Title page Admission hyperglycemia and poor prognosis within 90 days after acute ischemic stroke in the Chinese population Running Title hyperglycemia and prognosis after acute ischemic stroke Author names Meijuan Xiao1, Hai Zou1*, Liping Tao2, Yongyong Lu3 1 Department of Neurology of the first Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou 325000, Zhejiang Province, China 2 Department of Gastroenterology of the first Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou 325000, Zhejiang Province, China. 3 Department of Urology of the first Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou 325000, Zhejiang Province, China. *Co-corresponding author Hai Zou, Department of Neurology of the first Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, No. 2 Fuxue lane,Wenzhou 325000, Zhejiang Province, China, E-mail: [email protected]; fax: (86) 577-55579191; tel: (86) 577-55579191. Conflicts of Interest The authors disclose no conflicts. Background Admission hyperglycemia has been associated with worse outcomes in ischemic stroke. However,the impact of admission hyperglycemia on prognosis after ischemic stroke in the Chinese population is unclear. Purpose We investigated the associations between admission hyperglycemia and death, dependency, and stroke recurrence in patients after acute ischemic stroke onset in the Chinese population. Methods 913 patients with acute ischemic stroke who were consecutively admitted to our hospital during the period of March 2007 through October 2009 were selected for this study. 312 patients had strokes with hyperglycemia(> 8.0mmol/L) at admission.601 patients had strokes without hyperglycemia(≤8.0mmol/L) at admission. The patients who were prospectively followed up for clinical and functional outcomes (death, dependency, and stroke recurrence) at 90 days after disease onset. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to analyze the association between admission hyperglycemia and stroke outcomes after adjusting for potential confounding including age, sex, DM,History of dyslipisemia,history of stroke,smoking, LDL cholesterol. Results Compared with stroke patients without admission hyperglycemia, patients with admission hyperglycemia had a significantly higher incidence of death or dependency at 3 months after stroke onset.In multivariate logistic regression analysis, admission Hyperglycemia was found to be remarkably associated with death or dependency(adjusted odds ratio 1.442,95% confidence interval, 1.051 to 1.998) in patients with ischemic stroke at 3 months after onset, after adjusting for the confounding factors. Conclusions Admission hyperglycemia independently predicted poor outcomes after acute ischemic stroke in the Chinese population. Key Words: admission hyperglycemia ,ischemic stroke,death, dpendency,recurrent stroke. Approximately 40% of patients with acute ischemic stroke have admission hyperglycemia, and the majority of such patients have DM[1]. Admission hyperglycemia had a significantly higher incidence of poor outcomes after stroke onset[2]. DM was an independent risk factor for death or dependency in patients with ischemic stroke at 6 months after onset[3]. The hyperglycemia during acute stroke reflects both a spectrum of acute stress and a spectrum of insulin resistance. The bulk of previous studies exploring the role of hyperglycemia in stroke have included only westerner. However, it remains unclear whether admission hyperglycemia was associated with worse outcomes,particularly death, dependency, and stroke recurrence in patients after acute ischemic stroke in Chinese populations. We investigated the associations between admission hyperglycemia and death, dependency, and stroke recurrence in patients after acute ischemic stroke onset. Patients and methods Patients with acute IS within 3 days of neurologic deficit who were admitted to our hospital between March 2007 through October 2009 were consecutively selected for this study. However, patients with the following conditions were excluded from this study: nonvascular causes (primary and metastatic neoplasms, postseizure paralysis, head trauma, etc) that led to brain function deficit, intracerebral hemorrhage by computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging,with intravenous thrombolysis treatment, previous history of stroke and neurological deficit legacy. In this study,the definition of admission hyperglycemia was prespecified to be serum glucose >8.0 mmol/l in accordance with other studies [4-6] . According to the results of admission hyperglycemia , patients were divided into admission hyperglycemia group and non- admission hyperglycemia group. Baseline demographic and clinical information were collected upon admission, including gender, age, history of hypertension,diabetes,dyslipisemia, coronary heart disease, atrial fibrillation, stroke.smoking (current smoker or experience of regular smoking habit), Alcohol abuse ( current drinker or experience of regular drinking habit), systolic blood