Managerial Economics Managerial Economics = Manager+Economics Economy is concerned with the production, consumption, distribution and investment of goods and services. Basic characteristics of ME: •It is concerned with “decision-making of an economic nature” •ME is both “conceptual and metrical” Management & Economics Management is: Coordination An activity or an ongoing process A purposive process An art of getting things done by other people Economics is based on two fundamental facts of life: Human wants are virtually unlimited and insatiable, and Economic resources to satisfy these human demands are limited. Three central problems of any economy: What to produce How to produce, and For whom to produce Definitions According to Spencer and Siegalman: “Managerial economics is the integration of economic theory with business practice for the purpose of facilitating decision making and forward planning by management.” Decision making process: 1. Defining the problem. 2. Determining the objective 3. Exploring the alternatives 4. Predicting the consequences 5. Making a choice 6. Implementation Check list for business success – an overview/scope of ME To stay ahead of the competition and to anticipate and react effectively to changes in markets requires an understanding of the forces of demand and supply and their impact on optimal prices and outputs in different market environments. 1. Understanding the business objectives What are my objectives for each of the products, e.g. short-term profit maximization (using products' as 'cash cows'), sales maximization (increasing market share), etc.? Are current product prices set at a level to achieve the desired objective? Is my competitive strategy primarily focused on being the low-cost producer or does it rely more on product differentiation? If my products are 'stuck in the middle', what action might be taken to change the product focus and how might rivals react? Check list for business success– an overview/scope of ME 2.Understanding the competitive market In what types of markets do I operate (highly competitive, monopolistic, etc.) and what are the implications for longerterm prices and profits? How do my main competitors set their prices and determine their expenditure on other aspects of the 'marketing mix'? Is there a threat from new competition? What barriers to entry into my markets exist and can be legally reinforced? Do I understand the limitations imposed by domestic and international competition law? What does new competition imply for my competitive position over the longer term? How might I best respond to changes in the market by altering the 'marketing mix' for my products? Check list for business success – an overview/scope of ME 3.Understanding consumer behaviour Do I know how different market factors affect the demand for my products and hence do I know (even in general terms) the demand function for each of my products? Is it likely that my prices will have to be changed in the immediate future and if so what are the own price elasticities of the products? Are the prices of substitute and complementary products likely to change and if so what are the relevant cross-price elasticities with my products? What is true income elasticity of demand for my products and what is the forecast for income changes in the next few years? Is it possible and would it be useful to have an economist estimate the demand coefficients for my products? Is price set mainly with a view to consumer demand or mainly with a view to covering supply costs (e.g. a 'costplus' pricing policy)? Is this consistent with my business objective? Check list for business success – an overview/scope of ME 4. Understanding the costs of production How elastic is the supply of each of the products I produce and hence how fast could I respond to changes in demand? How might supply elasticity be increased? What is the current marginal cost for each of my products and is it rising or falling and why? What does this mean for future competitiveness? Is there evidence of diminishing returns given current plant size and what does this imply for the investment programme? Am I getting the maximum economies of scale in production, and if not why not? What does this mean for my competitive position? Check list for business success – an overview/scope of ME 5. Understanding the investment decision Are discounted cash flow estimates consistently used in investment appraisal? Am I fully aware of available regional and other government financial incentives? Do I calculate the internal rate of return? What is the opportunity cost of capital investment alternative business investment opportunities or a riskfree return in a bank account? Are all costs and benefits (internal and external) taken into consideration in investment appraisal? On what basis is the cost of capital calculated? Check list for business success – an overview/scope of ME 6. Understanding the employment decision Do decisions on employment take into account the marginal revenue product (i.e. the added value) of labour? Are wages set with regard to any rational economic criteria? What factors determine the supply of labour to the business? .What are the implications for labour supply of current demographic trends? What action is being taken to anticipate unfavourable movements in labour costs? Are current wage differentials economically justified? Check list for business success – an overview/scope of ME 7. Understanding the external environment Is there a regular briefing in my company concerned with developments in the macroeconomic environment and related government policy and their likely impact on the business? Do I know what would be the demand for my products if interest rates rose or fell, or if the exchange rate depreciated or appreciated, or if there was a change in the rate of growth of consumer spending or investment? In developing business plans do I make use of any macroeconomic forecasts prepared by the various forecasting bodies, e.g. London Business School, etc.? Are there any likely changes in the political, economic, social and technological (PEST) environment which will impact on my business? How should I respond to these events? Cycle of business success Basic factors in ME A. The Incremental concept - Incremental cost (IC): change in cost with change in output - Incremental revenue (IR): change in revenue with change in output A decision is profitable if IR>IC: It increases revenue more than it increases cost It reduces some cost more than it increases others It increases some resources more than it decreases others It decreases costs more than it decreases revenues Basic factors in ME B. The Equi-marginal principle It states that a rational decision maker would allocate or hire his resources in such a way that the ratio of marginal returns and marginal costs of various uses of a given resource or of various resources in a given use is the same, e.g., a consumer seeking maximum utility (satisfaction) from his consumption basket will allow his consumption budget on goods and services such that MU1/MC1=MU2/MC2=......=MUn/MCn; Where, MU1 = marginal utility from product 1 MC1 = marginal cost of product 1, and so on. Basic factors in ME C. The Discounting principle Example: One may ask how much money today would be equivalent to Rs 100 a year from now if the rate of interest is 5%. The present value of Rs 100 to be received after one year is: PV = Rs 100/1+i = Rs 100/1.05 = Rs 95.24 Hence, PV = Rn/(1+i)n ; where PV = present value, R = amount to be received in future, i = rate of interest, n = number of years lapsing between the receipt of money Basic factors in ME D. Opportunity cost principle: The Opportunity costs or alternative costs are the returns from the second best use of the firm’s resources which the firm forgoes in order to avail itself of the returns from the best use of the resources. The opportunity costs, thus, are the “costs of sacrificed alternatives.” E. The “Invisible hand” belief: Adam Smith According to him, the economic system, left to itself, is selfregulating. Technically speaking, we can say that the basic economic problems in a society are solved by the operation of market forces.
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