The Global Competitiveness Report: A Tool for Fostering Better Policies 8th November, 2005 Augusto Lopez-Claros Chief Economist & Director Global Competitiveness Programme World Economic Forum Geneva, Switzerland Contents Part I. Global Competitiveness Programme • What do we mean by “competitiveness” ? Part II. The Growth Competitiveness Index • Results and Analysis Part III. Global Competitiveness Index • Macroeconomy and Public Institutions • Results and Analysis 2 Part I. Global Competitiveness Programme: What do we mean by “competitiveness” ? Competitiveness is defined as the set of factors, policies and institutions that determine the level of productivity of a country A more competitive economy is one that is likely to grow faster over the medium to long run We try to shed light on “the factors, policies and institutions” that determine the sharply different growth experiences of 117 economies worldwide 3 Global Competitiveness Programme: What are we trying to achieve? GDP per capita, PPP in international dollars 20,000 18,000 Argentina Ghana 16,000 Taiw an 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Sources: Penn World Tables, WEO Database, April 2005 4 The Global Competitiveness Programme Key insights gained from competitiveness programme 1. The factors that determine the level of productivity of a country are many and spread over a large number of areas 2. These factors matter differently for different countries depending on their stage of development 3. Their relative importance changes over time 5 Part II. The Growth Competitiveness Index Growth Competitiveness Index Technology Index Macroeconomic Environment Index Public Institutions Index Innovation Sub-Index Macroeconomic stability Sub-Index Contracts and law Sub-Index Technology Transfer Sub-Index Country Credit Rating Corruption SubIndex Information & Communications Technology Subindex Government Waste 6 Growth Competitiveness Index Components (out of 117) GCI overall 1 2 3 4 7 12 13 Technology index 2 1 4 5 9 8 17 Public Institutions index 5 18 17 2 3 14 12 Germany 15 16 8 28 Chile 23 35 22 15 Spain 29 27 36 24 China 49 64 56 33 India 50 55 52 50 Mexico 55 57 71 43 Brazil 65 50 70 79 Turkey Argentina Russia 66 72 75 53 59 73 61 74 91 87 86 58 Country Finland United States Sweden Denmark Iceland Japan United Kingdom Macroeconomy index 4 23 12 3 11 42 18 7 Public Institutions Rankings (out of 117) Country Singapore Finland Germany United Kingdom Japan Sweden United States Chile Taiwan Spain India China Turkey Brazil Mexico Argentina Russia Public Contracts and Institutions Laws Index subindex 4 5 5 3 8 6 12 12 14 21 17 19 18 20 22 34 26 33 36 47 52 37 56 62 61 59 70 77 71 79 74 100 91 109 Corruption subindex 3 5 20 12 8 11 14 13 24 28 78 50 64 62 60 57 76 8 Public Institutions Ranking: Key Variables (out of 117) Countries Singapore Finland Germany United Kingdom Japan Sweden United States Chile Taiwan Spain India China Turkey Brazil Mexico Argentina Russia Property Rights 6 13 1 7 17 21 2 31 29 33 32 71 58 60 66 110 108 Judicial Independence 19 12 1 9 22 36 17 47 44 55 23 65 57 72 60 105 102 Government Favoritism 3 5 13 16 19 9 33 20 17 52 53 59 64 69 71 97 106 Burden of govt regulation 1 5 80 51 31 24 20 18 4 25 76 30 65 115 96 101 110 9 Macroeconomic Environment Rankings (out of 117) Country Singapore Finland Sweden Chile Taiwan United Kingdom United States Spain Germany China Japan Mexico India Russia Brazil Argentina Turkey Macro. Environment Index 1 4 12 15 17 18 23 24 28 33 42 43 50 58 79 86 87 Macro. Stability subindex 10 13 16 3 17 32 47 31 65 27 78 36 41 42 81 50 111 Government Waste 1 10 31 19 12 27 20 24 37 44 68 55 63 93 111 91 76 Country Credit Rating 15 4 11 32 24 4 6 17 10 37 19 45 53 54 62 107 69 10 Macroeconomic Environment Rankings: Key Variables (out of 117) Countries Singapore Finland Sweden Chile Taiwan United Kingdom United States Spain Germany China Japan Mexico India Russia Brazil Argentina Turkey Govt