pressure (SBP)and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) levels (mmHg), Glasgow Coma Scale(GCS)and National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score. Laboratory assays included total cholesterol(TC), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C),PPT, international standard rate(INR). We recorded Urinary tract infection and Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project stroke subtype (OCSP subtypes: Partial anterior circulation,Total anterior circulation, Lacunar ,Posterior circulation),the days of total hospital stay and the occurrence of pneumonia or urinary tract infection complications during hospitalization at discharge. We assessed the outcomes of all patients through telephone follow-up at 90 days after stroke onset. The outcome was measured using the 7-point modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at 90 days by clinicians who were not necessarily blinded to patients’ baseline glucose values.The outcomes included death (or modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score=6), dependency (defined by mRS=3to5)[7], favorable outcome(defined by mRS=0 to 1),recurrence of stroke (aggravated primary neurologic deficit; new signs; or rehospitalization with a diagnosis of ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, or subarachnoid hemorrhage), and the corresponding dates of onset. Poor outcomes were defined as death or dependency (mRS=3to6)[3]. The telephone follow-up was by two doctors respectively and was based on a shared standardized interview protocol. As a primary analysis, admission hyperglycemia group and non-hyperglycemia were compared with regard to baseline characteristics, stroke recurrence,functional outcome at 90 days, and death. A secondary analysis examined the association of these outcomes with admission glucose as a continuous measure. Statistical Analysis The results are presented as mean±SD or median values with interquartile ranges (25th to 75th) . Univariate analyses included unpaired t test and Pearsonχ2 test. The associations between admission hyperglycemia and death, dependency, or recurrence of stroke were analyzed in multivariate logistic-regression models, after adjusting for potential confounders including age, sex, DM,history of dyslipisemia, history of stroke,smoking, LDL cholesterol, and other factors.. Significance was established at the P<0.05 level. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS 16.0. Results 1114 patients with acute IS who consecutively attended our hospital during March 2007 to October 2009. At 90 days after stroke onset,follow-up information was unavailable for 913 patients with acute ischemic stroke, who were then included in the present study. Of the 913 patients, 312(34.17%) were with admission hyperglycemia, of whom 96 (30.8%) had a history of DM,Compared with stroke patients without admission hyperglycemia, patients with admission hyperglycemia were older and had a higher proportion of females but had fewer moderate or heavy alcohol drinkers and fewer smokers. Smoking presented less frequently in patients with admission hyperglycemia compared with patients without admission hyperglycemia, whereas history of dyslipisemia,history of stroke,LDL cholesterol, total hospital stay presented more frequently in stroke patients with admission hyperglycemia. We also found stroke patients with admission hyperglycemia had a significantly longer hospital stay than did those without admission hyperglycemia. There were no differences in blood pressure, Pneumoni,Urinary tract infection,stroke subtype between groups. No relationship was observed between baseline serum glucose and baseline NIHSS score and GCS score(Table 1). Furthermore, multivariate logistic-regression analyses (Table 3) suggested that, after adjusting for potential confounders, admission hyperglycemia was an independent risk factor for death or dependency at 90 days (odds ratio=1.442; 95% CI,1.051 to 1.998), but had no significant association with stroke recurrence at 90 days(odds ratio=1.427; 95% CI, 0.914 to 2.230) after onset. Discussion In this study, we prospectively and systematically investigated the associations between admission hyperglycemia and outcomes of acute ischemic stroke. Human studies have largely been observational, and most of them show an association between hyperglycemia and inferior clinical outcomes from acute ischemic stroke[8-11]. The higher the glucose level during acute ischemic stroke, the worse the outcomes are. Some studies suggest a linear decrease in favorable outcomes as blood glucose increases [12] . One study found that during the initial 48 h of acute ischemic stroke, maximum glucose of 155 mg/dL was the best cutoff for predicting outcome[13] . Hyperglycemia is more likely to be present and persist during hospitalization in Hispanic patients than in African American and White patients. These disparities may explain the disproportionate mortality rates among Hispanic and African American and White