Economics Letters 101 (2008) 249–252 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Economics Letters j o u r n a l h o m e p a g e : w w w. e l s ev i e r. c o m / l o c a t e / e c o n b a s e Bargaining with many players: A limit result ☆ Klaus Kultti a, Hannu Vartiainen b,c,⁎ a b c University of Helsinki, Finland Turku School of Economics, Rehtorinpellonkatu 3, 20500 Turku, Finland Yrjö Jahnsson Foundation, Finland a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 30 January 2007 Received in revised form 13 August 2008 Accepted 19 August 2008 Available online 26 August 2008 a b s t r a c t We provide a simple characterization of the stationary subgame perfect equilibrium of an alternating offers bargaining game when the number of players increases without a limit. Core convergence literature is emulated by increasing the number of players by replication. The limit allocation is interpreted in terms of Walrasian market for being the first proposer. © 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Keywords: Non-cooperative bargaining Stationary equilibrium Replication Walrasian market JEL classification: C72 C78 1. Introduction We study an n-player alternating offers bargaining game where the players try to agree on a division of a pie. Time proceeds in discrete periods to infinity, player 1 starts the game, and the proposer in any period is the player who first rejected the offer of the previous period. We are interested in what happens when the number of players increases. Our way of increasing the population parallels the core convergence literature as we replicate the situation so that while the number of players is increased the size of the pie increases proportionally: each replica of players brings in a new pie to the pool of shareable pies. This could reflect matters e.g. when similar nations group together as a federation. Having a large set of players is attractive since in the limit almost all players act as responders; only one player enjoys the first proposer advantage and hence, as the number of replicas becomes large, the solution becomes almost distortion-free. We show that in the limit the unique stationary subgame perfect equilibrium has a simple characterization in terms of a single replica's preferences. Finally, the resulting single replica outcome has an attractive Walrasian interpretation: the unique equilibrium in a market where the first proposer right is sold to a single replica of bargainers induces the same outcome. ☆ Comments of a referee greatly improved the paper. We also thank Hannu Salonen for discussions. ⁎ Corresponding author. Tel.: +358 40 7206808; fax: +358 9 605002. E-mail address: hannu.vartiainen@tse.fi (H. Vartiainen). 0165-1765/$ – see front matter © 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.econlet.2008.08.022 The primitive of our model are the time preferences á la Fishburn and Rubinstein (1982). This approach does not make assumptions concerning the concavity of utility functions.1 Under similar assumptions, Kultti and Vartiainen (2007) show that the stationary equilibrium outcome converges to the Nash-bargaining solution when the length of the time period goes to zero. Since no additional assumptions are made on the utility representations, this is an extension of Binmore, Rubinstein and Wolinsky (1986). We now show that the limit outcome under replication (but fixed time interval) converges to a well defined solution also, but different from the Nash solution.2 2. The model A pie of size X N 0 is to be divided among the set N = {1, 2, …n} of players. The set of divisions of the pie is Sn ð X Þ ¼ x a ℝn : ∑ni¼1 xi X; xi 0; for all i : Let us write x = (x1,…,xn) and x-i = (x1,…, xi-1, xi + 1,…, xn). 