EuropeAid/135818/IH/SER/TZ Service Contract № FED/2016/375-441 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms" (Lot 2) INCEPTION REPORT 17 August 2016 (Version 1.1) This project is financed by the European Union This project is implemented by MWH Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report This Project is implemented by Consortium led by in cooperation with: Mott MacDonald PESCARES Italia Srl Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report This technical assistance operation is financed by the European Union, under the Cotonou Agreement, through the European Development Fund (EDF). The EDF is the main instrument funded by the EU Member States for providing Community aid for development cooperation in the African, Caribbean and Pacific States and the Overseas Countries. The authors take full responsibility for the contents of this report. The opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect the views of the European Union. This report is prepared solely for the use and benefit of the Contracting Authority. It is the result of an independent review, and neither the MWH Consortium, nor the authors accept or assume any responsibility or duty of care to any third party. Report Title Inception report Version Version 2.0 Date 17 August 2016 Prepared By Reviewer Niels Juhl Thomsen, KE1: Team leader/ Power Engineer Alejandro Saenz-Core, KE2: EE and RE Economist and Financing expert Anca Andreescu, Project Manager MWH iii Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report BASIC PROJECT DATA Project Title: Project ref. no: Service contract No: Date of contract signature: Contract duration: Total contracted amount (Euro): Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) EuropeAid/135818/IH/SER/TZ Recipient Ministry of Land, Water, Energy, and organisation: Environment, through Zanzibar Electricity Corporation (ZECO) Contact person: Maulid Shiraz Hassan Address, telephone number and e-mail: Head Office P:O:Box 235, Gulioni +255 774 386 247 [email protected] FED/2016/375-441 Contracting The Alternate National Authorising Authority: Officer (NAO) Contact person: Principal Secretary Address, telephone & Ministry of Finance fax number and eP.O.BOX 1154 Zanzibar, Tanzania mail: E: [email protected] T: +255 778 666664/5 th 7 June 2016 Contractor’s name MWH SA/NV and address: A: Nysdam Office Park, Avenue Reine Astrid, 92, B-1310 La Hulpe, Belgium www.mwhglobal.com 24 months Contact person: Ms Anca.Andreescu Address, telephone & A: Nysdam Office Park, Avenue Reine fax number and eAstrid, 92, B-1310 La Hulpe, Belgium mail: T: +32 (0) 2 655 22 78 M: +45 20 60 18 24 F: +32 (0) 2 655 22 80 E: [email protected] 1.152.700,00 EUR Project Team Leader Mr Niels Juhl Thomsen Address, telephone E: [email protected] number and e-mail: M: +255 (0) 774 771 229 Introduction Page 4 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report TABLE OF CONTENTS BASIC PROJECT DATA ........................................................................................................................................... IV TABLE OF CONTENTS ............................................................................................................................................. V LIST OF ANNEXES ......................................................................................................................................................... VIII LIST OF ACRONYMS ........................................................................................................................................................ IX 1 INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................................................................11 2 START SITUATION ..........................................................................................................................................14 3 4 2.1 COUNTRY BACKGROUND ..................................................................................................................................... 14 2.2 CURRENT STATE OF AFFAIRS IN THE ENERGY SECTOR................................................................................................. 14 2.2.1 The Power Sector ................................................................................................................................... 14 2.2.2 Energy Demand ...................................................................................................................................... 17 2.2.3 Current Energy Sector Priorities in Zanzibar Economic and Energy Policy Documents .......................... 17 2.2.4 Current Regulatory Vacuum ................................................................................................................... 18 2.2.5 Energy Efficiency .................................................................................................................................... 18 2.2.6 Institutions involved in the Energy Sector in Zanzibar ........................................................................... 19 2.3 RELEVANT PREVIOUS AND ONGOING PROGRAMMES/PROJECTS .................................................................................. 20 2.4 PROGRESS OF LOT 1 ........................................................................................................................................... 21 2.5 UPDATE OF THE TERMS OF REFERENCE ................................................................................................................... 22 2.6 ISSUES IDENTIFIED DURING INCEPTION PHASE .......................................................................................................... 22 2.6.1 Delays in implementation of EU Project Lot 1 ........................................................................................ 22 2.6.2 MCC withdrew its support in March 2016 ............................................................................................. 23 2.6.3 USAID is re-holding upcoming support. ................................................................................................. 23 2.6.4 Initial Training on PPPs and RE and EE projects requested by Contracting Authority ........................... 23 2.6.5 Electricity tariff does not sustain financial balance of ZECO. ................................................................. 23 2.6.6 Energy Statistics is deficient ................................................................................................................... 24 2.6.7 Vision for the energy sector is deficient ................................................................................................. 24 2.6.8 The SIDA Programme ............................................................................................................................. 24 2.6.9 Electricity Transmission Facilities ........................................................................................................... 24 2.6.10 Roads and terrestrial transportation paths ......................................................................................... 24 PROJECT SYNOPSIS ........................................................................................................................................25 3.1 OVERALL PROJECT OBJECTIVE ............................................................................................................................... 25 3.2 PROJECT PURPOSE ............................................................................................................................................. 25 3.3 RESULTS TO BE ACHIEVED..................................................................................................................................... 25 3.4 RELATION OBJECTIVES-RESULTS ............................................................................................................................ 25 3.5 RISKS AND ASSUMPTIONS .................................................................................................................................... 27 3.5.1 Assumptions ........................................................................................................................................... 27 3.5.2 Risks ....................................................................................................................................................... 28 METHODOLOGY AND APPROACH ..................................................................................................................31 ACTIVITY 1: OPPORTUNITIES ASSESSMENT OF RE/ EE TECHNOLOGIES FOR ZANZIBAR ................................................................ 31 Activity 1.1 Prepare Database for RE and EE .................................................................................................................31 Activity 1.2 Assessment of Results/Outcomes of Lot 1 Feasibility Studies ...................................................................32 Introduction Page 5 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Activity 1. Opportunity Assessment on RE & EE ................................................................................................................32 ACTIVITY 2: LEGAL, REGULATORY AND INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK FOR ZANZIBAR FOR RE & EE ................................................ 32 Activity 2.1 Review of Existing Regulatory Experiences and Best Practices ..................................................................32 Activity 2.2 Assessment of Effective Financial Incentives .............................................................................................33 Activity 2.3 Drafting legal, regulatory and institutional framework ..............................................................................33 ACTIVITY 3: SUPPORTING MECHANISMS INTRODUCED BY RGOZ AND GEARED TO THE PRIVATE PROJECT PROMOTERS ....................... 33 Activity 3.1 Review of international practices for supporting mechanisms (Enabling Framework) ..............................33 Activity 3.2 Assessment of suitability of support mechanisms .....................................................................................33 Activity 3.3 Preparing strategy of private sector supporting mechanisms ....................................................................34 ACTIVITY 4: TECHNICAL SUPPORT TO THE RGOZ FOR PRIVATE PROJECTS IMPLEMENTATION......................................................... 34 Activity 4.1 Support RGoZ in Private Sector Project Preparation ..................................................................................34 Activity 4.2 Prepare basis for decision on procurement procedures ............................................................................35 Activity 4.3 Possible Pilot projects ................................................................................................................................35 Activity 4.4 Assessing Possibilities for Biomass Power Plant Projects and Waste to Energy Options ...........................35 ACTIVITY 5: TECHNICAL SUPPORT TO THE RGOZ FOR STATE-RUN PROJECTS IMPLEMENTATION..................................................... 35 Activity 5.1 Identify Projects Suitable for Implementation by Government .................................................................36 Activity 5.2 Prepare Implementation Plan for Priority and Pilot Projects .....................................................................36 Activity 5.3 Assess Financing Options for Larger State-Run Projects ............................................................................36 Activity 5.4 Support to RGoZ for Implementing Projects ..............................................................................................36 ACTIVITY 6: TRAINING AND SUPPORT LEARNING PROCESS ..................................................................................................... 36 Activity 6.1 Perform Training Needs Assessment..........................................................................................................37 Activity 6.2 Prepare Training Plan .................................................................................................................................37 Activity 6.3 On the Job Training and Learning Processes ..............................................................................................37 ACTIVITY 7: COMMUNICATION AND VISIBILITY ................................................................................................................... 38 5 6 7 Activity 7.1 Prepare Communication and Visibility and Plan ........................................................................................38 Activity 7.2 Prepare Social Media Communication Strategy .........................................................................................39 Activity 7.3 Implement communication and visibility plan ...........................................................................................39 PROJECT RESOURCES .....................................................................................................................................39 5.1 HUMAN RESOURCES INPUT .................................................................................................................................. 39 5.2 IE BUDGET BREAKDOWN ..................................................................................................................................... 40 PROJECT MANAGEMENT AND COORDINATION .............................................................................................41 6.1 ROLES AND RESPONSIBILITIES ............................................................................................................................... 41 6.2 PROJECT ORGANISATION ..................................................................................................................................... 41 REPORTING AND DELIVERABLES ....................................................................................................................42 7.1 6-MONTHLY PROGRESS REPORTS .......................................................................................................................... 42 7.2 DRAFT FINAL REPORT AND FINAL REPORT ............................................................................................................... 42 7.3 TECHNICAL REPORTS........................................................................................................................................... 43 7.4 REPORT SUBMISSION AND APPROVAL PROCEDURE .................................................................................................... 43 8 MONITORING AND EVALUATION ...................................................................................................................45 9 LIST OF REFERENCES ......................................................................................................................................46 10 ANNEXES .....................................................................................................................................................48 ANNEX A: PROJECT TERMS OF REFERENCE ........................................................................................................................ 49 ANNEX B: UPDATED LOGFRAME ..................................................................................................................................... 50 ANNEX C: DRAFT WORK PLAN ....................................................................................................................................... 53 Introduction Page 6 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report ANNEX D: OUTLINES OF COMMUNICATION AND VISIBILITY PLAN .......................................................................................... 58 I. PURPOSE OF COMMUNICATION AND VISIBILITY ACTIVITIES ............................................................................................ 58 II. OVERALL COMMUNICATION OBJECTIVE .................................................................................................................... 58 III. COMMUNICATION GOAL AND OBJECTIVES ................................................................................................................ 58 IV. KEY MESSAGES ................................................................................................................................................... 59 V. TARGET GROUPS .................................................................................................................................................. 59 VI. COMMUNICATION TOOLS...................................................................................................................................... 59 ANNEX E: INDICATIVE ALLOCATION OF HUMAN RESOURCES ................................................................................................. 60 ANNEX F: LIST OF STEERING COMMITTEE MEMBERS AND TECHNICAL COMMITTEE MEMBERS .................................................... 62 List of the Steering Committee Members of the Zanzibar Renewable Energy Programme ..............................................62 List of the Technical Committee Members........................................................................................................................62 ANNEX G: MINUTES AND LIST OF PARTICIPANTS OF ZANZIBAR ENERGY DEVELOPMENT PARTNERS MEETING, 13TH JUNE 2016......... 63 ANNEX H: LIST OF STAKEHOLDERS. MEETINGS HELD DURING THE INCEPTION PHASE ................................................................. 67 List of Stakeholders identified ...........................................................................................................................................67 List of Stakeholders Meetings held during Inception Period .............................................................................................67 Introduction Page 7 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report List of Annexes Annex A Project Terms of Reference Annex B Updated LogFrame Annex C Draft Work Plan / Allocation of expert input/month Annex D Outlines of Communication and Visibility Plan Annex E Indicative Allocation of Human Resources per Activities Annex F List of Steering Committee Members and Technical Committee Members Annex G Minutes and List of Participants of Zanzibar Energy Development Partners Meeting, 13 th June 2016 Annex H List of Stakeholders. Meetings held during the Inception Phase Introduction Page 8 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report List of Acronyms ACP African, Caribbean and Pacific Countries ADF African Development Fund AEGF Africa Energy Guarantee Fund AfDB African Development Bank CA Contracting Authority CTF Clean Technology Fund DoEM Department of Energy and Minerals DP Development Partners EAC East African Community EBRD European Bank for Reconstruction and Development EC European Commission EDF European Development Fund EE Energy Efficiency EEP Energy and Environment Partnership EIB European Investment Bank ESIA Environmental and Social Impact Assessment ESIRSR Electricity Supply Industry Reform Strategy Roadmap EU European Union EUD EU Delegation FIT Feed-in Tariff GCCA Global Climate Change Alliance GEEREF Global Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Fund GHG Greenhouse Gas GIZ Die Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit GmbH IPP Independent Power Producer KE Key Expert KfW Kreditanstalt für Wiederafbau MCA Millennium Challenge Account MCC Millennium Challenge Corporation MDGs Millennium Development Goals MKUZA Swahili acronym for Zanzibar Strategy for Growth and Reduction of Poverty MoF&P Ministry of Finance and Planning MoFEA Ministry of Finance and Economic Affairs MoU Memorandum of Understanding NGOs Non-Governmental Agencies NKE Non-Key Expert PPA Power Purchase Agreement PPIAF Public-Private Infrastructure Advisory Facility PPP Public-Private Partnership PV Photo-Voltaic Introduction Page 9 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report RE Renewable Energy RES Renewable Energy Sources RGoZ Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar SCCF Special Climate Change Fund SEFA Sustainable Energy for Africa SPPA Standard Power Purchase Agreement TA Technical Assistance TANESCO Tanzania Electricity TL Team Leader ToR Terms of Reference WB World Bank ZCBE Zanzibar College of Business Education ZECO Zanzibar Electricity Company ZIP Zanzibar Investment Policy ZURA Zanzibar Utility Regulatory Authority Introduction Page 10 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report 1 INTRODUCTION This Inception Report describes how assistance will be delivered under the EU project “Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2)” (EuropeAid/135818/IH/SER/TZ), Service Contract №FED/2016/375-441, hereafter interchangeably referred to as “the Project” and/or “RE & EE Lot 2”. It is financed by the European Union, under the Cotonou Agreement, through the European Development Fund (EDF). The EDF is the main instrument funded by the EU Member States for providing Community aid for development cooperation in the African, Caribbean and Pacific States and the Overseas Countries. 