Math Review Lesson 10.3 – Probability and 2 Way Tables Owen Kris A two way table is a frequency table that displays data collected from one source that belong to two different categories. Each entry in the table is called a joint frequency, and the sums of the rows and columns are called marginal frequencies. A joint relative frequency is the ratio of a frequency that is not in the total row or the total column to the total number of values or observations. A marginal relative frequency is the sum of the joint relative frequencies in a row or column. A conditional relative frequency is the ratio of a joint relative frequency to the marginal relative frequency. You can find a conditional relative frequency using a row total or column total of a two-way table. A question may ask you to determine whether a given data set is independent or dependent. To solve this problem you must use an independence test. That means that you use a formula that only works for an independent event, and if the equation balances out, then they are independent, and if not they are dependent. The formulas you can use for an independence test are P(A) x P(B) = P(A+B) or P(A/B) = P(A). You just plug in the values for your particular data set and simplify to see if the two sides of the equation are equal. Some questions that might be asked are to fill in the two-way table with a few given values, to convert it to a relative frequency table, to find the probability of something in the table happening, or to test for independence. Preparation Studied Pass Grade Total 6 Fail Total Did not study 10 38 50 Example problems: 1) Fill in the two-way table. (Hint: remember that the marginal frequencies for each row or column must add up to the total, and the joint frequencies in each row or column must add up to the marginal frequencies.) 2) You survey 171 males and180 females at Grand Central Station in New York City. Of those, 132 males and 151 females wash their hands after using the public restrooms. Organize these results in a two-way table. Then find and interpret the marginal frequencies. 3) Use the survey results from the last problem to make a two-way table with joint and marginal relative frequencies. 4) What is the probability that a randomly selected person in Grand Central Station washes his or her hands after using the public restroom? What is the probability that a randomly selected person is a man given that they do not wash their hands after using the restroom? 5) A survey finds that 110 people ate breakfast and 30 people skipped breakfast. Of those who ate breakfast, 10 people felt tired. Of those who skipped breakfast, 10 people felt tired. Make a two-way table that shows the conditional relative frequencies based on the breakfast totals. 6) Are eating breakfast and being tired independent events? Explain. 7) Three different local hospitals in New York surveyed their patients. The survey asked whether the patient’s physician communicated efficiently. The results, given as joint relative frequencies, are shown in the two-way table. Location Response Glens Falls Saratoga Albany Yes 0.123 0.288 0.338 No 0.042 0.077 0.131 a. What is the probability that a randomly selected patient located in Saratoga was satisfied with the communication of the physician? b. What is the probability that a randomly selected patient who was not satisfied with the physician’s communication is located in Glens Falls? c. Determine whether being satisfied with the communication of the physician and living in Saratoga are independent events. 8) You want to find the quickest route to school. You map out three routes. Before school, you randomly select a route and record whether you are late or on time. The table shows your findings. Assuming you leave at the same time each morning, which route should you take? Explain. On time Late Route A Route B Route C Challenge: The two-way table shows the number of people who are either right handed or left handed as compared to gender. Use this table to determine the probability that a randomly selected person is female given that she is right-handed. Left Female Right 1/21 Total 115 Male Total 196 231 Is there another way to do this? Show your work. (Hint: Use a formula that we have worked with.) Answer Key: 1) Fill in the two-way table. (Hint: remember that the marginal frequencies for each row or column must add up to the total, and the joint frequencies in each row or column must add up to the marginal frequencies.) Preparation Grade Studied Did not study Total Pass 34 6 40 Fail 4 6 10 Total 38 12 50 2) You survey 171 males and180 females at Grand Central Station in New York City. Of those, 132 males and 151 females wash their hands after using the public restrooms. Organize these results in a two-way table. Then find and interpret the marginal frequencies. Male Female Total Washes Hands 132 151 283 Doesn't wash hands 39 29 68 Total 171 180 351 The marginal frequencies are 283 and 68, and this means that 283 people wash their hands while 68 people do not. 3) Use the survey results from the last problem to make a two-way table with joint and marginal relative frequencies. Male Female Total Washes hands 132/351 151/351 283/351 Doesn't wash hands 39/351 29/351 68/351 Total 171/351 180/351 1 4) What is the probability that a randomly selected person in Grand Central Station washes his or her hands after using the public restroom? What is the probability that a randomly selected person is a man given that they do not wash their hands after using the restroom? 283/351 or 0.81 39/68 or 0.57 5) A survey finds that 110 people ate breakfast and 30 people skipped breakfast. Of those who ate breakfast, 10 people felt tired. Of those who skipped breakfast, 10 people felt tired. Make a two-way table that shows the conditional relative frequencies based on the breakfast totals. Ate breakfast Skipped breakfast Total Felt Tired 10/110 10/30 20/140 Did not feel tired 100/110 20/30 120/140 Total 1 1 1 6) Are eating breakfast and being tired independent events? Explain. P(A) x P(B) = P(A+B) P(Ate breakfast) x P(felt tired) = P(Ate breakfast and felt tired) (110/140) x (20/140) = 10/140 .11 = .07 They are dependent, because they fail the independence test. 7) Three different local hospitals in New York surveyed their patients. The survey asked whether the patient’s physician communicated efficiently. The results, given as joint relative frequencies, are shown in the two-way table. Location Response Glens Falls Saratoga Albany Yes 0.123 0.288 0.338 No 0.042 0.077 0.131 a. What is the probability that a randomly selected patient located in Saratoga was satisfied with the communication of the physician? .288 + .077 = .365 .288/.365 = 0.79 b. What is the probability that a randomly selected patient who was not satisfied with the physician’s communication is located in Glens Falls? .123 + .288 + .338 = .749 .123/.749 = .16 c. Determine whether being satisfied with the communication of the physician and living in Saratoga are independent events. P(A) x P(B) = P(A+B) P(Satisfied) x P(Saratoga) = P(Satisfied in Saratoga) .749 x .365 = .288 .273 = .288 They are not independent, because they fail the independence test. 8) You want to find the quickest route to school. You map out three routes. Before school, you randomly select a route and record whether you are late or on time. The table shows your findings. Assuming you leave at the same time each morning, which route should you take? Explain. On time Late Route A Route B Route C Route A = 7/11 = 0.64 Route B = 11/14 = 0.79 Route C = 12/16 = 0.75 Route B, because there is the highest percentage chance that you will get to school on time. Challenge: The two-way table shows the number of people who are either right handed or left handed as compared to gender. Use this table to determine the probability that a randomly selected person is female given that she is right-handed. Left Right Total Female 1/21 = 11/231 104 115 Male 24 92 116 Total 35 196 231 104/196 or .53 Is there another way to do this? Show your work. (Hint: Use a formula that we have worked with.) P(A/B) = (P(B/A) x P(A))/P(B) P(Female/Right handed) = (P(Right handed/female) x P(Female))/P(right handed) P(A/B) = (104/115) x (115/231)/(196/231) P(A/B) = 0.53
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