XXIV EuAWE 2017 2A Bologna Conference Consumers’ choice experiment for a wine bottle: is sustainable certification important? Giovanni SOGARI, Mario VENEZIANI, Davide MENOZZI, Cristina MORA University of Parma [email protected] Abstract Sustainability interest is increasing in the wine industry both from a producer and consumer point of view. Although several studies have investigated the importance of consumers’ preferences regarding wine choice, very little is known about the role of sustainable claims. The present study focuses more closely consumer preferences regarding sustainable production via specific labelling for wine products. Especially, we explore the relative importance among tradition attribute (Geographical Indication), attachment to your region (Origin) and sustainability certification claim (environmental and social importance). Data were collected using a web-based stated choice experiment which involved 245 individuals, segmented to be a representative sample of the Italian wine drinking population. Participants were presented with eight simulated choice set and asked to choose a preferred alternative between four profiles of wine bottles and a no-choice option. Our results show that the presence of a Geographical Indication on the label is very much appreciated and it is considered the most important attribute. However also the sustainable claim presents a positive utility supporting the hypothesis that for a segment of consumers this indication might be relevant. Interaction between attributes is also explained. Significant difference between gender has been observed. The results provide wine chain actors with valuable information and might be useful to develop new strategies of market placement for wineries which would like to implement sustainable programmes, as well as evidence for policy makers about how new labelling system might be a key driver in the coming years. Keywords: wine, conjoint analysis, sustainable label, certification 2a_sogari_veneziani_menozzi_mora.docx Page 1/11 XXIV EuAWE 2017 1. 2A Bologna Conference INTRODUCTION In the wine sector, sustainability has become a key issue in the global wine business (Jones, 2012) and it embraces the aims to protect the environment and landscape, biodiversity and ecosystems, to manage water resources and the challenge of climate change. Moreover, to enhance the quality of the wine and its competitiveness, the International Organisation of Vine and Wine considers also as main priorities the management of economic resources and social aspects inside and outside the winery (OIV, 2014). Recently the Italian wine sector, which is important for the agri-food business and widespread throughout all the country, has seen private associations and consortia starting developing sustainable management of vineyards and their ecosystems. In 2011 the Italian Ministry of the Environment, Land and Sea developed a programme called V.I.V.A. Sustainable Wine, which established a common methodology for environmental, social and economic sustainability assessment using four indicators (Air, Water, Vineyard and Territory). In addition, wineries which are enrolled in this programme have the opportunity to use the logo with the indication of V.I.V.A. Sustainable Wine on the label of their products. Along with all this increasing interest for sustainable production in the wine industry, there is no clear evidence whether such programmes lead to a growth in the value perception of the product and the relative Willingness to Pay (hereafter called WTP) for such characteristics. Moreover, as reported by Pomarici and Vecchio (2013), obtaining reliable information for new attributes such as environmental and social claims can be a difficult task. Research background has shown how the most important factors that influence consumers’ wine purchasing decisions are both attributes of the product (taste, color, region of origin, brand), wine knowledge and experience, and personal characteristics of the individuals. For instance, in the past many studies have investigated the importance of Geographical Indication (hereafter called GI) labelling regarding wine choice, but very little is known on consumers’ preferences for sustainable claims. In the last years few studies have been investigated WTP for sustainable wine label in Italy (Pomarici and Vecchio, 2013; Sogari et al., 2016) or investing consumer’s attitude towards sustainable wine certification (Sogari et al., 2015). However, to our knowledge, little has been done in the Italian contest to explore the trade-off between sustainable claim and other wine quality attributes via choice experiment. The specific objectives of this research is to determine and quantify the relative importance placed by consumers on specific key attributes associated with wine choices (GI, region of production and sustainability). 