1 The Project is part of the comprehensive EU programme in support of the RE and EE Initiative in Zanzibar that consisted of the preparatory TA “Bridging Phase”, a contract for supply and installation of wind and solar measurement equipment (under implementation) and two (2) TA contracts for the implementation of the programme via 2 lots: 2 > Lot 1: Wind Resource and Solar Potential Analysis and full scale Feasibility Studies of wind and solar farms in the perspective of developing 40 MW wind farms in Unguja, 4 MW in Pemba and solar farms1. > Lot 2: Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms – the present project. The RE & EE Lot 2 project is a 24-month technical assistance effort, whose main objective is to support the development of renewable energies in Zanzibar, promote implementation of energy efficiency and adequate regulatory and institutional framework through appropriate transfer of know-how and capacity developments of Key Stakeholders. 3 The contract is implemented by an international consortium, led by MWH SA/NV in cooperation with Mott MacDonald and PESCARES Italia Srl. The project contract was signed on 7th June 2016 and the project commenced on 13th June with Zanzibar Energy Development Partners Meeting considered also the project kick-off meeting. 4 The Beneficiary country is the United Republic of Tanzania – Zanzibar, and the Contracting Authority is The Alternate National Authorizing Officer (NAO) representing the Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar (RGoZ). 1 1 This 24-month project is divided into three project phases as follows: > Inception Phase: Months 1.5 (Inception Report: week 6). > Implementation Phase: Months 2-23 (draft Final Report: end of month 23). > Completion Phase: Month 24 (Final Report: end of month 24). During the Inception Phase (6 weeks), the Project Team established a well-founded basis for the Project’s implementation by setting up a project office at the Zanzibar Electricity Company (ZECO) and initiated the inception activities in accordance with the ToR and Technical Proposal. In this period, the Project Team concentrated mostly on: 2 > Familiarising with the state of play in the field and analyse the project start -up situation. > Meeting all the (available) stakeholders. > Reviewing the available project background information and lessons learnt. 1 The power plant sizes should be part of this assignment allowing for the absorption capacity of the grid and other technical-economic constraints Introduction Page 11 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report > Compiling a database of all relevant documentation obtained. > Adjusting the project activities on the basis of the inception period findings . > Updating the project work plan considering also the progress of lot 1 activities and partners expectations. > Charting the overall project planning for the forthcoming months of the Project implementation. The Inception Phase was extended by 2 weeks by the Contracting Authority’s no objection letter dated 22nd June and the Inception Report due date was fixed for 27th July 2016. 3 Next, the Project Implementation Phase will concentrate on the preparation and delivery of specified activities designed to deliver the agreed results of the Project. It will cover a period of 22 months (months 2 to 23) and includes seven major activities: 4 > Activity 1: Opportunities Assessment of RE/EE Technologies for Zanzibar. > Activity 2: Legal, Regulatory and Institutional Framework for Zanzibar for RE & EE . > Activity 3: Supporting Mechanisms Introduced by the RGoZ and Geared to the Private Project Promoters. > Activity 4: Technical Support to the RGoZ for Private Projects Implementation . > Activity 5: Technical Support to the RGoZ for State-run Projects Implementation. > Activity 6: Training and Know-How Transfer. > Activity 7: Communication and Visibility. Finally, the Project Completion phase will end up with the preparation and delivery of the Final Project Report and deliverables (24 month). 5 This Inception Report is the first deliverable under the EE & RE Lot 2 project. It contains a short description of the background, some of our initial thoughts gathered from the inception mission meetings with key stakeholders in Zanzibar in July 2016. 6 The report sets out minor revisions to the scope of work and the implementation plan, hence a revised workplan and schedule is provided. The report also provides a list of documents collected/reviewed to date. The consultants also set out some of the initial findings, conclusions and next steps for the project. 7 8 9 The report sections content covers the following main aspects: > Section 1: Introduces the project, briefly describes the Inception period and the content of Inception Report, as well as its initial findings. > Section 2: Defines the start situation of the project. > Section 3: The project synopsis. > Section 4: Presents the adjusted project methodology and approach for implementation of the project activities. > Section 5: The available project resources. > Section 6: Describes the project organisation and management structure. > Section 7: Describes the project reporting and deliverables. > Section 8: Covers monitoring and evaluation. The Annexes contain additional information complementing the information provided in each section. Initial findings. The Project core team addressed the project’s assumptions and the risk of data availability, identifying the main stakeholders and interviewing them, requesting for information, and understanding the stakeholders’ capacity building need vis-à-vis the project development and implementation. 10 Introduction Page 12 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Despite the existence of the Zanzibar 2020 Vision, which proposes more diversified priorities and objectives than the MKUZA II, RGoZ, October 2011; the team of consultants found a lack of shared Vision and coordination among the stakeholders, which also reflects a lack of coordination at donors’ level. Unfortunately, this produces overlap, loss of time and money not only on the beneficiary’ side but also in the donors’ one. Many reports have been prepared, describing the energy sector in many details and recommending policies for their specific focus. However, the status of these documents is as posts from parties and not compiled into a Government adopted Vision for the sector as a whole. 11 In all the meetings with stakeholders, the team of consultants has highlighted the need for a common Vision in order to engage and create consensus and convey the message on building and enabling environment for the private sector investment. 12 In addition, during these meetings the team of consultants discussed the capacity building gaps and needs covering various topics, such as Power Demand Methods and tools, and Public-Private Partnership training, among others. 13 14 Initial conclusions and next steps. > Absence of common Vision would create problems in developing strategies, strategic plans, and action plans putting at risk the implementation of tangibles RE and EE projects. > Absence of standards, internal rules and codes, which is fundamental for controlling efficiency of the electric devices entering Zanzibar. > Absence of methods for applying international Best Practices. > The next steps will be focused on developing the project’s scope of work, encouraging stakeholders’ in adopting a common vision, and providing capacity building to main project beneficiaries (in particular, ZECO) meeting their needs and fulfilling the gaps. Acknowledgement Finally, MWH consortium would like to acknowledge the kind cooperation provided by the staff of ZECO to the project team during the inception report. In addition, we wish to thank the officials of the Ministry of Finance and other public stakeholders who kindly shared their time and insights of the development of the EU RE & EE Lot 2 as a part of the EU support to the energy sector in Zanzibar. 15 Introduction Page 13 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report 2 2.1 START SITUATION Country Background Zanzibar is a semi-autonomous region of Tanzania in Eastern Africa. It is composed of the Zanzibar Archipelago (in the Indian Ocean), at 25–50 kilometres (16–31 mi) off the coast of the mainland, and it consists of many small islands and two large ones: Unguja (the main island, referred to informally as Zanzibar) and Pemba. The capital is Zanzibar City, located on the island of Unguja. Its historic centre is Stone Town, which is a World Heritage Site. Unguja has an area of 1,464 square kilometres while Pemba has a land area of 868 square kilometres. Zanzibar has a small but rapidly growing population. According to the 2012 Census the total population of Zanzibar was 1.3 million inhabitants of whom 45.5% is living in Mjini Magharibi Region that is one of three regions on Unguja and the Regions with Zanzibar town.2 16 In 2012 the average Household Size in Tanzania Mainland was 4.8 persons per household and 5.1 people per household in Zanzibar. The population growth rate is estimated to be 3.1 % annually, which exerts an increasing pressure on the infrastructure and resources, including the energy supply structures and resources. The gross domestic product (GDP) estimates at current prices reached TZS 1,198.0 billion in 2011 compared to TZS 946.8 billion in 2010. 17 The GDP growth rate was 6.4 % in 2010, 6.8 % in 2011, and increased in 2014 to 7.2 %. The major activities contributing to the GDP are Agriculture, Fishing, Trade, Tourism, and Services. 18 Zanzibar's main contributors to GDP are spices, raffia, and tourism. In particular, the islands produces cloves, nutmeg, cinnamon, and black pepper. 19 The majority of the energy use is fuel wood for domestic use and it is mostly used as open fire for cooking. Some more efficient devices are available, but not widely used. Fossil fuels are used in the urban commercial and domestic sectors. In the urban areas the use of bottled gas for cooking is getting common, while charcoal remains the most widely used. Electricity use for cooking is still rare, even though electric appliances for cooking are available on the market. Previously kerosene was widely used for cooking in urban areas, but it has now been replaced by bottled gas. 20 The land transport sector is running predominately on fossil fuels. The majority of marine transport is based on fossil fuel as well, sailing being very rare. 21 Both Unguja and Pemba islands have a well-developed road network, no community being further than 15 Km from a main road. The remotest parts of both islands are their Northern tips which are only reachable by unsealed roads. However, roads are narrow at some points and harbours are not well equipped to handle large and heavy cargo. 22 2.2 Current State of Affairs in the Energy Sector 2.2.1 The Power Sector The Department of Energy and Minerals (DoEM) within the Ministry of Land, Housing, Water, and Energy (MoLWEE) has the overall responsibility for energy issues in Zanzibar. Electricity is supplied by the national power utility Zanzibar Electricity Corporation (ZECO), which is fully owned by the Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar (RGoZ). 23 2 Wikipedia Start Situation Page 14 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report The power sector in Zanzibar was for a long period characterized by different problems such as load shedding due to lack of power capacity, high technical and non-technical losses, tariffs that do not fully reflect costs, low collection rates, and low capacity of the utility organization.3 24 From 21 May to 19 June 2008, Unguja suffered from a major failure of its electric infrastructure, which left the island mostly dependent on diesel generators. The failure originated in mainland Tanzania. Another blackout happened from 10 December 2009 to 23 March 2010, caused by a problem with the submarine cable that supplied electricity from mainland Tanzania. This inflicted a serious shock to Unguja's fragile economy. 25 Unguja (Zanzibar Island) is supplied with electricity from mainland Tanzania through a 39-kilometer, 100megawatt submarine cable from Ras Kiromoni (near Dar as Salaam) to Ras Fumba on Unguja. The construction works begun in October 2012 by the Viscas Corporation of Japan and was funded by a US$28.1 million grant from the United States through the Millennium Challenge Corporation. The cable became operational in April 2013. 26 The previous 35-megawatt cable was built by Norway in 1980. Following the inauguration of the new 100 MW cable, the 35 MW cable has been refurbished and it is operational as backup capacity. 27 Since May 2010, Pemba Island has had a 75-kilometer, 20-megawatt, subsea cable directly to mainland Tanzania. The cable project was financed through a 45 million euro grant from Norway, contributions of 8 million euros from the Zanzibar government and 4 million euros from the Tanzanian republic government. The project ended years of dependence on the unreliable diesel, which generated frequent power cuts. Only about 20 per cent of the cable's capacity was being used in January 2011, so it is anticipated that the cable will meet the island's needs for 20 to 25 years. 28 ZECO holds a monopoly over the transmission grid and the distribution in the Archipelago. A 132 kV 100 MW cable is feeding the Unguja Island from Tanzania mainland through a transformer station located in Zanzibar Town. The entire Unguja Island is being alimented from this main transformer. 29 The transmission and distribution system on Unguja is structured as radial single lines, and not in closed loop circuits, entailing that any failure anywhere on the single transmission line causes power cuts from the point of failure. ZECO have plans to construct transmission lines to create closed loop circuits, thus eliminating failure of transmission lines to cause power cut. This however will not eliminate the power cuts caused by failure of the distribution lines, but improves the security of service delivery. 30 A 33kV 20MW cable from Tanzania Mainland supply Pemba Island, and the main transformer is located close to Chake Chake, This is the major transformer on the island and from here the Pemba Island is supplied. Also at Pemba the transmission and distribution lines are as radial single lines, causing power cuts when one of the single lines is failing. 31 The overall coverage of the distribution grid is high, with hamlets in all communities. However, not all households are connected and houses too far from the hamlets can only be connected via ordinary cables with huge (distance) losses or high costs connections with small scale transformers/inverters. It is estimated that 90 % of all households could connect to the grid without difficulties, but only a little more than 50 % are actually connected. Those who do not connect have a variety of reasons not to, with affordability (poverty) believed to be the dominant reason. 32 The supply from the mainland is stable and sufficient to sustain the present load. However, the stability of the grid and power cuts outside Zanzibar town is reported to be regular. The losses in the system are around 23% according to a ZECO analysis4. The estimated losses figure includes technical losses and consumption not paid for by private customers, but is not considering the lack of payment from some Government organisations. Efforts to 33 3 http://www.swedenabroad.com/en-GB/Embassies/Dar-es-Salaam/Current-affairs/News/Support-to-the-Energy-Sector-in-Zanzibar-sys/ 4 Electricity Loss Reduction Study (MCC) Start Situation Page 15 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report reduce the loss is initiated, among others by a SIDA 5 funded programme addressing the issue and also the financial deficit by analysing not only the losses, but the consumer tariff too. On the other hand, ZECO is not paying in full for the electricity supply it receives from TANESCO (only around 50% of the bill is paid). How long this situation can continue for is unknown. For all practical reasons, ZECO’s perception of costs that could be entered into a PPA is not the full costs, but half of TANESCO’s official rate, which is creating a barrier as no IPP can produce at such cost. ZURA is preparing a new tariff for ZECO’s costumers, one which should cover the full costs of ZECO’ operation. However, it is not known if this tariff will include sorting out the back lock accumulated in TANESCO, and if so the leap in the tariff will be substantial. 34 In 2003, as a way of tackling some of the problems that the energy sector was facing, the RGoZ requested Sweden to support the development of the energy sector. In response, Sweden financed a Diagnostic Study of the Energy Sector in 2004/2005, which proposed a three-phase Energy Sector Programme covering policy framework, governance and technical issues. 35 Based on the recommendations from the Diagnostic Study, a Phase I of the Energy Sector Programme for Zanzibar was financed by Sweden and implemented from 2007 to mid-2010. 36 The programme covered two main components: Financial Turn-Around of ZECO, and Support to the DoEM in the development of a draft Energy Policy. The House of Representatives approved the draft Energy policy in 2009. Subsequently, DoEM has formulated a Policy Implementation Plan. 37 At the end of Phase I, the general conclusion was that even though the programme had been appropriate, efficient and very timely, the level of support needed in order for the Financial Turn-Around part of the programme to be sustainable was underestimated. The administrative and operational capacities of ZECO were lower than expected and the targets set for the programme had been unrealistic and too ambitious. As a result of Phase I, the financial and technical situation of ZECO has improved in some areas, however much remains to be done in order for ZECO to be a financially sound utility. 38 In 2011, MoLWEE submitted a project document to Sweden including a proposal for a Phase II programme in accordance with the three-phase Energy Sector Programme proposed by the Diagnostic Study. Prior to making a decision to support a continuation, in 2013 Sweden commissioned a study to evaluate the capacity of ZECO and DoEM, which is now under execution. 39 The consumer confidence in continued supply seems to be low, judged by the widespread presence of diesel generators, even in Zanzibar Town. Many of these could stem back from the time when the sea cable from Mainland Tanzania failed. Though large diesel generators were installed at the time and the failing 35MW sea cable is now operational as a backup, continued supply should be secured by the combined capacity. However, though the generators are maintained and regularly fired up, the cost of production is in the high end of USc 40ies, indeed making RE competitive. Further, the pipeline for oil supply from the harbour is no longer operational. ZECO considers transport by truck to be possible, but this will add to the price and could show to be a logistical challenge – not only for ZECO, but also in terms of transporting capacity as vehicles will not be available for their normal duties. 40 The transmission grid on both islands is dimensioned to deliver the load to various load centres on the islands, consequently it does not have sufficient capacity to transmit power generated by larger renewable energy plants. The exact capacity that can be transmitted is not known at present, but more than 1MW connected to one of the sub-stations might not be possible. 