VALUE FOR MONEY AND POLICY REVIEW OF THE RURAL TRANSPORT PROGRAMME JUNE 2011 DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORT, TOURISM AND SPORT Table of Contents Page Executive Summary xiii CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1 CHAPTER 2 THE POLICY CONTEXT OF THE PROGRAMME 7 CHAPTER 3 BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW OF THE RURAL TRANSPORT PROGRAMME 15 CHAPTER 4 PROGRAMME OBJECTIVES AND CONTINUED RELEVANCE 25 CHAPTER 5 COST AND EFFICIENCY OF THE PROGRAMME 36 CHAPTER 6 EFFECTIVENESS OF THE PROGRAMME 62 CHAPTER 7 CONSIDERATION OF POLICY AND ORGANISATIONAL OPTIONS 80 CHAPTER 8 KEY FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS 96 CHAPTER 9 REVIEW RECOMMENDATIONS 111 i List of Abbreviations ACTS ADM AP BE CART CASP CAT CCMA CDB CEB CIB CSES CSO CSP CTTC CTR D/CR&GA D/EH&LG D/JE&LR DPTAC DoT DRD DSP ED EO FÁS FTE FTP GDA GIS HEO HSE IPA IT LCDP LDSIP LEADER LITS MiDAS MoU NDA NDP NHS NSS NSTO NTA Accessible Community Transport Southside Area Development Management Ltd. Assistant Principal Officer Bus Éireann Cavan Area Rural Transport Cork Area Strategic Plan Clare Accessible Transport County and City Managers Association County Development Board County Enterprise Board Citizen Information Board Clare Supporting Employment Services Central Statistics Office Community Services Programme Coach Tourism and Transport Council Commission for Taxi Regulation Department of Rural, Community & Gaeltacht Affairs Department of the Environment, Heritage & Local Government Department of Justice, Equality & Law Reform Disabled Persons Transport Advisory Committee (UK) Department of Transport Demand Responsive Driven Department of Social Protection Electoral Districts Executive Officer Irish National Training and Employment Authority Full-Time Equivalent Free Travel Pass Greater Dublin Area Geographic Information System Higher Executive Officer Health Services Executive Institute of Public Administration Information Technology Local Community Development Programme Local Development Social Inclusion Programme Liaisons Entre de Development de l'Economie Rurale Local Integrated Transport Systems MInibus Driver Awareness Scheme Memorandum of Understanding National Disability Authority National Development Plan National Health Service National Spatial Strategy National Sustainable Travel Office National Transport Authority ii OPLURD PATS PI PMS PMS1 PO POA PSC PSV RPTOL RSA RSS RTI RTN RTNS RTP SILC SIM SPSV VFM Operational Programme for Local, Urban and Rural Development Passenger Assistance Training Scheme Performance Indicator Performance Monitoring System (Paper Based) Performance Monitoring System (Computerised System) Principal Officer Programme of Activities Public Service Contract Public Service Vehicle Road Passenger journey Transport Operators Licence Road Safety Authority Rural Social Scheme Rural Transport Initiative (Pilot Scheme) Rural Transport Network Rural Transport Night Scheme Rural Transport Programme Survey on Incomes and Living Conditions Social Inclusion Measures Small Public Service Vehicle Value for Money iii List of Tables Table 1.1: The Programme Logic Model as applied to the Rural Transport Programme Table 3.1: Policy options for progressing rural public transport policy (Fitzpatrick Associates, 2006) Table 4.1: Percentage of households expressing difficulty accessing basic services Table 5.1 Breakdown of funding for RTP Table 5.2 Proportion of the overall spend on RTP that was contributed by Department of Transport Table 5.3 Analysis of Department of Transport funding Table 5.4 Total RTP group (gross) receipts Table 5.5- Surplus/(deficit) of RTP groups 2007-2009 Table 5.6- Department of Transport Funding to RTP groups – receipts vs expenditure Table 5.7 Services and passenger journey numbers on the RTP 2004-2009 Table 5.8- Breakdown of RTP Passenger journeys by Payment Type Table 5.9- Income per passenger journey Table 5.10- Income per fare paying passenger journey Table 5.11 Average cost to Department of Transport per service and per passenger journey Table 5.12-Subvention per passenger journey on RTP, Bus Éireann and Regional Airports Table 5.13- Cost per FTP passenger journey - Department of Transport vs. Department of Social Protection Table 5.14 Breakdown of RTP group costs Table 5.15 Breakdown of RTP group costs from Department of Transport funding Table 5.16 Increase in operational costs, RTP groups vs BE Table 5.17- Administration costs of the Programme Table 5.18 Proposed total administration costs of RTP by 2013 Table 5.19- RTP group comparison Table 6.1: Framework for analysis of Programme effectiveness Table 6.2: Indicative estimates for impact on unmet needs 2005-2016 Table 6.3: Projected passenger journeys in 2011 based on estimated actual travel frequencies and high-level target travel frequency Table 6.4: Estimates of RTP users in 2009 based on actual 2009 passenger journey numbers and estimated actual travel frequencies and high-level target frequency Table 6.5: Numbers and proportion of RTP passenger journeys by women 2005-2009 Table 6.6: Number and % of total RTP passenger journeys for FTP passenger journeys 2004-2009 Table 6.7: Number and percentage of younger people <25 among RTP passenger journeys Table 6.8: Trend in the number of RTP passenger journeys and services 2004-2009 Table 6.9: Age profile of RTP passenger journeys Table 6.10: proportion of passenger journeys by age-cohort in 2010 on Bus Éireann local/rural/commuter scheduled services Table 6.11: Reasons for using Bus Éireann (scheduled services) – proportion of local/rural/commuter services in 2010 Table 7.1: Policy options Table 7.2: Organisational Options for continuation of the Programme iv Table 8.1: Key findings of the Programme effectiveness in achieving the expected intermediate outcome Table 8.2: Summary of findings concerning costs and efficiency of the Programme Table 9.1: Recommendation for continuation of the Programme under a social inclusion objective involving continued Programme delivery by Pobal and the RTP groups Table 9.2: Recommendations for Programme costs, efficiency and effectiveness Table 9.3: Estimated savings Table 9.4: Key measures of Programme inputs Table 9.5: Key measures of output and efficiency Table 9.6: Key measures of effectiveness v List of Figures Figure 3.1 Programme organisational map Figure 4.1: Policy path linking high-level objectives with the Programme Figure 5.1 Income per passenger journey RTP vs. BE Figure 5.2 Ratio of passenger journey Numbers Vs. Department of Transport funding of RTP Figure 5.3 Increase in RTP group wages and salaries (gross) costs 2007-2009 vi List of Appendices Appendix A Appendix B Appendix C Appendix D Appendix E Appendix F Appendix G Appendix H Appendix I Appendix J Appendix K Appendix L Appendix M Appendix N Appendix O Appendix P Appendix Q Appendix R Appendix S Appendix T Appendix U Appendix V Bibliography Terms of Reference of the Review Membership of the Review Steering Committee Membership of the Working Group for the Review Schedule of meetings of the Review Steering Committee and Working Group Letter to RTP groups and Board of Management and attached Survey Questionnaire Schedule of interviews with stakeholders Memorandum of Understanding between the Department of Transport and Pobal 2010 – reporting schedule Description of changes to the number and organisation of RTP groups 2002-2009 List of Rural Transport Programme groups (position at end 2009) Costs by RTP group in 2009, per service, per passenger journey and administration as a percentage of Department of Transport funding RTP group (gross) costs - operational cost breakdown 2007-2009 RTP group (gross) costs - administration cost breakdown 2007-2009 Map showing RTP groups and operational areas and list of LDCs operating RTP Comparative analysis of Irish and UK bus passenger transport regimes RTP performance monitoring and mapping system Excerpt concerning the difficulties and complexities around a definition for Rural, taken from Rural Poverty and Social Exclusion on the Island of Ireland – Context, Policies and Challenges, Scoping Paper prepared for the Pobal All-Island Conference “New Ideas, New Directions” on 21st October 2010 in the Boyne Valley Hotel, Drogheda, (Dr. Kathy Walsh, KW Research & Associates Ltd, 2010) Analysis of the data Table showing the interface between RTP groups , Local Authority and other County-based bodies. Extract from submission by Pobal to the CSO in September 2008 concerning census questions. Suggested data and indicators to support annual assessments concerning transport provision and unmet transport needs in rural Glossary of Terms vii EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Subject and scope of the Review This Review of the Rural Transport Programme was carried out in the context of the Government-wide framework of evaluation of public expenditure programmes under the „Value for Money and Policy Review Initiative‟. The scope of this Review encompasses the period 2002-2009 from the Programme inception as the Pilot Rural Transport Initiative (RTI), with a specific focus on the period after 2007, when the Programme was mainstreamed. The public expenditure on the Programme, involving funding streams from three Government Departments, totalled €13.8 million in 2009, including €11 million funding from the (lead) Department of Transport. The Programme supported a level of 1.29 million passenger journeys in 2009. This Review addresses the questions arising from the terms of reference regarding value for money and policy to, - identify Programme objectives; - examine the continuing validity of those objectives and their compatibility with Government policy; - define the outputs associated with the Programme services and identify the level, unit cost and trend of those outputs; - examine the extent that the Programme‟s objectives have been achieved, and review the effectiveness with which they have been achieved; - quantify the level and trend of costs, staffing resources and income supporting the Programme (including grant assistance from all State sources and revenue from user charges) and review the efficiency with which the Programme has achieved its objectives; - evaluate the degree to which the objectives warrant the allocation of public funding on a continuing basis, examine the scope for alternative policy or organisational approaches to achieving these objectives on a more efficient and/or effective basis (e.g. through international comparison) and examine the scope (if any) for making the Programme more self-financing; and - specify potential future performance indicators that might be used to better monitor the performance of the Programme. The policy context and the Programme The Review considered the Programme within the wider policy context including economic policy, rural and community development policy, public transport and sustainable transport policy, and relevant social inclusion, welfare and health policies. The background to the Programme, as well as the structures, roles and relationships viii involved in the governance, administration and delivery of the Programme are also considered. The Rural Transport Programme aims to address social exclusion caused by unmet transport needs of people and target groups in rural areas through the communitybased delivery of transport services currently carried out by 36 RTP groups. Pobal (formerly ADM Ltd.) which is charged with the delivery of a range of community development programmes, administers this Programme on behalf of the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport. Objective of the Programme The Review found that the objectives (and principles for RTP groups) for implementation of the Programme, which build on those of the preceding RTI, are aligned to the high-level policy objective of social inclusion. A rationale for policy intervention to address unmet transport needs in rural areas for identified target groups under a social inclusion policy objective is supported by the acknowledged market failure of public transport provision in rural areas generally. In addition, the conclusion of the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) makes the connection between unmet transport need and the underlying problem of social exclusion in rural areas. Rural transport is a key consideration in a number of public policies for social inclusion, community and rural development, health and transport accessibility, etc. There is available evidence which suggests that there is a persistent problem of transport and access in rural areas for rural dwellers generally and in particular for older people. However, the estimates provided in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) underpinning this Programme are based on 2002 data. The extent of the policy problem of socially excluded people and target groups in rural areas with unmet transport needs has not been assessed subsequently. In the absence of more up-to-date data a well founded conclusion cannot be reached concerning the extent to which this Programme, or indeed alternative policy measures, can adequately address the identified policy problem. Cost and efficiency of the Programme - key findings and conclusions Overall the findings of this Review raise serious concerns over the value for money of the Programme. Programme funding and passenger journeys 2004-2009 1 Total Funding (thousands) Passenger journeys (thousands) RTP services 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 3,500 5,250 6,775 11,813 12,755 13,808 514 651 791 998 1,200 1,289 65 75 93 121 147 157 Source: Pobal 1 Including Department of Transport - Rural Transport Programme, and Department of Social Protection - Free Travel Pass Scheme, Community Support Programme and Rural Social Scheme. ix As illustrated in the above table, there is a trend of increase in both funding and passenger journey numbers over the six years of the Programme up to 2009, however, the rate of increase in Programme funding in the period 2004-2009 has not seen an equivalent increase in passenger journeys or services. Comparison with the Regional Airports, in terms of subvention per passenger journey and percentage total subvention, indicates that relative value for money is not being achieved by this Programme. The current organisational structure for Programme delivery (consisting of 36 RTP groups) has been identified as a key factor in the lack of cost efficiencies being achieved for Programme delivery in terms of both administration and operations. This is despite the contribution of volunteerism at all levels of Programme activity. High administration costs have been identified as an issue with this Programme since the RTI was reviewed in 2004 by Fitzpatrick Associates (2006). Pobal has made reductions in its administration costs in recent years however there is scope for further work to be carried out in this regard. The costs of administration of the RTP groups has been, and remains, very high as a proportion of total RTP group expenditure, to 22% in 2009. Over the six years up to 2009 the rise in RTP group administration expenditure was by 69% with the sharpest rise in these costs occurring over the period 2006-2007, by a 51% increase over the two year period. Increases in wages and salaries are of particular concern. There was also a wide variance across the RTP groups in the administration costs as a proportion of total RTP group expenditure in 2009. While the average administration cost for the RTP groups in 2009 was 22%, for some RTP groups the proportion of administration costs reported in 2009 were considerably higher. In 2009, 24 of the RTP groups had a proportion administration costs over the 22% RTP group average and in some newer RTP groups the proportion administration costs were over 40%. There is also a lack of transparency concerning the allocation of costs within the financial reporting of the RTP groups that needs to be addressed. Operating costs have increased by 272% over the period 2004-2009, a much sharper rise than for administration costs over the same period. In particular, the increase in operational costs over the period 2007-2009 was particularly significant with an increase of 49% over the three year period. By comparison the increase in operational costs of this Programme far outweigh increases in operational expenditure by Bus Éireann over the 2007-2009 period. Over this three year period between 2007-2009 wages and salaries for the RTP groups have doubled as a consequence not only of increased staffing numbers associated with RTP operations, but also of increased salary levels. The cost of sub-contracting services have also increased between 2007 and 2009, by 38%. There is little scope under the current RTP group organisational structure for savings through joint procurement. On a unit costs basis there is a wide variance in costs per passenger journey and per service across the RTP groups and these costs are extreme for some of the RTP groups. While there is a range of factors that affect unit costs variance there is scope for incorporating limits to address the extreme cases where service costs are unusually high or passenger journeys are very low. Putting in place thresholds for maximum x cost per service and for a minimum number of passengers per service would have the effect of reducing the overall service costs per passenger journey. There is also a need to match capacity and demand so as to improve load factors for individual services. The RTP groups receive income from a number of sources including, State funding under a range of programmes, fare income from individuals or from contracted activities or income from other community and voluntary activities. There is, however, no reporting by the RTP groups to Pobal with regard to the full range of income streams and the levels of finance arising from them. This was also an impediment to the full analysis of unit costs within this Review. In addition, capital expenditure, which is not funded by the Department of Transport, is not reported on by the RTP groups to Pobal. It is necessary that full financial reporting is made by the RTP groups to Pobal concerning the rural transport services and activities under this Programme. Complete income reporting will give a clearer account of the size of the Programme and will also facilitate monitoring for the risk of cross-subsidisation of contracted RTP services. This is discussed further in Chapter 6, „Effectiveness of the Programme‟, with regard to the risk of potential displacement of other transport operations by the RTP services. Similarly, reporting of capital expenditure will provide information concerning the level of transport assets held by the RTP groups. With regard to income from fares, while there has been an increase in passenger journey numbers over the 2002-2009 period, the trend in the number of fare paying passenger journeys has shown a decreased, particularly over the period 2004-2009. In the absence of an overall fares policy for the Programme there is a wide disparity in fare structures and levels across the RTP groups, e.g. fare levels ranging from €2-€5 for a single journey (based on 2007 data). Over half of RTP journeys each year during the 2004-2009 period have been taken by Free Travel Pass holders. The cost to the Department of Social Protection for Free Travel Pass passenger journeys on the RTP has been significantly lower than the cost to the Department of Transport over the 2004-2009 period. The numbers of passenger journeys provided under discretionary free travel, reported under „other free‟, have also increased year-on-year over the period 2004-2009. Effectiveness of the Programme - key findings and conclusions There is an acknowledged difficulty, not specific to this Programme, in the quantification of social inclusion impacts. However, there is some available qualitative evidence suggesting social inclusion benefits for RTP Passengers under this Programme, in particular, among older people and people with a disability. This evidence includes perceptions of individuals among the stakeholders from the RTP groups and the beneficiary representative groups gathered for the purpose of this Review, as well as, testimonials of passengers given in the Programme Performance Monitoring Reports and some other qualitative research on rural transport and older people. xi The key finding with regard to the effectiveness of the Programme is that there is a lack of data by which to measure the benefits of the Programme in terms of an expected intermediate outcome, i.e. addressing the unmet transport needs of people in identified target groups living in rural areas who are „at risk‟ in terms of social exclusion. The view taken by the Review Steering Committee on consideration of the extent of the information deficit was that the level of research required in generating the necessary updated data to assess Programme impact was beyond the scope and timeframe of this Review. However, this identified data gap is a key finding of this Review and forms the basis for a recommendation concerning future recording and reporting of data for policy and programme evaluation. There is also a lack of available data as to whether there are any unintended consequences, which have been created by the Programme, e.g. deadweight loss attributable to the Programme or the extent of any displacement of other public transport services by the RTP services. There are weaknesses and data gaps in the Programme‟s framework for performance monitoring and for the purpose of evaluation. This indicates a failure within the context of the agreed MoU between the Department of Transport and Pobal to address the need for a clear Programme evaluation framework over the period 2002-2009. There is a lack of Programme performance targets that relate to the high-level social inclusion objective. There are gaps in the framework for monitoring and evaluation under key performance indicators, as well as, gaps in the related data and data sources supporting these indicators. Continued relevance of the Programme and the preferred policy option The significant findings of this Review concerning inefficiencies and the lack of evidence as to whether the Programme is effective raise serious value for money concerns. Findings of inefficiency in administration and operations relate to the funding of a large number of RTP groups and the lack of scope for efficiency gains through shared services under the current organisational arrangements for Programme delivery. The evidence contained in the Review also suggests that the issue of persistently high administration costs for the Programme has not been adequately addressed over the period 2002-2009. The lack of reported financial data on the range and level of income sources by the RTP groups is also a matter of concern. With regard to the effectiveness of the Programme a key information deficit identified in this Review concerns the extent of State funded and commercial local transport provision as against the levels of unmet transport needs in rural areas. For example, it is acknowledged that car ownership rates nationally have been rising in recent years, i.e. rural households in the State that did not have a car reduced from 13.8% in 2002 to 11.4% in 2006, and that there are a range of other publicly funded transport providers operating in local areas. Also, if there was greater integration of local transport services it could reduce the need for State provision of rural transport without necessarily reducing the current levels of services. xii The rationale in favour of continuation of the Programme is based on some evidence suggesting social inclusion benefits to Programme beneficiaries, particularly older people and people with a disability, and there is available up-to-date evidence, e.g. EU SILC data in 2007 and 2009 and qualitative research specific to rural transport which suggests a persistent trend in transport and access problems in rural areas generally and for older people in particular. Also supporting the policy for the Programme is the connection between unmet transport need and underlying problems of social exclusion made in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006). This is echoed in a range of public policies including social inclusion, rural and community development, health, transport accessibility, etc., which place transport as a key factor in policy intervention for rural dwellers who are „at risk‟ in terms of social exclusion. There is also a lack of data to support a case for any alternative Programme delivery mechanism. Therefore, consideration of the continued relevance of the Programme based on the available evidence in the Review is finely balanced. The conclusion is to continue the Programme subject to performance information being collated in the short-term to support an assessment of Programme effectiveness. In addition, any organisational option for delivery of the Programme recommended by this Review would be based on the achievement in the short-term of a minimum level of efficiency savings with regard to the specific findings and recommendations on costs and efficiency contained in this Review. Should the Programme continue, and within the context of the system of public transport regulation in Ireland, the status of the public transport services provided under the Programme needs to be addressed. There is no available information base upon which to provide a detailed cost appraisal concerning any of the alternative organisational options for Programme delivery considered in this Review. However, with regard to the consideration by the Review Steering Committee of the potential opportunities or obstacles under each of the options, the preferred option is to continue Programme delivery by Pobal and the RTP groups. This approach also involves a greater role for Local Authorities with the Programme through their alignment with the RTP in terms of the County-based transport and social inclusion needs assessment for the Programme. The involvement of the NTA is also envisaged as part of this approach, particularly with regard to building a cooperative involvement with the Programme, especially in the development of locally integrated transport provision. In the medium-term the potential for bringing the Programme within the remit of the NTA should be considered further. This consideration would have regard to the regulatory role of the NTA, the potential for achievement of further Programme administrative efficiencies and the potential for creating added-value in terms of the nationwide integration and coordination of public passenger transport. Recommendations The recommendation for continuation of Programme delivery by Pobal and the RTP groups is subject to the following, xiii 1. Clear evidence of Programme effectiveness, by end-Q3 of 2011, based on the recommended performance indicators set out in Table 9.6 of this Review, and, 2. The evidenced achievement of minimum efficiencies and reduction in Programme costs, by end-2011, as identified in Table 9.2 involving the removal of discretionary „free‟ travel on RTP services and the achievement of a 5% reduction of RTP group administration costs as a % of their total spend, by means of the performance indicators framework suggested at Table 9.4 and 9.5. It is also envisaged under this organisational option that, in the event that the Programme continues, the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport consider a detailed cost appraisal and implementation plan to be submitted by Pobal, by end-Q3 of 2011 concerning the proposed organisational restructuring of the Programme on a sub-regional basis, to be implemented by the end-Q1 of 2012. The appraisal will set out the details of the potential for achievement of greater Programme efficiency through a restructuring of the RTP groups funded under this Programme, greater use of shared services and greater standardisation of salaries, practices and activities, while maintaining the quality of the targeting of services under the social inclusion objective. This Review acknowledges the need, within a reasonable timeframe, to address the status of the transport services provided under the Programme within the context of the system of public transport regulation in Ireland. The recommended immediate reduction in overall Programme costs required involves, - the discretionary free travel provided by RTP groups to be removed immediately, with a saving equivalent to €450,000 based on 2009 figures, and as part of a Programme-wide fares policy that discounted child travel would be in line with other public transport operators in the State; and, - a reduction of RTP group administration costs from 22% to 17% of total RTP group costs to be applied as a maximum threshold across the RTP groups, with a saving equivalent to €700,000 based on 2009 figures. A further staged reduction of overall Programme administration costs to 13% of total Programme funding (comparable with the School Transport Programme) is recommended by 2013, should the Programme continue. This proportional cost reduction would correspond to a further equivalent saving based on 2009 figures of €800,000 in total administration costs of the RTP groups and Pobal combined. Other recommendations with regard to the achievement of Programme efficiency and effectiveness include:- A Programme-wide fares policy that will standardise fare levels across the RTP groups as first step towards the possibility of increasing fare levels. This will have xiv regard to the variance in unit costs across the RTP groups and pricing of other transport provision, and the potential for passenger numbers and fare revenue increases through greater promotion by the RTP groups of their services, thereby reducing the net cost to the Exchequer. - The balance of Exchequer financial support for FTP passenger journeys on RTP to be reviewed by the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport and the Department of Social Protection. - Greater transparency around the financial reporting by the RTP groups, specifically with regard to the allocation of administration and operational costs, capital costs and all sources of income. - Greater cost control mechanisms and performance targets and incentives to be incorporated within the contractual arrangements of Pobal and the RTP groups. As a first step, a maximum cost per service and minimum number of passengers to be applied across the different transport modes and models. Services identified as having extreme levels of service cost per passenger journey being cut immediately. - Within the context of the MOU, Pobal and the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport to agree and implement a Programme monitoring framework based on the recommendations of this Review, in particular a restatement of the Programme objectives and targets. - Within the first year of the online GIS and PMS IT systems the needs assessment for funding for the RTP services to be reviewed by Pobal. This review is to include greater validation of needs assessments, examination of route efficiencies and checking adherence to Programme guidelines. - A recording and reporting framework to be established that will provide an up-todate measure of transport provision and unmet transport needs in rural areas. xv CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 Introduction This chapter outlines the background to the value for money and policy review process, including this Review of the Rural Transport Programme. It sets out the framework for this Review including the objective, scope and research methodology. In addition, it sets out the context for the Review in terms of policy for rural development administered at national and local level and the wider public transport policy context. 1.2 Background and overview of the review process Formerly known as the „Expenditure Review Initiative‟, commenced in 1997, the „Value for Money and Policy Review Initiative‟ is a Government-wide framework to achieve value for money in public expenditure, which was established in 2006. At the launch of the Rural Transport Programme (RTP) in 2007, a commitment was made to carry out a Value for Money and Policy Review of the Programme in 2010. The RTP was included among the programmes submitted by the Department to the Department of Finance in 2008 for inclusion in the round of Value for Money and Policy Reviews to be undertaken over the years 2009 to 2011. The RTP was selected for review in 2010. The Department of Finance guidelines recommend that a Steering Committee be established to direct each review. It has responsibility to oversee the Review and the drafting of the final report. Comprising of a wide representation of interested bodies, the Committee is seen as an important element in assuring objectivity. The Review Steering Committee agreed the terms of reference for this Review in July 2010, which was also approved by the Secretary General of the Department of Transport and the Department of Finance. The Terms of Reference for the Review are set out at Appendix B. The membership of the Steering Committee for this Review of the Rural Transport Programme is at Appendix C. A working group was established for this Review comprising of representatives from the Department of Transport and Pobal, who administer the Rural Transport Programme on behalf of the Department. The lead reviewer and chairperson of the working group was selected from within the Department of Transport pool of graduates of the IPA Masters in Policy Analysis, an initiative of the Department of Finance to increase the analytical capacity within the Civil Service. The membership of the working group is attached at Appendix D. The first task of the working group was to review the terms of reference and to establish the work programme for review. A schedule of the meetings of the working groups and Steering Committee for this Review is attached at Appendix E. 1 1.3 Objective and scope of the Review The objective of this Review is to systematically address the specific questions arising from the Terms of Reference regarding value for money and policy. Furthermore, within the context of the Review of the RTP, to make comments concerning the structure of funding arrangements for the Programme, i.e. from the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport, the then Department of Community, Rural and Gaeltacht Affairs and the Department of Social Protection and to examine and comment on the organisational arrangements relating to the administrative structures of the RTP at national and local level. A programme level evaluation cannot fully reflect the diversity of all the individual Rural Transport Programme Groups and their activities. The emphasis of this Review is, therefore, focused on the typical and what is broadly representative, while acknowledging the diverse nature of the individual rural transport services. Furthermore, this is not a review of the performance of individual RTP groups and this programme-level review does not substitute for any individual reviews or evaluations which the RTP groups or Pobal might want to undertake. The scope of this Review will cover the period from 2002 to 2009 inclusive, which includes the period of the former pilot Rural Transport Initiative from 2002 to 2006. In February 2007 the pilot initiative was mainstreamed as the Rural Transport Programme. 1.4 Research methodology The Department of Finance Guidelines on Value for Money and Policy Review recommends that the methodological framework for the Review follow the Programme Logic Model. Within the advised framework, the research methodology for this Review describes the structure by which to address each of the questions arising from the terms of reference. Other considerations with regard to the methodology of this Review in addressing the research question are also set out in this section. 1.4.1 The Programme Logic Model and research methodology of this Review Sometimes referred to as the „input-output‟ model, the Programme Logic Model divides the Programme into a logical sequence of linked elements, i.e. inputs, activities, outputs and outcomes (results and impacts), which can be analysed separately and in relationship to one another in terms of meeting the overall Programme objectives. Through the development and measurement of programme and contextual indicators the Model can assist in the identification of a sequence of causes and effects concerning the intended (or unintended) benefits that can be attributed to the Programme. An application of the programme logic model to the Rural Transport Programme is set out in Table 1.1, below. Measurement of the final outcome of the Programme in terms of social inclusion benefits presents difficulty in terms of the depth and breadth of data and information 2 required and, not least, in terms of attributing causality to the Programme. As it is not possible to measure the extent to which the final outcome of the Programme has been achieved, the theory underpinning the Programme contains the assumption that achievement of the intermediate outcome will contribute towards the achievement of the final outcome. 3 Inputs Table 1.1: The programme logic model as applied to the Rural Transport Programme Activities (inputs Outputs Theory – how and Expected into outputs) why outputs intermediate contribute to outcomes outcomes Input indicators Level of state funding streams Level of fare revenue and other income Department of Transport oversight of Programme. Pobal administration, monitoring, reporting and technical support for the Programme. RTP group Programme administration, assessment of needs, service development, tendering for services and co-ordinating local services Output indicators No. of passenger journeys Age profile of passengers No. of services Profile of services by service model, i.e. demand responsive, fixed scheduled, etc. Accessibilty of services Services with passenger assistants No. of RTP groups Passenger Km Number of passenger journeys by purpose of journey Providing transport services to people living in rural areas to address the unmet transport needs identified as a cause of social exclusion of rural dwellers and those in specific target groups such as older people and people with mobility difficulties. 4 Greater transport provision targeted at people living in rural areas who are socially excluded as a result of unmet transport needs. Intermediate outcome indicators Increase in target group coverage Increase in national coverage Greater diversification of RTP services Theory – how and why intermediate outcomes contribute to final outcome Connecting previously isolated rural dwellers with their local communities through transport results in social inclusion benefits for those individuals. Final outcome Greater social inclusion of rural dwellers within their communities and to access public and commercial services through transport connectivity, thereby contributing to individual, social and economic benefits. 1.4.2 Data sources Primary data sources used in the Review include responses from a survey questionnaire developed as part of the Review, as well as interviews with key stakeholders and interested parties. On advice from Pobal, it was agreed that consultation with the RTP groups could be achieved efficiently and inclusively through a questionnaire survey targeting the 36 Coordinator/Transport Managers. A copy of the questionnaire and cover letter to the RTP groups and associated Board of Management are attached at Appendix F. The schedule of interviews carried out for this Review is attached at Appendix G together with question topics used in discussion during the interviews, which took place in person or by telephone. In addition, one stakeholder was contacted for a written submission. While there was available secondary data on inputs and outputs over the Review period 2002-2009 held by Pobal, the data did not fully support performance indicators for Programme evaluation. In discussions with Pobal data gaps in terms of inputs and outputs were identified, e.g. financial data on income (fare) revenue generated by the RTP groups, the categorisation of accessibility of RTP services and breakdown of vehicles used whether under or over 8 seats, i.e. whether they are large or small public service vehicles. These are commented on further among the findings under Chapters 5, „Cost and efficiency of the Programme‟, and Chapter 6, „Effectiveness of the Programme‟. Other funding Departments also provided secondary data on their funding schemes, in the case of the former Department of Community, Rural and Gaeltacht Affairs this data was verified by Pobal who administer the funds on their behalf. Tertiary data included the Pobal Performance Monitoring Reports for 2008 and 2009. Other reports which provided a source of data included CSO Reports, a Value for Money Review of the Rural Nights Service carried out by the former Department of Community, Rural and Gaeltacht Affairs, some independent reports of the RTP and on individual RTP groups as well as case studies. A description of the analysis of data used in this Review is set out at Appendix R. 1.4.3 Measurement of outcome/impact and attributing causality to the Programme Programmes with qualitative outcomes and impacts tend to present difficulty for measurement in quantitative terms and may require qualitative analysis that is complex and resource demanding. There was not sufficient time or resources within this Review to carry out user/beneficiary research of the RTP programme. In addition the diversity of the RTP at local level and issues over the selection of sample groups could give rise to questions concerning whether the findings of such research would be representative or could be extrapolated to generalisations concerning the RTP as a whole. However, some of the survey questions concerning the benefits of the Programme to users, as well as, interview responses from the representative bodies for the Programme beneficiary target groups are used to support other findings in the Review, where relevant. Where Pobal and some of the individual RTP groups have had independent research carried out, the findings of outcomes and impacts in these 5 case studies and user/beneficiary research have also been used as tertiary data in this Review. 1.4.4 Format of the Review report The Chapters 2-8 of the Review report address the terms of reference, as follows, Chapter 2, „The policy context for the Programme‟, provides an overview of the policy context for the programme. Chapter 3, „Background to the Rural Transport Programme‟, provides a background description of the development of the Programme and an overview of the key structures, roles and relationships involved in the Programme governance, administration and delivery. Chapter 4, „Programme objectives and continued relevance‟, examines the objectives the Programme and its alignment with the high-level policy objective and the continued relevance of the policy objective. Chapter 5, „Costs and efficiency of the Programme‟, examines the level and trend of costs of the Programme and evaluate the efficiency with which the available resources have been used to achieve the objectives of the Programme. Chapter 6, „Effectiveness of the Programme‟, evaluates the effectiveness of the Programme in achieving its objectives by means of an examination of quantitative and qualitative measures of output, outcome and impact, where these are available. Chapter 7, „Consideration of policy and organisational options‟, contains a discussion of a range of policy options and measures and with regard to the continued relevance of the programme proposes the preferred policy option. Chapter 8, „Key findings and conclusion‟, sets out the main findings of the Review with regard to the degree to which the Programme is efficient and effective in the achievement of the Programme objectives as examined in the preceding Chapters 4, 5 and 6. The Chapter also sets out the Review conclusion following the discussion in Chapter 7 concerning the preferred policy and organisational option for public policy intervention. Chapter 9, „Review recommendations‟, sets out recommendations arising from the findings identified in Chapter 8, as well as, the key performance indicators to monitor and evaluate future public expenditure. 6 CHAPTER 2 THE POLICY CONTEXT OF THE PROGRAMME 2.1 Introduction This chapter provides an overview of the policy backdrop to the Programme. The Programme fits within the context of wider public policy and, specifically, policies for rural and community development, transport, social welfare and health. This Chapter illustrates how the Programme is relevant within each of these policy contexts in turn. 2.2 Rural and community development policy context The Rural Transport Programme operates within a wider policy context and associated administrative structures for rural and community development. In general the rural and community development Programmes, particularly under a social inclusion objective involve community development from the bottom-up. The administrative structures for Programme delivery were established using the concept of partnership at local level and involving stakeholders outside the public sector (i.e. private, community and voluntary sectors), as well as, the involvement of intermediary „independent‟ bodies, such as Area Development Management Ltd. (ADM, now Pobal), from outside the conventional mainstream public administration. The rural and community development programmes are funded in the main by the former Department of Community, Equality and the Gaeltacht Affairs. Notably under the 1994-99 Operational Programme for Local, Urban and Rural Development (OPLURD) some 10-12 local transport projects were funded and in 1999 Pobal decided to capture the learning from these projects in a report entitled, “Rural Transport: A National Study from a Community Perspective”. It is also significant that as of 2010, 14 of the RTP groups are (Integrated) Local Development Companies (LDC). LDCs arose during a cohesion process, which commenced in 2004, to rationalise structures for community programme delivery. Please find a list of the LDCs involved in the RTP at Appendix N. The Department of Social Protection funding through the Rural Social Scheme (RSS) and the Community Services Programme (CSP) also benefits some RTP groups directly. The RSS provides income support for farmers and fisherpersons involved in community work. The CSP provides funding to groups that supply services to their local communities. In addition, the former department of Community, Rural and Gaeltacht Affairs also provided funding directly to 7 RTP groups for evening and night-time rural transport services under the Rural Development Fund with an objective to provide seed funding for rural development initiatives. This funding stream ended in 2009 following a review, which found that it no longer fulfilled the „pilot‟ characteristic of projects under the Fund. 7 The 1999 White Paper on Rural Transport represents a policy milestone in terms of national rural development policy. It recognised the social aspects of transport provision as follows, “… the provision of transport is a major priority for those living in rural areas especially in the context of a tendency towards service concentration in larger centres.” and “… the absence of an adequate public transport service in all areas is a major contributing factor to marginalisation. Its availability plays an increasingly important role in accessing services such as healthcare and in the social integration of people living away from service areas.” The 1999 White Paper acknowledged the work carried out by the Area Partnerships and Community Groups funded via ADM under the OPLURD and the National Development Plan (NDP) 1994-1999, in operating pilot schemes for the provision of local transport services and in identifying community based responses to the provision of a transport service where public transport is not available. In addition, it proposed that each County Development Board, established in 2000 would carry out an audit and identify the most appropriate coordination and delivery mechanism for local transport provision in its area. It also recommended that funding under NDP 20002006 to up-grade public transport would reflect its “rural proofing” principles. The County Development Boards (CDB) were established under the Local Government Act 2001, to improve co-ordination of publicly funded services at local level, combat social exclusion and provide an integrated planning framework for economic, social and cultural development. In 2008, 59% of RTP groups participated in the CDB sub-committees. 2.3 Public transport policy context The National Spatial Strategy (NSS) 2002-2020 sets out the key transport infrastructure requirements for Ireland‟s future spatial strategy. This includes the development of strong towns and villages that will enhance the viability of rural transport options such as local bus networks. The NSS also acknowledges the role that the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport together with the support of the other Departments and the Public Transport Partnership Forum plays in the development of rural transport policy. The development of rural transport policy is an ongoing process supported by two key reports by Fitzpatrick Associates Consultants in 2002 and 2006, discussed in greater detail in Chapter 3 – „Background and overview of the Rural Transport Programme‟ The continuing development of the Rural Transport Programme is one of the elements of the Department of Transport Strategy (2008-2010) falling under the objective of better public transport. The Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport has commenced the process of consultation for its next Statement of Strategy 2011-2013. The strategic goals for land transport are now supported by a policy framework for the delivery of more sustainable transport in „Smarter Travel - A Sustainable Transport Future 2009 – 2020‟, and for the delivery of an integrated accessible public transport 8 service, as set out in the Transport Sectoral Plan – Transport Access for All (Reviewed in 2008). The regulation of public (land) transport under the Public Transport Regulation Act 2009 provides the institutional framework for public transport delivery in Ireland under the responsibility of the National Transport Authority. At a local level Local Authorities, being road, traffic and planning Authorities, have a transport role in their areas. Policy initiatives are ongoing, lead by the Department of Transport Tourism and Sport, to assess the potential for local synergies, bringing together the transport capabilities of a range of local - state, private and community transport operators and bodies. 2.3.1 Sustainable transport – „Smarter Travel‟ Smarter Travel (A sustainable transport future: a new transport policy for Ireland 2009-2020), reflects the commitment by Ireland to meet the targets set by the Kyoto Protocol and the National Climate Change Strategy (D/EH&LG, 2007) for the reduction of Carbon emissions to 13% below 1990 levels by the first committed period 2008-2012. Following on from the strategic actions for transport set out in the 1997 Sustainable Development – A Strategy for Ireland, the Smarter Travel strategy provides a framework of targeted actions to ensure sustainable development of the transport sector in terms of environmental (modal shift from private car), social (access to transport in urban and rural areas) and economic (efficient public transport) sustainability. These objectives are also reflected in the range of responses from the public consultation, which formed a large part of the development of Smarter Travel. The Smarter Travel policy framework sets out five key goals and associated key targets under the vision for sustainable transport. These are to improve accessibility to transport, reducing travel demand, to maximise efficiency of the transport network, reduce reliance on fossil fuels and reduce transport emissions. The Smarter Travel policy framework deals with the whole transport network, including both rural and urban areas and its goals and targets, when taken collectively, encompass both. Among the 49 individual actions in Smarter Travel, two sub-actions under Action 14, aimed at improving access to transport, relate to rural transport, i.e. for regular 7-day week transport service for rural communities and those in smaller urban areas, as well as, building on the good work at local level in developing the Rural Transport Programme to expand the network in other ways, such as demand responsive services. Other relevant actions are for a more integrated local public transport network, i.e. to expanded use of school and other publicly funded buses as a „local transport bus‟ to bring people to a range of services. The long-term policy trajectory of policy under Smarter Travel (2009) and as set out in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) is for rural public transport provision under a sustainable transport objective. However, policy development is ongoing with regard to the potential for achievement of savings and efficiencies through synergies in the organisation and delivery of integrated local transport services as set out in Section 2.3.5 below. 