www.culturalcognition.net
Misconceptions, Misinformation, and Identity Protective
Cognition
Dan M. Kahan
Yale University
Research Supported by:
National Science Foundation, SES-0922714
Annenberg Center for Public Policy
What am I talking about . . .
What am I talking about . . .
I.
A recap
II. A qualification
III. An Extension
What am I talking about . . .
I.
A recap
II. A qualification
III. An Extension
There is “solid evidence” of recent global warming due “mostly” to
“human activity such as burning fossil fuels.” [agree, disagree]
Probability of “agree”
1
Liberal
Democrat
.75
.5
Conservative
Republican
.25
0
1st
-3
-2 16th
86th 1
99th
-1 50th 0
2
OSIIntelligence
percentile
AOT
Ordinary Science
(percentile)
colored bars denote 0.95 CIs.
There is “solid evidence” of recent global warming due “mostly” to
“human activity such as burning fossil fuels.” [agree, disagree]
Probability of “agree”
1
Liberal
Democrat
.75
.5
Conservative
Republican
.25
0
-3
-2
-1
0
1
AOT Thinking (z-score)
Actively Open-minded
colored bars denote 0.95 CIs.
2
There is “solid evidence” of recent global warming due “mostly” to
“human activity such as burning fossil fuels.” [agree, disagree]
Probability of “agree”
1
.75
Liberal
Democrat
.5
Conservative
Republican
.25
0
-3
-2
-1
0
1
AOT Test (no. correct)
Cognitive Reflection
brackets denote 0.95 CIs.
2
Private gun possession
7
Extremely high
risk
6
Liberal Democrat
4
5
Liberal
Democrat
3
Conserv Republican
1
2
Conservative
Republican
0
None at all
-2.5
1st
percentile
50th percentile
0
99th percentile
2.5
Ordinary science intelligence
shaded areas denote 0.95 CIs.
Fracking
Extremely high
risk
None at all
1st percentile
50th percentile
99th percentile
Ordinary science intelligence
shaded areas denote 0.95 CIs.
Theories of misinformation and mass opinion formation
The passive
aggregator model:
Politically/Economically motivated
interest groups
The motivated-public
model:
Culturally
Motivated
Public
misinformation supply
demand for
information
Credulous
Public
Opportunistic
Misinformers
Theories of misinformation and mass opinion formation
The passive
aggregator model:
Politically/Economically motivated
interest groups
The motivated-public
model:
Culturally
Motivated
Public
misinformation supply
demand for
information
Credulous
Public
Opportunistic
Misinformers
What am I talking about . . .
I.
A recap
II. A qualification
III. An Extension
What am I talking about . . .
I.
A recap
II. A qualification
III. An Extension
Pathological risk perceptions . . .
Pathological risk perceptions and normal ones
Important papers:
Recent NAS reports:
What am I talking about . . .
I.
A recap
II. A qualification
III. An Extension
What am I talking about . . .
I.
A recap
II. A qualification
III. An Extension
Theories of misinformation and mass opinion formation
The passive
aggregator model:
Politically/Economically motivated
interest groups
The motivated-public
model:
Culturally
Motivated
Public
misinformation supply
demand for
information
Credulous
Public
Opportunistic
Misinformers
www. culturalcognition.net
“I am you!”