CaRMS Forum 2017 R-1 Main Residency Match Outcomes and insights April 30, 2017 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Match overview Program application the program perspective CMG choices R-1 match Supply and demand IMG results Unmatched and unfilled Match overview 4 The Canadian Resident Matching Service CaRMS by the numbers New! Client services Applications 2017 R-1 Main Residency Match First and second iterations combined 2017 R-1 Main Residency Match First and second iterations combined 3,009 chats 644 1,131 programs documents translated 3,305 9,760 36,892 calls to the help desk reference letters 5,372 applicants quota 97.05% satisfaction rating 10,577 emails 9.4% 128,334 applications 4.9% 5 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Applicant pool breakdown 2017 First and second iterations combined REGISTRANTS WITHDRAWN APPLICANTS ACTIVE APPLICANTS FINAL PARTICIPANTS* CMG 3,005 25 2,969 2,955 IMG 2,495 58 2,348 1,811 69 8 55 46 USMG *Final participants: submitted a rank order list. Does not double count if an applicant participates in first and second iterations. 6 The Canadian Resident Matching Service 2017 R-1 match national highlights 219 First iteration Graduate type Current Year Prior Year # Matched # Unmatched # Matched # Unmatched CMG 2,644 (94.1%) 166 60 (72.3%) 23 USMG 22 (55.0%) 18 2 (50.0%) 2 IMG 108 (44.8%) 133 250 (18.2%) 1,126 3,086 Second iteration Graduate type Current Year 64 Prior Year # Matched # Unmatched # Matched # Unmatched CMG 70 (50.7%) 68 32 (41.0%) 46 USMG 0 0 0 3 12 (17.4%) 57 41 (4.5%) 879 IMG 155 Filled Unfilled 7 The Canadian Resident Matching Service 2017 R-1 match regional highlights (applicant view) First iteration Region Current Year Prior Year # Matched # Unmatched # Matched # Unmatched Western 783 (94.8%) 43 11 3 Ontario 868 (93.0%) 65 20 9 Quebec 816 (94.2%) 50 26 11 Eastern 177 (95.7%) 8 9 0 Second iteration Region Current Year Prior Year # Matched # Unmatched # Matched # Unmatched Western 17 (45.9%) 20 7 15 Ontario 22 (38.6%) 35 12 18 Quebec 29 (78.4%) 8 8 7 Eastern 2 (28.6%) 5 5 6 % Unmatched current year CMGs after second iteration National: 2.4% Western: 2.4% Ontario: 3.8% Quebec: 0.9% Eastern: 2.7% 8 The Canadian Resident Matching Service 2017 R-1 match highlights by region (program quota view) Western Ontario 50 58 Quebec Eastern 16 95 First iteration 943 1,134 94.95% fill rate Second iteration 95.13% fill rate 89.54% fill rate 2 4 46 99.60% total fill rate 196 813 37 58 56 99.83% total fill rate 93.61% total fill rate 92.45% fill rate 0 16 100% total fill rate 9 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Summary of 2017 match results First and second iterations combined Applicant type # matched % matched Current year CMG 2,714 96.5 Previous year CMG 92 64.8 IMG 411 22.7 USMG 24 52.2 10 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Couples match rates (2014-2017) 2014 (N = 107) 8% 92% 2015 (N = 115) 2% 98% 2016 (N = 105) 4% 96% *includes couples that matched only one partner 2017 (N = 112) 4% 96% 11 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Who entered postgraduate training in Canada (2011-2017) 2017 92 2016 72 2015 73 2728 421 26 2014 69 2710 449 27 2013 74 2571 2012 65 2557 2011 50 0 411 24 2714 408 18 2761 2457 500 1,000 Prior year CMGs matched 1,500 2,000 Current year CMGs matched 2,500 IMGs matched 499 25 407 31 380 22 3,000 USMGs matched 3,500 Program application: the program perspective 13 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Program application and selection information: Discipline 1 108 69 53 35 21 3 2 University A Quota 14 # Applicants 20 5 University B # Applicants ranked by program 2 2 University C Program ranking level to fill quota 14 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Program application and selection information: Discipline 2 122 59 57 43 40 30 15 4 2 University A Quota # Applicants 2 University B # Applicants ranked by program 10 4 University C Program ranking level to fill quota CMG choices 16 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Graduate mobility: emigration by school of medicine in 