Early Evidence from Canadian Firms’ Choice Between IFRS and U.S. GAAP* Brian M. Burnett** California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo Elizabeth A. Gordon Temple University Bjorn N. Jorgensen London School of Economics Cheryl L. Linthicum University of Texas at San Antonio March 2014 * We thank Vic Anand, Alan Jagolinzer, Karen Jones, Grace Pownall, Shiva Rajgopal, Gregory Waymire, Michael Welker, Eunyoung Whang (IAS discussant), and seminar participants at Baylor, Drexel, Emory, IESE, 2013 American Accounting Association Annual Meeting, 2013 European Accounting Association Meeting, and the 2013 International Accounting Section Midyear Meeting for helpful comments and suggestions. We thank Larry Ochoa and Claire Veal for helpful research assistance. ** Orfalea College of Business, Cal Poly, San Luis Obispo, 1 Grand Avenue, San Luis Obispo, CA 93405. Ph: (805) 756-1431. E-mail: [email protected]. Early Evidence from Canadian Firms’ Choice Between IFRS and U.S. GAAP Abstract For fiscal years starting on or after January 1, 2011, Canada abandoned Canadian Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) and adopted International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) as the dominant accounting standard, yet de facto allowed firms to adopt U.S. GAAP in lieu of IFRS. We document the unintended consequence that more Canadian firms report under U.S. GAAP after Canada adopted IFRS. We find firms more likely to choose IFRS are larger, in the developmental stage, have more R&D expenditures, fewer U.S. operations or fewer U.S. shareholders. Further, the likelihood of IFRS adoption decreases if stockholders' equity under U.S. GAAP exceeds Canadian GAAP in the year before IFRS adoption. Second, consistent with an increase in information asymmetry around Canada's IFRS adoption, bid-ask spreads increase for smaller Canadian firms not listed in the U.S. These results inform U.S. regulators' current decision whether to allow U.S. firms the choice between U.S. GAAP and IFRS. JEL Code: M41 Keywords: IFRS, U.S. GAAP, Liquidity, Accounting Choice, Event Study. 2 “And it is actually true, in some respects, that the Canadian environment ... -- probably most resembles the situation that the U.S. is going to be in if it makes a similar kind of decision.” -Tricia O’Malley, Former AcSB and IASB member, speaking of the Canadian decision to adopt IFRS 1. Introduction In the quote from the U. S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) July 2011 Roundtable on International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), Ms. O’Malley is referring to Canada’s decision to adopt IFRS and the potential implications of its experience as the U.S. considers IFRS. As implied, the environments in Canada and the U.S. share many similarities such as high-quality financial reporting and accounting standards, a market-orientation, strong enforcement, and legal systems. In our paper, we exploit the Canadian setting where standard setters adopted IFRS as domestic GAAP but gave companies a de facto choice to use U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (U.S. GAAP).1 We explore the determinants and consequences of the choice. We find an unintended consequence that more Canadian companies report using U.S. GAAP after the adoption of IFRS than before, which supports the notion that companies will make the choice based on factors they perceive as important. As such, Canada’s adoption of IFRS offers a unique setting to examine the debate about firms having a choice among accounting standards, especially as the U.S. considers whether and how to adopt IFRS. With the emergence of IFRS and U.S. GAAP as the predominant world accounting standards, academics and standard setters are contemplating the advantages and disadvantages of full convergence or the coexistence of two accounting standards. Despite the large-scale adoption of IFRS by over 100 countries in recent years, the vast majority of IFRS-adopting firms never reported under U.S. GAAP since they previously reported only under the GAAP of their 1 Technically, only firms registered with the SEC were permitted to use U.S. GAAP instead of IFRS by Canadian securities regulators. However, we note that firms had a de facto choice because firms could, though at some cost, register with the SEC and report with U.S. GAAP. In fact, Nimin Energy Corporation and some other Canadian firms publicly stated that they initiated cross-listing in the U.S. to be permitted to adopt U.S. GAAP. home country. Further, in other IFRS adopting countries, companies were not given the choice to adopt either IFRS or U.S. GAAP as they were in Canada. To our knowledge, previous academic research considers only two experimental settings that permit empirical examination of the effects of IFRS adoption relative to U.S. GAAP: (1) Germany’s Neue Markt exchange that allowed the choice of U.S. GAAP or International Accounting Standards (IAS), the predecessor to IFRS, and (2) U.S. cross-listed firms that were required to reconcile differences between their IFRS and U.S. GAAP. Germany’s Neue Markt exchange allows for an examination of the choice of accounting standards in a market where domestic GAAP was considered low quality. Leuz (2003) finds insignificant differences in measures of information asymmetry and market liquidity between Neue Markt firms choosing IAS or U.S. GAAP.2 At that time, however, enforcement of standards was limited in Germany. Germany’s enforcement body did not implement a proactive review of financial statements until 2005 (Christensen et al., 2011), which makes it difficult to infer whether the insignificant differences in information asymmetry between IAS and U.S. GAAP documented in Leuz (2003) are due to the similarity of the standards or lack of enforcement of the standards. The IFRS to U.S. GAAP reconciliations of foreign private issuers (FPIs) provide a direct comparison of reporting under IFRS and U.S. GAAP.3 Gordon et al. (2011) compare the earnings attributes of IFRS and U.S. GAAP holding fixed the underlying cash transactions of the firm. They conclude that while some earnings attributes do not differ due to accounting standards, other differences due to financial reporting incentives persist even after the adoption of IFRS.4 2 Hwang and Lin (2010) note that some firms that voluntarily chose to report under U.S. GAAP have voluntarily switched to IFRS, which replaced German GAAP when the EU adopted IFRS. For example, Euromicron Group, a German manufacturer of fiber optic components, abandoned U.S. GAAP for IFRS in 2005. 3 During the period from 2004 through 2007, these foreign private issuers were required to reconcile from IFRS to U.S. GAAP. 4 Further current research studies the effect of discontinuing the reconciliation requirements for foreign private issuers. See, among others, Jiang et al. (2010) and Kim et al. (2012). 2 While informative, the generalizability of the above findings to the Canada and the U.S. may be limited. First, due to self-selection bias arising because firms chose to voluntarily report under U.S. GAAP when they listed on Neue Markt and in the U.S., respectively. Furthermore, if financial reporting incentives are an integral determinant of earnings quality then it is difficult to draw inferences from samples of foreign, predominantly European, firms that face different reporting environments than North American firms. For example, most countries in the European Union have civil law legal origin, the exceptions being two common law countries: Ireland and the United Kingdom. Ball et al. (2000) document that legal origin is a co- determinant of earnings attributes. Since both Canada and the U.S. have common law, the applicability to North American firms of inferences regarding IFRS adoption from a sample of firms located in the European Union’s predominantly civil law countries with lower intensity of enforcement may be limited. To mitigate these concerns, we study a recent sample of IFRS adopting firms based in Canada which is a predominantly a common law country. Since Canadian and U.S. regulators have historically designated each other a special consideration due to their proximity in accounting standards and levels of enforcement procedures, any inferences based on a sample of Canadian firms are more likely to carry over to U.S. firms than prior studies with lower enforcement prior to IFRS adoption. With the more recent adoption of IFRS, companies are also using updated IFRS standards that have benefited from the IASB-FASB convergence project. In summary, the Canadian setting has three distinct advantages: (1) Canada permitted the choice between IFRS and U.S. GAAP, (2) the Canadian and U.S. environments are more similar than other countries might be, and (3) Canada recently adopted IFRS. 3 We examine two main aspects of IFRS adoption in Canada. First, we describe and investigate initial reporting choices Canadian firms make.5 While Canada adopted IFRS on or after January 1, 2011, standard setters gave companies the de facto option to use IFRS or U.S. GAAP. Those Canadian firms that had cross-listed in the U.S. and maintained their FPI status did not need special permission from regulators to use U.S. GAAP. Other Canadian firms needed regulatory approval to use U.S. GAAP. Interestingly, we find more firms report under U.S. GAAP after Canada adopted IFRS. Before Canada’s IFRS adoption, 48 out of 245 crosslisted companies reported under U.S. GAAP, or about 20%. After, 45 of these continued to report under U.S. GAAP suggesting they were minimizing the costs of switching standards. Of the 197 cross-listed companies that previously reported under Canadian GAAP, we document that at least 29 or about 15%, voluntarily choose U.S. GAAP over IFRS, implying that companies differ in the perceived costs and benefits of their choice of accounting standards.6 We investigate the determinants of the choice of IFRS versus U.S. GAAP, finding cross-listed companies choosing IFRS are larger, in the developmental stage, have more R&D expenditures, fewer U.S. operations or fewer U.S. shareholders. Further, consistent with the impact of the accounting standards on reported results playing an important role on firms’ standard choice, we find the likelihood of IFRS adoption decreases if stockholders' equity under U.S. GAAP exceeds Canadian GAAP in the year before IFRS adoption. 5 Competition is likely to be ongoing as Canadian firms assess whether IFRS or U.S. GAAP best meets their reporting needs. For example, Encana initially switched to IFRS from Canadian GAAP, but then announced that for fiscal 2012 it was switching to U.S. GAAP, stating “Adopting U.S. GAAP will make it easier for investors to compare Encana’s financial performance with its peer companies, most of which are based in the United States. Consistent with current practice, Encana will report its 2011 year-end financial results in February 2012 in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). Starting in April 2012, Encana will report its first quarter results using U.S. GAAP.” 6 In addition to these 29 firms, five or fewer Canadian firms may have been mandated to switch to U.S. GAAP if the U.S. SEC determined that these firms no longer qualified for foreign private issuer status. 4 Second, we investigate whether market liquidity changes with the adoption of IFRS versus U.S. GAAP. Consistent with research examining IFRS adoption in other countries (e.g., Daske et al. 2008; Christensen et al. 2011), liquidity is a proxy for economic outcomes because theory predicts higher transparency reduces information asymmetries which in turn increases liquidity (e.g., Glosten and Milgrom 1985; Diamond and Verrecchia 1991; Verrecchia 2001). We examine three common measures of liquidity: share turnover, zero returns days, and bid-ask spread. If IFRS is more (less) informative to the capital markets than U.S. GAAP or Canadian GAAP thereby reducing (increasing) information asymmetry, then we expect that liquidity will increase (decrease) after the adoption of IFRS. If the accounting standards are similarly informative, we expect no difference. We use two samples to examine the liquidity implications: (1) U.S. cross-listed firms and (2) non-U.S. cross-listed firms. In the U.S. cross-listed sample, we find no differences in liquidity before and after the adoption of IFRS, implying those companies interacting with the U.S. market do not face negative consequences when adopting IFRS. In the non-U.S. cross-listed sample, we find mixed results using the three different liquidity measures. Results of bid-ask spreads suggest lower liquidity but share turnover and zero returns data suggest no difference. Further investigation shows that the lower bid-ask spreads are concentrated in smaller Canadian firms. Our paper contributes to the debate about permitting two accounting standards to coexist. When given a choice of two high quality accounting standards, we find that companies will base their decision on their perceived costs and benefits of the accounting standard. The unintended consequence of Canada adopting IFRS – that more Canadian companies report using U.S. GAAP – supports the notion that companies will make the choice based on factors they perceive as important. Specifically, we find that Canadian FPIs are more likely to choose U.S. GAAP if they 5 have more operations in the U.S., fewer operation in IFRS reporting countries, less influence in their local Canadian market (in terms of size), and have less complex accounting. We find no evidence that cross-listed companies are penalized or rewarded by the market for having the choice of standards. Similarly, Canadian firms switching from Canadian GAAP to IFRS are also not adversely affected, except for smaller firms. Regulators, standards setters, and listed companies should be interested in our findings. As U.S. regulators consider allowing or requiring IFRS, the Canadian experience suggests that when moving from one set of high quality accounting standards to another in a high enforcement regulatory regime and given a de facto choice, companies gain as they tradeoff their firmspecific costs and benefits. Our results also suggest that the move from one high quality accounting standard to one (or two) other high quality accounting standard(s) has limited capital market effects. Standard setters should be interested in the financial statement users’ assessment of changing from one standard to another. Finally, if U.S. companies are given the choice, U.S. managers should also be interested in how the capital markets perceive the change. The paper proceeds as follows. Section 2 summarizes the arguments for and against full convergence or permitting two accounting standards to exist side by side in a market. Section 3 offers a brief literature review. Section 4 investigates Canadian firms’ choice of accounting standards. Section 5 analyzes the liquidity effects of IFRS adoption in Canada. Section 6 concludes and suggests avenues for future research. The Appendix further details the Canadian path to IFRS and its market consequences. 