Do You Have A Lean Demand-Driven Supply Chain (LDDSC)? Definition of LDDSC What do I mean by LDDSC? The term “demand-drive” is used here to denote a concept commonly referred to as supply chain management – that is, the relationship between you and your suppliers and between your own inventory stocking locations as well - but with a different twist. It incorporates a special emphasis on the utilization of lean “end customer pull”; bridging the gap between what customers actually buy (the demand signals) and supply chain management, while delivering the best value to the customer at the least cost to the demand chain as a whole – driving out waste (cost). The main thrust is that your supply chain network is driven by customer demand (end user, or your stocking locations) and provides an opportunity to share more information and to collaborate with others in the supply chain, externally and internally. Collaborate? I know…an often used term and just as often poorly executed because “alignment of interests” – the real win-win - somehow gets left out of the discussion. Individual companies, on both the demand and supply side, have historically taken the approach of “taking care of their own affairs” - to maximize their own interests and guard their own data. In short, collaborating and sharing was not something to which business owners took an immediate liking. Yet, many larger companies and some smaller ones have successfully begun to adopt collaboration efforts such as “point-of-sale” data sharing and “vendor managed inventory” programs as a strategic direction to provide greater visibility into demand…so that supply can be aligned. It’s not something that can be done in isolation within disconnected functional silos. The Reality for SMB’s I often find that there are some common misconceptions that surround the reality of being demand-driven. 66 Derbyshire, Derby, CT 06418 203-732-0603 www.mcaassociates.com 1 First of all though, one of the ironies is that despite all the information that is available regarding how to evolve in becoming “demand-driven”, information for SMB’s (small and medium size businesses) is relatively sparse. One might think that SMB’s are really different from their larger counterparts. When was the last time you heard, saw or read anything about this subject in your industry trade publication, on your industry associations’ website, from your buying group, or at annual meetings and trade shows? No one seems to want to discuss it as a strategic competitive direction. Rather they prefer to focus just on the traditional “striving for lowered costs”. Some reasons, I think: 1. 2. 3. 4. Many companies think they are already demand-driven, because they forecast and further believe that the forecasting their technology already provides is really an accurate demand visibility signal. Some think they are demand-driven because they have incorporated some aspects of lean distribution or lean manufacturing concepts. Some think they are demand-driven because they have lots of data on all their customers. Some think that becoming demand-driven has to mean it must result in a major technology project. Being Demand-Driven From the Rear Traditionally, the supply chain has been driven from the rear (“upstream”), by manufacturers driving product to market. The dominant activity is to push product downstream towards the end customer, sometimes, it seems, forgetting that nothing is really “sold” until the end-customer “buys” and furnishes that “demand signal” – not necessarily what the forecast predicted. So they constantly exert pressure on the downstream to place orders (pushing), while everyone, at all levels, experience difficult to predict demand (forecasting does still remain a challenge) that often reflects a 20% to 30% forecast error (particularly at the most downstream locations!). This most often results in inventory imbalances - overstocks and under-stocks. Wholesalers and their suppliers often experience “bullwhip effects” caused by forecast variance. Often that variance is not accounted for across a network of several locations; rather that variance just “cascades” throughout the entire supply chain, from one “supply node” to the next. Being Demand-Driven From the Front - The Contrast Demand-driven supply networks are driven from the front (“downstream”) by actual customer demand (product pulled to market by customers). Now, is the dominant force of “pushing” just being replaced by another dominant force (“pulling”)? No, not really! 66 Derbyshire, Derby, CT 06418 203-732-0603 www.mcaassociates.com 2 It merely defines that companies in a supply chain network need to, and hopefully will, work more closely to shape market demand by sharing and collaborating on demand information. In doing so, all parties will have greater and more timely visibility into demand. The goal is to produce, procure and position inventory, through-out the supply chain, in tandem with what is really being bought; focusing on agility, adaptability, and alignment. Rather than simply saying that the force of push is being replaced by the force of pull, the strategy is to match a pull, from the end-customer, with an equal and opposite push from your supply chain participants. In other words, react in tandem with actual demand – bring the supply chain system into a balance – eliminate the gap between the upstream force and the end customer. This type of business intelligence will impact more than just your ability to plan operations (distribution or manufacturing); it translates directly into reduced inventory holdings across the supply chain, which in turn means less reliance on forecasts, an overall reduction in the amount of capital invested…and the associated risks. It directly impacts key metrics such as orderfulfillment service levels, supply chain cost and cash-to-cash cycle time. Of course as you may have expected, no surprise; what you’ve read here only represents a “slice” of the lean demand-driven supply chain equation. You may want to catch up with our whitepaper - The Business Intelligence & Supply Chain Management Challenge: Create Profit, Service Level & Working Capital Improvement. It provides a broader perspective on the many facets of what could become, for you, a major evolution in your thinking about how you operate, and in particular, the need to re-think your supply chain methods and relationships and its impact on competitive advantage. Isn’t this discussion really about your supply chain - versus your competitor’s supply chain? 66 Derbyshire, Derby, CT 06418 203-732-0603 www.mcaassociates.com 3 Howard W. Coleman, Principal MCA Associates 66 Derbyshire Derby, CT 06418 203-732-0603 [email protected] www.mcaassociates.com MCA Associates, a management consulting firm since 1986, works with wholesale distribution and manufacturing companies that are seeking and committed to operational excellence. Our staff of Senior Consultants provides operational excellence – thought leadership - and implements continuous improvement solutions focused on business process re-engineering, inventory and supply chain management, sales development and revenue generation, information systems and technology, organizational assessment and development, and family-business succession planning. MCA Associates may be contacted at 203-732-0603, or by email at [email protected]. Visit our website at www.mcaassociates.com. 66 Derbyshire, Derby, CT 06418 203-732-0603 www.mcaassociates.com 4
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