9 2.3.2 Transport Sectoral Plan – Transport Access for All Under the Disability Act 2005, the Department of Transport Sectoral Plan – Transport Access for All was established in 2006 and reviewed in 2008. It sets out key targets for improvements to accessibility of transport services across all the transport sectors and providers including public transport, with the exception of specialist transport services that are outside the remit of the Department of Transport. The Sectoral Plan acknowledges the social inclusion role of the RTP in providing demand responsive, door-to-door, transport services and transport connectivity for older people and people with mobility, sensory and cognitive impairments as well as involving people with disability in RTP management structures and user fora. The development of accessibility specifications for small buses, a typical vehicle used for RTP services, had a target date of end 2009 as set out in the 2008 Sectoral Plan. The current position of the development of these specifications is that a draft specification has been finalised for consideration by the Road Safety Authority (RSA). The 2008 Review of the Sectoral Plan suggests that the lack of available capital funding is a barrier to improved vehicle accessibility of the owner operated RTP services and for the private operators who operate the majority of RTP services on a sub-contract basis. The target for accessible vehicles providing public transport among the private licensed bus operator fleet is a matter for consideration by the National Transport Authority, with regard to its responsibility for bus route licensing. Targets have been set under the Plan for the State bus companies to provide 100% accessible bus/coach vehicles by 2015. A range of other targets for accessible integrated public transport provision in the Sectoral Plan, which are also relevant to the RTP in terms of its interface with the public transport network, include accessible bus stops, disabled parking, accessible bus and train stations, ports and airports, accessibility awareness and skills training and accessible SPSV services. 2.3.3 Public Transport Regulation – National Transport Authority 2.3.3.1 Market regulation The Public Transport Regulation Act 2009 and the earlier Dublin Transport Authority Act 2008 provide the basis for the current public transport regulatory regime. The responsibilities of the previous Dublin Transport Authority have been extended with regard to some transport provision to the whole country under the responsibility of the National Transport Authority under the 2009 Act. In addition, the 2009 Act provides that the National Transport Authority is the national body with responsibility for administering public service contracts (PSC) on behalf of the Minister for Transport who is the competent authority in the State for the purposes of EC Regulation 1370/2007 on public passenger transport services by rail and road. This European Communities Regulation facilitates the principle of a „level playing-pitch‟ for competition in the passenger transport market in Ireland with regard to the transport services on routes that are compensated by means of State funding as a consequence 10 of a public service obligation. The EC Regulation provides for public service contract to be awarded, to the transport operators providing services on these PSO routes, by means of a process of competitive tendering or in specified cases through direct award for a limited duration. The competitive part of the bus passenger market in Ireland is regulated by means of bus passenger route licensing (for domestic routes), under Licensing Guidelines published by the NTA under the Public Transport Regulation Act 2009. A small number of RTP services are licensed under the bus passenger route licensing regime, including some owner operated services, where the RTP group holds the licence, while there are some RTP services, which are sub-contracted to private operators who hold the licence. There is a question to be addressed concerning the status of RTP services, operated by buses or by smaller vehicles, within the context of the system of public transport regulation in Ireland. The Public Transport Regulation Act 2009 does not make specific provision for the transport services under this Programme. Regulation of passenger transport under the 2009 Act is by means of either the licensing transport operators to provide services on specified routes or for PSO routes by means of public service contract. Finally, there is a range of specialist transport services targeted at specific groups, such as bus services by State organisations which are not open to the general travelling public, i.e. HSE and School Transport, as well as, bus services by voluntary groups and organisations (with or without state financial support), e.g. Irish Wheelchair Association, Enable Ireland, and local Centres for Independent Living (CIB, 2009), as well as Vantastic and ACTS. As these specialised transport services do not cater for transport of the general travelling public in terms of „hail and ride‟ they do not fall directly within the remit of the 2009 Act. 2.3.3.2 Regulation of the public transport network The NTA has oversight for the network planning and the management of public transport bus services carried out by Bus Éireann and Dublin Bus for their services under PSC. Planning of the competitive bus market network is by means of route licensing, with network considerations taken into account in terms of competition on specific routes where there is a new licence application under the licensing guidelines established under the Public Transport Regulation Act 2009. RTP services are planned so that they complement and do not compete with either PSC bus routes or other commercial and licensed routes. However, there is no regulation of this and there is an on-going risk of displacement of other transport services by RTP, a risk that potentially increases through greater involvement of RTP in any contracted School Transport or HSE transport services. Pobal have recently developing an IT system (GIS) that will enable RTP groups, and in time other transport operators, to geographically plot the areas that their bus services cover. 11 2.3.3.3 Regulation of safety and standards The NTA has responsibility for regulation of standards and specifications of small public service vehicles (SPSVs) and also for bus passenger transport provided under PSC or route licensing. With regard to passenger safety, the regulation of vehicle standards for public bus and SPSV services, including RTP services which are public hire vehicles, is under the Public Service Vehicle licensing system administered by An Garda Síochána as provided for under the Road Traffic Act 1961, as amended. With regard to accessibility standards in particular, accessibility specifications have not yet been adopted in Ireland for larger public service vehicles, including many vehicles used on many RTP services. SPSV standards which include accessibility specifications were introduced for all new applications for wheelchair accessible taxis and hackneys vehicle licences in 2010. Notwithstanding the above, many RTP and some other specialist transport providers currently operate accessible vehicles and provide for the transport needs of disabled people. 2.3.4 Local Authority responsibility for public transport The role of the Local Authorities in local public transport provision is largely concerned with public transport infrastructure. The development plans and local area plans by the local authorities can contain a range of transport provisions for road and other transport infrastructure. Consultation concerning the contents of the development plans and local area plans is provided for in Planning and Development Act 2000. The involvement of Local Authorities with public transport regulation is provided for under the Public Transport Regulation Act 2009 which provides for consultation by the NTA with the relevant Local Authority and/or Local Authority Plan on consideration of a licence application or of a proposed public service contract for passenger transport services operating in that Local Authority‟s area of jurisdiction. In particular in the Greater Dublin Area (GDA), under the Dublin Transport Authority Act 2009 the Dublin Transport Authority (now the NTA) was given responsibility for the development of a transport strategy for the GDA, which must be consistent with the regional planning guidelines for the Dublin and Mid-East Region, as provided for under the Planning and Development Act 2000. The transport strategy for the GDA taking account of the period up to 2030 is currently being developed. The responsibility of the NTA for transport planning has not been extended outside the GDA. 2.3.5 Local Integrated Transport Services (LITS) Smarter Travel policy for sustainable transport provision nationally provides a policy context for exploration of options for greater integrated transport provision locally. The potential efficiencies savings as a result of locally integrated transport services among State funded transport providers, e.g. HSE, School Transport and RTP services 12 is a key driver for policy in this regard. The Deloitte Cost and Efficiency Review of Dublin Bus and Bus Éireann (2008) suggests that, in light of the deteriorating financial situation facing the company, Bus Éireann would need to assess a number of strategic opportunities. That Bus Éireann should further explore opportunities to combine dedicated services from multiple organisations (schools, Rural Transport Programme, conventional bus services, HSE services etc.). A joint initiative was undertaken in 2009 to pilot a number of projects in the North West and North East of the country to assess the potential for local synergies and greater efficiencies through the integration of existing public and private transport services. Key participants involved in the pilots were RTP groups, the Irish Wheelchair Association, the Department of Transport, Pobal, Bus Éireann, Department of Education and Skills and the Health Service Executive. The pilot projects were evaluated by MVA Consultancy in 2010 with a view to assessing the benefits and the potential for rolling out the pilots or elements of them on a national basis. The relevance of policy development for local integrated transport with regard to this Programme is referred to in Chapter 7, „Consideration of policy and organisational options‟. 2.4. Free Travel Scheme The Free Travel Scheme is available for scheduled public bus services that have fixed routes and stops; this includes bus services by Bus Éireann and by Private Licensed Operators. It is acknowledged that the majority of rural transport bus services are nonscheduled and are demand-responsive. The objective of the Free Travel Scheme is to provide for the public transport needs of the elderly, i.e. 66 and over and for carers and certain other categories of people, such as people with a disability. The Scheme is intended as an incentive to encourage older people to use public transport services in off-peak periods thereby achieving greater and more efficient capacity utilisation. The procedure for establishing the level of free travel pass funding is by means of an assessment carried out by the Department of Social Protection. This is done by reviewing 3-6 months of records on the service use over that period as well as an assessment of the value of the service. This is then followed up by spot checks. In general, the Free Travel Scheme payment covers 70% of the actual fare on scheduled services. The rural transport services cater for a large proportion of the categories of the intended beneficiaries of the Free Travel Scheme. An agreement was reached in 2003 between the Department of Social Protection, the then Department of Transport and Area Development Management Ltd. (now Pobal) that Free Travel Scheme funding would be made available for the Rural Transport services on an agreed fixed annual basis in line with the standard calculation of funding levels, and administered by Pobal to the RTP groups. 13 2.5 Health policy – community care for older people Since the 1990s there has been an emphasis on community care for older people. The Department of Health strategy document, Shaping a Healthier Future, suggested a target, that not less than 90 per cent of those over 75 years of age should live at home and proposed a strengthening of community healthcare professional services dealing with older people and their carers in this regard. The National Council on Ageing and Older People2, established by the Minister for Health in 1997, advised on all aspects of ageing and the welfare of older people to assist in the development of national and regional policy and strategy in that regard. Findings of research contained in its report „Care and Case Management for Older People in Ireland‟ (2001) identifies the availability of transport (particularly in rural areas) as a key weakness of services in terms of community care for the elderly and posits improvements to transport as a potential opportunity for service development. 2.6 Economic context 2.6.1 Recommendation of the Report of the Special Group on Public Service Numbers and Expenditure Programmes The economic policy context within which this Value for Money Review is being carried out is reflected in the Report of the Special Group on Public Service Numbers and Expenditure Programmes (2009) prepared for the Department of Finance. This Report provides a review of the scope for reducing or discontinuing Expenditure Programmes, across all the public services sectors, with a view to eliminating the current budget deficit by 2011. The 2009 Report recommends ceasing the funding of the RTP on the basis that, the availability of private sector bus alternatives, the high level of car ownership and the underutilisation of synergies with other publicly funded local transport services support the view that the level of direct Exchequer assistance can and should be eliminated, and that in light of current budgetary circumstances this Programme should be ended. 2.6.2 The National Recovery Plan 2011-2014 There is an on-going pressure for further public Programme expenditure cuts to address the State budgetary deficit and to finance Ireland‟s loans. The National Recovery Plan 2011-2014 aims to reduce GDP to 3% by 2014 as required to meet agreed targets under the European Union Growth and Stability Pact. Among the requirements of the Plan in this regard is for Governmental Expenditure Assessment (GEA). 2 The National Council on Ageing and Older People was dissolved with effect from 1 September 2009 14 CHAPTER 3 BACKGROUND AND OVERVIEW OF THE RURAL TRANSPORT PROGRAMME 3.1 Introduction This Chapter provides a background description of the development of the Programme along a policy trajectory, from its beginnings as the Rural Transport Initiative (RTI) to the establishment of the Rural Transport Programme (RTP). The Chapter also provides an overview of the Rural Transport Programme in terms of the key structures, roles and relationships involved in the governance, administration and delivery of the Programme. 3.2 Background – the evolution of a rural public transport policy and its implementation - RTI to RTP 3.2.1 A rural transport policy for Ireland - Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2002) The Inter-Departmental Committee on Rural Transport, established in 2001, commissioned a report concerning Rural Transport Ireland, called „Availability, Access and Choice‟ (Fitzpatrick Associates, 2002). This report highlights the high level of people living in rural Ireland in 1996, i.e. 36.7% of the population living in centres below 500, compared to 9.2 % in Scotland (2001) or 18.8% in Sweden (2001). The findings in the Report suggested that two factors are affecting the decline in public transport in rural areas, 1) the increasing separation of peoples work and residential locations and 2) the increase in car ownership in rural areas. The Report suggests that rural transport policy should have a short- and medium-term approach. In the short-term a targeted public transport service in rural areas and in the mediumterm greater planning with regard to settlement patterns and associated transport requirements. The 2002 Report sets out the components for a rural transport policy. The Report suggested that the twin complementary objectives for a rural transport policy should be sustainability and social inclusion. It suggested that appropriate targets for a rural transport policy in Ireland would include at least a weekly scheduled bus service between county towns and smaller rural towns and that all rural residents in the target groups would have a transport option to make at least one weekly trip to their nearest local town, county town or large market town. The Report also suggested that the optimal model for rural transport delivery is the collect and connect model, over pure scheduled or demand responsive models of service delivery. „Collect and connect‟ is a public transport network model whereby conventional and non-conventional public transport services are combined and dovetailed, using each in the circumstances in which it is most appropriate. In this case conventional public 15 transport provided under PSC or by licensed private operators nationally complemented by an integrated local transport network, including the community based demand responsive services provided by the RTP in peripheral rural areas (Fitzpatrick Associates, 2006). 3.2.2 The pilot Rural Transport Initiative The proposal for a Rural Transport Initiative (RTI) arose from the commitment in the National Development Plan 2000-2006 to address the issues of social exclusion in rural Ireland caused by a lack of transport through funding pilot rural transport projects as innovative community-based initiatives to provide transport services in rural areas. Details of the Initiative were developed within the then Department of Transport with the assistance of Area Development Management Ltd. (now Pobal) and the Rural Transport Sub-committee of the Public Transport Partnership Forum. Following a nation-wide consultation exercise on the RTI proposal early in 2001, an application process was launched and thirty-two applicants were selected for operational funding. By the end of 2003 thirty-four RTP groups were operational under the Rural Transport Initiative and RTI transport services were being provided in parts of all counties with the exception of Louth, where there was no application made. 3.2.2.1 Evaluation of the RTI and lessons learned In 2004, the RTI was evaluated on behalf of Pobal by consultants Fitzpatrick Associates. Overall the evaluation concluded that the RTI provided good value for money. The findings of the evaluation suggested that in most RTI Groups the ratio of administrative to operational costs was within the acceptable range, though there were some RTI Groups for whom administrative costs appeared to be high. ADM undertook to work with those RTI Groups to address this issue. In line with the principal recommendation of the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006), the Minister for Transport decided to extend the pilot RTI. With regard to findings and lessons for future rural transport services the 2004 evaluation raised a number of points as follows, the demand responsive, door-to-door services pioneered by the RTI was suitable for rural dwellers and target groups with mobility difficulties, locally planned and designed transport services based on a „no one size fits all‟ principle were successful, it provided transport to people from the key target groups, e.g. FTP holders with transport that had not previously been available, there were benefits in terms of the reported improvement to quality of life of the RTI passengers, and, Pobal‟s role in support and development was critical as many RTI groups experienced skills and capacity issues with regard to management (including management of transport operations) and administration starting-up. 16 The 2006 report concluded that meeting the level of unmet transport needs of rural dwellers is ambitious and even unrealistic, given the current levels of RTI services, and meeting this need should be a priority for the future. 3.2.3 Identifying the rural transport policy problem and policy options The Inter-Departmental Committee on Rural Transport (2001) chaired by the then Department of Public Enterprise was responsible for developing a rural transport policy. The policy development process involved a number of key inputs including from, the Sub-Committee on Rural Transport of the Public Transport Partnership Forum and from the National Rural Development Forum, the findings of the rural transport audit carried out by the County Development Boards of the Local Authorities (National Rural Transport Survey), a review of the regulation of bus services outside the Greater Dublin Area, as well as, learning from an evaluation of the RTI. The resulting Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) suggests that the policy problem for rural transport in Ireland is multi-faceted, including, - the need to address the social exclusion of target groups and the significant levels of unmet rural transport need; how to achieve a balance between meeting specific user needs within the social inclusion policy objectives against the cost, management and delivery considerations, including the optimal mix of conventional and nonconventional services; and, the involvement of local communities and key stakeholders in the development of transport services. The 2006 report also suggests that Ireland had a significant rural transport problem compared to other countries, in part, due to a low population density and wide population dispersal but also due, in part, to a tradition of conventional public transport bus service delivery in rural areas, which the Report argues is undeveloped when compared internationally. Regarding the RTI, the report suggests it has introduced a non-conventional transport option to the rural transport services available in Ireland. In terms of a strategy to address the rural transport problem, the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) maintains the assumption that an improvement in social inclusion in these areas will arise through providing more transport services, essentially filling the transport gap caused by market failure. The Steer Davies Gleave Report on Bus Services Outside the GDA (2002) suggested that the market for private licensed operators in peripheral rural areas was not economically viable unless they had other contracts, for example for school or health related transport. The Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) also acknowledged the impact of settlement patterns in rural 17 areas and suggested that longer-term sustainable transport could be achieved in these areas through the greater use of public transport. The 2006 Report concluded that innovative transport solutions such as the RTI are seen as a necessary component of rural development policy and recommended the mainstreaming of the RTI with social inclusion as its primary objective. This would take place on the basis of permanent financial support, with a time-frame for future funding growth, via the then Department of Transport and within overall policy considerations concerning rural development, social inclusion, spatial and environmental policy, etc. The phased-based rollout of the Programme would see it expand its geographical coverage of services nationwide. The Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) suggested three options for delivery of rural transport post-RTI and these options are differentiated by the scope of the target group that the services are to cater, as set out in Table 3.1 below, Table 3.1: Policy options for progressing rural public transport policy (Fitzpatrick Associates, 2006) Option 1. involves the existing target groups catered for by RTI. Option 2. involves expanding the focus of RTI to wider target groups addressing the transport needs of socially excluded groups in rural areas, including the needs of older people, people on low incomes, the mobility and sensory impaired, and young people. Option 3. involves a wider rural public transport extending the target group coverage to all potential users of rural transport, i.e. services might not be exclusively for the socially excluded but could cater for travel to work for example. The Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) recommended, that the initial goal of an expanded RTI should be to build up towards Option 2, while retaining the aim of gradually moving to Option 3 in the longer-term. The then Department of Transport engaged in extensive public consultation based on the Fitzpatrick Associates Report 2006 and responses were generally supportive of Option 2, with no convincing arguments put forward against the Fitzpatrick Associates approach of phased-extension of the RTI. Based on the analysis for this Review, the available policy documents clearly show that the policy decision for a mainstreamed RTP was based on option 2. above, as identified in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006). This policy option was to, over a period, increasing the range of people experiencing exclusion because of unmet transport needs while extending transport coverage throughout rural Ireland, as well as, extend its transport services beyond the social, shopping, etc. needs of the predominantly older passengers who avail of RTI services at present, for example, by providing transport to hospitals or community care centres. 18 The perceived benefits at the time of a policy to maintain RTP services within the scope of Option 2 included consideration of, - - the differences in the level of service among RTI Groups at the time; the demonstrated potential of the RTP to meet the needs of a substantial additional number of rural dwellers in the key socially excluded groups and to provide higher levels of service for existing users; and, the potential of RTI to develop over time into a comprehensive rural transport system in line with Option 3. The mainstreamed Rural Transport Programme (RTP) was launched in February 2007. The National Development Plan 2007-2013 proposed that investment in public transport would take account of the particular needs of rural and more isolated parts of the country. Also proposed was that the mainstreamed Rural Transport Initiative (RTI) would ultimately be expanded to areas where there remained unmet transport needs, with funding of up to €90 million over the period of the Plan. The „National Action Plan for Social Inclusion 2007-2016‟ and „Towards 2016‟ both acknowledge the community and voluntary dimension for developing local and rural transport services and for programmes combating social inclusion. These Plans envisage a funding commitment on mainstreaming of the RTI to double the funding in 2006 (i.e. €9 million) and thereafter a steady increase in annual funding for rural transport services, ultimately to a cash level about four times the 2005 allocation (i.e. €18 million). 3.3 Overview of the RTP – the structures, roles and relationships The following Section describes the various structures, roles and relationships for the Programme delivery as set out in Figure 3.1 19 Figure 3.1 Programme organisational map Department of Transport, Tourism and SportNational Sustainable Travel Office Memorandum of Understanding 3 Committees Pobal Contract Three-year Strategic Plan Annual Programme of Activities RTP Network 36 RTP Groups Sub-contract Own operated services Private Operator services 3.3.1 Memo of Understanding between the Department of Transport and Pobal The relationship between the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport and Pobal is underpinned by a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) for the RTP covering the period 2007-2009, which was renewed separately in 2010 and 2011 for a further year. The MoU sets out the objective of the Programme; the roles of the Department and Pobal with regard to the administration and delivery of the Programme; the financial controls and reporting arrangements; as well as, general agreed terms concerning termination or changes to the agreement, data protection, retention of documents and liability in terms of complaints deriving from the agreement. The full schedule of reporting between Pobal and the Department is at Appendix H. Since 2003 the Programme was administered by the Public Transport Sector of the Department of Transport with a staff allocation involved in this Programme on a parttime basis of 1PO, 1AP, 1 HEO, 1 EO as well as clerical support. In 2004 the programme was repositioned under the National Sustainable Transport Office 20 (NSTO) of the then Department of Transport with responsibility for policy development for sustainable transport under Smarter Travel. The annual Department funding allocation for the Programme is notified to Pobal who submit a forecast budget and business plan (including Pobal‟s administration budget), as well as, an output report for progress on the previous year‟s business plan. The Department pays quarterly instalments of the funding to Pobal on the basis of quarterly Programme progress reports. Any additional funds required throughout the year are agreed in advance between Pobal and the Department before a payment request is submitted. Guidance on the detail and content of any payment request by Pobal is set out as an appendix to the MoU. Contingencies for end of year surpluses or deficits are also agreed between the parties. 3.3.2 Pobal‟s Role in administering the Programme and associated structures Pobal (formerly ADM, 1992-2005) is a not-for-profit company with charitable status that manages a range of programmes on behalf of the Irish Government and the EU. In relation to the programmes that it administers, Pobal aims to support partnership and to develop the capacity of local communities, as well as, to contribute to policy development through the review of programmes and the piloting of new initiatives. (Pobal Strategic Plan 2006-2008 and 2010-2013). In terms of corporate governance structures, the oversight of Pobal‟s activities is carried out by a 16 member voluntary Board, appointed by the Government on consideration of proposals received from stakeholders of the Company and the National Social Partners. Pobal has responsibility under the MoU to manage the Programme on behalf of the Department, to disperse the funding to the RTP groups and support the RTP groups in their role with regard to the administration and delivery of the Programme. In carrying out its role, the MoU specifies that Pobal must have regard to a number of considerations including the social inclusion objective of the Programme, as well as, other relevant Department objectives such as, - accessibility and sustainability; optimal use of voluntary and community capacity; organisational capacity of the RTP groups nationally; the responsibility and accountability associated with Exchequer financial support; and, the primacy of the RTP groups in initiating, developing, organising and delivering transport services in their operational areas; subject to approval by Pobal through the annual Programme of Activities process. Pobal allocates 6 full-time equivalent posts to the administration of the RTP. These include, a Programme Manager, Programme Coordinator, Financial Officer, Research Officer, Transport Planner and Development Officers. The Programme Manager and Financial Officer are apportioned across other Pobal Programmes, while the remaining staff members are dedicated to the Rural Transport Programme. 21 3.3.3 Contract between Pobal and the RTP groups for the Programme delivery The relationship between Pobal and the RTP groups delivering the Programme is defined by means of a contract between Pobal and each RTP group, i.e. „Contract for Funding from The Rural Transport Programme 2008-2010‟. The contract stipulates that the RTP groups must ensure full compliance with all legal, insurance and regulatory requirements. The appendix to the contract between Pobal and the RTP groups requires the RTP group to supply full details of the routes and areas where they intend to provide RTP services, as well as relevant employment details of employees, vehicles, including PSV certification and tax compliance for all activities by the RTP group or for service sub-contracted by the RTP group. A further Appendix to the contract between Pobal and the RTP groups contains an agreement between the RTP group and each operator providing sub-contracted RTP services, which includes details concerning the operators licence, route and timetable of the services to be operated, specific equipment needs such as telecommunications or IT equipment, charge for the service to be invoiced monthly, all legal, regulatory and insurance requirements, relevant employment details of employees and vehicles; and, a driver log where services have been supplied previously. The Programme of Activities (PoA) is an annualised work plan of each RTP group, which falls from the RTP groups strategic plans and business case developments. RTP groups were asked to produce strategic plans for the period 2008-2010. The PoA is specified in the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport MoU with Pobal as a requirement to ensure approval by Pobal of RTP group funding. The Programme of Activities typically contains, a description of the project, including RTP group company status, transport model, service types and other characteristics; a profile of the RTP service provided, including timetable; a summary of any proposed changes to the service in the year; details of contractual agreements; information on funding sources; targets for the year, e.g. training, research, development of collaborative links with other stakeholders, accessibility, efficiency and value for money; and, relevant information concerning corporate and financial controls associated with the PoA. It is the responsibility of Pobal to specify the reporting requirements for the RTP groups and to ensure that the RTP groups supply complete information in the PoA. 3.3.4 Role and structure of the RTP groups The Role of the RTP groups is to develop, plan, organise and deliver the RTP services. RTP groups are required to submit a business plan and financial projections to Pobal for proposed services. The PoA, which contains full details of all RTP group activities, must be approved by Pobal. Funding is contingent on the terms of the contract between Pobal and the RTP group, including the sub-contracted service 22 provider being met. Operational, reporting and other requirements as set out in the Pobal „Programme Guidelines 2008-2010‟ must also be met. There are currently 36 RTP groups involved in the assessment of local public transport demand and engaged in the supply of RTP services. All RTP groups are run on a not-for-profit basis and overseen by a Board of Representatives from the local community, voluntary and State sectors, all participating in a voluntary capacity. 14 of the RTP groups are transport companies, where the transport managers employed have professional competence in transport management and the companies are registered with Road Passenger Transport Operators Licences (RPTOL). A separate note outlining the changes to the number and organisation of the RTP groups from RTI to RTP is at Appendix I. Each RTP group employs a coordinator and an administrator on either a part-time or full-time basis. RTP group staff are directly employed under the Programme (72 fulltime equivalents in 2008) or by staff funded through a combination of other sources and programmes, e.g. the Community Support Programme and the Rural Social Scheme (110 in 2008). In 2009, 185 people (125 FTEs) were employed with RTP and other funding. In 2008, 329 private transport operators were working under contract to the Programme and a total of 657 drivers delivered services through contracts with the private operated transport sector. In addition, volunteers are involved with RTP groups at all levels, including in management, in advocacy roles, as passenger assistants and involved in carrying out community car schemes. (Pobal, 2008) Taken together the RTP groups provide owner-operated service providers and subcontracted transport services. RTP funding is for current expenditure only, however, in the start-up years of the initiative some RTP groups sourced funding for capital investment, particularly for vehicles. In 2009, of the 768 vehicles providing RTP services 9% were owned by RTP groups (3% SPSV and 6% LPSV). Many RTP groups are involved in social enterprise and other trading activities, in particular establishing training units and delivering training on MIDAS, PATS and manual handling. The RTP is also involved in other community development activities (a total of 47% of the RTP Companies), which enhance and support their transport services, for example community alert, information provision, laundry services, mobile library, meals on wheels and local trade discount schemes, as well as, assisting community and disability groups in the delivery of services to key events such as age active tea dances, voluntary day care centres, youth clubs and leisure centres. Co-ordination of local transport services and resources occurs across the RTP, evidenced in some examples, including Cavan Area Rural Transport co-ordinated hackney service, Avondu Blackwater RTP in the North Cork Area, Baltibus in Co Monaghan and Clare Accessible Transport. Cavan Area Rural Transport (CART) has a documented case study in 2009 of its co-ordinated hackney service involving HSE, CART, SPSV services and private licensed bus operator services. Clare Accessible Transport (CAT) has documented its service in 2009, which involves integrated planning and consultation with HSE, Tourist bodies, Youthreach and Adult Education Programmes as well as CSES. The different local structures and networks in each area 23 provide different opportunities and consequently varying levels and types of integrated RTP services. In addition, engagement with local partners increases the potential for integrated planning of local transport services. A number of RTP groups are involved in County structures including CDB sub-committees (59% of RTP groups in 2009), CDB Social Inclusion Measure Groups (56% in 2009), Local Authority Policy Committees (26% in 2009) and other County and Transport Fora (47% in 2009). 3.3.4.1 The RTP Network and its relationship with Pobal The Rural Transport Network established itself in March 2009 as an umbrella body for RTP groups. The Network states that its role is to establish a voice for the ongoing development and mainstreaming of rural transport in Ireland, including, - the facilitation of RTP group networking through meetings and assemblies; developing strategic alliances with key stakeholders; promoting mainstreaming; highlighting challenges and opportunities for the RTP; lobbying on behalf of the RTP to Government and policy-makers; promoting an integrated and co-ordinated strategy for the RTP; and, raising the profile of the RTP through branding. The Rural Transport Network has also recently prepared a „Rural Transport Programme Strategy 2011-2016‟ (RTN, 2010). Pobal has a formal agreement with the Rural Transport Network for joint working, meeting roughly every two months and cover three thematic areas of 1) policy, 2) finance and 3) operations. This joint working arrangement involving the RTP Network replaces three consultative committees previously run by Pobal on these matters. 24 CHAPTER 4 PROGRAMME OBJECTIVES AND CONTINUED RELEVANCE 4.1 Introduction This chapter examines the high-level objective of the Programme and its continued relevance. The continued relevance of the Programme is discussed further in Chapter 7, „Consideration of policy and organisational options‟, in particular, the evidence on effectiveness of the RTP to fulfil the Programme objective, as discussed in Chapter 6, „Effectiveness of the Programme‟, and the continuation of the Programme in the context of other policy alternatives. 4.2 The objectives of the RTP Through bottom-up policy development the RTP has been built on the objectives and principles of the RTI. The objective of the RTI was stated as follows, „to encourage innovative community-based initiatives to provide transport services in rural areas, with a view to addressing the issue of social exclusion in rural Ireland, which is caused by lack of access to transport.‟ (Pobal, 2001) In terms of high-level objectives, the social inclusion objective of this Programme was envisaged as expanding in the longer-term towards more comprehensive rural public transport in Ireland under a sustainable transport objective as recommended in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006). In terms of the Department of Transport Strategy, for example, in the Statement of Strategy 2008-2010 under the high-level goals of investment, sustainability and integration is a provision for an objective of better public transport to support the development of the RTP. Therefore, it is not clear from this Strategy Statement the extent to which the social inclusion objective of the Programme, as envisaged in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006), fits with the high-level goals within the Department of Transport Strategy and there may be a need to make this clearer. The memorandum of understanding between the Department of Transport and Pobal sets out the objectives and aims of the Programme, reiterating those found in the relevant Pobal documents, as follows, a. To provide, enhance and sustain a nationwide community based public transport system in rural areas. b. To maximise existing transport assets and to utilise new technology where necessary in the co-ordination and development of transport. c. To act as a catalyst in providing models of partnership at all levels where key sectors actively engage in transport provision. 25 d. To ensure equality of access for all, including older people as well as people with mobility, sensory and cognitive impairments. e. To maintain, promote and develop models of good practice. f. To continue to contribute to rural public transport policy. As will be discussed further in Chapter 6, „Effectiveness of the Programme‟, items a. and d. above relate to the objectives of the Programme, while the remaining items could be considered more as supporting aims or statements of good practice. The stated mission in the Programme Guidelines 2008-2010 (Pobal) provides a more succinct iteration of the Programme objective, „To provide a quality nationwide community based public transport system in rural Ireland which responds to local needs.‟ Pobal provide guidance to the RTP groups concerning the fulfilment of the Programme objectives and aims by means of reference to a list of stated key Programme principles under the social inclusion objective. The degree to which Programme services and activities adhere to these Programme principles is a basis for the acceptance of applications for funding and in this way is a method used to ensure that the individual RTP groups strategic planning and objectives are aligned to the Programme social inclusion objective. Within the stated Programme policy documentation the objectives of the Programme are broadly aligned to the high-level policy objective of social inclusion. However, a clear connection is not made between stated objectives and aims and option 2 of the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006), which formed the basis for the Programme, i.e. over a period increasing the range of people experiencing exclusion because of unmet transport needs while extending transport coverage throughout rural Ireland, as well as, extend its transport services beyond the social, shopping, etc. needs of the predominantly older passengers who avail of RTI services at present, for example, by providing transport to hospitals or community care centres. There is a general requirement within relevant policy documents, e.g. the MOU and Pobal Programme Strategy, to restate the Programme objective and aims to make clear the connection between the high-level objective of social inclusion and the strategic policy objective for the Programme. This connection needs to be drilled down to the level of Programme principles in terms of addressing the unmet transport needs of the identified target groups in rural areas. A clearer connection between high-level policy objectives of social inclusion and the strategic policy objectives for Programme implementation would facilitate evaluation of the Programme at a policy level and in terms of frontline delivery. As set out in Table 1.1 and in Table 6.1 the strategic policy objective for the Programme, as identified in policy option 2 in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) and stated above in terms of the decision for a mainstreamed RTP, provides the basis for indicators of the expected intermediate outcome by which the Programme can be measured. 26 The following Figure 4.1 summarises the policy path and alignment between the highlevel policy and social inclusion objective, in bold, and the objectives for Programme implementation within an overall policy framework recommended in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006). 27 Figure 4.1: Policy path linking high-level objectives with the Programme Policy Problem: lack of public transport in rural areas negative impacts on target groups from isolation and poor access to services and communities Policy Solution: more rural public transport better spatial planning in rural areas High-level policy objectives of a rural transport policy: Alignment with highlevel policy objectives Social Inclusion Sustainability Target: Minimum 1 trip per week Target: Weekly scheduled services between villages & towns Policy Option 2 To increase target group coverage and extend services beyond current (RTI) focus on older passengers Move to Policy Option 3: Rural public transport – coordination with other public transport provision in urban and rural areas. RTP objectives (& principles for RTP Groups) for Programme implementation Programme intermediate expected outcomes: Increase in target group coverage Increase in national coverage Greater diversification of RTP services beyond the transport needs of older people 28 4.2.1 Comments on the alignment with policy objectives of related Programmes with funding streams to the RTP The objectives of the RTP and the FTP are aligned under the high-level objective of social inclusion, particularly in terms of providing access to specific target groups to live independently within their communities and to access community, public and commercial services. It is acknowledged that Free Travel customers have benefited from the RTP, particularly those who had no access to public transport prior to its establishment. Expenditure of approximately €1.5 million supported FTP on RTP services in comparison to FTP funding of €58.2 million and €6.2 million to CIE and some 90 private licensed operators, respectively, in 2009. The Community Services programme (CSP) and Rural Social Scheme (RSS) are administered by the Department of Social Protection. There is also alignment under the high-level social inclusion objective for the high level-goals supporting the rationale for these two funding schemes. The aim of the CSP is to support local community activity with a particular emphasis on the disadvantaged sector of the population. It also aims to provide employment opportunities for people from the following target groups: people with disabilities, the long-term unemployed, travellers, stabilised and recovering drug mis-users and exprisoners. The CSP falls within the high-level Departmental goal to encourage and facilitate communities to pursue social and economic progress in their areas. The total expenditure for CSP in 2009 was €45 million, of which approximately €1 million supported the 10 RTP groups involved in the Programme. The aim of the RSS is to provide income support to low-income farmers and fisherpersons and to harness their skills and talents to provide certain services of benefit to rural communities. The RSS falls within the Department high-level goal of rural development, i.e. to promote living and working populations in rural areas by helping to foster sustainable and culturally vibrant communities. (Department of Community, Rural and Gaeltacht Affairs, 2008-2010) In 2008 the financial cost of the RSS was €30 million, of which approximately €550,000 supported rural transport schemes. The Rural Transport Night Scheme (RTNS), which was funded by the Department of Community, Rural and Gaeltacht Affairs, between 2007 and 2009, aimed to address unmet transport needs in rural areas and in particular where there was a perceived need for evening and night-time services not catered for by the RTP. The pilot Scheme was administered under the Department‟s Rural Development Programme, and falls under the high-level Department goal of rural development (D/CR&G, 2009). However, while the RTNS strategic role was differentiated from the RTP by focussing on evening and night transport, consultation with Pobal for this Review suggests that prior to the RTNS some of the individual RTP groups had identified a need for night and evening services and in line with their identified operational priorities in their areas were already providing these services. 