Use of Magnetic Resonance Imaging In Multiple Sclerosis Trials Richard A. Rudick, M.D. Mellen Center for Multiple Sclerosis, Neurological Institute, Cleveland Clinic March 7, 2009 Conflict of Interest Statement Cleveland Clinic has accepted research funding from NIH (NINDS, NCRR), NMSS, Biogen Idec, and Nancy Davis Center Without Walls for my research I have accepted honoraria or consulting fees (< $10,000 per annum) from Biogen Idec, Millenium, Genzyme, Teva, and Novartis Grant Support For Work Presented Today NIH PO1 NS38667 Project 3 and MRI/Pathology Core Pathogenesis of Multiple Sclerosis (Brain atrophy in multiple sclerosis) NIH RO1 NS38667; NMSS RG 3099 MSCRG Trial of IM IFN-1a for RR-MS NMSS RG 3099 Brain atrophy in CIS NMSS PP0540 MS image analysis methodology Biogen Idec (BGEN 801) F/U of IFN-1a study Nancy Davis Center Without Walls Clinical trial methodology Outline of Talk MRI / Clinical Correlations Relapses / Disability Use of MRI in MS Trials Hot topics MRI Defined Rx Response Gray Matter Pathology Multiple Sclerosis: Clinical Course Preclinical Relapsing-Remitting Disability MS Relapses Secondary Progressive Progressive Disability SUBCLINICAL (5-25 years) Time MRI in Multiple Sclerosis Useful in diagnosis, management Used to test new treatments Provides insight into pathogenesis Evolution of MS MRI lesions GAD Richert N. unpublished (1998) T2 lesion Black Hole MRI in MS FLAIR/T2: all “lesions” (edema, inflammation, demyelination, gliosis, axonal loss) Gad-enhancing: breakdown of blood-brain barrier, active inflammation T1 hypointense: axonal loss, severe tissue destruction MTR hypointense: demyelination, axonal loss Low Correlation Between MRI Lesions and Relapses (SLC data) MRI lesions did not predict relapses in a multivariate model (n = 306); Held et al, Neurology 2005: The project to validate MRI lesions as a relapse surrogate was stopped since the pre-requisite of correlation between MRI lesions and relapses was not met (n = 208); Petkau et al, Mult Scler 2008: Retrospectice analysis of 31 placebo arms of RCT: no correlation between Gad lesions and relapses (n = 409) Daumer et al, Neurology 2009 Low Correlation Between MRI Lesions and Relapses Most lesions are clinically silent Kinetics (particularly as relates to disability) Low Correlation Between MRI Lesions and Relapses Most lesions are clinically silent Kinetics (particularly as relates to disability) Disease Activity Over 6.5 Years If 90% Of New Lesions Are Subclinical, The Correlation Between New Lesions And Relapses Would Be 0.34 Annals of Neurology, 2009, in press 23 RCTs with MRI and relapse data Does the treatment effect on MRI lesions correlate with the treatment effect on relapses? A weighted linear regression was run Number of patients # TRIAL Follow up 372 14 Filippi 2006 14 15 Kappos 2006 6 16 O'Connor 2006 9 17 Polman 2006 24 Natalizumab 300 mg 942 18 Hauser 2008 6 Rituximab 1000 mg 104 19 Garren 2008 12 20 Comi 2008 9 # TRIAL Follow up 1 Paty 1993 24 2 Durelli 1994 6 IFNα-2a 9 MIU 20 3 Andersen 1996 6 Linomide 2.5 mg 31 4 Jacobs 1996 24 IFNb-1a 6 MIU 301 5 Millefiorini 1997 24 MTX 8 mg/m2 51 6 PRISMS 1998 24 7 OWIMS 1999 12 8 Lenercept MS 1999 Active arm IFNb-1b 1.6 MIU IFNb-1b 8 MIU IFNb-1a 22 mg IFNb-1a 44 mg IFNb-1a 22 mg IFNb-1a 44 mg 560 293 Lenercept 10 mg 6 Lenercept 50 mg 168 Lenercept 100 mg IFN-α2a 4.5 MIU 21 Fazekas 2008 9 Myhr 1999 6 10 Brod 2001 9 11 Comi 2001 9 GA 20 