth rate of the population at any time t. (g) Using the MAXIMUM function on your graphing utility, determine the year in which the growth rate of the population is largest. What is happening to the growth rate in the years following the maximum? Find this point on the graph of Y1 = f1t2. (h) Evaluate lim f1t2. This limiting value is the carrying t: q capacity of Earth. What is the carrying capacity of Earth? Total Cost of Production, C Total Revenue, R 0 24,000 0 25 27,750 28,000 60 31,500 45,000 102 35,250 53,400 150 39,000 59,160 190 42,750 62,360 223 46,500 61,485 249 50,250 59,875 (a) Calculate the profit (total revenue - total cost) for 0, 25, 60, 102, 150, 190, 223, and 249 bicycles. What is the profit-maximizing level of output? (b) The owners want a more specific result. Draw a scatter diagram of x versus C and x versus R on the same viewing window, treating number of bicycles as the independent variable. Be sure to use different plotting symbols for cost and revenue. (c) To estimate a cost function, use a graphing utility to find the cubic function of best fit, treating total cost as the dependent variable and number of bicycles as the independent variable. (d) To estimate a revenue function, use a graphing utility to find the quadratic function of best fit, treating total revenue as the dependent variable and number of bicycles as the independent variable. (e) Find the profit function P1x2 = R1x2 - C1x2, where R1x2 is the revenue function found in part (d) and C1x2 is the cost function found in part (c). (f) Graph Y1 = R1x2, Y2 = C1x2, and Y3 = P1x2 on the same viewing window. Using the MAXIMUM feature of a graphing utility, determine the profit-maximizing level of output. What is the maximum profit? How does this compare with your answer in part (a)? (g) Using the numerical derivative function on your graphing utility, graph Y4 = P¿1x2, where P¿1x2 represents the derivative of profit with respect to x. SVVL-PREGU-13B-965-986.I 986 CHAPTER 13 2/15/02 1:59 PM Page 986 A Preview of Calculus: The Limit Derivative, and Integral of a Function (h) Using ROOT (or ZERO), determine the value of x, where P¿1x2 = 0. Compare this result to the result of part (f). What do you conclude? (j) Using the INTERSECT feature on your graphing utility, determine the value of x at which marginal revenue equals marginal cost. (i) Using the numerical derivative function on your graphing utility, graph Y5 = R¿1x2, where R¿1x2 represents the derivative of revenue with respect to x. Economists call R¿1x2 the marginal revenue function. Using the numerical derivative function on your graphing utility, graph Y6 = C¿1x2. C¿1x2 is called the marginal cost function. (k) Interpret marginal revenue and marginal cost in the context of the derivative. Use this interpretation to explain to the owners why the level of output, where marginal revenue equals marginal cost, is the profitmaximizing level of output.
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