41 The present situation is that any larger renewable energy plant will have to be connected to the main transformers near Zanzibar Town and on Pemba near Chake Chake. This will add considerable costs of 42 5 Energy Sector Project support Consolidation Phase Start Situation Page 16 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report implementing larger renewable energy capacity and the capacity of the transformers also determinates the upper limit for the capacity of renewable energy installations. However, when the demand exceeds the capacity of the transformer, an extension of this is needed. 2.2.2 Energy Demand The energy demand is projected to increase by 11% per year according to Zanzibar Planning Commission, and 13% in the Vision 2020 scenario. The total demand will reach 735 GWh by 2020 and 2,719 GWh by 2032, starting from an un-constrained demand of 287 GWh in 2011. 43 “These projections indicate that Zanzibar’s power sector needs major investments in order to ensure that a rapidly growing demand is met. In addition there is concern about the present 100% dependence of Zanzibar on electricity supplied solely from Mainland Tanzania, creating the risk of fluctuating electricity prices, which is driven by the widely fluctuating international price of energy and by the prospects for rising electricity production cost in the Tanzania mainland.” 44 The high growth rate of demand in Zanzibar is not a new effect. The demand for electricity has grown fast and the amount of billed electricity increased with more than 50 % from year 2003 to year 2007. The highest increase can be seen in the medium sized industries sector, where the tourism sector consisted of a large proportion. 45 2.2.3 46 47 Current Energy Sector Priorities in Zanzibar Economic and Energy Policy Documents The strategic priorities for the energy sector in Zanzibar are detailed in the following official documents: > The Zanzibar Strategy for Growth and Reduction of Poverty 2010-2015 (MKUZA II) document of the Revolutionary Government of Zanzibar - the document deals only marginally with electricity and identifies security of supply and environment as the main concerns, RGoZ, October 2010. > The Revisited Zanzibar 2020 Vision which proposes more diversified priorities and objective s than the MKUZA II, RGoZ, October 2011. > Zanzibar Energy Policy, Ministry of Water, Construction, Energy and Land, 8th December 2009. > The Strategic Plan 2011-2015, Ministry of Land, Hosing, Water and Energy, July 2011. > The Business Plan of the Zanzibar Electricity Corporation (ZECO) from 2010/2011 to 2013/2014 (Zanzibar Electricity Corporation), which prioritizes reliability of supply and access (it envisages 7 000 new grid-based connections annually), ZECO, March 2012. Overview of energy priorities in Zanzibar (October 2011)6 is presented in Table below. MKUZA II (1) Energy Independence Energy Security 6 2020 VISION (2) ENERGY POLICY (3) High priority Medium priority High priority High priority STRATEGIC PLAN (4) ZECO BUSINESS PLAN (5) High priority High priority Medium priority (>Local Capacity) References: (1) The Zanzibar Strategy for Growth and Reduction of Poverty: 2011-2015 MKUZA II, RGoZ, October 2010. (2) The Revisited Zanzibar Vision 2020, RGoZ, October 2011. (3) Zanzibar Energy Policy, Ministry of Water, Construction, Energy and Land, 8th December 2009. (4) The Strategic Plan 2011-2015, Ministry of Land, Hosing, Water and Energy, July 2011 (5) ZECO Business Plan 2010/2011 to 2013/14, ZECO, March 2012. (6) ZECO’s Electrification Master Plan (EMP) 2015-2030 includes ambitions related to increased share of electricity supply from domestically produced renewable energy sources. Start Situation Page 17 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Cost of Production Medium priority GHG Emissions Energy Access High priority 48 Low priority High priority High priority Low priority High priority (>RE) Low priority Medium priority High priority Preliminary indications suggest that the main priorities of the Zanzibar Government in the energy sector are: (i) Reliability of supply, particularly in light of the dramatic consequences of the 2009-10 power cut and present occasional power shedding. (ii) Energy independence, due to projected price escalation of electricity supplied by TANESCO (Tanzania Mainland Electricity Company). (iii) Cost of energy production with regard to affordability and competitiveness concerns. (iv) Environmental considerations. Remarks: Main part of these documents need to be updated and new revisions prepared. Energy issues can only be addressed through building a common Vision, and an integrated approach (coordination), combining better legislation and regulation, promotion of renewable energy sources and energy efficiency projects, decentralised solutions in rural areas, better management of forests resources and integration of climate change issues in all response strategies. New legislation related to RE and EE should be developed, including potential IPP projects. 2.2.4 Current Regulatory Vacuum No regulation is in place for Independent Power Producers. The Ministry of Land, Water, Energy, and Environment has received 16 expressions of interest to supply electricity as Independent Power Producers. Some have expressed interest and had meetings with the ministry and ZECO, but for a good part of the interested companies, they have not followed up on these meetings. 49 As no regulation for IPPs is in force, the terms and conditions for IPPs are not known. The major question on financial, legal, and technical regulation needs to be answered before IPPs can invest. Large areas to the NE and SE of Unguja have been prioritised for wind and solar farms. However, if these farms have a substantial generation capacity, the question of payment for the transmission line to connect to the transformer in Zanzibar Town is not yet determined, nor is the feed-in tariff or the technical requirement for feeding in on the grid/transformers. If the transmission lines are decided to be owned and operated by IPPs, third party access must be secured without being subject to unfair pricing, thus hampering development. 50 Other possibilities are not regulated, such as a major consumer is producing first and foremost for own consumption and exchange surplus and deficit with the grid. That could be a potential threat to the financial position of ZECO. If major consumers start producing for own use, then ZECO will still have to maintain full capacity to supply, and as the capacity is only partly used, the costs for ZECO will have to be covered by less consumption. In the present situation, ZECO does not have an answer to this question, as major consumers are unable to deliver their excess production to the grid due to capacity constraints. However, at present a 1kW solar panel is priced at app 1200USD, but new technology is already available for less than 50 USD for 1 kW, making the financial threat very real for ZECO. 51 ZECO should participate in the preparation of the regulation and conditions of these potential renewable energy projects, including ZECO as the Single-Buyer of production from any new renewable energy deployment. 52 2.2.5 Energy Efficiency Energy Efficiency is a wide concept involving all sectors. Only little has happened so far. People and commercial entities are aware of their electricity bill and try to minimise the use, but with little success. Dissemination campaigns and pilot projects can help, but must be continuously repeated not to lose effect. At present no regulation or standards on technologies are enforced. Thus, all kinds of inefficient technologies are 53 Start Situation Page 18 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report used. Building codes for buildings using cooling or water heating do not exist, vehicles are emitting un-combusted fuel and running inefficiently, and the use of inefficient two stroke engines is still widespread (road and maritime). The potential for increasing the energy efficiency seems huge. Between 70% and 75%of the electricity distributed is used domestically while less than 20 % is used industrially. Fuel wood, charcoal and kerosene are widely used as sources of energy for cooking and lighting for most rural and urban areas. The consumption capacity of petroleum, gas, oil, kerosene and industrial diesel oil is increasing annually, going from a total of 5,650 tons consumed in 1997 to more than 7,500 tons in 1999. 54 The energy coefficient is not known, but the economy of Zanzibar grew 7% in 2014 and the population somewhat less. In 2014 the energy consumption grew more than 7%, thus showing an energy coefficient of more than one. 55 Considering the level of use of energy by the majority of the population, an energy coefficient below one is not within reach for a foreseeable time. However, the energy could be used much more efficiently. As there are no regulations on the use of technology or regulation on maintenance (regular tests) there is an untapped potential for improving the financial situation for consumers and the economy of Zanzibar. 56 Unfortunately, Zanzibar does not have a common Vision on sustainable tourism, and sustainable economic activities. 57 2.2.6 Institutions involved in the Energy Sector in Zanzibar Government institution Role and responsibilities Ministry of Land, Housing, Water and Energy Overall responsible for the energy sector in Zanzibar. Ministry of Finance The Ministry of Finance has an important role with regard to regulation. Department of Energy and Minerals (DoEM) The Department of Energy and Minerals, within the Ministry of Land, Housing, Water, and Energy (MLHWE) has the overall responsibility for energy issues in Zanzibar and is in charge of Energy policy implementation and monitoring. It is responsible for coordination of matters related to regional and international conventions and protocols on environmental affairs.7 It regulates the sector, including tariff, supervises energy sector public enterprises, e.g. ZECO. One division is in charge with renewable energy, one division with energy efficiency. Directorate of Policy and Planning The Directorate is in charge of policies and planning for all the sectors covered by the Ministry of Land, Housing, Water, including energy. Zanzibar Electricity Corporation (ZECO) The vertically integrated public company ZECO (Zanzibar Electricity Corporation), operating under the ZECO Act 2006, is the only electricity company in the archipelago; it supplies power to the two islands of Unguja and Pemba mainly through two submarine cables from the mainland, under a power purchase agreement with TANESCO. Zanzibar Utility Regulatory Authority (ZURA) Created in April 2013. It is unclear whether it is already fully functional at the time of writing. This will have to be clarified during the inception phase. Tanzania Electric Supply Company (TANESCO) Tanzania Electric Supply Company Limited (TANESCO) is a parastatal organization under the Ministry of Energy and Minerals. The Company generates, transmits, distributes and sells electricity to Tanzania Mainland and sells bulk power to the Zanzibar Electricity Corporation (ZECO) which in turn sells it to the public in the islands. The Department of Forestry of the Ministry of Agriculture and Natural Resources This department is engaged in the household cooking energy sector and improved cook stoves. 7 ZEP 2013. Start Situation Page 19 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Remark: The Ministry of Finance also has a large regulatory role and influence (e.g. on the fossil fuel trading) exerted through the Public Investment Commissioner, acting under the regulations of the Public Investment Act of 2002. At present, however, there is limited capacity to regulate energy supply and demand, and more efforts are needed to reinforce DoEM (Policy Maker) and ZURA (Regulatory and Enforcement Agency). 2.3 Relevant Previous and Ongoing Programmes/Projects The Project draws on the experience and benefit from past and present large-scale EU and other donorsfunded technical assistance projects in renewable energy and energy efficiency as presented below. 58 Previous Assistance in the Energy Sector Emergency Diesel Power Plant (NORAD) The construction and installation of a 25MW emergency diesel power plant at Mtoni, funded by NORAD, was completed in 2010. Tanga to Pemba Submarine Cable (NORAD) The construction and installation of a submarine cable (33kV 20MW) from Tanga on mainland Tanzania to Pemba Island, funded by NORAD, was completed in June 2010. Capacity Rural Electrification Program (REP) – Phase IV (NORAD) Rural Electrification Program (REP) – Phase IV extension funded by NORAD started on August 2006 and was completed in October 2010. About 100 villages on Unguja and Pemba islands have been electrified and construction and installation of about 3.2km submarine cable to Tumbatu Island including construction of distribution network. Dar-as-Salaam to Unguja Second Submarine Cable (MCC) The construction and installation of the second submarine cable (132 kV, 100 MW) with a new power station consisting of two 132/33kV, 60 MVA transformers, funded by MCC, was commissioned in April 2013. Electricity Loss Reduction Study (MCC) Technical and commercial loss reduction study, including training, was performed for TANESCO and ZECO during 2010/2011. The study establishes the level of system losses, allocated between technical and non-technical losses. Extension of the 33 kV distribution line from Mtoni substation to Tunguu, Mahonda and Fumba (JICA) The extension of the 33 kV distribution line from Mtoni substation to Tunguu, Mahonda and Fumba. Unguja Island Reinforcement of Power Distribution (Belgium) Project for the Reinforcement of Power Distribution in Unguja Island and concerns a 33/11 kV Mpendae substation and network rehabilitation. Technical Assistance to DoEM for an Energy Efficiency awareness campaign (UNDAP) TA to DoEM for an Energy Efficiency awareness campaign combined with review of legislation, review of tax for importations and promotion of gas rather than firewood. On-going Relevant Programmes/Projects in Zanzibar Energy Sector Zanzibar Renewable Energies and Energy Efficiency Programme This includes the supply and installation of wind and solar measurement equipment (separately contracted) and the recruitment of consultancy services for the implementation of the programme in 2 lots: the present study work (Lot 1) and technical assistance for the implementation of RE and EE projects to be separately contracted as Lot 2. The current project is Lot 2 of the Programme. Lot 1: Wind and Solar Potential Analysis and Feasibility Studies of Power Plants The project specific objective is focused on a dedicated region (Zanzibar) and on the development of renewable energy technology and their application, and will also contribute to the promotion of implementing energy efficiency programmes and adequate regulatory and institutional developments. Feasibility study to assess wind potential in the perspective of developing 40 MW in Unguja and 4 MW in Pemba islands. Start Situation Page 20 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Technical Assistance to prepare the regulatory reforms for RE and EE, including the assessment of solar, small-scale wind power and biomass development opportunities. Highly relevant to Lot 2 project. Capacity Building Programme on Maintenance in ZECO (NORAD) The project runs 2014 – 2018 and has a total budget of $ 10m, funded by NORAD and implemented by Multi Consult. It deals with: replacement of the poles of the existing 33 kV systems where the poles have reached the end of their technical life, as well as grid extension and the provision of a submarine cable from Tanga to Pemba. The project prepared the Electrification Masterplan in 2014 and ZECO has been mapped in a GIS system. A feasibility study has been prepared for a 5 MW solar PV farm in north eastern Zanzibar. This could be further adjusted once GOPA data become available. Relevant assistance. Coordination needed. Energy Sector Project support Consolidation Phase (SIDA II) A 3-year project funded by SIDA at the total budget of $ 5,5 and implemented by Multi Consult. The support is mainly dedicated to ZECO (TA to the reform process and about 50% for new meters and equipment) and DoEM ($ 450,000). This assignment will include a gender strategy focusing on the women in the ZECO work force. There are areas with possible overlap/duplication with Lot 2 such as support to DoEM, energy efficiency and awareness activities. Need for close consultation and cooperation between the 2 projects is required. 2.4 Progress of Lot 1 The TOR of Lot 1 cover Analysis of the Wind Resource and Solar Radiation and full scale Feasibility Studies of wind and solar farms. Lot 1 is under implementation by GOPA International Energy Consultants. Five measuring masts have been built by an Italian Company. 59 From our Team of Consultants and the Minister of Finance and ZECO representatives’ discussions, the RGoZ requested to the European Union to cancel the contract with the Italian company under reasons of underperforming during the implementation of the masts. At present, only three of the five masts are generating data. 60 61 The last quarterly monitoring report available8 details the detected deviations and deficiencies such as: The Met mast and instrument installation are not in accordance with technical standard (IEC 61400-12-1, Annex G) including but not limited to: > Mast top configuration/dimensions. > Bended booms and sensors. > Cables not properly fixed. In addition, the quarterly monitoring report warns about missing documents/information URGENTLY REQUIRED for correct evaluation, such as: Corrected/Completed installation drawings (as built) with all missing detailed information including but not limited to 62 8 > : > Height, direction (boom orientation) & serial number of each installed sensor, > Alignment of met mast (booms, guy wires, lightning rods), > Technical drawings of met mast including all dimensions of met mast and all relevant parts (booms, lightning rod, etc.). > Installation documentation including information on all relevant details including but not limited to: > Channel assignment, Quarterly Report for Wind Resource Analysis - Project Sites in Unguja and Pemba - Report 02: 11/2015-02/2016 Start Situation Page 21 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report > Data logger adjustments (slope and offset, etc.), > Photo documentation of met mast installation, sensors, and site Further details could be found in the Quarterly Report for Wind Resource Analysis - Project Sites in Unguja and Pemba - Report 02: 11/2015-02/2016. 63 Remark: It is necessary to highlight that the success of Lot 2 project will be depending partly on reliable data quality inputs from project Lot 1; our Team of Consultants will have regular consultations with Lot 1 consultants and stakeholders, prior even to the results, will allow to keep abreast of the development of data. 2.5 Update of the Terms of Reference Based on the findings and analysis of the inception phase, the project team has updated the ToR to reflect developments in the implementation environment. These are summarised below. 64 In the project Background it is stated that the higher GDP per capita at Zanzibar compared to mainland Tanzania is “illustrating the higher standard of living of Zanzibar and higher capacity to pay for energy services”. This is not necessary a valid statement as it is not taking into account the income distribution. Only an analysis of the income distribution can show if the higher GDP per capita is for all levels of income. If the owners of facilities generating income are dragging the average up, then only this segment of the population will have a higher capacity to pay. 65 Activity 6 is named “Training and know-how transfer”. Already during the preparation of the ToR it was disputed from the beneficiary that “know-how transfer” is not an unambiguous term and will henceforth be referred to as “learning process”. In the ToR know-how and information seemingly is used as expressing the same. ZECO has expressed that learning from other systems introducing large proportions of renewable energy should be given priority. For the time being Zanzibar is supplied with electricity through the cable connecting it to the mainland and this cable has a larger capacity than what is currently needed. This situation can only prevail as long as the capacity to feed into the cable from the mainland is sufficient to satisfy the demand in Zanzibar and as long as the needed capacity doesn’t exceed the capacity of the cable. When this will no longer be valid, production capacity should be available in Zanzibar. It is therefore proposed that ZECO allocates resources (travel costs) to engage in a “mentor” arrangement that can provide information and support through a learning process, to help ZECO face its challenges. ZECO should visit its “mentor” and keep contact for advice. The resources made available for the Project are sufficient for including a “mentor”. 