So now let’s get China in the mix...
Will Cambridge Retrofit make the world’s emissions decline?
Why is the red line, and not the blue line, achieved globally?
60
50
Gt CO2/year
Coupled nations
40
30
Uncoupled nations
20
10
0
0
20
40
60
Year since 1990
80
100
120
What happens globally happens nationally…
Who should pay for low
carbon credentials of
construction in China?
Finally, let’s go to the US...
The US and LEED…
Why is there such a potential mis-match between certification level and
performance?
Hint: mix-and-match points system, and MCA
The solution: sliding points scale…
The US and LEED…
And before we Brits get smug...
The problem is equally bad
for Energy Performance
Certificates
Some conclusions
We will not meet global climate targets unless the developed
nations help the developing bring low carbon practices on
board
Coupled economies are causing significant global leakage
effects; LCA can help with this
However, LCA does not help with the macroeconomic
multiplier effect
Production-based accounting will be supplemented by
consumption –based; again, LCA helps in this
Aspirations and performance of buildings is not well served at
the moment by certification systems (but it is improving)
Contact me…
Douglas Crawford-Brown
[email protected]
(0)1223 760550
www.4cmr.group.cam.ac.uk
Now a break, and then…
...we will determine where our retrofit efforts
should focus in Cambridge