2017 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% MUN DAL LAV SHE MON McG Home school OTT QUE NOS TOR MCM WES MAN Same province Out of province SAS ALB CAL BC 17 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Graduate mobility: immigration by school of residency in 2017 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% MUN DAL LAV SHE MON McG Home school OTT QUE NOS TOR MCM WES MAN SAS Same province Out of province ALB CAL BC 18 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Graduate mobility: emigration at national level (2013-2017) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2013 2014 Home school 2015 Same province 2016 Out of province 2017 19 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Average number of program applications by CMG and IMG applicants in the first iteration (2007-2017) 30 25 IMG: 24.0 20 CMG: 18.8 15 10 5 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 CMG 2013 IMG 2014 2015 2016 2017 20 The Canadian Resident Matching Service CMG match results by first and lower rank choices: ROL frequency distribution 100% 1,800 1,600 1,545 90% 80% 1,400 70% 1,200 60% 1,000 50% 800 600 400 200 0 40% 30% 424 213 13489 20% 75 45 23 20 19 12 13 13 10 13 10 9 5 3 2 2 5 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 22 23 25 28 29 30 32 34 38 46 48 82 91 Rank choice Cumulative % # Matched 10% 0% 21 The Canadian Resident Matching Service CMGs matched to first choice discipline (1995-2017) 100% 95% 2017: 87.4% 90% 85% Min: 86.4% in 2001 Max: 92.1% in 2011 Range: 5.7% Average: 89.4% 80% 75% 70% 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 22 The Canadian Resident Matching Service CMGs matched to first choice discipline by region (2012-2017) 100% 95% Ontario: 93.2% 90% Western: 89.5% Eastern: 88.3% National: 87.4% 85% 80% Quebec: 79.1% 75% 2012 2013 2014 Eastern Ontario 2015 Quebec 2016 Western 2017 National 23 The Canadian Resident Matching Service CMGs matched to one of their top three program choices (1995-2017) 100% Program choice 2017 95% 90% 85% 80% 75% 70% 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 First 53.4% Second 14.7% Third 7.4% Fourth 4.6% Fifth 3.1% Sixth 2.6% Seventh 7.7% 24 The Canadian Resident Matching Service CMG discipline choices (1995-2017) 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1995 1997 1999 Family Medicine 2001 2003 Internal Medicine 2005 2007 2009 Surgical disciplines 2011 2013 2015 Non-surgical disciplines 2017 25 The Canadian Resident Matching Service First choice disciplines for CMGs (2015-2017) Top 10 first choice disciplines 2015 2016 2017 Family Medicine 38.5% 36.2% 34.0% Internal Medicine 13.6% 15.2% 16.0% Surgical disciplines 12.5% 13.2% 13.8% Psychiatry 6.0% 6.0% 6.2% Pediatrics 5.5% 5.8% 5.9% Anesthesiology 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 4.2% 4.4% 4.1% Emergency Medicine Obstetrics & Gynecology Diagnostic Radiology Dermatology 3.9% 3.8% 3.9% 3.4% 2.6% 3.1% 1.8% 2.2% 2.1% 2016 2015 35.6% 35.1% 62.2% 64.2% 0.7% 2.2% 2017 42.9% 56.5% Supply > demand Supply = demand Demand > supply 0.6% Supply and demand 27 The Canadian Resident Matching Service 3,500 80 3,000 70 2,500 60 50 2,000 40 1,500 30 1,000 20 500 10 0 Unmatched current year CMGs Participation and quota First iteration participation and quota, second iteration unmatched (2007-2017) 0 2007 IMG quota 2008 2009 CMG quota 2010 2011 IMG participation 2012 2013 2014 CMG participation 2015 2016 2017 Unmatched current year CMG 28 The Canadian Resident Matching Service CMG quota, participation and ratio (2008-2017) 3,500 3,000 2,500 1.11 2,000 45 1.08 1.04 1.04 1.022 1.026 2,886 2,921 2,973 2,984 2,970 2,967 83 68 71 68 62 46 32 35 29 2,778 2,717 2,595 2,379 1.10 1.11 1.12 1.08 1,500 1,000 2,089 2,284 2,403 2,496 2,626 2,633 2,779 2,791 2,836 2,810 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 500 0 Participation - current year CMGs Participation - prior year CMGs Quota Ratio of quota to CMGs 29 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Quota and CMG count by region in 2017 1,200 * Pre-screened IMGs can apply for all positions in Quebec 