mg 239 12 Bech 2002 6 Valacyclovir 1g 70 13 Miller 2003 6 IFN-α2a 9 MIU IFN-α2a 10000 IU IFN-α2a 30000 IU Natalizumab 3 mg/Kg Natalizumab 6 mg/Kg 12 97 30 213 Active arm oral GA 5 mg oral GA 50 mg FTY720 1.25 mg FTY720 5.0 mg Teriflunomide 7 mg Teriflunomide 14 mg BHT-3009 0.5 mg BHT-3009 1.5 mg Laquinimod 0.3 mg Laquinimod 0.6 mg IVIG 0.2g IVIG 0.4g Number of patients 1651 281 179 267 306 127 Ustekinumab 27 mg 22 Segal 2008 6 Ustekinumab 90 mg q8w Ustekinumab 90 mg 249 Ustekinumab 180 mg 23 Mostert 2008 TOT 6 Fluoxetine 20 mg 40 63 (40) 6591 log(REL effect) = -0.01 + 0.57 log (MRI effect) Validation with separate studies In groups, the effect of a treatment on new lesions explains > 80% of the variance of the relapse treatment effect Low Correlation Between MRI Lesions and Relapses Most lesions are clinically silent Kinetics (particularly as relates to disability) Does MRI Predict Future Clinical Status? Disability Preclinical Relapsing-Remitting MRI Secondary Progressive Disability Or Atrophy SUBCLINICAL Variable (5-25 years) Time Do MRI Lesions Predict Future Status? MS patients F/U (yrs) Reference CIS 5, 10,14 Miller, Fillipi CIS 14 Chard RRMS 8, 13 Rudick % EDSS > 3.0 Baseline T2 Lesion Load Predicts Disability at 5 Years Filippi et al. Neurology 1994; 44:635-641 T2 Lesion Growth In 5 Years Predicts Disability at 14 Years T2 Lesion Volume 30 SPMS 25 EDSS > 3 20 15 10 EDSS < 3 5 0 0 BL 5 5 years 1010 years 1414 years Years from presentation Brex et al. NEJM 2002:346;158-164: T2 Lesion Growth In 5 Years Predicts Brain Atrophy at 14 Years T2 Lesion Load SRCC p Value Baseline -0.262 0.178 BL to 5 Years -0.528 0.004 5 Years to 10 Years -0.326 0.090 10 Years to 14 Years -0.016 0.936 Chard et al. JNNP 2003; 74:1551-1554 T2 Lesions In RRMS Predict Atrophy and Clinical Disability after 13 Years RRMS from Phase III trial (IFNB-1a) MRI Brain Atrophy T2 LL Baseline -0.66 (<0.0001) ∆ T2LL over 2 yr -0.40 (0.031) MSFC PASAT -0.44 (0.02) -0.50 (0.005) -0.54 (0.003) No correlation between T2 LL and future EDSS Rudick et al. Ann. Neurol.2006;60:236-242 Brain Atrophy in the IM IFNβ-1a Clinical Trial (RRMS) Healthy Controls (n=16) Mean +/- 2 SD 0.89 0.87 0.85 p < 0.0001 p = 0.0001 p = 0.0001 0.83 0.81 BPF = 0.830 z = - 5.2 BPF = 0.824 z = - 6.0 BPF = 0.820 z = - 6.5 0.79 Baseline Year 1 Placebo Patients (n=72) Mean +/-SEM Year 2 Rudick, et al. Neurology 1999; 53:1698-1704 Brain Atrophy During The Trial Correlates With Disability At 8 Year F/U 55.9 % > EDSS 6.0 At F/U 60 50 40 30 20 29.4 28.6 -0.27 to -0.89 -0.90 to -1.7 14.3 10 0 1.3 to -0.26 -1.7 to -6.5 Quartiles of BPF During 2 Year Clinical Trial Fisher, et al. Neurology 2002 MRI Predicts EDSS > 6 Small Medium Large T2 CHANGE T1 HOLE # GAD (BL,Y1,Y2) BPF CHANGE 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 Estimated Effect Size 0.8 1 MRI / Clinical Correlations (in RRMS) Lesions correlate with relapses in early MS Effect of intervention on lesions correlates strongly with relapse effect Lesions correlate with future disability and brain atrophy Brain atrophy during RR-MS correlates with future neurological disability Amount Of CNS Injury Natural History Of Multiple Sclerosis “Typical MS” SP-MS 10-20 Years After Onset “Severe MS” SP-MS After 5 Years Progressive Disability Threshold “BenignMS” Never Progresses 0 5 10 15 20 Years After MS Onset 25 30 Outline of Talk UseMRI / Clinical Correlations Relapses / Disability MRI in MS