66 The ToR includes reference to activities on desalination. During the Inception Phase it has been revealed that desalination and fresh water supply from wells is not an issue in Zanzibar, though distribution is an issue. Some small islands do have problems, and some small-scale desalination could be considered. It should be noted that desalinated water is expensive and not suitable for irrigation, unless produced via fine distillation. 67 2.6 Issues Identified during Inception Phase 2.6.1 Delays in implementation of EU Project Lot 1 During the project team visits to different sites part of the EU Project Lot 1, it was noticed that the Measurement Masts were not operating as expected, and that the execution of the project was on delay. In addition, it seems these measurements would be of insufficient quality as regards Lot 1 feasibility studies. 68 As it was mentioned above in the item 2.3 Progress Lot 1, the RGoZ has requested the cancelation of the contract with the current contractor. This is putting under risk the interrelated activities under Lot 2, unless Lot 1 ensures sufficient data/quality of data collection for inputs. 69 Start Situation Page 22 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report 2.6.2 MCC withdrew its support in March 2016 An additional risk has been identified: EU withdrawing its support, following MCC (US Government organisation Millennium Challenge Corporation) withdrawing its support in March 2016. 70 MCC justified its withdrawal of support (which could be EU’s argument as well) with the following statement: “MCC’s model has a partner country’s commitment to democracy and free and fair elections at its core. The elections in Zanzibar and application of the Cybercrimes Act run counter to this commitment. As a result, while the United States and Tanzania continue to share many priorities, the MCC Board of Directors determined that the Government of Tanzania has engaged in a pattern of actions inconsistent with MCC’s eligibility criteria, and voted to suspend the agency’s partnership with the Government of Tanzania. MCC will therefore cease all activities related to the development of a second compact with Tanzania.” 9 71 2.6.3 USAID is re-holding upcoming support. In line with MCC, USAID is also considering their support, though in a more silent mode. USAID continue to sustain its on-going assistance, but is discreetly postponing or cancelling assistance not firmly committed. Department of Environment was in the process of receiving support from USAID, but the process has been postponed. 72 2.6.4 Initial Training on PPPs and RE and EE projects requested by Contracting Authority On July 8, 2016, during a meeting with the Contracting Authority (Ministry of Finance and Planning), a discussion on Project issues occurred. The discussion was about a brief introduction of different models for Public Private Partnership, and further different models for Power Purchase Agreement and Independent Power Producers. Training Gap analysis was discussed as well, and the MoF&P noted that they might need some initial introduction to PPP models, Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency in order to understand what sort of training is actually needed. To help the MoF&P the first part of the way to understand the need for training, it was agreed to meet and discuss the contents of a preliminary introduction to be provided by the REEE Experts. As next steps, the MoF&P plans to define an internal group interested in participate and to provide a potential date to make the training, which is expected to take place at mid-July. REEE Experts will prepare the materials accordingly. Outputs will be reported after the training. 73 2.6.5 Electricity tariff does not sustain financial balance of ZECO. A major barrier for introducing RE and EE in the ZECO system is that the present tariff of ZECO does not reflect the costs of the electricity distributed. Further, ZECO is not paying the full amount due for deliveries from TANESCO, as the tariff in Zanzibar does not provide sufficient revenue, especially as some of the public institutions do not pay the electricity bill to ZECO. 74 If a PPA is introduced, it would have to reflect the full costs of production, and that would be much higher than the actual (factual) payment to TANESCO, thus further weakening the financial position of ZECO. 75 Presently ZURA is preparing regulation of electricity prices based on actual costs. Tariff was previously dictated by the government and not based on an estimate of the real costs. If ZECO, through ZURA’s regulation, got the foundation for achieving financial balance, it would require a major increase in the electricity tariff, not only to reflect the present costs, but also the sort out the back-lock with TANESCO. 76 ZECO’s financial imbalance is not sorted out by introducing a real cost tariff, as it has to be much higher than the present ruling tariff. A major leap in the tariff for the consumers could result in even fewer costumers paying and increased looting. An even bigger risk for ZECO’s financial position is that households, major consumers, 77 9 Article available at https://www.mcc.gov/news-and-events/release/stmt-032816-tanzania-partnership-suspended Start Situation Page 23 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report resorts and hotels will start producing from PV for own consumption, thus reducing the revenue generating sale for ZECO. A major leap in the electricity tariff could on the other hand be a benefit for EE, as it could start concern on the use of electricity and the appliances used. A major electricity saving could be conversion of electric water heaters systems into solar thermal water heaters. Electric water heaters are widely used by hotels, resorts, private houses, restaurants, and offices. A large proportion of these are installed in places with plenty of space for installing thermal solar heaters. 78 2.6.6 Energy Statistics is deficient During the Inception period, an energy balance for Zanzibar has been pursued. Fragments and out-dated information was found, but no valid energy balance based on reliable statistical figures was found. The analysis of the energy sector is therefore based on estimates and assumptions, making any conclusions uneasy. The electricity sector is well documented and well described with solid statistics. SIDA has started efforts to support Department of Energy & Minerals to prepare energy statistics and preparing yearly energy balance. 79 2.6.7 Vision for the energy sector is deficient During the inception, no committed compiled vision for the energy sector was identified. Fragments of a vision, resting with different ministries and departments, are present, but a coherent comprehensive vision was not identified. This adds to the risks of the project as the believed ruling vision could change at any moment. The document “Vision 2020 for Zanzibar”, updated in 2011, should include a vision for the energy sector but it is not. 80 2.6.8 The SIDA Programme The SIDA programme is about to be implemented and that calls for close cooperation within several areas. The SIDA Programme is to support training, Energy Efficiency awareness in Energy Sector, and preparation of a Draft Energy Policy. All these issues are partly overlapping with this Programme and as soon as the SIDA Programme is going, the coordination of activities will be planned and undertaken– especially with regards to Activity 6.1 Training Needs Assessment. 81 2.6.9 82 Electricity Transmission Facilities The current Transmission Lines are not prepared for the integration of Large Renewable Projects 2.6.10 Roads and terrestrial transportation paths Large and/or heavy pieces of equipment from large Renewable Projects are difficult to transport due the characteristics of the current roads. 83 Start Situation Page 24 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report 3 3.1 PROJECT SYNOPSIS Overall Project Objective The overall objective is to support United Republic of Tanzania in developing interventions promoting socio-economic development based on renewable energy and efficient energy management. 84 3.2 Project Purpose The specific objective is to support the development of renewable energies in Zanzibar, promote implementation of energy efficiency and adequate regulatory and institutional framework through appropriate transfer of know-how and capacity developments of Key Stakeholders. 85 Objective 1: To provide Key Stakeholders with capacity development in technical, social, environmental, and economic and financial analysis relating to RE & EE development in Zanzibar. Objective 2: To support the RGoZ to establish a conducive legal and regulatory framework for RE & EE. Objective 3: To formulate supporting measures for increased private sector involvement and the establishment of viable financing mechanisms. Objective 4: Creating a business environment conducive to private sector initiative in the fields of RE & EE. Objective 5: To assist the RGoZ and other key stakeholders (institutions, private project promoters, NGO, training institutions, etc) in the implementation of RE and EE projects. 3.3 Results to be achieved Result 1: A cost-benefit analysis of each of the RE & EE technologies is available. Result 2: A conducive legislation & regulation for RE & EE including roll-out plans and documentation is developed and approved by programme counterparts. Result 3: The regulatory and licensing requirements and prerequisites for the development of wind and solar energy in Zanzibar are clearly described. Result 4: An action plan for RE projects & EE actions with schedule is defined and under implementation Result 5: At least 5 EE measures (e.g. energy audit and action plans, awareness campaigns to government Institutions, schools, hotels etc) and 2 RE projects (e.g. through technical assistance for preparation of pilot projects, call for proposals, PPA negotiation and development, etc.) are under implementation. Result 6: At least 5 EE measures and 2 RE projects are under implementation. Result 7: Improved awareness of RE & EE among the population of Zanzibar. 3.4 Relation Objectives-Results The figure below provides overview of the relation between project objectives and project results. Project Synopsis Page 25 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Objective 1: To provide Key Stakeholders with capacity development in technical, social, environmental, and economic and financial analysis relating to RE & EE development in Zanzibar. Result 1: A cost-benefit analysis of each of the RE & EE technologies is available. Result 7: Improved awareness of RE & EE among the population of Zanzibar. Objective 2: To support the RGoZ to establish a conducive legal and regulatory framework for RE & EE Result 2: A conducive legislation & regulation for RE & EE including roll-out plans and documentation is developed and approved by programme counterparts. Result 3: The regulatory and licensing requirements and prerequisites for the development of wind and solar energy in Zanzibar are clearly described. Objective 3: To formulate supporting measures for increased private sector involvement and the establishment of viable financing mechanisms. Result 5: Supporting mechanisms introduced by the RGoZ and geared to the private project promoters are defined and effective. Objective 4: Creating a business environment conducive to private sector initiative in the fields of RE & EE. Result 5: Supporting mechanisms introduced by the RGoZ and geared to the private project promoters are defined and effective (also supporting Objective 3). Result 7: Improved awareness of RE & EE among the population of Zanzibar (also supporting Objective 1). Objective 5: To assist the RGoZ and other key stakeholders (institutions, private project promoters, NGOs, training institutions) in the implementation of RE & EE projects Result 4: An action plan for RE projects & EE actions with schedule is defined and under implementation. Result 6: At least 5 EE measures and 2 RE projects are under implementation. Project Synopsis Page 26 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report 3.5 Risks and Assumptions The ToR identify a series of assumptions underlying the Project’s intervention, as well as a series of risks that might influence the degree of the Project’s success. We set out these assumptions and risks below and comment on how these issues might be addressed and how any risks may be mitigated. 86 The ToR sets out a list of important assumptions and risks that underlie the project intervention. Here we have expanded upon these in more detail. We describe how we will monitor the assumptions upon which the project is based and the action we will take (insofar as we can) to ensure that they will continue to apply. 87 In terms of risks, we describe our risk management strategy and we identify the mitigating actions that can be taken. 88 3.5.1 Assumptions The Consortium’s approach emphasises continuous monitoring of all assumptions and the potential impact they might have on the project. Include situation quoted in point 3.5 89 Electricity tariff does not sustain financial balance of ZECO A major barrier for introducing RE and EE in the ZECO system is that the present tariff of ZECO does not reflect the costs of the electricity distributed. Further, ZECO is not paying the full amount due for deliveries from TANESCO, as the tariff in Zanzibar does not generate sufficient revenue, especially as some of the public institutions do not pay the electricity bill to ZECO. 90 If a PPA is introduced, it would have to reflect the full costs of production, and that would be much higher than the actual (factual) payment to TANESCO, thus further weakening the financial position of ZECO. 91 A major leap in the electricity tariff could on the other hand be a benefit for EE, as it could start a conversion of electric water heaters systems into solar thermal water heaters. These devices are widely used by hotels, resorts, private houses, restaurants, and offices. A large proportion of these are installed in places with plenty of space for installing thermal solar heaters. 92 Vision for the energy sector is deficient During the inception, no committed vision for the energy sector was identified. Fragments of a vision are present, resting with different ministries and departments, but a coherent comprehensive vision was not identified. This adds to the risks of the project, as the vision believed ruling could change at any moment. 93 Below are presented the identified assumptions that are pre-conditions for the project success, as well as the measures proposed for their monitoring. 94 Assumptions Technical and human resources from ZECO and DoEM are sufficient Close coordination and regular communication with the relevant stakeholders but also with the development partners involved in capacity building will be important in order to evaluate the situation with regard to the available resources. Sustained political support The wider political and macro-environment will influence the potential of the project to achieve its objectives. A comprehensive communication, information dissemination and visibility strategy will contribute to raising awareness about the value of the programme to the development of the country as a whole Sustained support from RGoZ for the development of specific regulation and institutions for renewable energy and energy efficiency Close coordination and regular communication with the relevant stakeholders in the Ministries and departments involved will allow to keep a check on this Project Synopsis Page 27 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Sustained involvement of the Zanzibar counterparts to support the consultant in the process Close coordination and regular communication with the relevant stakeholders in the Ministries and departments involved will allow to keep a check on this but we have every reason to believe that excellent working relationships between the CA and beneficiary country, as well as staff in relevant institutions and the consultant can be established and maintained. Institutional/management capacity within ZECO and DoEM sufficient to host and oversee complex project development exercise and grid integration Discussions from the very start of the assignment with other development partners as well as ZECO and DoEM will be essential in highlighting possible gaps and missing capacities. This will in turn also determine further the content of the capacity-building activities. While the number of beneficiary staff will be a serious consideration and need to be taken into account when planning capacity building activities, a realistic and pragmatic approach will be required. Sufficient data/quality of data collection inputs Regular consultations with lot 1 consultants and stakeholders’ prior even to the results will allow keeping abreast of the development of data. Turnover of the permanent staff of the beneficiary institutions remains reasonably limited. As in the assumption outlined above, close coordination with the main stakeholders should allow keeping check on this. The importance of training staff and good collaborative spirit and data sharing with Lot 1 consultant will also play a role in this. 3.5.2 Risks The risks identified at tender stage are still valid. Furthermore, one additional risk has been identified, and that is the risk of EU drawing the same conclusion as MCC, thus deciding to redraw its support to Zanzibar. The risk is considered to be of medium likelihood and high impact. 