UNIT 8 Discrete Probability Distributions Intro Activity Summary (Ch 4 Review) HHHH HHTT THHT TTTT HHHT HTHT TTTH 2x2x2x2 = HHTH HTTH TTHT 16 outcomes HTHH THTH THTT THHH TTHH HTTT Intro Activity Summary (Ch 3 Review) Possible Outcomes 0 1 2 3 4 Frequency R.F. C.F C.R.F We have already discussed that a variable is a characteristic or attribute that can assume different values (eye color, height, weight, etc.). Because we will now be working with variables associated with probability, we call them random variables. A random variable is a variable (typically represented by X) whose values are determined by chance. Chapter 1 review: Discrete variable have values that can be counted. Continuous variables are obtained from data that can be measured rather than counted. A probability distribution consists of the values a random variable can assume and the corresponding probabilities of the values. Let’s look at flipping 3 coins simultaneously. List the outcomes and their probabilities: TTT TTH THT HTT 1 8 1 8 1 8 1 8 HHT HTH THH HHH 1 8 1 8 1 8 1 8 Now let’s say that we are only interested in the number of heads. We would let X be the random variable for the number of heads. No heads One Head Two Heads Three heads TTT TTH THT HTT HHT HTH THH HHH 1 8 1 8 1 8 1 8 3 8 1 8 1 8 1 8 3 8 1 8 1 8 1 8 We end up with a probability distribution that looks like this: Number of heads X 0 1 2 3 Probability P(X) 1 8 3 8 3 8 1 8 We can also represent probability distributions graphically by representing the values of X on the x axis and the probabilities P(X) on the y axis. Two requirements for a probability distribution. 1. The sum of the probabilities of all the events in the sample space must equal 1; that is, P( X ) 1. 2. The probability of each event in the sample space must be between or equal to 0 and 1; that is, 0 P( X ) 1. Determine whether each distribution is a probability distribution. X 0 5 10 15 20 P(X) 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 X P(X) X 0 5 10 15 P(X) 1 4 1 8 1 16 9 16 0 5 10 15 X -1.0 1.5 0.3 0.2 P(X) 0 5 10 0.5 0.3 0.4 Finding the mean, variance, and standard deviation for a discrete random variable. The mean of a random variable with a discrete probability distribution is X 1 P ( X 1 ) X 2 P ( X 2 ) ... X n P ( X n ) The formula for the variance of a probability distribution is 2 2 X P( X ) 2 The standard deviation of a probability distribution is 2 Find the mean, variation, and standard deviation for the number of spots that appear when a die is tossed. X 1 2 3 4 5 6 P(X) 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 6 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 21 1 3 3.5 6 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 3.5 6 6 6 6 6 6 2 1 4 9 16 25 36 2 3.5 6 6 6 6 6 6 2 91 2 3.5 2.92 6 2 So, 2.92 1.71 The probability that 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4 people will be placed on hold when they call is 18%, 34%, 23%, 21% and 4% respectively. Pgs. 230-231 #19 – 24 all. Write the probability distribution in standard form, graph it, find the mean, and find the standard deviation.
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