Trials Hot topics MRI Defined Rx Response Gray Matter Pathology MRI Parameters in MS Trials Gadolinium lesions are the primary outcome measure used to screen treatments Secondary outcome measures for registration trials Gad lesions / T2 lesions T1 holes / brain atrophy Disease Modifying Drugs: Clinical and MRI Outcomes IM IFNb-1a SC IFNb-1a (44-µg) IFNb-1b (8-MIU) Glatiramer Acetate Relapse rate % reduction 32 p=0.002 32 p<0.005 34 p=0.0001 29 p=0.007 Disability progression % reduction 37 p=0.02 31 p<0.05 29 p=NS 12 p=NS Number of Gd+ lesions % reduction 52 p=0.05 84* p<0.001 NR 29* p=0.00331 N/E T2 lesion number % reduction 33 p=0.002 78 p<0.0001 83 p=0.009 31* p<0.003 * = at 9 months Disease Modifying Drugs: Clinical and MRI Outcomes IM IFNb-1a SC IFNb-1a (44-µg) IFNb-1b (8-MIU) Glatiramer Acetate Relapse rate % reduction 32 p=0.002 32 p<0.005 34 p=0.0001 29 p=0.007 Disability progression % reduction 37 p=0.02 31 p<0.05 29 p=NS 12 p=NS Number of Gd+ lesions % reduction 52 p=0.05 84* p<0.001 NR 29* p=0.00331 N/E T2 lesion number % reduction 33 p=0.002 78 p<0.0001 83 p=0.009 31* p<0.003 * = at 9 months Brain Atrophy in MS Trials Measured in nearly all trials (usually brain volume normalized to brain size) Issues Slow rate of atrophy, short trial durations Kinetic issues - fluid shifts and time course of neurodegeneration Multiple studies show reduced atrophy with anti-inflammatory therapies in RRMS No study has shown an atrophy effect in SPMS or PPMS MRI Parameters in MS Trials Newer measures Diffusion Tensor Imaging Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopy Magnetization Transfer Imaging T1, T2 Relaxation Times Functional MRI NYRFPT Outline of Talk Use of MRI in MS Trials MRI / Clinical Correlations Relapses / Disability Hot Topics MRI Defined Rx Response GM Pathology Original Avonex Study The 2-year cohort 167 patients Classification of responders Relapses in 2yr – cutoff 2 or more Gd+ lesions (yr 1 + yr2) – cutoff 2 or more New T2 at yr 2 (versus baseline)- cutoff 3 or more Outcome: EDSS, MSFC, BPF EDSS Change In Responder Groups Based on T2 Lesions Mean Change in EDSS 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 n=62 n=20 P=0.05 0.78 1 0.5 n=46 n=39 P=0.48 0.6 0.82 0.03 0 IFN Placebo Responders Rudick et al, Annals of Neurology 2004 Non Responders Mean Change in BPF P<0.01 0 -0.5 -1 -1.5 -2 -2.5 -3 -3.5 -4 -4.5 -5 p=0.45 -0.67 -1.11 -1.35 -1.88 n=47 n=18 IFN n=36 n=33 Placebo Responders Rudick et al, Annals of Neurology 2004 Non Responders Do Lesions During Initial 2 Years Predict Outcome (EDSS 6) At 15 Years? p = 0.03 n=36 n=30 p = 0.59 n=36 n=30 p = 0.04 n=35 n=32 p = 1.0 n=35 n=32 Author Responder Classification Results Rudick Number of N/E T2 lesions at 2 yrs in 172 pts studied for 2 years. > 3 new lesions PLC-controlled trial of IM IFNβ- predicted worse disease progression over 2 1a; Gad lesions at Yr 1 and 2 years; f/u at 15 years confirmed findings Pozzilli Gad lesions or new T2 lesions 1 year after beginning IFNβ 101 of 242 pts had MRI activity as defined. Higher likelihood of relapses in the 4-year observation (OR 3.6) Tomassini Gad lesions 1 year after beginning IFNβ; NAb while on IFN 68 patients followed for 6 years. Gad lesions predicted relapse or disability (OR 7.9); NAb associated with poor outcome (OR 7.3) Rio N/E T2 lesions or Gad lesions 1 year 152 pts studied for 2 years. >2 active lesions at after starting IFNβ 1 year was