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 Western IMG quota Quebec CMG quota Ontario Prior year CMGs Eastern Current year CMGs 30 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Supply and demand ratio: CMG quota filled in 2017 1.8 1.6 1.4 Western 1.2 Ontario 1 Quebec Eastern 0.8 National 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 FM IM Surgery Next 7 31 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Supply and demand ratio: CMG quota filled for Family Medicine (2012-2017) 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 National 1.4 Western 1.3 Ontario 1.2 Quebec 1.1 Eastern 1 0.9 0.8 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 32 The Canadian Resident Matching Service First choice discipline compared to availability (supply > demand) Hematological Pathology 3.00 General Pathology 2.67 Neuropathology 2.50 Medical Microbiology 2.50 Radiation Oncology 2.22 Nuclear Medicine 2.00 Medical Genetics 2.00 Family Medicine 1.38 Public Health and Preventive Medicine 1.26 Anatomical Pathology 1.24 Psychiatry 1.01 Vascular Surgery 1.00 Neurology - Pediatric 1.00 (Positions/applicant first choice discipline) 33 The Canadian Resident Matching Service First choice discipline compared to availability (demand > supply) Dermatology Plastic Surgery Emergency Medicine Neurosurgery Urology Obstetrics and Gynecology Ophthalmology Otolaryngology Neurology Anesthesiology Pediatrics General Surgery Cardiac Surgery Diagnostic Radiology Orthopedic Surgery Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation Internal Medicine 0.51 0.53 0.56 0.58 0.63 0.68 0.71 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.77 0.78 0.80 0.88 0.89 0.90 0.97 (Positions/applicant first choice discipline) 34 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Highest demand ratios: CMGs first discipline choice compared to availability (2015-2017) Average: 0.57 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.0 2015 2016 2017 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92.6% 0.1 96.7% 0.2 100% 0.3 100% 0.4 96.3% fill rate 0.5 35 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Lowest demand ratios: CMGs first discipline choice compared to availability (2015-2017) 8.0 Average: 2.93 7.0 6.0 5.0 2015 2016 2017 65% 60% 40% 50% 33.3% 71.4% 42.9% 72.8% 42.9% 40% 72.5% 0.0 50% 1.0 50% 2.0 25% 3.0 28.6% fill rate 4.0 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Interactive data tool demo 36 IMG results 38 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Number of IMG registrants (2008-2017) Mandatory NAC OSCE 3,500 3,000 New IMG registrants 2,500 2,000 Returning IMG registrants 1,500 1,000 500 0 New IMG registrants Returning IMG registrants 2008 1,077 985 2009 1,145 1,103 2010 1,263 1,183 2011 1,424 1,357 2012 1,579 1,508 2013 1,614 1,551 2014 1,600 1,564 2015 995 1,526 2016 954 1,351 2017 1,109 1,386 39 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Where IMGs are training 0.7% 14.1% 9.0% 5.8% 5.8% 10.0% 51.3% 3.2% 40 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Regional IMG match results Region Final participation % matched Africa 247 13% Asia 377 15% Central America/Caribbean 389 20% Europe 421 37% Middle East 269 18% Mexico 6 17% Oceania/Pacific Islands 61 46% South America 41 22% 41 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Where IMG participants went to medical school # participants: 1,811 # countries: 105 # schools: 469 97 30 12 17 17 13 Percent matched 0.00% Country: Ireland Matched: 23.60% Final participation: 197 23.60% Country: Iran Matched: 7.30% Final participation: 163 28 Country: Pakistan Matched: 4.14% Final participation: 147 Country: Egypt Matched: 2.92% Final participation: 133 Country: India Matched: 4.14% Final participation: 113 Country: Australia Matched: 6.81% Final participation: 61 Country: Saint Kitts and Nevis Matched: 3.16% Final participation: 89 Unmatched and unfilled 43 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Unmatched current year CMGs after second iteration (2007-2017) 3.0% 2.4% 2.5% Min: 0.5% Max: 2.4% Range: 1.9% Average: 1.3% 2.0% 2.0% 1.6% 1.6% 2012 2013 1.