Object Orie’d Data Analysis, Last Time Distance Weighted Discrimination: • Revisit microarray data • Face Data • Outcomes Data • Simulation Comparison Twiddle ratios of subtypes UNC, Stat & OR 2 Why not adjust by means? UNC, Stat & OR DWD robust against non-proportional subtypes… Mathematical Statistical Question: Are there mathematics behind this? (will answer next time…) 3 Distance Weighted Discrim’n Maximal Data Piling HDLSS Discrim’n Simulations Main idea: Comparison of • SVM (Support Vector Machine) • DWD (Distance Weighted Discrimination) • MD (Mean Difference, a.k.a. Centroid) Linear versions, across dimensions HDLSS Discrim’n Simulations Conclusions: • Everything (sensible) is best sometimes • DWD often very near best • MD weak beyond Gaussian Caution about simulations (and examples): • Very easy to cherry pick best ones • Good practice in Machine Learning – “Ignore method proposed, but read paper for useful comparison of others” HDLSS Discrim’n Simulations Can we say more about: All methods come together in very high dimensions??? Mathematical Statistical Question: Mathematics behind this??? (will answer now) HDLSS Asymptotics Modern Mathematical Statistics: Based on asymptotic analysis I.e. Uses limiting operations Almost always lim n Occasional misconceptions: Indicates behavior for large samples Thus only makes sense for “large” samples Models phenomenon of “increasing data” So other flavors are useless??? HDLSS Asymptotics Modern Mathematical Statistics: Based on asymptotic analysis Real Reasons: Approximation provides insights Can find simple underlying structure In complex situations Thus various flavors are fine: lim , lim , n d lim , lim n , d 0 Even desirable! (find additional insights) HDLSS Asymptotics: Simple Paradoxes For d dim’al Standard Normal dist’n: Z1 Z ~ N d 0, I d Z d Euclidean Distance to Origin (as d ): Z d O p (1) HDLSS Asymptotics: Simple Paradoxes As d , Z d O p (1) -Data lie roughly on surface of sphere, with radius d - Yet origin is point of highest density??? - Paradox resolved by: density w. r. t. Lebesgue Measure HDLSS Asymptotics: Simple Paradoxes For d dim’al Standard Normal dist’n: Z1 indep. of Z 2 ~ N d 0, I d Euclidean Dist. Between Z 1 and Z 2 (as d ): Distance tends to non-random constant: Z 1 Z 2 2d O p (1) HDLSS Asymptotics: Simple Paradoxes Distance tends to non-random constant: Z 1 Z 2 2d O p (1) •Factor 2 , since 2 2 sd X1 X 2 sd X1 sd X 2 Can extend to Z 1 ,..., Z n Where do they all go??? (we can only perceive 3 dim’ns) HDLSS Asymptotics: Simple Paradoxes For d dim’al Standard Normal dist’n: Z 1 indep. of Z 2 ~ N d 0, I d High dim’al Angles (as d ): AngleZ 1 , Z 2 90 O p (d 1/ 2 ) - Everything is orthogonal??? - Where do they all go??? (again our perceptual limitations) - Again 1st order structure is non-random HDLSS Asy’s: Geometrical Represent’n Assume Z 1 ,..., Z n ~ N d 0, I d , let d Study Subspace Generated by Data Hyperplane through 0, of dimension n Points are “nearly equidistant to 0”, & dist d Within plane, can “rotate towards d Unit Simplex” All Gaussian data sets are: “near Unit Simplex Vertices”!!! “Randomness” appears only in rotation of simplex Hall, Marron & Neeman (2005) HDLSS Asy’s: Geometrical Represent’n Assume Z 1 ,..., Z n ~ N d 0, I d, let Study Hyperplane Generated by Data n 1 dimensional hyperplane Points are pairwise equidistant, dist ~ d Points lie at vertices of: 2d “regular n hedron” Again “randomness in data” is only in rotation Surprisingly rigid structure in data? d HDLSS Asy’s: Geometrical Represen’tion Simulation View: study “rigidity after rotation” • Simple 3 point data sets • In dimensions d = 2, 20, 200, 20000 • Generate hyperplane of dimension 2 • Rotate that to plane of screen • Rotate within plane, to make “comparable” • Repeat 10 times, use different colors HDLSS Asy’s: Geometrical Represen’tion Simulation View: shows “rigidity after rotation” HDLSS Asy’s: Geometrical Represen’tion Explanation of Observed (Simulation) Behavior: “everything similar for very high d ” • 2 popn’s are 2 simplices (i.e. regular n-hedrons) • All are same distance from the other class • i.e. everything is a support vector • i.e. all sensible directions show “data piling” • so “sensible methods are all nearly the same” • Including 1 - NN HDLSS Asy’s: Geometrical Represen’tion Straightforward Generalizations: non-Gaussian data: non-independent: only need moments use “mixing conditions” Mild Eigenvalue condition on Theoretical Cov. (Ahn, Marron, Muller & Chi, 2007) All based on