Delegation of the European Union
to Indonesia and Brunei Darussalam
ANTICIPATING A WORLD
UNDER DURESS: DOES
EUROPE HAVE A GAME PLAN?
Delegation of the
European Union
to Indonesia
and Brunei
Darussalam
A WORLD UNDER DURESS
FOUR INDICATORS
1
4
Economics:
• Economic slowdown, commodity crunch, growing discontent against economic and trade policies
2
Political:
3
Demographics:
• Readjustment of powers and less support for international law
• Unprecedented level of migratory pressures (60 M displaced people)
Public opinion:
• Rise of protest votes in western democracies and increased tensions in the Middle East
Delegation of the
European Union
to Indonesia
and Brunei
Darussalam
WHERE STANDS THE WORLD ORDER?
More integration but also more challenges:
• UN system  attractive (members,
applications for UNSC) and challenged
(ICC, Law of the Sea),
"Top X" (G7, G20) and like-minded
groups:
• BRICS, MIKTA, Shanghai C.O., Progress
and limitation
• regional integration progresses at slower
pace than new challenges (EU, ASEAN,
African Union).
Delegation of the
European Union
to Indonesia
and Brunei
Darussalam
THE ILLUSION OF A G2
USA-China cannot work as a duopol at global level because
• there are too many other players to allow a cooperative duopol,
• there is no ideological confrontation which can divide the world
in two blocs.
Delegation of the
European Union
to Indonesia
and Brunei
Darussalam
TOWARDS A G3? EU-USA-CHINA?
• GDP (trillion USD, ppp):
China (19.7), EU (19.2), USA (18) (India (8); Germany (3.8))
• POPULATION (M) :
China (1380), India (1270), EU (510), USA (320)
• MOBILE TELEPHONE SUBSCRIBERS (bn):
China (1.3), India (0.95), EU (0.63), (R.I. : 0.319, USA: 0.317)
• MILITARY SPENDING (% GDP);
USA (4.35), India (2.40), China (1.99), EU (1.3)
1st trade power,
1st provider and destination of FDI,
1st provider (50%+ of dev. Aid),
1st provider of Humanitarian assistance.
Delegation of the
European Union
to Indonesia
and Brunei
Darussalam
THE EU GAME PLAN =
THE EU GLOBAL STRATEGY!
Presented in June 2016, just after the Brexit referendum
Renews the EU strategic approach, 13 years after the
2003 EU security strategy
Has been welcomed and endorsed by EU member states
THE EU GLOBAL STRATEGY
• A fragile world calls
- for a more confident and responsive European Union,
- for an outward and forward looking European foreign and
security policy.
• The EU's objective is to act united on the world stage
- to keep citizens safe,
- preserve EU interests,
- uphold EU values.
EU INTERESTS & PRINCIPLES FOR
ENGAGEMENT
EU interests set out in the EUGS
•
Promote peace and guarantee the security of
its citizens and territory
•
Advance the prosperity of its people,
•
foster the resilience of its democracies,
•
champion a rules-based global order.
EU GLOBAL STRATEGY PRINCIPLES
Principles guiding EU external action
•
Unity of purpose between Member States and
across institutions, and unity in action by
implementing coherent policies,
•
Engagement in a more connected world,
& co-shape the rules that govern it,
•
Responsibility in addressing the root causes
of conflict and poverty,
•
Partnerships with states, regional bodies and
international organisations for a more peaceful
and prosperous world.
THE SECURITY OF
THE EUROPEAN UNION
Europeans must take greater responsibility of the EU Security
•
EU taking greater responsibility for its security and defence in the face of terrorism,
hybrid threats, economic volatility, climate change and energy insecurity,
•
Step up investment in and solidarity on counter-terrorism, increase focus on cyber
security, energy security and enhance strategic communications,
•
The EU to play its role fully in responding to crises, building capacity of partners and
protecting Europe,
•
Close cooperation with EU partners: NATO, United Nations, African Union, OSCE,
ASEAN and key bilateral partners such as the US,
•
EU will invest in a resilient European Security Order, a peaceful and prosperous
Mediterranean, Middle East and Africa, a closer Atlantic, a connected Asia and a
cooperative Arctic.
GLOBAL GOVERNANCE FOR
THE 21ST CENTURY
The EU is committed to a global order based on international law,
ensuring human rights, sustainable development and lasting access
to the global commons.
•
Aspiration to transform rather than to simply preserve
the existing system. The EU will strive for a strong UN
as the bedrock of the multilateral order and for
globally coordinated responses,
•
A commitment to global governance must translate
in the determination to reform the UN,
•
The EU will seek to reform, implement, deepen,
widen and develop multilateral institutions,
agreements and norms
•
Sustainable Development Goals will drive
reform & implementation will be reference point for change
across all internal and external policies,
•
Believing in the UN means investing in it, notably in its peace-keeping, mediation,
peacebuilding and humanitarian functions.
A CREDIBLE UNION
A stronger Union requires investing in security and defence as a
matter of urgency
FOUR CENTRAL ELEMENTS
1
Making full use of existing capacities (EU battlegroups)
Imaginative new ways of working together: joint military and civilian planning: tackling human traffickers
at sea, Sahel and Libya all require close coordination between the civilian and the military
2
Capacities: Work towards strong European Industrial base (European Defence Action Plan)
3
NATO, United Nations, African Union, OSCE, and key bilateral partners such as the USA
•Support partners in conflict prevention & in crisis resolution (capacity building in security and defence sectors)
4
COMMON SECURITY AND DEFENCE
POLICY'S PAST MISSIONS
COMMON SECURITY AND DEFENCE
POLICY'S ONGOING MISSIONS
4000
troops
EUROPEAN UNION & ASIA
In light of the economic weight that Asia represents for the EU – and
vice versa – peace and stability in Asia are a prerequisite for the EU
prosperity
•
Establish free-trade agreements and expand partnerships, including on security,
•
Maximise the potential of the ASEM and EU-ASEAN frameworks,
•
Promote the respect for the Rule of Law and International Law, including the Law of
the Sea,
•
Uphold freedom of navigation, encourage peaceful settlement of maritime disputes,
help build maritime capacities and support an ASEAN-led regional security architecture,
•
Deepen cooperation on counter-terrorism, anti-trafficking and migration,
•
Promote human rights and support democratic transitions,
•
Promote non-proliferation in the Korean peninsula.
GENERAL PROVISIONS CONCERNING
INDONESIA
A focus on security
•
Establish deeper defence cooperation,
•
Counter violent extremism: develop human rights-compliant anti-terrorism cooperation,
share best practices and joint programmes, broaden our partnerships with civil society,
social actors, the private sector and the victims of terrorism and establish inter-religious
and inter-cultural dialogue,
•
Focus on cyber security,
•
Enhance strategic communications.
THE EU GLOBAL STRATEGY:
ENGAGING THE WORLD
Find out more on http://europa.eu/globalstrategy/
Join the Debate on #EUGlobalStrategy