GAS TCMF SURVEY 2010 Survey Seeking Feedback on the Gas TCMF and 2010 Charging Development Work Plan NTS TCMF SURVEY 2010 1st March 2010 Table of Contents 1 INTRODUCTION .........................................................................................................................1 2 BACKGROUND ..........................................................................................................................1 3 2010 AREAS FOR DEVELOPMENT ..........................................................................................3 4 GAS TCMF SURVEY 2010 .........................................................................................................8 National Grid 1 Introduction This document sets out areas of potential future development of the Gas Transmission Transportation Charging Methodology (the “Charging Methodology”) and includes a survey seeking feedback on the Gas TCMF process and the Gas TCMF work plan for 2010/11. The closing date for submission of your responses is 22nd March 2010. response should be e-mailed to: Your [email protected] or [email protected] or alternatively sent by post to Eddie Blackburn / Debra Hawkin, Regulatory Frameworks, National Grid, National Grid House, Gallows Hill, Warwick, CV34 6DA. If you wish to discuss any matter relating to this survey then please call Eddie Blackburn 01926 656022 o Debra Hawkin 01926 656317. Responses to this survey may be incorporated within future National Grid reports. If you wish your response to be treated as confidential then please mark it clearly to that effect. This document is issued by National Grid in its role as Gas Transporter Licence holder in respect of the NTS (“National Grid”). 2 Background National Grid is obliged to keep its Charging Methodology under continual review to seek to achieve the transportation Charging Methodology “relevant methodology objectives” as set out in Standard Special Condition A5.5 of National Grid NTS’s Gas Transporter Licence. These are: (a) Except where (aa) or (d) applies, use of the Charging Methodology should result in charges that reflect the costs incurred by the licensee in its transportation business; (aa) Where prices are determined via auctions, that either no reserve price is applied or that the reserve price is set at a level best calculated to promote efficiency and avoid undue preference in the supply of transportation services and to promote competition between gas suppliers and between gas shippers; (b) So far as is consistent with (a), properly take account of developments in the transportation business; (c) So far as is consistent with (a) and (b) facilitate effective competition between gas shippers and between gas suppliers; (d) The Charging Methodology reflects any alternative arrangements put in place in accordance with a determination made by the Secretary of State. NTS TCMF SURVEY 2010 Page 1 of 14 National Grid Assessment against EU Gas Regulations Charging arrangements are also covered by the EU gas regulations. EC Regulation 1775/2005 on conditions for access to the natural gas transmission networks (binding from 1 July 2006) are summarised below. The principles for network access tariffs or the methodologies used to calculate them shall: Reflect actual costs incurred for an efficient and structurally comparable network operator Be transparent Be applied in a non-discriminatory manner Take into account the need for system integrity and its improvement Facilitate efficient gas trade and competition Avoid cross-subsidies between network users Provide incentives for investment and maintaining or creating interoperability for transmission networks Not restrict market liquidity Not distort trade across borders of different transmission systems Gas TCMF National Grid established the industry forum referred to as the Gas Transmission Charging Methodologies Forum (“Gas TCMF”) in January 2006. In total ten Gas TCMF meetings were held in 2009 along with four entry charging review group (ECRG) meetings. All presentations, analysis and papers relating to the Gas TCMF can be found on the following website: www.nationalgrid.com/uk/Gas/Charges/TCMF All presentations, analysis and papers relating to the 2009 Gas TCMF meetings can be found on the following website: http://www.nationalgrid.com/uk/Gas/Charges/TCMF/2009+Meetings/ National Grid anticipates that the Gas TCMF will continue to provide the opportunity for the industry to discuss progress in respect of development of the NTS charging methodologies and for industry participants to raise relevant issues for discussion. It is National Grid’s continued