95 96 Overview of the project risks is presented in the table below: Key risk Consequence Likeli hood Impact Level Limited technical and human resources from ZECO and DoEM Delay of investment in RE M H A training needs assessment in an early phase of the project will include a status skills and experience of ZECO and RGoZ staff. Lack of political support Perception of high sovereign risk by private sector developers and lenders. M H Regular briefing of senior RGoZ representatives Uncertainty with regard to plant output (MWh per year) Approval of project outputs such as documents, legal drafting, regulatory reform and competitive procurement Increased cost of supply (risk premium) Lack of sustained support from RGoZ for the development of specific regulation and institutions for renewable energy and energy efficiency Investment environment too uncertain for private sector investors Lack of sustained involvement of the Shortage of expert input into project preparation Mitigation Strategy M M Create a regulatory guideline as a first step to improve the enabling environment for PPP. Document approvals of suggested regulatory changes High risk premium (tariff and interest rates) for regulatory uncertainty; inability to bring PPP projects to financial close Assess fiscal stand of RGoZ with regard to RE and EE regulation (budget allocations by RGoZ) Establish contingencies for funding key projects in the public sector (investment by ZECO and/or RGoZ) L M We will document the participation of senior RGoZ representatives in the project’s key events Project Synopsis Page 28 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Key risk Consequence Zanzibar counterparts to support the consultant in the process Inability to provide effective capacity building Lack of institutional/manage ment capacity within ZECO and DoEM to host and oversee complex project development exercise and grid integration Reduced size of on grid RE investments due to uncertainty in grid stability and load management Insufficient data/quality of data collection inputs Insufficient data/quality of data collection inputs Insufficient quality of Lot 1 feasibility studies Studies not accepted by potential developers and their lenders Likeli hood Impact Level (workshops, seminars, drafting of documents etc.). We will report on counterpart participation and discuss issues with senior RGoZ representatives on a regular basis M H Carefully assessment of Lot 1 study findings. We will also facilitate and encourage cooperation between ZECO and TANESCO. We will allocate contingency days for NKE to work on grid integration Increased investment cost (storage) and noncompetitive generation cost L M We will thoroughly assess the bridging phase and Lot 1 outputs. We will evaluate of existing wind and solar projects in the wider East African region (Wind: Ethiopia and Kenya, Solar PV: mainland Tanzania and Zanzibar) M H Allow for additional investigations by prospective private sector investors Delay in project implementation RE and EE measures not competitive with fossil fuels from a financial perspective Careful assessment of feasibility studies, consultation with Lot 1 consultants Contingency allocation of NKE to enhance feasibility studies to bankable level, Additional due diligence required by lenders Sustained low world market prices for fossil energy Mitigation Strategy L H Emphasis on true cost of using fossil fuels and on the need to improve Zanzibar’s energy security, calculation of external (environmental cost) of fossil fuel use Analysis of options to enhance RE and EE finance from clean energy and climate change facilities and emission certificates Accelerated development of low cost generation capacity by TANESCO in line with the Electricity Supply Industry Reform Strategy and Roadmap (ESIRSR) RE and EE measures not competitive with TANESCO supply from a financial perspective M Unexpected conditions during construction and operation Cost overruns M Operating risk due to new technology and low skills of operator Lower plant output, penalties for operator in line with provisions in PPA and/or concession agreements, higher cost of L Establish close work relationship with TANESCO Monitor progress in the implementation of the ESIRSR. In case TANESCO supply remains least cost supply strategy, seek enhancements of RE and EE project finance from clean energy and climate change facilities M Schedule delays Government guarantees Arrange stand-by finance, emergency equity and/or insurance, Reduced rate of return Transfer risk to government through adjustments in taxes or royalties for higher EPC costs M M Foresee the employment of experienced and reputable O&M operators. O&M agreement to specify high maintenance standards and clear penalties and bonuses. Include design safeguards to reduce plant and Project Synopsis Page 29 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Key risk Consequence Likeli hood Impact Level generation Political risk after construction Regulatory changes Expropriation, nationalization or cancellation of concession Economic Problems (e.g. high inflation, currency realignments) Mitigation Strategy transmission line outages L M Government guarantee; Political risk insurance or MLA partial risk guarantee Transparent, independent dispute resolution procedures Project Synopsis Page 30 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report 4 97 METHODOLOGY AND APPROACH this 24-month Project is divided into three main phases as follows: > Inception Phase: 1 1/2 month or 6 weeks (Inception Report: end of week 6 ) > Implementation Phase: Months 2-23 (draft Final Report: end of month 23): > Completion Phase: Month 24 (Final Report: end of month 24): Final evaluation Exit strategy & Project handover Draft final report and final report Activity 1: Opportunities assessment of RE/ EE technologies for Zanzibar Targeted Outputs: Analysis of lessons learnt from RE & EE projects done Projection of on-grid demand and scenarios done Projection of off-grid projects done Market assessment for EE measures done Models of calculation on levelised cost of generation of the various RE technologies prepared Cost-benefit analysis prepared Permanent working group including Lot 1 and Lot 2 teams established Workshop on Lot 1 results Review of studies from Lot 1 Gaps to be covered under Lot 2 are defined Portfolio of funds and facilities prepared Liaison with development partners established Development partner meeting to present RE & EE strategy held (depending upon size of programme) İnformation on availability of funds obtained Financing strategy defined Barrier assessment & regulation reviewed Financing support applications drafted Technical opportunities described (incl. environmental, social, economic and financial aspects) Market appraisal for different types of RE & EE technology prepared Multi-criteria decision matrix developed Report on opportunities assessment on RE & EE options Workshop on opportunity assessment report held Report on levelised economic and financial cost of alternative options Proposal of Policy paper including detailed action plans with priorities Delivery of a model for evaluating cost of production of alternative technical and financial options Deliverable (Project ToR): Report on opportunities assessment on RE & EE options at the close date of this report (Snapshot), including the related cost-benefit analysis + proposal of policy paper including detailed action plans with priorities, corresponding budget and schedule. Note: At the time of Project closure, recommendation for maintaining and updating will be submitted. Activity 1.1 Prepare Database for RE and EE 1.1.1 Analysis of lessons learned from RE and EE projects in Tanzania, in the sub-region, and globally. Methodology and Approach Page 31 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report 1.1.2 Demand forecast of on-grid demand in Zanzibar showing the part of the demand that could be provided by RE and demand reduction by introducing EE. Forecast of demand for off-grid solutions, based on an analysis of cost of grid supply, affordability of categories of households. 1.1.3 Assessment of potential for EE measures in different sectors, on lighting, water heaters, air conditioning, and refrigeration. An implementation strategy for the EE program will be prepared. 1.1.4 Calculation of the long-run marginal cost of electricity generation from different technologies, and compare these to the real cost of supply from TANESCO. 1.1.5 Cost-benefit analysis of RE and EE projects companies have sent LoI, will be prepared to the extend data made available allow. Activity 1.2 Assessment of Results/Outcomes of Lot 1 Feasibility Studies 1.2.1 Review of Lot 1 studies and contributing with data/information, analysis of institutional gap, and gap in financing. Activity 1.3 Opportunity Assessment on RE & EE 1.4.1 Determining the possible share for RE & EE, technically and financially. This depends on the RE and EE strategy of RGoZ, sort of regulation RGoZ, and the level of possible subsidies to increase the affordability of the users. 1.4.2 Prepare a multi-criteria decision matrix for private and for public sector implementation, with key priorities of the Energy Strategy. Each project will be rated with regard to specified criterion, leading to a multi-criteria matrix. 1.4.3 Conduct a workshop with the wider stakeholders on the opportunity assessment. Activity 2: legal, regulatory and institutional framework for Zanzibar for RE & EE Targeted outputs: Review of best practices regimes Consultation with stakeholders on regulatory regimes held Review of the barriers and risks for RE integration Gap analysis and definition of regulatory standards done Review of financial and tax incentives for RE Analysis of relevant regulations, instruments and institutions in place, focusing on feasibility in Zanzibar done Evaluation of financial cost of support to RE & EE done Regulatory impact assessment done, including cost-benefit analysis for priority regulatory regimes Approval from MoF&P on regulatory guidelines has been sought Deliverable (as per Project ToR): legal, regulatory and institutional framework approved by RGoZ + all related documents + workshop / training sessions on regulatory reforms. Activity 2.1 Review of Existing Regulatory Experiences and Best Practices 2.1.1 Status of RE & EE regulation in Zanzibar. 2.1.2 Assessment of international experiences and definition of best practice regimes. Possible regulations of RE and EE will be reviewed for definition of minimum regulatory standard. 2.1.3 Stakeholder consultation on regulatory regimes with the purpose to surface views on the most appropriate supporting regulation, incentives, and perceptions of risk and willingness to participate as investors. Anticipated participants are Ministries Development Partners, financing institutions, Investors, and manufacturers. Methodology and Approach Page 32 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Activity 2.2 Assessment of Effective Financial Incentives 2.2.1 Assessment of barriers for fund mobilisation, and identification and assessment of possible sources of financing not yet known to Zanzibar. 2.2.2 Assessment of international financial incentive practices including tax exemption, feed-in tariffs, specific loans, micro-finance, grants, rebates, VAT reduction etc. Assessment of financial flow to/from private sector investments (cost, subsidies, cross-subsidies) Activity 2.3 Drafting legal, regulatory and institutional framework 2.3.1 Prepare regulatory framework. 2.4.2 Workshop with stakeholders on regulatory framework. 2.4.3 Present regulatory framework to RGoZ for their further action. Activity 3: Supporting mechanisms introduced by RGoZ and geared to the private project promoters Targeted outputs: Practices of support to private sector listed Preference list of instruments proposed User manual for each instrument proposed Assessment of evaluated risk level Support mechanisms for private sector RE & EE projects assessed Consultation with prospective national and international investors held Assessment of financial support for high priority projects Contract models Guidebooks Audits Standard application documents Leaflets on targeted EE measures Consultation with RGoZ, ZECO, development partners and ZECO held Workshop for all stakeholders to formally consult on supporting mechanisms, eligibility criteria and procedures Deliverable (as per the Project ToR): documents of supporting mechanisms approved by RGoZ including identification of financing instruments and development of partner coordination. All supporting documents and tools: guidebooks, audits, etc. Activity 3.1 Review of international practices for supporting mechanisms (Enabling Framework) 3.1.1 Review international practices to support private sector involvement, listing possible supporting mechanisms for private sector involvement in RE and EE projects, and demands on the national budget of various possible approaches such as grants, concessional loans, risk guarantee, risk capital for EE & RE indicatives, equity, and support for establishing ESCOs, and a potential Zanzibar RE&EE fund. Activity 3.2 Assessment of suitability of support mechanisms 3.2.1 Based on the conclusions and calculations made under Task 3.1, prepare assessment of the various potential sources of financing for private sector RE and EE projects. The assessment will show possible financing mix for RE and EE projects and their ranking in terms of level of desirability and suitability. 3.2.2 Listing terms and conditions for potential support from financing of GHG emission reduction. 3.2.3 Financial analysis to create informed basis for preparing templates for standardising terms and conditions for PPAs and/or terms and conditions for tendering and PPP arrangements. This includes the cost of production Methodology and Approach Page 33 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report from RE projects and the value of savings from EE projects, using the most attractive sources of financing. The results of the financial analysis is to determine the level of subsidy needed to maintain a desired level of RE and EE. Activity 3.3 Preparing strategy of private sector supporting mechanisms 3.3.1 Propose suitable support mechanisms for RE & EE investments, based on the results of 3.2, sets of incentives for support of the RE and EE projects will be proposed. 3.3.2 Prepare supporting documentation, including standard tender documents for RE IPPs draft project licenses/concession, sales contracts, etc. If open door is decided standards documents for submitting LoI and applications will be prepared. 3.3.3 Proposal for a Focal Point for potential investors. The Ministry of land, water Environment, and Energy, the Ministry of Finance and Planning (including the PPP unit), ZECO, ZURA, ZEMA, and involved ministerial all have a role in the process of licensing, and/or tendering for concessions. One entity, and only one, should responsible for receiving proposals and then initiate the further process. 3.3.4 Workshop on the strategy for wider group of stakeholders. Activity 4: Technical support to the RGoZ for private projects implementation Targeted Outputs: Sub-work plan for activities related to implementation of selected measures for RE & EE projects developed and approved Consultation with Lot 1 consultants and EU Delegation on priority projects has been done Assessment of quality of feasibility studies Optimal procurement determined Transaction advice provided to RGoZ Unsolicited proposals are managed Identification of priority projects Suitability of support facilities assessed Applications for funding sources prepared Negotiation with funding sources conducted Bidding and contractual documents are signed by RGoZ and private promoters A number of projects are designed A number of projects are under implementation Monitoring and evaluation plans for projects are developed Procurement plan for privately financed RE & EE Standardisation of bidding and contractual documents (Templates) Feasibility studies Biomass projects identified Biomass project preparation studies are done (surveys conducted, evaluation, financing schemes...) Meetings, workshops and public information events will be held Deliverable (as per the Project ToR: bidding and contractual documents to be signed by RGoZ and project promoters+ feasibility studies / Pre-operational surveys of RE & EE projects + Monitoring & Evaluation plan. Activity 4.1 Support RGoZ in Private Sector Project Preparation 4.1.1 Prepare plan for implementation activities for each measure or project with a favourable cost/benefit balance, roadmaps implementation will be prepared - clearly identifying: Project documents and agreements needed during project development. Required human and technical resources and if these are available in the RGoZ institutions. Methodology and Approach Page 34 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Costs and possible funding sources: Costs to be carried by the private partners and costs to be borne by RGoZ. Timeline with major milestones and critical issues. 4.1.2 Consult with Lot 1 and EU Delegation on priority projects. 4.1.3 Check the feasibility studies prepared by private companies for completeness and quality. To be done jointly with ZECO and at the Ministry. Activity 4.2 Prepare basis for decision on procurement procedures 4.2.1. Preparation of proposal for the best-suited strategy for PPP procurement, IPP, and standard PPA, considering costs and benefits. 4.2.2 Assist managing unsolicited proposals received by the MoLWEE using the Regulatory guidelines developed under Activity 2. Until it is decided to continue/discontinue this Open Door approach, these applications must be treated seriously. Using the Regulatory guidelines developed under Activity 2, assistance to ZECO in managing these proposals will continue. Activity 4.3 Possible Pilot projects 4.3.1 Chose candidate Pilot Projects from the unsolicited proposals sent to MoLWEE. The financial analysis prepared earlier will allow identifying the most suited. The financial analysis will show the needed feed in tariff for each project t make the project financial viable. 4.3.2 If called for assist in negotiation with funding sources. 4.3.3 Prepare monitoring and evaluation plans for each project with indicators, training needs, and estimate costs. For EE the indicators will include, the number of installations, and the increased public awareness of a technology, and kWh saved. Activity 4.4 Options Assessing Possibilities for Biomass Power Plant Projects and Waste to Energy 4.4.1 Review of a long list of identified opportunities for biomass-to-power projects, including: Landfill biogas power plant. Small-scale biomass plants fed by agricultural waste. Small-scale biogas plants fed by domestic waste from villages or hotels. Facilitate/Revival the development of the UNIDO-funded hybrid-project (PV and gasifier) at Kisakasaka (on paper). A shortlist will be presented for RGoZ for selection of 1 to 3 projects to be further elaborated. Activity 5: Technical support to the RGoZ for state-run projects implementation Targeted Outputs: Decision matrix for selection of state-run projects developed Cost-benefit analysis on promising projects prepared (priority list) Consultation with RGoZ held Needs for technical assistance defined List of priority state-run projects consolidated Workshop with development partners and other partners (e.g. NGOs) held Implementation plan prepared Projects needing additional support are identified Facilities for support are assessed Applications/proposals for funds/facilities are prepared Feasibility Study Reports Sub-work plan Methodology and Approach Page 35 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Business plans developed Financing application documents prepared Monitoring and Evaluation plans prepared Deliverable (as per the Project ToR): feasibility study reports, technical & economic tools, business plans, financing application documents, EE awareness raising tools, workshops, events + Monitoring and evaluation plan. Activity 5.1 Identify Projects Suitable for Implementation by Government 5.1.1 Prepare a multi-criteria decision matrix to select state-run projects. Possible projects for RGoZ implementation will be selected based a defined rating scale, leading to a multi-criteria matrix. 5.1.2 Technical Committee and/or the Steering Committee to make hearing among stakeholders on pre-selected list of possible projects. 5.1.3 Prepare cost benefit analysis on promising projects types. These could be LED, solar water heaters, bio digesters, grid connected solar PV and wind power plants, small-scale biomass power plant, and PV-Wind hybrid systems special purposes. The barriers and the expected benefits will be assessed and summarized. Selection of the most appropriate improved cooking stove to be promoted will be based on suitability for the cooking needs, available fuel and affordability. Activity 5.2 Prepare Implementation Plan for Priority and Pilot Projects 5.2.1 Assess the implementation capacity of key state entities. The tasks should be well defined to assess the capacity of the entities selected to implement them. 5.2.2 Consolidate priority list of projects for RGoZ implementation with TC and SC. 5.2.3 Workshop for stakeholders, including NGOs and private entities, on possible support from development partners. 5.2.4 Preparation of an implementation plan, outlining the organisation, expected outcomes, activities, and the resources needed. Activity 5.3 Assess Financing Options for Larger State-Run Projects 5.3.1 Identify possible sources of financing for large-scale projects in need of additional financial support. This includes institutional lenders and private sector lenders, and could be as grants or equity. The consultant will assist preparing documentation demanded during possible negotiations. Activity 5.4 Support to RGoZ for Implementing Projects 5.4.1 Prepare ToR for awareness and training activities. 5.4.2 Provide technical assistance for implementation. 5.4.3 Prepare plans for monitoring and evaluation for each project. This to include recommendations on key performance indicators, setting baseline data, data collection instruments, frequency of data collection, training needs, and estimate costs. Activity 6: Training and support learning process Targeted Outputs: Training needs assessment performed Questionnaire to evaluate status of learning process, administered and analysed List of potential training and capacity-building measures including mentor programme prepared Consultation on training needs with stakeholders held Potential to cooperate with training institutions assessed Training plan drafted Training documents and material (leaflets/ posters) Trainees and trainers identified Facilities for support for capacity building assessed Methodology and Approach Page 36 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Implementation of Learning Courses, Hands-on experiences, Workshops Participatory approaches defined (OST- Open Space Technology, Participatory Planning...) ZECO has visited and kept contact for advises with a “mentor” Deliverable (as per the Project ToR): training plan, training documents and material + implementation. Organisation of Mentoring Arrangement with a utility having gone through the process ZECO is facing. Activity 6.1 Perform Training Needs Assessment 6.1.1 Prepare questionnaire to determine the level of skills, education, experiences, and the self-awareness of need for further training. Further the questionnaire will call for self-awareness of needed development of skills. The main issues that will be taken into account are: Draft an easily understandable standard format to collect information. Prepare and plan quality criteria to evaluate, skills, education and experiences of stakeholders. Prepare a qualitative and quantitative (when feasible) analysis of the findings . 