2a_sogari_veneziani_menozzi_mora.docx Page 2/11 XXIV EuAWE 2017 2A Bologna Conference This study is a contribution to the current literature on wine preferences, especially investing whether consumers might be willing to trade off the tradition quality cues of a wine (i.e. denomination of origin) for a sustainable attribute, which is offered to the respondent through the presence of “V.I.V.A. sustainable wine” logo. 2. IDENTIFYING RELEVANT ATTRIBUTES In the design of a conjoint experiment, one of the first and most crucial steps is to define the attributes and the levels that influence preferences and choices (Hair et al., 2010). In a wine decision-making process, sensory characteristics and price factors are not enough to guide the choice; consumers assess a broader range of information before a purchase. The number of attributes to consider for getting a realistic description of a wine product concept is very large. However, CA requires choosing a limited number of attributes to avoid information overload and at the same time to consider all the relevant characteristics to elicit consumer preference. Based on literature review and preliminary focus groups (Sogari et al., 2013), four independent attributes qualifying the wine were decided to be used for our experiment: price, Geographical Indication (GI), region of production (Origin) and sustainable logo. 3. METHOD 3.1. Experimental design Conjoint analysis, also called trade-off measurement, is a technique used when the aim is to measure the trade-off among attributes to predict hypothetical scenarios and the performance of new products or services. Lancaster (1966) consumer theory and McFadden (1974) Random Utility Theory (RUT) are considered the basis for discrete choice experiment. The assumption of RUT is that consumers are considered to maximize utility selecting the product with the most desired set of attributes from a set of choices (Barjolle et al., 2013). However, in a choice-making process, consumers have to make trade-offs as their ideal combination of levels is not necessarily available among the alternatives displayed (James and Burton, 2003). We chose to use Choice-Based Conjoint (CBC) analysis, considered the most widely used conjoint approach, in which consumers are asked to select a product from a given set of alternatives (choice set), simulating as much as possible the actual purchasing process. In addition, the interactions among attributes are also better measured rather than the traditional CA (individually ranking or rating profiles) or the Adaptive Conjoint Analysis (Orme, 2006). In fact, respondent data can be estimated at the disaggregate level (individual) or gathered in 2a_sogari_veneziani_menozzi_mora.docx Page 3/11 XXIV EuAWE 2017 2A Bologna Conference homogeneous groups to measure the part-worth utilities for each level of the attributes simultaneously and also their interactions (Hair et al., 2010). Each profile is a function of different attributes of product (including price) and each attribute (explicative variable) varies at different levels (Table 1). The collected preference information is used as a basis to estimate the part-worth utilities for each level. Each part-worth coefficient expresses the contribution of a particular level of an attribute to the total utility of a product when that level is present. The relative importance of an attribute can be defined as the weight that the consumer places on each attribute when selecting a product during the buying process. Table 1. Experimental design attributes and levels No. Attribute Levels 1 Price 2 Geographical Indication 3 Region of production 4 Sustainable label • till 3.00€; • 3.10-5.00€; • 5.10-7.00€ • >7.00€ • DOC - the Controlled Origin Denomination • None • Produced in your region • Not produced in your region • VIVA - Sustainable wine logo • None Source: own elaboration A “no-choice option” was added to every choice set to make the conjoint choice experiment more realistic. In this way the respondent is not forced to make a choice which might lead to less accurate predictions when analyzing the data. The “no-choice option” creates the same circumstances of a real purchase situation when customers do not like any product in the market and therefore prefer to continue looking for better alternatives which meet their requirements (Vermeulen et al., 2008; Lusk and Hudson, 2004). Sawtooth Software Incorporated (SSI Web version 8.3.8), which is a software system for creating Web-based questionnaires, was used to generate an efficient full factorial design which includes all the possible combinations of the attributes for each level. Four attributes, namely, price, Geographical Indication, region of production and sustainable label were tested. Once the number of attributes and their levels are chosen, the design of the experiment is obtained. Orthogonality must be maintained which suggests no correlation between the attributes and independency from each other. A total of 32 possible profiles (4 × 2 × 2 × 2) were identified. Based on the literature (Hair et al., 2010) it was considered that 8 choice set is a reasonable number of profiles to 2a_sogari_veneziani_menozzi_mora.docx Page 4/11 XXIV EuAWE 2017 2A Bologna Conference manage for the respondents without negative effects on the quality of the data due to respondent fatigue. Each simulated choice set consisted of four wine bottles with each label characterized by attribute bundles with various attribute levels and a “no-choice option”. 