Draka Comteq Silica Expertise Group Attenuation increase Marcoussis prediction in CERN conditions December 6th, 05 for DRAKA fibers Silica Expertise Group RIA prediction, ER| 1 Context Draka Comteq Silica Expertise Group Purpose: Predict Radiation Induced Attenuation (RIA) at low dose-rate, over a large period (CERN conditions), based on RIA-measurements performed at higher dose-rates (Fraunhofer Institute). Problem: • RIA is not linear with dose / exposure time. • high dose-rates measurements cannot be directly extrapolated to low dose-rates The understanding of RIA phenomena is very important RIA prediction, ER| 2 Kinetic model Draka Comteq Silica Expertise Group Kinetic modelling of radiation induced attenuation (RIA) • Time dependence for defect generation without annealing: solution: . n1 a1 D t or n1 a1D dn1 a1 D dt D: . total dose D: dose-rate a1: probability of defect generation Non-reversible mechanism • Time dependence for defect generation with finite lifetime: dn2 n2 a2 D dt 2 . D: dose-rate, n2: defect concentration, 2: lifetime, a2: probability of defect generation solution of saturating exponential type: . t n2 (t ) a2 D 2 [1 exp( )] Reversible mechanism RIA prediction, ER| 3 2 Kinetic model Draka Comteq Silica Expertise Group Non-reversible mechanism 10 . n2 a2 D t 200 180 160 140 9 8 7 Increasing dose-rate 120 100 RIA (dB/km) RIA (dB/km) Reversible mechanism 80 4 3 40 2 20 1 0 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1 5 60 0 Increasing . t dose-rate n1 a1 D 1[1 exp( )] 6 0 200 Time (h) 400 600 800 1000 Time (h) Depends only on total dose (or dose-rate x irr. time) Depends on both total dose AND on dose-rate becomes negligible for very low dose-rates Total RIA = sum of both components RIA prediction, ER| 4 Kinetic model Draka Comteq Silica Expertise Group 200 200 Reversible part Reversible part Non-reversible part 160 Non-reversible part 160 Total RIA (dB/km) RIA (dB/km) Total 120 80 120 Intermediate dose-rate 80 High dose-rate 40 40 0 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 0 1000 Time (h) 2000 3000 Time (h) In order to predict RIA, it is essential to well-determine both: - the non-reversible component - the dose-rate dependency of the reversible component RIA prediction, ER| 5 4000 5000 Draka model Draka Comteq Silica Expertise Group General • Our prediction is based on kinetic model • reversible component (dose-rate dependent) Mainly determined from Fraunhofer Institute’s measurements at 4 different dose-rates • non-reversible component Determined from both: - annealing curves measured at Fraunhofer Institue and - spectral attenuation measurements after total annealing • Our prediction is valid for • l = 1310nm • for DRAKA SMF and Sample 4 RIA prediction, ER| 6 Draka model Draka Comteq Silica Expertise Group Model for RIA prediction CERN conditions: Dose-rate = 0.002 Gy/s, Time = 1 year (~ 3.107 s) Reversible part . irradiation time >> 2 . RIAsaturation a2 D 2 C2 D Only the saturation level is important 100 Not a linear behavior Saturation level (dB/km) 90 80 . 0.44 70 60 Draka 445755 Sat = 42.31x 2 R = 0.99 RIAsaturation C2 Dg 50 40 30 20 Sat = 23.10x 2 R = 0.99 Sample #4 10 0.36 g = 0.44 for Draka SMF g = 0.36 for Sample 4 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Dose-rate (Gy/s) 2.5 3 RIA prediction, ER| 7 3.5 Draka model Draka Comteq Silica Expertise Group Model for RIA prediction CERN conditions: Dose-rate = 0.002 Gy/s, Time = 1 year (~ 3.107 s) Non-reversible part 40 Non-reversible RIA (dB/km) . CEA measurements for CERN (LHC project note 351) Maximum values values Minimum values Maximum Minimum values RIAnonrev a1 D t C1 D Puissance (Minimum values) Puissance (Maximum values) Puissance 30 y = 0.005x0.76 R2 = 1.00 y = 0.005x0.78 R2 = 0.99 20 RIAnonrev C1 D b + see also [Kyoto – 1992] 10 y = 0.006x0.68 R2 = 0.97 0.68 < b < 0.78 for Draka SMF 0.47 < b < 0.52 for Sample 4 0 0 20000 40000 60000 Total dose (Gy) 80000 RIA prediction, ER| 8 100000 [Kyoto – 1992]: JLT Vol. 10, 3, pp289-294 Draka model Draka Comteq Silica Expertise Group RIA prediction for Draka SMF (Sample #445755) RIA prediction, ER| 9 CEA tests were performed at RT, power ~ 0.5mW, dose-rate = 0.28 mGy/s, fiber length ~ 5km Draka model Draka Comteq Silica Expertise Group RIA prediction for Sample 4 RIA prediction, ER| 10 CEA tests were performed at RT, power ~ 0.5mW, dose-rate = 0.28 mGy/s, fiber length ~ 3km Comparison Draka / Fraunhofer Institute predictions Draka Comteq Silica Expertise Group Prediction for CERN conditions (mean dose-rate = 0.002 Gy/s) Draka’s prediction FI’s prediction RIA(Draka SMF)> 12 dB/km for doses > 16 000 to 33 000 Gy => The fiber has to be changed every 1 or 2 years. Draka’s prediction RIA(Sample 4)> 12 dB/km for doses > 100 000 Gy at least FI’s prediction => The fiber does not need to be changed for 4 to 8 years. RIA prediction, ER| 11 Comparison Draka / Fraunhofer Institute predictions Draka Comteq Silica Expertise Group Rough extrapolation based on RIA curves shifting (FI extrapolation) Parallel RIA curves (in log scale) mean that the difference between curves obtained at different dose-rates increases with increasing doses. RIA prediction, ER| 12 Comparison Draka / Fraunhofer Institute predictions Draka Comteq Silica Expertise Group Experimental results at high doses / diff. dose-rates Figures issued from M. Van Uffelen’s PhD report According to M. Van Uffelen’s results, RIA curves are parallel in linear scale. That means that the differences between curves obtained at different dose-rates is constant. RIA prediction, ER| 13 Comparison Draka / Fraunhofer Institute predictions Draka Comteq Silica Expertise Group Comparison Draka’s model / experimental results at high doses 100 RIA [dB/km] 80 60 40 20 0 0.0E+00 5.0E+03 1.0E+04 1.5E+04 2.0E+04 2.5E+04 3.0E+04 3.5E+04 4.0E+04 Dose [Gy] 140 120 RIA [dB/km] 100 80 60 40 20 0 0.0E+00 5.0E+04 1.0E+05 1.5E+05 Dose [Gy] 2.0E+05 2.5E+05 RIA prediction, ER| 14 Comparison Draka / Fraunhofer Institute predictions Draka Comteq Silica Expertise Group Weak points of Draka model • The model is valid only for l=1310nm, at RT. •We have a big uncertainty on the non-reversible part (a factor 3 for dose = 100 000 Gy). • Some fibers may have several reversible components. • The model has to be adjusted for each fiber type => to do that, a few experimental data are needed. • How to reduce the uncertainty on the non-reversible part? attenuation measurement at 1310nm for 3 different doses (10, 103, 105 Gy), after total annealing. RIA prediction, ER| 15 Draka Comteq Silica Expertise Group Attenuation increase Marcoussis prediction in CERN conditions December 6th, 05 for DRAKA fibers Silica Expertise Group RIA prediction, ER| 16
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