ABN 19 070 055 935 ACN 070 055 935 Quad 2, 6 Parkview Drive Sydney Olympic Park NSW 2127 post: Locked Bag 112, Silverwater NSW 2128 tel: 1300 ASK UAC (1300 275 822) From mobiles: (02) 9752 0200 from overseas: +61 2 9752 0200 website: uac.edu.au Media release – Monday 5 December 2016 For immediate release University preference statistics for 2017 admissions UAC has released preference statistics for courses offered through UAC for NSW and ACT universities in 2017. These statistics include: a comparison of preference statistics as at 30 November 2015 and 30 November 2016 the number of applicants who actually enrolled in their offered course last year – to place the figures in context in terms of the size of the institution and its anticipated intake for 2017. These figures do not include international students. The following table shows that there has been a varying degree of increases and decreases in the overall number of first preferences. UAC provides the information in this release on behalf of participating institutions. For comments, call the institutions using the contact details provided at the end of this release. Background information Preferences – applicants’ choice UAC applicants can include up to nine courses in their preferences. They can include different types of courses and different institutions. The order in which applicants list their preferences is crucial to their application and UAC strongly advises applicants to list their preferences in the order they would most like to receive an offer. The course they would most like to do should go first, followed by the course they would like to do second, and so on. Preferences are considered in the order in which they are listed so applicants will receive an offer to the first preference on the list for which they are both eligible and competitive enough. Preference statistics – real or a wish The average number of preferences per application is five. Year 12 applicants tend to include more preferences than other applicants, with many listing the maximum nine preferences. In many cases the courses they include as their first and second preferences are ‘wishes’ – courses they would really like to receive an offer for but which, in previous years, had a cut-off higher than the rank they expect to achieve. They include these courses because they have nothing to lose by listing them as a preference. Cut-offs fluctuate every year and they may get into their dream course. It’s also very important to remember that cut-offs are not the ATARs of students accepted into the course as cut-offs include bonus points and most Year 12 students will receive some amount of bonus points. For example, each year a considerable number of applicants list medicine and law courses in their higher order preferences even though their results are below – sometimes well below – the previous year’s cut-offs for those courses. Some applicants also include in their lower preferences courses for which they do not intend to accept an offer. Non-Year 12 applicants tend to list fewer than nine preferences, often including only two or three preferences in their application. They appear to have more focus, most likely because they have other factors to take into account when selecting their courses – work, family and/or time commitments. Some do include nine preferences. Page 1 of 4 It is therefore reasonable to say that all types of applicants may include ‘phantom’ preferences at the top and the bottom of their list of course preferences. In addition, for all applicants there are higher fees for applying after certain dates, so many applicants list purely random courses when they apply, safe in the knowledge that they can be changed in time for the offer rounds. Preference statistics – a static picture of a dynamic situation Applicants can change their preferences as often as they wish – and often do. The preference statistics in the attached table show the picture as at 30 November 2016. The numbers change daily and if we took a snapshot on a different day the numbers would be different. All applicants can change their preferences at any time until Friday 6 January 2017 for inclusion in the Main Round of offers. Most preference changes happen after the release of the ATAR. This is when Year 12 applicants can re-evaluate their preferences for the Main Round. This year, NSW HSC students receive their ATARs on Friday 16 December. Based on figures from previous years, UAC expects about 25,000 of these students to change their preferences after receiving their ATAR. Knowing their ATAR and looking at cut-offs from previous years, students review and change their preferences based on what they would really like to do, but they balance this with a realistic appraisal of courses to which they may qualify for admission. First preferences – a word of caution For several reasons, first preference statistics should be used with caution as an indicator of demand for a particular institution: 1 Applicants may list ‘wish’ courses in their higher-order preferences. Only the applicant knows what their ‘realistic expectation’ preference is, and whether it is the first, second or even third preference. Obviously not all applicants list ‘wish’ courses but, historically, of those applicants receiving offers, only just more than half receive an offer to their first preference. To further illustrate the shakiness of first preferences as an indicator of real demand, approximately 54 per cent of offers made in 2016 progressed into actual enrolments. 