surplus/ deficit Govt debt /GDP 7 107 15 38 23 58 13 7 76 31 73 41 92 76 31 53 86 78 57 28 113 114 49 15 116 69 9 19 68 59 78 111 117 89 REER 40 76 69 26 25 87 49 97 82 54 48 50 63 111 8 2 109 Inflation 22 7 13 13 21 17 40 47 23 59 6 68 57 103 83 63 102 11 Technology Index Rankings (out of 117) Country United States Finland Sweden Denmark Japan Singapore Norway Germany United Kingdom Portugal Spain Chile Brazil Turkey India Mexico Argentina Technology Index 1 2 4 5 8 10 13 16 17 20 27 35 50 53 55 57 59 Innovation subindex 1 2 4 10 5 13 12 9 16 35 28 38 68 56 76 73 34 ICT subindex 3 5 4 1 17 8 14 20 15 30 32 37 52 54 67 57 59 Tech transfer subindex ---------3 13 17 18 29 6 27 39 12 Part III. The Global Competitiveness Index The Growth Competitiveness Index is a simple structure which captures some of the key drivers of growth. It does not incorporate concepts which the theory or empirical observation suggests are important determinants of competitiveness. For instance, the functioning of labour markets, the quality of a country’s infrastructure, the state of public health and the size of the market. The Global Competitive Index tries to assess both the macroeconomic and microeconomic determinants of competitiveness in one index 13 The Global Competitiveness Index Three stages of development: 1. “Factor-driven stage” Firms compete in prices, taking advantage of cheap factors e.g., India, China, Ukraine 2. “Efficiency-driven stage” Efficient production practices to increase productivity e.g., Poland, Brazil, Mexico 3. “Innovation-driven stage” Economies need to produce innovative products using sophisticated production methods e.g., Finland, Germany, Japan 14 The Global Competitiveness Index The Nine Pillars of Competitiveness Efficiency enhancers Key for efficiencydriven economies 1. Institutions 2. Infrastructure 3. Macroeconomy 4. Health and Primary Education 5. Higher Education and Training 6. Market Efficiency (goods, labour, financial) 7. Technological Readiness 8. Business Sophistication 9. Innovation Basic requirements Key for factordriven economies Innovation and sophistication factors Key for innovationdriven economies 15 The Global Competitiveness Index Weights given to the groups of pillars (subindexes) Basic Requirements Efficiency Enhancers Innovation and Sophistication Factors Factor-Driven Stage 50% 40% 10% Efficiency-Driven Stage 40% 50% 10% Innovation-Driven Stage 30% 40% 30% Weights 16 The Global Competitiveness Index List of countries in each stage 17 The Global Competitiveness Index Top performers in the nine pillars Country Singapore Denmark Infrastructure Macroeconomy Health and Primary Education Higher education and training Market Efficiency 1 5 9 69 8 4 1 20 9 2 1 16 23 3 5 2 4 10 Institutions Technological Business Readiness Sophistication Innovation Chile 27 34 1 25 42 24 36 31 41 Japan 26 9 93 1 16 16 17 1 2 Finland 3 10 10 10 1 12 12 12 4 United States 16 8 62 47 2 1 5 3 1 Turkey 56 64 116 93 55 57 50 41 51 18 The Global Competitiveness Index Public Institutions Macroeconomy Technology & Innovation Property rights Government surplus/deficit Country technological readiness Diversion of public funds National savings rate Capacity for innovation Public trust of politicians Inflation Technology absorption by firms Judicial independence Interest rate spread Favoritism in decision of government officials Government debt / GDP ratio Real effective exchange rate FDI and technology transfer Spending on R&D Wastefulness of government spending Technology penetration (cell phones, Internet users, PCs) Burden of government regulation Quality of scientific research institutions Business costs of terrorism Reliability of police services Business costs of crime and violence Organized crime Academic/Private sector research collaboration Availability of scientists and engineers Appropriate legal framework and intellectual property protection 19
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