intention that the TCMF provides the means for Users to raise issues they feel worthy of review and provides the opportunity for Users to provide comment on National Grid proposed modifications to its charging methodologies. These ongoing discussions with the industry may therefore result in further proposed amendments to the Charging Methodology. NTS TCMF SURVEY 2010 Page 2 of 14 National Grid 3 2010 Areas for Development There are a number of potential areas for amendments to National Grid’s NTS Transportation Charging Methodology and associated processes to support the evolving market. The following areas have been highlighted in previous surveys and the numbering represents the priority ranking (1 being the highest priority) from the 2009 survey. 1. Information Provision From May 2008 National Grid has published an NTS Quarterly Charge Setting Report explaining NTS SO and TO commodity charges. The reports can be found on the National Grid website: http://www.nationalgrid.com/uk/Gas/Charges/Tools/ Two further reports have been developed regarding five years of forward looking information (to be consistent with the DN charging information published as a result of UNC Mod 186), and Day-Ahead Daily System Entry Capacity (DADSEC). Information presentations have been made to the Gas TCMF covering changes to capacity prices and the entry capacity investment incentive mechanism during 2009. Outside of the Gas TCMF, workshops have been held, aimed at industry participants new to the charging area, at a number of locations. National Grid believes that publication of such information promotes competition between gas shippers and gas suppliers by ensuring that information is more transparent and understandable. 2. Enduring Exit Arrangements National Grid would anticipate undertaking further consultations on proposed changes to the NTS Charging Methodology to support implementation of enduring NTS offtake arrangements as required. 3. Supply & Demand Balancing in the Transportation Model The Charging Methodology states that a supply and demand match is achieved within the Transportation Model by reducing supplies in a merit order to match the forecast demand. Following on from analysis undertaken to support NTS GCM 05: “NTS Exit Flat Capacity Prices” and in response to industry concerns, National Grid issued pricing discussion paper NTS GCD 06: “Supply and Demand Balancing Rules in the Transportation Model” in February 2008. This was followed by NTS GCM 16: “Supply and Demand Balancing Rules and Supply Source Data” in April 2008. These consultations sought to address two main issues. Firstly there was some exit price volatility, in areas close to supply, as a result of the supply/demand balancing rules, and secondly, entry and exit capacity prices were affected by fluctuations in the supply data as obtained from the Ten Year Statement (TYS). NTS TCMF SURVEY 2010 Page 3 of 14 National Grid The proposed GCM16 methodology divides supplies into six groups, fully utilises these in turn, and then scales the last required group to achieve a supply and demand match. The methodology uses physical capability for all storage and importation points and TYS data for the remaining points. For non storage and non importation points the TYS data represents the best available estimate of the combined capability of the offshore infrastructure and connected fields. National Grid will keep this area of the methodology under review. 4. NTS Exit Capacity Price Volatility National Grid raised Charging Proposal NTS GCM 13 “April NTS Exit Capacity Price Changes” on 31 October 2008 to address the volatility of future exit prices caused by the misalignment of gas year (October – September) and financial year (April March). NTS GCM 13 proposed a change to the Charging Methodology to allow recalculation of exit prices in any April where necessary, without updating supply data from that used to set exit prices in the previous October. Recalculating prices in this way (without updating all data inputs) would result in a constant adjustment to all prices (except where such an adjustment would reduce the price below 0.0001p/kWh). Industry responses indicated that the need for an April price change would not be supported provided that sufficient information was provided regarding likely capacity price changes. A final proposal report for NTS GCM 13 was not progressed for this reason; however, this area will be kept under review. 