Standard-type apartments, January 1, 2012 In December of 2011, the price drop in the standard-type apartment market stopped. The average price of standard-type apartments in December 2011 amounted to 583 EUR/m². Thus, the price level in December slightly increased – by 0.2%. Since the beginning of 2011, the average prices of standard-type apartments have decreased by 4.3% in total. Changes in standard-type apartment prices in 2011 0.2% 0.0% December November September -0.7% August July June May April -0.7% -0.7% -0.8% October -0.2% -0.2% -0.3% -0.3% March -0.5% February -0.2% January 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% -0.2% -0.4% -0.6% -0.8% -1.0% 2011 Source: ARCO REAL ESTATE In 2011, the overall activity in the real estate market has not survived any significant jumps or drops. At the same time, in certain neighbourhoods the price reduction during the year has exceeded 7%, which is considered to be a significant fall in prices. The number of apartments offered in the market has decreased significantly in December. In Riga the total the number of apartments offered in the market has decreased by 11.2 %, but in the largest housing estates this number has decreased by 15%, and in the central part of Riga – by 9.9% The significant decrease in the supply observed in December is not surprising; it is an annual phenomenon that is explained by the Christmas and New Year holidays at the end of the year, when the real estate market activity usually decreases. Also, the small price increase in December (+0.2%) is resulting from the substantial reduction in supply. In a number of neighborhoods there were not observed any changes in prices, and the prices at the end of the year are to be regarded as stable. Since January 1, 2011, the average price of 1 m² of a standard-type apartment has decreased by 4.3%. The biggest price drop as per January 1, 2012 was observed at Bolderāja – by -7.6%. But at Teika, in despite of of a slight decrease in prices in certain months of 2011, the prices have shown a very slight increase – by 0.1%. This is explained by the fact that in 2011, the demand remained focused on good quality apartments with good location, placement, and good interior decoration. In 2011, positive price changes were observed in the central part of Riga; however, the same is attributable also to the Teika area, which is considered a good alternative to the centre of Riga. This could explain the fact that the prices remained at a sufficiently high level at Teika. Price changes since January 1, 2011 1 0.4% -2.2% -5.5% -6.9% -7.5% ka l Zi ep ni ek Te ež ci e -5.7% -6.9% -7.1% -6.7% Im an ns ik a -7.6% M Pu r vc ie m s m s gl a -6.5% Ju -6.4% ta -4.9% Source: ARCO REAL ESTATE In December 2011 the apartment prices in housing estates were at the level of April 2010. Since September 2009 when the price level was the lowest, the prices have grown by 19.7%. In December 2011 the average standard-apartment price has returned to the level of October 583 EUR/m². The prices on average were by 64.1% lower than on July 1, 2007, when the average price of a non-renovated standard-type apartment had reached the highest ever value of 1620 EUR/m². But the average price of a non-renovated standard-type apartment has decreased by 3.8% if compared with the price level of January 1, 2011. In 2008, the average prices of standard-type apartments in Riga decreased by 33.5% on average. In 2009, the average prices decreased by another 44,2%. But in 2010 the prices grew by 16.9% in total. In 2011, the price fall during the year was 4.3%. 1 800 1 600 1 400 Movements of average price of standard-type apartments in housing estates of Riga, EUR/m² 1 620 1 450 1 433 1 405 1 200 1 037 934 1 000 800 521 545 609 600 606 605 601 597 592 590 588 584 584 583 582 583 400 200 2007 2008 2009 2010 December November October September August July June May April March February January December January December January December January December July January 0 2011 Source: ARCO REAL ESTATE In the housing estates analyzed by the ARCO REAL ESTATE in December 2011, the average price of a 1-room apartment was 622 EUR/m², and compared with the price of the previous month, this price has increased by 0.2%; average price of a 2-room standard-type apartment was 590 2 EUR/m², and compared with the average price of the previous month, this price has increased by 0.2%; average price of a 3-room apartment was 563 EUR/m², and compared with the prices of the