1 Our assumptions about preferences are weaker than, for instance, in Kirshna and Serrano (1996). As their (unique) equilibrium is stationary, our results can be interpreted as an extension of theirs. 2 One could also study what happens when the size of the cake is kept fixed and the number of players is increased. Then there is convergence to the Nash-bargaining solution because the utility frontier becomes practically linear. The same reasoning applies when the size of the cake is increased while keeping the number of players fixed. 250 K. Kultti, H. Vartiainen / Economics Letters 101 (2008) 249–252 A1–A5 hold throughout the paper. By A2, the Pareto-optimal divisions at any date are given by that in all subgames each player must get zero. Otherwise there would be a subgame where some offer y = (y1, …, yn) is accepted. Because of stationarity this offer is accepted in every subgame. In particular, player 1 can deviate in the first period and offer y = (y1,…,yn). This is a profitable deviation and constitutes a contradiction with the assumption that there is a stationary SPE where the game never ends. Assume next that there is a stationary SPE where an offer x(i) by some player i a {1, 2,…,n}, is not accepted immediately. Denote by z(i) the equilibrium outcome in a subgame that starts with an offer x(i) of player i. But now player i could offer z(i) instead of x(i); everyone else would accept the offer as in the stationary equilibrium acceptance depends only on the offer. Thus, in any equilibrium, i(t)'s offer x(i(t)) = (xj(i(t)))jaN is accepted at stage t a {0, 1, 2, …}. In stationary equilibrium the time index t can be relaxed from x(i(t)). An offer x by i is accepted by all j ≠ i if P n ð X Þ ¼ x a Sn ð X Þ : ∑ni¼1 xi ¼ X : xj ðiÞ vj xj ð jÞ ; for all j≠i: For each i there is a function vi: [0, X] →[0, X], defining the present consumption value of xi in date 1: Player i's equilibrium offer x(i) maximizes his payoff with respect to constraint (5) and the resource constraint. By A3, all constraints in (5) and the resource constraint must bind. That is, The players' preferences over divisions and timing constitute the primitive of the model. The pie can be divided at any point of time T = {0, 1, 2,…}. Let division 0 = (0,…,0) serve as the reference point, and let (complete, transitive) preferences over S × T satisfy, for all x, y a S, for all i a N and for all s, t a T, the following properties (Fishburn and Rubinstein, 1982; Osborne and Rubinstein, 1990, Ch. 4): (x, t) ⪰i (0, 0) (x, t) ⪰i (y, t) if and only if xi ≥ yi. If s N t, then (x, t) ⪰i (x, s), with strict preference if xi N 0. If (x k, tk) ⪰i (yk, sk) for all k = 1, …, with limits (xk, tk) →(x, t) and (yk, sk) →(y, s) then (x, t) ⪰i (y, s). A5. (x, t) ⪰i (y, t + 1) if and only if (x, 0) ⪰i (y, 1), for any t a T. A1. A2. A3. A4. ð y; 0Þfi ðx; 1Þ if vi ðxi Þ ¼ yi ; for all x; y a Sn ð X Þ: ð1Þ Fishburn and Rubinstein (1982) show that given A1–A5, vi(·) is continuous and increasing on [0, X]. We assume that the loss of delay increases in the share of the pie. ¼ 1 N1; for all xi 0: viVðxi Þ ð2Þ This property will be used when we prove the existence of a stationary equilibrium. 3. The game Given N and X, we focus on a unanimity bargaining game Γ N(X) defined as follows: At any stage t a {0, 1, 2, …}, • Player i(t) a N makes an offer x a Sn (X). Players j ≠ i (t) accept or reject the offer in the ascending order of their index.3 • If all j ≠ i (t) accept, then x is implemented. If j is the first who rejects, then j becomes i(t + 1). • i(0) = 1. We focus on the stationary subgame perfect equilibria, simply equilibria or SPE in the sequel, of the game, where: 1. Each i a N makes the same proposal x(i) whenever he proposes. 