6 2. Competition among accounting standards Academic literature discusses the costs and benefits of full convergence or continued competition between IFRS and U.S. GAAP accounting standards. Dye and Sunder (2001) detail arguments for and against competition among accounting standard setters, and for and against allowing U.S. corporations to issue financials in accordance with standards promulgated by either FASB or International Accounting Standards Board (IASB). A core argument in favor of competition among standards is that competition increases the long run efficiency of accounting standards. The standard-setting organizations are likely to be more responsive to constituents’ demand for better standards than with a monopolist standard setter. A countervailing concern, however, is that competition may lead to a “race to the bottom”. Although motivated by this debate, this paper cannot speak directly to long run effects (if any) of absence of convergence but merely to firms’ choice of accounting standards and the resulting unintended consequences. While arguments have been made both for and against competition, the SEC has followed a strategy of converging U.S. GAAP with IFRS and is contemplating full adoption of IFRS. In September 2002, the IASB and FASB signed a Memorandum of Understanding, “The Norwalk Agreement,” pledging to make their existing financial reporting standards fully compatible as soon as practicable. Convergence, though, has also been criticized for a lack of competition. Kothari et al. (2010) assert, that, rather than converging U.S. GAAP with IFRS, competition between the FASB and the IASB would allow GAAP to better respond to market forces absent regulation of the choice of accounting standards. As academics debate the merits of single versus multi-GAAP reporting environments, the SEC is considering whether to permit the more than 10,000 U.S. domiciled filers to (a) continue the currently required reporting under U.S. GAAP, (b) require the adoption of IFRS, or (c) allow 7 U.S. companies to choose between either IFRS or U.S. GAAP. The original roadmap for the consideration of mandatory adoption of IFRS by U.S. issuers was published in 2005, and deliberations continue. To illustrate, consider the following quote from SEC Chairman Christopher Cox, March 6, 2007 (SEC 2007): “That original commitment [to the Roadmap] … meant that IFRS and U.S. GAAP would someday compete freely in America's capital markets, and that two accounting systems would operate side by side — at least until the process of convergence concludes with actual convergence, and there is truly one global accounting standard and seamless international comparability of reporting. It meant that issuers, markets, and investors would have a choice — because they, not the government, will decide between IFRS and GAAP.” More recently, the SEC hosted a Roundtable in July 2011 to discuss IFRS, in which Richard Larsen of Duff and Phelps, LLC commented, “I think that, in many ways, the last several years, or post-Norwalk Agreement, that the healthy tension between the FASB and the IASB has created better standards” (SEC 2011). Canada’s recent experience with IFRS adoption provides potential insights about what might happen if the U.S. fully adopts IFRS or permits firms to choose between the two standards. As Tricia O’Malley, a former Canadian Accounting Standards Board (AcSB) member and IASB member, stated, Canada is “the canary in the coal mine on behalf of this whole process [in the US]” (SEC 2011). Canada permitted competition among accounting standards for Canadian firms registered with the SEC. These firms were allowed to choose between the IFRS and U.S. GAAP. Such competition is consistent with a long-standing tradition for competition between provinces in Canada concerning its legal standard setting (Daniels, 1991). In summary, Canada’s IFRS adoption experience provides unique insights about the unsettled debate over whether the SEC should permit U.S. firms to choose between IFRS and U.S. GAAP. 8 3. Related research on IFRS The large scale adoption of IFRS has prompted accounting researchers and regulators to consider the preferred attributes of accounting standards.7 Some argue that adoption per se is more a label than an actual change in financial reporting quality. While the prevailing accounting standards (prior GAAP or IFRS) might be of importance, the surrounding institutions and enforcement mechanisms that help shape managers financial reporting incentives could be equally – or even more – important. Given the flexibility within every accounting standard, the financial reporting incentives could a priori play as an important role as the rules and standard themselves. The use of IFRS by over 100 countries has led to a number of insightful academic studies, mainly focused in the European Union (EU). For example, Armstrong et al. (2010) study the European market reaction to IFRS adoption announcements. Daske et al. (2008) investigate the firm characteristics of early IFRS adopters in the EU. Henry et al. (2009) and Gordon et al. (2011) consider the effect of FPIs’ adoption of IFRS. For example, Henry et al. study the reconciliations between IFRS and U.S. GAAP for 75 US-listed European firms. They find that net income reported using IFRS is statistically significantly higher than net income reported using U.S. GAAP. Further, the reconciliation from IFRS to U.S. GAAP was value relevant. However, the U.S. SEC removed the reconciliation requirement for IFRS filers for reporting periods beginning in 2008. Therefore, while some nonU.S. firms can report using either IFRS or U.S. GAAP, U.S. firms have no choice but to provide the SEC with financial statements prepared using U.S. GAAP. Hail et al. (2010a,b) provide a conceptual discussion of the economic arguments for and against the adoption of IFRS, and detail political factors influencing the consideration of IFRS adoption in the United States. The authors conclude with a discussion of future scenarios for 7 For recent survey papers see, Hail et al. (2010a,b) and Kothari et al. (2010). 9 U.S. accounting standards, including the elimination of U.S. GAAP, or potential co-existence of U.S. standards and IFRS in U.S. capital markets. Canadian IFRS adoption The Canadian Accounting Standards Board (AcSB) sets accounting standards for Canadian entities outside of the public sector. The Board actively considered harmonization and convergence of Canadian GAAP with IFRS and U.S. GAAP. Prior to 2004, two of the AcSB’s main objectives were to eliminate or minimize differences first with U.S. GAAP and second with International Accounting Standards (Discussion Paper of Accounting Standards in Canada: Future Directions June 24, 2004). To work to eliminate the differences with U.S. GAAP, each year the AcSB performed a detailed review of differences between Canadian GAAP and U.S. GAAP for a random sample of Canadian firms that reported reconciliations from Canadian GAAP to U.S. GAAP. The AcSB then developed standards that eliminated or minimized these differences. After considering their constituent’s input, on February 10, 2005, the AcSB proposed adopting IFRS in full to its oversight body, the Accounting Standards Oversight Council, while allowing entities that wanted to use U.S. GAAP to do so.8 On March 31, 2005, the AcSB sought comment on its proposal to adopt IFRS (Leuz and Wysocki 2006). On April 15, 2005, the U.S. SEC introduced a possible road map to eliminate the reconciliation requirement for IFRS. On January 10, 2006, the AcSB ratified its plan to adopt IFRS over a five-year transition period, while allowing SEC registrants to continue reporting with U.S. GAAP. On November 15, 2007, the U.S. SEC voted to eliminate the reconciliation requirement for FPIs reporting under IFRS. An important final step in Canada’s IFRS adoption was the AcSB’s confirmation of the IFRS 8 For a more thorough discussion of why Canada adopted IFRS, please see the Appendix and the AcSB’s 2011 report, “Adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards: Background and Basis for Conclusions.” 10 changeover with the announcement that Canadian publicly accountable enterprises would be required to adopt IFRS for fiscal years beginning on or after January 1, 2011. Canadian GAAP and U.S. listed companies In adopting IFRS, the AcSB required all publicly accountable enterprises to apply IFRS after firm years beginning on or after January 1, 2011. The provincial securities regulators, who have authority over the application of accounting standards, gave Canadian companies crosslisted in the U.S. the option to choose IFRS or U.S. GAAP. The provincial securities regulators also permitted firms to petition for special permission to use U.S. GAAP without listing in the United States. The provincial securities regulators required companies to begin reporting under IFRS or U.S. GAAP for the first quarter of 2011 (e.g., Ontario Securities Commission 2011). Prior to Canada’s adoption of IFRS, Canadian and U.S. regulators determined that Canadian GAAP and U.S. GAAP were allowable alternatives for cross-listed companies under the Multi-jurisdictional Disclosure System (MJDS).9 Canadian regulators accepted U.S. GAAP for domestic reporting. U.S. regulators accepted Canadian GAAP for FPIs, without reconciliation to U.S. GAAP.10 Canada was the first country for which the SEC accepted domestic GAAP reporting for FPIs. In November 2007, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission exempted all non-US-based firms that report under IFRS from reconciliation. Therefore, as Canadian firms switch to IFRS, they will maintain the exemption from reconciliation requirements. 9 Canadian regulators also permitted these Canadian firms to report under U.S. GAAP. This exemption from reconciliation based on the similarity in the standards is consistent with research by Webster and Thornton (2005) finding no overall difference in accrual quality between Canadian firms reporting under Canadian GAAP and U.S. firms reporting under U.S. GAAP. 10 11 The distinction between the SEC’s requirements for FPIs and registrants is important in our sample selection and research design.11 FPIs are not required to report under U.S. GAAP. They could use their domestic reporting standards and reconcile to U.S. GAAP (where required). For those FPIs reporting under IFRS, the SEC eliminated the reconciliation in November, 2007. Some Canadian firms listed in the U.S. do not qualify to be FPIs, and must then follow the same higher reporting requirements as U.S. companies, including using U.S. GAAP. Notwithstanding the previous arguments, minor differences in accounting rules between U.S. GAAP and Canadian GAAP did persist prior to and during our sample period. Bandyopadhyay et al. (1994) investigate a sample of firms that were listed both on Toronto and on a U.S. stock exchange between 1983 and 1989.12 Overall, they find that earnings scaled by market capitalization are 2% lower under U.S. GAAP than Canadian GAAP. Some of their main source of differences in accounting rules pertain to foreign exchange gains or losses on foreign long-term debt, early extinguishment of debt, extraordinary items, and interest capitalization of self-constructed assets [see Table 1 on page 265]. 11 The U.S. SEC defines a FPI as any foreign issuer that does not meet either of the following two conditions: (i) More than 50 percent of the outstanding voting securities of such issuers are directly or indirectly owned of record by residents of the U.S.; and (ii) any of the following: (A) The majority of the executive officers or directors are U.S. citizens or residents; (B) More than 50 percent of the assets of the issuer are located in the U.S.; or (C) The business of the issuer is administered principally in the U.S.. 12 Their sample is non-random since firms choose to cross-list in the U.S., due to higher anticipated need for bonding with U.S. institutions, capital or visibility. 