Equity & Options Trading Game and Tutorial For SEBC May 8, 2004 Sanjiv Parekh Welcome • Sloan Trading Room Task Force was established in 1997 by Prof. Andrew Lo. • Trading room is used for research, trading games and simulations, and finance classes. • Types of trading games include: equity, fixed income, derivatives, and foreign exchange. • Information: • Email Us: Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial http://mitsloan.mit.edu/trader [email protected] Agenda • • • • • • • Today’s Game: 2 Stocks and 2 Options Trading Interface Trading Mechanics: Bid-Ask Accessing Private Information Two Practice Games Questions and Answers The Final Game Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial Case Scenario • Two Stocks – Firm 1 – Firm 2 • Two Options – 30 Call on Firm 1 – 30 Put on Firm 1 • Two periods: Year 1 and Year 2 • 0% interest rate, no cost to borrow money • Stocks are non-dividend paying Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial Private Information and Prices • Different parties may have private information in the market. This information may give you an advantage in trading. • Bid and Ask prices may reflect what private information other traders have • If you know what the stock should be worth, take advantage of wrong prices through arbitrage Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial Game Setup • The values of the stocks at the end of the two periods depend on what state the company is in • Firm 1 has 3 different possible states in each period • Firm 2 has 3 different possible states in each period Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial Stock Fundamentals • Realized events determine each stocks’ realized dividends • Realized dividends determine each stocks’ price • Events are all equally likely • Traders will receive private information about which event is realized Firm 1 x y Fails to win contracts z Firm 2 Wins all contracts w Fails to win contracts x Wins some contracts y Wins all contracts Wins some contracts Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial Firm 1 Payoff Tree 0 Period 1 x y z 20 • Stock values depend on events realized in Period 1 and Period 2 • Starting out, probability of each event is equal 40 x 0 Now y Period 1 Period 0 x y z 25 45 z 0 Period 1 x y z 35 60 Period 2 Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial Firm 1 Payoff Tree Period 1 x, 1/2 y, 1/2 z 0 Private Information: 20 Period 1: not z, Period 2: not z 40 x, 1/2 0 Now y, 1/2 Period 1 x, 1/2 y, 1/2 z 25 45 z • Use your Private Information to calculate the new expected stock price 0 Period 1 x y z Period 1 35 60 Period 2 Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial Min: 0 Max: 25 E [Price] = 11.25 Firm 1 Payoff Tree in Period 2 0 Now Period 1 x, 1/2 y, 1/2 z • Assume Event y occurred • Private Information still holds • What is the expected value of Firm 1 now? 20 40 Period 2 Min: 0 Max: 20 E [Price] = 10 Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial Options • European style Call Options give you the right, but not the obligation, to buy a specified amount of an underlying security at a specified price upon expiry. • European style Put Options give you the right, but not the obligation, to sell a specified amount of an underlying security at a specified price upon expiry. • The specified price is known as the strike price Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial Options in this Game • • • • European Style Call on Firm 1 with strike 30 European Style Put on Firm 1 with strike 30 Options expire at the end of Period 2 Option payouts will be realized at the end of Period 2 Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial Firm 1 Option Payoff Trees 0 Period 1 x y z 0 20 Period 1 x y z 40 Period 1 Period 0 x y z Now 45 Period 0 y x Period 1 x y z Period 1 Now 15 Period 0 35 Period 2 y Period 1 x y z z Period 1 x y z 30 5 Period 1 30 30 Call 5 0 0 60 Underlying Stock 30 0 z 0 x y z 10 0 0 25 z • Period 1 x 0 y 0 10 x Now 30 x y z Period 2 x y z 0 0 30 Put Period 2 Create payout trees for options and use them to price options just like the stocks Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial Trading Mechanics • Traders who want to sell stocks at a certain price post an Ask • Traders who want to buy stocks at a certain price post a Bid • Only Market Makers have the ability to post Bids and Asks Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial The Bid-Ask Spread BID ASK 158 1/8 158 7/8 Market maker buys Market taker sells Market maker sells Market taker buys Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial Stay Within the Spread Bid buy 160 sell 159 $$$ • • Ask sell 159 buy 160 $$$ Do not trade outside the spread Be the market maker with unsophisticated traders in the market Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial Being the Market Maker Ask 90 89* Bid 80 81* MARKET New Bid Makes the Market New Ask Makes the Market (Market Maker) (Market Maker) • Bid-Ask spread goes from 10 to 8 once the new bid and the new ask make the market Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial Being the Market Maker Ask 90 Bid 80 91 79 MARKET Bid does NOT Make the Market Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial Ask does NOT Make the Market Terminology • Going Long: buy the stock – You think the stock price will go up • Going Short: sell the stock – You think the stock price will go down – Selling more units than you have, known as short selling, ends up with negative number of units. – In this game, you can short sell as much as you want – Have to cover short position at end by buying back the stock. Done automatically in the game. Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial Trading Interface You can borrow or lend at a 0% interest rate Stock Names Seconds remaining for current trading period. Traders in the FTS markets determine prices Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial Realized payouts displayed here Individual endowments Logging In Enter any trading name (at least 3 characters) Type in the actual names of each trader on the team DO NOT PRESS CONNECT UNTIL ASKED TO DO SO Equity and Options Trading Game and Tutorial
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