2. Each i's acceptance decision in period t depends only on xi that is offered to him in that period. We now characterize equilibria (see Krishna and Serrano, 1996). Proposition 1. x is a stationary equilibrium outcome of Γ only if x = (x1 + d, x2, …, xn), for the x such that x ¼ vi P x i þ d ; for all iaN; Pi n ∑ xi ¼ X−d i¼1 N (X) if and ð7Þ Since player i's acceptance decision is not dependent on the name of the proposer, there is xi N 0 such that xi( j) = xi for all j ≠ i. By Eq. (6), xj(i) b xj(j) for all j. Hence there is d N 0 such that ∑ni¼1 x i ¼ X−d: ð8Þ By Eqs. (6) and (8), x and d do meet Eqs. (3) and (4). Since 1 is the first proposer, the resulting outcome is x(1) = (x1 + d, x2,…, xn). If: Let x and d meet Eqs. (3) and (4). Construct the following stationary strategy: Player i always offers x-i and does not accept less than xi. Player i's offer y is accepted by all j ≠ i only if x k ¼ vj x j þ d ; for all j≠i: ð9Þ yj vj X−∑k≠j Since vj is increasing, and since x ¼ vj P x j þ d ; for all j≠i; Pj i's payoff maximizing offer to each j is x j. 5 Thus, to find a stationary equilibrium it is sufficient to find x and d that meet Eqs. (3) and (4). By Eq. (2), v−i 1(xi) − xi is a continuous and monotonically increasing function. Thus, the function ei(·) such that ei ðxi Þ :¼ v−1 i ðxi Þ−xi ; for any xi 0; ð10Þ is continuous and monotonically increasing. Define ēi a (0, ∞] by ð3Þ sup ei ðxi Þ :¼ e i : ð4Þ Since ei(·) is continuous and monotonically increasing, also its inverse Proof. Only if: In a stationary SPE the game ends in finite time. Assume that it never ends. Then each player receives zero. This means 3 n i¼1 That is, dxi ð6Þ and ∑ xi ð jÞ ¼ X; for all j: A6. xi − vi(xi) is strictly increasing and differentiable. dv−1 i ðxi Þ xj ðiÞ ¼ vj xj ð jÞ ; for all j≠i; ð5Þ The order in which players' response to a proposal does not affect the results. xi 0 xi ðeÞ :¼ e−1 i ðeÞ; for all ea½0; e i ; is continuous and monotonically increasing in its domain [0, ēi]. Condition (10) can now be stated in the form xi ðeÞ ¼ vi ðxi ðeÞ þ eÞ; for all ea½0; e i : ð11Þ K. Kultti, H. Vartiainen / Economics Letters 101 (2008) 249–252 Proposition 2. There is a unique stationary equilibrium of Γ N(X). Proof. By A1 and A3, xi(0) = 0. Since, for all i, x−i 1 (·) is a monotonically increasing function on ℝþ having its supremum at ē, it follows that lime→ēi xi(e) = ∞. Thus, since ∑in= 1 xi(e) + e is a continuous function of e on [0, ēi] ranging from 0 to ∞, there is, by the Intermediate Value Theorem, a unique d N 0 such that n ∑ xi ðdÞ ¼ X−d: 251 ∞ Lemma 4. Let {x1·(kt)}∞ t = 1 be a convergent subsequence of {x1·(kt)}k = 1 such that x1·(kt)→y. Then ∑ni = 1yi = 1. Proof. By (2), and the continuity of vi, yi ¼ limt P x1i ðkt Þ x1i ðkt Þ þ dðkt ÞÞ ¼ limt vi ðP x1i ðkt Þ þ limt dðkt ÞÞ ¼ vi ðlimt P ¼ vi ðyi þ limt dðkt ÞÞ: i¼1 By Eq. (11)0, the pair (x(d), d) meets Eqs. (3) and (4). 5 For later purposes, we now identify a property of the players preferences. Let X = 1. Lemma 1. There is unique y⁎ and d⁎ N 0 such that yTi ¼ vi yTi þ dT ; for all i ¼ 1; ::; n; n ∑ yi ¼ 1: i¼1 ð12Þ ð13Þ Proof. Let ei(·) be defined as in Eq. (10). Since ei(·) = x-i 1(·) is a monotonically increasing function from ℝþ to[0, ēi] with ei(0) = 0, there is a unique d⁎ a (0, ēi] such that ∑in= 1 xi(d⁎) = 1. By (11), xi(d⁎) = vi (xi(d⁎) + d⁎) is uniquely defined, for all i. Let x(d⁎) = y⁎. 