6.1.2 Prepare list of potential training and capacity building measures. The list will include focus groups and approaches to enhance personal and collective level of understanding the tasks ahead and enable individuals and units to handle these. 6.1.3 Consultations with the implementing agency and the beneficiaries of the training need assessment to identify Specific needs for skills and support learning processes. Capacity and needs of main energy stakeholders. Barriers and gaps in the preparation of policies, technology applications, financial context. 6.1.4 Prepare and plan Mentoring Arrangement with a utility that has already gone through the process as ZECO is facing. This includes: Identification of suitable Mentor and initiate dialogue. Determine what ZECO could gain from the arrangement with the help of the potential Mentor. Arrange for visit, including agendas, preparation of participants, and preparation of the Mentor. Defining what the participants and ZECO want to gain from the visit. Prepare for continuous contact with the Mentor, appointment of responsible persons, frequency of contact, sort of contact, establishing personal relations for ease of contact. Visit Mentor and/or prepare communication channels. Activity 6.2 Prepare Training Plan 6.2.1 Liaise with and prepare assessment of the capacity of training institutions, among others, Karume Technical College, Zanzibar College of Business Education (ZCBE) and the Zanzibar University to establish cooperation, surfacing possible gaps in existing capacity, level of know-how, and resources available. 6.2.2 Prepare training plan, documents, and material needed for elevating skills and support learning process, including M&E plan for the training plan is defined and agreed this include planning of training sessions, observing: 6.2.3 Identify trainees and trainers for each training activity. 6.2.4 Assess facilities for support of capacity building. Activity 6.3 On the Job Training and Learning Processes 6.3.1 Implement and supervise the training plan, which involves workshops, seminars, study tours (mentoring arrangement), on-the-job guidance, learning courses, hands-on experiences, conferences and communication/dissemination activities. In addition, Training-of-Trainers (ToT) seminars can be designed and undertaken in order to ensure a sustainable learning process. 6.3.2 Solicit participation of stakeholders, through: Methodology and Approach Page 37 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Organising participatory activities while RE&EE projects are under implementation in order to facilitate the knowledge transfer between all actors involved. Daily collaboration between the International Staff and institutional officials to undertake tasks of this Project. 6.3.3 Regular reporting will be required by all parties in order to evaluate the adequacy of the training against the targets so as to be adjusted if necessary. Activity 7: Communication and visibility ! Nota Bene: The Communication and Visibility Plan to be elaborated by an experienced Communication Expert expected to be deployed by the project in August 2016. The coincidence of events during the project inception period has delayed the input on this activity but this will be compensated with intensive action in the beginning of the implementation phase. Outlines of the Communication and Visibility Plan are presented in Annex D. Targeted Outputs: Consultation with RGoZ and EUD done Communication and visibility plan drafted Budget compiled for brochures, awareness campaigns, publishing… Social Media Communication strategy Knowledge and visibility content developed for internet and social media Virtual project profile developed and registered on capacity4dev.eu Content for websites (RGoZ and ZECO) developed Material for communication and visibility compiled Workshops and events and other activity planned in the C&V strategy organised and implemented Regular updating of traditional and social media on project progress Feedback from audiences sought Awareness raising tools prepared Deliverable (as per the Project ToR): implementation of the communication & visibility plan (awareness raising tools, workshops, events, etc.). Activity 7.1 Prepare Communication and Visibility and Plan 7.1.1 Hearing of all project stakeholders and ensure that aims, approach, outputs, key events, (indicative) calendar and distribution of responsibilities are agreed on. Compile a list of stakeholders and their respective profiles in order to select the appropriate communication media and language for external communication, as well as to establish the identity the project will communicate throughout its lifetime. 7.1.2 Preparation of a C&V plan, in line with http://europa.eu.int/comm/europeaid/visibility, that defines aims and objectives of communication with the listed target audience, and Proposes tools and channels to achieve the aims of communication . Defines the time frame for actions. For maximum efficiency and clarity, three clear communication channels will be used, each of which focus on different target groups: The upward channel entails the communication with the RGoZ, the Steering Committee, the Technical Committee and EU Delegation to allow for cooperation and reporting on the progress. The downward channel provides direction to the project through internal communication within the team. The lateral channel targets the other groups (population at large, other stakeholders etc.). The Communication strategy will regularly be updated to include changing external conditions, circumstances and demand from stakeholders. Methodology and Approach Page 38 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report 7.1.3 The cost of all C&V activities for Lot 1 and Lot 2 results will be estimated on the basis of actual quotes provided by service providers (locally if possible) and past experience. Whenever approval is requested from the Contracting Authority on a budget item, authorisation will be requested. . Activity 7.2 Prepare Social Media Communication Strategy 7.2.1 Consult on confidentially before openly sharing information on social media or other communication channel as the project can be very technical in nature, involving policy advice and competitive procurement. As it has shown during the Inception Phase, Facebook and other social media are less widespread in Zanzibar and other means of communication with the wider population, this could be as radio broadcasts and to a lesser degree TV. Only a little more than 50% of the population has electricity in their home, and that is a constraint on the communication. Smartphones are widely used, and making people bourse for energy issues requires smart ways of conveying messages. 7.2.2 Preparation of specific information material for the targeted groups. The information sharing will periodically be assessed and updated, in accordance with findings of the stakeholder interviews. Distribution list for sharing an e-newsletter will be prepared and used for dissemination of information. 7.2.3 Prepare a virtual project profile, and register on capacity4dev.eu to enable interaction with public groups and to allow access to closed collaboration spaces. The platform has the potential to become a centre for promoting best practice and sharing information. 7.2.4 Prepare content for RGoZ websites such as http://zanzibar.go.tz and the ZECO webpage (http://tukuza.net). Activity 7.3 Implement communication and visibility plan 7.3.1 Compile data and produce material for sharing, communication and visibility (photos, videos, maps, reports, documents). Material will be prepared around key messages, logical, and tailored to the interests of the audience. The three core messages of this specific project are to answer the following questions: What does the project do? How does it do it? Why is it relevant to the target audience 7.3.2 Organise and implement events, workshops and other activities of C&V Plan. This will be done closely contact in close contact with the Beneficiary and the EU Delegation. 7.3.3 Regularly update webpage and up-loading of new documents. As the Project progresses and prepare new information martials and messages, these will be aired for sharing. 7.3.4 Seek feedback from target audiences. This is particularly important as the wrong perception can cause considerable opposition to any initiative and activity. 5 5.1 PROJECT RESOURCES Human Resources Input The following table gives an overview of overall use of human resources for the realisation of the Project (Key and Non-Key expertise): 98 Category of experts Key Expert 1: Team leader/ Power Engineer Key Experts Key expert 2: EE and RE Economist and financing expert Senior International Experts Non-Key 10 Name Number of man days Mr Niels Juhl Thomsen 350 Mr Alejandro Saenz-Core 24010 to be determined 100 KE2 is part-time involved in the project. A mission plan for the timing of KE2 input is proposed as a part of Annex C: Draft Work Plan. Project Resources Page 39 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Experts 5.2 Senior Local Experts Junior Local Experts to be determined to be determined 180 300 IE Budget Breakdown In accordance with section 6.5 of the TOR, the Provision for incidental expenditure covers the ancillary and exceptional eligible expenditure incurred under this contract. Its use is governed by the provisions in the General Conditions and the notes in Annex V of the contract. It covers: 99 [A] Travel costs and subsistence allowances for missions, outside the normal place of duty (Zanzibar Archipelago), undertaken as part of this contract. If applicable, indicate whether the provision includes costs for environmental measures, for example C02 offsetting. > Daily subsistence costs may be reimbursed for missions foreseen in these terms of reference or approved by the Contracting Authority, and carried out by the contractor’s authorised experts, outside the expert’s normal place of posting. > The per diem is a flat-rate maximum sum covering daily subsistence costs. These include accommodation, meals, tips and local travel, including travel to and from the airport. Taxi fares are therefore covered by the per diem. Per diem are payable on the basis of the number of hours spent on the mission by the contractor's authorised experts for missions carried out outside the expert's normal place of posting. The per diem is payable if the duration of the mission is 12 hours or more. The per diem may be paid in half or in full, with 12 hours = 50% of the per diem rate and 24 hours = 100% of the per diem rate. Any subsistence allowances to be paid for missions undertaken as part of this contract must not exceed the per diem rates published on the webs ite: http://ec.europa.eu/europeaid/perdiem_en - at the start of each such mission. > The Contracting Authority reserves the right to reject payment of per diem for time spent travelling if the most direct route and the most economical fare criteria have not been applied. [B] Translation of training and workshop materials into Kiswahili. [C] Organisation of workshops and seminars, incl. rent of facilities and national per diems to the attendees for specific seminar/workshops and training. [D] Awareness campaigns and visibility activities including material and service provision. > The costs may include: renting of premises, renting of equipment, brochures, publications, presentation materials, interpretation and/or translation services, printing, etc. Prior approval by the Contracting Authority for the use of the incidental expenditure is not needed. The Provision for incidental expenditure for this contract is EUR 220 000,00. 100 Project Resources Page 40 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report 6 6.1 PROJECT MANAGEMENT AND COORDINATION Roles and Responsibilities 101 The Contracting Authority (CA) is the Alternate National Authorizing Officer (NAO). 102 The Implementing Agency (IA) is the Ministry of Land, Housing, Water and Energy (MLHWE). A Steering Committee (SC) has been established to monitor the programme and approve the main steps and decisions. It is established with representatives from of different institutions, including Ministry of Finance (Chairman), MoLWEE, ZECO, Ministry of Agriculture, Planning Commission and EU as observer. The list of the SC member of the Zanzibar Renewable Energy Programme is provided in Annex F. 103 A Technical Committee (TC) has been established under the tutelage of MLHWE to implement the programme. It is comprised of officers of DoEM, Department of Land, Department of Environment, Department of Forest and Natural Resources, Planning Commission, ZECO and Ministry of Finance (multilateral cooperation). The list of TC members is provided in Annex F. 104 A Program Manager (PM). Mr Maulid Shiraz has been appointed to coordinate the implementation activities. He is an engineer working at ZECO in the Corporate Planning Department. 105 A Secretary has been appointed to convene the SC and TC meetings and to ensure the coordination between MoF&P, the other institutions and the development partners. Ms Sabra Machano is the project main point of contact representing the Contracting Authority and at the same time the appointed SC and TC Secretary. 106 6.2 Project Organisation The proposed project organisation is illustrated in the figure below. The full-drawn lines with arrows are “lines of reference”, whereas the broken lines are “lines of communication”. 107 NAO MLHWE Steering Committee Beneficiary and Stakeholders Population of Zanzibar Technical Committee ZECO, Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Agriculture, Planning Commission TANESCO ESCOs, NGOs and civil society organisations SIDA, MCC, Norad, and other international partners Project Implementation Team Leader, Gerhard Zieroth EE & RE Economist and financing expert, Alejandro Saenz Core Non- Key Experts International Experts Local Experts Technical Advisory Board 20Members of the Technical Advisory Board Quality Advisor = Project Director Project Management Unit Project Director Project Manager Project Management Assistant Financial and Resourcing Team Line of Reference Line of Communication Project Management and Coordination Page 41 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report 7 REPORTING AND DELIVERABLES The Project reporting will be in strict compliance with the requirements under paragraph 7 of the Terms of Reference (see Annex A) and article 26 of the General conditions for service contracts financed by the EU. 108 The TAT will carry out timely and accurate reporting of all activities carried out during the project’s implementation, and will guarantee the constant availability of all necessary supporting documents, records and accounts. Two types of reports will be submitted (1) Progress reports (2) Technical reports as defined on page 17 of the Terms of Reference. 109 7.1 6-monthly Progress Reports The Progress reports will be prepared and presented no later than 1 month after the end of each 6-month implementation period. These reports will monitor all technical, financial and administrative aspects of the project. They will give a clear “one-look” summary overview of the implementation and will provide a general overview on the actual project progress, the location and activities carried out including a summary on the used working days, resources used during the period, used methods and achieved results, the potential challenges and constraints encountered, a work plan for the following months, as well as proposed changes with regards to the previous report and recommendations for future actions. The structure of the report will be agreed with the Contracting Authority. 110 111 The Interim Reports will be submitted in 6-month intervals for the project duration. They will include a narrative and a financial section and be provided along with the corresponding invoice, the financial report and an expenditure verification report defined in Article 28 of the General Conditions. 112 7.2 Draft Final Report and Final Report The Final report will be prepared and presented within 1 month of receiving comments on the draft final report from the Project Manager identified in the contract (month 24). The Final Report will tentatively include: 113 > Complete overview of all activities implemented with time inputs of the experts and the progress achieved against the work plan as well as a summary of outputs. > Identification of any major problems, which may have arisen during th e performance of the Contract. > Assessment of the outcomes of the project measured against the stated project objectives and the indicators of achievement included in the Logical Frame Matrix. > Report on technical, financial and administrative aspects of the project implementation. > Proposal for future actions. > A CD-ROM containing all materials produced under the Project. > Final Financial Report and Expenditure Verification Report including a comprehensive financial statement for the programme in line with the PRAG. > Final update of the monitoring spread sheet. > Final Invoice. The final report, a final invoice and the financial report accompanied by an expenditure verification report will be submitted at the end of the period of implementation of tasks, at the end of month 24. 114 Reporting and Deliverables Page 42 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report 7.3 Technical Reports In addition and in line with Section 4.2, following reports have also to be produced and submitted to the Contracting Authority: 115 Technical Report Content A1. Opportunities assessment on RE & EE options Market appraisal in Zanzibar for RE & EE technologies, cost-benefit analysis + proposal of policy paper including detailed action plans with priorities, budget and schedule Analysis and proposition of a conducive legal, regulatory and institutional framework in Zanzibar for RE & EE, including practical roll-out plans and documentation Cost-benefit analysis of the supporting mechanisms and instruments. Proposition, recommendations and drafting of the related supporting documents (guidelines, audits, etc.) Bidding and contractual documents signed by RGoZ and project promoters+ feasibility studies / Pre-operational surveys of RE & EE projects, workshops & training documents + Monitoring & Evaluation plan Feasibility study reports, technical & economic tools, business plans, financing application documents, EE awareness raising tools, workshops & training documents + Monitoring and evaluation plan A2. All documentation related to legal, regulatory and institutional framework A3. Set of documents of supporting mechanisms adopted by RGoZ A4. Technical support documents for private projects implementation A5. Technical support documents for state-run projects implementation 7.4 Indicative Submission Date 3 months after project inception 5 months after project inception 7 months after project inception Every 6 months from the inception Every 6 months from the inception Report submission and approval procedure Prepared by: Team Leader (with support from the rest of the TAT) Quality Assurance by: MWH Project Manager / MWH Project Director Submitted to: > > Project Manager (Contracting Authority) Electronically to all key stakeholders Quantity: 5 paper copy and 1 electronic version (word format) Language: English Timing: > > > > > Approved by: > > Inception Report: within 6 weeks after start of implementation (month 2); Interim Reports: every six months; Draft Final Report: one month before the end of the project (month 23); Final Report: at the end of the project (month 24); Technical Reports: as indicated above. Project Manager (as identified in the Project ToR) Each of the reports and technical deliverables shall be provided as a draft and give the beneficiary country two weeks to comment on the drafts. In the absence of comments or approval by the beneficiary country within the set deadline, the reports are deemed to be approved Reporting and Deliverables Page 43 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report All the reporting will be done in accordance with the EU reporting guidelines and the Consortium will take full responsibility for their submission. 