Sri Lanka - Millennium Development Goals Indicators

Discrepancies between National and International
Data
WORKSHOP ON MDG MONITORING
BANGKOK, THAILAND
14th – 16th January 2009
By W.J.Nigamuni
Deputy Director
Department of Census and Statistics
Sri Lanka
1
Sri Lanka is demarcated into
an administrative hierarchy of
9 provinces, 25 districts, 325
Divisional Secretariat (DS)
divisions and 14,009 Grama
Niladhari (GN) divisions.
2
MDG in Sri Lankan Context
 Sri Lanka is potentially on tract on most of the
available MDG indicators.
 Among the key achievements are access to safe
drinking water, equitable primary education, literacy,
child and maternal health.
 A significant achievement is that there is no gender
disparity in these achievements.
3
INDICATORS

Indicator 2.1 - Net Enrolment ratio in
Primary education

Indicator 2.3- Literacy rate of 15 -24 years
olds, women and men
4
Indicator 2.1 - Net Enrolment ratio in Primary
education
UN Definition
The No. of Children of official school age who have
enrolled in primary education as a percentage of the
total children of the official primary school age
population.
Definition used
Same as UN
5
Indicator 2.1 - Net Enrolment ratio in Primary
education (Contd.)
Method of Computation given by UN
The no. of enrolled students with in the appropriate
age cohort according to school records as reported
to ministries of education , divided by the no. of
children of primary school age.
Method of computation used
Same as UN
NER = 6 – 10 age school population * 100
6 – 10 age population
6
DATA SOURCES AND DATA
LIMITATION
The Sri Lanka Labour Force Survey
Conducted using a sample of 22500 housing units
and the district level estimates provide excluding
the districts other than Northern and Eastern
provinces
Special Survey on Millennium Development
Goals 2006/07
Data excludes Northern Province and
Trincomalee District in Eastern Province. Here the
target group consider as all children born
between 01.02.1996 to 31.01.2001
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DATA AVAILABILITY
Indicator 2.1 - Net Enrolment ratio in Primary Education
National
International
2003+ 2004+ 2006+ 2007+
2003 *
2004*
96.7
Sri Lanka
96.8
98.0
98.0
98.5
99.7
Male
96.6
97.8
96.6
97.8
99.4
Female
97.1
98.1
97.1
98.1
100.0
Sources – + SLLFS, * www.mdgs.un.org
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Net Enrolment Ratio in Primary Education
Year
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
NER
96.9
97.0
97.3
97.3
97.7
96.8
97.2
96.8
98.0
97.6
98.0
98.5
6-10 population *
1419749
1435878
1413179
1440738
1406241
1365528
1457445
1456202
1435843
1401889
1424834
1473684
Source- * Sri Lanka Labour Force Survey (Excluding
+ UNESCO
6-10 population+
1663368
1650575
1612318
1596332
1575172
Northern and Eastern Provinces )
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Discrepancies




For the year 2003
These data is based on the SLLFS.
Primary and Secondary enrolment ratio is
computed separately. But in global sense
both education enrolment considered as the
official school age population.
The education system ( the one who born
after 31st January if he/she is completed year
5 is not eligible to enter school .They are
eligible to enroll for the next year .)
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Indicator 2.3 – Literacy rate of 15 -24 years
olds, women and Men
UN definition
The percentage of the population aged 15-24
years who can both read and write with
understanding short simple statement in
everyday life.
Definition Used
Percentage of the population aged 15-24 years ,
who can both read and write fluently or read
fluently and write with difficulty in every day
life, to the total population of 15-24 yrs. old.
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Indicator 2.3 – Literacy rate of 15 -24 years
olds, women and Men (Contd.)
Method of Computation given by UN
Divide the no. of people ages 15-24 who are
literate by the total population in the same age
group and to multiply the total by 100.
Method of Computation Used
Literate population at least one language age 15-24 *100
Age 15-24 population
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Indicator 2.3 – Literacy rate of 15 -24 years olds,
women and Men (Contd.)
Data Source, Geographical coverage and Periodicity
 Census of Population and Housing 2001
Primary source of basic literacy data.
The Census enumeration was able to carry out
completely in 18 districts out of 25 districts due to
unsettled conditions in Northern and Eastern
Provinces. This includes Ampara district in Eastern
province and the 17 districts not belonging to
Northern and Eastern Provinces.
Periodicity
Once in 10 years.
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Indicator 2.3 – Literacy rate of 15 -24 years olds,
women and Men (Contd.)
Data Source, Geographical coverage and Periodicity
Sample surveys are the secondary sources of data.
 Special Survey on MDG 2006/07
Data excludes Northern Province and Trincomalee
District in Eastern province.
 Sri Lanka Labour Force survey
All districts other than Northern and Eastern
Provinces in Sri Lanka.
Periodicity
Quarterly
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DATA AVAILABILITY
Literacy rate of 15 -24 years olds, Women and Men
National
International
2001+ 2006++ 2007* 2001+ 2006++ 2007*
Sri Lanka
95.6
97.5 97.5 95.6
97.5
97.6
Male
95.1
97.0 96.9 95.1
97.0
97.1
Female
96.1
97.9 98.1 96.1
97.9
98.1
Sources- + Census of Population & Housing , ++ SSMDG
* SLLFS
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Discrepancies




For the year 2001 , data based on the
population Census.
For the year 2006 and 2007 based on
the surveys. SSMDG and SLLFS
There is no discrepancies in between
National and International data.
Even no gender disparity.
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RELIABILITY OF THE ESTIMATES
 Statistics based on the quarterly labour force
data are subject to both sampling and non
sampling .There is a chance that the sample
estimates may differ from the true population
value they represent.
 The sampling error varies depend on the
particular sample selected and this variability is
measured by the standard error of the estimate.
 Analysis relating to the SLLFS are generally
conducted at the 95 percent level of confidence
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IMPROVMENTS


Beginning in January 2006 some
improvements were made.
Specially focusing on literacy,
Household economic activities and
Informal sector employment and
under employment.
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