12 4. Firms’ Accounting Standard Choice Data Our sample consists of Canadian firms in Compustat that were required to choose IFRS or U.S. GAAP by May 31, 2012.13 The AcSB required Canadian companies with fiscal years beginning on or after January 1, 2011 to adopt IFRS and begin reporting under IFRS in the first quarter of 2011.14 Because of the MJDS, the provincial securities regulators allowed SEC registrants to choose between IFRS and U.S. GAAP, and similarly required them to begin reporting using one of these two accounting standards for the first quarter of 2011 (e.g., Ontario Securities Commission 2011). We obtain financial data and prices from Compustat. Table 1, Panel A, details our sample selection. Of the 1,445 Canadian firms in Compustat, 135 insurance and investment companies deferred their decision until 2013 and the remaining 1,310 firms choose either IFRS or U.S. GAAP. Specifically, 92 adopted U.S. GAAP and 1,218 adopted IFRS. Table 1, Panel B, presents the accounting standards firms adopt conditional on their USlisting status and previous accounting standard. We focus on three important categories of firms. The first category includes the 48 firms that were listed in the U.S. and reporting with U.S. GAAP prior to 2006.15 Many of these firms subsequently lost their FPI status and became required by the SEC to report using U.S. GAAP, which is why all but three firms continue to use U.S. GAAP. The second category represents firms listed in the US, but initially reporting under 13 We examined whether firms go private rather than adopt IFRS, and document that 23 firms went private between 2009 and 2011. This suggests that the costs of IFRS adoption did not lead to a significant number of going-private transactions. 14 Due to delayed International Accounting Standards Board (IASB)’s projects involving investment companies, insurance contracts, and accounting for rate-regulated entities, the provincial securities regulators allowed investment companies, insurance companies, and rate-regulated entities to delay adoption of IFRS until fiscal years beginning on or after January 1, 2013 (2012 for rate-regulated entities). Our sample includes rate-regulated entities that made their adoption choice by May 31, 2012. 15 On January 10, 2006, Canada formally announced it would abandon Canadian GAAP in favor of IFRS. If a firm’s inception is in 2006 or later, we label the firm based on its accounting standard used in its first year. 13 Canadian GAAP. These firms are arguably the most interesting because they were permitted to choose between IFRS or U.S. GAAP. Of the 197 firms in this category, we note that five firms lost their FPI status and were required by the SEC to begin reporting with U.S. GAAP. The remaining 192 firms had a choice between IFRS and U.S. GAAP – 29 (15%) chose U.S. GAAP, while 163 (85%) chose IFRS. The third category represents firms not listed in the US, which meant that they had to report under Canadian GAAP prior to 2006. For these firms to be able to adopt U.S. GAAP instead of IFRS, they would have (1) become an SEC registrant or (2) obtained special permission from Canadian securities regulators. Thirteen firms in this category did adopt U.S. GAAP – eight became SEC registrants and five obtained special permission from securities regulators.16 The vast majority of firms in this category, 99%, adopted IFRS. Table 1, Panel B, documents an unintended consequence of Canada’s adoption of IFRS. Before Canada adopted IFRS, we observe that 48 out of 245 cross-listed companies previously reported under U.S. GAAP, or about 20%. After Canada adopted IFRS, the number of firms reporting under U.S. GAAP nearly doubled to 92. Nevertheless, a majority of firms choose IFRS. Determinants of firms’ accounting standard choice We examine the determinants of U.S.-listed Canadian firms’ choice between IFRS and U.S. GAAP. We focus on U.S.-listed Canadian firms because they were given a choice between IFRS and U.S. GAAP, without having to incur additional costs to obtain special permission to use U.S. GAAP or register with the SEC. We exclude those Canadian firms that originally reported under U.S. GAAP because the SEC required many of these to report under U.S. GAAP 16 The five firms that obtained special permission to adopt U.S. GAAP without becoming SEC registrants are rateregulated entities that were allowed to adopt U.S. GAAP until January 1, 2015 due to uncertainty under IFRS related to rate-regulated accounting. 14 as they did not qualify as FPIs. This results in a sample of U.S.-listed firms that originally reported under Canadian GAAP and then had a choice between IFRS and U.S. GAAP. We are not the first to examine firms’ choices between accounting standards. Leuz and Verrecchia (2000) study the determinants of German firms’ choices between German GAAP and International Reporting standards (U.S. GAAP and IAS). They find the choice of an International Reporting standard is positively associated with firms’ performance, measured as return on assets (ROA), and financing needs, measured as capital intensity and a listing in the U.S. or UK. Leuz (2003) studies firms trading in Germany’s New Market during the years 1999 and 2000 where German firms chose between U.S. GAAP and IAS, the predecessor to IFRS. His primary motivation was to provide evidence about the quality of IAS relative to U.S. GAAP. Assuming U.S. GAAP is associated with higher quality corporate disclosure, he hypothesizes that the choice of U.S. GAAP is a function of firm size (+), financing needs (+), and firm performance (+/-). He finds that the choice of U.S. GAAP is significantly and positively associated with financing needs, which he notes, is consistent with a perception at that time that U.S. GAAP was preferable for firms with large future financing needs because it allowed them better access to the U.S. capital markets. He does not find the choice of U.S. GAAP is significantly associated with firm size or firm performance. We believe reexamining the choice between IFRS and U.S. GAAP is important. The SEC is contemplating whether to require U.S. public companies to (a) retain U.S. GAAP, (b) adopt IFRS, or (c) permit firms to choose between the two standards. As the most similar capital market to the US, Canada is the nearest setting, both geographically and in terms of accounting standards and financial reporting incentives, to best possibly understand what U.S. firms might choose if permitted to choose between IFRS and U.S. GAAP. Finally, the study of Canadian 15 firms listed in the U.S. enables more robust analysis than a study of accounting choice by nonU.S. listed companies. The financial reporting incentives of firms are similar to U.S. firms; they are all listed in the U.S. and provided reconciliations from Canadian GAAP to U.S. GAAP in their SEC filings prior to adopting either IFRS or U.S. GAAP. We model the choice between adopting IFRS or U.S. GAAP as a function of the firmspecific costs and benefits of adoption. Specifically, we use the following probit regression to examine this choice: Prob(IFRS=1) = F(β0 + β1 SE Comparabilityt-1 + β2 R&D Intensityt-2 + β3 IFRS vs. US Operationst-2 + β4 US Ownershipt-2 + β5 Leveraget-2 + β6 DSEt-2 + β7 Sizet-2 + β8 ROAt-2 + εt) (1) We include industry fixed effects and use robust standard errors. We calculate the variables in our model two years prior to firms’ adoption of IFRS or U.S. GAAP because the decision to adopt IFRS requires a two-year transition period, and this is likely when most firms made the choice between the two standards. As firms weighed the costs and benefits of choosing between the accounting standards, they commonly disclosed three primary determinants informing their decisions: (1) the impact on reported results, (2) comparability with industry peers, and (3) the needs of key stakeholder groups (e.g., shareholders, lenders, etc.).17 SE Comparability and R&D Intensity proxy for the impact on reported results. IFRS vs. US Operations focuses on comparability with peer firms. US Ownership considers stakeholders’ needs. Additionally, we include proxies for the relative costs of IFRS adoption versus US GAAP and control for firm size and performance. 17 As an example, Magna International Inc. stated that in making its decision between the two standards, the board of directors “considered many factors, including, but not limited to (i) the changes in accounting policies that would be required and the resulting impact on our reported results and key performance indicators, (ii) the reporting standards expected to be used by many of our industry comparables, and (iii) the financial reporting needs of our market participants, including shareholders, lenders, rating agencies and market analysts.” 16 The impact of U.S. GAAP relative to IFRS on reported results is likely a primary determinant of firms’ choice between the two standards. Specifically, firms are more likely to choose IFRS than U.S. GAAP when IFRS portrays the firm in a more favorable light than U.S. GAAP, and vice versa. Ideally, we could observe IFRS and U.S. GAAP reported numbers for the same firm in the same year prior to their choice of accounting standard. Unfortunately, we are unable to observe IFRS and U.S. GAAP reported numbers for firms that choose US GAAP.18 We are, however, able to observe Canadian GAAP and U.S. GAAP reporting in the year prior to their choice of accounting standard for all but 10 firms because most firms provided reconciliations to U.S. GAAP. We posit that when Canadian GAAP is less comparable to U.S. GAAP in an unfavorable way, firms are more likely to choose U.S. GAAP. When Canadian GAAP portrays a firm in a more favorable light than U.S. GAAP, firms are more likely to choose IFRS. We examine the comparability stockholders’ equity under Canadian GAAP and U.S. GAAP as a cumulative summary measure of which standard portrays the net assets of a firm in a more positive light. We calculate the variable SE Comparability as Canadian GAAP stockholders’ equity less U.S. GAAP stockholders’ equity scaled by the absolute value of Canadian GAAP stockholders’ equity.19 We expect that SE Comparability will be positively associated with choosing IFRS. We further consider the impact of the standard choice on reported results by focusing on a key difference between IFRS and U.S. GAAP. Under U.S. GAAP, R&D is generally expensed as incurred, with capitalization of software being a notable exception. In contrast, IFRS requires 18 For firms that choose IFRS, IFRS adoption requires retroactive disclosure of the prior year under IFRS making it possible to observe firms’ reporting under Canadian GAAP and IFRS. Further, all but ten of these firms provided a reconciliation to U.S. GAAP for the year prior to IFRS adoption. Thus, in the year prior to IFRS adoption, for firms that adopt IFRS, we can observe their reporting under Canadian GAAP, IFRS, and US GAAP. 19 Ten firms in this sample have negative stockholders’ equity. We obtain qualitatively similar results if we delete these firms from our analysis. 17 capitalization of certain R&D expenses. As a consequence, we predict that firms that reported high R&D expenses under Canadian GAAP (R&D Intensity) are more likely to switch to IFRS. Firms are more likely to choose IFRS (U.S. GAAP) when that standard provides for enhanced comparability with a firms’ peer group.20 Canadian firms with significant operations in the U.S. (outside the U.S.) are likely to have peer firms that use U.S. GAAP (IFRS). We use IFRS vs. US Operations to measure whether more of a firm’s foreign operations are in or outside the U.S. IFRS vs. US Operations is calculated as the proportion of firm’s assets located outside of Canada and the U.S. less the proportion of firm’s assets located in the U.S.21 We expect that IFRS vs. US Operations is positively associated with choosing IFRS, consistent with a higher likelihood of a firm’s peers using IFRS. We consider the role of stakeholders’ needs in the between the two standards by focusing on shareholders. Shareholders are likely the key constituent affecting this decision. Accordingly, we proxy for this using US Ownership which is the percentage of common shares held by U.S. institutional investors. We expect that US Ownership will be negatively related to choosing IFRS. Since changing accounting standards is costly, we consider two types of firm-specific costs associated with the adoption of IFRS versus U.S. GAAP. In either case, adopting a new accounting standard likely entails renegotiation of contracts, where the contractual terms are based on accounting numbers. For Canadian firms, renegotiation costs are likely lower when adopting U.S. GAAP than IFRS because each of these firms was already providing a 20 For example, Canadian Pacific Railway Limited stated, “CP commenced reporting its financial results using U.S. GAAP, which is consistent with the current reporting of all other North American Class I railways.” 21 Alternatively, if we include two variables, one for U.S. operations and one for operations outside the US, we obtain qualitatively similar results for these variables and the other variables in our model. 