5. User Commitment/Credit Arrangements National Grid has undertaken a formal consultation on proposed changes to the NTS Charging Methodology to support potential future implementation of revised User Commitment arrangements for entry (UNC Modification Proposal 0246 and its alternatives). The UNC process is continuing and the charging conclusions report will follow the same timeline to ensure consistency in the processes. Consultations for any Exit Capacity related changes will be undertaken as required. 6. Negative LRMCs E.ON brought forward a draft proposal, via the Gas TCMF, entitled “Rebates for Entry Points with Negative LRMCs”. The purpose of the proposal was to reward locationally beneficial entry points on the NTS where a genuine, measurable benefit is being provided by incremental flows. Following the E.ON proposal, it was concluded that, at this time, the only avoided costs associated with entry points with negative LRMCs relate to Constrained LNG (CLNG) sites. Since the prevailing CLNG credit methodology had not been revised since 2000 and discussions at the Gas TCMF raised issues regarding the incentives on National Grid, the GCM14 consultation was raised. The resulting proposal led to revisions in the way the credit is calculated, namely basing the credit on the LRMC (rather than the exit charge), on the Node (rather than the exit Zones) supported, and on the 1-in-20 peak day flow rather than the average. These revisions better reflect the costs of the alternative infrastructure investment that would be necessary to support the 1 in 20 peak day requirement. National Grid would bring forward charging proposals in response to any UNC proposals raised in this area, as required. NTS TCMF SURVEY 2010 Page 4 of 14 National Grid 7. European Regimes National Grid intends to issue a European Charging Survey via Gas Transmission Europe (GTE) to identify any examples of best practice, which could be applied in the UK. This will be considered as part of the on going entry charging review. 8. Entry & Exit Capacity Substitution National Grid will undertake formal consultation on any consequential changes to the NTS Charging Methodology to support implementation of Exit Capacity Substitution. 9. Industry Code Governance Review Ofgem proposed the Industry Code Governance Review in November 2007. The Review covers six Workstream areas, of which Charging Methodologies is one. Three potential options have been consulted on: 1. No change 2. Transfer the methodologies into the industry codes 3. Retain within licence framework but enable broader market participants to raise changes Option 2 would require a UNC proposal to be developed, whereas option 3 would require arrangements to be put in place, to enable market participants to raise charging methodology changes. Final proposals are anticipated later in 2010, and it is anticipated that an implementation approach would be developed via the Gas TCMF. 10. Entry Capacity Charging Review In August 2009, National Grid launched a fundamental review of entry charging principles through the formation of the entry charging review group (ECRG). This was in response to growing industry concern about the increasing rate of the TO entry commodity charge. TO Entry Commodity Charges have increased, year-on-year, due to growing under-recovery of Entry Capacity Revenue. Three key sources of entry capacity under recovery have been identified; The Price Paid Prior to the 2007 QSEC auction, entry capacity reserve prices were set based on the UCA and were lower than prices set under the prevailing charging methodology. If capacity were procured, throughout the formula year, at the prevailing prices, and up to the forecast supply level identified as being required through the Transporting Britain’s Energy (TBE) process (as published in the Ten Year Statement (TYS)) then capacity revenue would be close to target. Day ahead daily entry capacity prices are discounted by 33% and within-day daily entry capacity prices are discounted by 100% under the prevailing methodology. A proposal (GCM19) is being raised to address these issues. The Peak Quantity of Entry Capacity Procured The level of firm capacity procured ahead of the gas day is treated as TO revenue. Shippers are not booking up to the forecast supply level in the ten year statement ahead of the gas day. The Annual Profile of Entry Capacity Procured NTS TCMF SURVEY 2010 Page 5 of 14 National Grid The level of capacity procured throughout the formula year relative to the peak level of capacity i.e. the extent of capacity profiling to meet gas flows. The Shipper’s ability to buy capacity in daily and monthly quantities means that they can incur lower costs than buying quarterly capacity. The capacity is essentially available 365 days per year and the availability of sub annual products may have the effect of commoditising capacity. If a shipper procures only a handful of days of capacity then the capacity charges will not reflect the annual costs incurred. 