Monitoring the Ocean State from the Observations Stéphanie Guinehut Sandrine Mulet Marie-Hélène Rio Gilles Larnicol Anne-Lise Dhomps GODAE OceanView-GSOP-CLIVAR workshop - 13-17 June 2011 -1- Introduction Our approach : – Consists of estimating 3D-thermohaline and current fields using ONLY observations and statistical methods – Represents a complementary approach to the one developed by forecasting centers – based on model/assimilation techniques – “Observation based” component of the Global MyOcean Monitoring and Forecasting Center lead by Mercator Océan Previous studies have shown the capability of such approaches : – In producing reliable ocean state estimates (Guinehut et al., 2004; Larnicol et al., 2006) – In analyzing the contribution and complementarities of the different observing systems (in-situ vs. remote-sensing) (2nd GODAE OSE Workshop, 2009) GODAE OceanView-GSOP-CLIVAR workshop - 13-17 June 2011 -2- The principle The observations The method Altimeter, SST, winds Guinehut et al., 2004 Guinehut et al., 2006 Larnicol et al., 2006 Rio et al., 2011 Global 3D Ocean State [T,S,U,V,H] Weekly – 1993-2009 [0-1500m] 24 levels [1/3°] MyOcean V1 RT/RAN + MDT estimate T/S profiles, surface drifters The products Intercomparison with independent data sets and model simulations Analysis of the ocean variability Observing System Evaluation GODAE OceanView-GSOP-CLIVAR workshop - 13-17 June 2011 -3- Global T/S Armor3D - Method 1 vertical projection of satellite data (SLA, SST) T(x,y,z,t) = (x,y,z,t).SLAsteric + (x,y,z,t).SST’ + Tclim (x,y,z,t) S(x,y,z,t) = ’(x,y,z,t).SLAsteric + Sclim (x,y,z,t) 2 combination of synthetic and in-situ profiles synthetic T(z), S(z) SLA, SST multiple linear regression 1 optimal interpolation 2 in-situ T(z), S(z) GODAE OceanView-GSOP-CLIVAR workshop - 13-17 June 2011 -4- Armor3D T(z), S(z) Armor3D - 1993-2009 reanalysis SSALTO-DUACS MSLA 1/3° weekly DT - 04/07/2007 NCEP Reynolds OI-SST 1/4° daily - 04/07/2007 Arivo climatology – July – T at 100 m Synthetic T’ – at 100m GODAE OceanView-GSOP-CLIVAR workshop - 13-17 June 2011 -5- Armor3D - 1993-2009 reanalysis Synthetic T’ – at 100m In-situ observations – Coriolis data center Argo T’ Armor3D T’ GODAE OceanView-GSOP-CLIVAR workshop - 13-17 June 2011 -6- Armor3D - Hydrographic variability patterns Temperature variability over the 2004-2008 period (global zonal averaged) : Synthetic ARMOR3D SCRIPPS SODA 2.2.4 2004 2005 2006 Very similar results for Synthetic/ARMOR3D/SCRIPPS No bias introduced by the method Very promising to study the variability of the 1993-2000 period 2007 which suffers from poor in-situ measurements coverage GODAE OceanView-GSOP-CLIVAR workshop - 13-17 June 2011 2008 -7- Hydrographic variability patterns Temperature variability from 1993 to 2008 (global zonal averaged) : 1993 2001 1997 GODAE OceanView-GSOP-CLIVAR workshop - 13-17 June 2011 -8- 2005 2008 Armor3D - Hydrographic variability patterns Salinity variability over the 2004-2008 period (global zonal averaged) : Synthetic SCRIPPS ARMOR3D 2004 2005 2006 2007 Argo obs sys mandatory 2008 GODAE OceanView-GSOP-CLIVAR workshop - 13-17 June 2011 -9- SODA 2.2.4 Global U/V/H Surcouf3D - Method Surcouf : Field of absolute geostrophic surface currents weekly - 1/3° Armor3D : 3D T/S fields weekly - 1/3° - [0-1500]m g u (z z i ) u (z 0) ρf z0 y' (z)dz g f z0 x' (z)dz v(z z i ) v(z 0) zi zi Surcouf3D 3D geostrophic current fields weekly (1993-2008) 