3.2. Data collection A web-based questionnaire was created using Sawtooth Software. The choice to use an on-line tool to collect data instead than a more tradition face-toface choice experiment interview was supported from our need to have a sample of respondents from all Italian regions and not just from a limited geographical area. The wide web use spread among many Italian citizens of different age, regions and gender allows to trust in the online questionnaire tool. Pilot studies have been carried out to improve the clarity of the questions and to evaluate the total duration of the questionnaire and adjustments have been done to allow a range of 8-10 minutes to fill in the survey. From September to December 2014 the questionnaire was mailed out to a random sample of over 2000 households resident in all Italian regions and, after eliminating uncompleted answers and respondents who answer too fast, 245 completed and valid responses were collected. Economic and technical constraints make it difficult to gather a large number of respondents. However, the sample is representative of our ideal target population which is composed by wine drinkers in Italy, segmented by region of residence, age and gender. Responses from participants who had consumed wine within the last month were considered valid. the questionnaire starts with (1) a set of wine consumption habits patterns, (2) a set of importance of wine attributes, (3) the choice experiment, (4) a set of 8 candidate statements on sustainable wine labelling, and (5) a set of sociodemographic questions. Wine consumption habits How many times have you been drinking wine glasses in the last month? The first question was the so called “filter question” which excluded all the respondents who have not drunken any glass of wine in the last month (“no one”). In this way we assured to have a sample of people who can be considered wine consumers based on their drinking habits in a recent period of time. At the same time we have a frequency of consumption in the last month which allowed us to segment our sample in daily (“one per day” or “more than one every day”) or weekly (“one per week” or “3-4 times per weeks”) wine drinkers. 2a_sogari_veneziani_menozzi_mora.docx Page 5/11 XXIV EuAWE 2017 2A Bologna Conference Where do you usually buy wine? The second question emphasizes on the place of purchasing. Max five possible answers were showed – as suggested from the literature – in order to facilitate the respondent; however an open question (“other”) was allowed to specify any places not already indicated. The location of purchasing is important because it might indicate the degree of experience with the product and leads to the identification and differentiation between experienced and deep involved consumers (buy “at the wineries” or “in a wine shop”) and not much interested users (“at the supermarket” or “at the wholesale”). More difficult to categorize consumers who generally buy wine online. Such target might be purchasing wine directly from the producer’ website or from a general online shop. At what range of price do you usually buy a bottle of wine for your home consumption? The last question on consumption habits wants to highlight the budget that a consumer spends on average for wine. Based on the price per bottle we can differentiate among consumers who spend a small amount of money (“up to 3€”), average (“3.10-5.00€” and “5.10-7.00”) and higher budget (“more than 7.00€”). However, this data should be analyzed taking in consideration several sociodemographics parameters such as the revenue of the respondents and household size. What attributes do you consider the most important for choosing a wine? 14 attributes which mostly influence the choice of a wine have been taken in consideration. Apart price and presence of discounts, the others can be classified among intrinsic (sensory characteristics, color) and extrinsic wine features (brand name, grape variety, geographical indication, eco and social certifications, previous experience, etc.). At the end it was proposed an open question (“other”) in which the respondents were free to specify any other personal factors. Some interesting answers have been given, such as the “year of production”, “alcohol per volume” or “recommendation from wine guide”. This question has twofold objectives: (1) confirming (or not) the results of the choice experiment and (2) obtaining a measure of the importance of all other attributes which are not included in our CBC analysis. In our CA experiment respondents are placed in a purchase context (Barjolle et al., 2013) asked to choose their preferred wine. To make the exercise more realistic and motivate the respondent’s participation, in the online questionnaire it was created a layout which reminded a shelf in the shop with the image of several wine bottles on the background. The four alternatives were shown as images of bottle with their respective attributes on the label and the “no-choice” option (Figure 1). An image of the sustainable logo was used to illustrate the presence of this attribute on the label, as in the real market. 