29 4.3 Continued relevance of the Programme‟s policy objective Chapter 3, „ Background and overview of the Rural Transport Programme‟, sets out the rationale for the policy underpinning the strategic role of this Programme, i.e. to address the „rural transport problem‟ and the acknowledged market failure of public transport services in rural areas (Steer, Davies, Gleave, 2002 and Fitzpatrick Associates, 2006). The connection between unmet transport need and the underlying problems of social exclusion is made in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) and was supported by other social inclusion and rural and community development policies. The policy decision for a mainstreamed RTP was based on a quantitative assessment of the unmet transport needs and social exclusion in rural areas for target groups and the population at large (Fitzpatrick Associates, 2006), as well as an assessment of the transport model best suited to fulfil those needs. Since then there has been no comparable quantitative analysis carried out on rural populations from which the current extent of the policy problem can be assessed or indeed whether there has been any improvements to the level of unmet transport need in rural areas since 2002 that might be attributed to the Programme. This analysis gap needs to be addressed in order to facilitate the assessment of the continued relevance of the policy objective. However, some available reports and data suggest that unmet transport need and access is a persistent problem for rural dwellers. First, in general living costs for rural dwellers in Ireland is higher than for urban dwellers. A recent study in 2010 by the Vincentian Partnership for Social Justice estimated a cost difference between the two of €70 and €109, with transport and food being the two categories with the largest difference between rural and urban costs. It also found that the deficiency of public transport in rural areas was a factor in the high costs for rural dwellers as they rely more heavily on private cars than their urban counterparts. Based on minimum income levels, i.e. national minimum wage and social welfare rates three household types fell below a minimum essential standard of living. One of those types were female pensioners (Aged 70+) living alone. These types of findings are echoed in a similar study by the Commission for Rural Communities in the UK which found that in rural areas people need to take home 20% more in pay than those in urban areas in order to reach an acceptable living standard. Again transport and fuel costs were found to be amongst the main extra cost burdens (Smith, N., Davis, A and Hirsch, D., 2010). Second, data gathered from a once-off question in the Housing Survey of the Survey on Income and Living Conditions (EU SILC, 2007), Table 4.1 below, support the findings of the 2010 Vincentian Partnership study, indicating that rural dwellers sampled in 2007 had significantly greater difficulty than their urban counterparts in accessing public services, notably public transport. Table 4.1: Percentage of households expressing difficulty accessing basic services Unweighted Sample State Rural Urban Size 5,608 2,181 3,427 Grocery 12 23 6 Banking 22 34 15 Source: Housing Module, EU SILC, CSO, 2007 30 Postal 16 24 11 Public Transport 26 52 11 General Practitioner 19 32 11 This survey question was repeated in 2009 for some of the service categories. In 2009, people in rural areas showed consistently greater difficulty than their urban counterparts in accessing public transport in 2009 (48.7% of rural respondents compared to 8% of urban respondents). The figures for 2009 suggest less difficulty in accessing public transport for rural dwellers over the two-year period between 2007 and 2009. However, it is difficult to assess whether this can be attributed to this Programme, to improvements in other public transport services or indeed as a result of changes in the respondents travel patterns or specific transport needs. In comparison the findings in 2009 for banking (46.3% rural respondents compared to 10.9% urban respondents) and postal services (34.8% rural respondents compared to 7.9% urban respondents) suggested that difficulty accessing these services had increased for rural dwellers over the two-year period. (CSO, SILC 2009 Table 3.13 Percentage of the population reporting other types of deprivation, by year) Third, the level of public transport is not the only factor affecting social exclusion and unmet transport needs for rural dwellers. It remains the case that, in 2006, 11.4% of rural households in the State did not have a car. A further examination of Census 2006 household and car ownership data for all areas of the country outside the cities of Cork, Limerick, Waterford, Galway and Dublin City and County, shows that of the 64,368 single resident households in rural areas with no car in 2006 there were 26,755 households where the single resident is aged 65+ years situated in rural areas (i.e. 13% of the 203,971 people aged 65+ living in aggregate rural areas in the State in 2006). In addition there are a further 3,988 households where all residents are aged 65+ which have no car and who live in these rural areas. While many of these households with older people aged 65 years and more may be in peripheral and isolated rural areas, we do not have data by which to verify if these numbers of households equate to the target group using the RTP services. Fourth, qualitative research concerning transport and older people in rural areas in „Transport for Older People in Rural Areas‟ (Ahern, A. and Hine, J., 2010) carried out through focus groups nationally, suggests that there is an ongoing unmet transport need for this age cohort in rural areas. Key findings of this research suggest that lack of transport is a persistent barrier to older people accessing health services. The Report identifies a lack of coordination of health and transport policy as a key policy problem in this regard. There is no available output data concerning the purpose of trips to support a finding within this Review of a positive impact of the RTP services on journeys for older people to access health services. There are a number of other related findings contained in the Ahern, A. and Hine, J., (2010) research. Many older people in rural areas limit their discretionary travel journeys and rely on family and friends for essential travel journeys only, thereby limiting the opportunity for social connectedness. There are significant impacts from the driving cessation of older people in rural areas due to age or health conditions. This impact is greater for older men who in turn are less likely to use available RTP services. In addition, with the lack of public transport in rural areas, safety when walking is a key issue for this age cohort. 31 Finally, a recent Report of the „Review of Passenger Transport Services in County Louth‟ (Fitzpatrick Associates, 2010) also provides an indication of unmet passenger transport need in that County. The survey findings of the adult population in the County were that people living in rural areas were among those who were least satisfied with their current provision of public transport. Among the Reports key conclusions and recommendations for strategic planning of transport provision in the County is to improve the „collect and connect‟ services particularly in rural areas. RTP transport services in Louth commenced in 2009. 4.4 Continued relevance of the Programme within the wider policy context 4.4.1 Wider economic context This Review acknowledges that the continued relevance of this Programme must be viewed within the context of the on-going current national budgetary pressure for public expenditure cuts to address State budgetary deficit and to finance Ireland‟s loan requirements under the National Recovery Plan (NRP) 2010-2014. The National Recovery Plan aims to reduce GDP to 3% by 2014 as required to meet agreed targets under the European Union Growth and Stability Pact. The Plan also proposes a Governmental Expenditure Assessment (GEA). In the period since 2009 funding for this Programme was maintained at €11 million in 2010 and has been maintained at €10.6 million in 2011. This is contrary to the recommendation of the Report of the Special Group on Public Sector Numbers and Expenditure Programmes which recommended the cessation of funding under this Programme. (Mc Carthy, 2008) The question to cease funding under this Programme is considered further in Chapter 7, „Consideration of policy and organisational options‟, with regard to the available data and information and the findings of this Review of the Programme, including a deficit of information for policy decisionmaking. 4.4.2 Rural and community development policy context The RTP is part of the national strategic response to social exclusion under National Action Plan for Social Inclusion (NAPSI) 2007-2016, along with other programmes with a rural and community development focus that provide funding streams to the RTP, i.e. CSP and RSS. The NAPSI is a cross-cutting strategy that acts as a social inclusion driver for a number of the Programmes. NAPSI states that social exclusion is the result of multiple disadvantage and exists in both urban and rural areas. The Plan considers the Rural Transport Programme as an element in the range of rural community and development programmes in combating social exclusion in rural areas going forward. In addition, many of the RTP groups are embedded in the local organisational and structural arrangements for the administration of local community development under a number of State funding programmes including the CSP, RSS and RTP. The growing complexity of structures under the various community-based programmes in 32 rural areas required a joint Ministerial initiative in 2004 to improve cohesion and focus across various measures and to simplify and improve local delivery of programmes. The number of local structures was reduced from 94 to 55 operational areas, i.e. 38 rural and 17 urban. A range of community development projects (CDPs) have been amalgamated with the programmes of the old Local Development Social Inclusion Programme under the Local Community Development Programme (LCDP). 14 of the RTP groups are Local Development Companies established under this cohesion process. 4.4.3 Public transport policy context The high level objective underpinning public transport provision in Ireland is to expand and improve the capacity, usage, quality, accessibility, safety, sustainability and integration of Ireland‟s public transport system. (Department of Transport Statement of Strategy, 2008-2010). The policy for sustainable transport as embodied in Smarter Travel 2009-2020 flags the future policy priority for public land transport under a sustainable public transport objective. With the establishment of the NTA under the Public Transport Regulation Act 2009, the process of facilitating greater integrated and co-ordinated regulation of all sectors that contribute to public land transport provision has commenced, in particular the regulatory and legislative framework for development of national public transport. However, the requirements under the National Recovery Plan 2010 to 2014 to reduce the budgetary deficit, of which public expenditure is an important element, is likely to have an impact on the previously conceived vision for public transport policy development. Already this can be seen by reduction in the levels of subvention for the provision of public transport services under PSC. The short-fall in the delivery of projects under Smarter Travel in 2010 could also in part be attributed to the limited and declining availability of capacity among the agencies and bodies charged with implementing these projects. There could potentially be an impact on the envisaged development of the NTA in terms of building capacity to meet the needs for further development of the public transport regulation framework. Funding requirements of the Local Authorities and the potential for reductions in availability of capital expenditure could also have negative implications for the maintenance and delivery of public transport infrastructure. There is a high-level policy question to be addressed with regard to the situation of the social inclusion objective of this Programme within the context of the high-level objectives for public transport, and with regard to the cross-cutting nature of the social inclusion policy involving many other non-transport policy measures monitored by the Cabinet Sub-Committee on Social Inclusion. This Programme may have relevance with regard to for sustainable public transport as set out in Smarter Travel (2009). This is considered later in Chapter 7, „Consideration of policy and organisational options‟. There are related „street-level‟ questions to be addressed concerning the model of transport services under the RTP and where it fits within the public transport regulatory regime. From its inception the social inclusion focus of this Programme 33 favoured the community-based, flexible, demand responsive model of public transport delivery in rural areas over conventional public transport provision. Also this Programme‟s public transport dimension differentiates it from transport provided by other not-for-profit, charitable and State funded transport that has a defined client base and do not provide transport to the general travelling public. While greater regulation and co-ordination of all the available transport providers including the RTP could contribute to the achievement of the high-level public transport objectives for an integrated, regulated and sustainable public transport, there are a number of opportunities and obstacles to be considered, as discussed in Chapter 7, „Consideration of policy and organisational options‟. 4.4.4 Integrated State funded transport provision Budgetary pressure within the context of the wider economic environment and the wider aims of the National Recovery Plan 2010-2014 re-focuses attention on the potential for greater efficiencies to be achieved in terms of integrating a number of State funded transport services and assets including the School Transport Scheme, the HSE transport services, the RTP and State funded public transport services. Within this context the key Departments of Transport, Tourism and Sport, of Education and Skills and of Health are engaged in working together with a view to identifying the optimum organisation and procurement of State funded transport services. The outturn for the School Transport Scheme in 2009 was in the region of €178 million (€186 million in 2010). In that year in the region of 135,000 children (including approximately 8,000 children with special needs) were transported to school. The level of revenue raised from charges paid by families for the services represents a very small element of the overall cost of the Scheme. Bus Éireann operate the services on behalf of the Department of Education and Skills. The HSE budget 2010 for patient transport amounted to €50.2 million of which €23 million was for emergency ambulance services, with the balance for taxi and own operated or hired-in client transport. The amount of subvention paid to Bus Éireann under public service contract with the NTA for the provision of public transport bus services in PSO routes in 2009 was €49 million and in 2010 was €45 million. A discussion concerning the continued relevance for the RTP within the context of greater integration of transport services is developed in Chapter 7, „Consideration of policy and organisational options. 4.5 Conclusion The examination in this Chapter suggests that the Programme objectives are aligned to a high-level objective of social inclusion. The objectives of related Programmes with funding streams to the RTP are also aligned to this social inclusion objective. 34 However, there may be a need to make clearer the alignment between the crosscutting high-level objective of social inclusion of this Programme with the Department of Transport high-level strategy. A clearer connection also needs to be made between high-level policy objectives of social inclusion and the strategic policy objectives for Programme implementation within relevant policy documents by Pobal and in the MoU between the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport and Pobal. This will allow for evaluation of the Programme at a policy level and in terms of frontline delivery. This will require re-articulation of the hierarchy of objectives in the MoU level and in any policy/strategy documentation produced by Pobal. This rearticulation should recognise the high-level social inclusion objective, as well as, the intermediate expected Programme outcomes to address the unmet transport needs of rural dwellers nationally in the identified target groups. A definitive conclusion with regard to the continued relevance of the policy objective under-pinning the Programme is not possible due to a lack of quantitative data concerning the current extent and levels of social exclusion as a result of unmet transport needs in rural areas. However, available evidence supports a conclusion that unmet transport needs and lack of access are a persistent problem in rural areas. Available survey data and reports suggest that difficulty in accessing public transport, or the lack of public transport, and the high cost associated with private transport negatively affect rural dwellers more than their urban counterparts. Older people, particularly women, in rural areas have been identified as an at-risk group in this regard. The market failure concerning public transport provision in rural areas has also been acknowledged in both the Report on the Regulation of Bus Services Outside the Greater Dublin Area (Steer, Davies, Gleave, 2002) and the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006). The available data indicating the need for public transport in rural areas generally and the high-risk in terms of social isolation through a lack of public or private transport associated with certain target groups, specifically the 65+ age cohort, as well as, the acknowledged market failure associated with public transport provision in rural areas, support the case for public policy intervention under a social inclusion objective. On the other hand there is an overall trend of increase in car ownership since 2002 in rural areas. There may also be unintended consequences arising as a result of this Programme, such as, deadweight loss or displacement of other transport services. A further discussion concerning the continued relevance of the Programme among a range of alternative policy options is contained in Chapter 7, „Consideration of policy and organisational options‟. The following Review Chapters 5 and 6, respectively, will contain an examination of the cost and efficiency of the Programme and an assessment of Programme effectiveness in achieving its objective. 35 CHAPTER 5 COST AND EFFICIENCY OF THE PROGRAMME 5.1 Introduction This chapter sets out to identify the level and trend of the costs associated with the Rural Transport Programme and consequently to analyse and comment on the efficiency with which the Programme has achieved its objectives. Initially an overall review of the funding provided to the scheme will be set out. The Chapter also assess the level and trend of outputs by analysing the passenger journey numbers that have availed of the service since 2004, separated into an analysis of total passenger journey numbers, fare paying passenger journeys and passengers travelling for free under the scheme. Finally an examination and breakdown of the RTP groups expenditure will be presented. 5.2 Costs to the Exchequer of the Rural Transport Programme since 2004 As set out in chapter 2 – „The policy context for the Programme‟, the Rural Transport Programme benefits in terms of Exchequer funding through four funding streams. These funding streams correspond to four Programmes/initiatives, which were set up at different stages through the last decade. Table 5.1 below shows the funding streams to the RTP from each of these initiatives since 2004. Table 5.1 Breakdown of funding for RTP Year 2004 €‟000 RTP Receipts 3,000 from Department of Transport FTP receipts 500 from DSP CSP receipts N/A from DCRGA Evening Rural N/A Transport Receipts from DCRGA Total 3,500 2005 €‟000 4,500 2006 €‟000 5,100 2007 €‟000 8,976 2008 €‟000 9,800 2009 €‟000 10,970 Total €‟000 42,346 750 850 1,500 1,500 1,500 6,600 N/A 825 1,087 1,040 1,045 3,997 N/A N/A 250 415 293 958 5,250 6,775 11,813 12,755 13,808 53,901 Source: Pobal It is acknowledged that the level of non-Exchequer Programme income or the level of fare income funded through other State contracts for school transport or HSE clients is not known, as set out in Section 5.3 below. It is clear, however, from the above table that the Department of Transport has contributed the largest proportion of the 36 cost of the RTP in terms of Exchequer funding since its inception. Funding has increased exponentially from €3m in 2004 to €11m in 2009, an increase of 266%. This increase in expenditure is in line with the undertakings given in the NDP, which stated, “over the period of the Plan, the RTI will be mainstreamed and ultimately expanded to areas where there remains unmet transport needs. Its funding will be doubled in 2007 and then steadily increased over the period of the Plan”. Between 2006 and 2007, expenditure on the RTP increased by 74% and has increased steadily since. Department of Transport Funding increased by 76% between 2006 and 2007 and also increased steadily in the intervening two years (up 22%). Table 5.2 Proportion of the overall spend on RTP that was contributed by Department of Transport Year 2004 €‟000 3,500 Total Spend DoT Spend 3,000 DoT Spend 86% as a % of total 2005 €‟000 5,250 2006 €‟000 6,775 2007 €‟000 11,813 2008 €‟000 12,755 2009 €‟000 13,808 Total €‟000 53,901 4,500 86% 5,100 75% 8,976 76% 9,800 77% 10,970 79% 42,346 78% Source: Department of Transport & Pobal There has been some fluctuation in the proportion of the total provided by Department of Transport since 2004, particularly in 2006 and 2007 when the CSP and the evening initiatives came on stream. However the proportion provided by Department of Transport rose to pre 2006 levels again in 2009. 5.2.1 Analysis of Department of Transport funding The main thrust of this Review is to look at the funding provided to the scheme by the Department of Transport. On that basis the next step is to look at this funding and analyse how it is used. This is best done by analysing what Pobal receive from the Department of Transport in respect of the RTP and then examining how Pobal use this funding. Receipts and expenditure do not necessarily balance at the end of each year. Therefore, there is a rolling year-end balance, which is carried forward to the following year. This enables Programme funding continuity while the out-turn figures for the year in question are being finalised and the first claim for the following year is being processed. 37 Table 5.3 Analysis of Department of Transport funding Year Pobal receipts from DoT in respect of RTP Total RTP Group receipts from DoT funding (Received from Pobal) 2004 €3.0m €2.9m €0.1m €0.3m €3.3m 2005 €4.5m €4.2m €0.1m €0.2m €4.5m 2006 €5.1m €4.6m €0.04m €0.3m €5.0m 2007 €8.8m €7.8m €0.2m €0.8m €8.8m 2008 €10.0m €8.4m €0.1m €1.2m €9.7m 2009 €11.0m €9.7m €0.3m €1.1m €11.1m €42.6m €37.6m €0.84m €3.9m €42.4m Total Technical Expenditure* Admin Fee Charged by Pobal Total Expenditure *Technical expenditure includes training & support, health & safety management, legal/technical costs etc Source: Department of Transport & Pobal Coincidentally total receipts and expenditure relating to Department of transport funding have balanced out over the 6 years of the Programme detailed above. There is however a cumulative closing balance of €378k, which is held by Pobal. Of the €11m of funding provided by the Department of Transport for the RTP in 2009, Pobal (the Programme administrators) gave €9.7m (88%) of this to the RTP groups, while the remainder was used to cover administration and technical costs of Pobal. The total of funding required to fund administration and technical expenses has increased significantly since 2005; both in pure monetary terms as well as a percentage of total spend (2005:6.7%, 2009:12.7%). Therefore as the Programme became mainstreamed, costs to administer it grew disproportionally to total spend. 5.3 Total RTP group (gross) receipts 2007-2009 RTP group (gross) receipts are made up of a combination of subvention from the Exchequer, any funds that may be generated from fare income, which includes income under contracts, for example for provision of services catering for HSE clients, plus any funding received from other sources such as the National Lottery. Sufficient detail concerning the breakdown of fare income and from other sources is not supplied to Pobal by the RTP groups under the current financial accounting and reporting arrangements. In particular it is not possible, based on the available accounting data, to make an assessment concerning the level of HSE contract income by RTP group or financial information by which to make assessments concerning the level, if any, of cross-subsidisation of services by the different income streams, funding or otherwise. 38 Table 5.4 Total RTP group (gross) receipts Year 2007 2008 2009 Exchequer Subvention €11.8m €12.8m €13.8m Fare Other Total €819k €1.1m €1.1m €31k €269k €213k €12.7m €14.2m €15.1m Source: Pobal Exchequer subvention makes up the vast majority of any receipts by the RTP groups. This subvention is used to cover the costs of the Programme. Other revenue generated by the RTP groups can be held in a reserve fund if not used in that year. These funds can be used for a variety of reasons, notably for asset replacement. The reason for the retention of funds must be stated by the RTP groups when making their budget applications for the coming year. 5.4 RTP groups surplus/ (deficit) Table 5.5 below gives an analysis of the surplus / (deficit) made by the RTP groups with respect to Exchequer subvention over the last three years Table 5.5- Surplus/(deficit) of RTP groups 2007-2009 Year 2007 2008 2009 Exchequer Subvention €11.8m €12.8m €13.8m Expenditure Surplus/ (Deficit) €9.3m €11.6m €13.2m €2.5m €1.2m €0.6m Source: Pobal Any surplus made by the RTP groups is not treated as such; rather it is treated as a rolling balance. Therefore if a RTP group has a year-end balance, this balance is taken into account and netted off when giving out the following year‟s Exchequer funding. Therefore no RTP group is able to build up reserves from exchequer funded reserves. Since 2009 a reserves policy has been implemented, which allows the RTP groups to retain any surpluses from income, which they have generated outside of exchequer funding. These surpluses are kept as reserves and can be used for contingency funds, asset replacement funds etc. The RTP groups must provide a rationale for why they are keeping reserves and this rationale must be approved by Pobal before the surplus can be retained. Further analysis of surpluses/ (deficits) made by the RTP groups is done below. This section looks at surpluses/ (deficits) made purely on Department of Transport funding. The following Table 5.6 gives an overview of the overall expenditure by the RTP groups from Department of Transport funding as against this funding amount 39 Table 5.6- Department of Transport funding to RTP groups – receipts vs. expenditure Year Funding received Expenditure Surplus/ (Deficit)* 2004 €2.9m €3.4m (€0.5m) 2005 €4.2m €3.9m €0.3m 2006 €4.6m €4.8m (€0.2m) 2007 €7.8m €7.1m €0.7m 2008 €8.4m €8.2m €0.2m 2009 €9.7m €9.7m €0 Total €37.6m €37.1m €0.5m *This figure does not take account of other funding that the RTP groups might receive e.g. from fare paying passenger journeys/ other exchequer funding. Source: Pobal As can be seen in most years, there has only been a small surplus/ deficit based on this funding received and in 2009 the figures show a break-even result. The only exception was 2007 when the Programme was mainstreamed and the RTP groups were unable to take up their full allocation of funding. 5.5 Passenger journey numbers The following Table 5.7 shows the trends in RTP services and passenger journey numbers over the past six years. Table 5.7 Services and passenger journey numbers on the RTP 2004-2009 Year RTP Services RTP Passenger Journeys Av. Passenger Journeys per Service 2004 64,954 514,137 7.9 2005 74,914 651,391 8.7 2006 93,419 791,264 8.5 2007 120,753 998,350 8.3 2008 146,771 1,200,194 8.2 2009 157,106 1,289,025 8.2 Source: Pobal The trend has been for an increase in services and passenger journeys over this time, with the total number of services increasing by 142% and passenger journey numbers increasing by 151%. As can be seen from the above table, there is a distinct correlation between the number of services on offer and the number of passengers availing of the services as the average passenger journey numbers per service has remained relatively stable during this time. This would indicate that passenger journey 40 numbers are a function of the number of services provided by the RTP groups. However without knowing capacity levels and service schedules, it is difficult to draw further conclusions from this. The types of passenger journeys on the services provided by the Programme can be divided into three groups, 1. Fare Paying Passenger journeys 2. Passenger journeys with Free Travel Passes (FTPs) 3. Other Free (The category mainly comprises clubs/groups etc who are provided with transport but are not in a position to pay for it) The below Table 5.8 gives a breakdown of the overall passenger journey numbers into these three groupings Table 5.8- Breakdown of RTP passenger journeys by payment type Year Total Number of Fare Paying Passenger Journeys Free Travel Passes Other Free 2004 514,137 189,690 (37%) 313,668 (61%) 10,759 (2%) 2005 651,391 222,656 (35%) 407,383 (62%) 21,352 (3%) 2006 791,264 249,964 (32%) 499,895 (63%) 41,405 (5%) 2007 998,350 304,186 (31%) 631,844 (63%) 62,320 (6%) 2008 1,200,194 366,950 (31%) 772,444 (64%) 60,800 (5%) 2009 1,289,025 380,679 (30%) 832,231 (65%) 76,115 (5%) Source: Pobal Passenger journeys with free travel passes make up the biggest percentage of overall passenger journeys and the number of these passenger journeys on RTP services has steadily increased since 2004. The Free Travel scheme is administered by the Department of Social Protection. It is available to a wide range of customers including all persons aged 66 and over. The Department of Transport provides annual funding to the RTP in addition to that provided by the Department of Social Protection. The level of funding by DSP has been €1.5m since 2007. The number of fare paying passenger journeys has clearly declined proportionally. On the other hand „other free‟ passenger journeys have increased 3% in proportional terms (600% in real terms during the six year period since 2004. This category of passenger journey needs to be looked at by the RTP groups and Pobal in further detail to assess whether they actually do fall under the criteria of passengers to whom the Programme is targeted or who should be given free travel. That this category of passenger journey is now approaching 100,000 shows that they are no longer just the exception and the efficiency of transporting such club/groups for free must be questioned. 41 Table 5.9- Income per passenger journey Year Total Number of Passenger Journeys Income (Fares) Received Income Journey 2004 514,137 €389,579 €0.76 2005 651,391 €487,210 €0.75 2006 791,264 €649,375 €0.82 2007 998,350 €792,647 €0.79 2008 1,200,194 €923,229 €0.77 2009 1,289,025 €923,154 €0.72 Per Passenger Source: Pobal Overall income per passenger journey has decreased by 5% over the six-year time frame, this rises to 12% when comparing from 2006 to 2009. A comparison with income per passenger journey on Bus Éireann routes shows the following Figure 5.1 Income per passenger journey RTP vs. BE €4.00 €3.50 €3.00 €2.50 €2.00 €1.50 €1.00 €0.50 €0.00 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Income per Passenger Journey RTP Income Per Passenger Journey BE Source: Pobal and BE Annual Accounts 2005-2009 Each passenger journey on BE services generates between four and five times that which is generated by passenger journeys on RTP services. While that is to be expected as BE is a commercial transport provider, the fact that income per passenger 42 journey is falling is a greater area of discussion. This fall in income per passenger journey can partially be linked to the increase in „Other Free‟ passenger journeys, as discussed above. Further analysis on the income generated by RTP services show that the average income per fare paying passenger journey is as follows, Table 5.10- Income per fare paying passenger journey Year Fare Paying Passenger journey Income Received Income Per Fare Paying Passenger journey 2004 189,690 €389,579 €2.05 2005 222,656 €487,210 €2.19 2006 249,964 €649,375 €2.60 2007 304,186 €792,647 €2.61 2008 366,950 €923,229 €2.52 2009 380,679 €923,154 €2.43 Source: Pobal The figures per fare paying passenger journey for the RTP are more in line with BE figures and indicates that for fare paying passenger journeys, average fares are not excessively low or high. The table does show that the average income per fare paying passenger journey has declined since 2007. The elasticity of demand on passenger journey numbers on the RTP is something that has not been explored and as such it is difficult to be definitive on the appropriate fare levels for the service, especially as the RTP groups are serving many disparate and different areas and routes. However, an analysis of fares charged by individual RTP groups, using data gathered in a once-off exercise in 2007, shows a wide disparity in the fares charged, ranging from €2 to €5 for a single journey. The 2007 data also shows a wide variety of fare structures being applied to the services across the RTP groups, indicative of the fact that no fare policy exists for the RTP groups. Standardisation of fares is not ameliorated by the absence of ticketing facilities on RTP services. Hail „n ride is a very small proportion of the RTP passenger journeys, 13% in 2008 (Pobal) and on the majority of services the driver has a list of pre-booked passenger, many of whom pay the driver on the service. There is no other on-board control for fare collection or indeed for data collection purposes. Community car, which has limited use in very specialist circumstances, is funded on the basis of public service mileage rates. There is currently no fares policy for the RTP groups to adhere to and there is a need to have greater standardisation of fares so as to facilitate more transparent reporting of fare income and monitoring against service and per passenger costs. Pobal should review the options for standardisation of fares across the RTP groups, including consideration of a fare range per journey, i.e. €5-7 within each service mode or a rate based fare structure on the basis of stages, mileage or time. Consideration might also 43 be given to the structure of fares for fixed scheduled services following the similar principles to the State bus companies. This review of the options for standardisation of fare structures should be carried out in consultation with the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport in the context of the annual MOU, as a first phase towards an analysis of the options for increasing fares, with due regard to the full economic cost of the services and in line with increases in other costs in the economy, such as, public transport or Consumer Price Index (CPI). In this regard any regulatory implications of increasing fares needs to be addressed with due regard to the previous regulatory provisions for commercial passenger bus route licencing under the Road Transport Act 1932 being replaced by the Public Transport Regulation Act 2009. A greater emphasis on the promotion of existing RTP services, particularly to target groups other than the age 65+ cohort, could have potential to positively impact on fare income. 5.6 Ratio of passenger journey numbers vs. Department of Transport funding of RTP It has been seen over the previous sections that while passenger journey numbers using the RTP services have risen, Department of Transport spending has also increased over the same period of time. This section looks at the rate of increase of this spend versus the rate in increase in passenger journey numbers and assesses whether these increases are in tandem with each other. Figure 5.2 Ratio of passenger journey numbers vs. Department of Transport funding of RTP 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 Source: 50Pobal 0 2004 2005 DoT Expenditure 2006 44 2007 2008 Passenger Journey Numbers 2009 Using 2004 as the baseline year, it can be seen that passenger journey numbers have increased by 2.5 times over the past six years. However over the same period of time Department of Transport funding has increased by 3.7 times. Therefore the increase in investment in the Programme over the last six years has not seen an equivalent increase in passenger journey numbers. A review of the number of services on the Programme shows that these rise in close correlation to the number of passenger journeys. Therefore Department of Transport funding is also not showing a similar return on the increase in services being provided. The following table will show the distinction even more clearly Table 5.11 Average cost to Department of Transport per service and per passenger journey Year Av Cost Per Service Av Cost per Passenger Journey 2004 €46.18 €5.83 2005 €60.07 €6.91 2006 €54.59 €6.45 2007 €74.53 €9.01 2008 €68.13 €8.33 2009 €70.02 €8.53 Source: Pobal As can be seen from the above table, both the average cost per passenger journey and the average cost per service to the Department of Transport have increased significantly over the last six years, thus showing that despite the significant increases in funding for the Programme, the level of services being provided and passenger journeys being carried have not increased to the same extent. These findings do raise questions as to why this is the case. It is clear that whatever the reason, the Programme has been operating less efficiently in recent years than previously. It is worth pointing out that the most significant jump in average costs occurred in 2007, as the Programme was being mainstreamed. After that rise in 2007, average costs reduced in 2008 before rising again in 2009. There does not appear to be a pattern to this fluctuation in average costs, it is a function of passenger journey numbers versus funding received. 5.7 Funding per passenger journey on RTP vs. Bus Éireann and Regional Airports In light of the previous analysis, it is relevant to analyse the value for money of funding for the RTP versus that received from the subvention paid to Bus Éireann and the Regional Airports. This will show the value for money, which is being received in terms of passenger journey numbers by the RTP against a commercial transport 45 operator in Bus Éireann and against a completely different type of transport provider in the Regional Airports. Both of these providers also rely significantly on Exchequer support to transport passengers. BE do have a significant number of commercial routes which would not be in receipt of Exchequer funding but which are still included as part of the below analysis. In light of this it must be remembered that the reason for the existence of the RTP is that it serves rural areas where there is market failure with regard to public transport provision on a commercial basis. As there is no available data on deadweight it is not possible to assess market failure on specific routes. It would be expected, however, that the cost for providing transport services would be higher on routes with market failure than for routes served by transport providers on a commercial basis in other areas. Table 5.12-Subvention per passenger journey on RTP, Bus Éireann and Regional Airports Year RTP: Passenger journey No‟s DoT Subvention per Passenger journey Bus Éireann: Passenger journey No‟s Subvention Subvention per Passenger journey Regional Airports: Total Passenger journey Numbers PSO+Subvention Subvention per passenger journey 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 651,391 791,264 998,350 1.2m 1.3m €4.5m €6.91 €5.1m €6.45 €9.0m €9.01 €10.0m €8.33 €11.0m €8.53 49m 49.7m 50.2m 48.2m 45.3m €25m €0.51 €26m €0.52 €36.6m €0.74 €41.8m €0.88 €44.9m €0.99 1.5m 1.8m 1.9m 2m 1.7m €21.3m €14.20 €17.1m €9.50 €17.7m €9.32 €18.0m €9.00 €18.1m €10.64 Source: Department of Transport & Pobal As can be seen from the above table, the funding per passenger journey on the RTP is significantly higher than that on Bus Éireann; though it is lower than the subvention per passenger journey on Regional Airports. However it should be pointed out that in 2005, the subvention for Rural Transport was less than 50% that of the Regional Airports whereas in 2009 it amounted to 80% of the per passenger journey subvention for the Regional Airports. As a direct comparison this would indicate that the value for money on the RTP is decreasing. This corresponds to what has been deduced from the data in Table 5.11 It would be expected that the subvention per passenger journey would be higher on the RTP than on Bus Éireann due to the commercial aspect of BE as discussed above and also as the one of the objectives of the RTP is that it is designed to serve people 46 living in rural and remote parts of the country that are not adequately, or not, served by other forms of Public Transport. As such it follows that such an analysis would broadly provide the above outcome although it is difficult to determine an acceptable range of values for subvention per passenger journey in terms of the extent of the market failure. Table 5.12 above illustrates the different circumstances under which the RTP and Bus Éireann operate and it provides an insight into the nature of the service provided by the RTP and the cost thereof. 5.8 Cost passenger journey carried on Free Travel Passes to Department of Transport vs. to Department of Social Protection Table 5.13- Cost per FTP passenger journey - Department of Transport vs. Department of Social Protection Year Cost to DoT Cost to DSP 2004 €5.83 €1.59 2005 €6.91 €1.84 2006 €6.45 €1.70 2007 €9.01 €2.37 2008 €8.33 €1.94 2009 €8.53 €1.80 Source: Pobal It is clear from the above table that the cost to the Department of Social Protection of providing Free Travel Passes for the RTP in 2009 is far below the cost to Department of Transport of supporting the overall Programme. This is despite the fact that the Free Travel Pass scheme essentially falls under the remit of the Department of Social Protection. Further analysis shows that Department of Social Protection provided €58.2m to BE and €6.2m to private operators in 2009 for the Free Travel Pass scheme as well. There are however no figures available to detail the number of passengers who travel using Free Travel Passes on either BE or on privately operated buses. Thus comparison of these figures cannot be done. As set out in Chapter 2, „The Policy Context of the Programme‟, the Free Travel scheme as envisaged was to incentivise older people to travel at off-peak times on public transport services to achieve greater and more efficient use of capacity. This is not a concern with RTP services which have older people as a core passenger target group. While it appears that the Department of Transport is increasingly subsidising FTP passenger journeys more than Department of Social Protection, any increase in the current levels of funding from the Department of Social Protection in this regard would be neutral in terms of Exchequer savings and would require differential treatment for the RTP over other public transport operators in receipt of the Department of Social Protection Free Travel Pass Scheme funding. 47 5.9 Costs of the Programme 5.9.1- Breakdown of RTP group costs This section looks at the breakdown of RTP group Costs between administration, operational and capital spend. The first part of the section looks at the breakdown from a Gross Cost perspective, while the second part looks at spend from Department of Transport funding only. Table 5.14 Breakdown of RTP group costs Year 2007 2008 2009 Total Cost €9.3m €11.6m €13.2m Admin €2.4m (26%) €2.6m (22%) €2.9m (22%) Operational €6.9m (74%) €9m (78%) €10.3m (78%) Capital 0 0 €85k Source: Pobal The above table shows that operational expenditure amounts to approximately threequarters of total RTP group (gross) costs. Table 5.15 below goes into further detail on RTP group expenditure from Department of Transport funding and shows how this expenditure is broken down between operational, administration and capital spend. Table 5.15 Breakdown of RTP group costs from Department of Transport funding Year Total Cost Administration Operational Capital 2004 €3.4m €1.3m (40%) €2m (60%) €11k 2005 €3.9m €1.4m (37%) €2.5m (63%) €18k 2006 €4.8m €1.6m (33%) €3.2m (67%) €48k 2007 €7.1m €2.4m (34%) €4.7m (66%) €11k 2008 €8.2m €2.3m (28%) €5.9m (72%) 0 2009 €9.7m €2.2m (22%) €7.5m 78%) 0 Source: Pobal The trend over the six years has been towards a larger proportion of spend on the operational side of the budget. In 2004, operational expenditure amounted to 60% out of a €3.4m budget; while in 2009 it amounted to 78% of a €9.7m spend. Overall there has been a 272% increase in operational expenditure since 2004. Some increase would be expected due to the increase in the number of services and passenger journeys over this time; however the jump in operational expenditure has outweighed these increases. 48 In terms of administration expenditure; there was a large increase between 2006 and 2007 when administration expenditure rose by 51%. This was part of an overall spending increase as the Programme became mainstreamed. However since 2007 there has been a downward trend in administrative spend in both overall terms and percentage wise. Despite this, the fact remains that administration costs are extremely high. The allocation of RTP group costs between operational and administration is an issue of concern that needs to be addressed and Pobal have requested the RTP groups to reduce the administration element of their spend. In percentage terms this has been done, though not to the extent required and there are concerns over a lack transparency of reporting on the apportionment of these costs by the RTP groups. Comparisons drawn with the breakdown in spend on the Transport Night Scheme is relevant. This Scheme, also administered by Pobal, was run under the aegis of the Department of Community, Rural and Gaeltacht Affairs. A review of the pilot scheme was undertaken in 2009 and showed that for the nine month period January 2008 to September 2008, operational expenditure amounted to 93% of the total spend while administrative spend only came to 7%. This is a significant difference in terms of the proportionality of the spend and it indicates that the level of administrative spend on the main RTP may be too high. However, it should be noted that many of the administration structures that were necessary for the Night Scheme were already in place for the main scheme by the time the Night Scheme was set up and that in fact many of the administration costs of the Night Scheme were already borne by the main scheme. Notwithstanding this, there is still a case for a reduction in the level of administration costs of the Programme and the allocation of costs between administration and operational expenditure. While the proportion of administration costs has decreased from 40% (2004) to 22% (2009), this still remains far too high. To reduce the proportion of administration costs by 10% from 22% to 12% of total costs would see a saving equivalent to €1.2m based on 2009 figures. This would amount to a reduction of 55% in total RTP group administration costs from €2.2m to €1m. It is proposed that this reduction be carried out in two stages. The first to be done in 2011 would see an initial proportional reduction in administration expenditure of 5%, which would lead to savings of approximately €700k (again based on 2009 figures). Another 5% proportional reduction in 2012 would yield a further €500k of savings bringing the proportion of administration expenditure down to the targeted figure of 12%. A further analysis of the individual RTP group proportion of administration costs as a percentage of the their total RTP group costs in 2009 showed that 24 RTP groups had a percentage administration cost above the 22% for total RTP group administration costs in 2009 as identified above. In 2009, 24 of the RTP groups had administration costs over the 22% RTP group average as a proportion of their total RTP group costs and in the case of three RTP groups the proportion administration costs were over 40%, with one RTP Group having administration costs of 74%. With regard to this latter RTP group and one other among the RTP groups with exceptionally high administration costs, it should be noted that they had only commenced services in 2009 and it would be expected that as operation costs rise in subsequent years that the 49 percentage administration cost decreases. Alongside the need for an overall reduction in the proportion of total RTP group administration costs to 12% of total RTP group costs, this proportional split should also be consistently applied across the individual RTP groups. Capital spend has been very inconsequential as a percentage of the overall total RTP group expenditure from Department of Transport funding since 2004 and as can be seen here there has been no capital spend under this funding in the past two years. This is because it has been made clear that as Exchequer funding comes from Departmental budgets they cannot use it on capital expenditure. If the RTP groups do need to spend on capital items, they must fund this expenditure themselves or through another source of funding such as National Lottery funding. However, there is a caveat to this as according to Pobal, the capital cost figures above are only the capital costs, which the RTP groups have disclosed to them. If RTP groups have received funding from another source for Capital expenditure it might not be reflected above. 5.9.2 Breakdown of the administration costs from RTP group (gross) costs Wages & salaries were the largest component of administration costs of th RTP group (gross) costs amounting to almost €2m (68% of total administration costs) in 2009. See Appendix M for a detailed breakdown of administration costs. This figure increased from €1.3m in 2007 a greater than 50% increase. The following graph plots the increase of wages (as a percentage) over the three-year period 2007 to 2009 against the increase in total administration expenditure and the increase in funding for the RTP groups from Department of Transport alone in the first instance and in total funding in the second instance. 50 Figure 5.3 Increases in RTP group wages & salaries (gross) costs 2007-2009 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2007 2008 2009 Increase in RTP Group Wages & Salaries Costs (Gross) Increase in RTP Group Admistration Costs (Gross) Increase in DoT Programme Funding Increase in Total Exchequer Programme Funding Source: Pobal With 2007 as the baseline year, it is clear from the above chart that proportionally wages and salaries of the RTP groups have increased far above the increase in total RTP Group administration in terms of gross costs as well as far beyond any increase in Exchequer investment in the Programme from Department of Transport or from other Departments. This increase in wages and salaries indicates that certain inefficiencies do exist in the running of the Programme, particularly from a resource point of view. Staff numbers in the administration area over the three year period 2007-2009 grew from 47.5 FTE‟s to 59.01 FTE‟s, a 24% increase. This is significantly smaller than the increase in the total wages and salaries being paid and indicates that over the 3 years, increasing salaries were also a reason for the increase in the wages bill. This increase took place between 2007 and 2008 as there was a slight decrease in staffing numbers from 61.15 to 59.01 in 2009. In comparison, over the same period 2007-2009 Bus Éireann staff numbers including part-time drivers under the school transport scheme increased by 1.3%, with an equivalent increase in wages and salaries over the period. However, full-time staff numbers decreased over the period 2007-2009 by 1.6%. Over the same period there has been a reduction in other RTP group administration (gross) costs, particularly in areas such as Staff Training (-93%) and Travel and Subsistence (-44%). However, the increase in wages and salaries has exceeded these 51 reductions resulting in an overall increase in RTP groups administration (gross) costs. Wages and salaries made up over 61% of total RTP group administration (gross) costs in the latter 3 years. In addition, under the current organizational arrangements Pobal has little control over the level of wages and salaries of posts in the RTP groups. There is no standardization of wages and salaries for similar posts across the RTP groups which allows for salary levels or wage increases for similar posts to vary across the RTP groups. The high administration costs of the Programme have been a persistent concern over its lifetime. The Fitzpatrick Associates (2006) review of the RTI commented on the high administration cost of the RTP groups in particular as a result of set-up costs by the RTP groups in 2002/2003 and that improvements could be made in this area. The Review of the RTNS also commented on the high percentage of administration costs of the Programme overall. In addition, Pobal‟s role in supporting individual RTP groups has continued to date rather than moving to intervention on a Programme basis. This is in part due to the relative underdevelopment of RTP group capacity which continues to place a burden on the available Pobal staff in terms of providing individual RTP group support. Finally, it is clear from previous indications of high costs and from the analysis carried out as part of this Review that there is a significant administration burden to running 36 RTP groups and this burden is increasing year-on-year. In order to achieve cost efficiencies and economies of scale, and a reduction in administration costs, an organisational restructuring involving a reduction in the number of RTP groups would be required. 