5 By Lemma 1 and Lemma 1, the following corollary is immediate. Corollary 1. (y⁎1 + d⁎, y⁎2 ,…, y⁎n ) as defined in Eqs. (12) and (13) forms the unique equilibrium outcome of Γ N(1 + d⁎). 4. The limit result We now increase the size of the problem by replicating a one-pie, n-player problem k times. That is, in a k-replicated problem we allow each replica of n players to bring a pie of size 1 to the pool of shareable pies, and the resulting set of k · n players bargain over the resulting pie of size k according to the procedure specified in the previous section. Formally, let N = {1,…, n} be a set of original agents, and relabel them by {11, 12, …, 1n}. Let the k times replicated – or k-replicated – set of agents be {11,…,1n, 21,…,2n,…k1,…,kn}. That is, the k-replicated problem contains k agents of type i a N, each with the preferences of i. Attaching the player li the index h(li) = n · (l − 1) + i, we may order players 11, …, kn according to their h-indices {h(11),…, h(kn)} = {1,…n · k}. Using this indexation of the players, we specify a game Γ{1,…,n ·k}(k), for any k = 1, 2, …. Then Propositions 1 and 2 are valid for any k-replicated problem.4 By Proposition 1, the equilibrium of the k-replicated problem is characterized by x(k)a Sk · n (k) and d(k) N 0 meeting Eqs. (3) and (4). By symmetry, the following result is immediate: By Eq. (10), d(kt)→ei(yi). By Eq. (14), n dðkt Þ ∑ x 1i ðkt Þ ¼ 1− : kt i¼1 5 Given that d(kt)→ei(yi), we have ∑in= 1 x1i(k)→1. Now we give a characterization of the unique convergence point of x(k) on the Pareto frontier. More generally, the efficient n-vector y⁎ specifies how the gains of each generation are distributed among the members of the generation when the economy grows large. This is our main result. Proposition 3. x1·(k) converges to y⁎ as specified in Eqs. (12) and (13) when k tends to infinity. Proof. Since, by Lemma 3, sequence {x1·(k)}∞ k = 1 is bounded, it suffices to show that every convergent subsequence of it converges to y⁎. Let subsequence {x1·(kt)}∞t = 1 converge to y. By Lemma 4, ∑in= 1 yi = 1. There is a d N 0 such that yi = vi(yi + d) for all i = 1,…,n. By Lemma 1, y = y⁎ and d = d⁎. 5 Thus, by Lemma 2, all sequences {xl·(k)}, for l = 0,1,…, converge to y⁎ = (y⁎ 1 ,…,y⁎) n which is characterized by the data of the original n players as in Eqs. (12) and (13). Fig. 1 depicts how the limit outcome of a single replica is specified in the n = 2 case. For any d N 0, identify the function v1(1 + d − x2) = x1 on x2 a [0,1], and the function v2(1 + d − x1) = x2 on x1 a [0,1]. The unique intersection (y1, y2) of the two functions satisfies v1 ðð1 þ d−y2 Þ ¼ y1 ; v2 ð1 þ d−y1 Þ ¼ y2 : Then d⁎ chosen such that the intersection (y⁎ 1 , y⁎ 2 ) satisfies y⁎ 1+ y⁎ 2 = 1. Given such d⁎, v1 1 þ dT −yT2 ¼ v1 yT1 þ dT ¼ yT1 ; T T T T v2 1 þ d −y1 ¼ v2 y2 þ d ¼ yT2 : Thus (y⁎ 1 , y⁎ 2 ) and d⁎ satisfy the conditions inn Eqs. (3) and (4) of a two player game with X = 1 + d⁎. Lemma 2. xli(k)= x(l + 1)i(k), for all i a N, for all l a {1,…,k}, for all k = 1, 2,…. Because of Lemma 2, it is sufficient to focus on x1·(k) =(x11(k),…,x1n(k)). We may rewrite Eq. (4), for all k a {1, 2,…}, x 1i ðkÞ 0: ð14Þ dðkÞ ¼ k 1−∑ni¼1 Let {x(k)}∞k = 1 be a sequence of points meeting Eqs. (3) and (4) for the respective k-replicated problems, for all k. Lemma 3. Sequence {x1·(k)}∞ k = 1 is bounded. ∞ Proof. If {x1·(k)}∞ k = 1 is not bounded, there is a subsequence {x1·(kt)}t = 1 and j such that x1j(kt)→∞. But given x1i ≥0 for all i, this would violate the budget constraint (14). 5 By Lemma 3, {x1·(kt)}∞ k = 1 has a convergent subsequence. 4 Any indexation of the players would do. Fig. 1. 