LECTURE – 5 QUANTITATIVE MODELS FOR FACILITY LOCATION: BASED ON DIFFERENT OBJECTIVE FUNCTIONS OR OPTIMIZATION CRITERIA Learning Objective 1. To demonstrate the quantitative model to locate facility based on different optimization criteria 6.13 Weighted Score Method Objective: Government of one nation wants to open up health check up clinic in a village Decision: Where to locate health check up clinic out of three sites; site1- near bus stop, site 2- center of the village, site 3– near mandi (vegetable and grocery market) Factor to be considered: 1. Accessibility for all villagers 2. Annual lease cost 3. Delivery of medicines STEPS OF WEIGHTED SCORE METHOD List all the factors Assign a weight to each factor, reflecting the relative importance of factors given by service organization Develop a scale for factors Eg: 1 to 5 or 1 to 10 Assign score to each location or alternative for each factor using a scale Multiply the score and the weight for each factor and total the score for each location Arrange the total score in descending order. The site with maximum score will be selected SITE LOCATION FOR HEALTH CLINIC IN A VILLAGE 6.14 Single facility location problem: Minimize maximum distance This set of problems usually occurs to meet the objective of some public sector or some social initiative. Most of such facilities can be emergency hospital services, location of ambulance stand and location of fire station. The main aim of such services is to locate such a service facility at a location where the maximum distance from new emergency facility to any existing user facilities is minimized. Here the criteria are that the farthest customer has to walk the minimum distance to avail the facility. That is why such problems are called Minimax location problem. We need the location coordinates of existing facilities or user facilities. In such cases determining maximum delay is more important to evaluate the effectiveness of service delivery than average or total delay in providing service. Consider there are n existing facilities with location coordinates (x 1, y1), (x2, y2), (x3, y3),… (xn, yn) in x – y plane. We want to locate new facility at (xR, yR) such that the maximum distance from the new facility to any of the exciting facilities is minimized. So, we want to find the optimal location R with (xR, yR) coordinates. The objective function for minimax location problem can be written as f xR , yR min xR , yR max xi , yi xR xi yR yi where i = 1,…n let’s take an example and find the solution of minimax location problem with the help of example. Example State government wants to locate a fire station in a city region T. The region T has residential area, some shops and few offices with the concentrated density located at six locations with coordinates to be (10,13), (9,18), (10,8), (12,15), (15,15) and (18,6). The objective is to locate the fire station in region T so that the farthest demand point can be served with minimum time or be covered with minimum distance. This problem is a minimax location problem with coordinates of existing locations presented in the table 6.6 below and figure 6.20. TABLE 6.6: COORDINATES OF EXISTING FACILITY Existing facility (T) Coordinates of existing facilities (xi,yi) 1 (x1,y1) (10,13) 2 (x2,y2) (9,18) 3 (x3,y3) (10,8) 4 (x4,y4) (12,15) 5 (x5,y5) (15,15) 6 (x6,y6) (18,6) FIGURE 6.20: LOCATION OF EXISTING FACILITIES IN REGION T Where to locate R (xR, yR)? Intuitively, we want to plot a square which will cover all existing points so that we can find a point or a line segment in a square which will be of minimum radius. How to plot a diamond/square of smallest radius containing all the existing facilities 1. Cover all the existing points with the smallest rectangle so that all points are covered within the rectangle. In an example we can plot a rectangle whose four edges pass through the points (15, 15), (18, 6), (10, 8), (9, 18) as shown in figure 6.21. FIGURE 6.21 PLOT OF A RECTANGLE TO COVER ALL POINTS We want to draw a square, so while drawing rectangle ensure that each side of rectangle is making an angle of 45 degree with an axis. It will help in extending the sides of rectangle to get the shape of square/diamond. 2. How to know that which points will fall on the edges? We want that edges to make an angle of 45 degrees that means the line passing through the point on edge will have slope of either +1 or -1.That means we want the minimum intercept and maximum intercept originating from the straight lines drawn from each existing point with both +1 and -1 slope. 3. Determine the minimum and maximum intercept using following formulas to get the edges of rectangle. We want to find minimum of yi – (-1) xi and yi – (+1)xi and maximum of yi – (-1) xi and yi – (+1)xi For all i=1 …n which is given notation of C1 , C2 , C3 and C4 a as given below C1 min xi yi i 1,..m C2 max xi yi i 1,..m C3 min - xi yi i 1,..m C4 max - xi yi i 1,..m In the figure 6.21 we can see that C1 =min C1 =18 (23, 27, 18, 27, 30, 24) with coordinates (10, 8) C2 =max C2 =30 C3 = C3 with coordinates (15, 15) min (3, 9, -2, 3, 0, -12) =-12 with coordinates (18, 6) C4 = C4 (23, 27, 18, 27, 30, 24) max (3, 9, -2, 3, 0, -12) =9 with coordinates (9, 18) So, we can see the coordinates for value of C1, C2, C3, and C4 in the figure 6.22 FIGURE 6.22: COORDINATES OF C1, C2, C3 AND C4 The coordinates (10, 8), (15, 15), (18, 6), (9, 18) will lie on the edges of rectangle. We can also see here that coordinates for C3 and C4 lie on the shorter edges of rectangle. 