18 reconciliation from Canadian GAAP to U.S. GAAP in their U.S. filings.22 Leverage, long-term debt divided by total assets, captures the costs involved in renegotiating debt covenants. IFRS adoption may move firms closer or farther from their debt covenants depending on the effect of IFRS adoption. For example, IFRS adoption permits firms to revalue their property, plant and equipment to fair market value. If a revaluation results in a higher property, plant, and equipment value then IFRS adoption may reduce a firm’s leverage ratio and therefore reduce debt-covenant renegotiation costs. Second, we consider that many of the sample firms are considered Development Stage Enterprises (DSEs)23, which are focused on establishing a new business where either their primary operations have not yet begun or no significant revenues have been earned. Willenborg (1999) argues that the financial statements of a typical DSE contain little meaningful accounting information and do not have more audit-intensive accounts such as revenues, inventory and accounts receivable. Therefore, the costs to adopt IFRS for DSEs are relatively lower than for non-DSEs due to lower accounting complexity. DSE is equal to one if a firm is a DSE, and zero otherwise. Finally, we control for Size, the log of market value, which captures size-related differences, such as the information environments. ROA, net income divided by total assets, is our measure of performance. Since IFRS and U.S. GAAP are largely viewed as of similar quality in European Union countries with low enforcement (e.g., Leuz 2003; Barth et al. 2008; 22 Bandyopadhyay et al. (1994) find that earnings scaled by market capitalization are 2% lower under U.S. GAAP than Canadian GAAP. Since the time of Bandyopadhyay et al. (1994)’s study, U.S. GAAP and Canadian GAAP have become even more similar. From 1995 to 2004, the AcSB focused on harmonizing Canadian GAAP with U.S. GAAP by adopting standards that reduced differences between the two accounting standards (Discussion Paper of Accounting Standards in Canada: Future Directions June 24, 2004). 23 ASC 915-10-05, IFRS 3. 19 Gordon et al. 2011), a priori it is unclear whether and how Size or ROA will relate to firms’ choices between IFRS and U.S. GAAP in Canada and U.S. with higher level of enforcement. Empirical results for determinants of firms’ accounting standard choice Table 2 presents descriptive statistics for the 170 US-listed firms with a choice between IFRS and U.S. GAAP and with necessary financial information.24 The differences in SE Comparability and R&D Intensity are consistent with differences in reported results playing an important role in choosing between IFRS and U.S. GAAP. The mean and median of SE Comparability are statistically significantly larger for firms that choose IFRS based on a t-test of difference in means and the non-parametric Wilcoxon signed-rank test, respectively. The mean of -0.12 for firms that choose U.S. GAAP indicates that on average stockholders’ equity of firms that choose U.S. GAAP is larger under U.S. GAAP than Canadian GAAP. The positive mean and median indicate that the opposite is true for firms that adopt IFRS. This is consistent with firms choosing the standard that portray themselves in the most favorable light. The nonparametric Wilcoxon signed-rank test indicates R&D Intensity is higher for firms that choose IFRS. This is consistent with firms with these development expenses preferring to capitalize them. The low average and median for R&D Intensity is attributable to the low percentage of firms that have R&D expenses (18 percent). The differences in IFRS vs. US Operations suggest that comparability with peer firms plays an important role in firms’ choices between the two standards. The mean (median) of 0.25 (-0.15) for IFRS vs. US Operations for firms that choose US GAAP indicates on average they have more operations in the U.S., while the mean of 0.16 of IFRS vs. US Operations for 24 The number of observations in the analysis is 170, not the 197 firms listed in the U.S. and previously reporting with Canadian GAAP reported in Table 1, Panel B, because we exclude 27 firms. Specifically: five firms lost foreign private issuer status and were required to adopt U.S. GAAP by the SEC, nine firms did not separately disclose U.S. assets, three rate-regulated entities since their rate-regulated status perfectly explains their choice of U.S. GAAP, and 10 firms did not disclose reconciliation to U.S. GAAP. 20 firms that choose IFRS indicates that firms that choose IFRS have more operations in IFRSbased countries. Neither the mean nor the median of US Ownership are statistically significantly different, contrary to our expectation. However, this is likely due to measurement error in our proxy since institutional investors tend to invest in large companies. Multivariate testing that controls for size is necessary to control for this weakness in our proxy. The t-test of difference in means and the non-parametric Wilcoxon signed-rank test indicate that more DSE firms choose IFRS than U.S. GAAP, consistent with lower accounting complexity reducing the cost of IFRS adoption. The descriptive statistics indicate that firms choosing U.S. GAAP are not statistically significantly different from firms that choose IFRS in terms of Leverage, Size, or ROA. Table 3 reports the pairwise correlations. The Pearson and Spearman correlations indicate that IFRS is positively and statistically significantly correlated with SE Comparability and IFRS vs. US Operations, suggesting that the impact of reported results and comparability with peer firms are important determinants of firms’ choice between the two standards. The high and statistically significant Pearson (Spearman) correlation of 0.50 (0.57) between US Ownership and Size highlights the measurement error in US Ownership caused by institutional investors preference for investing in large stocks and confirms the need to control for size when using our proxy. Table 4 reports coefficients, z-statistics, and marginal effects for the probit regression analysis of firms’ standard choice. We calculate the marginal effect of each independent variable as π(X) = Φ(x'β), where Φ is the cumulative distribution function of the standard normal distribution and x’ and β are the vector of independent variables and corresponding coefficient 21 estimates from equation 1. We use the values zero and one for indicator variables and the first and third quartiles for continuous X variables, with the remaining X variables set equal to their mean values. We then compute the difference in π(X) at these two values of each X variable. Our proxies for the impact of the standard choice on reported results indicate that this is a significant determinant in firms’ decisions. SE Comparability is positive and statistically significant at the five percent level. The marginal effect indicates that as Canadian GAAP portrays the net assets of the firm in a more favorable light than US GAAP, firms are 2.1 percent more likely to adopt IFRS when moving from the first quartile to the third quartile SE Comparability. In contrast, when U.S. GAAP portrays the net assets of the firm in a more favorable light than Canadian GAAP, firms are more likely to adopt U.S. GAAP.25 R&D Intensity is positive and significant, suggesting that firms with higher research and development activities prefer the capitalization approach under IFRS to U.S. GAAP. The marginal effect is low at 0.0 percent; but, as mentioned previously, only 18 percent of firms have R&D expense, which means both the first and third quartile of R&D Intensity is zero. The results for IFRS vs. US Operations are consistent with comparability being an important determinant in firms’ decisions between the two standards. The positive and significant coefficient on IFRS vs. US Operations indicates that firms with more operations in IFRS countries than in the U.S. are more likely to choose IFRS; firms with more operations in the U.S. than outside the U.S. are more likely to choose U.S. GAAP. The marginal effect 25 We acknowledge that just because Canadian GAAP reports higher net assets than US GAAP does not mean that IFRS will result in higher reported net assets than US GAAP. For the firms that adopt IFRS, we are able to provide evidence consistent with our hypothesis. As noted in footnote 17, for all but 10 firms that chose IFRS we have the reported stockholders’ equity under IFRS and U.S. GAAP for the year prior to IFRS adoption. Sixty-two percent of the time IFRS is higher than U.S. GAAP and the mean and median stockholders’ equity are statistically significantly higher under IFRS than U.S. GAAP. 22 indicates that firms at the third quartile of IFRS vs. US Operations are 6.2 percent more likely to adopt IFRS than firms at the first quartile of IFRS vs. US Operations. The results indicate that investor needs are a determinant in firms’ decisions in the choice between IFRS and U.S. GAAP. Firms with higher ownership by U.S. investors are more likely to choose U.S. GAAP than IFRS as evidenced by the negative and significant coefficient on US Ownership. Firms at the third quartile of US Ownership are 4.0 percent less likely to adopt IFRS than firms at the first quartile. The results for Leverage and DSE provide some evidence about the role of costs in firms’ decisions between IFRS and U.S. GAAP. The coefficient on Leverage is not statistically significant. However, the positive and significant coefficient on DSE is positive and significant is consistent with lower IFRS adoption costs for DSEs relative to non-DSEs due to less complex accounting. DSEs are 6.4 percent more likely to adopt IFRS than non-DSEs. Size is significantly, positively correlated with the likelihood that firms adopt IFRS. The marginal effect is economically significant at 12.4 percent. This is consistent with a fixed cost component to IFRS adoption that makes adoption relatively less costly for larger firms. Performance as measured by ROA is not statistically significantly associated with firms’ standard choice. 5. Liquidity effects of IFRS adoption in Canada We extend our analysis of the capital-market effects of IFRS adoption in Canada by examining whether its adoption resulted in changes in the liquidity of Canada’s capital markets. Consistent with research examining IFRS adoption in other countries (Daske et al. (2008); Christensen et al. 2011), we focus on liquidity as a proxy for economic outcomes because theory 23 predicts higher transparency reduces information asymmetries which in turn increases liquidity (Glosten and Milgrom 1985; Diamond and Verrecchia 1991; Verrecchia 2001). Whether IFRS provides better information to investors is an empirical question. On the one hand, IFRS augments Canadian firms’ disclosures and may better convey the performance and resources of the firm. On the other hand, Canadian GAAP is already a high quality accounting standard that is quite similar to U.S. GAAP. Research comparing U.S. GAAP and IFRS (Gordon et al. 2011) suggests that U.S. GAAP and IFRS are similar in quality. In this case, the adoption of IFRS is unlikely to reduce information asymmetry amongst investors. Data and research design We obtain all data from Compustat, except for closing bid and ask prices, which we obtain from Datastream. We examine the effects of IFRS adoption for the firms listed in the U.S. and not listed in the U.S. separately. For both analyses, we employ a difference-in- differences design that benchmarks against U.S. firms to help control for contemporaneous liquidity effects that are unrelated to IFRS adoption in Canada. The research designs for firms listed in the U.S. and not listed in the U.S. differ slightly. For the former, we employ a matchedpair research design and for the latter we benchmark against all available U.S. firms. The reason for the difference is that the sample of firms listed in the U.S. is relatively small and matching likely better controls for size and industry effects than benchmarking against the U.S. population firms. Additionally, some Canadian firms switched from Canadian GAAP to U.S. GAAP after 2006 when Canada announced the adoption of IFRS, but before 2011. Using a matched-pair research design allows us to avoid including the period of the financial crisis for all firms in our sample period (only firms that adopt U.S. GAAP during this time period include data affected by the financial crisis). For the firms not listed in the US, the benefit of benchmarking against all 24 U.S. firms is that we are able to use more Canadian firms. This approach is not confounded by the financial crisis since these firms adopted IFRS during 2011.26 Lastly, we focus our tests on firms that were previously reporting under Canadian GAAP since firms’ that were already reporting under U.S. GAAP (and all but 3 continue to use U.S. GAAP) are unlikely to experience a change in liquidity around Canada’s adoption of IFRS. For the firms listed in the U.S., we measure liquidity six months after IFRS adoption starting the first fiscal quarter after a firm reports under IFRS, and for the same six-month period one year earlier to ensure that the results are not affected by seasonal differences. This approach omits any unusual and temporary liquidity effects during the initial adoption period. The specifics of the matched-pair research design are as follows. We match Canadian firms to U.S. firms, without replacement, based on industry (two-digit SIC) and size (market value of equity) one year prior to adoption. Prior research documents variation in liquidity across industries (Welker 1995). The industry composition of firms in Canada (i.e., a high concentration in mining) differs from the U.S. and matching on industry mitigates the effect of industry differences on our inferences. Matching on size controls the effects of size of stock issues and the information environment on liquidity (Glosten and Milgrom 1985; Amihud 2002). Liquidity for the matched-pairs of U.S. firms is measured for the same overlapping six-month periods used for the sample firms.27 We estimate the following regression that controls for firm characteristics associated with liquidity as well as industry effects: 26 Using the matched-pair research design for the firms not listed in the U.S. reduces the sample of Canadian firms from 847 to 391. This is due both to lack of U.S. matches due to industry concentration and requiring six months of liquidity data. We note, however, that the matched-pair research design yields similar results as the approach presented. 