11. Incremental Entry Capacity Release The GCM 17 proposal was raised and implemented to ensure consistency with regards to the pricing of entry capacity at new and existing entry points. Whilst the economic test has to be passed in order for capacity to be released at new entry points, it was possible to obtain capacity in some quarters at the P0 zero price despite the obligated (P0) capacity level being zero for new entry points. The methodology change has removed this anomaly by setting the P0 price at the same level as the P0 price for existing entry points. The P0 price is now calculated within the transportation model and is the annuitised LRMC for the relevant entry point with that point flowing at the obligated level (i.e. zero for new entry points). This revision to the methodology has removed a potential cross subsidy and hence avoids undue preference in the supply of transportation services. National Grid has also moved the charge setting information from the IECR Methodology Statement to the Gas Transmission Transportation Charging Methodology Statement. 12. Optional Commodity Charge Methodology Update The optional commodity (shorthaul) charge was designed to reflect more accurately the costs of gas transportation from a terminal to a nearby large supply point. The rationale for the shorthaul charge is that for large loads that are located close to an entry point, the standard commodity charges may give a perverse economic incentive for the construction of an independent pipeline. The shorthaul charge is an area of the Charging Methodology that has not been reviewed for some time and there may be some changes that could be introduced that might mitigate some of the concerns raised by E.ON UK in regard to negative LRMCs. GCD07 was issued in November 2009 to collect views on two alternative methodology approaches. 13. Exit Under- / Over-Recovery The Annual Quantities (AQ) Review Process is an annual event, which culminates in the calculation of annual quantities for all NDM and DM meter points. The NDM System Offtake Quantities (SOQs) are the quantities on which capacity is charged. The outcome of the AQ Review is not known in time to feed into the exit capacity price setting process for prices effective from 01 October each year. Following this year’s significant fall in SOQs National Grid is intending to consider potential Charging Methodology changes to mitigate the risks of future under- or over-recovery arising out of the AQ review process and the associated SOQs. This issue is also linked to the outcome of Modification Proposal 0209 – Rolling AQ. Under the proposal the annual AQ Review would be replaced by a continuous process; AQs and SOQs would NTS TCMF SURVEY 2010 Page 6 of 14 National Grid only be updated after meter readings had been received rather than all at once from 01 October as under the prevailing process. 14. Entry/Exit Target Revenue Split In its NTS GCM 12 decision letter Ofgem has commented that Exit users (and ultimately customers) appear to currently bear more of the downside risk associated with increasing the amount of entry capacity. Entry users only need to bid in the long term auctions sufficient volume to cover 50% of the net present value of the forecast costs of any capacity enhancements. This leaves risk with exit users once the capacity is constructed – particularly if outturn costs are much higher than forecast. 15. Short Run Marginal Costs In its decision letter Ofgem has commented that consultation paper NTS GCM 12 might result in charges at entry that are below the NTS’ short-run forward looking avoidable NTS operating costs (such as the costs of operating compressors). This could create perverse pricing signals and incentives as charges might not send appropriate signals about the costs of transporting additional volumes of gas at certain locations. This will be considered as part of the ongoing entry charging review. 