the primary factor predicting sustained EDSS progression (OR 8.3) Durelli Gad or T2 lesions 6 months after starging IFNβ; and IFNβ NAb during study 147 pts studied for 2 years. MRI lesions and/or NAb predicted relapse or sustained EDSS increase in the next 18 months Kinkel Gad or new T2 lesions 6 months after starting IFNβ in CIS 383 pts with CIS studied up to 2 years. Active MRI lesions predicted CDMS in IFNβ-1a but not placebo patients Longitudinal studies consistently indicate that MRI activity while using IFNβ indicates patients with a relatively poor response to therapy and poor prognosis Outline of Talk Use of MRI in MS Trials MRI / Clinical Correlations Relapses / Disability Hot Topics MRI Defined Rx Response GM Pathology Cortical Pathology in MS Post-Mortem Studies > 90% of MS patients have cortical lesions (Lumsden 1970) Percentage of demyelinated area significantly higher in cortex than WM - 26.5% vs. 6.5% (Bo, et al. 2003) Most cortical lesions are not detectable on conventional MRI (Geurts, et al. 2005) SPMS Focal demyelinated WM plaque Cortical demyelination Kutzelnigg et al Brain 2005 Gray Matter Atrophy Segmentation of gray matter based on intensity and anatomic probability Gray matter fraction: GMF = GM volume / brain volume Provides estimate of overall amount of GM tissue damage T2w Anatomical GM Final GM Nakamura and Fisher. NeuroImage 2009 Gray Matter Atrophy in Multiple Sclerosis: NIH Longitudinal Study 87 subjects followed over 4 years 17 controls 7 CIS 37 RRMS 26 SPMS Measured EDSS, MSFC, change in fractional brain volumes, lesion volumes, MTR Fisher, et al. Ann Neurol 2008 Atrophy Rates Relative to Healthy Controls 16 14.0 Fold Increase (relative to controls) 14 12.4 12 10 8.1 8 6 5.2 5.8 4.4 3.5 4 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 2.2 CIS (n=7) CIS->RRMS (n=8) RRMS (n=28) RRMS->SPMS (n=7) 2 0 -2 ΔBPF HC (n=17) ΔWMF ΔGMF SPMS (n=19) Fisher, et al. Ann Neurol 2008 Gray Matter Atrophy Correlates with MS Disability Progression 87 subjects followed over 6.5 years 17 healthy controls 7 CIS 36 RRMS 27 SPMS Measured EDSS, MSFC, changes in fractional brain volumes Categorized patients as “progressed” or “stable” based on MSFC change over 6.5 years Rudick, et al. (JNNP 2009) Gray Matter Atrophy Correlates with MS Disability Progression Rudick, et al. (JNNP 2008) Gray Matter Pathology in MS Gray matter pathology increasingly dominates the pathology Gray matter atrophy correlates with disability progression Is MS a gray matter disease? Outline of Talk MRI / Clinical Correlations Relapses / Disability Use of MRI in MS Trials Hot topics MRI Defined Rx Response Gray Matter Pathology Future MRI Directions More specific MRI measures of MS pathology Imaging markers for GM pathology Use of MRI in neuroprotection trials Use of MRI to monitor / manage Rx Collaborators Acknowledgements Biomedical Engineering: Elizabeth Fisher, Ph.D. Raghavan Gopalakrishnan, M.S. Patricia Jagodnik, B.S. Kunio Nakamura, B.S. Smitha Thomas, M.D. Bhaskar Thoomukuntla, M.S. Neurosciences: Angela Chang, M.D. Richard Ransohoff, M.D. Susan Staugaitis, M.D., Ph.D. Bruce Trapp, Ph.D. Radiology: John Cowan, R.T. Mark Lowe, Ph.D. Mike Phillips, M.D. Derek Tew, R.T. Mellen Center: Jeff Cohen, M.D. Bob Fox, M.D. Claire Hara-Cleaver, RN, NNP Dee Ivancic Lael Stone, M.D. Biostatistics: Jar-Chi Lee, M.S. Thank You For Your Attention
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