27 We find similar results if we measure liquidity for 12 months. 25 Liquidityt = β0 + β1IFRSt + β2Postt + β3IFRSt*Postt + β4USGAAPt+ β5USGAAPt*Postt + β6Major Exchanget + β7Ln(Market Valuet-1) + β8Ln(Volatilityt-1) + β9Ln(Share Turnovert-1) + εt (2) We employ three commonly used proxies for liquidity. The first proxy is Share Turnover defined as the median of the daily turnover during the six-month period where daily turnover is calculated as daily share volume divided by the shares outstanding. The second proxy is Zero Returns defined as the proportion of trading days with zero returns out of all potential trading days in the six-month period. The third proxy for liquidity is Bid-Ask Spread defined as the median of the daily bid-ask spread during the six-month period where the bid-ask spread is calculated as the difference between the closing bid and ask price divided by the mid-point. IFRS is a binary variable equal to one if a firm adopts IFRS (i.e., all sample firms), and zero otherwise. US GAAP is a binary variable equal to one for Canadian firms that adopt U.S. GAAP, and zero otherwise. Post is a binary variable equal to one in the period after IFRS adoption, and zero otherwise. The other variables are control variables for firm characteristics associated with liquidity. Major Exchange is a binary variable equal to one if the firm is traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange, New York Exchange, American Stock Exchange, NASDAQ, and zero otherwise (i.e., the Over-the-Counter Bulletin Board or TSX Venture Exchange). Market Value is the stock price times the number of shares outstanding at the end of the period. Volatility is the standard deviation of daily stock returns during the six-month period. All continuous variables are winsorized at the extreme percentiles and if indicated, we use the natural logarithm of the raw values. For the firms not listed in the US, our identification strategy is similar to Christensen et al. (2011) where we benchmark against U.S. firms, exploit differences in the timing of IFRS 26 adoption and use a comprehensive fixed effects structure. Specifically, we use U.S. firms as a benchmark to control for any macro shocks and trends in liquidity. We exploit the differences in timing of Canadian firms’ adoption of IFRS arising from different fiscal year ends. This helps us control for within-country liquidity changes in Canada that are unrelated to IFRS adoption. Lastly, we use a comprehensive fixed effects structure that includes industry, country, and separate monthly fixed effects for Canada and the United States. The time period included in the analysis is from January 1, 2010 to June 30, 2012. This results in a roughly equal amount of time in the periods before and after IFRS adoption. The model examining firms not listed in the U.S. is as follows: Liquidityt = β0 + β1IFRSt + β2Major Exchanget + β3Ln(Market Valuet-1) + β4Ln(Volatilityt-1) + β5Ln(Share Turnovert-1) + ΣβiFixed Effects + εt (3) All variables are defined as before, except that IFRS is a binary variable that takes on the value of ‘1’ beginning in the month a company files its first interim filing under IFRS. Liquidity is measured monthly to better identify the precise timing of IFRS adoption. All continuous variables are winsorized at the extreme percentiles and if indicated, we use the natural logarithm of the raw values. Empirical results Table 5 presents the sample formation and descriptive statistics for firms used in the liquidity analysis. Panel A details that the sample selection criteria result in 92 firms listed in the U.S. that have liquidity data and a US-matched pair and 843 firms not listed in the U.S. that have liquidity data.28 Table 5, Panel B provides descriptive statistics for the period prior to IFRS or 28 Matching on industry is a binding constraint. When we relax the one-to-one matching constraint, we get a U.S.match for all 140 firms that have liquidity data. We find qualitatively similar results using this sample. 27 U.S. GAAP adoption for the firms listed in the U.S. and their US-matched pairs. In general, liquidity is statistically significantly higher for the US-matched pairs. One exception is that the mean of the Bid-Ask Spread is higher for the US-matched pairs. The proportion of firms on a major exchange is approximately the same for Canadian firms and their US-matched pairs. The sample and benchmark firms are of similar size, which is expected since the firms were matched on this dimension. The US-matched pairs have a lower volatility of daily stock returns. Table 5, Panel C presents descriptive statistics for the firms not listed in the United States. The U.S. firms have higher liquidity as measured by Share Turnover, Zero Returns, and Bid-Ask Spreads. A higher percentage of U.S. firms are on a major exchange and U.S. firms are larger with more volatile stock returns. Table 5, Panel D details the industry distribution for firms not listed in the U.S. and their benchmark U.S. firms (see Table 2 for the industry distribution of firms listed in the US). The key differences in industry concentration between Canada and the U.S. are the high concentration of mining firms in Canada and the high concentration of manufacturing firms in the US. Table 6 presents the regression analysis of the liquidity effects of adopting IFRS or U.S. GAAP for Canadian firms that are listed in the United States. The control variables are generally statistically significant in the expected direction. The significant coefficients on IFRS and USGAAP in the Bid-Ask Spread model (and Zero Returns model for IFRS) suggest that the U.S. listed Canadian firms have less liquidity than their matched-pairs. The insignificant coefficients on IFRS*POST and USGAAP*Post imply no statistically significant change in liquidity for Canadian firms adopting IFRS or U.S. GAAP relative to their US-matched pairs. Table 7 documents some evidence of a change in liquidity after adopting IFRS for Canadian firms not listed in the US. Specifically, the coefficients on IFRS are consistent with a 28 decrease in liquidity after IFRS adoption for two proxies, Share Turnover and Bid-Ask Spread. The coefficient is negative and significant on IFRS in the Share Turnover regression, and is modestly significant at the 10 percent level. The coefficient on IFRS is positive and significant in the Bid-Ask Spread regression, which is consistent with an increase in information asymmetry after Canadian firms adopt IFRS. The regressions using Zero Returns as the proxy for liquidity yields a statistically insignificant coefficient estimate for IFRS adoption. The control variables are statistically significant in the expected direction in all three regressions. Sensitivity tests Our previous analysis marks IFRS adoption in the month of the quarter that a firm files its first interim IFRS financial statements. However, annual IFRS filings include much more information than interim disclosures. Therefore, the full effects of IFRS adoption may not materialize until the annual financial statements are filed. Our previous analysis also assumes that the effects of IFRS adoption for large and small firms are the same. Understanding the effects of IFRS adoption for the large firms in Canada is likely of interest to U.S. regulators since U.S. firms tend to be much larger than Canadian firms. We address both of these issues as follows. We examine the liquidity effects of annual IFRS filings for firms not listed in the U.S. by creating an indicator variable IFRSquarter that is equal to ‘1’ beginning in the month a firm files its first interim filing under IFRS until the last month before it files its first annual filing under IFRS, and zero otherwise. To test the impact of annual IFRS filings, we create an indicator variable IFRSannual that is equal to ‘1’ in the month a firm files its first interim filing under IFRS, and zero otherwise. Untabulated results reveal similar results to the main analysis for Zero Returns and Bid-Ask Spreads. The coefficient estimates for IFRSquarter and IFRSannual are 29 statistically insignificant in the Zero Returns regression while both coefficient estimates are positive and significant in the Bid-Ask Spreads regression, consistent with main results. The results for Share Turnover are not consistent with the main results. In the Share Turnover regression the coefficient estimate for IFRSquarter is negative and statistically significant while the coefficient estimate for IFRSannual is statistically insignificant. This suggests the change in share turnover is a temporary effect. We address whether the size of the firms adopting IFRS affects the liquidity consequences of IFRS adoption by partitioning firms into large and small firms based on the median size of Canadian firms at December 31, 2010. Untabulated results show that the coefficient on IFRS is not statistically significant in any of the three regressions for the large firms. This result is likely of interest to U.S. regulators since these firms are most similar to U.S. firms in terms of size. In contrast, the coefficient on IFRS is positive and significant in the BidAsk Spreads regression, but not statistically significant in the two regressions using Share Turnover and Zero Returns as the liquidity proxies. This result indicates that the increase in bidask spreads after IFRS adoption appears to be concentrated amongst small firms. Anecdotal evidence suggests the quality of IFRS implementation may have been lower amongst smaller firms (Schaefer 2012). This may be due to fewer resources to devote towards IFRS adoption or reporting incentives. We examine the results for annual IFRS filings for large and small firms. The results of this untabulated analysis indicate that large firms exhibit no statistically significant association between IFRS adoption for the interim filings for any of the three measures of liquidity. However, for small firms the coefficients on IFRSquarter and IFRSannual are both positive and 30 significant in the Bid-Ask Spreads regression, but not statistically significant in the two regressions using Share Turnover and Zero Returns as the liquidity proxies. Overall, these sensitivity tests suggest that the liquidity effects of IFRS adoption in Canada are limited. The only consistent association is that IFRS adoption appears to have increased the bid-ask spread for smaller firms that adopt IFRS in Canada. 6. Conclusion This paper is motivated by the U.S. SEC’s current deliberations over whether U.S. firms should be required or permitted to report under IFRS. Due to similarities in accounting standards (Canadian and U.S. GAAP) and in financial reporting incentives and enforcement between Canada and the U.S., the recent mandate in Canada that publicly-traded Canadian firms switch to IFRS should be of particular interest to U.S. standard setters. Moreover, Canadian firms were de facto permitted to report under either IFRS or U.S. GAAP. Effectively, Canada is permitting a choice between standards similar to one proposal being considered by the U.S. SEC. Our study of the determinants of Canadian firms’ choice between accounting standards, IFRS or U.S. GAAP, should therefore be of immediate interest to the U.S. SEC. Our results suggest that the impact of accounting standards on reported results, the size, the R&D intensity, the amount of non-U.S. foreign operations, the amount of foreign ownership and the accounting complexity associated with switching all are important determinants of firms’ choice between IFRS and U.S. GAAP. Curiously, more Canadian firms report under U.S. GAAP as an unintended consequence of Canada adopting IFRS. Our liquidity analyses suggest limited effects from IFRS adoption except for increased bid-ask spreads for smaller Canadian firms. We examine liquidity because it is commonly 31 viewed as a comprehensive measure of a firm’s information environment, both in terms of level of information and information asymmetry among investors. If a change in accounting standards, such as IFRS adoption, leads to a change in firms’ information environment, firms may respond by changing their voluntary disclosure policies, including conference calls and management forecasts. Thus, it is possible to observe no change in bid-ask spreads, even though IFRS adoption per se did decreased the information from the financial statements because firms responded with voluntarily increasing other disclosures. In fact, Canadian Bonterra Energy stated that this was their intent.29 In addition to firms adjusting their strategies for voluntary disclosures and information dissemination, other intermediaries and market participants, such as analysts and investors, may change their strategies for information collection and processing (see, among others, Ball et al. 2012). This line of reasoning would suggest that future research might examine changes in earnings quality and voluntary disclosures around IFRS adoption. 