REGIONAL DATA REPORT JAN - SEPT 2013 vs. 2012 GREAT LAKES Region Regional Composite Methodology • Sales and Market Data is obtained using CAST (Category Avocado Sales Trend) – IRI gathers chain-wide sales across all RMAs (Retail Market Areas) • Starting in 2013, the IRI Regions reflect an expanded retail data set which includes sales and volume from Walmart, Sam’s Club, Target and BJ’s, in addition to traditional grocery retailers – Data is entered into CAST system – Using CAST, data is queried and reported approximately every 4 weeks • Average Selling Price (ASP) is not Advertised Retail Price – Average selling price is the average of all prices including coupons, promotional pricing, club/loyalty card deals that are given at the register at the time of purchase • Categories: Total Avocados Fruit = Total Fruit excluding Avocados Produce = Total Produce including Avocados • Timeframe:YTD Q1, Q2 and Q3 (January – September) 2013 • Retail data provided by IRI / FreshLook Marketing • Important Note: IRI / FreshLook Marketing periodically restates retail data, therefore this review cannot be compared or used in conjunction with prior reviews 2 Great Lakes Region: Highlights - YTD through Q3 • Overview based on the following geography: – The Great Lakes Region captures the Markets of Chicago, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Columbus, Detroit, Grand Rapids and Indianapolis, plus additional cities not included in those Markets • Great Lakes Overview – Through Q3 2013, Avocado retail dollars trended ahead of Fruit by +11 points and Produce by +10 points – Category dollars were up +14% in 2012 and +17% in 2013 for a net growth of +34% over 2011 – Category units grew +39% in 2012 and +25% in 2013 for a net growth +74% over 2011 – Category average selling price (ASP) decreased -18% in 2012 and -6% in 2013 to $1.12/unit • Great Lakes Per Store Averages – 2013 Average dollars of $8,778 per store were +14% higher than 2012 and +27% higher than 2011 – 2013 Average units of 7,831 per store were +21% higher than 2012 and +65% higher than 2011 • Great Lakes versus Total U.S. trends – GL category unit growth of +25% was +9 points higher than the national average – GL category dollar trend of +17% was +4 points higher than the national average – GL 2013 category ASP of $1.12/unit was +11% higher than the national average of $1.01/unit 3 Great Lakes:YTD through Q3 Retail Dollar Trend Comparisons • Avocado retail dollars through Q3 2013 trended ahead of Fruit and Produce – 2012 versus 2011, Avocados dollar growth of +14% outpaced Fruit by +8 points and Produce by +12 points – 2013 versus 2012, Avocado dollar growth of +17% outpaced Fruit by +11 points and Produce by +10 points – 2013 versus 2011, Avocados dollar growth of +34% outpaced Fruit by +21 points and Produce by +24 points 4 Great Lakes:YTD through Q3 Avocado Retail Overview • Category dollars were up +14% in 2012 and +17% in 2013 for a net growth of +34% over 2011 • Category units grew +39% in 2012 and +25% in 2013 for net growth of +74% over 2011 • Category average selling price (ASP) decreased -18% in 2012 and -6% in 2013 to $1.12/unit 5 Great Lakes vs. Total U.S. YTD through Q3 PLU Comparisons – • – • GL growth was primarily driven by PLU 4770 which grew +7 million units GL category dollar trend of +17% was +4 points higher than the national average GL growth was primarily driven by PLU 4770 which grew +$10 million GL 2013 category ASP of $1.12/unit was +11% higher than the national average of $1.01/unit Great Lakes RETAIL UNITS GL category unit growth of +25% was +9 points higher than the national average J ANUARY - S EPTEMBER: 2012 vs 2013 • PLU Description 2012 2013 4046 S mall Has s #60 s izes & s maller 11,516,747 12,615,476 4225 Large Has s #40 & #48 s izes 47,161,744 4770 X-Large Has s #36 s izes & larger 4,255,063 Other Total U.S. Variance 2012 2013 Variance +9.5% 392,473,289 403,058,039 +2.7% 53,469,876 +13.4% 384,742,694 460,064,178 +19.6% 11,536,543 +171.1% 21,044,455 43,246,317 +105.5% Greens kins , P inkertons , non-Has s P LUs 919,031 875,409 -4.7% 20,850,556 22,135,926 +6.2% Organic All Organic P LUs 918,976 1,331,542 +44.9% 10,493,775 12,692,467 +21.0% B ags All bagged P LUs 12,371,265 16,623,613 +34.4% 108,160,738 146,979,935 +35.9% 77,142,826 96,452,459 +25.0% 937,765,507 1,088,176,862 +16.0% TOTAL CATEGORY UNITS Great Lakes RETAIL DOLLARS 2012 2013 Total U.S. PLU Description Variance 2012 4046 S mall Has s #60 s izes & s maller $ 11,459,177 $ 12,261,827 +7.0% $ 313,509,184 $ 303,722,520 -3.1% 4225 Large Has s #40 & #48 s izes $ 60,643,575 $ 62,463,910 +3.0% $ 476,553,666 $ 553,658,894 +16.2% 4770 X-Large Has s #36 s izes & larger $ 6,004,840 $ 15,652,876 +160.7% $ 33,549,938 $ 61,425,043 +83.1% Other Greens kins , P inkertons , non-Has s P LUs $ 1,654,850 $ 1,546,896 -6.5% $ 34,436,282 $ 36,589,227 +6.3% Organic All Organic P LUs $ 1,424,978 $ 2,168,304 +52.2% $ 17,012,054 $ 20,518,793 +20.6% B ags All bagged P LUs $ 11,091,757 $ 14,008,097 +26.3% $ 96,100,844 $ 126,844,119 +32.0% TOTAL CATEGORY DOLLARS $ 92,279,177 $ 108,101,910 +17.1% $ 971,161,969 $ 1,102,758,596 +13.6% Great Lakes AVERAGE SELLING PRICE (ASP) / UNIT 2013 Variance Total U.S. PLU Description 2012 2013 Variance 2012 2013 Variance 4046 S mall Has s #60 s izes & s maller $1.00 $0.97 -2.3% $0.80 $0.75 -5.7% 4225 Large Has s #40 & #48 s izes $1.29 $1.17 -9.1% $1.24 $1.20 -2.8% 4770 X-Large Has s #36 s izes & larger $1.41 $1.36 -3.9% $1.59 $1.42 -10.9% Other Greens kins , P inkertons , non-Has s P LUs $1.80 $1.77 -1.9% $1.65 $1.65 +0.1% Organic All Organic P LUs $1.55 $1.63 +5.0% $1.62 $1.62 -0.3% B ags All bagged P LUs $0.90 $0.84 -6.0% $0.89 $0.86 -2.9% $1.20 $1.12 -6.3% $1.04 $1.01 -2.1% CATEGORY ASP ($/Unit) 6 Great Lakes:YTD through Q3 Category Per Store Averages 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 $8,778 7,831 $7,732 $6,928 6,463 4,741 +11.6% +13.5% Avg Retail Dollars Per Store • +36.3% +21.2% Avg Retail Units Per Store In 2013, per store dollar and unit averages exhibited growth over the prior year – 2013 Average dollars of $8,778 per store were +14% higher than 2012 and +27% higher than 2011 – 2013 Average units of 7,831 per store were +21% higher than 2012 and +65% higher than 2011 * Per store averages are based on stores selling 7 Great Lakes: 2011 through Q3-2013 Per Store Averages By Quarter - Units vs. ASP • Average Retail Units Per Store – The peak quarter was 2013-Q2 at 2,905 units per store when ASP was $1.08/unit – The lowest quarter was 2011-Q3 at 1,346 units per store when ASP was at its highest point, $1.72/unit • ASP – Lowest ASP to date occurred during 2013-Q1, $1.04/unit – Highest ASP to date occurred during 2011-Q3, $1.72/unit * Per store averages are based on stores selling 8 Great Lakes Region: Highlights - YTD through Q3 • Overview based on the following geography: – The Great Lakes Region captures the Markets of Chicago, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Columbus, Detroit, Grand Rapids and Indianapolis, plus additional cities not included in those Markets • Great Lakes Overview – Through Q3 2013, Avocado retail dollars trended ahead of Fruit by +11 points and Produce by +10 points – Category dollars were up +14% in 2012 and +17% in 2013 for a net growth of +34% over 2011 – Category units grew +39% in 2012 and +25% in 2013 for a net growth +74% over 2011 – Category average selling price (ASP) decreased -18% in 2012 and -6% in 2013 to $1.12/unit • Great Lakes Per Store Averages – 2013 Average dollars of $8,778 per store were +14% higher than 2012 and +27% higher than 2011 – 2013 Average units of 7,831 per store were +21% higher than 2012 and +65% higher than 2011 • Great Lakes versus Total U.S. trends – GL category unit growth of +25% was +9 points higher than the national average – GL category dollar trend of +17% was +4 points higher than the national average – GL 2013 category ASP of $1.12/unit was +11% higher than the national average of $1.01/unit 9
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