5.9.3 Breakdown of RTP group operational (gross) costs RTP group (gross) costs have increased even more substantially in the operational budget of the RTP groups, increasing by 49% between 2007 and 2009. See Appendix L for a detailed breakdown of RTP group operational (gross) costs. Operational wages and salaries (drivers and dispatchers etc) have more than doubled in this time frame. However in overall terms, the most substantial rise in costs has been in subcontracting costs which have increased from €4.9m to €6.8m (39%). Over the threeyear period in question, sub-contracting costs amounted to 69% of total RTP group operational (gross) costs. There is little scope for cost efficiency savings through joint procurement within the current RTP group structures, whereby each RTP group engages in its own services contracts. The increase in both these costs while significant, is however somewhat representative of the increase in the number of services being provided under the Programme, which is up 30% over the same time frame. However, it is not the only explanation for the increase in costs, as costs have risen 39% as opposed to the 30% increase in services. You would also expect to see some economies of scale as service provision increased. It does therefore appear that as with administrative expenditure, there is scope for efficiencies to be gained in this area. For example, discussions with Pobal concerning procurement practices by the RTP groups suggest that the practice of planning of services based on historical actual cost data and estimated costs could 52 be strengthened so that contract price ranges are not dictated by the available tender proposals. Further analysis of RTP Group operational costs with regard to wages and salaries shows that the total figure more than doubled between 2007 and 2009, while over the same time-span actual staff numbers on the operational side only increased by 6% from 62.45 to 65.94. As with the administration side of things, it appears that increases in existing wages and salaries rather than the increase in staff numbers have contributed to the increase in the wages and salaries bill. As a comparative, the table below looks at the % increase in operational costs year on year between the RTP groups and Bus Éireann from 2007 to 2009. Table 5.16 Increase in operational costs, RTP groups vs. BE Year 2007 2008 2009 RTP groups 46% 31% 14% Bus Éireann 10% 8% 2% Source Pobal & BE Annual Accounts 2007-2009 Over each of the three years, the percentage increase in operational expenditure by the RTP groups has far outweighed the increase in operational expenditure in Bus Éireann. This is a clear sign that the cost increases of the RTP groups have been too high recently. For a Programme with a small budget, cost increases such as the above should not be occurring. The above information indicates that in line with the trends in administration expenditure, the Programme is not operating as efficiently as it could. Sub-Contractor costs especially have caused a substantial increase in total costs. Increases in driver and dispatch costs have also been a reason for the increase. As indicated in the RTP group administrative (gross) cost section, a review of the current organisational structures is perhaps the most appropriate way to begin such a review of costs. A reduction through rationalisation/merger of RTP groups or otherwise should produce economies of scale, particularly in sub-contracting costs that would allow the Programme to operate far more efficiently than at present. 5.9.4 Administration costs of the Programme This section sets out the administration costs of the Programme, taking into account the administration costs sustained by the RTP groups as well as the administration costs of Pobal in looking after the Programme. 53 Table 5.17- Administration costs of the Programme Year 2007 2008 2009 Admin Costs of RTP Admin costs of Pobal groups €2.4m €823k €2.3m €1.2m €2.2m €1.1m Total Admin costs €3.2m €3.5m €3.3m Source: Pobal There is substantial total administration costs involved in the Programme and these costs have increased significantly from the 2006 level, before the Programme was mainstreamed. For a Programme, which had exchequer funding totalling €13.8m in 2009, administration costs amounting to €3.3m or 24% of the total appear excessive. This level of expenditure on administrative activities has a negative impact on operational budget. Efforts should be made to drastically reduce the administrative burden on the Programme both from Pobal's end and by the RTP groups themselves. In line with Section 5.9.1, this report has an expectation that the administration costs of operating the RTP can be reduced. Section 5.9.1 has put forward savings of €1.2m as being achievable from the administration costs of the RTP groups by 2013 (€2.2m down to €1m). Assuming Pobal administration costs remained at €1.1m, this would imply total administration costs of €2.1m by the end of 2013. Based on 2009 exchequer funding of €13.8m, administration costs amount to 15% of funding. In comparison to other exchequer funded programmes, such as the School Transport Scheme, this percentage of administration costs is still slightly high. The School Transport Scheme has administration costs amounting to 14%3 of total funding in 2008. However, the Value for Money Review of the School Transport Scheme in 2010 recommended substantial savings in administrative costs. To that end, the Department of Education and Skills has initiated discussions to agree updated administrative arrangements including the administration costs with Bus Éireann i.e. the administration cost percentage may well reduce depending on the outcome of these discussions. For the Rural Transport Programme it is recommended that a further €300k of savings would be required from Pobal‟s administration budgets reducing their administration costs to €800k and total Pobal administration costs from Department of Transport funding to €1.8m by 2013. Based on 2009 total Exchequer funded Programme receipts, this would yield an administration cost percentage of 13%. 3 The administration cost percentage is based on costing data sourced from Tables 5.1 and 5.2 of the School Transport VfM Report 2010 and is intended to reflect a like for like comparison with the administration cost percentage for the RTP scheme. An attempt has been made to include broadly similar types of administration costs for both programmes. Administration costs for the School Transport Scheme are deemed to include the charge paid by Department of Education and Skills to Bus Éireann and the costs incurred by Bus Éireann in managing and supervising the Scheme. The administration costs for both funding programmes have been calculated on a net basis, i.e. excluding fare income as an add-on to the grant. 54 Table 5.18 Proposed total administration costs of RTP by 2013 Admin Costs of RTP groups from DoT funding Admin costs of Pobal from DoT funding Total Programme Admin costs Exchequer Funding Total Admin Costs as a % of Exchequer Funding4 2009 €2.2m 2013 Savings €1.0m (as per section €1.2m 5.9.1) €1.1m €0.8m €0.3m €3.3m €1.8m €1.5m €13.8m 24% €13.8m 13% Source: Based on data supplied by Pobal 5.9.5 Volunteer workers In addition to salaried RTP group staff resources, there are a large number of volunteers working for the Programme. Volunteers participate at a number of levels, i.e. through Board membership, as Community Car drivers, Passenger Assistants and in many other operational, administrative and advocacy areas. In 2008 a total of 1,354 volunteers (1,160 volunteers in 2009) across the RTP groups gave an estimated total of 40,000 hours of their time, i.e. -estimated by Pobal as having monetary value of €350,000 based on a minimum wage rate of €8.65 5.9.6 The RTP Network An administrative matter related to the discussion in Section 5.9.1 on the support role carried out by Pobal, is the level of interface between Pobal and the RTP network, the representative body for the RTP groups. This consists of three separate consultative committees, each meeting twice a year. It is not clear whether this is also burdensome in terms of Pobal resources or whether the most optimally efficient arrangement for consultation between Pobal and the RTP Network is being achieved. It is also not clear the amount of duplication that is occurring, with Pobal consulting with the RTP network and then separately with individual RTP groups. In addition to its role as a representative body for the RTP groups, the RTP Network has a clearly identified lobbying role (RTP Network, 2009:16). It is also understood that the annual membership fee for the RTP Network was in the region of €300 per RTP group in 2009. However, it is not clear from the reported RTP group accounts as to what income source the membership fee is being supplied, particularly with regard to State funds. 4 The calculation of the % administration costs is net of fare income. 55 5.9.7 Reduction of Pobal overhead costs in 2009 In November 2008 the Department of Transport advised Pobal of the requirement for the RTP as a whole to reduce overheads to approximately 25% of the total RTP budget. An extensive review of all salary and non-salary costs was undertaken and a number of changes have been implemented, including savings in salary costs, travel and subsistence costs, office running costs, staff training and development and IT & communications equipment costs. Cost savings in these areas amounted to €120,000 in 2009. Other savings were made in the beneficiary support budget, which was halved and in project level budgets. These savings resulted in overhead cost expenditure as a % of the Total RTP budget reducing from 29% to 25% in 2009, with budgeted figures suggesting that this figure will drop to 22% in 2010. As a % of Department of Transport funding only, overhead costs fell from 35% in 2008 to 29% in 2009 and budgeted figures indicate that this figure will fall to 25% in 2010. Work is continuing to further reduce costs in the administrative budget in 2010. 5.9.8 Cost breakdown by RTP group An analysis of the cost per service and cost per passenger journey on an RTP group basis for 2009 has been carried out as part of this Review as a first step to assess variance in cost per service and cost per passenger journey across the Programme. Data upon which to base a cost per kilometre analysis was not available for this Review. It should be noted that this analysis was based on Department of Transport Programme funding only and did not include the full range of Exchequer funding or fare income streams, as well as any voluntary contributions and other income of the RTP groups. The unit costs may be underestimated as it is not clear if all costs and expenditure by the Programme, i.e. not relating to State funding, for transport activities have been included. The findings of the analysis therefore would be more pronounced if overall Programme costs and income were included. At RTP group level this data was not readily available. 5.9.8.1 Cost per service As stated in Section 5.6 the average cost of operating a service across the RTP groups in 2009 was €70. However, there is a wide range of cost per service across the RTP groups, spanning from €22 (RTP group A) to €364 (RTP group Z), a 1500% difference. Other variable factors relating to the two RTP groups at each extreme in terms of cost per service are illustrated in the Table 5.19 below. Table 5.19- RTP group comparison Cost per service RTP group A RTP group Z %Difference €22 €364 1500% Expenditure €172,343 €251,963 46% Source: Based on data supplied by Pobal 56 Number of services 7,796 692 No of passenger journeys per service 3 16 The difference in expenditure between the two RTP groups is only 46%, which indicates that other variable factors are affecting cost per service. These other variable factors include the number of services and the number of passenger journeys per service. In this case RTP group A with the lowest cost per service ran close to 8,000 services compared to 692 service run by RTP group Z. RTP group A also had over 5 times less passenger journeys per service than RTP group Z. Information not readily available for this analysis included the model of service, i.e. whether demand responsive or fixed scheduled, the population size and density or vehicle size and capacity. Another factor that should be taken into consideration is the age of the RTP groups; in this case RTP group A is a long established RTP group whereas RTP group Z was established in 2008 with 2009 being its first full year of service operation. Newer RTP groups tend to have higher costs associated with development of capacity, services and passenger journey base. While this preliminary examination of the variance in cost per service above does not reveal any immediate benchmark trends with regard to the prioritisation of the factors affecting cost, it does provide an indication of the range of variable factors that need to be considered. It can, however, be concluded even at this early stage that a cost per service at the high extreme, i.e. €364, which is almost 6 times the national RTP group average in 2009 is unnecessarily high. A small number of the RTP groups are operating at a level that is far beyond that of their counterparts. In addition the high number of services in the case of some RTP groups needs to be reviewed with a view to reducing service numbers in particular where inefficiencies have been identified on a unit cost basis. 5.9.8.2 Cost per passenger journey Similarly, this preliminary analysis shows a wide variance in cost per passenger journey. The average cost per passenger journey in 2009 amounted to €8. The lowest cost per any RTP group was €4 while the highest was €30 a 650% difference. Almost 75% of the RTP groups have an average cost per passenger journey within 25% of the average. A small number of RTP groups have cost per passenger journey that is far beyond their counterparts. However it does not appear that there is any one reason why costs are so much greater in some areas than in others. With regard to the outlier RTP groups with a cost per passenger journey greater than €8 there would appear to be three emerging trends for the differences at the higher end of the scale, i.e. low total passenger journey numbers, low average load factor and population density. The three RTP groups with the highest cost per passenger journey are within the bottom five RTP groups with the lowest total number of passenger journeys made. Some of the RTP groups with high cost per passenger journey and could have a very low average load factor, as low as 2 passengers per service based on the low number of passenger journeys. These RTP services are operating in areas with low population densities relative to the other RTP group areas. Based on the data above, it is clear that there is a wide variance in costs per passenger journey and per service among the RTP groups. It does not appear as if there is any 57 measurement process in place to gauge the efficiency or otherwise of the individual RTP groups. However the numbers suggest that some RTP groups are getting far better value for money in terms of the number of passenger journeys made per service and the number of services being operated. To combat some of the inefficiencies it is recommended that a minimum number of passengers per service for the different transport modes or vehicle capacity categories be implemented. The School Transport Scheme employs such a minimum of seven passengers per service and it has proved successful in terms of reducing costs. With due regard to the social inclusion focus of the Programme, including the principle of equality of access this may appear to be contradictory especially as within the School Transport Scheme some students in rural areas fall outside the Scheme criteria and end up relying on RTP services instead. However, in terms of striking a balance between the social inclusion focus and the need for efficiencies in the Programme it is something that is necessary. There may be instances where meeting passenger needs requires a separate transport service, including the option of community car or taxi. In such cases the criteria for social inclusion and transport needs must be balanced against the value for money criteria with regard to the optimal use of resources and should be considered within the development of acceptable practices and benchmarking for utilisation of capacity on a cost efficiency basis across the Programme, as well as, the priorities for funding within the individual RTP groups in terms of transport needs in their area. There is a need for further review in this area and there may be cases where it would be more efficient for RTP groups to replace the existing carriers with smaller vehicles, which may still be large enough to provide their area with an adequate service. Such a change should in itself also serve to lower costs. With regard to the need to ensure efficiency through a lower cost per service run and a lower cost per passenger or passenger journey served, and resulting decrease in administration and operating costs of the service, the unit cost per passenger or passenger journey for the different service modes should be benchmarked against an optimal utilisation range for the different transport modes. Ultimately however, where it is clear that the cost per passenger journey is still too high on certain routes, consideration should be given to closing down these routes. In line with this and with regard to the need to standardise unit costs across all the RTP groups and to narrow the vast discrepancy of cost per service that exists between RTP groups, consideration should be given to setting maximum cost per service within each service mode, i.e. community car, hackney, minibus, etc. 5.9.8.3 Monitoring cost efficiency and benchmarking performance Given the limitations of the unit cost analysis within this Review due to lack of readily available data, it is recommended that Pobal carry out a further ongoing analysis at RTP group level of unit costs, e.g. per kilometre, per service and per passenger or passenger journey, in conjunction with the greater availability of electronic data via the online GIS and PMS systems, with a view to identifying trends across the relevant variable factors and establishing performance benchmarks within 58 acceptable cost boundaries. A benchmark could be set within a range for cost per kilometre, passenger or passenger journey and cost per service mode. A benchmark could be established within each service mode based on a range of optimum utilisation, for example, 80-90% utilisation, so as to ensure optimum use of available vehicle capacity. Given that the majority of RTP services are pre-booked and private operators subcontracting the services have limited control over passenger numbers, route, accessibility, etc. the scope for cost control incentives and related performance targets within this subcontract is limited. Therefore, Pobal should examine the potential for incorporating cost control incentives and performance targets within its contracts with the RTP groups. The reporting by RTP groups and monitoring by Pobal via the online GIS and PMS system concerning the projected and actual costs per service will assist in this regard. In line with the previous recommendations in this Chapter concerning overall efficiency of the Programme delivery, the desire to reduce overall costs and driving efficiencies of scale to reduce both average service costs as well as average passenger journey costs would be facilitated by a rationalisation of the existing organisational structures for Programme delivery to allow for greater consolidation of the programme cost base. 5.10 Conclusion A number of areas of inefficiency with the Programme have been identified throughout this Chapter. It is also apparent that inefficiencies in certain areas have increased since the Programme was mainstreamed. It is clear from the chapter that there are areas where increased cost control is necessary and where efficiencies should be achievable. In the simplest terms the cost of the Programme to the Department of Transport has increased over the past six years, without a commensurate increase in passenger journey numbers. This has seen the cost of the Programme per number of services run and on a per passenger journey basis increase throughout the lifetime of the Programme. As has been mentioned in the chapter, one area that needs to be looked at is the number of RTP groups involved in the operation of the Programme. The existing organisation of 36 RTP groups spread over the 26 counties brings with it a large administration burden for operating the Programme, and also for Pobal who manage the Programme. This is particularly the case for the RTP groups where the costs are uneconomic e.g. where costs per passenger journey are unreasonably high. A rationalisation of the organisational structures for Programme delivery could achieve Programme efficiencies through greater economies of scale and greater use of shared services, and would dictate the optimum number of RTP groups to be funded under the Programme. With due regard to the range of variable factors affecting unit costs across the RTP groups for services and passenger journeys, there is a wide range of variance in these unit costs and costs at the extreme are a cause for concern. As part of the aforementioned review the numbers of passenger journeys carried on each service 59 should be looked at with a view to standardising a minimum number of passenger or passenger journeys per service. Pobal should review service costs, with the assistance of the greater availability of the necessary electronic data, and explore the possibility of setting acceptable service cost levels and benchmarking future performance with a view to achievement of greater cost control and efficiency in this area. In addition, consideration should be given to setting maximum costs within each service mode, i.e. community car, hackney, minibus, etc. Given the high level of identified per service costs, i.e. in the region of €300, there is a strong case for an upper limit on service costs. While Pobal have managed to lower their administration costs over the past two years, there is further scope for improvement in this area. Administration costs from Department of Transport funding of the RTP groups, identified as totalling 22% of total RTP group costs, appears far too high proportionally. A 10% proportional decrease in the RTP group administration costs as a percentage of total RTP group costs to 12% would lead to savings equivalent to €1.2m based on 2009 figures. This 10% proportional decrease in RTP group administration costs would represent an actual 55% decrease in these administration costs based on 2009 figures. In addition to this, further savings of €300k from Pobal‟s administration budget of Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport funding by 2013, together with the saving in RTP group administration costs based on 2009 figures, would lead to total savings of €1.5m in Programme administration costs and would reduce the proportion of Programme administration costs as a percentage of total funding from 24% to 13%. This would be in line with administrative cost levels of other exchequer funded transport programmes. The allocation of costs between administration and operational spend is something that needs to be reviewed and standardised. It appears that administration costs across the RTP groups have been reduced in the past couple of years, in line with a request from Pobal for the RTP groups to do so. Despite this administration costs remain unacceptably high. Analysis of RTP group (gross) costs shows that wages and salaries have increased by more than 50% since 2007, which is a far larger percentage increase than the increase in staff numbers over the same time period. This is a very clear sign of inefficiency. Operational costs have also substantially increased, by 49% between 2007 and 2009. This also casts doubt as to the efficiency of the Programme in that time span. While there is evidence that shows that administration costs in total have reduced, there is no clarity or transparency as to whether these costs were actively reduced or whether it was a case of reallocation from administration to operational costs. The breakdown of passenger journey numbers between fare paying and non-fare paying passenger journeys produced interesting results. The majority of passenger journeys, up to 70%, are non-fare paying broken down between those on travel free passes (65%) and other passenger journeys (5%) who are also allowed travel free. The question of „other free‟ passenger journeys is something that should be addressed by both Pobal and the RTP groups. This category of passenger journey has significantly grown in the last six years and despite not being a large proportion in 60 overall terms, stills adds a extra cost burden on to each of the Department, Pobal and the RTP groups at a time when there is considerable budgetary pressure on Exchequer funding. Consideration should be given as to whether the provision of such services fall under the objectives of the Programme and as to whether they should be provided into the future. By eliminating this category of passenger journey, there is a potential for savings equivalent to €450,000k, based on 2009 figures. Programme level information and reporting on the fares and fare structures of the services across the RTP groups needs to be more transparent. Consideration should be given to the option for a greater degree of standardisation of fares across the RTP groups. Data gathered in 2007 on fares across the RTP groups shows a wide range of fare structures and levels in operation. Pobal should take the lead in a review of fares and devise a Programme-wide system of fares that would be equitable across all the RTP groups. This would be a first step by Pobal in consultation with the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport towards consideration of the option for increasing fares. Maximising fare income across the Programme as opposed to individual RTP groups should be the main objective of the review by Pobal. In terms of the gross receipts of the Programme there is a lack of transparency and accounting data reported on by the RTP groups to Pobal concerning their different income streams. In particular, more financial reporting information concerning the income from contracts operated by RTP groups is necessary in the assessment of whether cross-subsidisation is taking place between the different income and funding streams against activities of the RTP groups It is also clear from the figures analysed in the chapter that the cost of the Programme does not represent efficiency for the Exchequer, particularly when looked at against more commercial transport companies. This is a key point however, as this Programme is run on a not-for-profit basis. The RTP serves a customer niche in areas where there is acknowledged market failure; however, the commercial status of specific routes is not certain due to a lack of data on deadweight. It is inevitable that the cost of servicing these routes is high. Notwithstanding this, it is clear that the Programme is not being run as efficiently as possible and there are a number of areas across the Programme where savings can be made. These should be set out in an implementation plan by Pobal concerning the achievement of cost efficiencies as recommended in this Review. In consultation with the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport targets for cost savings and a plan for achievement of those targets should be agreed between the parties within the context of the MoU. 61 CHAPTER 6 EFFECTIVENESS OF THE PROGRAMME 6.1 Introduction This Chapter examines the effectiveness of the Programme in achieving the objective of social inclusion associated with unmet transport needs of identified target groups in rural areas, by means of identified performance indicators and supporting data where available. 6.2 A framework for analysis 6.2.1 Programme performance monitoring Five key reporting requirements were identified by the Department of Transport at the initiation stage of the Programme, - good corporate governance and accountability; meeting the social inclusion objective of the Programme; impact on the level of unmet needs; broadening geographic coverage and an increase in service levels and frequencies; and, value for money. Reporting concerning the above takes place within the context of the MoU between the Department of Transport and Pobal. The Pobal „Programme Performance Monitoring Strategy (PMS)‟, 2008, has resulted in annual performance monitoring reports for the years 2008 and 2009. These reports form part of the reporting by Pobal under the MoU with the Department of Transport, see Appendix H. While there is a certain amount of data supplied on an ongoing basis by Pobal to the Department of Transport, it has not been sufficient to meet the requirements of the reporting framework for monitoring and evaluation of Programme performance. This lack of data is evident throughout this Review report. As set out in Chapter 4, „Programme objectives and continued relevance‟, the Programme‟s social inclusion objective needs to be more clearly stated in the MOU between the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport and Pobal. In addition, there is a need for agreed targets for Programme performance in meeting the high-level social inclusion objective, within the Programme MoU between the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport and Pobal. 62 6.2.2 Issues concerning measurement of the social inclusion impacts of the Programme There is an acknowledged difficulty associated with the measurement of social inclusion impacts. The Programme Performance Monitoring Strategy (Pobal, 2008) sets out a framework to measure social inclusion through thematic indicators. The research and data sources to support these indicators have not been developed as it is a resource intensive process. This data gap is evident in the inappropriateness of key performance indicators supporting social inclusion impacts for the Programme reported under NAPSI (2007-2016), i.e. the number of passenger journeys and services alone does not indicate impact on unmet transport needs or on social exclusion in rural areas. However, the measurement of social inclusion impacts and the lack of performance indicators that translate into value for money analysis is an issue for all Programmes under a social inclusion objective. Development of such social inclusion indicators for the measurement of impacts may be more appropriate within a wider policy development context encompassing all social inclusion programmes, for example under NDP (2007-2013) or NAPSI (2007-2016) and would not be specific to this Programme. While the above issues concerning high-level social inclusion objectives and targets should be acknowledged in this Programme Performance Monitoring Strategy, and efforts should be made to connect programme targets to the high-level objective, a focus on the expected intermediate outcomes relating to unmet transport needs would be more appropriate and meaningful in terms of the Programme‟s reporting and monitoring framework. However, this Review identified a lack of available up to date data concerning levels of unmet transport needs among rural dwellers and in the different targets groups identified in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006). There is no connection made in the Programme Performance Monitoring Strategy with the target for one trip per week for rural dwellers (Fitzpatrick Associates, 2006) or for similar NDP targets, i.e. extension of the RTP on a phased basis to achieve nationwide coverage 2007-2009, and for a significant reduction in the numbers of people in rural areas experiencing social inclusion due to lack of access to transport (NDP 2007-2013). The targets established under the Programme Performance Monitoring Strategy involve stepped targets based on previous years data commencing with 2007 baseline performance data. These performance targets for 2008 and 2009 were established by a task group, including Pobal and RTP group representatives. The targets were based upon previous years performance and on wider NDP targets without reference to the targets and estimate for Programme achievement put forward in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006). While these targets for Programme implementation as set out in the Programme Performance Monitoring Strategy provide a short-term indication of changes over a three-year strategic period, they need to be connected to higher-level targets concerning the achievement of social inclusion through addressing unmet transport need. The Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport in consultation with Pobal needs to have a greater involvement in the setting of agreed targets for the Programme. The assessment of unmet transport needs and social exclusion carried out at County level by the RTP groups is critical to the appropriate social inclusion targeting of this 63 Programme‟s resources. This happens as part of the three-year strategic planning based on RTP group-level data analysis and consultation through public meetings, questionnaires, passenger surveys and stakeholder interviews. The RTP groups apply an accessibility and deprivation index to the areas covered by their RTP services. The decision-making by Pobal concerning the apportionment of funding among the RTP groups places a greater weighting on RTP services with a higher ranking in terms of the accessibility and deprivation in line with the high-level social inclusion objective. It is noted that there are a number of identified data inputs such as car ownership data, bus and train frequencies, etc. which if included within the index methodology would strengthen its capability as an analytical tool. It is envisaged that the GIS system, which has the capacity for layering of a range of different national level data sets, will enable a more objective verification of the County-based needs assessment by the RTP groups. It will also assist in the central planning and control of the RTP network from a national viewpoint. However, notwithstanding the progress being made in developing the GIS and other IT systems for data recording and reporting, the lack of objective data sources concerning the levels of social exclusion as a result of the unmet transport needs of rural dwellers and people in the specific target passenger groups affects the measurement of the Programmes impact in terms of its high-level social inclusion objective and associated targets. The success of the Programme Performance Monitoring Strategy depends on how well its performance indicators are supported by available data sources. The currently available data is collected through the RTP groups annual Plan of Activities (PoA), the monthly passenger returns and through specific questions asked by Pobal. The Performance Monitoring Strategy assumes a number of key data sources, including an online passenger database, the GIS system, a passenger satisfaction survey every three years, and thematic research on a priority theme each year. None of these data sources were in place to provide data for the purposes of this Review. The data gaps concerning Programme output and expected intermediate outcome are identified and discussed further in the following Sections of this Chapter. 6.2.3 Linking the Programme objectives, aims and performance indicators Following an assessment of the available reports and documentation relating to the mainstreaming of the RTP, rural transport policy development and the objectives of the RTP, this Review finds that the strategic role of the RTP is broadly in line with the recommended Option 2 of the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) and falls under the social inclusion high-level objective. The strategic role of the RTP therefore has three main elements as set out in Section 2 of Chapter 4, „Programme objectives and continued relevance‟, as follows, 1) to meet the transport needs of socially excluded people in the target groups; 2) to extend transport coverage throughout rural Ireland; and, 3) to extend transport services beyond the needs of older passengers. 64 The effectiveness of the Programme in the fulfilment of its strategic role under the social inclusion objective can be assessed through the measurement of performance under a range of identified performance indicators. The clearest and most succinct available statement of the objective for Programme implementation is to provide a quality nationwide community based public transport system in rural Ireland, which responds to local needs, (Programme Guidelines 2008-2010). This objective is broken down into six stated aims for Programme implementation as set out in Chapter 4 „Programme Objectives and Continued Relevance‟ in Section 4.2. Of these aims, 1) to provide, enhance and sustain a nationwide community based rural public transport system and 4) to ensure equality of access to all users, directly relate to the Strategic role of the RTP. The remaining four aims relate to necessary supporting activities for Programme implementation. The Programme Performance Monitoring Strategy contains performance indicators which can be used to measure the output and outcomes of the Programme. The following framework sets out the links between the Programme‟s high-level policy objective of social inclusion, (for the sake of completeness the high-level target for social inclusion as set out in the Fitzpatrick Associates report (2006) is included), its role, objective and aims for Programme implementation and relevant performance indicators for measurement, against which the effectiveness of the Programme to date can be assessed, using the available data. 65 Table 6.1: Framework for analysis of Programme effectiveness High-Level Policy Objective: Social Inclusion High-Level Target – „Rural residents in excluded groups without access to a car should have the option to make a minimum of one weekly trip to their nearest local town, county town or large market town‟ (Fitzpatrick Associates, 2006). Policy Programme Relevant Intermediate Relevant option 2 – objective/mission Pobal aims outcome performance strategic indicators monitoring role of RTP indicators (Pobal, 2008) ↓ 1. to meet the transport needs of socially excluded people within the target groups ↓ „To provide a quality nationwide community based public transport system in rural Ireland which responds to local needs.‟ 2. Extend transport coverage throughout rural Ireland ↓ Aim 4: To ensure equality of access to all users Aim 1: To provide, enhance and sustain a nationwide community based rural public transport system 3. extend Aim 4: To transport ensure services equality of beyond the access to all needs of users older passengers *data not currently available for indicators Source: Fitzpatrick Associates (2006) and Pobal 66 ↓ Increase in target group coverage ↓ -Gender Profile -Passenger ability* -Number of free Travel Pass Journeys -Number of accessible services -Type of services provided Increase in -Number of national RTP Passenger coverage Journeys -Number of RTP services provided -Number of RTP groups -Number of Electoral District Areas with RTP services* Greater - Age Profile diversification -% Passenger of RTP journeys used services to access other public services* 6.3 Measurement of the effectiveness of the Programme Using the framework linking the Programme objectives, aims and performance indicators (PIs) at Table 6.1 above, the effectiveness of the Programme in the fulfilment of its role within rural transport policy will be assessed in terms of its output and impact, drawing from a number of data sources including, the RTP performance and monitoring reports, interview and survey findings for this Review, and from relevant case studies and other surveys. 6.3.1 To meet the transport needs of socially excluded people within the target groups In the 2006 analysis of rural transport carried out by Fitzpatrick Associates an assessment was made concerning the level of social inclusion through the unmet transport needs of rural dwellers generally and, more specifically, for rural dwellers that fall within at-risk target groups. These groups identified in the 2006 Report included women, older people, people on low incomes, and people with mobility, sensory or cognitive impairments. An expected intermediate outcome of the Programme is to increase the provision of transport to socially excluded people in rural areas from these target groups. 6.3.1.1 The impact on the level of unmet transport needs As mentioned in previous sections there is a paucity of data by which to measure the final outcome and impact of the Programme in achieving an increase in the level of social inclusion and access to transport for those with prior unmet transport needs. However, Fitzpatrick Associates (2006) who recommended the policy supporting the Programme and its strategic focus, also offers estimates, in Table 6.2 below, of improvements to rural dwellers and those in target groups with unmet transport need in terms of RTP user levels for 2011 and 2016. Table 6.2: Indicative estimates for impact on unmet needs 2005-2016 Year 2005 2011 2016 Persons with „unmet needs‟ Total Target Group 382,902 209,281 409,856 210,878 434,543 225,717 RTI Users (Option 2) 35,000 105,000 140,000 RTI „market share‟ Total% Target Group% 9.1 16.7 25.6 49.8 32.2 62.0 Source: Fitzpatrick Associates (2006) Projections for the number of RTP users, based on a range of travel frequencies, offers a range of expected estimates for passenger journey numbers in 2011. Table 6.3 below sets out estimates of passenger journey numbers in 2011 based on the Fitzpatrick Associates (2006) estimated number of RTI (RTP) users in 2011 under various travel frequencies, namely the high-level Programme target and the actual estimates for Programme travel frequency in 2003 and 2005 (Fitzpatrick Associates, 2006). 67 Table 6.3: Projected passenger journeys in 2011 based on estimated actual travel frequencies and the high-level target travel frequency RTI Users in 2011 105,000 Travel Frequency Based on Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006): High-level target Estimate of 2003 actual Estimate of 2005 actual Passenger Journeys (millions) Frequency 1 trip per passenger per week Not Specified 1 return trip every 4 weeks Average Journeys per passenger 104 10.9 19 2 27 2.9 Source: Based on data supplied by Fitzpatrick Associates (2006) and Pobal Based on the high-level target frequency of use of one (return) trip set out in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006), i.e. 2 passenger journeys, per person per week, in order for the Programme to achieve the projected level of users, i.e. 105,000 by 2011 it would require an estimated 10.9 million passenger journeys. Based on estimated actual frequency of use in 2003 and 2005 the estimated passenger journeys in 2011 would be 2 million and 2.9 million, respectively. The estimated range of RTP passenger journeys in 2011 based on these different average travel frequencies is therefore between 2 and 10.9 million. The 2009 actual passenger journey numbers was 1.29 million, which equates more with an average travel frequency target by RTP users of 1 return trip every four weeks, or less, rather than once every week. In 2009 the actual number of passenger journeys came to a total of 1,289,025. Using the same range of travel frequencies as in the previous Table 6.3, the following Table 6.4 shows the estimated RTP users in 2009 based on actual 2009 passenger journey data. Table 6.4: Estimates of RTP users in 2009 based on actual 2009 passenger journey numbers and estimated actual travel frequencies and high-level target frequency Based on Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006): High-level target Estimate of 2003 actual Estimate of 2005 actual Travel Frequency Frequency Estimate of RTP users Average Journeys per passenger 104 1 trip per passenger per week Not Specified 1 return trip every 4 weeks Source: Based on data supplied by Fitzpatrick Associates (2006) and Pobal 68 12,395 19 67,844 27 47,742 An estimated range of RTP users based on actual 2009 passenger journey figures of 1.29 million is therefore between 12,000 and 68,000. At the higher travel frequency envisaged in high-level target (Fitzpatrick Associates, 2006) the estimated number of RTP users in 2009 is 12,395. At the estimated actual travel frequencies for 2003 and 2005 (Fitzpatrick Associates, 2006), the estimated number of RTP users in 2009 is 67,844 and 47,742 respectively. At the high-level target of one trip per week per person, based on 2009 passenger journey figures, the estimated RTP users in 2009 (12,395) falls well below 2005 estimates (35,000). At 2003 and 2005 actual estimated travel frequencies, based on 2009 passenger journey figures, the estimated range of RTP users (50,000-70,000) is well below what would be expected for 2009 RTP user levels in order to achieve the 2011 estimated RTP user numbers, i.e. 105,000 in the Fitzpatrick Associates analysis in Table 6.2. While the rate of increase in actual passenger journey numbers on previous year figures grew up to 2007 ( 26% increase on 2006 figures) this rate has been in decline since, with the increase in the number of passenger journeys on the previous year figures, was 20% in 2008 and 7% in 2009. Therefore growth in passenger journeys and in the numbers of RTP users is not as great as envisaged in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) estimates, even at the lower 2003 and 2005 estimated actual travel frequencies. Any findings concerning this comparison between estimated and actual numbers of RTP users and passenger journeys must be treated with care due to the large extent of extrapolation from a small amount of actual data and due to a lack of up-too-date comparable data sets. In addition the estimates for 2011 and 2016 RTI passenger journey usage growth in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) are based on some assumptions concerning growth in the target demographic and funding and passenger growth of the Programme. With regard to these assumptions, firstly, there is no up-todate actual data by which to verify the estimates for growth, or decline, in the levels of unmet transport needs and, secondly, with regard to assumed growth in funding over the 2005-2009 period, RTP funding has increased at a slightly lower rate than anticipated. It should also be noted that in terms of setting Programme targets passenger journey data is not as useful as the estimates of RTI (RTP) users within the Programme target groups and the average frequency of use. For example, it would be more desirable that a target average travel frequency is achieved by a large number of Programme target group beneficiaries rather than a few Programme beneficiaries taking a very high number of passenger journeys. The examination of estimated and available actual figures on the number of Programme users and passenger journeys, as set out in this Section, raises the question of the current relevance of the high-level social inclusion target as set out in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006), i.e. 1 trip per passenger per week, and the capability of this Programme to fully achieve this. In addition, other national statistics relating to household car ownership in rural areas (62,651 households with no motor car in 2006) and implied population nationally in the 60+ age cohort without a drivers licence (202,352 in 2006) suggest that the estimated unmet need (up to 400,000 persons) in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) may not be as high as envisaged. 69 Therefore it is necessary for the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport in consultation with Pobal to review this high-level target with regard to the degree to which it can be achieved by this Programme. Targets should be reviewed within the context of the MOU between the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport and Pobal and incorporated into the Programme Performance Monitoring Strategy, in the light of the Programme objectives. 