29 Specifically, Bonterra Energy stated in its Q1 2011 interim report that: “It is mandatory that all Canadian publically accountable enterprises prepare their financial statements in accordance with Canadian Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (Canadian GAAP) revised to incorporate new accounting standards under IFRS. This change in accounting principles significantly affected certain financial information and disclosures from past financial reporting of the Company and may be confusing to Bonterra’s shareholders. Reporting under IFRS will result in Canadian standards now being more aligned with European and Australian accounting standards and away from previous Canadian principles and present United States principles. IFRS permits companies to be flexible with their reporting and this may result in making it more difficult to compare Canadian companies with each other, or in some instances, cross border reporting Canadian companies with their U.S. peers. IFRS has been and continues to be a very costly and time consuming transition for Canadian companies and will likely continue to be so into the future. Management is of the opinion that the adoption of IFRS should have been delayed for Canadian companies and for the respective industries that are affected at least until the United States decided what form of IFRS it would adopt, if any. Regulators and the accounting profession obviously did not agree. Bonterra will ensure that appropriate disclosures and discussions are provided in the MD&A and the financial statements to assist shareholders, analysts and other parties with their respective evaluations and has provided additional information in the above “Highlights” section to assists readers with their reviews.” 32 Appendix: Event study of IFRS adoption in Canada Canadian IFRS adoption process The stock market’s reaction to the events associated with IFRS adoption in Canada is likely of interest to Canadian and U.S. regulators. Similar to Armstrong et al. (2010), we identify the key events associated with IFRS adoption in Canada (see Table 1A for a summary of these eight events). Although IFRS adoption has not yet materialized, Joos and Leung (2013) perform a similar analysis on 15 key events relating to IFRS adoption in the U.S. and find more (less) positive responses in cases where IFRS is expected to lead to convergence benefits (costs). We believe studying the IFRS adoption process in Canada is informative to Canadian standard setters. The process to adopt IFRS in Canada formally started in 2004.30 Prior to 2004, the Canadian Accounting Standards Board (AcSB) was implementing a dual strategy of harmonizing with U.S. GAAP and working towards convergence with international accounting standards. The ultimate goal was that there would be one set of internationally accepted standards. On May 31, 2004, the AcSB reconsidered its existing strategy and sought input from constituents on whether Canada should (1) keep Canadian GAAP, (2) abandon Canadian GAAP and adopt IFRS, (3) abandon Canadian GAAP and adopt U.S. GAAP, or (4) permit firms to choose between IFRS or U.S. GAAP. Constituents advocated for all four positions. Proponents of maintaining Canadian GAAP argued that the costs involved in switching to either IFRS or U.S. GAAP outweighed the benefits. They felt that Canadian GAAP better represented the economics of Canadian firms and saw no need to abandon Canadian GAAP in the near term. Proponents of adopting U.S. GAAP argued that this was the natural choice since so many companies already reported under U.S. 30 For a detailed discussion of Canada’s decision to adopt IFRS, please see the AcSB’s 2011 report, “Adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards: Background and Basis for Conclusions.” 33 GAAP for primary or secondary reporting purposes. They further argued that U.S. GAAP was a high quality standard and that separate Canadian and U.S. GAAPs led to poor comparability within industry peer groups and within a single North American market. The majority of respondents were in favor of adopting IFRS. They emphasized that capital markets had become truly international, a trend they believed would only accelerate in the future, and that it was in the best long-term interest of Canada to adopt IFRS. The AcSB also noted the global focus of IFRS and knew they could be involved in the due process as the standards continued to evolve. In contrast, U.S. GAAP was focused only on serving the needs of the U.S. capital markets and that neither the SEC nor FASB were going to be responsive to their needs or concerns. Not all constituents favored choosing only one standard. Some, such as PricewaterhouseCoopers, advocated permitting firms to choose between IFRS or U.S. GAAP. After considering their constituent’s input, on February 10, 2005, the AcSB proposed adopting IFRS in full to its oversight body, the Accounting Standards Oversight Council, while allowing entities that wanted to use U.S. GAAP to do so. On March 31, 2005, the AcSB sought comment on its proposal to adopt IFRS. On April 15, 2005, the SEC introduced a possible road map to eliminate the reconciliation requirement for IFRS. This event had an impact on many constituents. For example, Ernst & Young expressed a preference for U.S. GAAP in its response to the AcSB’s May 31, 2004 invitation to comment. On August 5, 2005, nearly a year later, Ernst & Young changed its mind and expressed a preference for IFRS. It cited the SEC’s elimination of the reconciliation requirement as a primary reason for this switch. On September 7, 2005, the AcSB tentatively decided to continue with its plan to adopt IFRS. Then on January 10, 2006, the AcSB ratified its plan to adopt IFRS over a five-year transition period, while allowing SEC registrants to continue reporting with U.S. GAAP. On 34 November 15, 2007, the SEC voted to eliminate the reconciliation requirement for foreign private issuers reporting under IFRS. The final event in Canada’s IFRS adoption was the AcSB’s confirmation of the IFRS changeover with the announcement that Canadian publicly accountable enterprises would be required to adopt IFRS for fiscal years beginning on or after January 1, 2011. Data and research design We examine the market reaction to our eight adoption events related to IFRS adoption in Canada. Our approach is similar to Armstrong et al. (2010), where we first focus on the overall Canadian market reaction to these events. We then perform tests that examine whether certain firm characteristics explain cross-sectional variation in firms’ stock price reactions to these events. Our main sample for this study consists of Canadian firms with event returns for all eight events.31 We exclude firms reporting under U.S. GAAP. This results in a sample of 653 firms for both our overall market reaction study and cross-sectional tests. We obtain daily price data from Compustat’s Security Daily file. We base our overall market reaction tests on three-day value-weighted market-adjusted returns for these firms centered on each of the eight event dates. We construct portfolio event returns by weighting each firm’s return based on the firm’s equity market value at the end of the most recent quarter prior to the event date. This results in a valueweighted portfolio, CMARe, for each event. We market-adjusted raw event returns to control for confounding effects of macroeconomic news that occur on our event dates (e.g., Campbell, Lo and MacKinlay 1997).32 Because our events affect all Canadian firms, we use a non-Canadian market return to control for 31 We draw similar inferences if we relax this constraint and require sample firms to only have returns for one event, which yields 1,690 firms. 32 We obtain similar results if we do not market-adjust our portfolio returns. 35 other macroeconomic news. Since the U.S. is the most similar capital market to Canada (SEC 2011), we use the U.S. market return to market-adjust our raw Canadian returns, which we obtain from CRSP. Untabulated statistics indicate a positive and significant Pearson correlation of 0.68 between daily non-event returns for our Canadian market portfolio and the U.S. market, which suggests the U.S. market is a useful benchmark to control for macroeconomic news.33 Our cross-sectional tests focus on firm characteristics that are likely to explain different stock price reactions to our eight events. An important difference between our study and Armstrong et al. (2010) is that Canadian GAAP is a high quality accounting standard, whereas, many of the domestic standards in the countries Armstrong et al. study were lower in quality. Webster and Thornton (2005) find no overall difference in accrual quality between Canadian firms reporting under Canadian GAAP and U.S. firms reporting under U.S. GAAP. A primary focus in Armstrong et al. (2010) is examining whether firms with larger changes in information asymmetry experience a more positive stock price reaction to IFRS adoption events in Europe. It is not clear that adoption of IFRS in Canada will result in a significant reduction in information asymmetry. Nonetheless, IFRS adoption by Canadian firms does change the accounting numbers they report. Further, the adoption of IFRS involves an increase in note disclosure for most firms in Canada (BDO Canadian GAAP IFRS Comparison Series). As in our overall market reaction study, our cross-sectional analysis assumes that investors evaluate the expected costs and benefits of IFRS adoption, which likely vary across firms. We estimate a similar model to Armstrong et al. (2010) to consider whether firm-specific characteristics explain the market reaction to the events leading to adoption of IFRS in Canada: CMARj,e = β0 + β1Sizej,e + β2US Listedj,e + β3Turnoverj,e + β4Herfj,e + β5Big4j,e 33 As a reference point, Armstrong et al. (2010) document a 0.551 Pearson correlation between their sample portfolio returns and benchmark portfolio. 36 + β6Codej,e + εj,e (4) where j is the firm and e is the event. We estimate the model using OLS and robust standard errors clustered on two-digit industry (Rogers 1993, Petersen 2009). Firms operating in a rich information environment are likely to benefit less from any increased transparency associated with transitioning to IFRS. We include Size, the log of the firm’s prior end of year market value of equity, as a measure of a firm’s information environment (e.g., Lang and Lundholm 1993). If there is less of a change in the information environment for larger firms, we expect a negative sign on β1. As an additional proxy for a firm’s information environment, we include an indicator variable for whether a firm is listed in the U.S. US Listed is equal to 1 if the firm is listed in the U.S., and 0 otherwise. We expect negative sign on β2. We include two proxies for information asymmetry between the firm and investors. The first is Turnover, an indicator variable equal to 1 if the firm’s mean daily percentage shares traded during the year is above the median and 0 otherwise. The other proxy is Herf, which is the Herfindahl Index, measured as the sum of squared market shares for all firms in the firm’s primary two-digit SIC code. Herf ranges from 0 to 1 with higher values representing less industry competition. Firms with lower turnover and lower industry competition are likely to have more information asymmetry. If investors believe IFRS will reduce information asymmetry for Canadian firms, then they will react more favorably to increases in the probability of IFRS adoption. We include Big4, an indicator variable equal to 1 if the firm’s auditor is Deloitte, PricewaterhouseCoopers, KPMG, or Ernst & Young, and 0 otherwise, to proxy for enforcement and implementation of accounting standards. Prior research finds that Big 4 auditors provide 37 higher quality audits (e.g., Becker et al. 1998, Francis and Wang 2008). The Big 4 firms also have significant experience and resources associated with the adoption of IFRS. Thus, investors may believe that firms with Big 4 auditors will better implement IFRS. Finally, Canada is predominantly a common law country. However, the province of Quebec has a civil law legal origin. Cross-country studies examining earnings quality and legal origin generally find that earnings quality is higher in common law countries (e.g., Ball et al. 2000). However, Burnett, Jorgensen and Merrill (2011) provide evidence that for some earning attributes Quebec firms have higher earnings quality than non-Quebec firms, contrary to findings from the cross-country literature. Armstrong et al. (2010) find lower stock price reactions to IFRS adoption events in Europe for firms located in civil law countries, consistent with weaker enforcement. A negative coefficient on Code is consistent with weaker enforcement. Given the findings of Burnett et al. (2011), however, a negative coefficient may also indicate less of a change in earnings quality from IFRS for companies located in Quebec than the rest of Canada. Thus, we expect a negative coefficient for Code, an indicator variable equal to 1 if the firm is domiciled in Quebec, and 0 otherwise. Empirical results for event study of IFRS adoption in Canada Table 2A provides results for the Overall Canadian Market Reaction to our eight events. If IFRS is viewed as beneficial by investors, then we expect a