252 K. Kultti, H. Vartiainen / Economics Letters 101 (2008) 249–252 5. Market for the first-proposer right To conclude, we give a “Walrasian” interpretation to the characterized limit outcome y⁎. Being the first proposer in the bargaining game is valuable. Consider a market where an arbitrator sells the right to be the first proposer in a bargaining game to one of the n bargainers and, once one player i, has paid price p for the right, adds p to the pool of resources over which bargaining takes places. That is, given the original size 1 of the pie, the player i becomes the first proposer in the bargaining game Γ n(1 + p). We study Walrasian markets for the first proposer right. We concentrate on perfectly competitive equilibria. Inspired by Makowski and Ostroy (2001), we see perfect competition as a situation where each agent gets exactly what he brings to the economy.5 By Makowski and Ostroy (2001), this holds if the agents are price takers and the demand is perfectly elastic: given price p there are buyers that are indifferent between buying or not buying. That is, in our set up the price p is such that for at least two buyers the payoff from buying the right with price p is equal to the payoff of letting the other buyer buy the right at price p. We claim that d⁎ is the unique such price and y⁎ is the resulting allocation of the pie. Proposition 4. e(y⁎) is the unique perfectly competitive Walrasian price under which the players are indifferent, and y⁎ is the resulting allocation of the pie, for d⁎ and y⁎ as specified in Lemma 1. Proof. Let zj(1 + p) be what a non-proposer j gets in the game Γ n(1 + p). Then the proposer i's share is 1 + p − ∑j ≠ i zj(1 + p). Since only one player, say i again, eventually becomes the first proposer, there is a j ≠ i who is indifferent between buying or not. Thus j's payoff from buying the proposing right under p equals the buying cost p and the alternative cost zi(1 + p), i.e., 1 þ p− ∑ zk ð1 þ pÞ ¼ p þ zj ð1 þ pÞ: k≠j 5 This is called full appropriation. Then 1 = ∑in= 1 zi (1 + p). By Eqs. (3) and (4) (with X = 1 + p), zi ð1 þ pÞ ¼ vi ðzi ð1 þ pÞ þ pÞ; for all i ¼ 1; :::; n: 5 By Lemma 1, zi(1 + p) = yi⁎ for all i, and p = d⁎. By Proposition 3, the unique outcome y⁎ of the Walrasian market for the first-proposing right can be thought as the expected outcome of bargaining when the number of bargainers grows large and the probability of a particular player having the right be the first proposer becomes negligible. Having a large set of players is attractive since the resulting bargaining outcome reflects strong average fairness: all but one generation distribute their resources without a first mover distortion. Thus the simple market game with small number of players can be used to simulate the distortion-free many-player bargaining outcome. References Binmore, K., Rubinstein, A., Wolinsky, A., 1986. The Nash bargaining solution in economic modelling. Rand Journal of Economics 17, 176–188. Fishburn, P., Rubinstein, A., 1982. Time preference. International Economic Review 23, 677–695. Krishna, V., Serrano, R., 1996. Multilateral bargaining. Review of Economic Studies 63, 61–80. Kultti, K., Vartiainen, H., 2007. Von Neumann-Morgenstern stable set bridges timepreferences to the Nash solution. B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics 7 (1) (Contributions), Article 41. Makowski, L., Ostroy, J., 2001. Perfect competition and the creativity of market. Journal of Economic Literature 39, 479–535. Osborne, M., Rubinstein, A., 1990. Bargaining and markets. Academic Press, San Diego.
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