6.3.1.2 The impact on social inclusion - Programme beneficiaries There are acknowledged difficulties in measurement of the social inclusion impacts on the Programme beneficiaries. The key data sources that have been identified in the Programme Performance Monitoring Strategy are undeveloped, for example, passenger satisfaction surveys and thematic research on themes such as quality of life, health or social inclusion. The RTP Performance Reports for 2008 and 2009 explain that while there has been learning concerning potential indicators of social inclusion, i.e. the importance of the journey in passengers social life, as well as, autonomy, independence and connectedness of passengers, the measurement of improvements to quality of life of passengers in the reports relies on testimonies from some passengers. Primary research for this Review through a survey of the RTP groups views and through interviews with representatives of key stakeholders, suggests a consensus of perception that the Programme offers social inclusion benefits to its users, in particular from the target groups of older people and people with disabilities. In the survey of the RTP groups carried out for this Review responses suggest that the most significant benefits to users/passengers of the RTP services over the period of the Programme relate to its social inclusion focus for those living in isolation from their community, including providing independence, autonomy, social life, and improved self esteem and quality of life. The perception of those stakeholder representative groups consulted as part of this Review, i.e. through the Office for Local Authority Management, RTP Network, Age Action & Disability Federation, suggest that the impact of the Programme is in terms of the social inclusion benefits to the users/passengers of the RTP services, in particular those passengers from the target groups, i.e. older people and people with a disability. With regard to these specific target groups, the representative bodies for older people and people with disabilities who were involved in the interviews for this Review all indicate that there are significant improvements that could be made to the RTP in providing for the transport needs of older people and people with disabilities. In particular the response from Age Action suggested that there was not enough RTP services to meet the current transport needs of older people. All the representative groups suggested that there could be improvements to achieve a consistent level of service provision or accessibility levels across all the RTP services. Further evidence supporting the benefits of the Programme to older people can be drawn from the Report entitled „Connections: Mobility and Quality of Life for Older People in Rural Ireland‟ (Intel, 2009), which found that, 70 “…to be active beyond the home is a sine qua non of wellbeing in late life. Transportation services such as the RTP are crucial enablers of action and activity beyond the home; they underpin autonomous and independent lives” This research was based on an ethnographic study of five of the RTP services around the country carried out in the first half of 2007, whereby researchers embedded themselves for a week at a time in the five RTP projects, participating in the bus journeys and other aspects of the projects activities, observing and asking questions with a view to increasing understanding „in the round‟. The accounts of social and cultural context and actions gathered through this process lead to the conclusions drawn from the research. A key conclusion concerning the RTP and transport for older people contained in the Intel Report (2009) is that, “…the RTP projects are providing an essential service to a large population who would otherwise have few opportunities for travel, for social interaction or for access to healthcare and other important services… The value of the RTP lies far beyond transportation. It links many of the activities, contexts and services that are vital to life in rural contexts and in so doing creates value for its users and others.” A closer analysis of each of the specific target groups identified as most socially excluded in rural areas as a result of unmet transport needs follows. Firstly, the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) identifies people on low incomes as a target group under the Programme. There is no specific data reported on by the RTP groups on this socio-economic cohort and there are acknowledged difficulties in collection of such data from Programme beneficiaries on a journey-by-journey basis. The targeting of lower income groups is by means of the planning process for the RTP services, which relies on an analysis and ranking of service catchment areas based on an accessibility and deprivation index developed by Pobal. As the application of the accessibility and deprivation index has not yet been tested or verified objectively it is not possible to assume the level of RTP beneficiaries in any area that are likely to fall within this socio-economic cohort. With regard to the second target group identified in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006), people with disabilities, there is no data reported on by the RTP groups concerning the level or type of disability, i.e. whether physical, sensory or intellectual, among the Programme beneficiaries. While there are acknowledged improvements on the transport supply side in terms of the accessibility of RTP services, it cannot be extrapolated from transport supply side data as to whether there is greater targeting of people with disabilities among those with unmet transport needs in rural areas. This data gap needs to be addressed. As mentioned, regarding the improvements to RTP service accessibility, the increase in fully accessible RTP services on the previous year‟s figures was 28% in 2008 and 11% in 2009. The increase in the number of passenger-assisted journeys on the 71 previous year‟s figures was 11% in 2008 and 18% in 2009. However, while overall passenger journey numbers also grew over this period, proportionate increases in passenger assisted services of total passenger journeys may not be significant. For example, over the 2007-2008 period actual passenger-assisted journeys increased by 15,657 but proportionately remained static at 14% of total passenger journeys. It is also acknowledged that the categories under which accessible services are currently reported on by the RTP groups, i.e. fully accessible, partially accessible and non-accessible, do not capture the specific levels and types of accessibility of vehicles used in the RTP services. The PMS1 IT system will address this matter by allowing RTP groups to provide information on the different aspects of accessibility and the specific disabilities that the services cater for. It should be noted that there is no agreed vehicle specification for the accessibility of small buses in Ireland. The third target group, women, is identified in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) as being at risk in terms of social exclusion connected with unmet transport needs. The Table 6.5 below shows that the numbers of passenger journeys by women has almost doubled between 2005 and 2009 and the proportion of passenger journeys by women over men has remained around 67-68% over the same period. Table 6.5: Numbers and proportion of RTP passenger journeys by women 20052009 Year Total Passenger journeys Number of journeys taken by females % of journeys taken by females 2005 651,391 439,153 2006 791,264 537,879 2007 998,350 673,085 2008 1,200,194 816,527 2009 1,289,025 877,036 67 68 67 68 68 Source: Pobal It should be noted that qualitative research carried out since 2002 shows that social exclusion and unmet transport needs is a significant problem for older men in rural areas, suggesting that gender-based targeting with the older cohort of beneficiaries under the Programme may need to be reviewed. With regard to a fourth target group, older people, identified in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006), the 65+ age cohort has continued to constitute over a half of all RTP passenger journeys between the period 2004 and 2009. In 2009 the proportion of passenger journeys by the 65+ age cohort was 58%. There is also an increase in the numbers of FTP journeys on the RTP, based on the previous year‟s figures by 22% in 2008 and 8% in 2009. In addition, the Programme Performance Monitoring Strategy has identified that females are more likely to use RTP services. Based on 2008 data 74% of the FTP users of RTP were female and 26% male. This supports the findings of other social science research in the area of older people and travel which indicates that, despite the larger proportion of women to men in this age cohort overall, older men are less likely to use RTP services than women. The number of free travel pass journeys, as well as, the percentage FTP journeys of overall passenger journeys, has increased over the period of the Programme to 65% in 2009 as illustrated in the following Table 6.6. 72 Table 6.6: Number and % of total RTP passenger journeys for FTP passenger journeys 2004-2009 Year Number of FTP passenger journeys FTP as a % of overall RTP passenger journeys 2004 313,668 2005 407,383 2006 499,895 2007 631,844 2008 772,444 2009 832,231 61% 63% 63% 63% 64% 65% Source: Pobal In comparison, the level of FTP passenger journeys on Bus Éireann local/rural commuter scheduled services, taken from a one-off recent piece of market research, shows that 17% of passenger journeys relate to free travel pass (Milward-Brown and PAN research, 2010). The findings of the market research in terms of FTP passenger journeys (18.5%) across all Bus Éireann scheduled services, i.e. including Expressway and City/Town services, is considered to be high. Therefore, as expected, RTP is significant in terms of public transport options for the 65+ age cohort in rural areas. A number of interview respondents for this Review indicated that the door-todoor demand responsive services provided under the Programme may suit the transport needs of older people specifically where individuals have mobility and access difficulties with regard to other conventional public transport services. With regard to a fifth target group identified in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006), that of young people, the number of passenger journeys within this age cohort have increase from 239,995 passenger journeys in 2004 to 543,805 in 2009. However, the trend in the proportion of RTP passenger journeys by younger people under 25 years of age shows a downward trend by two percent over the period 2004 to 2009. Table 6.7: Number and percentage of younger people <25 among RTP passenger journeys Year % <5 % School Age* % 18-25 Total % <25 2004 1.38 20.46 4.73 26.57 2005 0.98 21.29 4.44 26.71 2006 0.89 20.45 4.14 25.48 2007 0.71 22.22 3.74 26.67 2008 0.63 21.28 3.51 25.42 2009 0.49 19.76 4.01 24.26 Source: Pobal The targeting of RTP services to the majority of the target groups mentioned above is by means of a combination of flexible, semi-flexible and scheduled services. There is an increase in the number of demand responsive RTP services on the previous year‟s figures of 19% in 2008 and 17% in 2009. In 2009 there was a slight decrease in the demand responsive services as a proportion of overall RTP services. In 2009 demand responsive services made up approximately a fifth of all RTP services. However, it is acknowledged that this categorisation does not fully show the true balance of fixedverses semi-scheduled services. It is thought that semi-scheduled services make up the majority of RTP service type. The issue of categorisation is being addressed in the 73 categories being reported on under the PMS1 system by the RTP groups commencing in 2011. It should be noted, however, that whether a service type is fixed or semi-scheduled is not a strong indicator of the targeting of the key demographic groups, for example, a well planned fixed scheduled service could cater for large numbers of low income and other target group beneficiaries. The balance of fixed- to semi-scheduled service may have greater relevance in relation to unit cost analysis as it is generally assumed that semi-scheduled services and demand responsive services involve a higher unit cost. 6.3.2 To extend transport coverage throughout rural Ireland A key performance indicator identified within the Programme Performance Monitoring Strategy by which to measure whether the RTP is fulfilling its role to extend transport coverage throughout rural Ireland is the number of Electoral District Areas (EDA) with RTP services. The data source for the number of EDAs with RTP services is the GIS system, which was not available at the time of this Review. Other output indicators, such as, number of RTP passenger journeys and services can provide an indication of the expansion of RTP transport but it is not related to a demographic or geographic context. There is currently at least one RTP group in every County of Ireland. A map and description of the development and growth in number of the RTP groups is contained at Appendix I. Also there is an overall trend of increase in passenger journeys and services over the years as illustrated in Table 6.8 below. The increase in the number of passenger journeys on the previous year‟s figures was 20% in 2008 and 7% in 2009. The increase in the number of RTP services on the previous year‟s figures was 22% in 2008 and 8% in 2009. Table 6.8: Trend in the number of RTP passenger journeys and services 20042009 Year Number of RTP passenger journeys Number of RTP services Source: Pobal 2004 514,137 2005 651,391 2006 791,264 64,954 74,914 93,419 2007 998,350 120,753 2008 1,200,194 2009 1,289,025 146,771 157,106 The necessary source data to examine the number of EDAs with an RTP service is not available and there is no available network map of all public transport bus services in rural areas of Ireland against which to measure the RTP services in terms of the overall bus network. It is envisaged that GIS may facilitate such measurement. The number of RTP groups and number of passenger journeys and services indicate an expansion of RTP services but without a demographic or geographic context for this data it does not provide indicators to support a conclusion that the RTP has extended its coverage throughout rural Ireland. While the provision of RTP services in every County of Ireland suggests a degree of national coverage, overall, the level of data 74 required to supporting a conclusion of increased coverage of the RTP services to the target groups over the period 2005-2009 is not available. 6.3.3 To extend transport services beyond the needs of older passengers The key performance indicators identified within the PMS by which to measure the impact of whether the RTP is fulfilling its role to extend transport services beyond the needs of older passengers is the age profile of those passengers using the RTP services. A second indicator would be the purpose of journey, but data is not currently collected across the RTP groups under this indicator. The responses from the survey of RTP groups carried out for this Review suggest that RTP transport services are extending beyond those of older people. Many RTP groups responses (9) suggested that the extension of access to a wider range of services and destinations was the biggest improvement to RTP operations and services since 2007, and some of these RTP group responses (6) referred specifically to diversification of services for education, school and college. In particular the interview with the RTP Network as part of the research for this Review, suggest that the RTP groups themselves have worked at removing the perception that the RTP services are transport for older people. However, the data on the age profile of the RTP services, contained in Table 6.9 below, does not support the perception of diversification of RTP services beyond the needs of older people. It illustrates that the >66 age cohort as a proportion of the total is steadily increasing year on year with a decline in the other age cohorts. In 2007 there is a one-off increase in 2007 for the school age cohort and in 2009 the 18-65 cohorts increased slightly on the previous year. There is also no breakdown by target group of the passengers in these age cohorts, particularly, the 18-25 and 26-65 age cohorts, by which to assess deadweight in terms of provision of RTP services to nontarget group beneficiaries. Table 6.9: Age profile of RTP passenger journeys Year % <5 % School Age* % 18-25 % 26-65 % >66 2004 1.38 20.46 4.73 20.13 53.30 2005 0.98 21.29 4.44 19.10 54.20 2006 0.89 20.45 4.14 19.40 55.13 2007 0.71 22.22 3.74 17.82 55.52 2008 0.63 21.28 3.51 16.95 57.63 2009 0.49 19.76 4.01 17.93 57.81 *School Age means the age cohort 5-17 years Source: Pobal It may not be the case that all RTP groups conform to the age cohort profile of the Programme as set out in Table 6.9. For example, a case study on Clare Accessible Transport (CAT) illustrates how an RTP service can provide for a diverse range of transport needs, i.e. beyond those of older people. The integrated transport services provided by CAT include; HSE transport to care centres and appointments, Adult Education and Back to Education Programmes, Youthreach and Clare Supporting 75 Employment Services (CSES). The case study does not provide an age profile of the CAT RTP services. In comparison to the age breakdown on RTP services, the % passenger journey numbers in different age-cohorts of Bus Éireann local/rural/commuter scheduled services, taken from one-off recent market research as illustrated in Table 6.10 below, shows that only 13% of the passenger journeys on these services fall within the >60 age cohort, with the 18-40 age cohort making up the bulk of the passenger journeys on these services. It is acknowledged that Bus Éireann services do not provide the door-to-door, demand responsive services that would be necessary for many older people with mobility difficulties. The finding of the market research in terms of the social impact on older people as indicated by the proportion of passenger journeys (16%) in the >60 age cohort across all Bus Éireann scheduled services, i.e. including Expressway and City/Town services, is considered to be high. Table 6.10: proportion of passenger journeys by age-cohort in 2010 on Bus Éireann local/rural/commuter scheduled services Age cohort % Passenger journey numbers <18 5.3 18-21 14.8 22-30 28 31-40 17.4 41-50 11 51-60 10 >60 13 Source: Bus Éireann Given the public service obligation requirement for Bus Éireann services funded under public service contract, it is expected that there would be a wide variety of transport users from the different age-cohorts using the services. The one-off market research on Bus Éireann scheduled services provides an indication of the level of different types of public transport needs on its local/rural/commuter services, as illustrated in the Table 6.11 below. While this market research finds that there is a balance between travel for economic purposes, i.e. work or college, and trips relating to social connectivity, of the Bus Éireann interurban and commuter services over a third of these passenger journeys arise from rural locations. Table 6.11: Reasons for using Bus Éireann (scheduled services) – proportion of local/rural/commuter services in 2010 Reason for Trip Travel to work/education Appointments (Health, etc.)/Personal meetings Visiting friends/relatives Socialising Shopping Tourism Source: Bus Éireann 76 % Passenger journeys 35.2 22.3 13 9.5 8.7 11 6.3.4 Unintended consequences - displacement and deadweight There is a lack of available evidence by which to measure the unintended consequences of the Programme. These consequences have been identified as the potential displacement of other transport services and the potential for deadweight loss. There is evidence to suggest that RTP services might risk displacing other transport provision. This includes instances where RTP services are providing transport for the purpose of employment or education or where RTP services are under contract for HSE or School Transport services. However, it is the case that some rural school pupils living in rural areas fall outside the criteria of the School Transport Scheme. In cases such as these Bus Éireann subcontracts RTP services. The CTTC through the consultation process for this Review have indicated that RTP services are in some areas displacing private operator services. However, there is no available evidence to support the existence or extent of displacement of other transport services by RTP services. The lack of data concerning the overall passenger bus transport network in Ireland does not allow for assessments to be made concerning deadweight loss. Similarly, there is no available evidence concerning deadweight through duplication of RTP services in neighbouring areas. The lack of reported data concerning the different income streams and levels by the RTP groups prevents any analysis around transport services that might be provided without the RTP involvement in the area. Ideally, an analysis of travel patterns among beneficiaries prior to introduction of the RTP services under the Programme or a survey of user beneficiaries may allow for analysis of deadweight loss. 6.3.5 Conclusion: The effectiveness of the RTP under the social inclusion objective With regard to the effectiveness of the Programme in terms of its social inclusion impact, it is acknowledged that there are difficulties in establishing a causal connection between the Programme activities and the final social inclusion outcome; as is common to all social inclusion programmes. Despite the lack of data sources to support performance indicators of social inclusion impacts, there is some evidence found in qualitative research and research carried out for this Review through a survey of RTP groups and interviews with stakeholders, that suggests the RTP has social inclusion benefits for its passengers, in particular for the target groups of older people and people with a disability. However, there is not sufficient available data or evidence to conclude that the Programme is effective in addressing expected intermediate outcomes of greater targeting of transport services to the identified target groups of people with unmet transport needs as identified in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006); increased RTP service coverage Nationally; and, meeting target group transport needs beyond those of older people. 77 Firstly, regarding the targeting of the identified target groups, it cannot be assumed that the application of the accessibility and deprivation index by the RTP groups during service planning ensures that all beneficiaries fall within the socio-economic cohort of people on low incomes, as this is not being verified independently. The level of people with a disability using the service is not known as a result of a lack of availability of demand side data. Transport supply side data concerning the level of accessibility of RTP services is not at the level required in terms of specifying the level of accessibility of the services such as in terms of physical, sensory or intellectual disability. In any case transport supply side data is not a strong indicator of the targeting of people with different disabilities who have unmet transport needs. Data on women using the RTP services show a positive trend in terms of maintaining a higher proportion of women than men among Programme beneficiaries but qualitative research since 2002 indicates that the gender-based targeting within the 65+ age cohort may need to be reviewed. There is also no significant trend indicating greater targeting of younger people by the Programme, with older people still representing over half of all Programme beneficiaries. The available evidence concerning targeting through service type in terms of the level of demand response services is not a strong indicator of the targeting of services to specific groups and may be more meaningful in terms of unit cost analysis for the measurement of Programme efficiency. Also there are acknowledged problems concerning the categorisation of demand responsive, semi-flexible and fixedscheduled services by the RTP groups and Pobal. This issue is to be addressed under the PMS1 IT system. Secondly, data concerning the national coverage of RTP services also needs to be strengthened by performance indicators that show the expected outcome in terms of increase in passenger journeys and services in a geographic or demographic context for example by EDA. It cannot be concluded that the Programme is more effective as a result of increased number of RTP groups, increased passenger journeys or services alone. Thirdly, in terms of diversification of RTP services beyond the transport needs of older people, the lack of available data concerning the purpose of journeys undertaken by passengers presents a difficulty in terms of analysis of whether RTP services are meeting transport needs of people beyond those of older people. However, the analysis of passenger journeys by age cohort over the years indicates that the Programme still caters more for older people, despite any perceptions that this is changing. In addition, there is a lack of data by which to measure displacement of other transport services by the RTP or to assess the level of deadweight loss that might be occurring as an unintended consequence of the Programme. Better information on the income streams of the RTP groups as identified under Chapter 5, „Costs and efficiency of the Programme‟ will assist in the assessment of displacement that might be occurring as a result of greater diversification of RTP services and greater integration of State funded transport provision through service contracts and, will also 78 assist in an assessment of potential deadweight loss in terms of transport services that might operate without the Programme funding. 79 CHAPTER 7 CONSIDERATION OF POLICY AND ORGANISATIONAL OPTIONS 7.1 Introduction This Chapter will consider the continued relevance of the Programme in terms of a range of the other available policy, administrative and organisational options giving ride to a preferred option, with due regard to the findings in the previous Chapters concerning the objectives, effectiveness, efficiency and continued relevance of the Programme. 7.2 Consideration of options The policy options within which the Programme is to be considered in this Chapter are set out in the Table 7.1 below, and a discussion concerning each option follows. It should be noted that the options outlined below are not mutually exclusive and that options 2 and 3 are related in terms of the achievement of efficiencies with regard to Exchequer funding. Table 7.1: Policy options 7.2.1. Discontinue the RTP in favour of other policy interventions under a social inclusion objective through alternative administrative arrangements for funding, e.g. direct payments or vouchers, or through non-transport policy mechanisms 7.2.2. Continue the RTP on the basis of increased efficiency 7.2.3. Continue the RTP on the basis of increased efficiency within the context of a scheme for local integrated transport 7.2.1 Discontinue the RTP With regard to the policy option of discontinuation of the Programme, the key considerations include the findings of Chapter 6, „Effectiveness of the Programme‟, concerning the lack of data by which to measure the effectiveness of the Programme and the findings of Chapter 5, „Cost and Efficiency of the Programme‟, concerning inefficiencies in Programme delivery. It is noted that the value for money of this Programme relative to other transport or social inclusion programmes has not been fully tested under the methodology of this Review, an analysis which could be facilitated by future Government expenditure 80 assessments. However, the key findings of this Review raise serious questions concerning the Programme value for money, as set out in the following sub-section a). Other considerations, with regard to the policy option of Programme discontinuation are set out in sub-section b) below. These considerations include the social inclusion policy rationale of the Programme and the underlying connection made between unmet transport needs in rural areas and social exclusions (Fitzpatrick Associates, 2006). This is echoed in a range of social inclusion and other public policy programmes which have the provision of rural transport as a key element within the programme success. However, there are acknowledged difficulties in establishing a causal connection between transport provision and social inclusion and in the measurement of social inclusion impacts. These difficulties extend to the measurement of co-benefits in other sectoral areas as a result of changes in transport provision, or as a result of any changes in other related factors such as car ownership levels. Nevertheless, there is a consensus of perception among those consulted for this Review that there have been social inclusion benefits for users of RTP services. There is also some available evidence, as set out in sub-section c) below, of a persistence of transport and access problems for rural dwellers generally and older people in rural areas in particular. a) Value for money considerations There is a lack of available evidence concerning whether the Programme has been effective in achieving a final impact in terms of its social inclusion objective. There is also lack of available data concerning whether the expected intermediate outcome has been achieved in terms of addressing the unmet transport needs associated with social exclusion, i.e. addressing unmet transport needs through extending the target group coverage, increasing national coverage of the Programme, and, diversify its services provision beyond the transport needs of older people. Purely, on a value for money basis there is a strong argument for discontinuing the Programme. There are key findings of on-going inefficiencies in Programme administration and delivery, in particular, recurring findings of high administration costs which were highlighted in the review of the RTI and the review of the Rural Transport Night Scheme, which was subsequently discontinued. This Review identifies a realistic benchmark for Programme administration expenditure based upon comparison with another transport based funding programme – the School Transport Scheme. The National Recovery Plan 2011-2014 requires an assessment of public expenditure on a Sectoral basis. It is not possible at this juncture to comment on the relative value for money of this Programme within the context of Government expenditure generally under the National Recovery Plan outside the framework for assessment of Sectoral expenditure. With regard to the cross-cutting dimension of this Programme involving transport provision and social inclusion it would be appropriate that any such Sectoral review could involve comparisons with both other transport expenditure programmes and other social inclusion programmes. 81 b) Unmet transport need and social exclusion The Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2002) identifies the policy problem as a „rural transport problem‟. While the market failure of transport in rural areas has been acknowledged (Steer Davies Gleave, 2002; Fitzpatrick Associates, 2006), the identification of market failure in itself is not a rationale for public policy intervention. However, the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) goes further to conclude that the serious levels of unmet transport needs for many people living in rural areas has been identified as a key factor underlying levels of social exclusion in rural areas. Fitzpatrick Associates (2006) puts forward a case for a policy to address unmet rural transport needs under a social inclusion objective. There is, however, a lack of available objective evidence which might enable us to establish a causal connection between transport provision and social inclusion. Similarly, there is no analytical framework available within an Irish context which would enable us to measure changes in the levels of social exclusion, or inclusion, arising as a result of changes in the level of transport provision. It is acknowledged that both the measurement of social inclusion and co-benefits to other sectors arising from social inclusion Programmes is a more general issue for analysis and one not just for this Programme, i.e. requiring qualitative and quantitative indicators that could translate social impacts into value for money outcomes. Similarly, there is no available evidence by which to estimate the potential negative social exclusion impacts on existing or potential Programme beneficiaries, e.g. in terms of quality of life, health and autonomy, that might result following a decision to discontinue the Programme. As part of the Review it was not possible to source evidence or research in other Countries that might suggest any potential impacts for costs arising elsewhere in the economy, such as the cost of residential health care, which might arise as a result of discontinuation of a programme of transport provision such as this Programme. In this regard also, it is not clear the extent to which car ownership is a significant factor in terms of the social inclusion of rural dwellers that are the target beneficiaries of this Programme. Overall there is an increase in car ownership in rural areas as indicated in CSO census statistics over the period 2002-2006. In 2006, 11.4% of rural households in the State did not have a car compared to 13.8% in 2002. A further examination of Census 2006 household and car ownership data for all areas of the country outside the cities of Cork, Limerick, Waterford, Galway and Dublin City and County, shows that of the 64,368 single resident households in aggregate rural areas with no car in 2006 there were 26,755 households where the single resident is aged 65+ years situated in aggregate rural areas (i.e. 13% of the 203,971 people aged 65+ living in aggregate rural areas in the State in 2006). However, there is no evidence connecting the people within this statistic with the target group of this Programme of people who are socially excluded as a result of unmet transport needs or indeed the beneficiaries to date of the scheme. However, some qualitative evidence in this Review suggests that the Programme has social inclusion benefits in particular for older people and people with a disability. This evidence includes the consensus of perceptions of stakeholders interviewed for this Review, i.e. among the RTP groups and representive bodies for some of the target 82 group, such as, older people and people with disabilities. However, this evidence is based on the perceptions of individuals and is not statistically representative, therefore it holds a risk of bias. Other evidence includes the testimonials of passengers in the Pobal Programme Performance Monitoring Reports and a qualitative study by Intel (2009) on rural transport and older people. c) The persistence of transport and access problems for rural dwellers There is evidence suggesting transport and access problems in rural areas which supports the policy for rural transport under a social inclusion objective, as follows, - - - research by the Vincentian Partnership for Justice and data from CSO concerning the relative difficulty of rural dwellers, in comparison with their urban counterparts, in accessing public transport and other social services; UCD/UU ethnographic research of older people and rural transport (Ahern, A. and Hine, J., 2010) suggesting that older people, particularly females, in rural areas are an at-risk group in this regard.; and, the review of public transport service in County Louth 2010. There are also many social inclusion and rural and community policies placing transport as a key element involved in social inclusion in rural Ireland. The policy rationale for this Programme is framed in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) within a context of policies for rural and community development (While Paper, 1999) and social inclusion (National Anti Poverty Strategy, 1997) and the Department of Transport policies concerning accessibility. The National Action Plan for Social Inclusion (NAPSI, 2007-2016) and in the area of community health and older people, the advice of the National Council for Aging and Older people, (2001) state that transport is a key factor in independent living for older people. Notwithstanding the above, the impact of discontinuation of the Programme may not be significant for the State funding programmes connected with this Programme under the social inclusion objective. For example, only a small number of RTP groups are in receipt of CSP (8 RTP groups in 2009) and RSS (3 RTP groups in 2009, with a combined total annual equivalent of 1.9 FTE‟s attributable to RTP) and it is likely that placements could be found elsewhere for any recipients of CSP and RSS currently involved in the RTP activities. Furthermore, regarding the FTP, it is not the intended objective of this Programme to support the Free Travel Scheme which was intended to better utilise existing public transport capacity through incentives for older people to travel. In conclusion of this Section 7.2.1, concerning the policy option of discontinuation of the Programme, it is clear that there is a lack of evidence to support a conclusion of Programme effectiveness in meeting its objective in terms of the social inclusion impacts of the Programme or its impact on unmet transport needs. There is some evidence supporting the continued relevance of the policy objective to address unmet transport needs of target groups in rural areas under a social inclusion objective. Firstly, the connection between unmet transport need and underlying 83 problems of social exclusion made in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) is supported by a range of public policies including social inclusion, rural and community development, health, transport accessibility, etc., which place transport as a key factor in policy intervention towards greater social inclusion of at-risk rural dwellers. Secondly, there is available evidence suggesting the persistence of transport and access problems in rural areas, in particular for older people and people with disabilities or mobility difficulty. This concurs with the 2002 data findings of unmet transport needs in rural areas in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006). Notwithstanding the significant findings of this Review concerning inefficiencies which raise serious concerns over the value for money in continuing the Programme, and the lack of evidence as to whether the Programme is effective, the consideration as to whether or not to discontinue the Programme is finely balanced. There is a consensus of perception among those consulted for this Review suggesting social inclusion benefits for some users of RTP services in particular concerning the target groups of older people and people with a disability. Furthermore, given the lack of available data or evidence supporting the analysis of alternative administrative mechanisms, it is not possible with any degree of certainty to recommend a viable alternative administrative mechanism, either transport-based or non-transport, by which to address the unmet transport needs of target groups in rural areas under a social inclusion objective. Consideration of the policy option for discontinuation of the Programme also gave rise to consideration to a number of alternative transport and non-transport administrative options for targeting funding to address social exclusion as a result of unmet transport needs. The following sections, 7.2.1.1, 7.2.1.2 and 7.2.1.3 provide an outline the alternative options considered. Based on the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) analysis of levels of unmet transport needs in 2002 the key „at risk‟ target groups in terms of social exclusion are people on low incomes, women, older people, people with a disability and young people. More up-to-date available evidence suggests persistent levels of accessibility and unmet transport needs in terms of rural dwellers generally and among older people in particular. Consideration of any alternative administration option would have regard to addressing the social inclusion and transport needs of these beneficiary target groups. 7.2.1.1 Direct financial support to Programme beneficiaries for transport services Direct payment, credits or vouchers could be administered to people in the 65+ age cohort, for example, in rural areas based on beneficiary criteria and the type of transport services purchased. This type of funding scheme with a focus on the social inclusion of older people might be more appropriate to the Department of Social Protection in line with its current funding programmes for this age cohort, or by the Department of Community, Rural and Gaeltacht Affairs in line with other social inclusion funding programmes targeted at rural beneficiaries. 84 The clear issue with this option is determining the level of Exchequer funding required to meet demand from beneficiaries and for administration, monitoring and enforcement of the Scheme. In addition, without more data concerning the level of public transport services in rural areas, in the absence of the RTP, it might be the case that SPSV is the only transport option for some target group beneficiaries, which could give rise to affordability issues. Similar funding schemes relating to transport costs for hospital appointments to assist people with low incomes or with a disability include the Supplementary Welfare Allowance Exceptional Needs Payment and the Mobility Allowance Scheme. The advantage of these schemes is that the target beneficiaries may been identified in advance through Supplementary Welfare Allowance or Disability Allowance, therefore may already be subject to means-testing. A disadvantage of the establishment of a funding scheme, for example, for direct payments for transport to older people under a social inclusion objective is the risk of duplication with other parallel services to this cohort and such a scheme would require identification of the target group beneficiaries. The establishment of such a scheme would involve the setting up costs of a system of means testing of the 65+ age cohort to assess among other things how rurally located the individual applicants are and whether they have other transport options available to them. 7.2.1.2 Supporting the transport services of existing social inclusion programmes A further transport-based method of administering the funding is through other existing social inclusion programmes. For example, to cover the transport costs of projects targeting these specific target group beneficiaries under the CLAR (Ceantair Laga Árd-Riachtanais) Programme. However, it is not clear the extent of cross-over of many of the RTP existing and potential beneficiaries with beneficiaries of the CLAR project activities. It would also not provide for transport by the target group beneficiaries to non-project destinations, such as, for shopping or health appointments. Therefore, this administrative option may not have the reach of the RTP in terms of the targeting of beneficiaries with unmet transport and social inclusion needs across the rural population. 7.2.1.3 Other non-transport policy mechanisms under a social inclusion objective Other policy mechanisms for addressing the social inclusion problem experienced by those within the target 65+ age cohort or people with disabilities or mobility problems in rural areas and their lack of access to key service might involve a community-based scheme combining outreach and e-solutions, as more public and commercial services are now available on-line. This could be combined with a scheme for greater social supports for this target group through existing community and voluntary organisations and initiatives. E-solutions will have more relevance in terms of future policy as IT literacy and availability improves in the population generally, as the age generations with IT 85 literacy move into the 65+ age cohort and with further national expansion of IT networks and capacity. A thorough analysis is required concerning the potential for IT and other non-transport policy measures to address the social exclusion problem as a result of unmet transport needs, before a conclusion is made as to the feasibility or VfM of this option. 7.2.2 Continue the RTP on the basis of greater efficiencies As concluded in the previous Section 7.2.1, the consideration of whether to discontinue the Programme is finely balanced. There is a lack of evidence to support a conclusion concerning the effectiveness of the Programme in meeting its objective. This lack of evidence relates, firstly, to achievement of the final outcome of social inclusion impacts and, secondly, in terms of intermediate outcomes in addressing unmet transport needs through extending the target group coverage nationally or diversify its services provision beyond the transport needs of older people. There are also significant findings of this Review concerning inefficiencies in Programme delivery which raise serious concerns over the Programme value for money, and which need to be addressed if the Programme is to continue. In support of Programme continuation, there is a consensus of perception among those consulted for this Review concerning social inclusion benefits to Programme beneficiaries. There is also some available evidence to support the continued relevance of the Programme policy objective to address unmet transport needs of target groups in rural areas under a social inclusion objective. Finally, there is a lack of available data by which to support a recommendation for an alternative administrative mechanism for policy delivery. In support of the current method of Programme delivery through community-based transport, the Fitzpatrick Associates (2006) review of the RTI concluded that the demand responsive, door-to-door services by the RTI augmented in some cases by passenger assistance was suitable for rural dwellers and target groups with mobility difficulties and that locally planned and designed transport services based on a „no one size fits all‟ principle was successful. The organisational options for continuation of the Programme are identified in Table 7.2 below and are discussed in the following sections. Table 7.2: Organisational Options for continuation of the Programme 7.2.2.1 Delivery by Local Authorities procuring transport from private operators or RTP groups 7.2.2.2 Delivery by Pobal and Programme restructuring on a sub-regional basis 7.2.2.3 Delivery by NTA following Programme restructuring on a sub-regional basis 86 7.2.2.1 Delivery by Local Authorities procuring transport from private operators or RTP groups Local Authorities do not traditionally have a role in the provision of public transport operations. Their role is the planning and provision of roads and some other transport infrastructure locally to addresses the local transport service requirements. It is, however, acknowledged that a greater Local Authority role in the area of transport delivery at County level could be part of Smarter Travel policy or other policies with regard to local service delivery. This Programme might also be considered within such a context, but these are longer-term policy considerations. It is also acknowledged that other jurisdictions such as the UK use local authorities for service delivery. However, this is in the context of a much greater degree of devolved local governance than is currently the case in Ireland. Notwithstanding the above, consideration of the option for Local Authority delivery of the Programme in the short- to medium-term might require, on the demand side, a liaison function for the Local Authorities to support County level of unmet transport and social inclusion needs assessment including, where possible, maintaining the voluntary RTP group Board structures to support this function. On the transport supply side Programme delivery by the Local Authorities might involve, Procurement of private operated transport services directly Procurement of transport services from RTP groups that have separated in terms of transport operations A coordination/dispatch function for the Local Authorities in matching individual beneficiary transport needs with service procurement Management, administration and reporting function might be provided within the existing Local Authority capacity, and, In Counties where local development companies already are involved in coordination of RTP services and these might continue to fulfil this role on behalf of the Local Authority. The benefits of Local Authority delivery of the Programme might include, Savings in terms of reducing the management costs associated with 36 RTP groups, Optimising and building upon the local voluntary needs assessment structures at County level directly by the Local Authorities that are located in each County, including Community Development Boards and Local Development Companies, Savings in terms of administrative efficiencies and use of Local Authority capacity Minimum disruption to beneficiaries in terms of service levels and demand responsive service availability through the new dispatch and transport coordination functions of the Local Authority, and, 87 Procuring RTP and private operated transport services directly. There are a number of caveats attached to this option. Firstly, public land transport services are provided nationally in Ireland under the remit of the NTA as provided for by the Transport Regulation Act 2009, albeit in consultation with the Local Authorities where decisions for new transport services are concerned. Therefore, giving responsibility to the Local Authorities for provision of transport services locally would require an amendment to the legislative basis for these national structures. Secondly, there are structural considerations which could militate against Programme delivery by the Local Authorities. Individual Local Authorities are organised within County boundaries, a spatial organisation which does not lend itself to transport provision across County boundaries. There would therefore be a requirement for a high degree of cooperation between the different Local Authorities in terms of needs assessments and on a day-to-day basis in terms of coordination and dispatch of transport services. In practice, issues might arise in relation to the co-ordination and delivery of services that would cross a number of County boundaries. There could be related issues of apportionment of fare income or funding for services crossing County boundaries. While the management of infrastructure across County borders, such as, river-basin management is dealt with on an ongoing basis by the Local Authorities, the management of transport services across county borders may hold more challenges to be addressed exclusively under this option for Programme delivery. Finally, there could be additional staff costs involved in the establishment of Local Authorities Programme delivery functions for coordination or transport needs and dispatch functions. Although the requisite skills may exist in Local Authorities such establishment may possibly involve additional public sector posts. In the short- to medium-term at least, employment control framework constraints would militate against additional recruitment within the Local Authorities. As with the other options considered in this Chapter there is no available cost appraisal concerning any potential additional costs that might be associated with Programme delivery by Local Authorities. In addition, in order for the Local Authority option to be viable in terms of transport delivery for this Programme the regulatory and structural concerns would need to be addressed. 7.2.2.2 Delivery by Pobal and Programme restructuring on a sub-regional basis Continued delivery of the Programme under the current organisational structures would be contingent upon improved data concerning Programme effectiveness and the achievement of efficiencies identified in this Review, in the short-term. The findings in Chapter 5, „Costs and Efficiency of the Programme‟, also suggest that the large number of RTP groups is a factor in the high administrative costs of the Programme and this should be addressed within an organisational restructuring to achieve greater efficiencies through shared services and better use of existing capacity 88 including IT capacity. Currently there are 36 RTP groups or operational centres, with 7 counties having two or more operational centres. This option therefore involves Programme delivery through a rationalisation of RTP structures and the continuation of Programme management by Pobal with a view to bringing about efficiencies through, greater shared services achieving economies of scale, consolidation of the cost base across the RTP groups through greater standardisation of practices and activities across the RTP groups, and, greater use of existing IT systems, i.e. GIS and PMS1, to target resources better, reduce duplication of activities involved in paper based recording and reporting would support the new structures. The outline for organisational restructuring would involve retaining community needs driven identification with a more practical and cost effective approach to operations supply, thereby splitting the operational (supply) side of RTP from the community/needs identification (demand) side. This would not affect the service on the ground except where greater efficiencies and targeting of services can be achieved. Similarly, under this new operational centre structure many RTP groups might continue to carry out work in their communities, but in a voluntary capacity without overheads to the Programme. Full management of the transport supply would be vested with the RTP operational centres. The restructuring would take place over a period of 6-12 months and would involve the following, - - rationalising existing RTP groups into a maximum of 18 sub-Regional operational centres (the optimum number may be as few as 12 operational centres) where there is fleet ownership, disengagement through social enterprise or other means; Staff restructuring to fulfil key functions of transport management, assessment and co-ordination of transport needs and dispatch Maintaining the voluntary county level RTP group Boards and county level community structures for needs identification, planning and coordination. The benefits of the re-organisation of current structures would include, - - Supporting further necessary reductions in Programme administration costs toward the achievement of a total proportion administration costs to of 13% of overall Programme costs by 2013, transition costs of restructuring like legal fees, set up costs recruitment etc. would be met from within the Programme budget; reduced direct staffing costs and management functions and greater standardisation of salaries and wages for comparable posts; 89 - - - facilitate better coordination, needs assessment and planning on a Programmewide basis and assist in targeting transport services and the reduction of potential for service duplication; structures organised to optimally provide for greater local integrated transport systems with potential wider efficiency savings to the State in terms of the other State funded transport provision; and, the achievement of efficiencies through shared services, joint tendering and procurement. It should be noted that there is currently no available appraisal of this option for organisational re-structuring and proceeding with this option would be contingent on consideration in the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport of a detailed cost/benefit appraisal and implementation plan. 7.2.2.3 Delivery by NTA following Programme restructuring on a sub-regional basis As stated in the previous section the NTA has responsibility for the regulation and oversight of public transport in Ireland under the 2009 Act and for the award of public service contracts (PSC) on behalf of the Minister for Transport Tourism and Sport. In the light of its regulatory role the NTA would also be well placed to take on the regulatory responsibility for the public transport services under this Programme. The European Regulation 1370/2007 provides for public transport services to be funded by the State under PSC either by means of competitive tendering or in some cases by direct award for a limited period. There may also be potential for adapting the Programme services to a regulatory model such as in the UK whereby community transport services on a not-for-profit basis in rural areas operate under a permit scheme. Appendix O provides an illustration of the different aspects of regulation in the Irish and UK passenger bus transport markets. The issues with regard to policy and legislative options and requirements need to be explored further with regard to the above. Some the benefits arising from involvement of the NTA with the Programme include, - - - - further ongoing Programme efficiencies and savings in terms of transport supply side through the utilisation of NTA capacity and expertise in transport provision, the NTA to build on the current tools for needs assessment developed by Pobal, in particular improvements in the level of data inputs to strengthen the accessibility and deprivation index used by the RTP groups and in conjunction with the NTAs social impact methodology, thereby improving the targeting of „at risk‟ groups in terms of social exclusion in rural areas, the NTA adding value to the information and IT systems currently operated by Pobal in the areas of needs assessment and performance delivery through NTA data holdings and better access to other operators in the market, Better information on and management of issues of deadweight and displacement in the overall passenger bus market in the assessment of the 90 - - effectiveness of rural transport services in addressing the Programme objective, The RTP services to be included in any review of rural/local public transport carried out by the NTA thereby facilitating more comprehensive strategic network planning by the NTA, longer-term planning of the network will result in reduced costs, Enabling wider efficiency savings to be achieved through more coordinated and integrated public transport across the network, The application and enforcement of standards across the passenger transport market, including health and safety, accessibility and, in terms of competition, to ensure a „level playing-pitch‟ for competition between passenger transport providers with regard to transport services on routes that are compensated by means of State funding as a consequence of a public service obligation. However, it is not clear, given the current or restructured organisational arrangement of the Programme how the NTA might reconcile its regulatory functions with managing and administering the Programme. In particular, under the employment control framework in place for public bodies, it is not clear what internal resources of the NTA would be available in the short-term to deliver the Programme. Secondly, while under this option the local needs assessment to continue to be carried out at County level supported by the RTP boards on a voluntary basis, on consultation with the NTA attention was drawn to a current capacity gap with regard to this type of social needs assessment expertise. Therefore a more thorough analysis of this option could be considered by the Department on the basis of a detailed proposal by the NTA concerning bringing the Programme delivery within its remit. Therefore, the option of delivery of the Programme by the NTA, in the short-term, was not considered by the Review Steering Group to be feasible, not least with regard a specific capacity deficit identified by the NTA with regard to the required expertise in social inclusion needs assessment under the Programme and given the current employment control framework context on public sector recruitment. As with the other options there was no available cost appraisal of the various elements making up this option for Programme delivery by the NTA and there was no business case set out addressing how the NTA might deliver the Programme. This option for Programme delivery by the NTA is considered by the Review Steering Committee to be of a medium-term nature and could be considered by the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport on the basis of a business case and better information provided by the NTA. However, it was considered that there is scope to develop a cooperative involvement of the NTA with the Programme in the interim period. 