4. We need to extend the rectangle to a square. We know the shorter edges. We can extend the shorter edges to obtain a square. Find the radius of a smallest square (obtained by extending the rectangle) covering all the existing facility coordinates. It can be determined by using following formula. C5 max C2 C1 , C4 C3 i 1,..n It will give the maximum length of rectangle which will become the length of square after extending the shorter edges C5 max 30 18,9 12 i 1,..6 max 12, 21 i 1,..6 C5 21 We want to extend the shorter edge of rectangle to make a square which is having edge length of C5. That will also give the radius of square that is C5/2. Radius of square is 21/2 = 10.5 5. We can see from the figure that we can extend the rectangle either upwards or downwards. That means we can generate two squares with minimum radius of 10.5. If we join the center points of two squares, we will get a line segment L joining the following two points xR , y R 1 xR , y R 2 1 C1 C3 , C1 C3 C5 2 1 C2 C4 , C2 C4 C5 2 For our example, the two points are xR , y R 1 xR , y R 2 1 18 12, 18 12 21 2 1 30, 27 2 15, 13.5 1 30 9, 30 9 21 2 1 21, 18 2 10.5, 9 So, the line segment joining two points (15, 13.5) and (10.5, 9) will give the optimal location for a fire station. 6.15 Single service facility location: Maximizing net profit In most cases, the service organization consider maximizing net operating profits to be the most important criteria while deciding the location of new facility. When we say net operating profits that means sales or revenues, generated from some facility, operating cost and size of facility are very important factors to be considered. The example of such a facility is to locate a big retail outlet. To make decision regarding facility location considering above mentioned factors. David L. Huff (1966) proposed a useful solution for optimum retail location. The basic assumptions of Huff model is that the expected sale at any potential site is dependent on spatial location of that site and constrained by a maximum size limit. So, the model, under above assumptions, determines the net operating profit for each potential location and select the location which can generate maximum net operating profits. The notations used for Huff model are presented below. pj Probability of a given alterative location j being chosen from among all alternatives ranging from 1 to n (i.e. j=1,2, 3……n) n The number of alternative potential locations uj A positive pay off function or utility of jth location perceived by a customer Sj Size of a given facility j Ci The number of customers at a base region i where i= 1…. N Tij Distance travelled by ith customer base to location j in time units Pij Eij Bik Aijk Probability of a customer from ith customer base traveling to a potential facility location j A parameter which is to be estimated empirically to reflect the effect of travel time on various times of shopping trips Expected number of customers from ithregion that are likely to travel to the potential facility location j The average annual amount budgeted B by customer at ith region for a given product or product class k The expected average annual expenditures A for a given product k(k=1,2,3….p) by the customers at ith region at facility location j 6.15.1 Huff model to locate retail outlet to maximize net operating profits Step 1: The probability p of a given alternative facility, location j being chosen from among all alternatives n is proportional to its utility u j perceived by the customer pj uj such that n u j 1 j n p j 1 j 1 and 0 p j 1 The randomness involved in choosing the location is due to the fact the customer may not be able to discriminate among choices of facilities perfectly specially when the perceived difference among alternative choices are small. Customers may also be uncertain as to true conditions associated with the fulfillment of shopping expectations at various alternative facilities. To capture this kind of randomness and to consider all the facilities it is always better to utilize the concept of relative utility of a location and probability of choosing that facility. STEP 2: Utility of a shopping facility j perceived by the customer base i. The customer is unaware about the fact that to what extent any facility will meet his or her requirements. But a customer does have a prior knowledge of the probability that various shopping facilities might satisfy his or her shopping demands. Moreover, greater the number and variety of products carried by a facility, the greater is the customer’s expectation that his visit to the facility will be successful. We can term this concept as the size of