2 Applicants change their preferences. UAC applicants can change their preferences as often as they wish. As previously noted, every year about 25,000 current Year 12 applicants take advantage of this option to review and change their list of preferences after they have received their ATAR. 3 There is a danger that overall demand for courses may be taken to indicate perceived variations in the quality of the institutions. It is important to be aware of the many reasons applicants have for choosing particular courses and institutions – proximity to home, financial considerations, the same course or institution their friends are enrolling in, perceived prestige, etc. 4 Specialised courses, which are often high-demand courses such as medicine, physiotherapy and law, are not offered at all institutions. 5 The number of preferences is meaningless without consideration of the size of the institution. The column headed ‘2016 intake through UAC’ in the attached table shows the number of applicants who actually enrolled in a course for which they received an offer through UAC last year. 6 Some institutions also process applications directly and through interstate tertiary admissions centres, and the figures provided by UAC may not reflect the total demand for these institutions. Page 2 of 4 Preference statistics 2017 admissions – summary as at November closing date 2016 intake through UAC Australian Catholic University Australian National University Charles Sturt University Macquarie University Southern Cross University University of Canberra University of New England University of Newcastle University of Sydney University of Technology Sydney University of Wollongong UNSW Australia Western Sydney University Total No. % of total 2,780 2,063 1,128 7,408 677 1,053 237 4,069 6,980 7,703 3,643 6,053 9,577 53,371 5.21% 3.87% 2.11% 13.88% 1.27% 1.97% 0.44% 7.62% 13.08% 14.43% 6.83% 11.34% 17.94% 100.00% Preference statistics for 2016 admissions (as at November 2015 closing date) 1st preferences % of No. total 3,467 3,650 3,039 6,486 1,108 1,625 893 7,280 12,136 10,955 5,170 10,623 10,077 76,509 4.53% 4.77% 3.97% 8.48% 1.45% 2.12% 1.17% 9.52% 15.86% 14.32% 6.76% 13.88% 13.17% 100.00% Total preferences % of No. total 20,272 17,675 14,906 38,763 5,350 12,622 5,985 34,186 65,428 57,038 25,476 57,525 61,023 416,249 4.87% 4.25% 3.58% 9.31% 1.29% 3.03% 1.44% 8.21% 15.72% 13.70% 6.12% 13.82% 14.66% 100.00% Preference statistics for 2017 admissions (as at November 2016 closing date) 1st preferences % of No. total 3,297 3,648 2,450 6,483 688 1,683 696 6,669 12,069 11,010 5,225 10,662 9,531 74,111 4.45% 4.92% 3.31% 8.75% 0.93% 2.27% 0.94% 9.00% 16.29% 14.86% 7.05% 14.39% 12.86% 100.00% Total preferences % of No. total 20,122 17,758 13,628 39,363 3,956 12,584 5,041 32,951 64,842 57,900 26,383 55,727 58,522 408,777 4.92% 4.34% 3.33% 9.63% 0.97% 3.08% 1.23% 8.06% 15.86% 14.16% 6.45% 13.63% 14.32% 100.00% Notes: 1. Includes all applicants who apply through UAC, excluding internationals, for both 2016 and 2017 admissions. 2. Only NSW & ACT universities are included. CQU, Griffith University, La Trobe University, Australian Maritime College and some private providers, which process a small number of applications through UAC, are not included. 3. The preference statistics include preferences to all courses – ie both Commonwealth-supported (CSP) and domestic fee-paying (DFEE) courses for Australian students. 4. UAC runs a full-year admissions cycle, however, some institutions have elected to only accept preferences for semester one. Page 3 of 4 Media contacts for comments For further information about these statistics, call individual institutions on the numbers given below: University Contact person Position Telephone Australian Catholic University Jen Rosenberg National Media Manager (02) 9739 2513 0407 845 634 Australian National University James Grubel Manager, Strategic Communications (02) 6125 7979 Charles Sturt University Polly McDougall Senior Public Relations Officer (02) 6933 4565 Macquarie University Shannon Kliendienst Director of Communications (02) 9850 7456 0407 200 474 Southern Cross University Ms Brigid Veale Head of Communications and Publications (02) 6659 3006 0439 680 748 University of Canberra Claudia Doman Media and Communications Manager 0408 826 362 University of New England Milly Taylor Manager, Business Intelligence & Data Governance (02) 6773 2177 University of Newcastle Joanna Harrison Media Manager (02) 4913 8146 0418 445 888 University of Sydney Kirsten Andrews Head of Media and PR (02) 9114 0748, 0413 777 404 University of Technology Sydney Terry Clinton Media Officer (02) 9514 1623 0419 293 261 University of Wollongong Andrew Herring Media Communications Manager (02) 4221 5501 UNSW Australia Denise Knight Director, UNSW Media Office (02) 9385 3249 0405 207 685 Western Sydney University Amanda Whibley Manager, Media and Public Relations (02) 9678 7084 0418 438 399 For further information (media only) email [email protected] or contact: Raquel Tracy, Communications Officer, UAC on (02) 9752 0775 or Kim Paino, General Manager, Marketing and Engagement, UAC on (02) 9752 0760 or 0409 155 112 Page 4 of 4
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