7.2.3 Continue the RTP within a scheme for local integrated transport services A number of initiatives are currently underway to develop the potential for greater integration of local transport services, involving the RTP and other transport providers under the LITS pilots. The development of local integrated transport falls under a sustainable transport objective in line the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport Smarter Travel Policy (2009). In tandem, under the Smarter Travel transport policy a 91 pilot IT system that might have potential to assist as a support for local integrated transport co-ordination is being developed in conjunction with RTP in Sligo. While there is a perception among stakeholders interviewed as part of this Review of the potential for Exchequer savings through the greater integration of State funded transport services, including the RTP, the estimate of these savings has not been quantified. There are also significant identified barriers to integration. Among the potential barriers for the RTP within a scheme for local integrated transport services is the integration of transport services that operate on a private, notfor-profit basis with public passenger transport services. The RTP currently falls between these categories, providing public transport on a not-for-profit basis. The RTP transport services as currently provided would benefit from a regulatory status that acknowledges its unique characteristics within the passenger transport market, particularly with regard to the potential to compete for transport contracts. Within the sectors of private and public transport there are also barriers to integration. For example, brokerage of vehicles between charitable groups could have insurance implications, implications with regard to vetting of the driver, for example as required for SPSV drivers, and must take account of availability and maintenance of the vehicle for its primary purpose. Concerning integration of public bus transport services and infrastructure an example of a key barrier is the location information, accessibility and availability of bus stops for use by all bus operators, this is being addressed by the NTA. Furthermore, with Bus Éireann , the RTP and the NTA, in the case of licensed routes, involved in the separate coordination of their respective sectors of the passenger transport market, this does not readily lend itself to the integration of these transport services locally. Local Bus Éireann branches and the RTP groups co-ordinate their transport services locally, with some ad hoc co-ordination with other local public and private transport services occurring. Private operators are co-ordinated at a national level through the passenger bus route licensing system administered by the NTA and, similarly, SPSV (not including dispatch) licensing is administered on a national rather than local basis by the NTA (CTR). The evaluation of the LITS pilot process to date has demonstrated the potential in integrating services at a local level, however success in achieving integration has been limited due to a number of factors, not least, the need for strategic drivers to create change which would result in more integrated transport on the ground, a factor identified through the LITS pilot process. These drivers for potential change towards greater integration include, co-ordination at a strategic level between the funding Departments and other key stakeholders, co-ordinating structures to set standards and service requirements, a standardised approach to facilitate joint procurement of tendered and contracted services, integration of fares and ticketing, a common journey or network planner for all transport services, allowing all possible journey option to be visible and optimised and the supporting legal framework to ensure transport service integration. Greater integration of local transport services is aligned to the key goals and targets in the Smarter Travel Strategy, which identifies actions in relation to Rural Transport and School Transport in particular. Developments under the IT pilot project in Sligo 92 funded under Smarter Travel could have potential use within the context of an Irish based IT support system for the local coordination of transport services. In terms of wider economic policy and the driver for savings under the National Plan for Recovery 2010-2014, the experiences to date on the pilot LITS and the cross-border rural transport pilot reflect the scale of the task involved in achieving local integrated transport and the level of ongoing work required in this area before wider efficiency savings can be realised. The community-based model of the transport provision under this Programme, i.e. for the identification of transport needs locally and for transport service provision through pre-booked demand responsive services, as well as the range of transport service modes that they incorporate, bus, SPSV and community car, are all factors that would lend themselves to a Scheme for local integrated transport provision. However, the organisational structures of this Programme may not be the best available option with regard to integration given the key findings of this Review concerning the inefficiencies in Programme administration and operations. Furthermore, the lack of data concerning possible displacement or deadweight with regard to RTP services suggests that not all RTP services as they currently operate may have a strategic role or benefits within a local integrated transport system. Furthermore the transport services for the general public provided under a scheme of locally integrate transport with a sustainable transport objective would not necessarily cross over with transport services with a social inclusion objective, i.e. catering for very specific and sometimes specialised transport needs and requirements. 7.3 Continued relevance of the Programme – the preferred policy option This Review concludes that while there is a lack of available data to support a conclusion of Programme effectiveness in meeting its objective, there is some evidence that supports the continued relevance of the policy objective to address unmet transport needs of target groups in rural areas under a social inclusion objective. This Review contains key findings concerning inefficiencies in Programme administration and delivery which need to be addressed if the Programme is to continue. Furthermore the lack of available evidence supporting the effectiveness of the Programme needs to be addressed, both in terms of social inclusion impacts in terms of meeting expected intermediate outcomes, i.e. - addressing unmet transport needs through extending the target group coverage, increasing national coverage of the Programme, and, diversifying its services provision beyond the transport needs of older people. Any recommendation of this review concerning a preferred organisational option for programme delivery must be predicated upon these identified value for money issues being addressed in the short-term. In addition, it is acknowledged that under any of the options for Programme delivery considered in this Section, the status of the transport services provided under the 93 Programme needs to be clarified within the context of the system of public transport regulation in Ireland and the wider policy context of State funding of passenger transport requiring regulated competition in the market. Concerning the option for delivery of the Programme by Local Authorities within the short- to medium-term, notwithstanding the regulatory and structural issues identified on the transport supply side, the Review Steering Committee view was that there is scope for greater alignment of the Local Authorities with the Programme on the demand side, in terms of a role in transport planning and the requirement for transport needs assessment under the RTP. Many RTP groups already have involvement with the Local Authorities in their areas to varying degrees around the country for the purposes of transport planning and needs assessment, as set out in the table at Appendix S. To support the policy option of continuation of the Programme delivery by Pobal and the RTP groups it would be expected that data and reporting systems are in place to support the evaluation of the Programme achievement of expected intermediate outcomes, within a very short timeframe within 2011, by which to make an assessment concerning the Programme‟s effectiveness and continued relevance. Continuation of Programme delivery by Pobal and the RTP groups would also be predicated on an achievement of the efficiencies identified in this Review, as well as, a detailed appraisal by Pobal of the further efficiencies to be achieved through organisational re-structuring on a sub-regional basis. The organisational structures under this option would potentially have greater fit-for-purpose in terms of Programme delivery and in terms of integrated local transport and the achievement of combined costs savings for a range of State funded transport provision. The consideration of the option for NTA delivery of the Programme by the Review Steering Committee it was concluded that this was a medium-term organisational option. However, it was considered that in the interim period the NTA could potentially have a greater involvement with the Programme in terms of regulation and greater transport integration. On the transport supply side there is potential for added value through Programme delivery by the NTA involving, monitoring of Programme deadweight and displacement of transport services, strategic planning for the whole public passenger transport network, the application and enforcement of standards including ensuring a „level playing-pitch‟ in terms of market competition, and, co-ordination and integration of public passenger transport operations and infrastructure. However, the medium-term policy option of Programme delivery by the NTA would require a more robust consideration by the Department of Transport Tourism and Sport based on a detail proposal by the NTA. With regards to the policy option for continuation of the Programme within the context of local integrated transport systems, work is ongoing in terms of potential delivery options for more sustainable and integrated local and rural transport provision and the potential for achievement of wider efficiency savings in terms of a 94 range State funded transport provision. However, the Review Steering Committee view is that within the scope of this Review there were no specific value for money recommendations arising for the Programme with regard to LITS or Smarter Travel Policy. 95 CHAPTER 8 KEY FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS 8.1 Introduction This chapter sets out the main findings of the Review with regard to the degree to which the Programme is efficient an effective in the achievement of the Programme objectives as examined in the previous Chapters 4, 5 and 6, as well as, the Review conclusion following the discussion in Chapter 7 concerning the preferred policy and organisational option for public policy intervention. 8.2 The Programme objective and its continued relevance A key finding of the Review is that the connection between the high-level social inclusion objective through to the Programme targets and supporting performance indicators is not clearly made. The Programme‟s cross-cutting high-level social inclusion objective is not specifically mentioned within the Department of Transport Strategy Statement. Similarly, within the agreed MoU between the Department of Transport and Pobal and other relevant Programme documentation, including the principles for the RTP groups, there is a need for a clearer connection to be made between stated objectives and aims, targets and key performance indicators, linking them to the high-level social inclusion objective. While a key finding of this Review concerns the lack of available data to support Programme assessment, as set out in Section 8.4, the continued relevance of the Programme objective is supported by a number of factors. Firstly, by the connection between unmet transport need and underlying problems of social exclusion made in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006). This is supported by a range of public policies including social inclusion, rural and community development, health, transport accessibility, etc., which place transport as a key element within policy intervention towards greater social inclusion of at-risk rural dwellers. However, that there is no available evidence in an Irish context to suggest a connection between changes in transport provision and levels of social inclusion. Secondly, there is some available evidence suggesting the persistence of transport and access problems in rural areas, in particular for older people and people with disabilities and mobility difficulties. While the levels of car ownership have increased in rural areas, the impact of this trend on levels of unmet transport needs or on social exclusion among the target group beneficiaries of this Programme is not clear. 8.3 Effectiveness of the Programme Notwithstanding the difficulties in measuring improvements to social inclusion as a final outcome of this transport-based Programme, the perception of some stakeholders 96 involved in the research carried out for this Review suggests that this Programme has social inclusion benefits for people in rural areas who use the RTP services and in particular those people in the target groups, i.e. older people and people with a disability. However, these views were not taken from beneficiary level and are based solely on the views of individuals within RTP groups and representative organisations concerning some categories of the beneficiary passenger target groups. Supporting this view are some testimonials from RTP users contained in the Programme Performance Monitoring Reports (Pobal, 2008 and 2009) and some available independent ethnographic research (Intel, 2009) (Ahern, A. and Hine, J. 2010). However, it should be noted that this evidence reflects the views of some beneficiaries and, therefore, may not be representative. With regard to the expected intermediate outcome of the Programme, i.e. greater transport provision targeted at people living in rural areas who are socially excluded as a result of unmet transport needs, a key finding of this Review concerns the need for quantitative data by which to measure the current level of social exclusion as a result of unmet transport needs, and the extent of improvements, if any, that have been made which can be attributed to this Programme. Table 8.1 below contains key findings of this Review with regard to Programme effectiveness. Table 8.1: Key findings of Programme effectiveness in achieving the expected intermediate outcome Expected Findings Chapter 6 Intermediate Reference Outcome Increase in target group coverage Impact on the level of unmet transport need: 6.3.1 The number of actual RTP users in 2009 has not seen an increase to the extent envisage by estimates for 2011 in Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) There is no up-to-date actual data on unmet transport need or travel frequency of RTP passengers There is scope to review the high-level target for social inclusion for 1 trip per week per person recommended in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006). This target is out of date and should be redesigned to take account of current demand and service delivery patterns It is not possible to assume all services on routes with a high ranking in terms of the Pobal deprivation and accessibility index target beneficiaries within the identified target social-economic group of people on low incomes. There is no available data on passenger journeys taken by people with disabilities, physical, sensory or intellectual Data on the level of accessibility of RTP services including availability of passenger assistants is not detailed enough 97 The high level of passenger journeys by women on the RTP services has been maintained relative to men, this is also reflected in the high levels of women using FTP Findings of qualitative research carried out since 2002 is that rural men could be a target group under this Programme, suggesting scope to review the original target groups identified in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) There has been a slight downward trend by two percent in the proportion of passenger journeys by younger people between 2004 and 2009, while the actual numbers of journeys has doubled over the same period Trends supported by available data show levels of passenger journeys within the age cohorts, by gender and FTP users but it is not clear whether these passenger journeys addressed unmet transport needs The proportion of flexible or demand-responsive services is not clear due to differing interpretation by the RTP groups concerning the categories of service model. The level of flexible or demand-responsive services is not a strong indicator of better targeting of services. Increase in national coverage Necessary data on the number of Electoral District 6.3.2 Areas with RTP services was not available Output data on increase number of passenger journeys and services indicate an expansion of RTP services but not in a demographic or geographic context There is an increase over the period of the review in the number of RTP groups, to cover every County. This however is not in itself an indicator of greater national coverage by the Programme in terms of the target group beneficiaries. Greater diversification of RTP services Necessary data on the purpose of RTP passenger 6.3.3 journeys was not available The RTP services cater for passengers across the age cohorts but trends between 2004-2009 show over half of passenger journeys remain in the 65+ age cohort Perceptions of some respondents consulted for this review among the RTP groups is that RTP services have diversified beyond the transport needs of older people, but this perception is not supported by the quantitative data 98 8.4 Measurement of the effectiveness of the Programme - findings concerning lack of data The lack of the necessary data by which to measure the effectiveness of the Programme in meeting the social inclusion objective or in achieving the intermediate expected outcomes, is a serious gap in the evaluation evidence required to support a rationale for Programme continuation. 8.4.1 Unmet transport needs Initial baseline quantitative data concerning the levels of unmet transport need in rural areas generally and for socially isolated target groups specifically can be found in the 2006 Fitzpatrick Associates study based on a national rural transport survey in 2002 compiled by the Community Development Boards of the Local Authorities. A preliminary analysis has been set out in this Review with regard to an estimate for 2009 RTP users against Fitzpatrick Associates (2006) projected estimates for 2011. However, the estimates and assumptions underlying the data cannot be verified by actual data and trends, i.e. of unmet transport needs and of travel patterns of RTP passengers and frequency rates of usage. 8.4.2 Connecting to high-level targets While there is a system of Programme performance monitoring in place, a key weakness of the Programme Performance Monitoring Strategy is with regard to the measurement of the Programme effectiveness in achievement of the social inclusion objective. The above Strategy does not provide for the connection between the targets for Programme delivery and the high-level targets relating to the social inclusion objective. While the targets in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006) may be based on assumptions relating to growth in Programme funding and levels of unmet transport need, there is also a paucity of necessary data sources to support conclusions in this area, e.g. data relating to travel patterns, connectivity and purpose of trips. This highlights a failure within the context of the MoU and to establish and maintain an agreed monitoring framework for the Programme. 8.4.3 Unintended consequences In addition, there is no available data concerning deadweight loss with regard to, the extent to which the transport services under this Programme might have occurred through non-State funded community and voluntary efforts, the extent of use of the transport services under this Programme by non-target group beneficiaries, and, whether RTP services are overlapping with rather than connecting with other transport services. 99 The private bus operator‟s representative group, as part of the consultation for this review, suggested that there is displacement of private bus services by RTP services. The necessary financial data on the various income streams of the RTP groups has not been recorded centrally under the Programme and therefore was not available for analysis under this Review. This is particularly important as some RTP services are providing transport for HSE clients or for school transport under contract. While the principles of the RTP services are to complementing rather than compete with existing or other commercial or State transport services, this needs to be subject to an objective analysis. Despite the lack of data there is a clear risk that the existence of multiple funding streams for RTP groups may facilitate cross-subsidization of services and displacement of other private and public transport services. An underlying concern with regard to the potential for displacement of other public transport services by transport services under this Programme needs to be addressed in terms of the overall status of the transport services provided under this Programme within the existing public passenger transport regulatory framework. 8.4.4 Programme impact on beneficiaries There were identifiable data gaps with regard to data sources supporting the performance indicators of impact i.e. thematic impact research, under the Programme performance and monitoring strategy, which were not in place, as a consequence of the high resource demands involved in carrying out such research. There are also acknowledged difficulties with measurement of social inclusion impacts. The need for quantitative and qualitative data to support performance indicators of social inclusion impacts that can be translated into value for money assessments is not specific to this Programme. 8.4.5 Programme output There should be better alignment between the information and data reported by the RTP groups and the reporting requirements of the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport. For example, the range of sub-categories under the output indicator of model of service that is notified to the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport, i.e. scheduled service, demand responsive service and occasional service, is different to those requested from the RTP groups and Pobal envisage further changes to the sub-categories and greater clarity for the RTP groups concerning the definition of each sub-category. The subcategories under accessibility, i.e. fully accessible and partially accessible do not provide sufficient information concerning the level of vehicle and service accessibility. Consideration should also be given to the usefulness of other output indicators for comparative and reporting purposes. Recording the number of unique passengers/ users of RTP services would be a more meaningful indicator than the number of passenger journeys. Having passenger/kilometres as an indicator would be useful as a key measure of geographic coverage and for the purpose of making comparisons with 100 alternative public transport services. More data concerning travel patterns and purpose of travel, capacity of services, times and frequency of travel, and connecting trips could also be useful in terms of decision-making for Programme management and service delivery across the RTP groups, as well as, a measure of the overall extent and coverage of the RTP services. On the transport demand side there is a need for better data on the target groups, e.g. on the level of women, young and older people with unmet transport needs who are benefiting from the Programme. Data on the levels of people with disability whether physical, sensory or intellectual should also be collected. The assessment of needs, including the socio-economic targeting of people on lower incomes, using the accessibility and deprivation index should be strengthened with the necessary data inputs. The GIS IT capability should be used to assist in the objective verification of the local assessments made at County level. In addition, the online integrated GIS and PMS1 data systems, which might have allowed for easier access to relevant output data concerning, for example, to indicate increased coverage in demographic or geographic terms, were not in place in time for this Review. 8.5 Costs and efficiency of the Programme in meeting its objectives The following Review findings on cost and efficiency raise serious concerns about the efficient delivery of the Programme and identify specific areas where cost efficiencies could be achieved by Pobal and the RTP groups. It is clear that certain inefficiencies have worsened since the Programme became mainstreamed. These Programme inefficiencies represent an opportunity cost elsewhere in the economy not least in terms of the potential lost social inclusion benefits to rural dwellers in other parts of the country where there is also identified unmet transport need It should be noted that costs analysis contained in this Review uses data up to and including 2009 figures and does not include 2010 data. However, this should not materially affect the relevance of the Review findings concerning Programme efficiency or the recommendations arising. It is also noted that the financial data concerning the different income streams of the RTP groups, which was not available for this Review, affected both the findings relating to the cost ratio of inputs to outputs and the outcome of preliminary unit cost data analysis carried out under the Review. 8.5.1 Programme costs There has been an increase in passenger journeys and RTP services over the period 2004-2009. However, this has been exceeded by an increase in State funding over the same period and by the rate of increase in RTP group administration costs in particular over the period 2007-2009. In 2005, the subvention for Rural Transport was less than 50% that of the Regional Airports whereas in 2009 it amounted to 80% of the per passenger journey subvention for the Regional Airports. In addition, when compared to Bus Éireann costs, the findings for the RTP are not favourable. As a 101 direct comparison this would indicate that the value for money on the RTP is decreasing. This shows that the Programme is inefficient and in particular that inefficiencies exist in the cost control of the RTP groups. Analysis of the breakdown of RTP group (gross) costs suggest that the high level of salaries and wages, rather than an increase in staff numbers, make up the largest amount of the costs increase, this indicates that RTP groups are not efficient in terms of staffing resources. With regard to operational costs and costs for salaries and wages in particular it is reasonable to expect that a greater number of services will require a greater number of drivers, however, with regard to dispatch operators and administrative staff it would also be expected to see economies of scale occurring in terms of a smaller increase in associated costs. In addition, within the operational costs breakdown the greatest increase is for subcontracting of RTP services to the private operator transport sector, which is expected given the high growth in service numbers and the limited sources for capital finance for the RTP. However, the increase is much higher than would be expected relative to passenger journey numbers, e.g. 30% versus 20%. It was not possible to assess the total revenue relating to capital expenditure, as to date only revenue associated with Programme expenditure is reported on by the RTP groups. 8.5.2 Administration costs Taken together the administration costs for the Programme are high. High administration costs has been a persistent concern with this Programme as indicated in the Fitzpatrick Associates (2006) review of the RTI Group costs and highlighted in the review of the Rural Transport Night Service carried out by the then Department for Community, Rural and Gaeltacht Affairs (2009). Since 2008, there has been a decrease in Pobal administration costs through staff cuts and other cost savings but there is further significant scope for streamlining these costs. Administration costs as percentage of total costs of the RTP groups has also decreased since 2008, however in 2009 still made up 22% of total costs. This figure would still appear to be too high and is an area where further savings are possible. By reducing the RTP group administration cost by a 10% from 22% proportion of total costs a saving of approximately €1.2m based on 2009 figures would be achieved. The above savings would result in that total administration costs as a percentage of Exchequer funding for the Programme falling to 15%. This figure is still in excess of the administration cost level for other Exchequer funded transport programmes. For example on the School Transport Scheme, the comparable administration costs in 2008 amounted to 14% with a further reduction recommended in the Review of the Scheme in 2010. For this Programme it is recommended that a further €300k of savings on administration costs is made. Assuming there are no further savings to be made from the administration budget from the RTP groups themselves, then this further reduction should come from Pobal‟s own administration budget. Based on 2009 figures this would reduce Pobal‟s administration spend to €800k and would result in total administration expenditure of the Programme amounting to €1.8m, 102 down from €3.3m in 2009 and achieving 13% total administration costs as a proportion of total Exchequer funding. It is clear that although savings have already been made there remains a lack of clarity and transparency as to where savings were made within reported RTP group accounts. There are a number of areas where efficiency savings can be made, e.g. at management and administration levels and through the cessation of inefficient services. 8.5.3 Operating costs The analysis of RTP group level data on cost per passenger journey and per service show an extreme range of costs from €22.00 to €364.00 per service. There are a number of factors to which this broad range of costs could be attributed, for example, population density, journey distances, number of demand-responsive services, number of FTP passengers and efficiency in operating costs. A number of these factors are related to inefficiency of some RTP services, in particular where there is excessively low service capacity utilisation or low „load factor‟. To draw conclusions regarding the relative cost efficiency of the services provided by RTP groups would require cognisance of the range of variable factors. However, a preliminary review of per service and per passenger journey operating costs suggest that there is scope to achieve greater efficiency at the level of Programme activity across the RTP groups through greater use of cost control mechanisms and incentives for performance, e.g. load factor and unit cost benchmarking. The effect of unit cost may be underestimated as it is not clear if all costs and expenditure by RTP for Transport activities have been included. Similarly, the RTP groups do not report on all other non-State sources of revenue and income by source type. The lack of information on sources of income has represented a serious drawback to the work of this Review. An analysis of funding is a basic pre-requisite for unit cost analysis and this data gap needs to be addressed as a matter of priority. 8.5.4 Fare Income As illustrated in the previous analysis of unit costs and the level of RTP services and passenger journeys, there are issues of capacity utilisation that need to be addressed in order to increase passenger numbers and related fare income. This can be achieved through better planning of services, matching service mode to passenger demand, alternative scheduling, different routes, as well as, better information and promotion on services locally and targeting services to the key beneficiary groups. Income per passenger journey for RTP is low when compared to Bus Éireann, which has commercial services and carries significantly less proportion of FTP passenger journeys on its local/rural/commuter scheduled services than the RTP as a percentage of its total passenger journeys. However, income per fare paying passenger journey on RTP services is similar to Bus Éireann income per passenger journey levels. In the absence of any comparative analysis on the price elasticity of demand as it might 103 apply to the RTP services, the effect on passenger demand of raising RTP fares cannot be concluded. However, a negative impact on the affordability of the RTP services would certainly be counter to the equality of access principle under the social inclusion objective of the Programme. Affordability impacts might be greater for some RTP groups more than for others, as there appears to be a variety of fare levels and structures in operation across the RTP groups based on available data from 2007. There is no fares policy being applied across the RTP services and the absence of onboard ticketing makes the control of fares difficult in particular for „hail and ride‟. However, „hail „n ride‟ makes up only a small proportion of RTP passenger journeys, 13% in 2008. There is scope for standardization of fares across the RTP groups and services, taking account of the variety of transport modes and models in operation, as a first step towards exploration of the options for increasing fare levels and in doing so increase the potential for raising revenue and thereby achieve a reduction in State funding of the Programme. 8.5.5 Free Travel Pass (FTP) There are more FTP than fare paying passenger journeys on RTP services. In comparison to the proportion of FTP passenger journeys on Bus Éireann local/commuter/rural services there are a significantly higher proportion of FTP passenger journeys on the RTP services. The cost to the Department of Social Protection for FTP passenger journeys on the RTP services has been far below the cost to the Department of Transport. Comparison with Bus Éireann services with regard to this division of funding concerning FTP passenger journeys was not possible due to the necessary data sets not being available. 8.5.6 Discretionary free travel The „other free‟ category of RTP passenger journey comprises of clubs and groups who are provided with transport but do not make a contribution towards it, as well as, for children, who travel for free. The number of „other free‟ passenger journeys has grown over the period of the RTP at a greater rate than fare paying passenger journeys, which has declined over the same period. Similarly, the cost burden associated with the „other free‟ category is also increasing year-on-year, particularly in relation to fare income available from RTP services. The „other free‟ passenger journey category amounted to 5.9% of Programme passenger journeys in 2009. With an operational spend by the RTP groups of €7,569,501, this indicates an estimated potential cost saving calculated on a per passenger journey basis of up to €450,000 if this category of travel was terminated. 8.5.7 Summary of key findings concerning cost and efficiency of the Programme The following Table 8.2 provides a summary of the key findings contained in Chapter 5, ‟Cost and efficiency of the Programme‟. 104 Table 8.2: Summary of findings concerning costs and efficiency of the Programme Cost/Revenue Key Findings Chapter 5 Category Reference Programme 5.2 Of the four State funding streams to the RTP over Costs the period 2002-2009 the Department of Transport has contributed to the largest proportion of costs of the Programme Programme administration costs have increased as a 5.2.1 & percentage of total spend over the 2005-2009 period 5.9.4 5.9.5 While there has been a reduction in Pobal administration costs in recent years, i.e. since 2008, further work is required to continue to reduce these costs 5.9.2 Pobal continues to play a role in supporting individual RTP groups rather than support delivery at a Programme level, placing further demands on administrative resources available to Pobal and raising questions concerning residual underdevelopment of capacity in some RTP groups. This is not consistent with growth in salary levels across staff in RTP groups It is not clear whether the optimal interface between 5.9.6 Pobal and the RTP Network of RTP groups is being achieved. Also, there is a lack of clarity with regard to the RTP Network role and with regard to the funding source through RTP group membership fees and any conflict of interest or value for money issues arising. 5.9.2 & Cost efficiencies through economies of scale for 5.9.3 example in terms of joint procurement or shared service cannot be achieved within the current organisational structure and the large number of RTP groups Exchequer subvention makes up the vast majority of 5.3 reported RTP groups receipts. The full estimate of RTP group income is not available centrally. The lack of data on the different income sources of the RTP groups is a major deficiency in financial reporting. 5.6 The increase in State funding of the Programme over the last six years has not seen an equivalent increase in passenger journey numbers or service numbers A direct comparison with the Regional Airports 5.7 regarding the subvention per passenger journey and total percentage subvention indicates that value for 105 money is not being achieved by the RTP in relative terms and is worsening in comparative terms5. Volunteerism at all levels of Programme activity 5.9.5 (1,160 volunteers in 2009) from Board membership, as Community Car drivers, Passenger Assistants and in many other operational, administrative and advocacy areas contribute significant cost savings, estimated by Pobal up to €350,000 based on 2008 figures RTP group Administration Costs RTP group Operating Costs As a proportion of overall RTP group expenditure from Department of Transport funding, administration costs increased sharply by 51% over the period 2006-2007 when the Programme was mainstreamed, but has declined in subsequent years. Notwithstanding the reduction in administration costs since 2008 the level of administration costs for the Programme remains high Based on 2009 figures, there is a wide variance in the proportion of administration costs for individual RTP groups above the 22% identified for total RTP group administration costs, and in some newer RTP groups the proportion administration costs were over 40%. Clarity and transparency is required concerning recent reported cost reductions and going forward in terms of reported projected and actual costs The increase in the wages and salaries costs of the RTP groups does not indicate that the RTP groups are being sufficiently efficient in terms of resources The large number of RTP groups does not facilitate administrative cost efficiencies or beneficial economies of scale through shared services. 5.9.1 While some increases would be expected due to the increase in passenger services over the 2004-2009 period, it is outweighed by the increase in operational expenditure Operating costs has seen the largest increase as a percentage of total RTP group costs between 20072009 Wages and salaries have more than doubled between 2007-2009 as a result of increase in levels of wages and salaries rather than the increase in staff numbers The cost of sub-contracting services has increased by 39% between 2007 and 2009 and there is little scope 5.9.1 5 5.9.1 5.9.1 5.9.1 5.9.2 5.9.3 5.9.3 5.9.3 5.9.3 It is accepted that a comparison of aviation and rural transport may not be like-for-like comparison due to the differing nature of the transport services provided. Nevertheless, the different trends in the proportion of State subvention required for both types of service is worth noting. 106 for cost efficiency through joint procurement within the current RTP group structures, whereby each RTP group tenders separately for services The increase in RTP operational expenditure over the period 2007-2009 has far outweighed the increase in operational expenditure of Bus Éireann over this period Some RTP groups are getting far better value for money in terms of unit costs per passenger journey and per service At the extreme end cost per service of some RTP groups is unusually high and utilisation of capacity in terms of number of passenger journeys per service is unusually low in some cases indicating a requirement for a maximum cost per service and minimum number of passengers or passenger journeys per service There is an unusually high number of services in proportion to the total number of passenger journeys being delivered by some RTP groups There may be other factors effecting unit cost analysis and these should be reviewed by Pobal and reported to the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport There is scope for incorporating cost control incentives and performance targets for operation within the contract between Pobal and the RTP groups and enforcement of these. 5.9.3 5.9.8 5.9.8 5.9.8 5.9.8 5.9.8.3 RTP group Capital Costs If RTP groups have received funding from other sources for capital expenditure, it is not reflected in financial reports to Pobal. Best practice in accounting terms would require disclosure of all costs and sources of funding relating to the Programme 5.9.1 Fare Income The numbers of fare paying passenger journeys has decreased over the period 2004-2009 Based on comparison with Bus Éireann average fares are not exceptionally low or high Analysis of 2007 fares shows a wide disparity in fare structures and levels across the RTP groups, e.g. fare levels ranging from €2 to €5 for a single journey Standardisation of fares is not helped by the absence of on-board ticketing on the majority of RTP services There is an absence of an overall fares policy for the Programme 5.5 107 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 Free Travel Pass Discretionary free travel Over half of RTP passenger journeys are FTP each year over the period 2004-2009 The cost to the Department of Social Protection of the FTP on RTP services has been far below the cost to the Department of Transport. The „other free‟ category has increased year-on-year over the period 2004-2009 5.5 5.8 5.5 8.6 Continued relevance of the Programme and alternative policy and organisational options Notwithstanding the complexities and difficulties with regard to identifying and measuring the final social inclusion impacts relating to transport provision under the Programme, there is some evidence for a conclusion that the social inclusion objective of this Programme has continued relevance. This is based on the acknowledged market failure of commercial public transport in rural areas due to low population densities and the higher costs involved,, as well as, based on some limited qualitative evidence regarding social inclusion benefits for the Programme. The Programme is also providing increasing transport services to target groups, in particular the over 65 age cohort. However, it should be noted that the arguments relating to continuation of this Programme are finely balanced and there are also strong arguments in favour of discontinuation of the Programme. These include the lack of evidence on effectiveness as well as the serious ongoing concerns over Programme efficiency and cost effectiveness. Notwithstanding the latter, which raises serious concerns over the value for money in continuing the Programme, a subsidised public transport scheme is a standard supply side approach to the rural transport problem in many jurisdictions. In addition, it is uncertain if other policy alternatives such as direct payments or measures targeting the underlying social inclusion needs such as social services outreach, would constitute a better solution. The Review has concluded that the Programme should continue but that significant improvement in performance measurement, efficiency and performance management by Pobal is necessary. In order for the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport to justify the Programme these improvements must be delivered in the short-term. A number of alternative organisational options for Programme delivery were considered in Chapter 7, „Consideration of policy and organisational options‟. It is acknowledged that the lack of data and evidence concerning current levels of unmet transport need, Programme effectiveness and what works in terms of Programme delivery, also, did not support the comparative analysis of alternative organisational options. Therefore it has not been possible to conclusively assess the merits of the alternative organisational delivery options to address the efficiency issues. The main alternatives considered were: Delivery by Local Authorities procuring transport from private operators or RTP groups, 108 Delivery by Pobal and Programme restructuring on a sub-regional basis, and, Delivery by NTA following Programme restructuring on a sub-regional basis. Considerations of the option for Local Authority delivery of the Programme in the short- to medium-term concluded that the significant regulatory and structural concerns militated against this option. It is concluded, however, that while these obstacles raise some concern over Local Authority delivery on the transport supplyside, the Local Authorities should have a greater alignment with the Programme on the demand-side in terms of the County-level assessments concerning transport needs. Policy considerations for a greater role for Local Authorities in transport service provision under Smarter Travel or within a wider policy for local service delivery, might also involve this Programme, but these are longer-term policy considerations. Similarly involvement of Local Authorities in delivery of rural transport may be a viable option in the long-term once regulatory and structural concerns have been addressed. It is acknowledged that there may be added value brought about through NTA involvement with the Programme in term of overall regulation, coordination and planning of the public transport network in Ireland, particularly with regard to integrated transport systems. However, there may be capacity issues concerning the NTA taking on the administration of the Programme. In particular this applies to the County-based social inclusion needs assessment, for which the NTA has stated it has no current expertise. However, there is an acknowledgement that the capacity and expertise within the NTA on the transport supply side may have potential to drive greater Programme efficiency savings through reduced overall Programme administration costs, as well as, facilitating the achievement of wider efficiency savings through greater integration of existing public transport provision. On consideration of option of Programme delivery by the NTA the Review Steering Committee concluded that potential for staged transfer of the Programme within the remit of the NTA could be a medium-term policy option. In the interim, there is an acknowledgement of the potential in some policy areas of mutual interest for NTA involvement with the Programme, for example, with regard to the ongoing policy development for local integrated transport services. On consideration of all the policy options therefore, the preferred policy option is for significant restructuring on a sub-regional basis of the current organisational arrangements for Programme delivery by Pobal and the RTP groups, pending provision of a sufficiently robust business case by Pobal in this regard. This would aim to achieve greater efficiencies as recommended in this Review. In the short-term the question of the continued relevance of the Programme must be addressed in terms of supplying evidence of identifiable positive trends supporting the Programme effectiveness and meeting unmet rural transport needs of target groups under a social inclusion objective. Continuation of the Programme should also have regard to the need, as identified in Chapters 2, „The Policy Context of the Programme‟, concerning the risk of transport service displacement, to address the status of the transport services provided under the Programme within the context of the current public transport regulatory system and 109 the wider policy context of State funding of passenger transport requiring regulated competition in the market. In addition, the option for continuation of the Programme within the context of a scheme for local integrated transport was considered. The potential for synergies between the transport provision under this Programme with other transport providers has been a key focus for policy development in the area of local integrated transport systems. Notwithstanding any identified structural or regulatory barriers to greater local transport integration, the potential for savings achievable through greater local integration of State funded transport provision has not been estimated or quantified. The Review Steering Committee considered the option of Programme delivery within a scheme for local transport services. The conclusion was that while wider efficiencies for State funded transport, (e.g. Rural Transport the School Transport Scheme or the HSE transport services), could be achieved through local transport integration systems, there are no specific value for money recommendations arising in this Review for the Programme, as the quantification of the wider integration savings fell outside the scope of the VfM examination of the Review. Furthermore, although the Review Steering Committee noted the „Smarter Travel‟ (2009) objectives for greater sustainable and integrated local and rural transport, it was concluded that there are no specific value for money recommendations currently arising for the Programme. 