Chapter 2 The External Environment: Opportunities, Threats, Industry Competition and Competitor Analysis Diane M. Sullivan, Ph.D., 2011 Sections modified from Hitt, Ireland, and Hoskisson, Copyright © 2008 Cengage Step 1in the Strategic Management Process Collect information/ knowledge to help you determine what type of strategy would be effective and how it could best be implemented One starting place is to examine the strategic inputs important in the I/O model Insert figure 1.1 graphic A reminder: I/O Model of Firm Performance I/O Model says The industry in which a firm chooses to compete has a stronger influence on firm performance than do the choices managers make inside their organizations What’s the External Environment External environment is composed of three major areas 1. The General Environment 2. The Industry Environment 3. Deals with dimensions in the broader society that influence and industry and the firms within it Deals with the industry (e.g., the group of firms producing products that are close substitutes) The Competitor Environment Deals with the direct, indirect and potential future competitors of the firm Understanding the external environment is essential for firms to understand the present and predict the future Knowledge of the external environment and internal environment helps inform our vision/mission, our strategy, and how we implement the strategy External Environment: The General Environment Six environmental segments within the general environment 1. Demographic 2. Sociocultural 3. Economic 4. Political/legal 5. Technological 6. Global Important to understand each segment and how they may impact your selection/implementation of appropriate strategies To develop this understanding, firms engage in external environmental analysis: Scanning: identify early signs of changes/trends Monitoring: use ongoing observations of the changes/trends Forecasting: anticipate outcomes based on monitored changes/trends Assessing: determine timing/importance of changes/trends relative to strategies The General Environment: Demographic Concerned with a population’s: Size Age structure Geographic distribution Ethnic mix Income distribution What types of firms would need to pay special attention to this segment? How might they need to adjust their strategies? The General Environment: Sociocultural Concerned with society’s lifestyles, attitudes, and values These preferences often related to demographic, economic, political/legal and technological changes • Family/work patterns impact • Childcare • Scheduling • Increasing diversity in the workplace • Training • Globalization of industry • Transportation • Taxation • Regulatory compliance • Online shopping • Focus on health care and fitness • Weight management • Trainers • Technology and technology adoption • Hardware/software/training • Websites • Telecommuting • New forms of entertainment • Video games • DVR/online entertainment • Laser tag • Fantasy sport teams Sociocultural Trend: Health Conscious Consumers Inside Story: 10 Candy Trends “Fueled by popularity of the Atkins diet and a health-conscious uprising in America, products that are low in fat, carbs, sugar and calories are hitting retail shelves at lightening speed.” “ACNielsen reports that in 2002, diet candies grew the fastest, claiming 23 percent of the $24 billion candy market.” Source: Carneal (2004), American Wholesale Marketers Association Sociocultural Trend: `Tween Market Kiddie calls are on the horizon for the growing 'tween market “’Tweens [ages 8-12] constitute a lucrative retail market … 23 million members … Retail studies say this demographic is on the leading edge of the most-consumer-oriented generation in history. They increasingly have disposable income, and their voice now factors heavily into family purchases.” “ … when they shop for themselves, ‘tweens ignore toys … preferring clothes, video games and electronics.” “ The world's No. 2 toymaker [Hasbro, Inc.] is going after the … 'tween market with a walkie-talkie-like device that resembles a mobile phone.” Source: St. Louis Tribune, February 12, 2005 The General Environment: Economic Concerned with the nature and direction of the economy in which a firm competes Affects consumers level of disposable income Evaluate who has money to spend and who’s cutting costs and why Interest rates Inflation Fuel costs Economic Trend: Teen Affluence • Economic and Sociocultural Trends: • Last year teenage shoppers spent over $170 billion — double the amount just 10 years earlier (ABC news, 2003). • Over the past five years, teen purchases … have grown [more] than the teen population, rising from $122 billion annually in 1997 to $170 billion last year (The Sun Herald, 2003). Economic Trend: Fuel Prices Higher Gas Prices: The Next Motorcycle Sales Boom Is In Sight “…it’s evident we’ll see motorcycle sales continue to increase in the coming months.” Source: Mehren, 2004 The General Environment: Political/Legal Concerned with how firms try to influence government and how government influences firms Political action and regulatory changes EPA laws create opportunities to start firms that help other firms comply with environmental laws and regulations Non-smoking legislation in Ohio and other states Legalization of gambling in some states Periods of war/conflict Legal/Political Force: Legal Unrest Source: CBSnews.com High Condition (Orange). A High Condition is declared when there is a high risk of terrorist attacks. Visitors wait in line to be fingerprinted and photographed at the U.S. Customs check point at San Francisco International Airport in San Francisco. Source: US Department of Homeland Security Legal/Political Trend: FCC Indecency Regulations Breached Legal Trend FCC to investigate incident at end of halftime show Social Trend Howard Stern Show Taken Off Clear Channel Stations Whoops! Source: CNN.com Tuesday, February 3, 2004 Posted: 7:58 AM Source: Clear Channel Communications, Inc. Press Release Wednesday February 25, 2004 The General Environment: Technological Concerned with institutions and activities involved with creating new knowledge and translating knowledge into new outputs, products, processes and materials Basically, new technologies affect current and future business operations Industries have emerged due to technological advances Computer industry, Internet, biotechnology, digital photography Then, technologies can pose the potential for firms to form new strategies to take technology to higher level RealNetworks was started to add video capability to the Internet Massively Multiplayer Online Role Playing Games (MMORPG) EverQuest World of Warcraft Second Life Technological Trend: Computers Economics of MMORPGs “…supply-and-demand market exists for virtual items … that it crosses over with the real world. [This includes:] … • The purchase of in-game items for real-world currency • Exchanges of real-world currencies for virtual currencies Source: Castronova, E. Synthetic Worlds: The Business and Culture of Online Games. University Of Chicago Press. The General Environment: Global Concerned with new global markets, existing markets that are changing, international political events, and critical cultural and institutional characteristics of global markets Global outsourcing Transition economies Technology creating borderless firms Objective of Analyzing the General Environment Based on analyzing the segments: Demographic Sociocultural Economic Political/Legal Technological Global Firms can anticipate changes and trends Changes and trends should inform initial strategy choices and implementation decisions Changes and trends should be monitored by existing firms to allow them anticipate changes in strategic decisions
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