patients after AIS [14].To our knowledge, this study is the first investigated the associations between admission hyperglycemia and outcomes in patients after acute ischemic stroke onset in the Chinese population. Admission hyperglycemia in 34.17% of our population with acute ischemic stroke, which is consistent with the prevalence range of 21% to 44.4%( Approximately 40%), a suggested in the literature.Follow-up information at 90 days after stroke onset was available in 81.9% (913/1114) of all enrolled patients at admission. The main variables, such as NIHSS score,GCS score at admission and OCSP subtyes were comparable between patients with and without admission hyperglycemia 90 days follow-up information, indicating that the analyzed population was a good representation of the patients enrolled in our registry. Some findings suggest that patients with acute lacunar strokes (small subcortical infarcts caused by occlusion of small penetrating arterioles) have better outcomes with hyperglycemia [4] . In our study, we did not find this phenomenon.Our results indicated that patients with admission hyperglycemia were more likely to have a history of DM,dyslipisemia,stroke,smoking, which contrasts with the majority of previous studies. Complications of urinary tract infection and Pneumonia were not different between the two groups. In our study, admission hyperglycemia was significantly associated with death or dependency (mRS=3 to 6) in patients at 90 days after stroke onset, whereas the occurrence of stroke showed comparable results between the 2 groups. The potential confounding factors adjusted for in the multivariable logistic-regression analysis were selected as either confirmed effect factors for stroke outcomes in previous studies.Our findings confirmed that admission hyperglycemia remained an independent predictor for poor outcomes in stroke patients,even after adjusting for DM, in contrast with the previous studies[13, 15] reporting no significant outcome differences between patients with and without admission hyperglycemia when adjusted for admission glucose levels. Our findings highlight the concept of the clinical significance that early identification and treatment of admission hyperglycemia should be emphasized to improve the outcome of ischemic stroke in the Chinese population. Acute ischemic stroke patients with diabetes and hyperglycemia have a more intense procoagulant state compared with nondiabetic patients. This is related to glucose levels and provides a potential mechanism for the observed worse prognosis in such patients after acute stroke[17].There is ample animal literature suggesting plausible mechanisms by which glucose may exert a deleterious effect on ischemic brain, including cellular acidosis caused by anaerobic glycolysis, enhanced free radical production, increased blood-brain barrier permeability, impaired mitochondrial function, influx of intracellular Ca2+, and cellular edema[16]. Our results confirm the notion that poststroke hyperglycemia is a predictor of death,worse functional outcome, in acute IS patients. This association remains true regardless of stroke subtype or severity and in patients with and with-out diabetes. Although it remains unclear whether correcting elevated glucose in the acute phase after ischemic stroke is beneficial, it is apparent that admission hyperglycemia rapidly identifies patients at higher risk for poor outcomes in whom glucose levels should be closely monitored. Table 1. Clinical Characteristics of Patients With or Without Hyperglycemia After Ischemic Stroke Without Hyperglycemia With Hyperglycemia (n=601) (n=312) Sex,male 392(65.2%) 181(58.0%) 0.033 Age(median)y 67(57-75) 67(60-75) 0.034 History of Hypertension 325(54.1%) 169(54.2%) 0.979 History of DM 33/568(5.5%) 96/216(30.8%) 0.000 History of Dyslipisemia 24(4.0%) 57(18.3%) 0.000 Coronary heart disease 30(5.0%) 23(7.4%) 0.145 Atrial fibrillation 32(5.3%) 13(4.2%) 0.443 History of stroke 74(12.3%) 61(19.6%) 0.003 Smoking 222/380(36.8%) 85/227(27.2%) 0.004 Alcohol abuse 140/461(23.3%) 58/254(18.6%) 0.102 158.42±27.10 162.00±27.46 160(140-176) 160(144-180) 89.81±15.58 89.44±14.22 90(80-100) 89.5(80-97.75) NIHSS score(median) 6(3-9) 6(3-10) 0.370 GCS score (median) 15(15-15) 15(15-15) 0.581 Total cholesterol (mmol/L) 4.71±1.32 5.21±1.14 0.086 LDL cholesterol(mmol/L) 2.82±0.81 3.04±0.89 0.000 PTT sec. 30.32±5.31 30.15±5.14 0.400 INR 1.19±0.79 1.16±0.51 0.120 Pneumonia 65(10.5%) 35(11.2%) 0.726 Urinary tract infection 20(3.3%) 11(3.5%) 0.876 Total hospital stay, median (IQR), d 13(11-16) 15(13-17) 0.000 PACI 58(9.7%) 28(9.0%) TACI 352(58.6%) 179(57.4%) LACI 100(16.6%) 59(18.9%) POCI 91(15.1%) 46(14.7%) Characteristic P value Risk factors Systolic blood pressure (median)(mmHg) 0.104 Diastolic blood pressure (median)(mmHg) 0.729 OCSP subtypes 0.854 Data are presented as the mean value ± SD , median values with interquartile ranges (25th to 75th) or the number (%) of patients. 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