Project financial analysis PROJECT FINANCIAL ANALYSIS I. INTRODUCTION This annex shall be filled in only for investment projects, regardless their estimated total value. The main objective of the financial analysis is to compute the project’s financial performance indicators – its profitability. This analysis is usually done from the point of view of the owner (or legal administrator) of the infrastructure. II. GENERAL INFORMATION ABOUT THE PROJECT Project title (insert title) Name of the Lead Applicant (insert name) Project start date (dd.mm.yyyy) Project duration (months) II. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS METHODOLOGY 1. Please provide a short description of the methodology used. It must contain information about: - all key assumptions regarding operational costs, capital replacement costs, revenues and residual value; - the macroeconomic parameters used; - the steps taken into account during calculations; - the data used for preparing the analysis and the main findings of the financial analysis, including the results of the financial viability analysis in order to demonstrate that the project shall not remain without liquidities in the future (the commitment of the project beneficiary, of the owners and/or public authorities for supporting the investment, operational costs and replacement costs). Project financial analysis III. EVALUATION OF THE FINANCIAL RETURN ON INVESTMENT 1. Definitions: Net present value (NPV) represents the amount obtained after having deducted the expected (discounted) investment, operational and replacement costs of the project from the present value of the expected revenues. The internal rate of return (IRR) is the discount rate that makes the NPV of all cash flows from the project equal to zero. The financial return of an investment is evaluated by estimating the net present value (NPV) and the internal rate of return (IRR) of the investment. These indicators are comparing investment costs with net revenues and determine the extent to which project net revenues are able to pay back the investments, regardless of funding sources. In order for a project to require contribution from funds: NPV before EU contribution should be negative and IRR should be below the discount rate used for the analysis, while NPV after EU contribution should be negative or zero, and IRR should be below or equal to the discount rate used for the analysis. 2. Please fill in the following table with the indicators calculated for your project. Without contribution from public funds With contribution from public funds Internal rate of return Net present value IV. FINANCIAL SOURCES FOR THE PROJECT 1. Please indicate if the project is estimated to generate revenues: Yes – No – If your answer is “Yes”, Project financial analysis 2. Please proceed to fill in the following table: Parameter Notation Value Reference period (years)* Discount rate** (%) Assets lifetime (years) Investment cost I Eligible investment cost EI Non-eligible investment cost NEI Discounted investment cost DI Discounted eligible investment cost DEI Discounted non-eligible investment cost Funding rate for eligible costs from community resources *** DNEI K Discounted residual value DRV Discounted net revenue ***** DNR 3. Please calculate the following: P – financing rate P = (DI – DNR – DRV) / DI P = …………………………………. DFR - discounted funding requirement (community resources) DFR = K x DEI x P DFR = ……………………………………… * For the reference period please refer to the table presented below, the Annex 1 to Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) No. 480/2014: Project financial analysis ** The discount rate is the rate of return used in a discounted cash flow analysis to determine the present value of future cash flows. According to Article19 (Discounting of cash flows) of Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) No 480/2014, for the programming period 2014-2020, the European Commission recommends that a 4% discount rate in real terms is considered as the reference parameter for the real opportunity cost of capital in the long term. *** The maximum funding rate for eligible costs from ERDF within Interreg V-A RomaniaHungary Programme is 85%. **** Where value added tax is not an eligible cost, the calculation of discounted net revenue shall be based on figures excluding value added tax. ***** According to Section III, Article 15 of Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) No 480/2014, revenues and costs shall be determined by applying the incremental method based on a comparison of revenue and costs in the scenario of the new investment with the revenues and costs in the scenario without the new investment. 4. In case there are no estimated revenues, please provide information related to the financing source for the operating and maintenance costs. …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… …………….. Project financial analysis V. VERIFICATION OF THE FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY OF THE PROJECT 1. Guidance: The analysis of the financial sustainability is based on not discounted cash flow forecasts. This is used mainly for demonstrating that the project shall have sufficient liquidity year after year in order to always cover investment and operational costs throughout the entire reference period. The key issues of the financial sustainability analysis are the following: 1. Financial sustainability of the project is ensured by verifying that net cumulative cash flow (not discounted) is positive (or equal to zero) for every year and throughout the entire reference period; 2. Net cash flows taken into account should: Take into consideration investment costs, all financial resources (national and EU), cash incomes, operational and replacement costs the moment they are paid, repayments of financial obligations of entities, as well as capital contributions, interests and direct taxes; - Exclude VAT, except the case when VAT is not recoverable; Not take into account the residual value, only in case the asset is being liquidated in the last year of analysis. 3. In case of an operation that is not subject to Article 61 from Regulation (EU) No 1303/2013 or when negative cash flow is forecasted for the future, the way of covering costs has to be indicated through a clear, long-term commitment of the beneficiary/operator, committing itself to provide sufficient funds from other sources in order to ensure the sustainability of the project; 4. If projects are part of a pre-existing infrastructure, such as capacity expansion projects, the system operator’s global financial sustainability has to be verified in the “project” scenario (not only the capacity of the extended segment) and a sustainability analysis has to be made at the level of the system operator, while results need to be taken into account in the risk assessment. 1. Please adapt and fill in the following table, in order to demonstrate that your project is financially sustainable: Years* 1 Total financial resources Total operating income Total operating 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 n** Project financial analysis costs Total investment costs Interest Repayment Taxes Total cash outflows * For the reference period please consult the table presented in page 4 of this annex. n** - cannot exceed 30 years. VI. MANAGING RISKS 1. Methodology used (short description) ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ….. ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………… 2. Risk analysis Please provide a risk analysis taking into consideration the following aspects: - identification of risks; - evaluation of level of risks – it measures how risk is likely to take place and can be expressed in LOW, MEDIUM, HIGH; - impact assessment of risks – it measures the damage that it inflicts to the project; - risk management. ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ….. ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ………………
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