2a_sogari_veneziani_menozzi_mora.docx Page 6/11 XXIV EuAWE 2017 2A Bologna Conference Figure 1 Example of screen shot of bottle’s images 4. RESULTS Table 2 summarizes the demographics statistics of our sample (n=245) and the sample from Italian wine consumption habits drawn from the National Statistics Institute census data (ISTAT, 2013), classified by population over 18 years by region of residence and gender. Our data are in line with the 2013 census for all the three parameters: we have some percentage points more of younger people (18-35 years) and less in the range over 56 years. The percentages also fit well regarding the regions of residence for North and Centre area and lack some points in the regions of South of Italy. Table 2. Descriptive statistics of the respondents (n=245) Characteristics Our sample N (%) ISTAT 2013 (%) Gender Male Female Missing values Total 139 91 15 245 57 37 6 100 61 39 100 Age 18-35 years 36-55 years Over 56 years Total 59 92 94 245 24 38 38 100 21 38 42 100 Regions of residence (Italy) North West North East Centre South and Islands Total 68 62 48 67 245 28 25 20 27 100 27 21 21 31 100 2a_sogari_veneziani_menozzi_mora.docx Page 7/11 XXIV EuAWE 2017 2A Bologna Conference Results of part-worth utilities were obtained using SPSS (21.0) statistical software packages. Positive and negative values will suggest whether a level has been more or less appreciated. Logistic Regression (LR) was used to analyses the data. LR can be used to estimate the values of these part-worths which measure the value or attractiveness that the respondent puts on each level of the attribute in question. The four levels of the price interval have been translated in four singular values. As the three attributes are categorical, dummy variables have been appropriately defined (Sánchez and Gil, 1998). The parameter estimates of the LR for main effect variables are listed in Table 3. Table 3. Parameter estimates Variables Intercept Price Geographical Indication Region of production Sustainable label Note: *** significant at the 0.01 level Parameter estimates Total sample Male -1.381*** -1.658*** -.222*** -.209*** 1.430*** 1.685*** .612*** .767*** .725*** .657*** Source: own elaboration Female -1.009*** -.279*** 1.190*** .472*** .934*** First of all, as expected, the coefficient for the price is negative (-.222). Second, as reported in the literature examined so far, the presence of a GI mark on the label is very much appreciated (1.430), suggesting that this attribute plays a relevant role in the making decision process. For our aims, it is interesting to mention that the sustainable label attribute shows a positive utility (0.725) slightly higher than the region of production (0.612). This latter result could arise from the fact that for the majority of consumers wine is associated to a specific area (Geographical Indication) but not deliberate giving priority to the wine from the region of residence as it happens for other food products. Probably due to the fact that some Italian regions are more famous and well-known from producing good quality wine compared to others. Moreover, this result supports the hypothesis that sustainable claim might be relevant for a segment of consumers. Willingness to pay is calculated as –(βx / βprice), where x represents the attribute of interest, and price is the estimated price coefficient. Therefore, starting with the first attribute the GI is value as –(β1/βprice)= -(1,430/-,222)= 6.44€, followed by sustainable logo (3.26€) and region of origin (2.75€). On the other hand, the attribute’ importance which tell us in percentage terms the impact of an attribute on the overall product’s utility, is calculated taking in consideration the difference between the maximum and minimum level values of 2a_sogari_veneziani_menozzi_mora.docx Page 8/11 XXIV EuAWE 2017 2A Bologna Conference each attribute and divided for the sum of all differences obtained for all the attributes (Green et al., 2001; Orme, 2010). The relative importance of an attribute can be defined as the weight that the consumer places on each attribute when selecting a product during the buying process. Excluding the price attribute, table 4 shows how Geographical Indication has the highest relative importance (51.7%), followed by the sustainable label (26.2%) and region of origin (22.1%). When we segment our sample by the gender we notice how females prefer much more the sustainable attribute (36%) over the fact that wine has been produced in region of residence (18.2%) as well as giving lower importance to the GI mark (45.8%) compared to the mean of the sample (51.7%). Table 4. Relative importance of each attribute No. Attribute 1 Geographical Indication 2 Region of production 3 Sustainable label Source: own elaboration Sample 