previous month, this price has remained unchanged; average price of a 4-room apartment was 557 EUR/m², and compared with the average price of the previous month, this price has increased by 0.2%. Average prices of standard-type apartments in Riga housing estates: breakdown by number of rooms (EUR/m²) 654 621 587 577 649 615 584 575 644 613 584 578 636 609 581 576 633 604 578 572 628 599 573 569 626 596 571 567 624 594 567 566 623 590 564 561 622 591 564 560 622 589 563 558 621 589 563 556 Source: ARCO REAL ESTATE Number of apartments offered for sale in December 2011, compared with the level of the previous month, has significantly decreased both in the largest housing estates analyzed by the ARCO REAL ESTATE (-15%) and in the Riga City in total (-11.2%). The number of apartments offered and located in the central part of Riga has decreased by 9.9%. Having analyzed the number of apartments offered we can see that the biggest number of apartments offered in December was observed at Purvciems, Pļavnieki, Ķengarags and Āgenskalns. In contrast, the smallest number of apartments offered was observed at Bolderāja and Zolitūde. In December, the number of apartments offered decreased in most housing estates. The largest decrease of number of apartments offered was observed at Purvciems – by 24.3%. The lowest reduction of the number of apartments offered was observed at Imanta – by 6%. The most popular apartments in the housing estates of Riga were 1-room and 2-room apartments. But 4-room apartments were the less popular ones. Number of apartments offered in the market in Riga in December 2011 1553 Centrs, Vecrīga Zolitūde 129 253 Ziepniekkalns Vecmīlgrāvis 137 192 Teika 477 Purvciems 289 Pļavnieki Mežciems 159 270 Ķengarags 158 Jugla 265 Imanta Iļģuciems Bolderāja Āgenskalns 136 75 262 Source: ARCO REAL ESTATE 3 1st January 659 627 590 578 December 661 626 590 578 November 662 628 590 578 October December 663 624 588 575 September November 656 617 577 566 August October 658 617 573 562 July September 660 617 571 556 June August 654 606 561 548 May July 629 587 544 528 April June 614 574 532 515 March May 598 566 519 498 February April 568 541 496 480 2012 January March room rooms rooms rooms February 1 2 3 4 2011 January 2010 622 590 563 557 Dynamics of supply in Riga 4 000 3 500 3 000 Nr. of offers 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 0 January February March April May June July August September October November December 2011 mikrorajoni 2 663 2 925 3 190 3 356 3 417 3 330 3 474 3 509 3 433 3 335 3 295 2 802 citi 2 068 2 319 2 450 2 451 2 548 2 444 2 566 2 599 2 594 2 759 2 676 2 498 Source: ARCO REAL ESTATE Apartment supply structure by Riga housing estates End of 2011 Āgenskalns Jugla Purvciems Zolitūde Bolderāja Ķengarags Teika Centrs, Vecrīga Iļģuciems Mežciems Vecmīlgrāvis Imanta Pļavnieki Ziepniekkalns 6% 2% 3% 6% 35% 4% 6% 4% 7% 3% 6% 11% 3% 4% Source: ARCO REAL ESTATE In December 2011, the average price of 1 m² has slightly increased in most housing estates. Average price of 1 m² has increased by 0.2-0.6%. The biggest price growth in December was observed at Mežciems, where the prices decreased by 0.6% on average. In most housing estates the prices remained unchanged. Only at Vecmīlgrāvis a slight price reduction – by 0.3% - was observed. 4 Change of average standard-type apartment prices in Riga housing estates (%) Average 1m² price on 1st January, 2012 Average 1m² price on 1st December, 2011 Price changes, % 556 603 615 612 728 508 510 477 602 592 640 606 566 554 601 614 608 724 509 510 475 602 592 640 604 566 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% -0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% Jugla Pļavnieki Purvciems Mežciems Teika Vecmīlgrāvis Ķengarags Bolderāja Ziepniekkalns Imanta Zolitūde Āgenskalns Iļģuciems Source: ARCO REAL ESTATE Since the beginning of 2011, the standard-type apartment prices have decreased by 4.3%. From the beginning of 2010, the prices have grown by 11.9% on average. Compared with the beginning of 2009, in December 2011 the standard-type apartment prices in the housing estates of Riga were by 37.6% lower. Since the lowest price point in September 2009 when the average price of 1 m² in the Riga’s housing estates had decreased to 487 EUR, the prices have grown by 19.7% on average. Average standard-type apartment prices in Riga housing estates (EUR/m²) 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 ka Te i Pu r vc ie m s s Zi e M