positive market return for all events except May 31, 2004, which we do not have a prediction for since it is not clear at that point that the AcSB will adopt IFRS. The raw return for Canada is positive for six out of the eight events. The market-adjusted returns are positive for five out of the eight events. Further, the mean return across the eight events is 0.0036 and 0.0034 for the raw and market-adjusted 38 returns, respectively. Together these results are consistent with investors viewing the benefits of IFRS as greater than the costs in Canada. To test the statistical significance of the market response, we follow Armstrong et al. (2010) and focus on the mean return across events since IFRS adoption was a culmination of several events in Canada. We also employ the three statistical tests used by Armstrong et al. (2010): (1) a t-test of whether the mean return across the events is significantly different from zero, (2) a t-test of whether the mean return across the events is significantly different from the 278 three-day non-event window returns from January 1, 2004 through June 30, 2008,34 and (3) a boot-strap based test where the standardized mean return across the events is compared to the standardized mean return of eight randomly selected non-event three-day windows, which is repeated 500 times, and the p-value is calculated as the percentage of times the mean return for the eight randomly selected non-events is greater than the mean return for the eight events. The mean market-adjusted return across events is 0.0034. However, all three test statistics indicate that the mean return is not statistically significant (t-statisticvs.0 is 1.13, t-statisticvs.278 is 0.85, and p-valuebootstrap is 0.18). However, we note that this finding is sensitive to the use of a valueweighted portfolio. Untabulated results reveal that the market-adjusted mean return across events for an equally-weighted portfolio is 0.0092 and is statistically significantly different from zero (p-value of 0.02). Further, the raw returns for Canada (market-adjusted returns) are positive for six (seven) of the eight events. Since the significance of the overall market reaction is sensitive to the choice of a value-weighted versus equally-weighted portfolio, we turn to our cross-sectional analysis to provide additional evidence on the stock price reaction to the events leading to IFRS adoption in Canada. 34 Following Armstrong et al. (2010), we begin three-day non-event windows on every fourth day. Our results are not sensitive to the beginning date. 39 Table 3A, Panel A, presents descriptive statistics for firms used in the cross-sectional analysis. We observe that the mean (median) of the cumulative market-adjusted return (CMAR) is positive. About 29% of the sample is cross-listed in the U.S. Table 3A, Panel B, shows that mining firms are most prevalent in the sample followed by manufacturers. Table 4A presents the regression results for our cross-sectional analysis. The coefficient on the variable, Size, is statistically significant and negative. As expected, larger firms experience a lower stock price reaction to the events associated with IFRS adoption. This result is consistent with a larger increase in perceived benefits for smaller firms from the adoption of IFRS. The coefficient on Code is also statistically significant and negative which may be consistent with weaker enforcement of IFRS or less of an expected change in earnings quality from IFRS in Quebec than the rest of Canada. The rest of our variables are the predicted sign, but statistically insignificant. Overall, our event study results suggest some evidence of a favorable response to an increased likelihood of IFRS adoption in Canada. 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Journal of Accounting Research 37: 225-238. 44 TABLE 1 Sample Panel A: Sample Selection Canadian firms in Compustat Defer adoption of IFRS Firms that must adopt US GAAP or IFRS 1,445 (135) 1,310 Of the firms that must adopt US GAAP or IFRS: IFRS US GAAP 1,218 92 1,310 Panel B: Adoption of IFRS or US GAAP Conditional on US-Listing Status and Previous Accounting Standard Accounting Standard Adopted Listed in US one year prior to accounting Accounting Standard standard choice? Prior to 2006* IFRS US GAAP Total US GAAP 3 45 48 Yes Canadian GAAP 163 34 197 Subtotal 166 79 245 No US GAAP Canadian GAAP Subtotal Total 0 1,052 1,052 1,218 0 13 13 92 0 1,065 1,065 1,310 Notes: The sample consists of Canadian firms in Compustat that were required to adopt either IFRS or US GAAP. Insurance companies and investment companies are allowed to defer the adoption of IFRS until fiscal years beginning on or after January 1, 2013. Panel B presents the accounting standard adopted conditional on a firm's cross-listing status and previous accounting standard. *If a firm's inception is in 2006 or later, the firm's first accounting standard is reported. Of the 13 firms that were not listed in the US but chose US GAAP, eight became SEC registrants in order to report with US GAAP while five were rate-regulated entities that obtained special permission to adopt US GAAP until January 1, 2015 without becoming a SEC registrant. 45 TABLE 2 Descriptive Statistics for Firms Used in Standard Choice Analysis Panel A: Descriptive Statistics U.S. GAAP (N=23) Variable Mean Median IFRS (N=147) Mean Median SE Comparability -0.12 0.00 0.27** 0.07*** R&D Intensity 0.07 0.00 0.04 0.00** IFRS vs. US Operations -0.25 -0.15 0.16*** 0.00*** US Ownership 0.14 0.01 0.12 0.06 Leverage 0.19 0.17 0.15 0.05 DSE 0.22 0.00 0.37* 0.00* Size 4.98 4.79 5.63 5.32 ROA -0.21 -0.03 -0.22 -0.04 Panel B: Distribution of Accounting Standards by Industry U.S. GAAP IFRS Industry (Two-Digit SIC Codes) Frequency Percentage Frequency Percentage Mining (10-14) 7 30% 98 67% Manufacturing (20-39) 9 39% 24 16% Transportation and Utilities (40-49) 3 13% 4 3% Services (70-89) 2 9% 7 5% Other 2 9% 14 10% Total 23 100% 147 100% Notes: The sample consists of 170 Canadian firms previously using Canadian GAAP and listed in the U.S. We exclude 27 firms from Table 1 for the following reasons: five firms that adopted U.S. GAAP because they lost Foreign Private Issuer status in the US and were required to begin using U.S. GAAP by the SEC, nine firms that did not separately disclose assets in the US, three rate-regulated entities, and 10 firms did not disclose a reconciliation to U.S. GAAP. SE Comparability is the percentage difference between the stockholders' equity under Canadian GAAP and U.S. GAAP calculated as Canadian GAAP stockholders' equity less U.S. GAAP stockholders' equity scaled by the absolute value of Canadian GAAP stockholders' equity. R&D Intensity is research and development expense divided by total assets. IFRS vs. US Operations indicates whether a more of a firms' assets are located in IFRS countries or the U.S. and is calculated as assets in IFRS countries less assets in the U.S. scaled by total assets. US Ownership is the percentage of common stock held by U.S. institutional investors. Leverage is debt divided by total assets. DSE is equal to 1 if a firm is a Development Stage Enterprise, and 0 otherwise. Size is the log of total assets. ROA is net income divided by total assets. "Other" consists of Agriculture (01-09), Finance (60-67), and Wholesale Trade (50-51). *, **, *** denote statistical significance at the 0.10, 0.05, and , 0.01 levels (one-tailed when predicted direction), respectively, based on t-test for the difference in means and a nonparametric Wilcoxon signed-rank test for the difference in medians. 46 TABLE 3 Correlations IFRS SE Comparability R&D Intensity IFRS vs. US Operations US Ownership Leverage DSE Size ROA Notes: IFRS 1.00 0.18 -0.04 0.25 -0.04 -0.06 0.11 0.07 0.00 SE R&D Comparability Intensity -0.17 0.22 1.00 -0.13 0.06 1.00 0.10 -0.04 -0.08 -0.19 -0.10 -0.05 -0.10 0.17 -0.17 -0.30 -0.14 -0.54 IFRS vs. US US Operations Ownership Leverage 0.01 -0.10 0.25 0.04 -0.19 -0.21 -0.02 -0.09 -0.16 1.00 0.12 0.00 1.00 0.13 0.28 0.10 0.08 1.00 0.02 -0.34 -0.13 -0.05 0.12 0.50 -0.04 0.12 -0.23 DSE 0.11 0.26 -0.25 0.04 -0.33 -0.41 1.00 -0.54 -0.24 Size 0.07 -0.14 -0.24 -0.07 0.57 0.50 -0.56 1.00 0.41 ROA 0.01 -0.18 -0.19 -0.09 0.36 0.31 -0.50 0.67 1.00 The table presents pairwise Pearson (Spearman) correlations below (above) the diagonal for the 170 Canadian firms used in the choice analysis that were previously using Canadian GAAP and listed in the U.S. Bold indicates correlations statistically significant at the 10 percent level or lower. IFRS is equal to 1 if a firm adopts IFRS, and 0 if a firm adopts U.S. GAAP. SE Comparability is the percentage difference between the stockholders' equity under Canadian GAAP and U.S. GAAP calculated as Canadian GAAP stockholders' equity less U.S. GAAP stockholders' equity scaled by the absolute value of Canadian GAAP stockholders' equity. R&D Intensity is research and development expense divided by total assets. IFRS vs. US Operations indicates whether a more of a firms' assets are located in IFRS countries or the U.S. and is calculated as assets in IFRS countries less assets in the U.S. scaled by total assets. US Ownership is the percentage of common stock held by U.S. institutional investors. Leverage is debt divided by total assets. DSE is equal to 1 if a firm is a Development Stage Enterprise, and 0 otherwise. Size is the log of total assets. ROA is net income divided by total assets. 47 TABLE 4 Probit Regression Analysis of Standard Choice Variable Expectation Constant SE Comparability + R&D Intensity + IFRS vs. US Operations + US Ownership - Leverage +/- DSE + Size +/- ROA +/- Industry Fixed Effects No. of Observations Coefficient -0.37 (-0.67) 0.54** (2.27) 2.20** (1.74) 0.99*** (2.94) -1.93** (-1.64) 0.14 (0.36) 0.62* (1.41) 0.29*** (3.62) 0.15 (0.51) Marginal Effect 2.1% 0.0% 6.2% -4.0% 0.3% 6.4% 12.4% 0.2% Yes 170 2 McFadden R 31.8% Wald χ2 41.75 Notes: The sample consists of 170 Canadian firms used in the choice analysis that were previously using Canadian GAAP and listed in the U.S. SE Comparability is the percentage difference between the stockholders' equity under Canadian GAAP and U.S. GAAP calculated as Canadian GAAP stockholders' equity less U.S. GAAP stockholders' equity scaled by the absolute value of Canadian GAAP stockholders' equity. R&D Intensity is research and development expense divided by total assets. IFRS vs. US Operations indicates whether a more of a firms' assets are located in IFRS countries or the U.S. and is calculated as assets in IFRS countries less assets in the U.S. scaled by total assets. US Ownership is the percentage of common stock held by U.S. institutional investors. Leverage is debt divided by total assets. DSE is equal to 1 if a firm is a Development Stage Enterprise, and 0 otherwise. Size is the log of total assets. ROA is net income divided by total assets. We calculate the marginal effect of each independent variable as π(X ) = Φ(x' β) using the values 0 and 1 for indicator variables and the first and third quartiles for continuous X variables, with the remaining X variables set equal to their mean values. We then compute the difference in π(X ) at these two values of each X variable. *, **, *** denote statistical significance at the 0.10, 0.05, and 0.01 levels (one-tailed when predicted direction), respectively, based on robust standard errors. z-statistics in parentheses. 48 TABLE 5 Sample Formation and Descriptive Statistics for Firms Used in Liquidity Analysis Panel A: Sample Formation Canadian firms previously using CA GAAP Less: Firms that list in US or obtain special approval to adopt US GAAP Firms without sufficient data Firms without matched-pairs Canadian firms used in liquidity analyses Panel B: Descriptive Statistics for Firms Listed in US Canadian Firms Variable Mean Median Share Turnover 0.0039 0.0023 Zero Returns 0.1479 0.0476 Bid-Ask Spread 0.0673 0.0221 Major Exchange 0.74 1.00 Ln(Market Value t-1 ) 20.36 20.29 Ln(Volatility t-1 ) -3.43 -3.46 Panel C: Descriptive Statistics for Firms Not Listed in US Canadian Firms Variable Mean Median Share Turnover 0.0020 0.0009 Zero Returns 0.2084 0.1304 Bid-Ask Spread 0.0576 0.0258 Major Exchange 0.75 1.00 Ln(Market Value t-12 ) 18.75 18.57 Ln(Volatility t-12 ) -3.42 -3.38 Listed in US 197 0 (57) (48) 92 Not Listed in US 1,052 (13) (196) 0 843 US Matched-Pairs Mean Median 0.0073*** 0.0044*** 0.0783*** 0.0000*** 0.1633*** 0.0018*** 0.79** 1.00** 20.07 19.62 -3.30 -3.47** US Firms Mean Median 0.0066*** 0.0046*** 0.0623*** 0.0000*** 0.0217*** 0.0015*** 0.95*** 1.00*** 19.83*** 19.80*** -3.57*** -3.59*** (This table is continued on next page.) 49 TABLE 5 (Continued) Panel D: Industry Distribution for Firms Not Listed in US Canadian Firms US Firms Industry (Two-Digit SIC Codes) Frequency Percentage Frequency Percentage Mining (10-14) 390 46% 147 4% Manufacturing (20-39) 163 19% 1,369 40% Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate (60-67) 72 9% 744 22% Services (70-89) 59 7% 509 15% Transportation and Utilities (40-49) 50 6% 284 8% Retail Trade (52-59) 30 4% 197 6% Other 79 9% 209 6% Total 843 100% 3,459 100% Notes: The table presents the sample formation and descriptive statistics for firms used in the liquidity analysis. US firms are used as benchmark firms. We require that US firms have a minimum of six months of data before and after March 31, 2011 (the first quarter end for which Canadian firms were required to adopt IFRS). For the firms listed in the US, descriptive statistics are presented for the period prior to adoption of IFRS and liquidity measures are calculated for a 12 month period. For the firms not listed in the US, descriptive statistics are presented for all monthly data used in the liquidity analysis. Share Turnover is the median of the daily turnover during each period where daily turnover is calculated as daily share volume divided by the shares outstanding. Zero Returns is the proportion of trading days with zero returns out of all potential trading days in each period. Bid-Ask Spread is the median of the bid-ask spread for each period where the bid-ask spread is the difference between the closing bid and ask price divided by the mid-point. Major Exchange is equal to 1 if a firm is traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange, New York Stock Exchange, American Stock Exchange, or NASDAQ, and 0 otherwise. Market Value is stock price times the number of shares outstanding at the end of the period. Volatility is the standard deviation of daily stock returns during the month. If indicated, we use the natural logarithm of the raw values. All continuous variables are winsorized at the 1% and 99% level. *, **, *** denote statistical significance at the 0.10, 0.05, and , 0.01 levels, respectively, based on t-test for the difference in means and a nonparametric Wilcoxon signed-rank test for the difference in medians. 