51.7 22.1 26.2 Male 54.2 24.7 21.1 Female 45.8 18.2 36.0 Considering that consumers do not assess attributes individually, first and second order interactions (interactions between two and three attributes) have also been included in this analysis. Therefore, we conducted a market share simulation, using the estimated parameters from LR model, to investigate the probability that consumers will prefer the product of interest. A wine produced in the region of residence with the sustainable label and the GI mark has an odds-ratio of 4.181. Thus, the odds of a sustainable wine of the region of residence of the consumer being chosen will more than quadruple with the presence of a GI mark. On the other hand, the odds to be chosen for a wine produced outside your region but with a GI will double with the presence of a sustainable label. As already mentioned, the GI mark listed on the label is found to extremely increase the market share for all types of wine. 5. CONCLUSIONS AND LIMITATIONS In this paper we presented the outcomes of a choice experiment method, where respondents have been presented with a set of wine labels alternatives, differing in terms of attributes and levels, and asked to choose the most preferred. First, results provide valuable information on consumers’ wine decision making when sustainable attribute is involved and might contribute to the discussion of public authority policies for new sustainable claims labelling. Second, these findings suggest insights for private companies to develop strategies given the opportunity to evaluate the trade-off between Geographical Indication and sustainable claims on a wine label. Results suggest that Geographical Indication has a strong impact to influence the choice of a wine, however the presence of a sustainable label might add value to the 2a_sogari_veneziani_menozzi_mora.docx Page 9/11 XXIV EuAWE 2017 2A Bologna Conference product. Significant differences have been found between males and females, with the latter valuing more sustainable label and less the GI mark. Companies which would like to implement sustainability programmes should be aware that consumers value positively the presence of a sustainable claim on the label of a bottle. This might also provide consumers with more information about the mission of the winery and the characteristics of the product in order to enable them to make well-considered choices based on sufficient information. As a final remark, these findings provide some inputs for the actors involved in the promotion of sustainable behavior and enables researchers to further investigate aspects of the ethics of consumer choice. References Barjolle, D., Gorton, M., Ðorđević, J.M. and Stojanović, Ž. (2013). Food Consumer Science. Theories, Methods and Application to the Western Balkans. Dordrecht: Springer Science+Business Media. Green, P.E., Krieger, A.M. and Wind., Y. (2001). Thirty Years of Conjoint Analysis: Reflections and Prospects. Interfaces, 31, pp.56-73. Hair, J.F., W.C. Black, B.J., Babin and Anderson, R.E. (2010). Multivariate Data Analysis. 7th ed. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Pearson Education, Inc. James, S. and Burton, M. (2003). Consumer preferences for GM food and other attributes of the food system. The Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 47, pp. 501-18. Jones, G.V. (2012). Sustainable vineyard developments worldwide. OIV bull., 85(49), pp.971-73. Lancaster, K.J. (1966). A New Approach to Consumer Theory. The Journal of Political Economy, 74(2), pp.132-57. Lusk, J.L. and Hudson, D. (2004). Willingness-to-Pay Estimates and Their Relevance to Agribusiness Decision Making. Review of Agricultural Economics, 26, pp.152-69. McFadden, D. (1974). Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior. In P. Zarembka, ed. Frontiers in econometrics Academic Press. New York. pp.105-42. OIV (2004). RESOLUTION CST 1/2004. Orme, B.K. (2010). Getting Started with Conjoint Analysis: Strategies for Product and Pricing Research. Research Publishers LLC. Pomarici, E. and Vecchio, R. (2013). Millennial generation attitudes to sustainable wine: an exploratory study on Italian consumers. Journal of Cleaner Production, (66), pp.537-45. 2a_sogari_veneziani_menozzi_mora.docx Page 10/11 XXIV EuAWE 2017 2A Bologna Conference Sánchez, M. and Gil J.M. (1998). Consumer Preferences for Wine Attributes in Different Retail Stores: A Conjoint Approach, International Journal of Wine Marketing, Vol. 10 Iss: 1, pp.25 – 38. Sogari, G., Mora, C., and Menozzi, D. (2013). Consumers’ perception of organic wine. A case study of German and Italian young consumers. In: Lun, L.M., Dreyer, A., Pechlaner, H. and Schamel, G. (eds.) 2013, Wine and tourism. A value-added partnership for promoting regional economic cycles. Proceedings of the 3 rd Symposium of the Workgroup Wine and Tourism of the German Society of Tourism Research (DGT). EURAC book, Vol. 62. p.101-112. Sogari G., Mora C., Menozzi D. (2016). Factors driving sustainable choice: the case of wine. 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