Chapter 2 The Cost Function Key Topics: • • • • Cost Behavior Cost Function and Assumptions Cost Plots and Regression Analysis Using Cost Information for Decisions Chapter 2 1 Example: Total Versus Average Cost Lari’s Leather produces customized motorcycle jackets. The leather for one jacket costs $50, and Lari rents a shop for $450/month. Compute the total costs per month and the average cost per jacket if she makes: – One jacket per month – 10 jackets per month 1 Jacket TC/Mo 10 Jackets AC/Jkt TC/Mo Leather Leather Rent Rent Total Total Chapter 2 AC/Jkt 2 Total Versus Average Cost Behavior • Graphs of total cost • Graphs of average (per unit) cost Chapter 2 3 Cost Function Refer to the Lari’s Leather Example: • Write the Cost Function • Using the Cost Function, Calculate Total Monthly Costs, Assuming the Company Makes: – 1 Jacket – 10 Jackets Chapter 2 4 Cost Estimation Techniques Our Focus in This Chapter: • Cost Plots • Regression Analysis: – Simple Regression – Multiple Regression Other Methods: • Analysis at the Account Level • Engineered Estimate of Cost • Activity Based Costing • High-Low Method Chapter 2 5 From Accounting Records Scott Manufacturing Schedule of Expenditures Expenditure Actual Direct materials $500,000 Direct labor 300,000 Rent 25,000 Insurance 15,000 Commissions 200,000 Property tax 20,000 Telephone 10,000 Depreciation 85,000 Power & light 30,000 Admin salaries 100,000 Total $1,285,000 Note: 100,000 units were produced and sold. Chapter 2 6 Developing a cost function In margin 1. Separate fixed from variable costs 2. Total the fixed costs 3. Total the variable costs 4. Calculate a variable cost per unit 5. Write out the cost function Chapter 2 7 When There Are No Units Given Need to use variable cost as a percentage of revenues in cost function TC = F + (VC/Revenue) *New Revenue Chapter 2 8 Exercise: Creating a Cost Function Chapter 2 9 Cost Function Assumptions Refer to the Wildcat Club Example: If you use the cost function to estimate next month’s costs, what assumptions are you making? Chapter 2 10 Analyzing Cost Functions Chapter 2 11 High-Low Method • Pick highest and lowest points of either cost or cost driver • Solve for variable cost by analyzing change in cost divided by change in volume • Solve for fixed cost using highest or lowest point observations in TC = F + VC*Q Chapter 2 12 A.Administrative Costs Scatter Plot of Potential Cost Driver A.Scatter Plot With Trend Line A.$80,000 A.$60,000 A.$40,000 A.$20,000 Chapter 2 A.$0 A.$0 A.$300,000 A.$600,000 A.$900,000 A.$1,200,000 A.Sales 13 Regression Output A.SUMMARY OUTPUT A.Regression Statistics A.Multiple R A.R Square A.Adjusted R Square A.0.9680477 A.0.93711636 A.0.90567454 A.Standard Error A.Observations A.3293.4038 A.4 A.ANOVA A.df A.SS A.Regression A.1 A.323277737 A.323277737 A.Residual A.2 A.21693017.2 A.10846508.6 A.Total A.3 A.344970754 A.Coefficients A.Intercept A.X Variable 1 Chapter 2 A.16800.2444 A.0.04466925 A.Standard Error A.7734.73545 A.0.00818212 A.MS A.t Stat A.2.17205158 A.5.45937486 A.F A.Significance F A.29.8047739 A.P-value A.0.16197623 A.0.0319523 A.0.0319523 A.Lower 95% A.-16479.6594 A.0.00946441 14 Regression Output • • • • Intercept coefficient = fixed cost Slope coefficient = variable cost R-square - goodness of fit statistic T-statistic - compares coefficient with its standard error • P-value - the statistical significance of the T-statistic Chapter 2 15 Cost Function for Big Jack • High Low • TC = $11,728 + 0.050*Sales • Regression • TC = $16,800(?) + 0.045*Sales Chapter 2 16 Positive Correlation ≠ Cost Driver Chapter 2 17 Other Types of Cost Functions • Activity Outside the Relevant Range: – Fixed costs (step function) – Variable costs • • • • No Apparent Cost Driver Discretionary Costs Economies of Scale Learning Curves Chapter 2 18 Using Cost Information for Decision Making • Keep in Mind: Management Decision Making Framework • Uncertainties • Information Quality • Quality of Estimation Techniques • Reliability of Cost Estimates Chapter 2 19
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