16. Storage Capacity Charges National Grid is considering a review of the Charging Methodology in respect of NTS entry/exit capacity charges at storage sites. The implications of Exit Reform are likely to have an impact on this review. NTS TCMF SURVEY 2010 Page 7 of 14 National Grid 4 Gas TCMF Survey 2010 Please take a few moments to provide some feedback on the NTS Charging Development and Gas TCMF processes Please fill out your contact details. Name Company Telephone Email GAS TCMF MEETINGS …provide the required information relating to charging methodology proposals … provide a route for accessing charging and revenue related information …improve understanding of the NTS charging processes …provide an opportunity to influence the development of the NTS Charging Methodology Comments: NTS TCMF SURVEY 2010 Page 8 of 14 Not Applicable Strongly Disagree Disagree Neither Agree nor Disagree Agree The Gas TCMF meetings… Strongly Agree Please indicate your level of agreement/disagreement with each statement. National Grid Following responses to the 2008 & 2009 Gas TCMF Surveys: TCMF meetings are now organised to follow the Transmission Workstream meetings each month (subject to Workstream business); TCMF meetings are scheduled to last two hours …the TCMF meetings should follow the Transmission Workstream meetings? …the TCMF meetings should be scheduled on a monthly basis to last two hours? …the TCMF meetings should be scheduled less frequently than monthly (e.g. bi-monthly or quarterly)? …Consultation and Discussion papers should be organised around the TCMF meetings? Comments: NTS TCMF SURVEY 2010 Page 9 of 14 Not Applicable Strongly Disagree Disagree Neither Agree nor Disagree Agree Do you agree that… Strongly Agree Consultation and Discussion papers are organised around the TCMF meetings. National Grid Not Applicable Very Dissatisfied Dissatisfied Neither Satisfied nor Dissatisfied Satisfied Meeting Presentations Very Satisfied Please rate your satisfaction with the quality of the information provided at the Gas TCMF meetings. Level of detail / content Layout Ease of understanding Comments: Meeting Reports / Minutes Level of detail / content Layout Ease of understanding Comments: NTS TCMF SURVEY 2010 Page 10 of 14 National Grid Not Applicable Very Dissatisfied Dissatisfied Neither Satisfied nor Dissatisfied Satisfied Very Satisfied Please rate your satisfaction with the quality of the NTS Pricing Consultation & Discussion Papers & Reports Level of detail / content Layout Ease of understanding Comments: Not Applicable Very Dissatisfied Dissatisfied Neither Satisfied not Dissatisfied Satisfied Very Satisfied Please rate your satisfaction with the quality of the TCMF & Consultation areas of our Website1 Level of detail / content Layout Ease of Use Comments: Relevant areas of the website are… http://www.nationalgrid.com/uk/Gas/Charges/TCMF/ , http://www.nationalgrid.com/uk/Gas/Charges/consultations/ and http://www.nationalgrid.com/uk/Gas/Charges/statements/ 1 NTS TCMF SURVEY 2010 Page 11 of 14 National Grid What is your overall level of satisfaction with the Gas TCMF? Comments: Please explain what you would like to see us do to improve the Gas TCMF. NTS TCMF SURVEY 2010 Page 12 of 14 Not Applicable Very Dissatisfied Dissatisfied Neither Satisfied nor Dissatisfied Satisfied Very Satisfied Please rate your overall level of satisfaction with the Gas TCMF. National Grid Please indicate your views on the priority of the areas of the NTS Charging Methodology identified for development. Please indicate what priority you think we should place on each item. Low Medium High 1. Information Provision 2. Enduring Exit Arrangements 3. Supply and Demand Balancing in the Transportation Model 4. NTS Exit Capacity Price Volatility 5. User Commitment/Credit Arrangements 6. Negative LRMCs 7. European Regimes 8. Entry Capacity Substitution 9. Industry Code Governance Review 10. Entry Capacity Reserve Prices and Discounts 11. Incremental Entry Capacity Release 12. Optional Commodity Charge Methodology Update 13. Exit Under- / Over-Recovery 14. Entry/Exit Target Revenue Split 15. Short Run Marginal Costs 16. Storage Capacity Charges Other… please specify NTS TCMF SURVEY 2010 Page 13 of 14 National Grid Other… please specify Comments: The closing date for submission of your responses is 22nd March 2010. response should be e-mailed to: Your [email protected] or [email protected] or alternatively sent by post to Eddie Blackburn / Debra Hawkin, Regulatory Frameworks, National Grid, National Grid House, Gallows Hill, Warwick, CV34 6DA. If you wish to discuss any matter relating to this survey then please call Eddie Blackburn 01926 656022 or Debra Hawkin 01926 656317. Responses to this survey may be incorporated within future National Grid reports. If you wish your response to be treated as confidential then please mark it clearly to that effect. This document is issued by National Grid in its role as Gas Transporter Licence holder in respect of the NTS (“National Grid”). NTS TCMF SURVEY 2010 Page 14 of 14
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