50 TABLE 6 Regression Analysis of the Liquidity Effects for IFRS Adoption in Canada by Firms Listed in the US Variable Constant IFRS US GAAP Post IFRS*Post US GAAP*Post Major Exchange Ln(Market Value t-1 ) Ln(Volatility t-1 ) Ln(Share Turnover) -12.319*** (-18.34) -0.202 (-1.25) 0.222 (0.83) -0.031 (-0.17) -0.101 (-0.44) 0.095 (0.28) 1.734*** (8.00) 0.313*** (5.26) 0.441* (1.74) Zero Returns 0.358*** (5.26) 0.051*** (3.99) 0.026 (1.25) 0.023* (1.67) -0.006 (-0.32) -0.016 (-0.51) -0.097*** (-4.39) -0.008** (-2.32) 0.063** (4.00) -0.038*** (-8.13) Ln(Bid-Ask Spread) 0.572 (0.53) 1.217*** (6.27) 2.205*** (5.80) 0.043 (0.24) 0.134 (0.46) 0.253 (0.51) -0.911*** (-3.40) -0.304*** (-6.56) 0.454** (2.55) -0.357*** (-5.43) Yes 368 92 Yes 368 92 Yes 368 92 Ln(Share Turnover t-1 ) Industry Fixed Effects No. of Observations No. of Sample Firms 2 Adjusted R 57.6% 72.1% 71.2% Notes: The sample consists of Canadian firms listed in the US with necessary trading data. Matched pairs of US firms, based on size and industry, are used as benchmark firms. Liquidity in the post-IFRS (US GAAP) period is measured for the 12 months beginning the month after a firm changes accounting standards. Liquidity in the pre-IFRS (US GAAP) period is for the same 12 months, but one year prior. Share Turnover is the median of the daily turnover during the 12-month period where daily turnover is calculated as daily share volume divided by the shares outstanding. Zero Returns is the proportion of trading days with zero returns out of all potential trading days in the 12-month period. Bid-Ask Spread is the difference between the closing bid and ask price divided by the mid-point. IFRS is equal to 1 if a Canadian firm adopts IFRS, and 0 otherwise. US GAAP is equal to 1 if a Canadian firm adopts US GAAP, and 0 otherwise. Post is equal to 1 in the period after a firm adopts its new standard, and 0 otherwise. Major Exchange is equal to 1 if a firm is traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange, New York Stock Exchange, American Stock Exchange, or NASDAQ, and 0 otherwise. Market Value is stock price times the number of shares outstanding at the end of the period. Volatility is the standard deviation of daily stock returns during the six month period. If indicated, we use the natural logarithm of the raw values. All continuous variables are winsorized at the 1% and 99% level. *, **, *** denote statistical significance at the 0.10, 0.05, and 0.01 levels, respectively, based on robust standard errors. t-statistics in parentheses. 51 TABLE 7 Regression Analysis of the Liquidity Effects for IFRS Adoption in Canada by Firms not Listed in the US Variable Constant IFRS Major Exchange Ln(Market Value t-12 ) Ln(Volatility t-12 ) Ln(Share Turnover) -15.801*** (-49.28) -0.257* (-1.85) 1.726*** (12.59) 0.552*** (40.99) 0.707*** (16.30) Zero Returns 0.170*** (8.39) -0.001 (-0.15) -0.116*** (-14.96) -0.009*** (-12.56) 0.016*** (6.87) -0.038*** (-38.72) Ln(Bid-Ask Spread) 5.120*** (23.43) 0.347*** (3.88) -1.262*** (-17.04) -0.525*** (-69.56) 0.177*** (10.12) -0.143*** (-19.67) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 843 / 3,459 141,183 843 / 3,459 141,183 843 / 3,459 141,183 Ln(Share Turnover t-12 ) Fixed Effects Country Industry Month-Year Month-Year (Canada specific) N Canadian/US Firms N Firm-Month Observations 2 Adjusted R 48.7% 60.1% 78.0% Notes: The sample consists of Canadian firms not listed in the US with necessary trading data. US firms are used as a benchmark. Share Turnover is the median of the daily turnover during each month where daily turnover is calculated as daily share volume divided by the shares outstanding. Zero Returns is the proportion of trading days with zero returns out of all potential trading days in each month. Bid-Ask Spread is the median of the bid-ask spread for each month where the bid-ask spread is the difference between the closing bid and ask price divided by the mid-point. IFRS is a binary variable that takes on the value of '1' beginning in the month a company files its first interim filing under IFRS. Major Exchange is equal to 1 if a firm is traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange, New York Stock Exchange, or NASDAQ, and 0 otherwise. Market Value is stock price times the number of shares outstanding at the end of the period. Volatility is the standard deviation of daily stock returns during the month. If indicated, we use the natural logarithm of the raw values. All continuous variables are winsorized at the 1% and 99% level. *, **, *** denote statistical significance at the 0.10, 0.05, and 0.01 levels, respectively, based on robust standard errors clustered by firm. t-statistics in parentheses. 52 TABLE 1A Events and Predicted Effects on Likelihood of Canadian Adoption of IFRS Event Date May 31, 2004 February 10, 2005 March 31, 2005 April 15, 2005 September 7, 2005 January 10, 2006 November 15, 2007 February 13, 2008 Description Canadian Accounting Standards Board (AcSB) invites public comment from stakeholders about whether to keep Canadian GAAP or to adopt either IFRS or U.S. GAAP. AcSB proposes adopting IFRS in full to its oversight body, the Accounting Standards Oversight Council, while allowing entities that want to do so to use U.S. GAAP. AcSB invites public comment on its proposal to adopt IFRS. Donald Nicolaisen, Chief Accountant of the SEC, introduces a possible roadmap to eliminate the reconciliation requirement for IFRS. AcSB tentatively decides to continue pursuing its strategy of adopting IFRS in place of a separate Canadian GAAP. AcSB ratifies a strategic plan “The Convergence Implementation Plan” to adopt IFRS over a five-year period. SEC registrants will be allowed to use U.S. GAAP. The SEC votes to eliminate reconciliation from IFRS to U.S. GAAP for U.S. foreign private issuers. AcSB confirms IFRS changeover date as January 1, 2011 for Publicly Accountable Enterprises. Assessed Effect on Likelihood of IFRS Adoption Ambiguous Predicted Market Reaction if IFRSbenefits > IFRScosts (IFRSbenefits < IFRScosts) Increase + (-) Increase + (-) Increase + (-) Increase + (-) Increase + (-) Increase + (-) Increase + (-) Notes: This table presents eight events related to Canada’s adoption of IFRS, our assessment of their effect on the likelihood of Canada adopting IFRS, and the predicted market reaction to each event. 53 TABLE 2A Overall Canadian Market Reaction to Events Affecting the Likelihood of IFRS Adoption in Canada Raw Return U.S. Market Event Date Description Canada Return May 31, 2004 Canadian Accounting Standards Board 0.0048 0.0017 (AcSB) invites public comment from stakeholders about whether to keep Canadian GAAP or to adopt either IFRS or U.S. GAAP. February 10, 2005 AcSB proposes adopting IFRS in full to 0.0122 0.0033 its oversight body, the Accounting Standards Oversight Council, while allowing entities that want to do so to use U.S. GAAP. March 31, 2005 AcSB invites public comment on its 0.0161 0.0089 proposal to adopt IFRS. -0.0080 -0.0238 April 15, 2005 Donald Nicolaisen, Chief Accountant of the SEC, introduces a possible roadmap to eliminate the reconciliation requirement for IFRS. September 7, 2005 AcSB tentatively decides to continue 0.0014 0.0113 pursuing its strategy of adopting IFRS in place of a separate Canadian GAAP. January 10, 2006 AcSB ratifies a strategic plan “The 0.0033 0.0085 Convergence Implementation Plan” to adopt IFRS over a five-year period. SEC registrants will be allowed to use U.S. GAAP. November 15, 2007 The SEC votes to eliminate -0.0065 -0.0153 reconciliation from IFRS to U.S. GAAP for U.S. foreign private issuers. Market-Adjusted Return Canada 0.0031 0.0089 0.0072 0.0158 -0.0099 -0.0052 0.0088 (continued on next page) 54 February 13, 2008 AcSB confirms IFRS changeover date as January 1, 2011 for Publicly Accountable Enterprises. 0.0059 0.0074 -0.0015 Mean Return across Events t-statisticvs0 t-statisticvs278 p-valuebootstrap 0.0036 0.0002 0.0034 1.13 0.85 0.18 Notes: This table presents three-day portfolio returns for the eight events identified as relating to Canada’s adoption of IFRS. Raw Return Canada is the three-day value-weighted return to the 653 Canadian firm portfolio, centered on the event date. U.S. Market Return is the three-day value-weighted return for the U.S. market obtained from CRSP, centered on the event date. Market-Adjusted Return Canada is the difference between Raw Return Canada and U.S. Market Return. Mean Return across Events is computed as the mean of the eight event returns. t-statisticvs0 assesses whether the mean return differs from zero. t-statisticvs278 assess whether the mean return differs from the mean return for 278 non-overlapping non-events, chosen across the sample period. p-valuebootstrap is the proportion of 500 draws for which the standardized mean return across 8 randomly selected non-events exceeds the standardized mean event return. 55 TABLE 3A Descriptive Statistics for Firms Used in Cross-Sectional Analysis of Firm's Stock Price Reactions to IFRS Adoption Events in Canada Panel A: Descriptive Statistics Variable Mean Median CMAR 0.0081 0.0008 Size 4.74 4.69 US Listed 0.29 0.00 US GAAP 0.04 0.00 Turnover 0.50 0.00 Herf 0.02 0.00 Big4 0.77 1.00 Code 0.13 0.00 Panel B: Industry Distribution Industry (Two-Digit SIC Codes) Frequency Percentage Mining (10-14) 2,000 36% Manufacturing (20-39) 1,616 29% Transportation and Utilities (40-49) 424 8% Services (70-89) 488 9% Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate (60-67) 560 10% Other 416 8% Total 5,504 100% Notes: The sample consists of Canadian firms with three-day returns for each of our 8 event dates. CMARj,e is the firm's cumulative market-adjusted return, measured as the three-day return centered on the event date minus the three-day return to the U.S. value-weighted index. Size is the natural logarithm of the firm's prior end of year market value of equity. US Listed is equal to 1 if the firm is listed in the U.S., and 0 otherwise. US GAAP is equal to 1 if the firm uses U.S. GAAP, and 0 otherwise. Turnover is an indicator variable equal to 1 if the firm's mean daily percentage shares traded during the year is above the median for all firms, and 0 otherwise. Herf is the Herfindahl Index, measured as the sum of each firm's squared percentage market-share, calculated at the two-digit industry level. Big4 is equal to 1 if the firm's auditor is Deloitte, PricewaterhouseCoopers, KPMG, or Ernst & Young, and 0 otherwise. Code is equal to 1 if the firm is domiciled in Quebec, and 0 otherwise. 56 TABLE 4A Cross-Sectional Analysis of Firm's Stock Price Reactions to IFRS Adoption Events in Canada Variable Expectation Constant Coefficient 0.017*** (4.88) Size - -0.002*** (-2.73) US Listed - 0.001 (0.38) US GAAP +/- Turnover + -0.004 (-0.72) 0.001 (0.58) Herf + 0.002 (0.29) Big4 + 0.001 Code - -0.003* (0.30) (-1.61) Firm Events Firms 5,504 688 R2 0.25% Notes: The sample consists of Canadian firms with three-day returns for each of our eight event dates. CMARj,e is the firm's cumulative market-adjusted return, measured as the three-day return centered on the event date minus the three-day return to the U.S. value-weighted index. Size is the natural logarithm of the firm's prior end of year market value of equity. US Listed is equal to 1 if the firm is listed in the U.S., and 0 otherwise. US GAAP is equal to 1 if the firm uses U.S. GAAP, and 0 otherwise. Turnover is an indicator variable equal to 1 if the firm's mean daily percentage shares traded during the year is above the median for all firms, and 0 otherwise. Herf is the Herfindahl Index, measured as the sum of each firm's squared percentage market-share, calculated at the two-digit industry level. Big4 is equal to 1 if the firm's auditor is Deloitte, PricewaterhouseCoopers, KPMG, or Ernst & Young, and 0 otherwise. Code is equal to 1 if the firm is domiciled in Quebec, and 0 otherwise. *, **, *** denote statistical significance at the 0.10, 0.05, and 0.01 levels (one-tailed when predicted direction), respectively, based on robust standard errors clustered on two-digit SIC code (Petersen, 2009). t-statistics in parentheses. 57
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