The Economic Point of View Glen Whitman Dept. of Economics CSUN The Economic Model of Pretty Much Everything Goals Constraints Choices Example: The Consumer Satisfaction of Preferences Income, Prices Buying Decisions Example: The Firm Profit Maximization Technology, Factor Prices, Consumer Demand Prices, Product Characteristics, Store Location, Hours... The Basic Lesson of All Economics: Incentives Matter Alter constraints to alter choices. What you reward, you get more of. What you punish, you get less of. Thinking About Incentives Non-economist: “People are like robots; they follow their programs.” Lousy economist: “People respond to incentives in foreseeable ways.” Good economist: “People respond to incentives, often in unforeseeable ways.” Incentives: Getting It Wrong Vipers in an Italian town Socialized healthcare in Canada The Soviet nail quota Incentive pay for welders and secretaries The Soviet Nail Quota “Who needs a nail as big as that?” “Who cares? The important thing is we fulfilled the plan for nails in one fell swoop.” Incentives: Getting It Right Think about the goals of those you’re trying to influence. Check for compatibility between what you want and what you’re rewarding/punishing. Beware of substitution effects. Opportunity Cost Preview: Is This a Profitable Business? You are the sole proprietor and manager of a massage parlor. Weekly revenue: $7000 Weekly expenditures: $6200 What is your profit? Is This a Profitable Business? continued You could have worked somewhere else instead of being self-employed. Forgone salary: $1000/week Accounting profit = $7000 - $6200 = $800/week Economic profit = $7000 - $6200 - $1000 = -$200/week Opportunity Cost Preview: Is This a Profitable Investment? You are given $1,000,000 to manage. You spend all year managing the money. By the end of the year, you have gained $60,000. Was this a wise investment? Is This a Profitable Investment? continued You could have had another job. Forgone income: $45,000 You could have put the money in the bank. Forgone interest (at 5%): $50,000 Economic Profit = $60,000 - $45,000 - $50,000 = -$35,000 Opportunity Cost Opportunity cost = the value of the next best opportunity forgone in making a choice Includes explicit costs: wages, rent payments, etc. Also includes implicit costs: forgone income from owner’s time forgone income from firm-owned assets forgone interest on capital The Economic Telecommunications System A market economy relies on people to use information they don’t have. Two features of the market make this possible: The price mechanism The profit/loss mechanism The Price Mechanism Prices are signals of scarcity. Higher prices imply greater scarcity. Scarcity: the relationship between how much people want of something and how much there is People consume less, economize more Lower prices imply lower scarcity. People consume more, economize less The Profit/Loss Mechanism Above-normal profits in an industry attract entry of more firms. More resources allocated to this use Below-normal profits in an industry force the exit of existing firms. More resources allocated to other uses The Price-Profit Process Increased demand for a good/service leads to higher prices. Higher prices lead to higher profits. Higher profits attract more firms. Greater competition drives prices and profits back down. Net effect: more resources pulled into production of this good/service. Seeking Profit in a Dynamic Marketplace Profits are usually transitory: in the long run, they tend to disappear. But the transition time is crucial. Various factors can speed up or slow down the transition time, including barriers to entry. Some of these factors may be under your control. Summary: Thinking Like an Economist Always think about the incentives you have and the incentives you create. Take into account all costs of your choices, not just the explicit ones. Maintain a dynamic perspective to keep up with the market.
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