110 CHAPTER 9 REVIEW RECOMMENDATIONS 9.1 Introduction Following on from the analysis, findings and conclusions in the preceding chapters of this Review, this Chapter sets out the recommendations arising from the key findings identified in Chapter 8, as well as, setting out the key performance indicators to monitor and evaluate any future public expenditure. 9.2 High-level Programme objectives, targets and progress reporting The findings of this Review highlight the need for a clear statement of objectives, targets and performance indicators for the Programme. A clearer identification of the high-level, cross-cutting, objective of social inclusion of this Programme could be included within the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport overall high-level strategic framework. The Programme objectives and aims need to be set out in the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport Memorandum of Understanding with Pobal, linking them to the high-level social inclusion objective. This also needs to be drilled down to the level of Programme principles, to be adhered to by the RTP groups. A clearer connection between the high-level policy objectives of social inclusion with the objectives for Programme implementation in terms of addressing unmet transport needs of the target groups in rural areas is required to facilitate evaluation of the Programme within a wider social inclusion policy context. The re-articulation of the Programme objectives should also facilitate the on-going progress reporting for the monitoring of the Programme frontline delivery by the RTP groups and by Pobal. Targets need to be developed that are meaningful in terms of the high-level social inclusion objective and that are realistic in terms of the expected Programme achievement in addressing unmet transport needs. These targets should be drilled down to the individual key performance indicators relating to Programme effectiveness and efficiency. This Review proposes the following re-articulation of the Programme objective to be considered in the development of the next MoU: “The achievement of social inclusion through transport provision, nationally, targeted at specific groups of people, i.e. women, older people, people with disabilities- sensory, cognitive and physical, and people on lower incomes, who are living in rural areas and who are socially excluded as a result of unmet transport needs.” The associate Programme aims include, 111 Better targeting of transport to the target groups of people with unmet transport needs, including women, older people, people with disabilitiessensory, cognitive and physical, and people on lower incomes Greater spatial coverage of RTP services in rural areas where there is identified unmet transport needs Greater diversification of RTP services to cater for transport needs of other socially excluded groups beyond those of older people The principles within which the RTP groups operate would also fall from the programme objective and these could also be re-articulated to include first principles such as value for money, equity, partnership, volunteerism, innovation, etc. 9.3 Continued relevance of the Programme The key finding of this Review concerns the lack of data and information on levels of social exclusion of rural dwellers as a result of unmet transport needs. This Review recommends that this information is sourced to support analysis and to inform policy decision-making concerning, - the extent of the underlying policy problem and the continued relevance of the Programme objective, the review of high-level targets concerning social inclusion and unmet transport needs in rural areas, the Programme‟s effectiveness in achieving the policy objective, any future assessment with regard to policy and organisational options for Programme delivery. With regard to the consideration of policy and organisational options in the previous Chapter 7, „Consideration of policy and organisational options‟, this Review recommends the continuation of the Programme. However, with regard to the Review findings concerning Programme inefficiencies and the lack of evidence to support an evaluation of Programme effectiveness, continued Programme delivery by Pobal and the RTP groups, based on an organisational restructuring, relies upon these findings of the Review being addressed, 1. sufficient evidence of Programme effectiveness in meeting its objective in terms of expected intermediate outcomes, in the first instance, and 2. the achievement of the minimum efficiency savings as identified in this Review recommendations. Should fulfillment of the above conditions support the continuation of the Programme, a restructuring of the current organisational structures for Programme delivery by Pobal and the RTP groups is recommended as a means to deliver further Programme efficiencies through greater shared services. These efficiencies could achieve the further reduction in Programme administration costs recommended by this Review towards a target of 13% of Programme costs. It could also result in savings 112 for other State funded transport service provision through facilitating potentially greater integration locally. The proposed organizational restructuring would be based upon consideration by the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport of a detailed appraisal by Pobal setting out the costs and benefits of restructuring, including how the transition costs of organisational restructuring would be met from within Programme budget as well as a detailed implementation plan. This Review also acknowledges the need, within a reasonable timeframe, to address the status of the transport services provided under the Programme within the context of the system of public transport regulation in Ireland and the wider policy context of State funding of passenger transport requiring regulated competition in the market. It is also recommended, should the Programme continue, that there should be a greater alignment of the Local Authorities with the County-level assessment of needs under the Programme on the transport demand-side. Consideration should also be given to a staged involvement of the NTA with the Programme in the short- to medium-term, building an involvement by the NTA with the Programme, in particular, within regard to ongoing policy development for local integrated transport provision, as well as, ongoing cooperation on matters of mutual interest between the NTA and Pobal. It is recommended, should the Programme continue, that in 2012 the NTA provide the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport with its detailed strategy regarding the Programme transitioning toward delivery under the NTA remit by 2013. The following Table 9.1 sets out the key elements of the recommendation concerning the future policy and organisational structure of the Programme. 113 Table 9.1: Recommendation for continuation of the Programme under a social inclusion objective, involving continued Programme delivery by Pobal and the RTP groups. Recommendation: Responsibility for implementation Suggested timeline for implementation 1. Provision of evidence of Programme effectiveness in terms of expected intermediate Pobal and the RTP outcomes, reported under performance indicator as set out in Tables 9.6 in particular. groups By end-Q3 2011 2. Evidence of the achievement of baseline efficiency savings as identified in Table 9.2 (1.2 and Pobal and the RTP 1.6) below. groups By end-2011 3 Commencing immediately To address the status of the public transport services provided under the Programme within The Department of the context of the system of public transport regulation in Ireland. In addressing these matters, Transport, Tourism relevant policy and/or legislative options and requirements to be considered. and Sport 4. A detailed appraisal and implementation plan submitted for consideration by the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport for an organisational restructuring, to achieve greater programme efficiencies and beneficial economies of scale through shared services and establishing greater Programme-wide standardisation. The appraisal and plan to address specific issues including:Setting out clearly the proposed efficiency savings, showing clearly the added value achievable through organisational restructuring, in particular the achievement of the 114 Pobal in consultation with the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport By end-Q3 2011 and a further 6 months for restructuring to be completed, i.e. by end-Q1 2012 reductions in administration costs recommended in this Review. In addition, showing the transition costs of restructuring, e.g. for the release of contracts, to be met from within Programme budget, The rationalisation of funding to RTP groups and identifying the number and location of the operational centres and their catchment areas Performance monitoring and how services would continue to focus on the transport needs of the target groups and the achievement of expected intermediate outcomes through the transition period, How RTP groups owning and operating services would achieve separation of their operational functions in order to engage in rural transport services under the restructured organisational arrangements, and, How the restructuring would achieve the expected re-allocation of staff to fulfil essential roles required by the new structures including transport management, coordination and dispatch. 5. Better alignment to be established between the voluntary county-based RTP Boards involved Pobal and the RTP groups in needs assessment and the Local Authorities, 6. Better data and indicators concerning levels of unmet transport needs and social inclusion to be sourced, as set out in Table 9.2 (2.1) below, with regard to the need for evaluation of the continued relevance of the Programme objective and establishing future targets for public policy intervention in this regard. 115 The Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport in consultation with the Stakeholders as required, including Pobal, RTP groups, NTA,LAs Commencing immediately By mid-2012 Exploring options and potential for staged transfer of the Programme to the NTA by 2013, pending continuation of the Programme: 7. The NTA to submit, within its strategic plan and on request of the Department, a plan for the The Department of staged transfer of the Programme under its remit, to be achieved within NTA resources and Transport, Tourism budget. The NTA plan to address inter alia the following:and Sport in consultation with the - The potential for greater responsibility for the Programme with regard to funding, NTA performance monitoring and intervention in Programme delivery; - How the Programme administration and management be provided for under the new organisational arrangement with NTA oversight; - How the NTA would fulfil the demand-side social inclusion needs assessment functions of the Programme; The extent to which the NTA to add value in terms of greater Programme efficiencies through utilising NTA capacity and expertise on the transport supply-side of the Programme; and, How the NTA oversight of the public transport services of this Programme would add value to the wider public transport network, such aspects as, - greater public transport integration, network planning and coordination, regulation and enforcement of standards and of competition in the passenger transport market, and, the coordination of national public transport data holdings, IT systems and analytical frameworks to support decision-making. 116 Commencing 2012 Finally, the acknowledged potential for savings is the key driver for policy development for local integrated transport systems. This could achieve better use of combined excess capacity and elimination of any duplication across schemes. However, the estimate of savings achievable under a scheme for local integrated transport has not been quantified and the process of addressing identified obstacles and testing potential opportunities for integration is ongoing through the local pilot projects. The quantification of potential savings arising from integration of RTP services with other State funded transport services (HSE, School Transport, etc.) was outside the scope of this Review and therefore there are no recommendations regarding possible Programme efficiencies in this regard. The possible savings arising from the integration of State funded local transport schemes should be considered additional to the efficiency measures recommended in this Review and are not a substitute for the savings arising from the recommendations. Notwithstanding any further integration activities, due regard should also be had for the key recommendations of this Review, in particular, - - the social inclusion objective of the Programme, the need to address the status of the transport services provided under this Programme within the context of the current public transport regulatory regime, to ensure fair competition in the passenger transport market, and avoiding the risk of displacement of other public transport services, and, the requirement for greater Programme cost efficiencies concerning, in particular, the control of the costs associated with service delivery across the RTP groups and the need for a reduction in RTP group administration costs. Similarly, there are no value for money recommendations for the Programme arising from this Review in the context of „Smarter Travel‟ objectives for rural transport. 9.4 Recommendations concerning costs, efficiency and effectiveness of the Programme in meeting its objectives There is significant supporting evidence set out in Chapter 5, „Cost and efficiency of the Programme‟ giving rise to the conclusion as set out in the previous Chapter 8 of this Review that there is scope to achieve significant improvement in the cost efficiency of the Programme. With regard to Programme effectiveness, notwithstanding the difficulties associated with measurement of the final outcome of the Programme in terms of social inclusion impact, the lack of available data necessary for evaluation of the expected intermediate outcome of the Programme must be addressed immediately, as set out in the conclusion in the previous Chapter 8 of the Review and in Chapter 6, „Effectiveness of the Programme‟. With regard to the unintended consequences of the Programme, in particular, potential displacement of other public transport by RTP services, the status of the RTP services 117 funded under this Programme needs to be examined within the context of the system of public transport regulation in Ireland. This examination should address any issues for the RTP public transport services with regard to the principles of regulated competition. In particular to ensure a „level playing-pitch‟ for passenger transport services on routes that are compensated by means of State funding, for example, as a consequence of a public service obligation as provided for under the European Regulation 1370/2007. With regard to the conclusions of this Review concerning the costs, efficiency and effectiveness of the Programme under the social inclusion objective, the following Table 9.2 sets out the list of specific individual recommendations and responsibilities and suggested timeline for implementation with regard to the recommendations. 118 Table 9.2: Recommendations for Programme costs, efficiency and effectiveness Recommendation 1. Costs and efficiency of the Programme: 1.1 Programme Costs Overall Programme costs need to be reduced, as recommended in this Review, in terms of State funding per passenger journey and per service. The need for a reduction in Programme administration costs is specifically addressed in the recommendation for a staged reduction of these costs as set out in point 1.2 below. The recommendation for organisational restructuring for Programme delivery will facilitate greater Programme cost efficiency in both administration and operations through greater standardisation of wages and salaries, reducing duplication of activities, greater shared services, joint procurement, etc. 1.2 Responsibility for implementation Suggested timeline for implementation Pobal, RTP groups and the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport Effective immediately and on-going in 2011 Administration costs of the Programme There is scope for greater administration cost reduction by both Pobal and the RTP groups, as follows. Within this context any funding arrangements of the RTP Network also needs to be addressed. 1.2.1 Reduction in RTP group administration costs A 5% reduction in the administration expenses of the RTP groups as a proportion of their total Pobal and the expenditure (bringing the level of 22% as it was in 2009 down to 17%) is recommended in the RTP groups short-term and would equate to a saving of approximately €700k based on 2009 figures. Also, bearing in mind the wide variance in administration spend in 2009 cross the RTP groups it is 119 By end- 2011 recommended in the short-term to ensure that this level of 17% administration costs as a proportion of RTP group expenditure is applied as an upper threshold for each individual RTP group. The above recommended leveling of RTP group administration spending to 17% of total RTP Pobal and the group expenditure would bring to 18.8% (from 24% in 2009) the total proportion of administration RTP groups expenditure of the Programme with regard to total Department of Transport funding, based on 2009 figures. There is scope for a further 5% reduction in overall Programme administration costs. This further cost reduction would be supported through the proposed organizational restructuring in 2011 which will facilitate cost efficiency through greater standardization of wages and salaries, greater shared services, joint procurement, etc. This would bring Programme administration costs to within 15% of overall Programme costs, with efficiency savings equivalent to approximately €500k based on 2009 figures. It is envisaged however that any savings that might be achieved in 2011 may be absorbed by transition cost of organisational restructuring. 1.2.2 Reduction in Pobal administration costs Further administration savings equivalent to €300k (based on 2009 figures) from Pobal‟s own Pobal and the administration budget are also recommended. This would bring total administration savings to RTP groups €1.5m (based on 2009 figures), from €3.3m of expenditure down to €1.8m and would mean that administration expenditure on the Programme as a percentage of total funding for the Programme would equal 13% in line with other exchequer funded transport programmes. By end-2012 By 2013 Options to reduce the administrative budget further could potentially be achieved with the transfer of the Programme to the NTA, subject to the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport consideration of this proposal as set out in Table 9.1. 1.3 Operational costs of the Programme 1.3.1 Reduction in the cost of sub-contracting With regard to the extent and high cost of subcontracted transport services, a reduction in these Pobal and the 120 In 2011 costs through the tendering process is recommended. Restructuring and consolidation of RTP groups procurement functions across the RTP groups will assist in getting better value for money. The practice of RTP groups establishing in advance the cost parameters for proposed services in advance of tendering should be implemented across the RTP groups. The online GIS and PMS1 IT system will facilitate assessments of budgeting information on projected and actual costs at service level. 1.3.2 Improve transport service utilisation and cost efficiency The RTP groups also need to address the unusually high cost per service in some cases and also Pobal and the the utilisation of capacity in terms of the numbers of passengers per service, which is unusually RTP groups low in some cases. Across the RTP groups there is a requirement for greater planning of services to ensure greater use of existing services capacity. In 2011 Based on the preliminary RTP group level analysis of unit costs carried out as part of this Review, it is recommended that a maximum cost per service limit be applied. Notwithstanding the identified need on a social inclusion basis for single passenger services where an SPSV or community car might be the appropriate transport mode, a minimum number of passengers per service or minimum level of capacity utilisation for each transport mode or vehicle type is applied. The maximum cost per service and minimum number of passengers per service to be set by Pobal for the RTP groups. Services which are uneconomic in terms of the maximum cost and minimum passenger rules should be ceased and related funding cancelled. 1.4 Targets and benchmarking for performance within the Pobal-RTP group contract The potential for introducing performance targets or benchmarks within the contract between the Pobal RTP groups and Pobal is to be explored by Pobal as a mechanism for achieving greater control over cost-efficiency and performance. Pobal should review unit costs for service delivery across all RTP groups, for example in terms of per passenger kms, per service and per passenger, and to 121 In 2011, within the context of the next RTP groups strategic identify and quantify any other variable factors. Pobal to report on its findings to the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport in the context of its ongoing Programme performance monitoring. This information will assist in the setting of targets or benchmarks at an agreed level or range with due regard given to the different transport modes and types in operation over the RTP group areas. 1.5 Financial accounting and reporting by the RTP groups to Pobal 1.5.1 Full financial reporting – income sources and capital expenditure Ensure a more robust and transparent system of accounting and reporting is in place in the RTP RTP groups and groups, and that Pobal provides on-going guidance and direction to the RTP groups concerning Pobal required financial systems and standards. In particular with regard to the reporting of all income sources and amounts and the full disclosure of capital expenditure by the RTP groups. This should also encompass the provision of audited financial accounts. 1.5.2 Reporting on a projected Vs actual cost basis In particular, it is recommended that there be greater transparency in the financial reporting by the RTP groups and RTP groups on a projected and actual cost basis, with a view to achieving greater cost control in Pobal terms of administration and operational expenditure. 1.6 planning phase under the Programme Initiated immediately Initiated immediately Discretionary free travel The use of discretionary free travel on RTP services identified in the output data as „other free‟ is Pobal and the to cease. In the case of child travel a reduced rate could be considered in line with child fare rates RTP groups on other public bus passenger transport services. The „other free‟ passenger journey category was 5.9% of Programme passenger journeys in 2009, incurring an operational spend by the RTP groups of €7,569,501, indicating an estimated potential cost saving calculated on a per passenger journey basis of up to €450k. 122 Initiated immediately 1.7 Free Travel Pass Department of The Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport and Department of Social Protection to jointly Transport, review the levels of financial support with regard to FTP passenger journeys on the RTP services Tourism and and apportionment of Exchequer funds. Sport and Department of Social Protection 1.8 In 2011 Income from fares 1.8.1 Establish a Programme-wide fares policy With a view to establishing a Programme-wide fares policy and the standardisation of fares across Pobal the RTP services, the fare structures and levels are to be reviewed by Pobal. This should serve to increasing Programme revenue and reduce net cost to the Exchequer. Notwithstanding the absence of data from on board ticketing systems on RTP services, the high proportion of pre-booked journeys (87% in 2008) should provide sufficient baseline information in this regard. Fare standardisation should have regard to the different modes and types of RTP services in operation across the RTP group areas. 1.8.2 Setting fare levels or parameters Fare levels or parameters of fares should be introduced. These fare levels and parameters should be Pobal related to the composition of RTP group costs and unit costs data per passenger journey, per service and per km. Both improvements in systems under the proposed restructuring of Programme delivery and the improved data for analysis under the GIS and PMS IT systems should assist in this process. 1.8.3 Potential for increasing fares The standardisation of fares is envisaged as a first step towards increasing fares across the RTP Pobal groups. Any future increases in fares needs to have regard to changes in RTP costs or increases in prices elsewhere in the economy, i.e. fare increases by other transport providers or increases in 123 In 2011 In 2011 In 2011 consumer price index. 1.8.4 Increasing fare income through better service utilisation An increase in utilisation is a key strategy for increasing overall fare income per service. This can Pobal and the be achieved in a number of ways through better planning of services, matching service mode to RTP groups passenger demand, alternative scheduling, different routes, as well as, better information and promotion on services locally and through targeting the key beneficiary groups. 1.9 In 2011 Reporting on performance indicators for the achievement of efficiencies 1.9.1 Implement an agreed reporting framework Within the context of the MoU, Pobal and the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport is to agree on a framework of KPIs to measure the achievement of Programme efficiencies. This will also guard against the risk that costs under organisational restructuring do not increase further. A draft monitoring framework is recommended at Table 9.4 and 9.5 below. 1.9.2 Further develop the reporting framework It is also envisaged that these efficiency KPIs as set out in Table 9.4 and 9.5 will be built upon within the context of the wider reporting framework suggested under Appendix U to be developed between Pobal and the National Sustainable Transport Office of the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport, with implementation for the RTP groups, facilitated by piloting of the additional recording and reporting requirements. This wider reporting framework is discussed further in relation to the recommendation 2.1 of this Table below. 124 Department of Transport Tourism and Sport and Pobal Commencing in 2011 Department of Transport Tourism and Sport and Pobal Commencing in 2011 2. Effectiveness of the Programme: 2.1 Measurement of social exclusion of people and target groups related to unmet transport need in rural areas To build a body of quantitative evidence by which, 1. 2. 3. 4. Department of Transport, to support the social inclusion policy objective of the Programme in terms of identifying Tourism and the level of unmet transport needs in rural areas generally and for at-risk target groups Sport and Pobal specifically, as a basis for a review of the target groups as identified in the Fitzpatrick Associates Report (2006), to assist in establishing appropriate high-level Programme targets, and as a basis for any further assessment of the continued relevance of the Programme objective or the alternative policy or organisational options for Programme delivery. 2.1.1 A bottom-up research strategy for data gathering, recording and reporting A bottom-up research strategy is recommended involving the RTP groups supplying data under a range of indicators on an annual basis by which a national picture of unmet transport needs and the gap in transport provision for rural dwellers can be developed over time. In this regard a set of suggested data and indicators is attached at Appendix U. It is also recommended that this proposed system for data recording and reporting is piloted over a reasonable period by one or two RTP groups before being applied Programme-wide. With regard to any data sourced through the subjective assessments carried out by the RTP groups, for example in terms of local needs assessments should be, where possible, objectively verified by available national level data supported by data holdings in the GIS systems. 125 Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport and Pobal By mid-2012 By mid-2012 2.1.2 Combined use of national data holdings A national data repository on unmet transport needs development through this bottom-up strategy and could be combined with other national data collected through, for example, CSO Census 2011 and Survey on Income and Living Conditions (SILC) questions. The inclusion of further questions in the CSO Census or SILC, that might be useful in establishing the levels of unmet transport needs should be pursued by the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport. Appendix T contains a submission by Pobal to the CSO suggesting potential census questions for consideration. This research should also identify and source data for measurement of factors, other than the RTP, that might affect the level of unmet transport in rural areas such as, car ownership at electoral district level and availability of, or level of connectivity with, other public transport provision. 2.2 By mid-2012 Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport to take the lead role, and Pobal In the period 2011/2012 Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport and Pobal Commencing 2011 High-Level objective targets to be agreed High-level targets under the social inclusion objective to be agreed and reviewed between the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport and Pobal within the context of the MOU. These targets should have regard to the actual performance of the Programme and any further availability of information and data concerning social exclusion of rural dwellers as a result of unmet transport needs, including through the research recommended in the previous Section 2.1 of this Table. 2.3 Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport and Pobal Targets for Programme implementation Targets for the implementation of the Programme to be set out in the Programme Performance Monitoring Strategy, linking them to the high-level targets under the social inclusion objective. Targets under specific KPIs to be set with regard to monitoring of year-on-year improvements in cost efficiency and Programme effectiveness in terms of the expected intermediate outcomes. All targets to be agreed between Pobal and the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport in the context of the MoU. 126 2.4 Monitoring of deadweight or displacement of public transport services by the RTP Issues concerning the displacement of public transport bus passenger services or SPSV services by Pobal the RTP, and relevant deadweight or duplication within the public transport network involving RTP are to be monitored and dealt with by Pobal. 2.5 Commencing immediately Improved Performance monitoring and reporting 2.5.1 Monitoring and reporting on Programme impact Quantitative data sources required for measurement of Programme impact where possible to be Pobal incorporated into the Programme performance monitoring reports as these are developed. 2.5.2 Monitoring and reporting on Programme expected intermediate outcomes A framework for reporting under key performance indicators for Programme effectiveness in terms of the achievement of Programme expected intermediate outcomes to be agreed between Pobal and the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport within the context of the MoU, as set out in the draft framework at Table 9.5 and 9.6. Pobal and the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport Pobal and the 2.5.3 Improving measures of output - KPIs and the data supporting them The output performance indicators in the Programme Performance Monitoring Strategy to be RTP groups improved with regard to categories within existing indicators and the addition of some new output indictors, including the following, - Clearer categorisation of accessible vehicles and services, drawing where possible on currently available UK DPTAC specifications until Irish specifications become available. Clarification of the categories of service type concerning semi-flexible and scheduled RTP services Reporting of transport mode under the different categories, i.e. community car, SPSV, LPSV The level of Programme beneficiaries from rural areas and from the target groups, e.g. 127 Commencing 2011 Commencing 2011 Commencing 2011 - - women, older people, people with disability and young people with unmet transport needs being targeted The percentage of passenger trips used to access other public services including, health, education, social welfare, social/community, employment, retail and other non-RTP transport services Frequency of passenger trips and services Capacity utilisation of services Period of time during which the services operate 2.5.4 Agreed reporting requirements in the MoU The monitoring and reporting requirements established by the Department of Transport in 2007, Pobal and the i.e. Department of Transport, - Good corporate governance and accountability, Tourism and - Meeting the social inclusion objective of the Programme, Sport - Impact on the level of unmet needs, - Broadening geographic coverage, and, - Increase in service levels and frequencies, to be incorporated into the MOU between Pobal and the Department of Transport Tourism and Sport. The level of necessary reporting requirement under key performance indicators and corresponding agreed targets for Programme performance to be reviewed and incorporated into the MOU between the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport and Pobal. Recommended quarterly reporting of performance by Pobal to the Department could be supported at some future time by access in the Department to e-reports and raw data under the PMS1 systems. 128 Commencing 2011 2.6 The GIS and PMS1 IT Systems 2.6.1 Further development and use of the GIS and PMS1 IT systems Continuing refinement of the online GIS and PMS IT systems is recommended concerning data Pobal sources to support performance indicators of output and outcome in the Programme Performance Monitoring Strategy. A list of the data streams that these systems can provide over and above what is currently available in electronic format is set out at Appendix P of this Review. In addition, more data inputs, such as bus stops data, should be included in the methodology for the Pobal Transport Deprivation and Accessibility Index which is used as the basis to rank RTP group services in terms of levels of deprivation and accessibility of the areas in which they operate. 2.6.2 To support planning and more objective needs assessment The GIS and PMS1 IT systems to be used to support more objective assessment of transport and Pobal social inclusion needs by the RTP Groups by ensuring standardised assessment practices and decision-making across the RTP groups, in particular for strategic planning b y the RTP groups. Within this process there needs to be greater validation of needs assessments, examination of route efficiencies and checking adherence to Programme guidelines. 129 In 2011 In 2011 9.5 Estimated savings as a result of the recommendations in Section 9.4 above Table 9.3: Estimated savings Table Recommended efficiency: 9.2 Ref. Saving equivalent, based on total Exchequer funding of the Programme in 2009 €450,000 1.6 Immediate discontinue discretionary free travel 1.2 Reduction in RTP group administration costs by 10% to 12% of total RTP expenditure by 2013 €1,200,000 1.2 Reduction in Pobal administration costs bringing total administration costs to 13% of overall Programme funding by 2013 €300,000 Total estimated recommended saving: €1,950,000 It has also been identified in Chapter 5, „Cost and efficiency of the Programme‟, that there is scope for further reductions of total Programme administration costs. It is acknowledged that there is a requirement for transition costs associated with the recommended Programme organisational restructuring and it is recommended that these costs be met from within the Programme budget. However, following the organisational restructuring it is envisaged that there would be further savings as set out in the above Table 9.3. It should be noted that further savings could be achieved, over and above those estimated in the above Table 9.3, in terms of reduce administration costs arising through the potential transfer the Programme to the NTA subject to the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport consideration of this proposal as set out in Table 9.1 above. 9.6 Performance Indicators The following tables 9.4, 9.5 and 9.6 below outlines the proposed template of performance indicators for monitoring the RTP across three different headings: Income and Funding Outputs and Efficiency Effectiveness These templates should be populated by Pobal using data provided by RTP groups to enable oversight of the Programme by the Department of Transport. Tourism and Sport. It is envisaged that collection of the required performance data will commence 130 immediately to allow for completion of the templates as referred to in Tables 9.1 and 9.2 above. Thereafter performance reporting to the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport should take place on a quarterly basis. Some of the performance indicators contained in the Tables 9.4, 9.5 and 9.6 below are already being collected by Pobal. Other indicators are new and these are highlighted in brackets. All the indicators below would also benefit from being presented at national as well as individual RTP level to allow for benchmarking of services and promulgation of best practice. Targets should be set by the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport as part of the MoU agreement process. It is envisaged that the key performance indicators set out on Tables 9.4, 9.5 and 9.6 would be built upon in line with the reporting framework to be developed by Pobal and the National Sustainable Transport Office of the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport. Piloting of new data streams in a limited number of RTP groups may assist the Programme-wide implementation of the of the required reporting framework, suggested at Appendix U, for the ongoing assessment of transport provision and unmet transport needs in rural areas, as recommended in Table 9.2, Section 2.1. In particular efforts should be made at the earliest opportunity to incorporate the unique passenger data into the ongoing PMS1 recording and reporting. This would provide necessary data on Programme users for future evaluation of Programme effectiveness. 131 Table 9.4: Key measures of Programme inputs Category of Performance Indicator Indicator: Baseline Annual target Data Sources Responsibility for data collation 2010 Inputs: Income and Funding [Total income by type of income stream] RTP financial accounts Pobal RTP performance data / PMS1 Pobal [Total fare income] RTP performance data / PMS1 Pobal [Fare income per passenger carried] RTP performance data / PMS1 Pobal RTP performance data / PMS1 and Department of Transport funding information Pobal Department of Transport HSE DCEGA DOES DSP Other [Fare income per fare paying passenger] [Department of Transport subvention per km travelled] 132 RTP performance data / PMS1 and Department of Transport funding information [FTP funding per FTP passenger] 133 Pobal Table 9.5: Key measures of output and efficiency Category of KPI: Performance Indicator* Baseline Annual Target Data Sources Responsibility for Data Collation 2010 Outputs [Number of passenger journeys by target group] RTP performance data / PMS1 Pobal RTP performance data / PMS1 Pobal RTP performance data / PMS1 Pobal RTP performance data / PMS1 Pobal Disabled 65+ Unemployed <18 Women Low income Other (specify) [Number of services by model] Scheduled Semi scheduled Fully demand responsive [Number of services by type] Hail n‟ Ride Pre-booked Number of passenger journeys 134 [Total passenger km delivered by RTP services] [Number of passenger journeys by purpose of journey]: RTP performance data / PMS1 Pobal RTP performance data / PMS1 / Sample analysis via survey Pobal Health appointment Shopping Connectivity to another town/city Entertainment Efficiency [Administration costs as a % of total RTP costs] [Ratio of administration related WTE to passenger km] [Ratio of administration WTE to operational WTE] Total unit cost (all expenditure) per RTP service provided RTP and Pobal Pobal financial/staffing information RTP performance data / Pobal PMS1 Pobal and RTP staffing data Pobal RTP performance and financial data RTP performance and financial data RTP performance data / PMS1 [Total Unit cost per passenger km] [Average load factor per service provided categorised by passenger capacity of vehicle/ vehicle mode] 135 Pobal Pobal Pobal Table 9.6: Key measures of effectiveness Objectives Performance Indicators Baseline Annual Target Data Sources Responsibility for Data Collation 2010 1. to meet the transport needs of socially excluded people within the target groups [Number of passenger journeys by target group] Pobal Disabled 65+ Unemployed <18 Women Low income Other RTP performance data / PMS1 Actual passenger journeys compared to estimated needs per needs assessment 2. Extend transport coverage to (socially excluded rural dwellers with unmet transport need) throughout rural Ireland RTP performance data / PMS1 / GMS % of passenger journeys connecting to another public transport trip Pobal Pobal RTP performance data / PMS1 136 Pobal Number of actual passenger journeys by electoral district area RTP performance data / PMS1 / GIS Pobal Geographic coverage in sq km of passenger journeys by electoral district area RTP performance data / PMS1 / GIS Pobal Number and capacity of services by electoral district area RTP performance data / PMS1 / GIS Pobal 3.extend transport services beyond the needs of older passengers to other social inclusion groups Ratio of passenger journeys undertaken by 65+ to passenger journeys undertaken by <65 RTP performance data / PMS1 137 Appendix A Bibliography Ahern, A. and Hine, J. (2010), Transport for Older people in Rural Areas, UCD/UU and Centre for Ageing Research and Development in Ireland Bus Éireann, Annual Accounts, 2005-2009 Citizens Information Board (2009), Getting There, Transport and Access to Social Services, A Citizens Information Board Social Policy Report, Social Policy Series 2009 CSO (2002), Census 2002, Principal Socio-economic Results CSO (2006), Census 2006, Principal Socio-economic Results CSO (2007), EU SILC (Housing Module 2007) – Table 3.2, Difficulty accessing basic services by type of service and household characteristics, 2007 CSO (2009), EU SILC – Table 3.13 Percentage of the population reporting other types of deprivation, by year Cavan Area Rural Transport (CART) (2009), Case Study: RTP Adding Value to HSE Services in Cavan Clare Accessible Transport (2009), Case Study Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food (1999), A White Paper on Rural Development, Ensuring the Future, A Strategy for Rural Development in Ireland Department for Community, Rural and Gaeltacht Affairs (2008), Statement of Strategy 2008-2010, Department for Community, Rural and Gaeltacht Affairs Department of Finance (2007), Value for Money and Policy Review Initiative Guidance Manual, Central Expenditure Evaluation Unit, Department of Finance, Dublin. Department of Transport (2006), Transport Access for All – the Transport Sectoral Plan under the Disability Act 2005, Department of Transport Department of Transport (2008), 2008 Edition of Sectoral Plan for Accessible Transport under the Disability Act 2005, Department of Transport Department of Transport (2008), Statement of Strategy 2008-2010, Department of Transport. Department of Transport (2009), Smarter Travel, A Sustainable Transport Future. A New Transport Policy for Ireland 2009-2020, Department for Community, Gaeltacht and Rural Affairs (2009), Review of the Pilot Rural Transport Night Scheme Department for Community, Gaeltacht and Rural Affairs and Pobal (2008), A Social Cost Benefit Analysis of the Rural Social Scheme Department of the Environment, Heritage and Local Government (2007), National Climate Change Strategy 2007-2012, Department of the Environment, Heritage and Local Government Fitzpatrick Associates (2006), Progressing Rural Public Transport in Ireland Fitzpatrick Associates (2002), Availability, Access and Choice. Report to the InterDepartmental Committee on Rural Public Transport, December 2002, Fitzpatrick Associates (2010), Review of Passenger Transport Services in County Louth, Louth County Council Pobal and Gamma and Truz Haase (2008), Towards the Development of a Transport Accessibilty Index, An analysis of Geographical Remoteness to Support the Rural Transport programme in the Republic of Ireland, Pobal Intel Corporation (2009), Report on the impact of mobility on the quality of life of older people Joint Oireachtas Committee on Arts, Sport, Tourism, Community, Rural and Gaeltacht Affairs: Report on Rural Transport Provision, January 2010, Houses of the Oireachtas Mc Carthy, C., (2009), Report of the Special Group on Public Service Numbers and Expenditure Programmes, Department of Finance Mc Caul, T. (2010), Rural Transport Programme Strategy 2011-2016, Rural Transport Network MacMahon D.C., B., Weld, G. and Thornton, R. (2010) „Minimum Essential Budgets or Six Household Types in Rural Areas’, Vincentian Partnership for Social Justice Milward-Brown and PAN Research, Market Research on Bus Éireann, 2010 Mulreany, M. (2002), Cost-benefit Analysis, Readings, Chapter 1, IPA National Spatial Strategy 2002-2020, Government Publications Office National Council on Ageing and Older People (2001), Care and Case Management for Older people in Ireland, Department for Health and Children National Development Plan 2000-2006, Stationary Office National Action Plan for Social Inclusion 2007-2016, Stationary Office National Recovery Plan 2011-2014, Government of Ireland National Transport Authority (2010) Social Impact Estimation Methodology Pobal (2008), Performance and Impact Report (2008\2009), Pobal Pobal (2009), Performance and Impact Report (2009), Pobal Pobal (2008), Rural Transport Programme (RTP) Programme Guidelines 2008-2010, Pobal Pobal (2010), Value for Money Guidelines, Rural Transport Programme Pobal Strategic plan 2006-2008 Pobal Strategic Plan 2010-2013 Steer, Davies, Gleave, (2002) Regulation of Bus Services Outside the Greater Dublin Area Smith, N., Davis, A and Hirsch, D., (2010), Minimum Income Standards for Rural Areas, Joseph Rowntree Foundation Department of Education and Skills, Value for Money and Policy Review of the School Transport Scheme, 2010, (Table 5.1 and 5.2) Vehicle & Operator Services Agency (2009), Passenger transport provided under Section 19 or Section 22 permits, VOSA An executive agency of the department for Transport Weir, L.J. and McCabe, F., 2009, Towards A Sustainable Rural Transport Policy, Comhar Sustainable Development Council Appendix B Terms of Reference of the Review The Value for Money and Policy Review of the Rural Transport Programme will: 1) Identify Programme objectives. 2) Examine the continuing validity of those objectives and their compatibility with Government policy. 3) Define the outputs associated with the Programme services and identify the level, unit cost and trend of those outputs. 4) Examine the extent that the Programme‟s objectives have been achieved, and review the effectiveness with which they have been achieved. 5) Quantify the level and trend of costs, staffing resources and income supporting the Programme (including grant assistance from all State sources and revenue from user charges) and review the efficiency with which the Programme has achieved its objectives. 6) Evaluate the degree to which the objectives warrant the allocation of public funding on a continuing basis, examine the scope for alternative policy or organisational approaches to achieving these objectives on a more efficient and/or effective basis (e.g. through international comparison) and examine the scope (if any) for making the Programme more self financing. 