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 2008 2009 0.5% 0.0% 2007 2010 2011 2014 2015 2016 2017 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Unmatched current year CMGs after second iteration, by school 44 45 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Categorizing unmatched CMGs 2015 2016 3% 5% 11% 5% 38% N=39 2017 26% 7% N=46 13% 32% N=68 54% 56% 50% 46 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Unmatched CMG journey (2013) Unknown Journey 2013 second iteration 4 2015 second iteration 1 matched 0 unmatched 1 matched 59 unmatched 41 2014 first iteration 35 matched 30 unmatched 5 2 5 2015 first iteration 2014 second iteration 1 matched 1 unmatched 2 Net unmatched: 0 Net unknown journey: 6 matched 2 unmatched 3 2 Unknown Journey 1 2016 first iteration 1 matched 1 unmatched 1 1 2016 second iteration matched 0 unmatched 1 2017 second iteration 2017 first iteration 1 matched 0 unmatched 1 1 matched 1 unmatched 0 47 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Unmatched CMG summary New Match year Participants % matched in match year Number unmatched (1st and 2nd) Number subsequently matched % matched to date Remaining unmatched Unknown journey 2013 2,635 97.57 62 49 99.43 1 14 2014 2,781 97.45 71 51 99.28 2 18 2015 2,792 97.71 64 51 99.53 5 8 2016 2,838 97.29 77 59 99.37 8 10 48 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Unfilled positions by discipline Discipline After first After second iteration iteration Discipline After first After second iteration iteration Family medicine 158 56 Medical Genetics 2 - Psychiatry 10 1 Neuropathology 2 1 PHPM 7 - Pediatrics 2 - Radiation Oncology 7 - Dermatology 1 - Anatomical Pathology 5 3 General Pathology 4 - Medical Biochemistry 1 - Internal medicine 4 - Neurology 1 - Medical microbiology 4 2 Neurology - Pediatric 1 - Diagnostic Radiology 3 - Physical Med & Rehab 1 - Nuclear Medicine 3 - Urology 1 - Hematological Pathology 2 1 TOTAL 219 64 49 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Unfilled positions and unmatched graduates after second iteration, by region Unfilled positions (64) Unmatched current graduates (68) Unmatched prior graduates (46) 4 58 20 15 2 8 35 7 18 5 6 50 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Unfilled positions and unmatched graduates after second iteration, by language Unfilled positions French 58 English 6 Unmatched current year graduates French 2 Bilingual 4 English 62 Unmatched prior year graduates French 1 Bilingual 7 English 38 51 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Unfilled positions and unmatched graduates after second iteration, by language Unfilled positions (64) FR: 58 EN: 3 EN: 4 FR: 2 EN: 20 BIL: 3 EN: 14 BIL: 1 EN: 2 EN: 35 EN: 17 BIL: 1 EN: 1 FR: 1 BIL: 5 EN: 4 BIL: 1 EN: 6 English (6) French (58) Unmatched current grads (68) English (62) French (2) Bilingual (4) Unmatched prior grads (46) English (38) French (1) Bilingual (7) 52 The Canadian Resident Matching Service Revisiting the 2017 R-1 match national highlights 219 First iteration Graduate type Current Year Prior Year # Matched # Unmatched # Matched # Unmatched CMG 2,644 (94.1%) 166 60 (72.3%) 23 USMG 22 (55.0%) 18 2 (50.0%) 2 IMG 108 (44.8%) 133 250 (18.2%) 1,126 3,086 Second iteration Graduate type Current Year 64 Prior Year # Matched # Unmatched # Matched # Unmatched CMG 70 (50.7%) 68 32 (41.0%) 46 USMG 0 0 0 3 12 (17.4%) 57 41 (4.5%) 879 IMG 155 Filled Unfilled The Canadian Resident Matching Service Available positions and applicant interest • • • When factoring in prior year participants – ratio is 1.02 for last two years Increased demand for Internal Medicine creates tipping point Interactive data provides discipline level insights Program applications • • Continued increase Significant program effort in selection process evident in #s Regional and language specific data • Regional and language oriented data provides a new perspective in important areas Unmatched Canadian graduates • • Current year increase Ultimate match % consistent over past four years 53 Thank you
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