116 Copyright on all reports and other materials produced under this contract shall remain with the Contracting Authority. 117 No major report or document shall be published or distributed to third parties without the approval of the Contracting Authority and the Beneficiary. Reports or other documents/outputs produced by the MWH Consortium for publication or distribution to third parties will: 118 Pay particular attention to the confidentiality of data; Mention the source of funding of this project; Following the visibility rules of the EC which can be download at: http://ec.europa.eu/europeaid/work/visibility/index_en.htm; Make clear that any opinions expressed therein remain those of the Consultant and do not represent the opinion of the European Commission, its services or agencies. 119 Reporting and Deliverables Page 44 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report 8 MONITORING AND EVALUATION Contract monitoring and evaluation will be based on a periodic assessment of progress on delivery of specified Project results and towards achievement of Project objectives. 120 Indicators of Achievement (OVI) Results Result 1: A cost-benefit analysis of each of the RE&EE technologies is available Result 2: A conducive legislation & regulation for RE & EE including rollout plans and documentation is developed and approved by programme counterparts Result 3: The regulatory and licensing requirements and prerequisites for the development of wind and solar energy in Zanzibar are clearly described Result 4: An action plan for RE projects & EE actions with schedule is defined and under implementation Result 5: Supporting mechanisms introduced by the RGoZ and geared to the private project promoters are defined and effective Result 6: At least 5 EE measures (e.g. energy audit and action plans, awareness campaigns to government institutions, schools, hotels etc.) and 2 RE projects (e.g. through technical assistance for preparation of pilot projects, call for proposals, PPA negotiation and development, etc.) are under implementation Indicators 1) Cost-benefit analysis has been undertaken Means of Verification > Cost-benefit analysis > Regular progress reports > Final report Proposals for legislation and regulation for RE & EE 3) Roll-out plans 4) Documents on legal, regulatory and institutional framework prepared 5) Proposals for legislation and regulation for RE & EE including proposals for wind and solar energy submitted 6) Roll-out plans are ready 7) Documents on legal, regulatory and institutional framework submitted 8) Action plan prepared 9) Projects implemented or under implementation 10) Projects are following the schedule defined 11) Number of people benefiting from projects 12) List of supporting mechanisms submitted 13) Supporting mechanisms are effective 14) Increased number of projects 15) Increased availability of technology 16) Energy audits done 17) Number of campaigns 18) Number of government staff having participated in awareness campaigns 19) Number of school pupils having participated in awareness campaigns 20) Number of hotel staff having participated in awareness campaigns 21) Number of leaflets distributed 22) Two RE projects are under > 2) Proposals for legislation and regulation > Regular progress reports > (Draft) Final report > Proposals for legislation and regulation are present > Regular progress reports > (Draft) Final report > Regular progress reports > (Draft) Final report > List of supporting mechanisms > RGoZ website > Regulatory framework effective > Regular progress reports > (Draft) Final report > Awareness programme materials Regular progress reports > (Draft) Final report > Monitoring and Evaluation Page 45 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Results Indicators implementation Means of Verification Result 7: Improved awareness of 23) Number of people aware of RE & EE 24) Number of people willing to pay for RE instead of traditional electricity 25) Number of projects proposed to government 26) Number of projects under implementation 27) Communication and visibility plan is implemented > RE & EE among the population of Zanzibar 9 Survey > Awareness campaign materials > RGoZ website > Regular progress reports > (Draft) Final report LIST OF REFERENCES General energy background 1) ZANZIBAR ENERGY SECTOR REVIEW, UNDAP, Jul 2015 2) Zanzibar Energy Policy, Dec 2009 3) Zanzibar Energy Policy, Implementation Plan Department of Energy and Minerals, 2013 4) Energy Sector Review: Sector Survey, Zanzibar Planning Commission, 2014 5) Gender, Health and Social Aspects of SE4ALL Goals: Women’s economic empowerment, Power point, Energia, ESMAP, Nov 2013 6) Zanzibar Regulatory Utility Authority (ZURA) Act, 2013 7) SDG energy goals 8) Zanzibar Environmental Policy, RGoZ, 2013 9) Fossil Fuels and Renewable Energy – The Zanzibar Case Study Aboud S. Jumbe, Policy Planning & Research Unit, Department of Environment 10) Fossil Fuel to Renewable Energy, Comparator Study of Subsidy Reforms and Energy Transitions in African and Indian Ocean Island States, United Nations Office for Sustainable Development. Statistical information 1) 2002 Census analytical report 2) 2012 Population and Housing Census, Population Distribution by Administrative Areas 3) 2012 Population and Housing Census, Preliminary Results; Analysis of Population Growth 4) Dynamics and Socio-Economic Development Perspectives, NBS/OCGS June 2013 5) 2012 Population and Housing Census, Basic Demographic and Socio-Economic Profile Report Statistical Tables, Tanzania Zanzibar. NBS/OCGS April 2014 6) 2012 Population and Housing Census, Basic Demographic and Socio-Economic Profile, Tanzania Zanzibar, April 2014 Electricity sector 1) TANESCO and ZECO loss reduction study MCA Sept 11. 2) Zanzibar Renewable Energy Feed-in-Tariffs, Second Draft -NEXANT Jan 2013 3) Zanzibar Potential Independent Power Producer Interviews – NEXANT Jan 2013 4) Zanzibar Renewable Energy Assessment, EU/MWH consultants, June 2012 5) SIDA, Zanzibar Energy Diagnostic Study AF-Process AB, May 2005 List of References Page 46 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report 6) 7) 8) 9) 10) 11) 12) SIDA, End of Term Review of the Swedish Support to the Zanzibar Energy Sector 2007 – 09, Spanne et al Consultants, June 2010 SIDA, Energy Sector Programme Phase II, Project Document, Oct 2013 TANESCO Tariffs 2014 Model Power Purchase Agreement relating to the Wind Power Generation Plant EWURA SPPA Document 2012 EAC Regional Scoping Study to Identify Potential areas for Intervention by the EAC Secretariat on Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency, EAC/GIZ consultant Gerard Hendriksen, Dec 2013 Adaptation of Feed-in Tariff for remote mini-grids: Tanzania as an illustrative case, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Volume 53, January 2016, Pages 306–318 Climate Change Information 1) The Economics of Climate Change in Zanzibar, Technical Report (Final Version), UKaid, July 2012 List of References Page 47 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report 10 ANNEXES Annexes Page 48 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Annex A: Project Terms of Reference (Enclosed as separate document.) Annexes Page 49 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Annex B: Updated Logframe I NTERVENTION LOGIC O BJECTIVELY V ERIFIABLE INDICATORS OF A CHIEVEMENT S OURCES AND M EANS OF V ERIFICATION > Frequency of illness (e.g. respiratory diseases from e.g. indoor use of fuel wood/charcoal Increased access by households to energy from RE sources/ using EE measures Increased access by poorest households to RE sources/ from using EE measures Number of MW generated from renewable energy sources Number of MWh/year saved Favourable legal and regulatory, environment created for EE and RE projects Increased awareness on RE & EE Number of projects on RE & EE > Regulatory framework has been prepared (no of proposals for framework) Number of staff/stake-holders trained Number of projects that have been developed Number of RE & EE projects under implementation Increased number of investments in RE & EE Number of people benefiting from projects Increased public awareness on benefits of RE and EE > A SSUMPTIONS Overall objective The overall objective is to support United Republic of Tanzania in developing interventions promoting socio-economic development based on renewable energy and efficient energy management. > > > > > > > > Surveys National Statistics Project Purposes The specific objective is to support the development of renewable energies in Zanzibar, promote implementation of energy efficiency and adequate regulatory and institutional framework through appropriate transfer of know-how and capacity development of stakeholders. > > > > > > > > > > Questionnaires to staff/stakeholders Questionnaires to customers/energy users Final report Final evaluation > > > > > Staff/stakeholders committed Human & technical resources available Political support Interest from potential investors Public interest in participating. Annexes Page 50 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report O BJECTIVELY V ERIFIABLE INDICATORS OF A CHIEVEMENT S OURCES AND M EANS OF V ERIFICATION A SSUMPTIONS RESULT 1 A cost-benefit analysis of each of the RE&EE technologies is available > > Cost-benefit analysis Regular progress reports Final report > Sufficient data/quality of input data available RESULT 2 A conducive legislation & regulation for RE & EE including roll-out plans and documentation is developed and approved by programme counterparts > Proposals for legislation and regulation Regular progress reports (Draft) Final report > Sustained support from RGoZ for the development of specific regulation and institutions for renewable energy and energy efficiency RESULT 3 The regulatory and licensing requirements and prerequisites for the development of wind and solar energy in Zanzibar are clearly described > Proposals for legislation and regulation are present Regular progress reports (Draft) Final report > Sustained support from RGoZ for the development of specific regulation and institutions for renewable energy and energy efficiency Sustained involvement of the Zanzibar counterparts to support the consultant in the process RESULT 4 An action plan for RE projects & EE actions with schedule is defined and under implementation > I NTERVENTION LOGIC Project Results > > > > > > > > > RESULT 5 Supporting mechanisms introduced by the RGoZ and geared to the private project promoters are defined and effective Cost-benefit analysis has been undertaken > > > > Proposals for legislation and regulation for RE & EE Roll-out plans Documents on legal, regulatory and institutional framework prepared > Proposals for legislation and regulation for RE & EE including proposals for wind and solar energy submitted Roll-out plans are ready Documents on legal, regulatory and institutional framework submitted > Action plan prepared Projects implemented or under implementation Projects are following the schedule defined Number of people benefiting from projects > List of supporting mechanisms submitted Supporting mechanisms are effective Increased number of projects Increased availability of technology > > > > > > > > > > > Regular progress reports (Draft) Final report > Sustained involvement of the Zanzibar counterparts to support the consultant in the process List of supporting mechanisms RGoZ website Regulatory framework effective Regular progress reports (Draft) Final report > Sustained broader political support Sustained support from RGoZ Sustained involvement of the Zanzibar counterparts to support the consultant in the process > > Annexes Page 51 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report I NTERVENTION LOGIC RESULT 6 At least 5 EE measures (e.g. energy audit and action plans, awareness campaigns to government institutions, schools, hotels etc.) and 2 RE projects (e.g. through technical assistance for preparation of pilot projects, call for proposals, PPA negotiation and development, etc.) are under implementation O BJECTIVELY V ERIFIABLE INDICATORS OF A CHIEVEMENT S OURCES AND M EANS OF V ERIFICATION A SSUMPTIONS > Energy audits done Number of campaigns Number of government staff having participated in awareness campaigns Number of school pupils having participated in awareness campaigns Number of hotel staff having participated in awareness campaigns Number of leaflets distributed Two RE projects are under implementation > > Number of people aware of RE & EE Number of people willing to pay for RE instead of traditional electricity Number of projects proposed to government Number of projects under implementation Communication and visibility plan is implemented > > > > > > > RESULT 7 Improved awareness of RE & EE among the population of Zanzibar > > > > > > > Awareness programme materials Regular progress reports (Draft) Final report > > > > > > > > Survey Awareness campaign materials RGoZ website Regular progress reports (Draft) Final report > Institutional/management capacity within ZECO and DoEM sufficient to host and oversee complex project development exercise and grid integration Willingness/capacity to pay from customers Readiness/interest in RE & EE from customers Readiness from investors Institutional, legal and regulatory framework is in place Interest in RE & EE awareness campaigns from customers Annexes Page 52 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Annex C: Draft Work Plan Year 2016 Month 6 7 2017 8 9 1 0 11 12 1 2 2018 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 0 11 1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 ACTIVITY 1: Opportunities assessment of RE/EE technologies for Zanzibar Activity 1.1 - CONSOLIDATION OF DATABASE FOR RE AND EE Activity 1.2 - ASSESSMENT OF RESULTS/OUTCOMES OF LOT 1 FEASIBILITY STUDIES Activity 1.3 - ASSESSMENT OF FINANCING OPTIONS FOR RE AND EE INVESTMENTS AND MEASURES Activity 1.4 - REPORT ON OPPORTUNITIES ASSESSMENT ON RE & EE OPTIONS ACTIVITY 2: RE & EE regulatory framework for Zanzibar Activity 2.2 - INVENTORY OF EFFECTIVE FINANCIAL INCENTIVES Activity 2.3 - REGULATORY IMPACT ASSESSMENT Activity 2.4 - DRAFTING OF REGULATORY GUIDE AS A WORKING PAPER, PRELIMINARY MANUAL AND BASIS FOR RECOMMENDATIONS ON COMPREHENSIVE REGULATION Activity 2.5 - DRAFTING LEGAL, REGULATORY AND INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK ACTIVITY 3: Supporting mechanisms introduced by the RGoZ and geared to the private project promoters Activity 3.1 - REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL PRACTICES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR MECHANISMS SUPPORTING THE PRIVATE SECTOR (ENABLING FRAMEWORK) Activity 3.2 - COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS Annexes Page 53 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Activity 3.3 - COMPREHENSIVE STRATEGY OF PRIVATE SECTOR SUPPORTING MECHANISMS ACTIVITY 4: Technical support to the RGoZ for private projects implementation Activity 4.1 - SUPPORT RGOZ IN PRIVATE PROJECT PREPARATION Activity 4.2 - ADVISE ON PROCUREMENT PROCEDURES FOR PRIVATE PROJECTS Activity 4.3 - SUPPORT TO IMPLEMENTATION OF PILOT PROJECTS Activity 4.4 - PREPARATION OF BIOMASS POWER PLANT PROJECT ACTIVITY 5: Technical support to the RGoZ for state-run projects implementation Activity 5.1 - IDENTIFY PROJECTS SUITABLE FOR IMPLEMENTATION BY GOVERNMENT Activity 5.2 - PREPARE IMPLEMENTATION PLAN FOR PRIORITY AND PILOT PROJECTS Activity 5.3 - ASSESS FINANCING OPTIONS FOR LARGER STATE RUN PROJECTS Activity 5.4 - SUPPORT TO RGOZ IN IMPLEMENTING STATE RUN PROJECTS ACTIVITY 6: Training and learning process Activity 6.1 - PERFORM TRAINING NEEDS ASSESSMENT Activity 6.2 - DEVELOP TRAINING PLAN Activity 6.3 - ON THE JOB TRAINING AND KNOWLEDGE TRANSFER ACTIVITY 7: Communication and visibility Activity 7.1 - DEVELOP COMMUNICATION AND VISIBILITY AND PLAN Activity 7.2 - DEVELOP SOCIAL MEDIA COMMUNICATION STRATEGY Annexes Page 54 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Activity 7.3 - IMPLEMENT COMMUNICATION AND VISIBILITY PLAN CLOSING PHASE Annexes Page 55 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Jun-18 May-18 Apr-18 Mar-18 Feb-18 Jan-18 Dec-17 Nov-17 Oct-17 Sep-17 Aug-17 Jul-17 Jun-17 May-17 Apr-17 Mar-17 Feb-17 Jan-17 Dec-16 Nov-16 Oct-16 calendar month Sep-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Allocation of expert working days per expert/month project month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Tot al KE 1: Team Leader 17 20 19 19 21 22 8 15 16 18 13 21 19 16 22 16 14 6 8 7 7 4 15 7 350 KE 2: EE & RE financing expert11 15 15 17 18 20 13 4 12 12 11 5 12 10 9 12 12 8 5 7 6 5 10 2 240 NKE Legal 0 5 5 22 6 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 NKE Training 0 0 15 11 7 4 5 2 4 2 10 19 10 0 5 14 0 5 5 0 5 5 2 0 130 NKE Communication 0 10 15 17 20 20 20 20 2 10 12 10 15 10 10 15 12 10 15 10 10 15 12 0 290 NKE Power Engineer 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 21 20 20 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 Missions Plan KE2 WD Mission 1 July 5/Aug 5 15 Mission 2 End Aug/End Sep 32 Mission 3 Oct/Nov 38 Mission 4 Dec/Jan 17 Mission 5 Feb/Mar 24 Mission 6 Apr/May 16 Mission 7 Jun/Jul 22 Mission 8 Aug/Sep 21 Mission 9 Oct/Nov 20 11 KE2 mission plan (each colour stands for separate mission to Zanzibar). Annexes Page 56 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Mission 10 Dec/Jan 12 Mission 11 Feb/Mar 11 Mission 12 Apr/May/jun 12 Annexes Page 57 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Annex D: Outlines of Communication and Visibility Plan The goal of the communication and visibility activities under Activity 7 Communication and Visibility of the current project (lot 2) is to raise awareness of the Zanzibar population on opportunities offered by RE & EE technologies as well as the support provided by EU in the energy sector in Zanzibar, and to ensure the sustainability and dissemination of project outcomes and results of the 2 lots (lot 1 and lot 2). In particular this activity revolves around the development and implementation of a communication and visibility plan aiming at effective communication actions fitted to the different target audiences: 121 The general public (i.e. the consumers of electricity on Zanzibar) Potential private sector investors Energy sector operators (i.e. staff of ZECO, Planning Commission) Other development partners with similar projects A key feature of the communication and visibility efforts will be the capitalisation and sharing of knowledge of technical and pedagogical value related to the project implementation, and RE & EE by establishment of a knowledge management platform as part of the partner’s Internet webpages, capacity4dev.eu web platform and the use of social media. 122 All the communication and visibility measures will be designed and implemented in line with the EU visibility guidelines for external actions (http://europa.eu.int/comm/europeaid/visibility/index_en.htm), and in close coordination with the EU Delegation to Tanzania and RGoZ. Any activity with information or visibility relevance will be consulted with and ex-ante approved by the EU Delegation in Tanzania. No public statement or press materials can be issued unless cleared with RGoZ and the EU Delegation to Tanzania. 123 i. Purpose of Communication and Visibility Activities The Communication and Visibility Plan forms an integral part of the project implementation and aims to ensure that project communications are targeted, effective and well-coordinated, as well as the project is visible, accessible and accountable to the stakeholders and general public. 124 The appropriate project visibility will be carried out in compliance with the EU External Actions Communication and Visibility Manual throughout the entire project duration. 125 This communications plan defines how the general communication strategy will be expressed through practical public relations activities, defining project key messages, project target audience, and the tools at our disposal. 