pn i ež ek k cie al m ns ta an Im Ju gl a 0 1st January, 2009 1st January, 2010 1st January, 2011 Source: ARCO REAL ESTATE 5 1st January, 2012 The highest prices in December 2011 were still observed at Teika, where the average price of 1m² has increased slightly and was amounting to 728 EUR. In turn, the lowest prices in December 2011 were observed at Bolderāja, where the average price of 1m² has slightly increased - to 477 EUR. Average standard-type apartment prices in Riga housing estates in December 2011 728 Teika 640 Zolitūde Purvciems 615 Mežciems 612 Āgenskalns 606 Pļavnieki 603 602 Ziepniekkalns 592 Imanta 566 Iļģuciems 556 Jugla Ķengarags 510 Vecmīlgrāvis 508 477 Bolderāja 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 EUR/m² Source: ARCO REAL ESTATE In December 2011, the most expensive apartments still were apartments in the houses of the th th 119 series and 104 series, where the price of 2-room apartments varied from 32 to 39 thousand EUR, depending on location. But the so-called Lithuanian design houses have been the cheapest ones, where the price of 2-room apartments varied from 21 to 28 thousand EUR, and the so-called Khrushchev-time houses, where the price of 2-room apartments varied from 19 to 28 thousand EUR, depending on the housing estate. Standard-type apartment prices by series in Riga housing estates in November 2011 (prices of 2room apartments, in EUR) 45 000 40 000 35 000 30 000 25 000 20 000 15 000 10 000 5 000 0 103. 104. 602. 119. Min Average Source: ARCO REAL ESTATE 6 467. Max lietuviešu hruščova Ogre The average prices in Ogre in December 2011 remained unchanged. The average apartment price in December was 420 EUR/m². The prices have decreased by 2.1% in Ogre in 2011. Compared to other towns in the vicinity of Riga, apartment prices in Ogre have remained stable and the price drop has not been high. At the same time, activity in the apartment market of Ogre is to be assessed as low. Average price of 1 m² in Ogre in 2011 (EUR/m²) De ce m be r be r No ve m O ct ob er be r t Se pt em Au gu s Ju ly Ju ne ay M Ap ril ar ch M Fe br ua ry Ja nu a ry 432 430 428 426 424 422 420 418 416 414 Source: ARCO REAL ESTATE Jūrmala, Kauguri In December 2011 the apartment prices at Kauguri decreased by 0.4% on average. The average price in December was 421 EUR/m². During 2011 the prices at Kauguri have decreased by 6.2%. The price reduction is higher than the average for housing estates of Riga. Prices have fallen due to decrease of demand for apartments located in such places. The most expensive apartments at Kauguri still were the 103rd series apartments, but the cheapest apartments were in the Khrushchev-time houses and small-family houses. Average price of 1 m² in Jūrmala (Kauguri) in 2011 (EUR/m²) Source: ARCO REAL ESTATE 7 be r De ce m be r No ve m O ct ob er be r Se pt em t Au gu s Ju ly Ju ne ay M Ap ril ar ch M Fe br ua ry Ja nu a ry 455 450 445 440 435 430 425 420 415 410 405 Salaspils In December 2011, the apartment prices in Salaspils have remained unchanged. The average price in December was 481 EUR/m². In 2010 in total, the apartment prices at Salaspils increased by 22%. In 2011 the apartment prices in Salaspils have tended to decline, and since the beginning of the year the prices have decreased by 6% on average. Prices have fallen like in Jūrmala, Kauguri. The price decline was most expressed at the beginning of the year, and in the last quarter of the year the decline stopped. Average price of 1 m² in Salaspils in 2011 (EUR/m²) De ce m be r be r No ve m O ct ob er ep te m be r t S Au gu s Ju ly Ju ne ay M Ap ril ar ch M Fe br ua ry Ja nu a ry 515 510 505 500 495 490 485 480 475 470 465 Source: ARCO REAL ESTATE Jelgava In December 2011 the apartment prices in Jelgava decreased by 1% on average. The average price in December was 291 EUR/m². The market activity in Jelgava is still low. In 2011 the apartment prices in Jelgava tended to decline, and since the beginning of 2011 the prices have decreased by 12.9% on average, which is to be considered a significant price fall. Apartments located in the central part of the city with high-standard interior decoration are still most demanded and most popular. Average price of 1 m² in Jelgava in 2011 (EUR/m²) 340 330 320 310 Source: ARCO REAL ESTATE 8 be r De ce m be r No ve m O ct ob er be r Se pt em t Au gu s Ju ly Ju ne ay M Ap ril ar ch M Fe br ua ry Ja nu a ry 300 290 280 270 260
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