1/3° - 24 levels from 0 to1500m GODAE OceanView-GSOP-CLIVAR workshop - 13-17 June 2011 - 10 - Surcouf3D - Comparison with model outputs Vertical section at 60°W, in 2006 Surcouf3D at 500m *geost. current with level of no motion at 1500m Armor3D* Surcouf3D GLORYS at 500m GLORYS GODAE OceanView-GSOP-CLIVAR workshop - 13-17 June 2011 - 11 - Surcouf3D - Validation of 1000-m currents Global statistics over the Atlantic outside the equateur (10°S-10°N) Comparison between 3 different methods (Surcouf3D, GLORYS, Armor3D) and in-situ observations (ANDRO) at 1000 m over the 2006/2007 period (Taylor, 2001) Meridional component ● SURCOUF3D (weekly, 1/3°) ▲GLORYS = Mercator-Ocean reanalysis Standard deviation (cm/s) (weekly, 1/4°) Ferry et al., 2010 skill score ♦ Armor3D = geostrophic current with level of no-motion at 1500m (weekly, 1/3°) ● ANDRO = 1000-m currents from drifting velocities from the Argo floats (≈10days, ≈50/100km) Ollitraut et al, 2010 Standard deviation (cm/s) Results are very similar for the zonal component GODAE OceanView-GSOP-CLIVAR workshop - 13-17 June 2011 - 12 - Surcouf3D - Validation Comparison with GoodHope VM-ADCP observations from 14/02–17/03/2008 Meridional velocities (cm/s) Zonal velocities (cm/s) ADCP obs courtesy of S. Speich Good correlation with independent in-situ obs. Other time series to be compared 14/02/08 17/03/2008 SURCOUF3D ADCP GODAE OceanView-GSOP-CLIVAR workshop - 13-17 June 2011 - 13 - Surcouf3D - Validation Comparison with RAPID current-meters in the Western boundary current off the Bahamas from April 2004 to April 2005 Florida Africa 26.5°North 76.5°West SURCOUF3D RAPID (current meters) GLORYS Good correlation with independent obs., and with GLORYS Importance of in-situ T/S profiles obs at depth for the inversion of the current GODAE OceanView-GSOP-CLIVAR workshop - 13-17 June 2011 - 14 - Surcouf3D - AMOC variability at 25°N Comparison with Bryden et al, 2005 (section at 24.5° from Africa to 73°W and at 26.5°N off Bahamas) Floride Strait Transport from electrical cable (Bryden et al,2005) AMOC = Geost + Ekman + Florida (Surcouf3D, Bryden et al., 2005) Ekman Transport from wind stress ERAInterim Geostrophic Transport from 75°W to 15°W and from the surface to 1000m (Surcouf3D, Bryden et al., 2005) Very consistent with Bryden et al, 2005 Hight inter-annual variability Hard to distinguish a long-term trend GODAE OceanView-GSOP-CLIVAR workshop - 13-17 June 2011 - 15 - Surcouf3D - AMOC variability at 26.5°N Comparison with RAPID and GLORYS from April 2004 to December 2007 (monthly means + 12-month filtered) SURCOUF3D RAPID GLORYS Similar seasonal cycle Amplitude differences ~ 10% Higher variability in Surcouf than in Glorys that has to be further analyzed GODAE OceanView-GSOP-CLIVAR workshop - 13-17 June 2011 - 16 - Conclusions / Perspectives Armor3D/Surcouf3D tools are very useful : to perform intercomparison exercices to study the interannual variability of the hydrographic patterns, the AMOC … Intercomparison studies will be continued between Armor3D and Surcouf3D and MyOcean global reanalysis Further study the ocean state (T/S variability, MOC, Heat/Salt transport) in key regions and for the 1993-2009 periods Armor3D/Surcouf3D reanalysis are distributed as part of MyOcean GODAE OceanView-GSOP-CLIVAR workshop - 13-17 June 2011 - 17 - … … GODAE OceanView-GSOP-CLIVAR workshop - 13-17 June 2011 - 18 -
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