126 ii. Overall Communication Objective The overall communication objective of the project is to ensure the highest sustainability and dissemination of project results of the both Lot 1 and Lot 2 of Zanzibar Renewable Energy Programme. This will be achieved through ensuring the capitalisation and sharing of knowledge on project implementation, benefits of RE & EE technologies, as well as the support provided by EU in the Zanzibar energy sector. 127 iii. Communication Goal and Objectives The ultimate goal is to build public awareness and education on the Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy in order to initiate actions that will result in improvement of peoples’ quality of living. 128 129 The Communication and Visibility Plan objectives are: to raise awareness of the Lot 1 and Lot 2 projects and their activities, objectives and impact; to enhance the visibility of the EU role and contribution in the energy sector in Zanzibar; Annexes Page 58 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report iv. v. to promote the EE & RE and their benefits to the Zanzibar population; to ensure the highest sustainability and dissemination of project results through ensuring the capitalisation and sharing of knowledge on project implementation. Key Messages Introduction and investment in renewable energy technologies and expansion of renewable energy capacity will help to eliminate energy poverty and to enhance people prosperity. Increasing the use of renewable energy and improved energy efficiency leads to economic growth, increased social equity, improved health and environmental sustainability. Awareness of different energy efficiency options can result in EE behaviour change EU is financing and supporting the energy sector development in Zanzibar and thus contributing to the improvement of life quality and wellbeing of Zanzibar population. Target Groups The following potential target groups will be reached: vi. The general public (i.e. the consumers of electricity on Zanzibar) Potential private sector investors Energy sector operators (i.e. staff of ZECO, Planning Commission) Other development partners with similar projects Wider development community (via the capacity4dev.eu web platform) Communication Tools Personal interactions (daily contact through meetings, phone conversations); Project events: workshops, training activities, round tables, conferences, promotional events; Press releases, publication of articles, newsletter (a periodic update sent to our mailing list) Brochures, flyers and other promotional material; Web presence and social media: Website, Twitter, Facebook, LinkedIn, Youtube, Repositories: online storage space for the project documents, articles and data. ! Nota Bene: The Communication and Visibility Plan to be elaborated by an experienced Communication Expert expected to be deployed by the project in August 2016. The coincidence of events during the project inception period has delayed a bit the input on this activity but this will be compensated with intensive action in the beginning of the implementation phase. Annexes Page 59 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Annex E: Indicative Allocation of Human Resources Project Activities Human Resources Input Activities related to ACTIVITY 1 Activity 1.1: Consolidation of database for RE & EE Activity 1.2: Assessment of results/outcomes of lot 1 feasibility studies Activity 1.3: Assessment of financing options for RE & EE investments and measures Activity 1.4: Report on opportunities assessment on RE & EE options > > > > > > > > TL: 7 working days KE2: 12 working days TL: 7 working days KE2: 1 working days TL: 8 working days KE2: 3 working days TL: 6 working days KE2: 9 working days Activities related to ACTIVITY 2 Activity 2.1: Review of existing regulatory experiences and best practices Activity 2.2: Inventory of effective financial incentives Activity 2.3: Regulatory impact assessment > > > > > > Activity 2.4: Drafting of regulatory guide as a working paper, > preliminary manual and basis for recommendations on comprehensive > regulation > > Activity 2.5 Drafting legal, regulatory and institutional framework > > TL: 7 working days KE2: 8 working days TL: 1 working day KE2: 2 working days TL: 7 working days KE2: 8 working days TL: 8 working days KE2: 5 working days Senior NKE: 4 working days TL: 7 working days KE2: 11 working days Senior NKE: 36 working days Activities related to ACTIVITY 3 Activity 3.1: Review of international practices and opportunities for mechanisms supporting the private sector (enabling framework) Activity 3.2: Cost benefit analysis Activity 3.3: Comprehensive strategy of private sector supporting mechanisms > > > > > > > TL: 7 working days KE2: 3 working days Senior NKE: 10 working days TL: 7 working days KE2: 12 working days TL: 25 working days KE2: 16 working days Activities related to ACTIVITY 4 > Activity 4.1: Support RGoZ in private project implementation > > Activity 4.2: Advise on priority projects Activity 4.3: Evaluate potential for concessionary finance and to support for projects that are financially marginal > > > > TL: 7 working days KE2: 5 working days Senior NKE: 42 working days TL: 18 working days KE2: 11 working days TL: 38 working days KE2: 26 working days Annexes Page 60 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Activity 4.4: Preparation of biomass power plant project > > TL: 21 working days KE2: 15 working days Activities related to ACTIVITY 5 Activity 5.1: Identify projects suitable for implementation by government > Activity 5.2: Prepare implementation plan for priority and pilot projects > Activity 5.3: Assess financing options for larger state run projects Activity 5.4: Support to RGoZ in implementing state run projects > > > > > > TL: 5 working days KE2: 7 working days TL: 10 working days KE2: 5 working days TL: 25 working days KE2: 10 working days TL: 32 working days KE2: 19 working days Activities related to ACTIVITY 6 Activity 6.1: Perform training needs assessment Activity 6.2: Develop training plan > TL: 7 working days Senior NKE: 22 working days > TL: 20 working days KE2: 4 working days Senior NKE: 28 working days > > > Activity 6.3: On the job training and learning processes > > > TL: 23 working days KE2: 14 working days Senior NKE: 62 working days Junior NKE: 20 working days Activities related to ACTIVITY 7 > Activity 7.1: Develop communication and visibility and plan > > Activity 7.2: Develop social media communication strategy > > > Activity 7.3: Implement communication and visibility plan > > > TL: 7 working days KE2: 3 working days Junior NKE: 30 working days TL: 8 working days KE2: 2 working days Junior NKE: 28 working days TL: 15 working days KE2: 13 working days Senior NKE: 18 working days Junior NKE: 222 working days Annexes Page 61 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Annex F: List of Steering Committee Members and Technical Committee Members List of the Steering Committee Members of the Zanzibar Renewable Energy Programme Steering Committee Member of the Zanzibar Renewable Energy Programme Name Designation Institution Email Mr. Khamis M. Omar Principal Secretary MoF&P [email protected] Mr. Ali Khalil Mirza Principal Secretary MLHWE [email protected] Mr. Abdalla A. Omar President ZNCCI [email protected] Ms. Mwandawa K. Moh’d D. Chairperson ANGOZA [email protected] Eng. Leopold Lwajabe Engineer EDF-PSU DNAO [email protected] In addition, possible SC invitees can be: General Manager – ZECO; Director of DoEM; Commissioner of External Finance; Commissioner of Planning Commission; Project Manager RE & EE; Secretary; EU delegation. List of the Technical Committee Members Members of the Technical Committee Mrs. Sabra I. Machano. Ministry of Finance Mr. Maulid Shiraz ZECO Mr. Sayyidomar Idarous Dept. of Energy and Minerals Mr. Salim H. Bakar Dept. of Environment Mr. Miza S. Khamis Department of Environment Mr. Mohamed Habib Department of Land Mrs. Maryam Dhahir Planning Commission Annexes Page 62 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Annex G: Minutes and List of Participants of Zanzibar Energy Development Partners Meeting, 13th June 2016 MINUTES Zanzibar Energy Development Partners Meeting, 13th June 2016 (Lot 2 Project Kick-off Meeting) Technical Committee of the Zanzibar Renewable Energies and Energy Efficiency Programme Date: Venue: Participants: Monday 13th June 2016 0900 - 1600 Ministry of Finance and Planning Conference Room List of participants is enclosed Time 09:15 Activity Opening 09:30 Presentation of DoEM 10:15 Presentation of EU RE/EE programme Tareq, GOPA Description Introductory remarks by the Director of Department of Energy and Minerals Mr. Mohammed A. Mohammed, representative of the DPs (EU delegate) Mr. MELIN Mikael Eng Sayyidomar provided an overview of the current programmes in the DoEM. Main points 1. UNDP programme to strengthen environment and climate change governance. DoEM share in b Budget $ 316,000 over 2012 – 2016. Ending. Phase 2 not yet clear. 2. SIDA; Energy Sector Support Programme, phase 2, 2016 – 2019. DoEM share in budget $450,000, rest programme for ZECO 3. Norwegian Oil for Development (OfD) support to upstream petroleum sector, budget NOK 5m ($0.5m) 4. World Bank; TA and Capacity building support for Z’bar energy sector $10m, in planning stage 5. EU RE and EE program, € 3m, divided in bridging phase 2013-15 and phase 2 (ongoing now). This includes the installation of mast of measuring wind and solar radiation in 3 sites in Unguja and 2 sites in Pemba. There have been many delays in the installation and official handing over of the equipment by the contractor AGMIN. Currently only 3 out 5 masts are not working and this situation is not resolved yet. The rest of the EU support is divided in Lot 1 (GOPA consultants to prepare full feasibility studies for wind and solar) and Lot 2 (MWH for TA on regulatory framework). Some of the issues were elaborated further in the following presentations. The consultant presented the progress of the programme which includes 6. Wind and solar measurements. This part of the work in behind schedule as the wind masts supplied by AGMIN were delayed for many months and also 3 out of 5 masts are not supplying data due to technical problems and vandalism. These problems are current being corrected 7. There are still many issues with data collection as regards of mixing data from different masts, shadow effect of masts, limited periods covered so far etc. The quality of the data will affect the feasibility studies. There are discussions on a 6 months’ extension of the work to be able to collect the required wind and solar data 8. The consultant provided a first results from the Makunduchi mast which shows an average of just over 6 mtr/sec and a fairly constant south east direction. However, these data need further verification over the rest of the measuring period. 9. For solar PV (8 MW park) the initial financial calculations show production costs of Euro 6.7 – 6.95 cents/kWh but this might very well change when more data become available. 10. The EIA has started and the scoping report is ready. The main issues raised so far are possible birds damage. This is of special concern in Pemba (Michemweni area) Annexes Page 63 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report 11:15 MWH Niels Juhl/ Valentina 11:30 Multi Consult Andrew Yager 12:00 Multi Consult Andrew Yager 12:15 Barefoot College Lucie Mauron with its bat population. The actual EIA will start once payment to ZEMA has been done. 11. Logistics survey is underway to provide information on the transport and assembling options of the large wind turbines. The focus of the survey is on wind turbines of 225 – 275 kW capacity which can be established without large cranes. The survey will be delivered in July 2016 12. Training plan has been prepared and implementation will start within coming months. Will include financial and technical aspects, maintenance etc. The final list of trainees has to be agreed. 13. The study will also look at the costs of Solar Home Systems for consumers which are too far from the ZECO grid. The MWH consultants presented an update of their work which is still in the initial stages. This lot 2 of the EU project is planned for 24 months with a budget of € 1.1 m). The focus is on preparing the regulatory framework for the production of renewable energy sources such as wind and solar. The consultants will build upon the information and reports from GOPA consultants under lot 1. The team leader arrived only in the weekend preceding this EDPG meeting. The second long term expert (financial expert) is expected within two weeks. The inception report of this part of the EU project is due in one month. The team leader of Multi Consult reported on the SIDA supported programme “Zanzibar Energy Sector Support Programme, phase 2 or consolidation phase. Few points from the presentation and discussions; 1. Duration of project 3 year and total budget of $ 5,5 mainly for ZECO (TA to the reform process and about 50% for new meters and equipment) and DoEM ($ 450,000) 2. Project manager just arrived in Z’bar. 3. Inception phase of 4 months 4. This assignment will include a gender strategy focusing on the women in the ZECO work force 5. There are areas with possible overlap/duplication with EU Lot 2 such as support to DoEM, energy efficiency and awareness activities. The meeting called for close consultation during inception and implementation Multiconsult also implements the Norwegian funded programme in ZECO; Capacity building on maintenance. Few points from the presentation: 1. Norwegian support to Zanzibar utility company goes back as far as the 80s and has been there on and off ever since. This includes grid extension and also the provision of the submarine cable from Tanga to Pemba. 2. This current project period covers 2014 – 18 and total budget of $ 10m, 3. Project prepared he Electrification masterplan in 2014 4. The ZECO has been mapped in a GIS system 5. A feasibility study has been prepared for a 5 MW solar PV farm in north eastern Zanzibar and been circulated. This could be further adjusted once GOPA data become available Barefoot College is a NGO originating from INDIA where it was established in 1972. It focusses on training of rural illiterate or semi-illiterate women between 35 and 50 years old. This includes a series of life enhancing subjects including small solar power. In Zanzibar Barefoot has 1. Opened a college in Zanzibar in Aug 2015 (inaugurated by President Shein) 2. Operating under the Ministry of Empowerment, Social Welfare, Women, Youth and Children 3. Budget 2014/15 Tsh 400 m, plus $ 400,000 through fund raising from USA sources. 4. Women are trained over period of 5 months and main focus is solar power 5. Objective is to train 20 Barefoot solar engineers per year, 1000 households equipped with solar systems 6. Systems installed and maintained by the women trained by Barefoot Annexes Page 64 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report 7. Village solar committee to collect contributions from each household to ensure long term maintenance (for instance replacement of batteries after 5 years 8. In the discussion a point was raised on disposal of used batteries. Barefoot is collecting these batteries and working on an environmental friendly disposal system The participants discussed the need for a further coordination mechanisms and joint actions. Some of the point raised included: 1. Meeting focused on electricity sector but little or no attention is given to biomass and oil products which are the other important sources of energy mainly for cooking and transport needs 2. Coordination is needed to ensure best use of resources and avoid overlap and duplication, especially now there are a number of DPs active and possible the World Bank coming in as well 3. For example, both EU and Norwegian supported projects plan interventions to increase awareness among energy users on efficient use of energy. 4. The Government of Zanzibar needs to take leadership/ initiative in planning and organizing of regular EDPG meetings 5. There was some debate on the roles of the Ministry responsible for Energy and Ministry of Finance and Planning in the coordination of DP meetings. The meeting agreed that the MoF&P needs to play an active role in this aspect. 6. It was proposed to have quarterly meetings in the future 7. In conclusion MoF&P agreed to call for a meeting with the Ministry of Lands, Energy, Water and Environment so as to analyze the whole support which goes to the energy sector in order to avoid duplication of activities. The meeting was closed by the acting director of the DoEM 12:45 Discussion 1315 Closure of the meeting Break at Serena Hotel with lunch for the guests Visit to ZECO A number of the delegates took the opportunity to visit the ZECO main operation Mtoni control center in Mtoni. They were shown the facilities that were constructed with support of centre the MCC as part of the installation of the new submarine cable. The power distribution center monitors and controls the supply of electricity from the mainland the distribution through various feeders to the different points in Unguja island. In addition, there is a sub control center established with support of JICA Return to Stone town 1330 1500 1630 LIST OF PARTICIPANTS Zanzibar Renewable Energy Programme Meeting (Lot 2 Project kick-off Meeting) 13th of June 2016 Name Organisation/function Email address Phone number Marijn Noordam Emb of Netherlands [email protected] 0793 030 044 Katrine Vestbostad Emb of Norway [email protected] 0782 777 010 Jorgen Eriksson Emb of Sweden [email protected] 0754 000 241 Stephen Mwakifwamba Francis Songela Emb of Sweden [email protected] 0784000239 EU delegation [email protected]@gov.se 0783 492 601 Lars Dahl EU Delegation [email protected] +255 22 211 7473/6 Mikael Melin EU Delegation [email protected] +255 22 211 7473/6 Rosina Apolei JICA [email protected] +255 789 854 615 Annexes Page 65 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Name Organisation/function Email address Phone number Zak Rich World Bank/MoF&P [email protected] +255 774 169 763 Lucie Mauron Barefoot college [email protected] +41 795451436 Gerard Hendriksen Consultant [email protected] 0779 894 009 Francois Carmen EU Bridging phase TA [email protected] 0773 356 358 TareqZahad GOPA-Intec [email protected] +49 176 848 08187 Niels Juhl Thomson MWH [email protected] Valentina Villoria MWH, project manager [email protected] Halima Wagao MoF&P [email protected] 0776 942 258 Khatib Moh’d MoF&P [email protected] 0777 412 369 Grace Aloyce ONAO-MoF&P [email protected] 0759 032 876 Ibrahim Muhazi ONAO-MoF&P [email protected] 0767 181 016 Miza S Khamis Dep of Forestry [email protected] 0777 332 223 Mohamed A M DoEM [email protected] +255778629640 Omar S Muhamed DoEM [email protected] 0777 463 588 Sayyidomar A. Idarous Abdalla Haji Steni DoEM [email protected] 0777 144 756 ZECO [email protected] 0777 417 904 HafidSilima ZECO [email protected] 0777 435 005 Haji Amran ZECO [email protected] 0777 878 598 Haji Silima ZECO [email protected] 0773 234 000 Maulid Shirz Hasan ZECO [email protected] +255 774 356 247 Said H Bakar ZECO [email protected] 0777 468 002 Khamis Amada Fakih Zainab A Ayoub ZURA [email protected] 0773 570 611 ZURA [email protected] 0773 923 395 Andrew Yager Multi Consult (SIDA/Norad pro-ject Team Leader) [email protected] Annexes Page 66 of 67 Technical Assistance for the implementation of renewable energies and energy efficiency projects, including regulatory reforms (Lot 2) Inception Report Annex H: List of Stakeholders. Meetings held during the Inception Phase List of Stakeholders identified > Ministry of Finance & Planning. > Ministry of Land, Housing, Water and Energy and its departments of Energy of Environment. > ZECO. > SIDA Programme. > Norad Programme. > Donors and development partners. > TANESCO. Lot 1. > Public institutions. > Potential investors and developers for RE and EE projects. > Opinion leaders. > Banks and Financial institutions. > Zanzibar Revenue Board. > Customers. > Suppliers. > NGOs – Barefoot College and REZA. > Communities in general. List of Stakeholders Meetings held during Inception Period > Ministry of Land, Water, Energy, and Environment. > Department of Energy. > Department of Environment. > Ministry of Finance and Planning. > Ministry of Finance and Planning – the Public Private Partnership Unit. > ZURA. > ZECO Planning Department. > Meeting with Technical Committee for the EU REEE Programme. > Meeting with Ministry of Infrastructure, Transportation, and Communication. Annexes Page 67 of 67
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