facility that the customer will be attracted more for large size of facility S j U ij S j The utility of a facility is also influenced by the effort and expenses incurred by the customer for traveling to alternative facility location in the form of transportation costs. Hence, utility for any facility is inversely proportional to the time spent in traveling from customer base to the facility (dependent on the distance). At the same time we should incorporate the differences in terms of customers’ willingness to travel to various distances for different types of products, which can be accounted for with the distance exponent λ. So , we can say that U ij 1 Tij U ij Sj We can write Tij The probability a customer from customer base i traveling to a given facility j can be written as pij U ij n U j 1 ij Sj Tij or n Sj T ij j 1 Step 3: Expected number of customer from region I to visit facility j We can find the expected number of customers from a customer base region i visiting to facility j, Eij, by multiplying the number of customers at I, Ci, with the probability that customers from I will select j for shopping pij Hence, Eij pij .Ci Step 4: Expected average annual expenditures by customers The total sales for a given facility will depend also on the annual expenditures to be spent at a facility for particular product. So, the expected average annual expenditures A for a given product k (k=1, 2….p) by the customers from region i at facility j is determined as Aijk Eij .Bik Where Bik is the average annual amount budgeted B by customers at i for a given product k. Summing Aijk for all m customer regions for each product k will give the total expected annual sales for a given facility. Deducting operating costs from sales revenues will give total net profit. Example: A retailer wants to locate a supermarket in a city with 5 customer zones with different demand densities located with coordinates give below in table. The distance is in Kilometers. TABLE 6.7: DEMAND DENSITIES OF ALL CUSTOMER ZONES Customer zones (i) Coordinates of customers zones (xi, yi) Demand density at i 1 (2,3) 7000 2 (1,4) 1000 3 (3,1) 2000 4 (3,5) 3000 5 (4,1) 5000 There is one competitor already located at (2, 2). Retailer wish to explore two more sites at (3, 2) and at (3, 3) with double the capacity of competitor to be at (3, 3) with double the capacity for supermarket. Assume λ =2 for convenience stores. Let’s consider that retailer wants to maximize the sale of women’s dress material for which customers can have annual amount of budget of Rs 500. Which site will fetch more expected sales and maximum net profits? Consider the operating costs are double for two potential sites than the competitor. Locate the coordinates of customer zones 1,…,5 as shown in Figure 6.23. The competitors location is represented by A, R1 and R2 are two potential sites out of which the retailer has to choose one. Retailer also wants to know whether locating at either R1 or R2 will be profitable over competitor A. FIGURE 6.23: LOCATION OF CUSTOMER ZONES We can assume metropolitan metric for calculating distance. In metropolitan metric the customer can take turns only at right angles (90o) only. We will first determine the travel distance from each customer region A, R1 and R2 as determined in Table 6.8 TABLE 6.8: TRAVEL DISTANCE FROM CUSTOMER REGION TO SITE Travel distance in km(Tij) Site(i,j) Customer region(i) 1 2 3 4 5 R1 2 3 1 3 1 R2 1 2 2 2 3 A 1 2 2 4 3 Now we will find the utility Uij perceived by i=1...5 for facility j= R1, R2 and A as given in table 6.9. The size of A will be taken as 1 and for R1 and for R2, it can be taken as 2. TABLE 6.9: UTILITY PERCEIVED BY CUSTOMERS Uij Customer region(i) Site(j) 1 R1(size=2) 2/22 = 0.5 2 3 4 5 2/32=0.22 2/12=2 2/32=0.22 2/22=0.5 2/22=0.5 2/22=0.5 2/32=0.22 R2(size=2) 2/12 =2 2/22=0.5 A(size=1) 1/12 =1 1/22=0.25 1/22=0.25 1/42=0.06 1/32=0.11 Total 3.5 0.97 2.75 0.78 0.83 We will use the utility to find the probability of a customer i travelling to R1, R2 and A as given in Table 6.10. TABLE 6.10: PROBABILITY OF CUSTOMERS TRAVELLING TO SITES Site(j) pij Customer region(i) 1 R1 2 0.5/3.5=0.143 0.22/0.97=0.227 3 4 5 2/2.75 0.22/0.78 0.5/0.83 R2 2/3.5=0.571 0.5/0.97 0.5/2.75 0.5/0.78 0.22/0.83 A 1/3.5=0.285 0.25/0.97 0.25/2.75 0.06/0.78 0.11/0.83 Expected number of customers Eijwill be determined below in Table 6.11. TABLE 6.11: EXPECTED NUMBER OF CUSTOMERS VISITING SITES Eij Site (j) Customer region(i) 1 2 3 4 5 R1 1001 227 1454 846 3010 R2 3997 515 364 1923 795 A 1995 258 182 231 665 For k to be women’s dress material monthly total expected revenues generated at R1, R2 and A are given in Table 6.12. TABLE 6.12: MONTHLY TOTAL EXPECTED REVENUES FOR DIFFERENT ITEMS Site (j) Aijk(in Rs) Monthly Total Customer region(i) 1 2 3 4 5 R1 100100 22700 145400 84600 301000 653800 R2 399700 51500 36400 192300 79500 759400 A 199500 25800 18200 23100 66500 333100 So, we can see that the location R2 (3, 3) will generate more revenues, hence retailer can locate the supermarket at (3, 3).
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