simple “Laws of Large Numbers” 2nd Paper on HDLSS Asymptotics Ahn, Marron, Muller & Chi (2007) Assume 2nd Moments Assume no eigenvalues too large in sense: j j 1 For d d 2j d j 1 2 assume o(d ) i.e. 1 d 1 (min possible) (much weaker than previous mixing conditions…) 2nd Paper on HDLSS Asymptotics Background: In classical multivariate analysis, the statistic j j 1 d d 2j d Is called the “epsilon statistic” 2 j 1 And is used to test “sphericity” of dist’n, i.e. “are all cov’nce eigenvalues the same?” 2nd Paper on HDLSS Asymptotics Can show: epsilon statistic: Satisfies: d1 ,1 j j 1 d d 2j d 2 j 1 • For spherical Normal, 1 1 • Single extreme eigenvalue gives d 1 • So assumption d is very mild • Much weaker than mixing conditions 2nd Paper on HDLSS Asymptotics Ahn, Marron, Muller & Chi (2007) Assume 2nd Moments Assume no eigenvalues too large, d 1 : Then X i X j O p (1) d Not so strong as before: Z 1 Z 2 2d O p (1) 2nd Paper on HDLSS Asymptotics Can we improve on: X i X j O p (1) d ? John Kent example: Normal scale mixture X i ~ 0.5 N d 0, I d 0.5 N d 0,10 * I d Won’t get: X i X j C d Op (1) 2nd Paper on HDLSS Asymptotics Notes on Kent’s Normal Scale Mixture X i ~ 0.5 N d 0, I d 0.5 N d 0,10 * I d • Data Vectors are indep’dent of each other • But entries of each have strong depend’ce • However, can show entries have cov = 0! • Recall statistical folklore: Covariance = 0 Independence 0 Covariance is not independence Simple Example: • Random Variables X and Y • Make both Gaussian X , Y ~ N 0,1 • With strong dependence • Yet 0 covariance X Given c 0 , define Y X X c X c 0 Covariance is not independence Simple Example: 0 Covariance is not independence Simple Example: 0 Covariance is not independence Simple Example, c to make cov(X,Y) = 0 0 Covariance is not independence Simple Example: • Distribution is degenerate • Supported on diagonal lines • Not abs. cont. w.r.t. 2-d Lebesgue meas. • For small c , have cov X , Y 0 c , have cov X , Y 0 • By continuity, c with cov X , Y 0 • For large 0 Covariance is not independence Result: • Joint distribution of X and Y : – Has Gaussian marginals – Has cov X , Y 0 – Yet strong dependence of X and Y – Thus not multivariate Gaussian Shows Multivariate Gaussian means more than Gaussian Marginals HDLSS Asy’s: Geometrical Represen’tion Further Consequences of Geometric Represen’tion 1. Inefficiency of DWD for uneven sample size (motivates weighted version, Xingye Qiao) 2. DWD more stable than SVM (based on deeper limiting distributions) (reflects intuitive idea feeling sampling variation) (something like mean vs. median) 3. 1-NN rule inefficiency is quantified. HDLSS Math. Stat. of PCA, I Consistency & Strong Inconsistency: Spike Covariance Model, Paul (2007) For Eigenvalues: 1,d d , 2,d 1, , d ,d 1 1st Eigenvector: u1 How good are empirical versions, as estimates? ˆ1,d , , ˆd ,d , uˆ1 HDLSS Math. Stat. of PCA, II Consistency (big enough spike): For 1, Angleu1 , uˆ1 0 Strong Inconsistency (spike not big enough): For 1, 0 ˆ Angleu1 , u1 90 HDLSS Math. Stat. of PCA, III Consistency of eigenvalues? L ˆ 1,d 1,d n 2 n Eigenvalues Inconsistent But known distribution Unless n as well HDLSS Work in Progress, I Batch Adjustment: Xuxin Liu Recall Intuition from above: Key is sizes of biological subtypes Differing ratio trips up mean But DWD more robust Mathematics behind this? Liu: Twiddle ratios of subtypes HDLSS Data Combo Mathematics Xuxin Liu Dissertation Results: Simple Unbalanced Cluster Model Growing at rate d Answers depend on as Visualization of setting…. d HDLSS Data Combo Mathematics HDLSS Data Combo Mathematics HDLSS Data Combo Mathematics Asymptotic Results (as d ): 1 For 2, DWD Consistent Angle(DWD,Truth) 0 1 For , DWD Strongly Inconsistent 2 Angle(DWD,Truth) 900 HDLSS Data Combo Mathematics Asymptotic Results (as d ): 1 For 2, PAM Inconsistent Angle(PAM,Truth) Cr 0 1 For , PAM Strongly Inconsistent 2 Angle(PAM,Truth) 90 0 HDLSS Data Combo Mathematics Value of Cr , for sample size ratio r : r 1 Cr cos 2 2r 2 Cr 0 , only when r 1 1 Otherwise for r 1, PAM Inconsistent Verifies intuitive idea in strong way The Future of Geometrical Repres’tion? HDLSS version of “optimality” results? •“Contiguity” approach? Params depend on d? •Rates of Convergence? •Improvements of DWD? (e.g. other functions of distance than inverse) It is still early days … State of HDLSS Research? Development Of Methods Mathematical Assessment … (thanks to: defiant.corban.edu/gtipton/net-fun/iceberg.html)
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