Confirming Pages 456 Part Five Delivering and Performing Service Strategy Insight Combining Demand (Marketing) and Capacity (Operations) Strategies to Increase Profits In many situations, firms use multiple demand and capacity management strategies simultaneously to obtain optimal usage and maximize profits. Because each strategy involves costs as well as potential service quality, customer loyalty, and revenue outcomes, determining the appropriate mix can be a complex decision. Research done for a ski resort illustrates how operations and marketing data can be combined into a sophisticated model to predict the right mix of strategies. The ski industry presents particularly interesting challenges for capacity management because the industry sees typically large fluctuations in demand based on: seasonal, weekly, and even daily usage patterns; unpredictable weather and snowfall; a variety of skiing ability segments that use the resort in different ways; and demographic shifts over time. In addition, most resorts face constraints on their capacity due to environmental regulations that limit acreage and parking as well as the large capital investment required for facility expansion and/or improvement. Furthermore, as ticket prices at ski resorts have continued to escalate, customer expectations have risen. Powder Valley (PV, a disguised name), a ski resort in northern Utah, had consistently lost market share for five years to its rivals. Lack of facility improvements and increased marketing efforts by its competitors were cited as likely reasons for declining market share. To improve the situation, PV managers had proposed several marketing strategies to increase demand on slow days and increase revenue per customer. Operations strategies that relied on acquisition of new terrain and new, faster ski lifts to improve the skiing experience and reduce waiting during peak demand periods were also proposed. Each of these strategies had its associated costs and less than totally predictable outcomes. Adding to the complexity of the inherent trade-offs in the various strategies was the fact that the resort offered multiple activities (e.g., restaurants, skiing, shopping) for customers to choose. The researchers working with PV proposed that the optimal profit strategy would require an integrated set of approaches representing both demand and capacity perspectives. Using data from the resort, they built a sophisticated simulation model to assess the impact on customer usage, waiting times, and profits of several different strategies that were being considered, including: • Price variations. Strategies aimed at leveling demand by charging lower prices for off-peak skiing. • Promotions of underutilized services. Promotions to attract new customer segments or shift existing customers to underutilized services. • Information provision on waiting times. Strategies that provide information about less crowded periods or shorter waiting times to move customers temporarily to underutilized services. • Capacity expansion. Investments in additional fixed capacity for skiing such as adding new terrain or expanding the number of lifts. • Capacity upgrades. Improving or replacing existing lifts to carry more skiers and/or run faster. As input to their model, the researchers used historic data on daily demand, demand smoothing and capacity expansion options, service times for each lift, flow patterns across various lifts within the resort, travel time between lifts, customer perceptions, and customer choice data. By combining these marketing and operations data, the researchers showed that retaining the current customer mix, installing two new chairs, and providing waiting hours, and the team of specialists may number 10 people. During slow hours the team may shrink to three, with each of the remaining persons performing a variety of other functions. Grocery stores also use this strategy, with most employees able to move as needed from cashiering to stocking shelves to bagging groceries. Modify or Move Facilities and Equipment Sometimes it is possible to adjust, move, or creatively modify existing capacity to meet demand fluctuations. Hotels utilize this strategy by reconfiguring rooms—two rooms with a locked door between can be rented to two different parties in high demand times or turned into a suite during Marketing dei servizi 3/ed Valarie A. Zeithaml, Mary Jo Bitner, Dwayne D. Gremler, Enrico Bonetti © 2012, The McGraw-Hill Companies srl zei80938_ch15_441-474.indd 456 4/7/08 1:31:06 PM Confirming Pages Chapter 15 time information would maximize profits for the resort. Adding new chair lifts with higher speeds and doubled seating capacity within the existing terrain was a more profitable approach than expanding to new terrain. The simulation model showed that contrary to management predictions, smoothing demand across the day through differential pricing would actually decrease profits significantly. The model results were also useful in suggesting a priority order for the investments. The wait time signage investment was the least expensive and offered the largest single improvement for customers as well as the largest single profit impact. Upgrading at least one chair lift was the next priority. Balancing demand and capacity can involve a complex set of decisions, and sometimes the outcomes are not obvious, especially when strategies seem to have contradictory objectives. For example in the PV simulation, a marketing objective of increased revenues through attracting more customers was contradicted by an operations objective of providing optimal wait times for lifts. As illustrated in the ski resort research, firms can combine marketing and operations data into one overall model and run simulated experiments to determine the best set of combined strategies. One company, ProModel, has developed simulations similar to the one described here that have been successfully used by such service providers as American Express, the American Red Cross, Disneyland, Chase Bank, Delta Air Lines, JetBlue, the Mayo Clinic, and UPS. The Salt Lake Organizing Committee for the 2002 Winter Olympics also used a similar simulation to evaluate and successfully optimize spectator flow, emergency planning, and transportation systems. Of course, the quality of the decisions based on simulation models is highly dependent on the accuracy of the assumptions in the model and the quality of the input data. Managing Demand and Capacity 457 Managing demand and capacity in ski resorts can be very challenging. Sources: M. E. Pullman and G. Thompson, “Strategies for Integrating Capacity with Demand in Service Networks,” Journal of Service Research 5 (February 2003), pp. 169–183; and ProModel Corporation (www.promodel.com). slow demand. The airline industry offers another example of this strategy. Using an approach known as “demand-driven dispatch,” airlines often assign airplanes to flight schedules on the basis of fluctuating market needs.9 The method depends on accurate knowledge of demand and the ability to quickly move airplanes with different seating capacities to flight assignments that match their capacity. The Boeing 777 aircraft is so flexible that it can be reconfigured within hours to vary the number of seats allocated to one, two, or three classes.10 The plane can thus be quickly modified to match demand from different market segments, essentially molding capacity to fit Marketing dei servizi 3/ed Valarie A. Zeithaml, Mary Jo Bitner, Dwayne D. Gremler, Enrico Bonetti © 2012, The McGraw-Hill Companies srl zei80938_ch15_441-474.indd 457 4/7/08 1:31:07 PM
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