7) Specify potential future performance indicators that might be used to better monitor the performance of the Programme. Appendix C Membership of the Review Steering Committee Chairperson of the Steering Committee: Brian Mullen (Retired Principal Officer Department of Health & Children) Secretary to the Steering Committee: Noel Singleton Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport, National Sustainable Travel Office Area B Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport representatives: John McCarthy National Sustainable Travel Office Area B - Division responsible for Programme Jim Ellis (to September 2010) National Sustainable Travel Office Area B - Division responsible for Programme Derek McConnon VFM Co-ordinator (to September 2010) John Dowling Financial Advisor Ciaran Whelan Internal Audit Unit Andrea Lennon Lead Reviewer Department of Finance representatives: Ronan Gallagher Eoin Dormer Transport Vote Section Central Expenditure Evaluation Unit Department of Social Protection representative: Christopher McCamley Free Travel Policy Section Representative from Pobal, the body administering the Programme: Bernie McDonnell Programme Manager Appendix D Membership of the Working Group for the Review Andrea Lennon Lead Reviewer, Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport (Chairperson) Pádraig Ó‟Ruairc Transport Advisor, Pobal John Dowling Financial Advisor, Department of Transport Noel Singleton NSTO Area-B, Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport Appendix E Schedule of meetings of the Review Steering Committee and Working Group Steering Committee meetings: 20 July 2010 28 September 2010 19 October 2010 16 November 2010 11 January 2011 31 January 2011 15 March 2011 The work of the Steering Committee on the Review and draft Report was completed and signed-off via e-mail by 13 May 2011. Working Group meetings: 8 July 2010 26 July 2010 13 August 2010 1 September 2010 20 September 2010 1 October 2010 15 October 2010 Appendix F Letter to RTP groups and Board of Management and attached Survey Questionnaire July 2010 Value for Money and Policy Review of the Rural Transport Programme Dear, When the Rural Transport Programme (RTP) was inaugurated in 2007, a commitment was made to a carry out a review of the Programme in 2010, which is now underway. Among other things, the Review will assess the extent to which the RTP is achieving its objectives, as well as, evaluating the effectiveness and efficiency of the Programme. The terms of reference for the Review are outlined at Appendix A. Your input to the Review would be welcome given your key role in the delivery of RTP services and a short questionnaire to assist in that regard is at Appendix B. A response by 13 August 2010 would be greatly appreciated to allow for the collation and analysis of the responses from the 36 RTP groups. Completed questionnaires can be returned by post to Mr. Noel Singleton, NSTO-Area B, Ground Floor, Transport House, 44 Kildare Street, Dublin 2 or by e-mail to [email protected]. Please ensure that the name of your RTP group and your name and contact details are included on the questionnaire form, in the event that you may need to be contacted further in this regard. If you have any queries concerning the above, please do not hesitate to contact me at Tel: 01 6041063 or E-mail: [email protected]. Yours sincerely Andrea Lennon Policy Analyst c.c. Chairperson, Board of Management of the RTP group (Appendix B) Value for Money and Policy Review Rural Transport Programme Questionnaire for RTP group Coordinator/Transport Manager Name of RTP group__________________________________________________ Name of RTP group Coordinator/Transport Manager and contact details: Please note the following list of questions is to be completed by the RTP group Coordinator/Transport Manager and seeks responses that relate to the operation and delivery of the Rural Transport Programme over the period from February 2007 to end-2009. The use of this information is intended for the purpose of the above Review of the RTP, however, it could be made available subject to a request under freedom of information. Q1. In terms of the RTP objective for social inclusion what would you say has been the key positive impact of the RTP services that your RTP group delivered in your area? Q2. What aspect of the RTP operation and services that your RTP group provides has seen the most improvement since February 2007? Q3. With regard to the improvement in the operation and service delivery identified at Q2. above what key change(s) in the activities of your RTP group in your opinion have contributed to these improvements? Q4. In the experience of your RTP group what has been the most useful measure of improvement to the quality of the RTP services that you provide? Q5. With regard to the cost of service delivery and revenue sources available for the delivery of RTP services in your area, can you identify the key area where in your opinion your RTP group have achieved efficiencies? Q6. What in your view have been the two key challenges for the development of RTP operation and service delivery in your area? Q7. If you could suggest one change to improve the operation and /or delivery of the RTP in your area, what would it be, and why? Q8. What in your opinion has been the most significant benefit to the users /passengers of the RTP services you provide? Appendix G Schedule of interviews with stakeholders: Name of stakeholder Bus Route Licensing Division, D/Transport D/Social Protection D/Community, Rural & the Gaeltacht D/Education & Science Coach, Tourism & Transport Council Office for Local Authority Management NSTO (Statistician), D/Transport NSTO (Rural Transport), D/Transport Pobal, Financial Advisor National Transport Authority Bus Éireann Age Action Irish Wheelchair Association National Disability Association Health Service Executive (Ambulance Service & Hospitals) Rural Transport Network National Disability Federation of Ireland Pobal – RTP Manager Public Transport Division, D/Transport National Transport Authority Community Transport Association UK Date 28 July 2010 29 July 2010 30 July 2010 30 July 2010 30 July 2010 10 August 2010 11 August 2010 & 14 March 2011 11 August 2010 16 August 2010 19 August 2010 20 August 2010 23 August 2010 26 August 2010 27 August2010 10 September 2010 20 September 2010 30 September 2010 15 October 2010 8 October 2010 10 February 2011 29 September 2010 Comments: By telephone By telephone Telephone & e-mail Written Submission Telephone & e-mail Telephone & e-mail By telephone Telephone & e-mail *Note all interviews were followed up with an e-mail seeking relevant data and information and where further clarification was required in some cases a telephone call. Interviews for Review of RTP - question topic areas: The scope and extent of involvement in rural transport or related transport services, i.e. as a funding body, transport service provider or representative of beneficiaries. Views on the benefits of the RTP Where improvements could be made to the RTP in meeting its objective Perceptions of the benefits and potential obstacles/barriers to greater integrated transport services for rural areas Appendix H Memorandum of Understanding between the Department of Transport and Pobal 2010 - reporting schedule Report Annual Cashflow Forecast & Budget Summary Technical Assistance Budget Business Plan for 2010 Business Plan Output Report for 2009 Annual programme report on performance and impact for 2009. Monthly performance monitoring information. Quarterly programme update on progress and developments. Business Plan Output Report for 2010. Deadlines End February 2010 End February 2010 End February 2010 End February 2010 1st July 2010 One month in arrears March 31st; June 30th; September 30th; December 17th 17th December 2010. Appendix I Description of changes to the number and organisation of RTP groups 2002-2009 Period Jan-03 No. of Groups 34 Nov-03 34 Mar-04 34 Jan-07 Jan-08 34 33 Comment While some RTP groups commenced service provision in 2002, the majority of the RTP groups became operational in mid to late 2003. Name Changes: MFG Teo. now Siob Teo. and South West Donegal now Seirbhís Iompair Tuaithe Teo. Name Change: Co-operational now North Fingal Rural Transport Company Name Change: Waterford Rural Transport Working Group now Deise Link North Tipperary LEADER Partnership took over the contract for RTP delivery when the contract with Borrisokane Area Network Development was not renewed. North Tipperary LEADER Partnership already had a contract for RTP delivery in the Kilcommon Upperchurch area. Meitheal Forbartha na Gaeltachta Teoranta took over the contract for RTP delivery when the contract with Siob Teo was not renewed. Name Changes: West Cork Transport now Bantry Rural Transport Partnership, East Clare Accessible Transport now Clare Accessible Transport, Laois Rural Regeneration Partnership now Laois Transport for Rural Integration Programme, Monaghan Partnership now Latton Social Services & Development Ltd., Oak Partnership (Offaly/Kildare) now Offaly/Kildare Community Transport, South Kildare Rural now South Kildare Community Transport, Wexford Area Partnership now South West Wexford Community Development Group and West Offaly Partnership now West Offaly Integrated Development Group. Jul-08 37 4 new RTP groups: South & East Cork Area Development, Galway Rural Development, Inishowen Partnership and Louth Leader. Nov-09 36 New RTP group: Ardcarne Kilmore Roscommon Rural Transport Ltd. as a result of the amalgamation of Aughrim Kilmore Development Association Limited and Tumna Shannon Development Company. Appendix J List of Rural Transport Programme groups (position at end 2009) COMPANY NAME Ardcarne Kilmore Roscommon Rural Transport Ltd Avondhu/Blackwater Partnership Bantry Rural Transport Partnership Ltd Bealach Pairtneireacht Iompair Aitiuil Chonamara Teoranta Carlow, Kilkenny and South Tipperary Rural Transport Ltd Comharchumann Chleire Teo Community of Lough Arrow County Limerick and North Cork Transport Group Ltd Deise Link Ltd Clare Accessible Transport South and East Cork Area Development Partnership Ltd The Galway Rural Development Ltd Inishowen Partnership Company Ltd IRD Duhallow Ltd Kerry Community Transport Ltd Kilnaleck and District Community Co-op Society Ltd Laois Transport for Rural Integration Programme Ltd Latton Social Services and Development Ltd Longford Community Resources Ltd Louth LEADER Partnership Meath Accessible Transport Project Ltd TRADING NAME Ardcarne Kilmore Roscommon Rural Transport Ltd Avondhu/Blackwater Partnership West Cork Rural Transport Bealach COUNTY Roscommon Cork Cork Galway Ring-a-link Carlow, Kilkenny & St Tipperary Cork Sligo Limerick & Cork Waterford Clare Cork Galway Donegal Cork Kerry Cavan Laois Monaghan Longford Louth Meath Comharchumann Chleire Teo Community of Lough Arrow - CLASP Rural Bus Deise Link Clare Accessible Transport South and East Cork Rural Community Transport Programme North and East Galway Rural Transport Programme The Inishowen Rural Transport Programme IRD Duhallow Kerry Community Transport Ltd Cavan Area Rural Transport (CART) Laois Transport for Rural Integration Programme Ltd (Laois Trip) Bawn and Latton Rural Transport Initiative Longford Community Resources Ltd Louth LEADER Partnership Flexibus Mayo North East Leader Partnership Company Teoranta Meitheal Forbartha Na Gaeltachta Teoranta North Fingal Rural Transport Company Ltd Offaly & Kildare Rural Community Transport Ltd Rural Lift Ltd Seirbhis Iompair Tuaithe Teoranta County Sligo LEADER Partnership Company Ltd South East Galway Integrated Rural Development Ltd South Kildare Community Transport Ltd South West Wexford Community Development Group Westmeath Rural Community Transport Association Ltd North Tipperary LEADER Partnership West Offaly Integrated Development Partnership Ltd Wexford Area Partnership Ltd Wicklow Rural Partnership Ltd Mayo Rural Transport Programme MFG Teo Donegal NIFTI OK Transport Rural Lift Seirbhis Iompair Tuaithe Teoranta (SITT) Sligo Rural Transport Programme South East Galway Integrated Rural Development Ltd South Kildare Community Transport Ltd The Rural Bus (SWW CDP) South Westmeath Rural Transport Association Ltd North Tipperary Rural Transport Programme West Offaly Partnership The Rural Roadrunner Wicklow Rural Transport Programme Mayo Donegal Dublin – Fingal Offaly & Kildare Leitrim & Cavan Donegal Sligo Galway Kildare Wexford Westmeath Nth Tipperary Offaly Wexford Wicklow Appendix K Costs by RTP group in 2009, per service, per passenger journey and administration as a percentage of Dept. of Transport RTP group A B C D E F G H I J K L M N 6 Number of Number Passenger of Journeys Services6 20,834 3,477 9,332 10,309 26,117 23,345 16,373 21,200 20,784 29,433 36,436 30,448 52,428 18,416 7,796 1,798 792 1,025 4,362 2,770 2,406 2,168 2,693 2,819 2,948 5,074 2,735 2,008 Average Number of Passenger journeys Total Cost Per per Expenditure Service Service € € 3 2 12 10 6 8 7 10 8 10 12 6 19 9 172,343 102,837 183,545 158,049 393,773 267,432 183,723 230,730 208,319 286,062 350,422 281,219 476,302 163,769 22 57 232 154 90 97 76 106 77 101 119 55 174 82 Cost Per Passenger Journey € 8 30 20 15 15 11 11 11 10 10 10 9 9 9 „Services‟ includes a mix of fixed scheduled, semi-schedules and fully demand-responsive models of service RTP group Admin € 73,787 75,690 58,603 70,884 117,733 49,321 56,466 40,805 58,962 23,260 85,627 77,536 41,852 63,151 Administration as % of total Dept. of Transport funding to RTP group RTP groups OPEX € 43 74 32 30 30 18 31 18 28 8 24 28 9 39 98,556 27,147 124,942 167,165 276,040 218,111 127,257 189,925 149,357 262,802 264,795 203,683 434,450 100,618 O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z AA BB CC DD EE FF GG HH II JJ KK LL 39,403 41,832 42,915 37,363 16,351 31,219 42,913 9,239 22,822 50,024 26,630 11,156 49,969 50,856 32,318 41,175 45,042 46,749 13,394 39,719 78,432 129,855 59,154 o/s 6,961 4,470 5,591 4,026 1,550 3,476 3,918 948 5,727 2,537 5,352 692 5,850 5,069 4,112 4,620 7,628 4,512 1,138 2,190 14,540 12,698 6,607 o/s 6 9 8 9 11 9 11 10 4 20 5 16 9 10 8 9 6 10 12 18 5 10 9 o/s 323,112 342,734 330,372 286,475 124,471 234,576 319,572 66,667 157,613 342,033 181,910 251,963 322,015 319,559 197,239 244,570 256,273 257,143 68,853 199,637 381,782 605,611 227,612 167,107 46 77 59 71 80 67 82 70 28 135 34 364 55 63 48 53 34 57 61 91 26 48 34 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 23 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 4 54,762 54,716 57,074 83,353 36,838 63,538 81,517 13,976 36,072 14,943 42,009 82,330 42,779 86,314 51,718 57,005 63,668 47,611 22,530 49,991 49,930 116,222 22,811 52,739 17 16 17 29 30 27 26 21 23 4 23 33 13 27 26 23 25 19 33 25 13 19 10 32 268,350 288,018 273,298 203,122 87,633 171,038 238,055 52,691 121,541 327,090 139,901 169,633 279,236 233,245 145,521 187,565 192,605 209,532 46,323 149,846 331,852 489,389 204,801 114,368 1,256,628 147,810 9 9,495,081 64 8 2,104,336 22 7,470,945 Appendix L RTP group (gross) costs - operational cost breakdown 2007-2009 Operational Costs Wages & Salaries Pensions Travel & Subsistence Staff & Operator Training Sub-Contracting Rent/Leasing Insurance Repairs & Maintenance Fuel Advertising & Marketing Technical Support IT Hardware & Equipment Computer Maintenance & Software Sundry Total 2007 867,964 0 0 0 4,888,674 231,160 103,571 227,166 214,493 137,239 213,476 9,840 6,374 5,907 6,905,864 2008 1,390,837 9,169 79,802 51,171 6,275,294 194,726 96,450 322,106 311,795 139,494 96,390 16,927 21,465 21,757 9,027,383 % Change 60% N/A N/A N/A 28% -16% -7% 42% 45% 2% -55% 72% 237% 268% 31% 2009 1,991,237 21,305 99,508 162,291 6,818,300 40,953 101,454 329,404 276,146 133,265 108,919 54,499 44,809 97,954 10,280,044 % Change 43% 132% 25% 217% 9% (79%) 5% 2% (11%) (4%) 13% 222% 109% 350% 14% Appendix M RTP group (gross) costs - administration cost breakdown 2007-2009 Administration Costs 2007 2008 2009 % Change 1,598,579 49,751 15,538 49,169 159,268 16,559 137,308 5,130 15,755 1,826 % Change 25% 1% 41% -80% -23% -29% -2% -16% -15% -82% Wages & Salaries Pensions Recruitment Training Travel & Subsistence Board Expenses Rent Rates Insurance Repairs & Maintenance Heat, Light & Power Telephone & Fax Postage & Courier Office Supplies Printing & Stationary Legal, Audit & Consultancy Computer Maintenance & Software Office Equipment, Furniture & Fittings Sundry Total 1,277,883 49,267 11,032 239,850 208,085 23,223 140,287 6,082 18,457 10,334 1,956,784 65,068 78 16,206 115,633 21,840 172,230 5,705 18,113 6,679 22% 31% -99% -67% -27% 32% 25% 11% 15% 266% 16,469 91,872 15,146 45,595 38,842 134,655 18,714 94,706 15,250 44,765 40,294 217,698 14% 3% 1% -2% 4% 62% 30,525 120,098 21,998 49,324 32,180 98,143 63% 27% 44% 10% -20% -55% 39,316 21,717 -45% 25,936 19% 21,566 31,993 48% 29,165 -9% 48,799 2,436,760 44,706 2,578,726 -8% 6% 72,438 2,858,143 62% 11% Appendix N Map showing RTP group distribution and list of LDCs operating RTP Map of RTP group Locations Source: RTP Mapping System, Pobal 2010 List of Integrated Local Development Companies with RTP Contracts in 2009 Avondhu Blackwater Partnership Limited Co. Wicklow Community Partnership County Sligo LEADER Partnership Company Limited Galway Rural Development Company Inishowen Development Partnership IRD Duhallow Limited Longford Community Resources Limited Louth Leader Partnership Mayo North East Leader Partnership Company Teoranta Meitheal Forbartha na Gaeltachta Teoranta North Tipperary LEADER Partnership Offaly Integrated Local Development Company Limited South & East Cork Area Development Partnership Company Limited Wexford Local Development Appendix O Comparative analysis of Irish and UK bus passenger transport regimes Some comparative analysis was carried out as part of this Review to illustrate how the regulatory structure in another jurisdiction, i.e. the UK, caters for community based, not-for-profit transport services. The table below sets out some characteristics of the Irish public transport bus passenger regulatory regime against those of the UK. The UK is under similar European obligations concerning public service contract for State funded transport services. The bus passenger market is less regulated than in Ireland generally. The Section 22 permit enables community-based, not for profit, public transport to compete for commercial contracts, thereby decreasing their dependence on State funding and to compete for non-commercial contracts, thereby increasing their competitiveness in terms of accessing State funding. A caveat with this type of analysis is that differences in the underlying structural and organisational contexts within each jurisdiction can often determine the regulatory options that are available, for example, there is a greater level of devolved governance to Local Authorities in the UK compared to Ireland. Table: Comparison of some elements within the Irish and UK transport regulatory regimes Ireland UK Competent Authority NTA Local Authority for award of PSC Current characteristic of PSC direct award to the Tenders for local bus services PSC regime for bus internal operator servicing passenger services the national network including local bus services Model of commercial Regulated competition bus market Regulation of Licensed bus passenger commercial bus services routes by NTA under the Public Transport Regulation Act 2009 Bus Operators Licence RPTOL (includes PSV requirement) Not-for-profit, private No current regulatory transport by provision – category might bodies/organizations include IWA, Enable (including educational) Ireland, Vantastic, ACTs for own clients and school transport Not-for-profit, public No current regulatory transport by community provision groups Open competition Registered services, enforced by VOSA/Traffic Commissioner PSV Operators Licence (COIF/COC) S.19 Permit – also allows public transport in designated areas where there is no alternative transport. S.22 Permit – also allows for tender for transport contracts where it does not effect the not-for-profit characteristic of the services Appendix P RTP performance monitoring and mapping system The new RTP performance monitoring system enables RTP groups to submit data to Pobal through an on-line system. It aims to collate the existing performance monitoring information of passenger journeys, FTP usage and service details more efficiently and accurately compared to the previous excel file approach. However, while ensuring a more technical efficient monitoring system than the previous system, it also expands on data collection, as it collects additional information on service journeys and accessibility of services in particular. The table below outlines the additional information that can be provided through PMS1. Furthermore, the RTP Performance Monitoring System is integrated with a Mapping System developed for the RTP. The RTP Mapping System is an online system which enables RTP groups to map their services along with other additional local features (pick-up points, local services etc) through the web. It is possible for RTP groups to visually display socio-demographic information and boundary data which provides RTP groups with a greater understanding of the needs and characteristics of the areas they operate within. The table below also outlines the additional information available through the RTP mapping system for the Programme. Additional Information Available Performance Monitoring System (PMS1) Service information Vehicle Type including : Operational Models Capacity General Propose of Services Services in Agreement with other Organisations Transport Schedules Kilometres Accessibility features of Low Floor services including for Hand Rails example: Lifts Passenger Assistants Generates Yearly and Passenger Journeys (including gender cohort, age Monthly Reports of the cohort, ability requirements, fare type, door to door following: journeys. Service Reports (including service type,) scheduled or once off services, accessibility) FTP Passenger Journeys (including FTP Pass Type, Age, Gender and Ability Cohort) Mapping System Boundary Data relevant for RTP group Boundaries RTP groups Townlands Electoral Divisions Counties Detailed Discovery Series Map Transport Infrastructure Roads ( all types) Rail Public Services Available through OSI Socio-Demographic Data RTP Facility to Input Service details Persons Per Sq Kilometre % of Households without a Car per ED % of Population by ED % of Population Living alone and over the age of 66 per ED % of Population with Disabilities per ED Accessibility Index per ED Deprivation Index per ED Service Types (Fixed, DRT & Flexible) Transport Pick Up Points Local Services Appendix Q Excerpt concerning the difficulties and complexities around a definition for Rural, taken from Rural Poverty and Social Exclusion on the Island of Ireland – Context, Policies and Challenges, Scoping Paper prepared for the Pobal AllIsland Conference “New Ideas, New Directions” on 21st October 2010 in the Boyne Valley Hotel, Drogheda, (Dr. Kathy Walsh, KW Research & Associates Ltd, 2010) “1.3 Defining Rural While there is no single agreed definition of „rural‟, most people believe they know what rural is, defining it by geography and by social and imagined constructions – in that sense rural is often linked to the existence of what is often referred to as the rural idyll. Geographical approaches used to categorise the rural vary from restrictive to inclusive. The Irish Census of Population for example designates all those living in settlements of less than 1,500 inhabitants as the „rural population‟. Thus, the category of „aggregate rural areas‟ includes villages of fewer than 1,500 residents, together with those living in the „open countryside‟. The Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA) in their 2005 study7 proposed that settlements with a population of 4,500 or less should be defined as rural, although they did also stress that this definition should not be used in a prescriptive way and that government departments and other users should consider defining urban and rural areas in ways that are appropriate to the specific programmes and projects under consideration. Alternative method of defining “rural” used in Northern Ireland include designating local government districts as either rural or urban. An additional classification of rural areas – “accessible” and “less accessible” could also be applied - there are for example very clear differences between the more accessible east and the less accessible west of Northern Ireland. With no one agreed EU definition of a rural area, the concept is applied in different ways in different member states. A 2008 EU study8 has proposed that a definition of rurality be applied to all territorial units at Regional Authority region level (Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics (NUTS) 3 level) combining population density, size of the largest urban centre and the share of employment in the primary sector (agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing). At international level, the most frequently used approach to defining the rural is that proposed by the Organisation for European Economic Co-operation and Development (the OECD) who classify regions as Predominantly Rural (PR), Intermediate (IR) and Predominantly Urban (PU). The Regional Policy division of the European Commission who are concerned with the lack of consideration of the issue of accessibility in rural areas are working to divides IR and PR regions into 2 subcategories ("remote regions" and "regions close to a city"), according to their distance from a large urban centre, expressed as the time required to get to the centre by road. Current rural typologies used on the island include consideration of population density, land use (particularly agriculture), employment patterns and distance from urban settlements/service centres. (The population density of the Republic of Ireland was 60.3/km² and 122/km2 in Northern Ireland in 2006). Changes in any of these factors can in turn have an impact on levels7 of poverty and exclusion in rural areas. For example peripheral rural areas with declining population levels can have particular difficulties accessing and indeed maintaining services (both public and private). In many of these kinds of areas there has indeed been a decline in the availability of local services. Shops, schools, banks, post offices and police stations have closed or indeed been closed in response to market forces and rationalisation programmes There is also often a lack of facilities (particularly for young people) in these areas. Papers9 prepared as part of the development of the National Spatial Strategy in 2000 identified a series of six distinct “rural area types” covering 2,716 rural DEDs, with the remainder of Ireland classified as urban. Commins10 in his work identified the existence of up to eight rural areas types. The concept of rural11used in Northern Ireland is also broken down into a number of categories/ bands as follows: • Band F Intermediate settlement: populations of 2,250 or more and under 4,500 (outside of the Belfast Metropolitan Urban Area (BMUA) and Derry Urban Area (DUA)), • Band G Village: population settlements of 1,000 or more and under 2,250 (outside of BMUA and DUA) • Band H Small Village, hamlet and open countryside: population settlement of 1,000. Interestingly, the Rural Development Council (RDC) in their various rural baseline reports12 concluded that there is no single definition of rural but a pattern of areas with similar characteristics. What is clear from a review of the various approaches to defining the rural is that socio-economic problems clearly differ by area, with the clearest geographical contrasts between areas within the sphere of influence of an urban centre, on the one hand and, at the other extreme, the remoter western districts or in the uplands. The population of almost all rural areas grew over the last decade. This expansion is most evident in the east where extensive residential development took place but with deficits in physical infrastructures and in social provision (e.g. schools and recreational facilities), public transport and in services such as childcare. The key to tackling rural poverty and exclusion in particular, is therefore linked to the issue of accessibility of services and opportunties and the creation of a more equitable balance between areas and regions. The absence of an agreed definition of rural, poses challenges because the way in which rural is defined has the potential to impact on the scope and focus of policies concerned with the development of rural communities (Definitions that include consideration of distance from service centres are more likely to facilitate broader focused development policies, than definitions that focus exclusively on population density and land use).” 6 Townsend (1993) The International Analysis of Poverty. Harvester Wheatsheaf. London. 7 NISRA (2005) Report of the Inter-Departmental Urban-Rural Definition Group Statistical Classification and Delineation of Settlements, NISRA Belfast. 8 European Commission (2008) POVERTY AND SOCIAL EXCLUSION IN RURAL AREAS, FINAL STUDY REPORT. Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Equal Opportunities Unit E2 Appendix R Analysis of the data This Review draws on the strengths of both quantitative and qualitative data, to be used separately and in combination. A systematic approach to the analysis of data and indicators under the VFM criteria was carried out. Quantitative data and analysis is supported by qualitative data and findings where these were available. The objectives of the RTP are assessed both in terms of their alignment with delivery of the Programme over the period of the Review and the Programmes continued relevance is assessed with regard to its effectiveness in achievement of its objective and within an evolving policy context. Reports and policy statements, as well as, responses to interview and survey questions form the basis for this analysis. The efficiency of the Programme is evaluated in this Review on the basis of analysis of the available data on inputs and outputs of the Programme, and comparative analysis is used against other transport operations of funding Programmes where it is relevant and appropriate. The effectiveness of the Programme is evaluated on the basis of relevant output data, and data on outcomes and impacts, including available tertiary case study reports and user/beneficiary studies, as well as, relevant qualitative primary data from interviews and the questionnaire survey carried out under this Review. The analysis of the data and findings in the Review also gave consideration to the measurement issues concerning valuation of the social impact of the Programme, as well as, issues for comparative analysis, the absence of a counterfactual and issues concerning attribution of causality. The key issue for this Review is the data gap in terms of unmet transport needs by which to measure the Programme‟s effectiveness in fulfilling its objective for social inclusion through the provision of transport where unmet transport needs exist in rural areas. Appendix S Table showing the level of interface between RTP groups , Local Authority and other County-based bodies. Monitoring & Impact Report Responses for 2009 Involvement in County Structures such as the County Development Board structure? CDB Sub RTP group Committees Ardcarne Kilmore Roscommon Rural Transport Ltd Avondhu Blackwater Partnership Yes Bealach No Carlow, Kilkenny & South Tipperary South Riding Rural Transport (ring a link) CART (South West Cavan Rural Transport) No Clare Accessible Transport Yes Comharchumann Chleire Teo 0 Community of Lougharrow Social Project No (CLASP) County Limerick and North Cork Transport Yes Group (rural Bus) County Sligo LEADER Partnership Company Yes Ltd Deise Link Yes South and East Cork Area Development Yes Galway Rural Development Co Ltd No Inishowen Partnership Co Yes IRD Duhallow Ltd Yes Kerry Community Transport Ltd Yes Laois Transport for Rural Integration Yes Programme Ltd Latton Social Services and Development Ltd Yes Longford Community Resources Ltd (County Yes Longford Rural Transport) Louth LEADER Partnership Yes Meath Accessible Transport Project Ltd Yes Mayo North East LEADER Partnership Yes Company Teoranta MFG Teo Yes North Fingal Rural Transport Company Ltd No Offaly and Kildare Community Transport Ltd No Rural Lift Ltd No Seirbhís Iompair Tuaithe Teoranta Yes CDB SIM Group LA SPCs Yes No No No Other County Transport Forums Yes Yes No Yes No No Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes No No Yes No Yes No No No Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes No No Yes Yes No No No Yes No Yes Yes No Yes South East Galway Integrated Rural Yes Development Ltd South Kildare Community Transport Ltd No The Rural Bus RTP (SWW CDP) Yes North Tipperary LEADER Partnership West Cork Rural Transport Offaly Integrated Local Development Company Westmeath Rural Community Transport No Association Ltd Wexford The Rural Roadrunner Yes Co Wicklow Community Partnership No No No Yes Yes Yes Yes No No No Yes No Yes No No Appendix T Extract from submission by Pobal to the CSO in September 2008 concerning census questions. A. Car Ownership The current census question asks how many private cars or vans are available per household. Although this is useful information, it would be more beneficial to ask this car ownership question at an individual level rather than at household analysis level. At present, if there is one car per household, and someone uses this car for work proposes, other members of the household maybe left without access to a car. While this isn‟t necessarily a major issue in urban areas where public transport is more accessible, it can be a much greater problem in rural areas. Access to a private car is often deemed a necessity in many parts of rural Ireland. In this regard, it would be useful to set a question which provides information on individual access to a car. Sample Question(s) set at individual level, rather than household level analysis. Option 1: Do you have access to a car? • Always • Often • Rarely • Never Option 2: Do you have access to a car? Which of the following applies to you? • There is a car in your household that is primarily driven by you (that is: not driven by someone else) • There is a car/are cars in your household, but primarily driven by other family members • There is no car in your household B. Ability While having a car is useful to rural dwellers where public transport is not available, using a car for transport proposes is not always a solution for those who cannot afford it or who do not have the ability to drive due to age ( too young/ too old) or ability. Sample Question: In relation to Question 16 in the current questionnaire (an individual level question), would it be possible to split part „E‟ of the question, so that the question asks does your condition limit you from (a) driving and (b) using public transport? C. Access to Public Transport? Access to public transport is extremely important for rural dwellers, particularly for those most in need (who cannot afford a car or who do not have the ability to drive). However, public transport is also a more sustainable mode of transport compared to the private car and so should be encouraged as an alternative to the private car in both rural and urban areas. It is also important to note that transport although it‟s a service 3 in itself, it is also a means of connecting people to other essential services such as health care, education, etc. Sample Question(s) Option 1: How far do you have to travel to access the nearest bus stop? (provide suitable measurement options 100 meters, 500 meters, 1 KM etc.) How far do you have to travel to access the nearest train stop? (Provide suitable measurement options) Option 2: Is public transport available to you for basic essential services? Yes/ no D. Current Travel Modes While currently the travel to work/ college information provided by the census (POWCAR data) is beneficial for transport data analysis, it would also be beneficial to examine what modes of transport people use for other accessing other services apart from traveling to work/ college and what distances they have to drive to key services. Sample Question Option 1: How do you travel for other basic essentials (health, shopping etc.)? A list of services could be presented here – health, retail, finance, education, sporting/ leisure facilities etc. Also it would be useful to know the distance traveled for basic services. e.g. What distance is your journey from home to primary health care (GPs), education/ local retail outlet/ financial institutions etc. Option 2: What is the main mode of transport that you use for your daily non-work activities? - Car - Public transport - Walking - Cycling - Motorbike - Other - [no daily / regular mobility] In addition, in terms of modes of transport, it is our experience that the census in its current form underestimates the amount of transport mobility across the country. At present, it asks people to tick their usual mode of transport, and yet often people use a number of modes of transport as part of their journey to work e.g. park & ride, cycle/walk to train/ bus station etc. It would be more beneficial if this question allowed people to tick a multiple of transport modes. Furthermore, the current policy arena encourages more flexible working practices through decentralisation of public services and working from home practices and this along with improved technology means people can work from various locations outside of the urban centers. However, as people may categorise themselves on the current census form as working from home or working in remote rural areas with short distances to travel to work, the experience is that often these people have to travel long distances to urban centers for work proposes a couple of times a week. This is often the case where people are using public or private transport to attend meetings (conferences/ training etc) on a regular basis. This level of transport movement is not accounted for in the current questionnaire and we recommend that the questionnaire is adapted to factor the changes in this transport dynamic. Appendix U Suggested data and indicators to support annual assessments concerning transport provision and unmet transport needs in rural areas. This suggested recording and reporting framework contains data and indicators many of which are already gathered or being developed for use by the RTP groups and Pobal. The additional data and indicators aim to build upon locally developed statistical data and estimates to form a national picture of unmet transport needs and transport provision in rural areas. The following points should be noted: - In applying this recording and reporting framework, the risk of subjectivity in the generation of localised estimates should be diminished through verification against national data, where available, or data built-up centrally by Pobal in the GIS and PMS1 systems. The proposed system of recording and reporting on unique passengers may pose issues for the RTP groups and this should be implemented in such a way so as not to incur any data protection issues. Where data cannot be collected on a per trip basis for practical or other reasons an annual passenger survey should be undertaken to source this data, for example a service wide survey carried out in the same two separate weekdays of a specified week. These new recording and reporting system may benefit from piloting by one or two of the RTP groups over an agreed period and any improvements needed should be addressed in consultation between Pobal and the NSTO of the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport in advance of any roll-out across all the RTP groups. Key Indicators: % funding from the Department of Transport, Tourism and Sport of the total Programme income % administration costs of the total costs Estimated area of RTP services in Km2 Index rating of the area for accessibility and deprivation Number of unique customers Number of unique customers as % of the estimated target market Total number of services operated Total number of accessible services used by those needing service RTP group 1 RTP group 2 Etc. Total number of passenger journeys Average passengers per service Estimated passenger kilometres Average distance of vehicle journey % of passengers age 65+ % of passengers requiring assistance Heading RTP Income Grant aid, direct funding etc. Revenue Data Funding from D/Transport Funding from HSE Funding from D/Social Protection Funding from other sources, list… Fare Revenue Other Revenue, list…. Costs Vehicle costs (hire, maintanence, loan repayment etc.) Fuel costs Wages and salaries for direct service provision Administration costs (need for a list here, staff, IT, materials...) Other costs (list…) Passenger numbers and service provision Service area and customer base Population of serviced area Annually % change from previous year Service provision and uptake Population of serviced area over 65 Area/size of serviced area (square km) Estimated target market net of deadweight Total number of unique customers Number of unique customers over 65 Number of unique customers under 65 Number of unique customers with special needs under defined categories Number of unique customers, male/female Number of unique customers with low incomes No of vehicles in service No of vehicle journeys in service Vehicle kilometres travelled in service Seat kilometres in service Average number of passengers per journey Total number of passenger journeys Total number of demand responsive journeys Total number of accessible services operated Total number of accessible services used by those needing service Total passenger kilometres travelled Total requested journeys Total journey requests met Target population within walking distance (10-15 minutes) of services by electoral district area Target population in the target groups within walking distance (10-15 minutes) of services by electoral district area Vehicle journey distance Total number of vehicle journeys (of which) 0-3km 3-5km 5-10km 10-15km 15-20km 20-30km 30km+ Average distance of a vehicle journey Passenger journey distance Total number of passenger journeys (of which) 0-3km 3-5km 5-10km 10-15km 15-20km 20-30km 30km+ Average distance of a passenger journey Passenger journeys by passenger type Total number of passenger journey (of which aged) 0-18 18-25 25-40 40-55 55-65 65+ Male Female People with disability – categories People from socio-economic groups with low incomes Passenger journeys by income/revenue type Type 1 Fares Type 2 FTP Type 3 HSE contract Type 4 School Transport contract Type 5 etc. Purpose of journey Total number of journeys (of which) purpose1 purpose2 purpose3 etc. Annual journeys per unique customer 1-5 journeys 5-10 journeys Etc. Average journeys per customer Appendix V Glossary of Terms Community Services Programme (CSP): This Programme aims to support local community activity to address disadvantage and provide local employment opportunities for certain groups of people. It provides funding to community services and community businesses including community services for older people and those with disabilities, rural transport initiatives and environmental projects. It is managed by Pobal for the Department of Social Protection. Community Transport: This is the term used to describe a range of non-profit passenger transport services, which are developed by local people in response to a transport need in their area. Community transport usually operates flexible, demandresponsive or semi-scheduled services, tailored to individual needs on the basis of prebooking by registered individual members of the scheme. These services are typically demand-responsive or semi-scheduled, using smaller vehicles (mini-buses, taxis, private cars or state/community and voluntary sector vehicles), which can collect rural residents directly from their homes, bring them to local service centres or transport hubs, and return them home afterward. Such services are more easily accessible to a wider range of user groups because of their ability to facilitate door-to-door access and passenger assistance for people with mobility, sensory and cognitive impairments and older people. Community transport is an increasingly important and an additional mode of transport, supplementing the other local transport services of public and private bus operators and taxi/hackney services. Such transport schemes play a centrally important role in combating social exclusion and enabling access to services and facilities. Conventional bus-based scheduled services: These services typically link rural areas to important urban centres or link major urban centres while also servicing rural areas situated on their routes. They operate on fixed routes, with fixed departure and pick-up points and their service in rural areas of Ireland is patchy, varying widely in coverage and frequency. The most recognisable service providers in the conventional sphere are Bus Éireann, private bus operators and Iarnród Éireann (for rail services). County/City Development Boards (CDB): These were established in each county and city in Ireland in early 2000. The CDBs are led by local government and are also representative of local development bodies together with the State agencies and social partners operating locally. For the first time, CDBs brought together the key players at local level to engage in a process of long-term planning for each county or city. County Enterprise Boards: 35 County Enterprise Boards, were established in Ireland in 1993 to provide support for small businesses with 10 employees or less, at local level. They provide direct grant-support to new and existing enterprises and promote entrepreneurship, capacity building and women-in-business at local level, to micro enterprises in the commercial sphere. Deadweight: occurs when part of a public expenditure programme confers benefits on recipients other than those intended. (Mulreany, M., .2002) Door-to-Door Service: A Door-to-Door Service is a service that picks up and drops off a passenger at wished locations. Demand-Responsive Transport: Demand Responsive Transport (abbreviated as DRT) is an intermediate form of public transport, somewhere between a conventional service route that uses low floor buses and special transport services that typically use a single or shared taxi mode. DRT services are scheduled and offered to customers according to their individual needs, generally only stopping where passengers request pick-up or drop-off. DRT route models are defined according to the level of flexibility, the type of stop points and the degree of linearity or area coverage offered by the service. [Source: CONNECT EU Project]. Displacement: occurs when the creation of a positive project or programme output leads to a loss of output elsewhere. (Mulreany, M., .2002) Electoral District (also known as a constituency, riding, ward, division or electoral area): This is a distinct territorial subdivision for holding a separate election for one or more seats in a legislative body such as the Dáil or County Council. Flexible Route: A scheduled service between two end stop points which has fixed departure times, but with a more or less flexible route, which responds to the actual needs for pick-up and drop-off on the route. Free Travel Pass: The Free Travel Scheme allows People aged 66 or over and permanently living in the Republic of Ireland to travel for free on all State public transport (bus, rail and Dublin's LUAS service). Free travel is also available on services funded under the Rural Transport Programme and on a limited number of services that are operated by private bus transport companies. Certain people with incapacity under age 66 may also travel for free. In addition, some people who are unable to use the pass because they are unable to travel alone may get a Companion Free Travel Pass. This allows the holder to be accompanied by any person over 16 years of age, free of charge. Geographical Information System (GIS): This is a system for capturing, storing, analyzing and managing data and associated attributes which are spatially referenced to the earth. Greater Dublin Area (GDA): This encompasses Dublin City and County together with counties Kildare, Meath and Wicklow. Inter-Departmental Committee on Rural Transport: An inter-Departmental Committee, chaired by the then Department of Public Enterprise, was established in 2001 to consider options for the development of a rural transport policy. The report on the study commissioned by the group incorporated the results of a nation-wide survey (a total of 12,000 households) of rural transport needs and services which was conducted by each County Development Board at the end of 2001. LEADER Programme (Liaisons Entre de Development de l'Economie Rurale): An EU-wide initiative for rural development. The Programme is designed to support local businesses, farmers, foresters, community groups, those involved in tourism and a range of rural enterprises. Local Community Development Programme (LCDP): This is the successor to the Local Development Social Inclusion Programme and the Community Development Programme and forms part of the National Development Plan 2007-2013. It aims to tackle poverty and social exclusion through partnership and constructive engagement between Government and its agencies and people in disadvantaged communities. Local Development Social Inclusion Programme (LDSIP): This was a series of measures designed to counter disadvantage and to promote equality and social and economic inclusion. The programme came to an end on 31 December 2009 and has been superseded by a new programme, the Local and Community Development Programme (LCDP). MIDAS: MIDAS is the MInibus Driver Awareness Scheme, organised by the Community Transport Association UK, which promotes a nationally recognised standard for the assessment and training of minibus drivers. It is a membership based scheme that has been designed to enhance minibus driving standards and promote the safer operation of minibuses. NAPS: National Action Plan for Social Inclusion details how Government plans to combat poverty and social exclusion. National Spatial Strategy (NSS): This is a national planning framework for Ireland for the period 2002-2020 . It aims to achieve a better balance of social, economic and physical development across Ireland, supported by more effective and integrated planning. National Transport Authority (NTA): This is a statutory body established by the Minister for Transport on 1 December 2009. At a national level, the NTA has responsibility for securing the provision of public passenger land transport services. This includes the provision of subvented bus and rail services by Bus Éireann, Dublin Bus and Irish Rail. It is anticipated that the National Transport Authority will take over responsibility for the licensing of commercial bus services and the regulation of the small public service vehicle sector (i.e. taxis, hackneys and limousines) during 2010. Provisions to enable this were included in the Public Transport Regulation Act 2009. Opportunity cost is the cost of any activity measured in terms of the best alternative forgone. Passenger Assistance Training Scheme (PATS): This scheme provides for modular training designed to improve the skills of, and give confidence to, passenger assistants/escorts when dealing with different situations involving the supervision and welfare of passengers travelling by road – in minibuses, cars, taxis or large buses. Pobal [formerly Area Development Management Ltd.] (1992-2005): A not-forprofit company with charitable status that manages social inclusion, reconciliation and equality programmes on behalf of the Government and the EU. Pre-booking: A confirmed reservation where the order has been recorded in the transport dispatch centre and a pick-up time has been agreed between the customer and the dispatcher before the trip. Public Transport Partnership Forum: The PTPF was established in 2000 “ … to provide an opportunity for consultation (among the social partners) on public transport matters and for the development of ideas for improvement of the sector”. Rural: Rural areas may be defined as comprising the people, land and other resources located in the open country and small settlements outside the immediate economic influence of major urban centres (see also Appendix Q concerning the difficulties and complexities around a definition for Rural). Rural Social Scheme (RSS): This scheme allows low-income farmers and fishermen who are unable to make a living from fishing or farming to earn a supplementary income. It also supports projects which are benefit to rural communities. Rural Transport: Local transport services concentrated in rural areas, as opposed to urban or inter-urban transport. Rural Transport Initiative (RTI): This pilot Initiative (2002 - 2006) arose from a commitment in the National Development Plan 2000-2006. The aim was to encourage innovative community-based initiatives to provide transport services in rural areas with a view to addressing the issue of social exclusion in rural Ireland caused by lack of access to transport. Rural Transport Programme (RTP): The RTP was officially launched in 2007 following a pilot action research initiative (i.e. the Rural Transport Initiative). The aim of the programme is to encourage innovative community based initiatives to provide public transport services in rural areas with a view to addressing social exclusion in rural Ireland caused by lack of access to transport. The programme mission statement is „to provide a quality nationwide community based public transport system in rural Ireland which responds to local needs‟. Semi-flexible Routes: Is a form of Demand-Responsive Transport offering flexible route services, allowing deviation from fixed routes. Small Public Service Vehicle (SPSV): A public service vehicle with seating for up to eight people. Small Public Service Vehicles in Ireland include taxis, wheelchair accessible taxis, hackney cabs and limousines. Taxi: An SPSV for which a taxi licence has been granted. Taxis may stand for hire at a taxi rank and ply for hire on the street. Hackney: An SPSV for which a hackney licence has been granted. Hackney cabs should be pre-booked on a private hire basis and cannot be hailed down in a public place. Limousine: An SPSV for which a limousine licence has been granted. A limousine must be suited by its style and condition to be used for ceremonial occasions or for corporate or other prestige purposes. A limousine should be prebooked on a private hire basis and cannot be hailed down in a public place. Transport Deprivation Index: The index provides an important input in determining relative accessibility to transport in Ireland. It has a number of potential uses for the RTP including its use as a needs assessment tool and secondly, as a potential tool in forward planning, to identify future transportation requirements at the local level.
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